Neil Howe: A 'Very Challenging' Time For Preserving Wealth Lies Ahead

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Wealthion

Wealthion

Күн бұрын

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Respected demographer and New York Times best-selling author Neil Howe returns for Part 2 of our interview with him discussing the key themes of his new book "The Fourth Turning Is Here", in which he forecasts a future of economic recession, inflation, volatility and instability in the financial markets.
Here in Part 2, Neil focuses on what to expect from the new saeculum that will emerge from the turmoil of the current Fourth Turning we're living through right now. What reforms, social norms and economic models will the new future be built on?
To watch Part 1 of our interview with Neil, go to: • Neil Howe: Crisis Loom...
To follow Neil's work, go to: www.fourthturning.com/
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There’s no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead?
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Пікірлер: 314
@kevinschneider8639
@kevinschneider8639 10 ай бұрын
Adam, as a suggestion, bring Neil back and spend more time on wealth preservation during this crisis of 4th turning. I live in Midwest so we already live everyday close to family and friends helping one another in times of crisis , as we never lost "real world relationships". However, most of us Midwest folks have our parents or grandparents stories of economic destruction during last 4th turning.. so please focus on wealth preservation during next interview with Neil.
@marxamillion5576
@marxamillion5576 10 ай бұрын
Whenever anyone says for the greater good, RUN!
@l.a.mottern3106
@l.a.mottern3106 10 ай бұрын
Yes. The Term has been hijacked.
@tuckerbugeater
@tuckerbugeater 10 ай бұрын
Neil wants you to die for the 4th Industrial Revolution
@DSMentzer1
@DSMentzer1 10 ай бұрын
The leader we need may not be the leader we think we want…
@aHumanMaybe
@aHumanMaybe 10 ай бұрын
i want him, sir. think how fashionable we'd look.
@peterwilson9327
@peterwilson9327 10 ай бұрын
Hitler promised to fix Germany after WWI and so they elected him. Idiots are here again. Echo.😮
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf 10 ай бұрын
how do you mean
@theStacyJames
@theStacyJames 9 ай бұрын
Always the case
@Steven_Will
@Steven_Will 9 ай бұрын
Xi Jinping?
@kavorkafanstar
@kavorkafanstar 10 ай бұрын
The first big red flag is that Howe never addresses what he got wrong in the 4th Turning from 1998. Though I believe in the saeculum, that we are in the 4th turning, and that Howe & Strauss got many things correct, I believe he is now blinded and cherry picking to fit his belief system. Thinking that FOMO is generational community oriented is absurd. The same with YOLO. Millennials are far from "group" oriented and socially altruistic. They're the generation of the "selfie" and YOLO and FOMO makes for a selfish society. Furthermore, not once does he take into account godlessness which is the foundation of our selfishness and the unraveling of our national unity. Having hardship in common isn't enough. We live in an increasingly Tower of Babel society. "The new world of freedom and science doesn't offer what purpose souls really need." From Father Zosima in The Brothers Karamazov by Dostoevsky. New rights have been created over time but we can't create new morals; they remain the same since the before the writing of Gilgamesh. Howe also underestimates and seems to disregard the effect of technology on Millenials; let alone the decreasing of beta waves and susceptibility to propaganda in constant alpha wave states. Things are far worse than he knows. Tyranny is growing, coming, and that would end the current saeculum(s) as we know them (from Anglo-American history).
@vetteluvnh
@vetteluvnh 7 ай бұрын
Wow. Thank you for some great insight!
@alli4236
@alli4236 10 ай бұрын
One of the scary things about this is that the "younger" generations are already in their 30s with little hope for a rewarding career, home and many without new families. Even if you could decide not to spend away their future at this point, a good portion of it has already been spent and many are not well equipped for leading. I see Gen X who are similar to Millenials but had already entered and gotten established in the job market prior to the crash leading the way.
@emailsender7139
@emailsender7139 10 ай бұрын
That's b.s. Get to work! They all expect to start at top pay grade, work from home, and dictate other terms.
@johnbirman5840
@johnbirman5840 10 ай бұрын
@@emailsender7139 Agree. It’s never since I came into the “workforce” in ‘76 to be Successful and SHINE! What do I mean by that? Show Up! Learn how do to your work. And ....Actually .... Do It! Sheesh. It’s not rocket science to look, and be ... Great! As a Head Chef for 45 years, it ain’t that hard!
@maplenook
@maplenook 10 ай бұрын
We are nothing like millennials
@alli4236
@alli4236 10 ай бұрын
@@emailsender7139 Lol. I have one full time, and one part time job and am earning my PhD and supporting a family (and working from home!). My pay is a little above industry standard. That said, most of my millenial friends work 2-3 jobs with liberal arts BA and MA degrees that their parents encouraged them to get and are barely getting by. My Zoomer coworkers have tons of side jobs and a very bleak outlook on the future with tons of anxiety and little hope. It is easy to blame lack of success on an individual as lazy, fragile, or entitled but when you have this happening in mass its time to look in the mirror and wonder what economic factors may have been at play in favor of you and your growth vs the generation you were supposed to raise (if you are a boomer).
@alli4236
@alli4236 10 ай бұрын
That said, all very young people tend to have an over idealized outlook on what they "know" or what they might make at their first job (and tend to spend their money on stupid stuff if they do not live in a war zone). The problem is, concretely society has severely economically disadvantaged large numbers of the population we all need to have taken their place in society and ensured the next generation by now. A course correction is needed on the macro yesterday.
@johnbirman5840
@johnbirman5840 10 ай бұрын
