The Market Will Hit A New Bottom By October | Tom McClellan

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Market sentiment is muddled right now.
The bull rally since the start of the year is appearing to sputter out.
The bears are growling louder -- but they too, haven't been able to grab control of the price direction.
In murky times like these, turning to the data & navigating by what it's telling us is often highly useful. Which is why we're fortunate to have one of the best technical analysts in the industry, Tom McClellan, joining us today to share his latest interpretation of the current market action.
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At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world’s top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance.
We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you.
There’s no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead?
Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis.
Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion’s endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth.
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#stocks #investing #fed
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IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.

[@Wealthion]

Lock in the Early Bird price discount (before it expires at midnight on Sunday!) for Wealthion's online conference on March 18, 2023 at wealthion.com/conference

[@thyandyr7369]

I'd love a short crash course or insight to how and why exchange rates do what they do. Why $ and € gets stronger against other currencies, even when they are printing so much, while some other places, like Norway that has zero dept, huge existing and reserved resources, didn't print.

[@wakcackle3555]

Isn't the US Banking system divorcing LIBOR for the younger waifu of SOFR?

[@vincentmurphy9252]

Cycle down rates 1981-2021 2021-2061 up rates ? More or less

[@Lukky_Luke]

Time to have him back, october now and seems to be an new bottom?

[@garrickrumley8784]

Seriously people…it is fucking BONKERS that we get this type of analysis FOR FREE! What a world. Tech has its downsides, but access to information is not one of them. This channel is going to get massive over the next few years.

[@MK-lr7ow]

Agreed. I wonder if he'll talk about HOUSING

[@victorlaranjahal]

My opinion is probably heretic, but I really believe Jerome Powell is working based on reports on inflation figures. We can't really tell what will follow until after the inflation result comes in this February. Meanwhile, historical data have proven time and time again that stocks will always outperform bonds in the long run, so I'm sticking out my guns and I'm remaining in the market. I just need to pick out quality stocks, and I'm good to go. The problem is how to find them.

[@albacus2400BC]

The one effective technique I use is staying in touch with a financial coach for guidance. It might sound basic or generic, but getting in touch with a financial advisor was how I was able to outperform the market during the pandemic and raised a profit of roughly $170k within 3 months of investing.

[@stephenpotter21]

@@albacus2400BC I completely agree, which is why I prefer to delegate daily decision-making to an investing coach. It is difficult for them to underperform given their specialised knowledge and research, as well as the fact that every one of their abilities is geared toward utilising risk for its asymmetrical potential, and mitigating it as a buffer against certain bad turns. I've been working with an investment coach for over two years, and have made over a quarter million dollars.

[@brownkloops2328]

@@stephenpotter21 My port-folio has been performing really poorly lately. I'm looking to change my strategy and use a coach. Can I possibly get in contact with your coach?

[@stephenpotter21]

@@brownkloops2328 Her name is Sharon Louise Count. You could look her up and contact her yourself, if you want. She was a former Merrill Lynch analyst. That was how I got to know her.

[@meyoumicha]

Buy top 10 stocks in VUG and VWILX. Then do same with VB and VIG. Split equally.

[@Rochelletrem]

Putting well-earned money into the stock market can be over emphasized for first-time investors, unlike a bank where interest is sure thing! Well, basically times are uncertain, the market is out of control, and banks are gradually failing. I am working on a ballpark estimate of $5M for retirement, and I have a good 6-figure loaded up for this, could there be any opportunity for a boomer like me? I'm nearly 60.

[@DavidRiggs-dc7jk]

Sincerely it's best to seek an advisor right now, unless you're canny yourself. As a business owner in both the service industry and eBay reseller of all product categories, I can tell you we’re in a deep recession and everyone is running out of money.

[@jeffery_Automotive]

Very true, people downplay advisors role, until burnt by their mistakes. I remember just after my layoff early 2020 amidst covid outbreak, I needed to stay afloat, hence researched for license advisors. Thankfully, I came across someone of practical knowledge, and decades of experience, my stagnant reserve of $325K has yielded nearly $1m after subsequent investments so far.

[@theresahv]

@@jeffery_Automotive That's fascinating. How can I contact your Asset-coach as my portfolio is dwindling?

[@jeffery_Automotive]

My Financial adviser is ‘’JULIE ANNE HOOVER’’ she’s highly qualified and experienced in the financial market. She has extensive knowledge of portfolio diversity and is considered an expert in the field. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market

[@theresahv]

@@jeffery_Automotive Thank you for this tip. It was easy to find your coach. Did my due diligence on her before scheduling a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her resume.

