China Prepares to Strike: Will Trump Stand in the Way? |

[@VisualPolitikEN]

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[@Join_IT_Army_UA]

🔱Thanks VP. Volunteers making things happen.🖥⚡🔥😎

[@kxmalahov]

%5 not enough!

[@qwertyntarantino1937]

Visual Politik Community

[@DetectiveRackham]

Is this going to be another Honey?

[@Hecilo]

I had such an amazing vacation in Taiwan this year and really enjoyed getting local insights. I hope the Situation will never evolve into a war.

[@Endwankery]

Same

[@eric-nd9yy]

what did you do in Taiwan?

[@Ruder6163]

From your experience, what percentage are for political reunification vs independence?

[@Hecilo]

@@Ruder6163 I never asked that specifically as it appeared rude to me. Also as a regular tourist, I didn't do a represetative survey. It was explained to me by a few people though that "most" be comfortable with having the conflict frozen. With the first leader of Taiwan/Republic of China, actually the Taiwanese propaganda in the 50ies,60ies was more like "we take the mainland back". But it never happened. And then it basically flipped. For decades a potential war has been in the media, so some people stopped getting too nervous about it. 1-2 people with whom I discussed Japan's influence on their culture actually also brought up, that they'd wish for Japan to be more involved as some kind of mediator. Afterall there are still people alive whose first language was Japanese and not Mandarin, when they were born before 1945.

[@booz394]

I have spoken to a few Taiwanese while at varsity back in the day, till today… and it’s about 80% do not want to join China because they enjoy their democracy.. their freedom of religion, freedom of speech etc … I said 80% … however… some say it’s much higher at staying free.

[@Perhapsawiseman]

Taiwan has the entire semiconductor industry. We will be protecting them so long as they do.

[@joeybulford5266]

Yep. It is boots on the ground if China tries to touch Taiwan

[@LordEmperorHyperion]

No you won't, in fact you will even be there but at Pearl Harbour, the US doesn't have the fighting capability to engage China.

[@dizzlethe7346]

They (TSMC) do hold A LOT of the "overall" industry at 22ish% and they do hold a lot of the "advanced" market at 60ish%. But a third of these plants aren't even on the Island, They still punch above class for sure. IMO the world would live I think, the bigger scare is China getting the tech rather then not having chips per say. Also, I have seen over the past few months a place in Japan Leapfrogged (even ASML) and made a good (legit) 2nm wafer planned 2030. But Samsung and Texas instruments (they had help) with ASML has a what they call a 2.5nm wafer and fab set-up for 2027. While Taiwan is set for 3nm in 2028-2029

[@dizzlethe7346]

It's sad to say this but, It seems not only did all the fab machine MAKERS got together with researchers compared notes. Then went to all TSMC customers asked what they see they will need later and went "we can do that", then went to TSMC's competitors and each picked one or two and helped jump the island.

[@yumyumgimmesum]

No we won’t. Why do you think TSMC is building a facility in Arizona?

[@JerryHaimowitz]

You failed to mention one of the main deterrents to China...energy imports...coal (5% imports) gas (40% imports) and oil (70% imports). The Chinese economy would run out of energy in a month or two if the US set up a naval blockade. Until China eliminates its dependence on energy imports by sea, Taiwan is probably safe.

[@kiyotakaaynokoji9387]

@JerryHaimowitz Russians, Iranians might cover all energy requirements of china and they don't need an ocean route to import China has already established roads and rail routes under belt and road initiative to procure all there needs and I don't think Middle eastern oil rich countries or countries like Singapore, pakistan, etc are more close to china or shifting to china camp will certainly obey or accept American blockade and besides Its true majority of taiwanise want independent taiwan but 40+% of them also want to go back and join china which is a ground reality.

[@supafoob4528]

CCP stands for copy copy paste

[@iamaloafofbread8926]

Copy cope petty

[@kxmalahov]

too late for that, now they make all your staff!

[@georgegiorgio]

Corrupt Communist China Party

[@mvic81818]

So accurate lol

[@MaxImumoccupancy100Twenty]

THTA'S WACIST!

[@kyleinglis300]

China hasn't eliminated extreme poverty. The CCP simply changed the income metrics and redefined it.

[@bopndop2347]

The USA hasn't eliminated extreme poverty. The USA simply changed the income metrics and redefined it. 🙃

[@doujinflip]

_Extreme_ poverty is mostly resolved, it's just the "extreme" dollar-a-day qualifier the Party conveniently omits when they say they eliminated (effective) "poverty".

[@Botanifiles]

kind of like the US and what is considered "employed"

[@andrewlim7751]

What's the definition? The homeless one in u.s. living on food stamp? The Chinese poor ones mostly have a house on their own mate.

[@bopndop2347]

USA hasn't eliminated extreme poverty. The USA simply changed the income metrics and redefined it.

[@caruzo9631]

„large… a-brain“

[@rbpfarr]

can we just admit he's funny? even if it's not on purpose.

[@Burdenist]

Honestly saw that and ran to the comments... how did he get back in?! 😂

[@missinglinq]

Trump is unintentionally hilarious.

[@fj310]

@@Burdenisthe got back in because of Americans very very large Brain.

[@giovannituber2827]

Can we all agree at least on one bloody thing that nobody likes CCCP?

[@UndertakerFromWWE]

Amen

[@ruZsiaNa-C]

Just to make sure we are thinking the same.. that is USSR right?? Not typo of another C of CCP

[@micaeloliveira2727]

And you're right 😅😅 but never forget china is loved by many asian and African countries not USA 🤦‍♂️

[@memback]

@@micaeloliveira2727 CCP and China are two different things.

[@bluskies1000]

@@micaeloliveira2727 Not Vietnam, South Korea, Philippines.

[@evilwelshman]

Some theorists speculate that Taiwan is more useful to China in the current situation, with it outside of Beijing's control; the reason being that it is an easy source of rallying Xi's support base and diverting China's public attention away from a scandal. In a sense, a bit like the border situation in the US.

[@FactStorm]

Interesting theory, but how are they rallying support for Xi?

[@evilwelshman]

@@FactStorm It's red meat for the base. Xi can point to Taiwan and yell about Western imperialism and US meddling to distract the media and rally support. Likewise, they can conduct military exercises around Taiwan as a way to show off its military might to its own people.

[@VaMoua-b1h]

It is serious in unification. They will not let it slip away. Xi isn't Trump.

[@BatCountryAdventures]

Well, other theorists speculate that China has never been a threat to Taiwan, sspecially since nothing has happened in the 60 years since the Chinese Civil War, and that China has been drummed up as a scapegoat to all the ills in The West. "Fentanyl? No, the US Healthcare didn't start the opiod crisis, it was China for making the precursors." "It's China fault for stealing American jobs! It had nothing to do with the CEO who chose to outsource everything!" Yeah... The fact that so many people are commenting just shows who effective this ploy might be.

[@jiff2323]

The Chinese navy might be bigger, but the ships that comprise these numbers are questionable. Although they are training, their soldiers haven’t been at war in a long time, and combat experience is not to be underestimated. In addition, China doesn’t really have any “good” friends and busier making enemies from all its neighbours. These are all things to be taken in consideration.

[@j4genius961]

1- In an era of long range missiles that can sink even aircraft carriers I'ld take more ships over bigger ships 2- China literally has more friends than the US aka the global south aka 80% of the planet 3- The US "experience" is the equivalent of a man who thinks that having fought children for years gives him any type of advantage over another grown man, you haven't been in a real conflict for a VERY long time as well...

[@ShirōRockwell]

Their training budget is routinely lost to corruption.

[@vbch1396]

US never takes on the big guys directly. What happens to Urkraine war? Why US never deploy troops on the ground or strike Russia bases directly?

[@jiff2323]

@@j4genius961 1- I think it’s a valid point. Although I’d like to think that technological advantages the US has over the majority of these ships accounts for something. Might it be defence systems or more ships with significant striking capabilities. 2-I’m not entirely sure which allies of importance in a war situation they have. They’ve literally made enemies of most of their neighbouring countries. That being said, I’m all ears. 3-I’m not sure how their at was experience is tantamount to fighting children in this scenario. Having soldiers and command that have experience in a live setting is a pretty big deal. This is true with so many other disciplines. Training can only take you so far. Please enlighten me.

[@spook9018]

3- it’s still a kid with a high caliber weapon to play with.

[@Viviko]

He’d protect it. Taiwan has Chips. Ukraine has nothing of value that mo one else can replace if it were to fall.

[@FireEye-zd4fm]

just trillions worth of oil, gas, coal, ores and minerals...

[@georgegiorgio]

Ukraine is only important to the Bidets

[@jetli740]

protect the chip? but risking ur country destroy? it is worth it? what u going to do with chip when u dont have a city left?

[@Ash-Ketchum-and-Pikachu]

Ukraine is the bread basket of Europe. Ukraine also has loads of untapped resources. They are very important

[@wrestlinganime4life288]

​@@Ash-Ketchum-and-Pikachutheir government is also corrupt while Taiwan has been competent enough to provide crucial semiconductor for the world. Once the War ends are we to believe that Ukraine will become a more democratic less corrupt country?Hopefully yes but we have to wait and see

[@ruZsiaNa-C]

China china china china china china 😂😂😂😂

[@CharlesIsabirye]

😂😂😂

[@CarlBranco]

Excellent perspective

[@meatballevader4640]

The Chinese Criminal Party needs to chill.

[@ronaldjames9404]

that's right china needs to back off of taiwan

[@KaybeCA]

I feel kinda bad for them. For 30 years after Mao, they were liberalizing and, despite ongoing IP theft and currency manipulation, was actually playing nice with the world. Then Xi comes along and they're right back to Mao's ideology ... except with WAY more money now.

[@jetli740]

maybe you fact check - did u seen any china channel talk about war? who should be chill?

[@stevev238]

Or deep freeze...