[@DrAlanWeinstein]

Hard to imagine Wealthion can just keep getting better. Great guest!

[@maryconte7140]

This is one of the best interviews I've seen. Thank you for the valuable information!

[@alexyoung3126]

Inflation-hedging is a strategy to protect your wealth from the eroding effects of inflation. By investing in assets that are likely to grow in value in response to inflation, you can ensure that your money retains its purchasing power over time.

[@kimyoung8414]

The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment.

[@oneiljerry9460]

@@kimyoung8414 please who is the consultant that assist you with your investment and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?

[@kimyoung8414]

HEATHER ANN CHRISTENSEN is my coach-look her up. She's a reputable tutor who showed me that profits can be produced in both bull and downturn markets. She talks about investing, insurance, making sure your retirement is well-funded, and searching for methods to create a volatility buffer for investment risk, among other topics.

[@popsmcgee9775]

Wow! I have never been exposed to Tom's work before. What a treat. Thank you, Adam for this treasure trove of information.

[@MK-lr7ow]

Ivy Zelman and Tom McClellan ARE THE BEST GUESTS on this channel. I'll be asking for Tom again!!!

[@alexm06]

Arguably the best interview so far. Thanks Adam and Tom. Great charts with innovative leading indicators to watch out for.

[@RadicallyFRUGAL]

Actually the term GREAT DEPRESSION was coined in the 1870s after the panic of 1873. I discovered it while reading old NEW YORK TIMES articles for research on a 1986 paper studying Kondratiev Waves and Government Debt for Prof Jay W. Forrester . Doug W. Asbury Park NJ

[@Raymondjohn2]

Several of the biggest market experts have been voicing their opinions on exactly how awful they think the next downturn would be, and how far equities may have to go, as recession draws closer and inflation continues well above the Fed's 2% objective. I'm trying to build a portfolio of at least $850k by the time I'm 60, therefore I need suggestions on what investments to make.

[@lipglosskitten2610]

There are many other interesting stocks in many industries that you might follow. You don't have to act on every forecast, so I'll suggest that you work with a financial advisor who can help you choose the best times to purchase and sell the shares or ETFs you want to acquire.

[@hermanramos7092]

I've been in touch with a financial analyst ever since I started my business. Knowing today's culture The challenge is knowing when to purchase or sell when investing in trending stocks, which is pretty simple. On my portfolio, which has grown over $900k in a little over a year, my adviser chooses entry and exit orders.

[@kenanporubsky2122]

@@hermanramos7092 I’m in dire need of guidance so i can salvage my portfolio due to the massive dips and come up with better strategies. How can I reach this advisor?

[@hermanramos7092]

@@kenanporubsky2122 My advisor is ‘’Christine Jane Mclean’’ she’s highly qualified and experienced in the financial market. She has extensive knowledge of portfolio diversity and is considered an expert in the field. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market

[@kenanporubsky2122]

@@hermanramos7092 She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.

[@MK-lr7ow]

This has been a TOP NOTCH interview. His charts were fascinating. What a WEALTHION of information. We are in for some painful times. We are definitely in the 1st inning of a depression. Can't wait to listen to PART 2.

[@MikeVeracity]

Just awesome!

[@1898JoeBoyle]

"Cooling rates coincides with interest rate hike". Yeah OK.....

[@ME-xk6vj]

I could not agree with you more. Compared to the rest of the world American are living a lie. Tens of millions of dollars to athletes for throwing a ball around, billion dollar lotteries, gamblin all over the place. Who has traveled to Africa and other countries to see the abject poverty while we spend 80,000 on a truck or a million dollar on a home and then do whatever we can to avoid paying any taxes. This entire line of thinking is void of reason.

[@michaelmatusa11]

You are knocking it out of the park with these great guests/interviews Adam! Tom has analysis/insights that I have not seen before.

[@derekwfrazier]

Cycles

[@spacewalktraveller1]

Thanks Adam,Tom is one of the better guest you've had on. Most of the guest are just broken clocks that say we are going into a recession, and have been saying that for about 10yrs. Tom has some great charts and he lays out his reasoning in a very logical way. I'll be looking forward to seeing Tom on again.

[@Miranda3730]

For ten years? 🤔

[@alirezashirazifard8990]

One of the best videos i have ever listened to .