[@JUAN_OLIVIER]

The US should stay out of this unfinished Chinese civil war.

[@FactStorm]

We all have everything to lose if we fight each other. World peace will never prevail so long as greed, delusion and narcissism reign supreme.

[@Casper-we3dq]

Unless we develop the power to change people’s brains these traits will always exist. All any country can do is ensure that it’s able to protect itself.

[@jiachengwu4185]

Great. Now you want to preach that to Xi?

[@evilwelshman]

I feel the comment about limited stockpiles of HIMARS, 155mm and Stinger munitions is somewhat of limited significance since these are all for land-based systems whilst any US interventions in Taiwan would likely revolve around naval and aerial assets. If China makes landfall and establish a beachhead, with major conflict taking place on land, then it's too late and Taiwan already loses.

[@otrjaymardii8755]

Trump better stand in the way this is why we voted for him we need a bully in the white house

[@JUAN_OLIVIER]

So you voted for WW3 and nuclear war.

[@joesbeard]

ya, good luck with that.

[@SiD19884]

@@JUAN_OLIVIER no. he voted for someone who has the best chance of navigating ww3 and nuclear war. WW3 and Nuclear War WILL happen either way.

[@SengpoSatbang]

Trump wants to make money at the expense of the everyone else. War cost money, he doesn't care...

[@sonneh86]

I don't think he will. He's an isolationist. At best he will raise tariffs. He's never been willing to say he'll defend them, like Biden has. It's also suspicious he wants to undo the imminent ban on TikTok

[@GibranCastillo]

What about the huge economic impact? No winner

[@sebbvell3426]

That's the price of imperialism

[@privacyhelp]

Taiwan's problem is not a world problem. People are already tired with politicians in their own countries, there is no need to care about other countries' corrupt politicians.

[@dcc70]

In my opinion, China would only invade Taiwan militarily as a last resort. Ideally they'd want Taiwan to surrender without a fight. All the military exercises are only meant as intimidation tactics. Judging by the increased chaos in the Taiwan legislature caused by the two opposition parties, China seems to be intensifying efforts to destabilize the Taiwanese government from within.

[@SengpoSatbang]

Exactly. And Taiwan can't declare independence either. Taiwanese president can provoke as much as he can.. but he is the minority in the parliament. In fact the Taiwanese president only gets 42% of the vote. It's just that 2 of the opposition got 34% and 14% respectively. So actually, the Taiwanese parliament is against independence and the Taiwanese president (who prefers independence) is in minority.

[@Joey-ct8bm]

The US was manufacturing cars without navigation systems during COVID because of a shortage of chips from Taiwan. What if Taiwan is gone!? The whole tech sector would collapse. A videocard or computer chip will go for 50k a piece.

[@felixschrider9037]

There are ongoing efforts to build new Semi-conductor facilities in the US, Japan, Lithuania and several other places. Taiwan's geographic monopoly at the very least will end within the next few years.

[@freetolook3727]

We'd have to go back to reading maps! 😂😂😂

[@tellyboy17]

How about building cars that are just cars rather than computers with wheels?

[@rdelrosso1973]

The Ancient Chinese General Sun Tzu, in his Classic Book, "The Art of War", wrote: "It is better to win without fighting." I believe that Xi Jinping thinks he can gradually "wear down" Taiwan and force it to surrender to China, over several years or decades. Having said that, there are two Anniversaries coming up: "2027" - the 100th Anniversary of the Birth of the Chinese Communist Party and the beginning of the Chinese Civil War. "2049". - the 100th Anniversary of the "Victory" of the CCP over the forces of Chiang Kai-Shek's Nationalist China. I put "Victory" in quotes, since, like the Korean War, the Chinese War did not end, as the Nationalist Chinese retreated to Taiwan. Since Xi Jinping seems "to have a thing about Anniversaries", he may want to invade in 2027, since he will not be around in 2049, regardless as to what Sun Tzu wrote.

[@李嘉佳-n9y]

作为一个中国人，我来提出一下我的观点，解释一下中国为什么要反复的提统一台湾的问题。 1.中国以台湾问题来合理化自己扩军的理由，利用维护国家统一的这个理由既能对外也能对内，尤其是对内解释，中国觉得军费太少要求扩军的不在少数，最大原因就是因为台湾还没统一。 2.台湾是中国跟美国摊牌的地方。我个人认为中国真正的目标是破坏美国在亚太的主导，然后将东南亚置于自己的控制范围内。台湾没办法提供中国后续发展的东西，反而会成为负担。首先，美国肯定不会让中国得到台积电，在中国开始进攻以后，美国会第一时间先破坏掉台积电，不会留给中国。其次当没有了台积电，台湾既没有丰富的矿产也没有丰富人力资源，甚至会因为战争，完全成为一个累赘，中国根本不想要一个累赘。中国的目标其实是东南亚，东南亚有庞大的人口，丰富的资源，这也是2016年当时中国海军还很孱弱的时候也要拼死在南海对抗美国的原因。但是台湾也是有它的用处的，那就是中美准备开始全面冲突的时候，那么中国会选台湾作为主战场，因为这个战场离中国最近，可以最大化的使用陆基力量。如果中国围困台湾，那么美国要么袖手旁观，要么与中国在台湾附近开战，而这2点都不算对美国有利。 3.中国的根本目的是跟美国决定后面的世界秩序，如果中国只是想做一个地区强国，早就收复台湾了，请大家想想，近年来中国发展的武器，航母、驱逐舰、5代机、6代机，这些是给台湾准备的吗？攻打台湾根本不需要这些东西，但是对抗美国需要，这才是中国一直提台湾，一直在做军事上的各种准备，但是一直没有统一台湾的原因。