[@healthtalk7123]

I really appreciate Tom’s charts. It creates a clear picture of what I hear most guest talk about. But to see the trends over the previous years and how the cycle repeat as well as how events in our history swing with the cycles. I’m so sorry I missed the low rates but know they are going up the next 17 years, I’m looking forward to the falling home, car, and RV prices to off set the higher rates.

[@MK-lr7ow]

Anen to that!

[@CosmicConsiousness]

Crazy times

[@patel21661]

Bond yields are rising while stocks are declining, but the markets are still not sure that the Federal Reserve will stick to its goal to raise interest rates until inflation is under control. What's the best approach to profit from this bad market while I'm still debating whether to liquidate my $117k stock portfolio?

[@anthonybonarte5861]

Focus on two key objectives. First, stay protected by learning when to sell stocks to cut losses and capture profits. Second, prepare to profit when the market turns around.I recommend you seek the guidance a broker or financial advisor.

[@kimboder482]

@@anthonybonarte5861 Having an investment adviser is the best way to go about the market right now, especially for near retirees, I've been in touch with a coach for awhile now mostly cause I lack the depth knowledge and mental fortitude to deal with these recurring market conditions, I nettd over $220K during this dip, that made it clear there's more to the market that we avg joes don't know

[@anniehay]

@@kimboder482 That's impressive! I could really use the expertise of this advisor, my portfolio has been stagnant.... Who’s the person guiding you?

[@kimboder482]

@@anniehay With Lauren Casey Hejl guidance, I've been investing for a while, and I couldn't be happier. Her company offers the broadest financial guidance currently accessible, has given me the best ROI while safeguarding my capital. It never squanders my money on dangerous speculation or poor risk-management techniques.

[@wildwest5056]

Great interview!

[@GM-ke7kf]

Great interview, thank you! Looking forward to part 2.

[@sagitta4291]

Super fascinating interview, one of my favourites so far. Tom is a clever and original thinker.

[@ramyazoury4789]

Informative thank you 🙏

[@jacasadia]

Thank you for the content! Very helpful ideas!

[@FSCtv]

This is a fantastic interview. We appreciate the shout-out and are happy to see that our resources are being used for this excellent analysis!

[@derekwfrazier]

Playing the pivots 2023

[@virajdance]

People! Bow down! *Tom's background*: both his parents were legendary technical analysts before MACD was invented. When Marc Faber of the "Gloom, Boom, Doom Report" calls him an exceptional TA then you read his free newsletter and buy his output. In a personal-first-ever, I'm commenting before even watching the video. Yes, I'm a long-time McClellan fanatic, since the GFC--no, I'm not paid. PLEASE BRING HIM BACK REGULARLY!

[@ronaldbell9469]

Insightful correlation

[@D.S.W.]

Great interview, great episode!!!!!

[@arturl7583]

terrific stuff. one of the best

[@danbfm]

this was a really great interview! thank you adam and Tom.

[@kingdang855]

Great content

[@roberttjostelson3916]

Wow 🔥 information thank you

[@rdiamond655]

I need to subscribe to his newsletter, fantastic information

[@JointStock]

Good analyst and objective too

[@ftmrivas3043]

Outstanding interview 🙏🙏

[@joannahuc1318]

Fascinating interview. I will need to watch it again

[@petsguy1475]

Wow this interview is just great!!

[@barryauguste9734]

Tom McClellan is by far the most insightful, perceptive, erudite, and well- presented guest you have ever had as a guest on your channel. I rarely comment, but this man's wealth of knowledge in the context of 300 years of market history, is quite frankly unparalleled in my 50 years of stock market participation. Phenomenal guest, I can't wait to watch the second half. Thank you Wealthion!!

[@DE-hd4dv]

Great stuff! Took me forever to get through because I had to study the charts and rewind a lot. Thanks for such a great interview. I learned a ton. Please have Tom McClellan on again soon.

[@oneiljerry9460]

The stock market is currently experiencing a decline while bond yields are on the rise. However, there seems to be skepticism amongst investors regarding the Federal Reserve's plan to continue increasing interest rates until inflation is stabilized. As for myself, I find myself at a crossroads, uncertain whether to liquidate my $250,000 stock portfolio. I'm seeking advice on the best strategy to capitalize on this current bear market.

[@alexyoung3126]

Investing in stocks can be a wise decision, especially if you have a reliable trading system that can lead you to fruitful days of success.

[@lawerencemiller9720]

It's understandable that the current mass hysteria and panic are palpable. After all, we're not used to dealing with troubled markets. However, as you rightly pointed out, there are options available if you know where to look. Personally, I've been able to make a profit of over $850k in the last 10 months. It wasn't a complicated strategy that I used, I just knew that I needed a reliable and robust approach to navigate these trying times. That's why I hired a portfolio advisor.

[@johnlennon232]

That's fascinating. How can I contact your Asset-coach as my portfolio is dwindling?

[@lawerencemiller9720]

My advisor is ‘’Eileen Ruth Sparks’’ she’s highly qualified and experienced in the financial market. She has extensive knowledge of portfolio diversity and is considered an expert in the field. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.

[@johnlennon232]

Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find her webpage, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

[@Mrcool12684]

Hands down coolest guy I’ve seen on here! I love cool historical stuff

[@waltanderson606]

Super great report! have him back in June/July.

[@trader0007]

A great interview.....thanks

[@ew4593]

What a fascinating presentation! Thank you. Adam, it would be good to bring Tom in 6 weeks or so. Thank you

[@brianlaporte7499]

Awesome information! Rough times ahead

[@vaughnmcguire5214]

Incredible interview!

[@mauriz8120]

Great interview

[@daviddeveloper44]

liking video for the effort seen in the charts and quality info

[@patclark4663]

Wonderful interview.

[@bruce7992]

Just Excellent. I am a huge fan of TM. Thanks for having him.

[@linger2001]

Adam you continue to knock it out of the park with your guest line up. Great show

[@unitedrivercapital3122]

Really good - thank you.

[@1898JoeBoyle]

Lost me at "global cooling rates cooincides with interst rate". Not disagreeing with the idea of challenging climate change doctrine we hear...but correlation doesn't mean causation.

[@michaelakerman7609]

Look up medieval interest rates and the little ice age.

[@armel-davidwolff3339]

correlation (if true) would be enough for an investment strategy, i bet we don't need causation here...

[@giantessmaria]

thanks Adam, love this stuff! could you please have Tom on like every day?😃🙃

[@the8thgable]

Excellent. What a smart man. Can't wait to watch Part 2. 👍

[@larrymaler7234]

Tom and his slides were wonderful.

[@dailydoseofnews4828]

rarely comment but this was a good one. This dude made a great argument

[@ChildOfAsura]

Adam, I've only listened to a quarter of this vid before writing this &... WOW! I love you & Lance's session and Stephanie.... but this one... is you best one EVER! 😱🥰 Learn SO MUCH!

[@scottkann3554]

that was excellent

[@rightangletriangle3188]

Great video! Agree this year will be a good year for traders.

[@isdept2539]

Excellent show of charts by Tom.

[@amg_0302]

These correlations are fascinating. The McClellan Summation Index is one of my favorite indicators.

[@sensenisok]

Amazing guest !!

[@damienmills293]

Amazing !!

[@michaelpetrus19]

Interesting...........thank you

[@jminter]

one of the best episodes

[@kanoa53]

Thank you, this was a fascinating, logical, and insightful presentation.

[@priscillasilverhouse3]

Tom is a diamond in the rough!! What fantastic research. His website is going to get overwhelmed! Thank you Adam. I'm signing up w Tom. Bring him back ASAP!!

[@36MMunoz]

Great video Sir!! Amazing work... Wealthion is a top notch company and channel!

[@gail19651]

Thanks!

[@saba7856]

This is a perfect video, thanks

[@johnminichielli8957]

Tom showed us in his charts why interest rates will rise for the next 40 years and then he inadvertently told us why they can't ever rise as long as the current debt-money system is in place. As Japan found out 30 years ago, rates above zero will be the doom of federal governments worldwide because of the staggering amount of debt they have accumulated. Central banks will be forced to keep rates as low as possible or the entire monetary system will implode under the ever-increasing debt.

[@jimmalloy7279]

What do they do when inflation spirals out of control? They'll print spend and the US Govt will pay huge interest to the Fed which will give them the money back after they pay their expenses. They will push modern monetary theory to the limit until a collapse from runaway inflation...

[@johnminichielli8957]

@@jimmalloy7279 Milton Friedman famously said: “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon, in the sense that it is and can be produced only by a more rapid increase in the quantity of money than in output.” If you believe this to be true and know that the money supply is now collapsing faster than just about anytime in the country's history, Inflation will not be a problem for much longer.