[@VaMoua-b1h]

Agree on some and not on others. The real goal of any great leader or nation is to be the ultimate champion for him, his country and humanity. So I do believe that the Chinese perspective is bigger than everything you said. To be that great champion, one has to be good at everything big or small.

[@iippo06]

The Great Leap Forward wasn't the smartest idea in the world either, but it still happened.

[@SengpoSatbang]

The way Chinese car manufacturing grew from 2% of global share in 2020 to 32% in 2024 was a great idea, and it did happen. Fact of the matter is that the US is collapsing... hence the desperation for war with China. But China is not easily lured now.. By 2030, the Chinese will have the capability to erase the whole US bases in APAC.

[@BatCountryAdventures]

You are referring to something that happened over a lifetime ago?!? You do realise the people who made the decisions back then no longer exist, right?

[@stevenmorris3181]

Three words why China cannot invade Taiwan; Three Gorges Dam

[@SengpoSatbang]

3 words .. dumb as hell.. Attacking Three Gorges Dam would need nukes (the place is too far inland and too well build to be destroyed with conventional bombs). And if you use nukes.. well... no one wins..

[@thatonedudenextdoor7840]

Well the usa has big dams but that didnt Stop them from attacking other countries now, has it?

[@davegibiko8533]

They need to move fast while the US military is still gay. The moment trump takes over it's going to become a deadly force.

[@GeorgeDoughty-m8e]

When China wants to reincorporate Taiwan, they will do it the same way they took Hong Kong back; elections. When Taiwan has elections regarding rejoining China, the votes are close, as in 51-49 close. It won't take much to turn a few votes their way. War is unpredictable and extremely expensive. Buying a few votes is certain and MUCH cheaper. Everyone take a deep breath.

[@gvibration1]

Wouldn't they have been doing that to the max possible all the way along?

[@kurochandog9472]

I am Taiwanese, yes CCP has been trying this for 70 years and they are getting better and better. very concerning indeed and the very realistic situation we have here. KMT is basically a branch of CCP by now. just last year my cousin was recruited as a young entrepreneur and received loads of money from communist Chinese government directly, with a house and a car too, all for free because he is a Taiwanese! of course mainlander gets nothing because there is no strategic value in them and most of them are basically slaves in communist party's point of view. They keep using such an approach to money brain wash younger generations. There is a documentary series rolling out with lots of undercover filming and audio recording that reveals it all. 😢

[@jeffhsu7027]

Exactly when did Taiwan ever hold such a vote?

[@Aleph-alpha]

@@kurochandog9472 Dude, you've watched too much from the DPP side. Same story in China. The kids were taught that the workers were struggling to survive under the exploitation of the capitalists, including you, therefore it's their responsibility to liberate the world. Such things. You find that hilarious? Look at your slave theory, what do you expect? The DPP is only manipulating those who cannot afford to go to China, like the CCP controls those who never travel abroad.

[@gvibration1]

@jeffhsu7027 every election, a significant question and branding of the parties is which is more in line with what China wants.

[@SengpoSatbang]

The best way to avoid war is if the US say it won't protect Taiwan.. Then there will be NO war.

[@oleksandrpobereznichenko4982]

Not sure if China impressed with powerful tweets and deep concerns they might experience in response 😂

[@EpochNewsUS]

Excellent analysis of the complex Taiwan situation. The MAD concept applied to economic interdependence rather than nuclear weapons is particularly insightful. With $690B+ in US-China trade, both nations have too much to lose in a conflict. However, I think the video understates the impact of Trump's unpredictability - while deterrence worked during his first term, his 'America First' stance could significantly shift US-Asia dynamics. What concerns me most is how Japan's hesitancy to get involved could impact early response times. For those working in international trade/business - how are you preparing for potential Taiwan contingencies? The semiconductor supply chain impact alone would be catastrophic.

[@RLIAU]

for your ad, you used footages of Japan instead of Taiwan.

[@PrincelyWan]

No plural in 'footage'.

[@RLIAU]

@@PrincelyWan Is that all you got? LOL

[@jiezhao88]

American people’s tolerance for wars in distant shores are extremely limited when body bags start to come back home. Just have a look at what happened in the recent history.

[@thedumbprogrammer123]

Trip wire troops I guess might help

[@gvibration1]

US has some special forces there now.

[@tplummer217]

Carriers are magnets for hyper sonics.

[@aeophylus]

Like the Oreshnik which China likely to have a similar up its sleeve

[@doujinflip]

Hypersonics are magnets for self-blinding plasma shields, which also serve as a beacon to defending radars. Those missiles require not-so-invulnerable external guidance all the way in unless they slow wayy down.

[@HairLessBush]

​@@doujinflip😂😂 do u understand plasma? It will be the opposite of beacon on radars because the plasma lair that builds up on hypersonic absorbs radar signals which air defense rely on

[@AlexKasper]

I for one support the reunification of Taiwan with West Taiwan.

[@live_free_or_perish]

😉

[@jiachengwu4185]

i.e. restoration of Republic of China

[@davidwong5197]

PRC has no objection. It is called the 92 consensus.

[@Donkeybone10]

You want war?

[@alia4976]

They also have Misawa and Yokota air bases , misawa being north japan close to hokkaido

[@n3clar]

China should remember that Japan, South Korea, India, Indonesia, the Philippines ... are there also

[@FNGstationtwentyeigh]

So with all things considered...doesnt it make sense to bring chip manufacturers back to the US? it would be nice to control our own destiny by not depending on electronics from overseas

[@jetli740]

chip dont belong to you tsmc belong to taiwan.

[@bopndop2347]

You can't just bring a whole industry back unfortunately friend. For one thing, America doesn't have the skilled labour capable of running these factories, and it would take atleast half a generation to train them to be able to

[@randielurbay9221]

"Charmanders first communion" is hands down the best line in this episode whoever wrote that i applaud you

[@prateekbhurkay9376]

Goddamn, now I can't focus on the video, I'm just listening out for this line

[@FactStorm]

Lmao I was wondering the same thing. It's a bizarre liner but amusing

[@prateekbhurkay9376]

I must have missed it. What was the timestamp? ​@@FactStorm

[@prateekbhurkay9376]

18:08

[@randielurbay9221]

@ you a King amongst men. 🫡🥳 happy new year and thanks for the new year treat.

[@liyuanqian9143]

Any country that allows foreign military base on its turf launch attack on a third country is undertaking war on the third country, declared or undeclared. That means all its territories and population are at risk from retaliation. Now, USA is far from East Asia but not Japan and South Korea. The question is not whether they will allow the US to use the bases in JP & SK but whether JP & SK want to declare war on PRC, and serve as sacrificial pawns on behalf of Taiwan and USA.

[@gregparrott]

This is a good presentation. Thumbs up for that. But it missed mentioning two aspects of a war between the U.S. and China. #1) Some articles state that the U.S. Navy would blockade shipping to and from China without their fleet needing to be near China's land based anti-ship missiles. That would quickly cripple China's economy, and exploit their dependence on imports of petroleum, food, and fertilizer. #2) One asset the west insists that China not steal is semiconductor tech, largely developed and financed by western democracies. Preventing that essentially guarantees that an invasion will prompt a war. It also means that were an invasion to succeed, the west would destroy the semiconductor facilities, preventing China from leveraging stolen tech against the west. Construction of semiconductor facilities in the U.S. is part of an 'insurance policy' in case war erupts.

[@JHAJosh]

He also didn't mention: the bases in the Philippines, Guam, Korea, Marshall Islands and the importance of Taiwan's location to the first island chain, second island chain and pacific. He could have mentioned Trump's admiration for Xi a bit more too.

[@gregparrott]

@@JHAJosh True. Good call.

[@MathGPT]

The stalemate of the Ukraine is all the proof you need of how difficult it is to conquer land in modern times. Now add that Taiwan is an island, that is multiplies wealthier and productive per capita

[@doujinflip]

And they've been preparing an elaborate unwelcome mat for the PLA over the past half century.

[@samuellolango9720]

This "stalemate" in Ukraine is precisely because ukraine has received billions in military aid, not because ukraine is some sophisticated military entity, Taiwan is no different.

[@Elbrasch]

19:12 Rheinmetal just announced that they produced 750k 155 shells this year, double that next year. These numbers are pretty unrealistic.

[@ratchet2505]

Why is the a world war 2 tank destroyer on the thumb nail?

[@egg174]

Not gonna happen

[@beerasaurus]

Giving the Chinese military a chance in your evaluation is pretty generous.

[@henry-he3ln]

As long as the red line is not crossed , all predictions are wasted.

[@martinblake2278]

CCP will not invade, reasons are it's too risky. Any invasion of Taiwan would result to the latter declaring independence. China should be willing to lose millions of soldiers just to make any amphibious landing successful. Taiwan can hit critical infrastructure in China easily, like that Three Gorges Dam and many others, and those critical infrastructures are vital to CCP's survivability. China invading Taiwan would result to US and the rest of the free world intervening one way or another. And if Taiwan manages to sink thousands of soldiers below the sea (which is more than likely because of their advance weaponry), it would be more than enough for the US or any other country to send military aid. And lastly, Taiwan is one of those few countries that can create a Nuclear weapon in weeks, they have the technical know how and finances, it would be stupid to think they don't have one already specially when an angry China is right in their doorstep.