[@jimmalloy7279]

@@johnminichielli8957 Inflation may well moderate and it may turn to deflation and panic. I agree with Milton F. but it's not a straight line, there are other factors that cause fluctuation. Money is but a medium of exchange, and draconian regulations, outright govt control, and emotions come into play. Many ppl believe we'll see a whip saw effect. If there is a big downturn they'll use their "tools" again, no doubt, and it's then the Keynesian rotten fruit will come to its fruition of runaway inflation. Our situation gets more precarious with each cycle of their irresponsibility, implementing erroneous theories.

[@guyalan64]

@@johnminichielli8957 Thank you for the excellent and timely Friedman reminder. 10-30 year Treasury rates in this scenario?

[@wonderwalk1210]

Great interview and charts! Thanks

[@RetiredSignDude]

Great interview w/ an intelligent man. A nice change from your "The Sky is falling. Short the Sky" motiff. Nicely balanced with a broad view.

[@marcobiagioni]

Phenomenal indeed

[@DjmMik]

Very interesting interview Adam!

[@dinobazianos7985]

Amazing content

[@wapphigh5250]

Mathematically modelling is just that. Modelling. It is applying mathematical formulae using known variables. The trouble is when it is applied to unknown variables .(And the stock market has an unlimited number of potential variables that effect outcome..including the big one: psychology). It is all very well to apply mathematics to what has happened in the past. It is another thing entirely to use it to "project and predict the future". At a given point in time (the present) all TA graphs halt to a stop. There is no way mathematics can predict what happens the next day, let alone months/years ahead with unknown variables *not* in the model. This applies to every model ever written. Applied in every field. Not unless *every* variable is "known". Just MO

[@ct1659]

Another outstanding show!

[@johnbirman5840]

Much to masticate over. Quite a plateful! You are such a tease Adam.

[@marcusw9894]

This was an absolutely phenomenal episode! Thanks for all that you do.

[@CosmicConsiousness]

Holy sheet. This is golden information.

[@lotuseletre8724]

fascinating especially in regards to the cycles in relation to climate change

[@trevorwaldon7115]

I loved this interview and seeing new info, please keep him on your future guest list.

[@mullerk2]

Excellent guest and content. The voice of reason based on sound analysis of the facts. Totally missing on the floor of the NYSE. Thank you, Adam, for having him on.

[@AuntPeggy1019]

This is a very interesting, intelligent gentleman, and great backstory. Thanks to both of you.

[@4URinfinite]

Loved this practical and insightful interview with Tom, best in recent times. Looking forward to hearing from him in the near future. Thanks Adam.

[@Bluesman1965]

Wow! What a great example of Data interpretation and how it will effect the future. Great Job One of the best I have ever watched!

[@jameskuhlman319]

Great interview. Thanks Adam for the quality of your interviewees.

[@not_crazy_at_all]

This guy is next level. Thank you both for great discussion.

[@nexttimeism]

OUCH! I think Tom s/b the Fed chair, what a video. Think I'll be checking under my bed from now on, scared the you know what outta me.

[@jayao9758]

The 30 year mortgage went 7.1 today, not talked about much. I'm seeing Nextdoor light up with complaints from folks with buyer's remorse......people that threw big money at junk properties recently. End of the bubble

[@surfspearlift8675]

Wow - how good was that! Your interviews just keep getting better Adam! And Ship of Gold in the deep blue sea is one of my all time favourite books!

[@calglider13]

I went searching for the McClellan oscillator mentioned in the video. there are like 10 or more McClellan oscillators? which one or ones do you use??? Thanks, I am glad I found your channel.

[@HybridHunterBC]

Fascinating guest

[@clyde3730]

Excellent show! Thank you 🙏🏻 This gentleman has spectacular data and extremely similar to Simon Hunt .

[@ATOM_MORENO]

Toms oscillators are awesome

[@bibibachmd9995]

Very interesting presentation. I actually use the McClellan summation index as an indicator. Nice to see the guy closely associated with this.

[@FRYEGS6]

GOD LORD HAVE MERCY, THIS IS ONE OF THE BEST PRESENTATIONS I HAVE SEEN, HANDS DOWN.

[@Hooch737]

Man talk about a flashback. When I was young, my job was to fetch the Barrons from the mailbox and help my MIT PhD father start plotting! Flight Plan! Thanks for bringing back that memory CWO👍🏻

[@matthewterry3555]

Great data and even better presentation to tie it all together. I don't understand the mechanics of climate change and interest rates, though. Shouldn't a cooling period increase prices for food since supply is less but demand stays constant?