[@KaybeCA]

Taiwan's threat to the Three Gorges Dam is WAY overblown. China are not stupid and have surrounded the dam with a metric ton of anti-missile defences. And if for some reason, Taiwan DID manage to blow up the dam, I can guarantee 100% that China would nuke Taiwan so hard, there won't actually be an island left to capture. Cause, let's be frank, the collapse of the Three Gorges Dam would be the equivalent, in terms of economic and population loss, to being hit by many nukes themselves. And Taiwan is nowhere near stupid enough to chance that.

[@jetli740]

you play too many game, thing dont work on how you imagine, taiwan is within their missile range, if war does happen all taiwan airfield and military base be flatten first, then drone come in do the clean up before send in jet troop will be last.... addition will be blockade so no supplied will get through. how long u think taiwan last? dont forget 30% of water is supplied by china through undersea pipe you imagine is too naive

[@HairLessBush]

Mhmm... Delusions. The all the same if not more was said about Ukrainian too look what happened😉

[@formosan9576]

Why Taiwan declare independence? The Republic of China, Taiwan, was established on October 10, 1912. It has long been an independent country.

[@jacobkobald1753]

What China needs to do is absorb 2 or 3 of its neighbours before it makes a move on Taiwan. They have a population problem and resource problem that they should solve first.

[@CARL_093]

the billion dollar question

[@BigKC3]

The map you used got yokosuka wayy off from where it actually is.

[@jeffreybarry64]

''Joe Biden has already done it '' No worries

[@markchang2964]

0:15 governor?

[@Wildsmasher]

yer but the ships move lol 16:35

[@martinketteridge2710]

The Japanese Government is building a huge military since it moved away from being a pacifist nation and it spending a large amount on upgrading the Defence Force. When combined with US forces in Korea and Japan, ROK which has a land border with the PRC's ally DPRK. If PRC takes Taiwan then the whole of East and South East Asia plus practically the whole of the South China Sea will be under their control. This would not be beneficial for the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia and potentially India and Australia. Further, in the event of the US mobilization then the UK, France, Canada and Australia would be under pressure to form a Coalition. I generally like your channel but this appears not to take a lot of factors into consideration. If Taiwan falls the PRC will be emboldened to continue with an expansionist agenda supported by a 'battle hardened' military which will have learned immensely.

[@kennethsalar]

Please make a video for Philippines against China.

[@takuan650]

The world is ruled by psychopaths with access to the red button.

[@songhan1586]

Trump cares about american interest, Taiwan is to critical for him not to defend it and everyone around him will tell him the same

[@Pokemainac]

Peace through strength

[@stanleyhuynh1659]

You missed mentioning Japan have traded with China as well.

[@cappycowan2324]

yall are libs but its a good channel

[@JimastaJ]

If you listen to how they talk about Trump… You would know they aren’t really libs.

[@SengpoSatbang]

The only reason China would attack Taiwan now is if Taiwan declare independence. But Taiwan can't declare independence. The current pro-independent Taiwanese president can provoke as much as he can.. But the Taiwanese president only gets 42% of the vote. It was unfortunate that 2 of the oppositions got 34% and 14% respectively. If Taiwan has 2 rounds of election, Taiwan would have a pro-reunification president. In reality, the Taiwanese parliament is against independence and the Taiwanese president (who prefers independence) is in minority. China will chill till 2030.. And by then, China can easily wiped all the US stinky presence in APAC easily.

[@Hellfr4g]

20:49 11.500/40=287.5 so basically a slow low flying glider...like shaheed with bigger wings and more fuel :D an upgrade to the balloons, very impressive

[@michaelwalsh9881]

as it stands would the USA be able to repel an invasion on taiwan, i don't think they can. yes USA has the stronger military no doubt in my mind but taiwan is just off the coast US navy coming close enough to defend taiwan would be targetable from land in china this would seriously deter USA losing one aircraft carrier would nearly cripple USA civilian support for this fight.

[@ProfessorSprouts]

Ive got 390 RC ships, thus I have the largest navy.

[@forestkane_]

traveling to Taiwan 4:40 (shows japan)

[@nuucha]

I rewinded back two times to verify if I saw it right 😂

[@donhiggins629]

China dont have the balls to mess with trump....and they know it

[@darthmorgoththesecond9990]

China won’t risk it

[@Scorpius1122]

Those aren't mockups in the desert. Those are from the Philadelphia Experiment.

[@danmoreman954]

Why do armchair strategists like the good people at VisualPolitKEN never consider transport and logistics. If a nation wishes to project military power into another country is must be able to (1) transport soldiers and support crews to the target nation and (2) resupply these troops in the field. China will not invade Taiwan for the simple reasons that it lacks the sea lift and air lift capacity to put a million plus man army on the island and it most certainly lacks the ability to resupply an army of that size on the island of Taiwan. For these reasons, China would be monumentally stupid if it attempted an invasion of Taiwan and would most certainly fail.

[@butterfingers5404]

You forgot to mention what will happen if South Korea is thrown into the mix also . China is extremely patient and can wait a little longer. Wait for Russia to fall apart and take a quarter of the country

[@danlawcgst]

... to strike WHAT???

[@dtam7457]

Almost all wars started not according to reason. The life and well-being of his citizens and that of his antagonists are of little/no concern to a dictator, It is just like watching drama unfold from the safety of their palaces, simply entertaining

[@Fischfiletesser]

A chinese Hetzer complete with iron cross in the thumbnail, what Hearts of Iron timeline are we in?

[@erichauch3986]

I'm sorry to contradict you but we're not sending our ammunition to Ukraine that we will use. You need to get your information correct. The ammunition is being sent to Ukraine is older equipment for land operations not the newer ammunition used for Naval operations. The ammunition being sent to Ukraine is old and out of date we would have to destroy it anyways. And no matter how excited you get we're not going to do a land invasion of China, did we forget about nukes?

[@davidwong5197]

LOL 155 is for old equipment? OK

[@Quick-n-eg쿠이크앤이지]

Millionsires don't believe in horoscopes but billionairs do. Let us hope him dodging bullets, being a billionaire, and becoming president twice will line up the stars.

[@delonthomas5049]

One people with the west as the refree it's all about money not humanity

[@ATW090]

from chinese point of view, anything within 2nd island chain should be Chinese inland sea

[@bluskies1000]

No doubt. Taiwan has heavily armed itself, and I expect we would at least resupply it allowing for Taiwan to be able to wage a prolonged war, China's been threatening war and the USA since 2016 has been prepping for possible war and refurbishing Pacific military bases abandoned since WW2, Also China has tried to bully Australia, and IS bullying the Philippines, American allies. I know Australia is expanding it's military as a consequence, and probably the Philippine's are as well.

[@hex1934]

Nothing can be in days. USA would have months notice.

[@jorgeguzman8083]

Why do you cover Japanese popular opinion, but only US president's opinion and not the general population? I really doubt Americans want to give up their lives or risk nuclear war over some lousy island. The US President would need the support of Congress to fight China. It seems likely that the U.S. position is a bluff and the reaction would be similar to Ukraine, where China would be heavily sanctioned by the Western world, become a Pariah state and we would provide extensive military support but not much or any direct military support to Taiwan.

[@freetolook3727]

Nope, it'll be like Ukraine, no troops just arms.

[@jkselama9715]

What is worse than a busybody? A warmongering busybody. Stop meddling where it is none of your business.

[@FirstLast-vr7es]

In a globalized economy, everything is everyone's business.

[@bushidofreakz]

Yet US is increasingly becoming a Protectionist Economy 😂 no more globalized bull crap 😂

[@mrkovash1]

Yeah wish China would stop warmongering

[@richardnebelheim9127]

Is this directed at china or the USA (both would be correct)

[@jkselama9715]

@@FirstLast-vr7es Stop confusing business with others' internal affairs. Better yet, stop using business as an excuse to interfere others' internal affairs.

[@ricardoabh3242]

Taiwan can’t fall… How much will the USA use this to force Taiwan to build more semi conductor fabs in the USA? That’s the question, if they do the same as Ukraine… Taiwan will suffer

[@testuser2709]

A bicycle without wheels is more valuable than a KZbinr shilling for a random eSIM mvno too. I’d be curious if said KZbinr even understands the business of what they’re selling? Credit where it’s due though, an mvno is much less shady than a random vpn provider.

[@toyloonatic]

Looking at the CCP senior brother Russia performing in a land invasion in Ukraine, guess CCP will be having a second thought. Anyway Taiwan issue is currently more like internal turmoil and the traitors that work with CCP is the most concern for Taiwan

[@jeffdriscoll9503]

Misses a number of key aspects. 1. Getting air control over Taiwan will be nearly impossible as shown in the Ukraine war, meaning any chinese ships in the pacific would almost be cut off, toting Japanese and Phillipines islands only 70 miles from Taiwan. 2. Submarines - the pacific one of the deepest oceans off Taiwan would be the play area of US Virginia class subs which would own this area - chinese have nothing and certainly no subs that would compete here. China is some 10 to 20 years off building the submarine fleet to compete, especially given Taiwan is building 8 subs, Japan has 24, Aussie has 6 not including S Korea, Canada, and any Phillipines buy in the future

[@davidwong5197]

Don't matter. Taiwan will surrender in 24 hours. People do not want to fight. NO ONE is joining the combat unit.

[@kadenzzola8119]

Dear American friends I heard that Ticonderoga is retired, maybe ...... Maybe he can come to Taiwan to enjoy his retirement.

[@fee1776]

China has a real estate bubble that is crippling her financial system. The US and EU are decoupling meaning Chinese factories have no customers for their goods. Many factories take gov money, build the products to get credit and dump the products in landfills because they have no export market to sell them. China needs time to replace US/EU market with smaller markets in Latin/South America, Africa, Middle East, rest of nonalign Asia, Russia and Pakistan. Internal security is the CCP biggest problem, and lucky for them the Chinese people rather live under an imperfect gov then risk the chaos of overthrowing the gov because of historical experience. That will hold if the situation of gov corruption and abuse does not get worst in the decades to come. If China stabilizes, she may not fight. The US has one main disadvantage, huge national debt giving them poor PPP compared to China and little production base. If China resolves her financial bubble, restore employment for her factories, restore social stability, she may opt to build the US into collapse. If by 2050, China has 10 large nuclear power aircraft carrier, 100 plus nuclear attack submarines, and all the blue water cruisiers, destroyers and support ships, what will the finances of the US look like if they tried to match China ship for ship as her deficit balloons and her PPP gets worst from inflation? It will be the Cold War in reverse, the US will be like the Soviet Union bankrupting herself trying to keep up with the Chinese buildup,

[@CharlesIsabirye]

Why is it called south china sea and not called south Asian sea tho? China China China China 🤣🤣🤣

[@EamonCoyle]

That is the most nonsense idea you have considered in a while I would say. I appreciate that retaking Taiwan will always be on the agenda of China but they are currently more interested in the South China Sea along with their economy which is having a bit of a nightmare. Anyone who thinks China are not happy to play the long game has no understanding of the country or its people. What is much more important to the CCP is to maintain their control over the country until 2049 and the symbolism of having a 100-year Communist State as a mirror to the so-called 'Century of Shame' that preceded it !!

[@jeremyjackson7429]

After watching the South Korean president's reckless decision to order the arrest of his own party's leader without even consulting his own generals, it might be wise to factor in more unpredictability into your analysis.

[@EamonCoyle]

@@jeremyjackson7429 There are always x-factors, but the stable and steady Chinese leadership are not a rudderless and powerless figurehead. Might be wishful thinking you never know but its how I see it !!

[@borisbadenov8613]

Should the PLA take Taiwan expect your next vehicle to resemble a Studebaker, your mobile phone to weigh 50lbs and your household appliances to be circa 1945. The first thing Beijing will do is to embargo all integrated silicon chips manufactured in Taiwan and the PRC from going to the USA and Europe. Considering that 95% of all IC chips are designed and made in Taiwan and China...

[@doujinflip]

Only made, the designs come from the US and Japan. The making part is getting spread especially back to the US, while the physical sensitivity of chip fabs would quickly destroy its ability to spin up after hostilities end.

[@李嘉佳-n9y]

1.China uses the Taiwan issue to rationalize its military expansion, both externally and internally. There are many within China who argue that the military budget is too low and that expansion is necessary, primarily because Taiwan has not yet been reunified. 2.Taiwan is seen as a place where China can challenge the United States. Some believe that China's true goal is to undermine U.S. dominance in the Asia-Pacific region and bring Southeast Asia under its influence. Taiwan does not offer much for China's continued development; in fact, it could become a burden. The U.S. would likely destroy TSMC rather than let China gain control, and without TSMC, Taiwan has neither rich mineral resources nor a large workforce, and could become a liability due to war. China's real target is Southeast Asia, with its large population and abundant resources, which is why China was willing to confront the U.S. in the South China Sea even when its navy was not as strong in 2016. However, Taiwan has its uses, such as serving as the main battlefield when China and the U.S. are on the brink of full-scale conflict, as it is closest to China and allows for the maximum use of land-based forces. 3.China's fundamental goal is to determine the world order with the United States. If China only wanted to be a regional power, it would have already reunified with Taiwan. Consider the weapons China has been developing in recent years, such as aircraft carriers, destroyers, fifth-generation fighters, and sixth-generation fighters-are these for Taiwan? Attacking Taiwan does not require such weapons, but confronting the United States does, which is why China continues to mention Taiwan and prepare militarily, yet has not reunified.

[@davidwong5197]

You don;t know anything about China. Unification is about ancestry and history. They do not want to destroy Taiwan and they do not want to rebuild either. War will only create hardship. Chinese only want to make money.

[@manwingchi9156]

It's more likely US invade Greenland than China invade Taiwan. US been saying China invade Taiwan every year and every second. 😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@markshalev999]

Dude you need to give trump more respect, it makes you look unprofessional.

[@osark2487]

Seriously VP is asking the question of "would america risk nuclear armagedon over an island that has no strategic significance on the security of the north american continent?"

[@ragnoxis05]

Neither side is using Nukes over Taiwan.

[@doujinflip]

We asked the same question about the same China (🇹🇼) back in the late 1930s, and got our answer at Pearl Harbor.

[@Aleph-alpha]

The question is: will Taiwan declare independency with or without US support? If the US supports, China will not attack Taiwan directly, so the military bases with troops do not make much sense because China will attack US. I'm sure this is what everybody wants, except China and US.

[@samuellolango9720]

China will not attack the US lmao, are you insane?

[@lifefun1987]

we got 6 gen fighter. what u bring to war?

[@canemcave]

well, sooner or later it will happen

[@NickNormane]

Being a US taxpayer is difficult bro