I think the most honest comment I’ve heard from a 25 year old was: “My generation is just waiting for yours to die, then we’re going to fix the world” After I picked up my jaw, I said: “By the time I’m dead, you’re going to be about my age. Why don’t you start “fixing the world” now?”
@dwest5993
@dwest5993 10 ай бұрын
Politics is where the money is! Look at how wealthy our elected officials are becoming.
@jonEmontana
@jonEmontana 10 ай бұрын
No kidding. I always tell smart young people that if they want to make big $, have a great job security, be able to fail upward and ok with living in DC area, politics or govt work is #1 opportunity in the country. Just have to willing to not care about we the people and be willing to sell your soul to the highest bidder.
@josephcohen9480
@josephcohen9480 10 ай бұрын
Could've summed these 2 hrs up in 3 words. Move to Thailand. Worked out great for Mark Faber. 😅
@curtisbush8098
@curtisbush8098 10 ай бұрын
Fascinating discussion and really look forward to Neil's return. If possible, I'd love to hear him discuss the role of energy (and access to cheaper energy) as a dimension in previous turnings and how availability to fossil energy could impact how the fourth plays out. There is increasing awareness to social and economic challenges as Limits to Growth (and similar frameworks) and I'd be curious how demographics overlap the trajectory of our use of finite resources. Thanks again for a great discussion!
@mattanderson6672
@mattanderson6672 10 ай бұрын
John comes into his own fair play! You guys do great work! Thank you for helping to educate us! Really appreciate it!
@patrickmcguire8565
@patrickmcguire8565 10 ай бұрын
As you can tell I listen/watch almost all of your interviews. Without fail all are brilliant. One small constructive criticism is that sometimes your guests use terrible microphones. So I have to turn the sound up when they speak but then have turn it down when you speak. Slightly annoying!
@almor2445
@almor2445 10 ай бұрын
As gen x we've felt helpless and ignored the whole of our lives. First we were controlled by the boomers who never seem to retire and now the more numerous millennials are the ones in charge. What was our role? All of the deep thinkers I know are gen x but no one listens to us.
@pfeilspitze
@pfeilspitze 10 ай бұрын
Zeihan talks a bunch about this. Boomers and Millennials are both *larger* generations than Xers, so Xers will tend to be outvoted. Your time is now, though, to start taking the reins of things as all the boomers are *finally* retiring. (Now we just need to get them to retire from political office too...)
@hughmorris3359
@hughmorris3359 10 ай бұрын
We do tend to get caught in Cassandra complex, where we are not listened to. Maybe it is the X'ers time to shine and bring a better future to the next generations. I think it has to start with stripping some of the wealth from the boomers. They have had all the benefits, the tax breaks, the best opportunities. Time for them to help future generations and not be remembered as the generation who blew it all on self interest. I am in Australia and saw how the boomers voted down the removal of tax benefits like negative gearing and capital gains discounts, it was pure self interest.
@MarkShinnick
@MarkShinnick 10 ай бұрын
Excellent Topic, thanks.
@jetstream3528
@jetstream3528 10 ай бұрын
I get your point but.....boomers spent the last 20 years rebuilding retirement funds from criminal banks and stock holding companies adventures that nobody was prosecuted over. Today we are taken advantage of by the real threat to the working poor and people dedicated to fairness......Blackroc , Vanquard and state sleet
@alli4236
@alli4236 10 ай бұрын
Come to the dark side and become one of us ;) Or, Gen X always seemed like the cooler slightly older ones with all the stuff. There are large numbers of folks needing direction from the more experienced and think many Millenials and Gen Z want mentors and need to grow in competency and opportunity in their fields.
@heidihelo5773
@heidihelo5773 10 ай бұрын
You had me at "Bad Batch". You summed it up.😮
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf 10 ай бұрын
whos the bad batch
@terranceramirez4816
@terranceramirez4816 10 ай бұрын
@@wasdwasdedsfwe millennials are the bad batch because we don’t want the cleansing, cathartic, unifying nuclear war with Russia and/or China that Howe and the other neocons seem to be lusting for
@larry9700
@larry9700 10 ай бұрын
He seems optimistic about the younger generations' "community" mindset, which has ominous socialistic undertones. Socialism in the US only leads to destruction and misery. Hopefully the younglings will focus on correcting the corporatism that is currently infecting capitalism, restoring some degree of balance to capital and labor.
@alli4236
@alli4236 10 ай бұрын
I sadly agree with you. Right now the common perception of what went wrong is "capitalism" and not corporate monopoly power hand in hand with big government.
@larry9700
@larry9700 10 ай бұрын
@@StormKingLand Good luck with that, as your government taxes you to death to pay for people who refuse to work. Or, perhaps you are one who refuses to work? Cooperation is essential for any society's success, but reducing everyone to the lowest possible outcome does not equal success. Regarding Star Trek, are you old school or next gen? Would socialism allow Kirk to have his cabin in the Sierras or Picard to have his vinyard in France? The answer is no....
@Tidnull
@Tidnull 10 ай бұрын
As a millenial I see decentralized communities forming out of necessity, working toward energy and water independence through small self governing neighborhoods that rely less and less on imports for sustenance. Again this will be out of necessity as globalism becomes obsolete and undesirable.
@larry9700
@larry9700 10 ай бұрын
@@Tidnull sounds inflationary, but that is what the necessary de-globalization will bring, inflation. My kids are mid-millennials, I’m gen-x, and I, like most I suppose, am beyond concerned about the fiscal dumpster fire the Fed and our incompetent politicians have delivered us. Good luck out there!
@alli4236
@alli4236 10 ай бұрын
@@StormKingLand As someone wearing her Star Trek shirt right this second, Star Trek economics is not well thought out and cooperation is not antithetical to capitalism. It is to monopoly power. Now, this advice will only cost you 5 Starfleet credits. Cheers!
@23drcharles
@23drcharles 10 ай бұрын
According to the new book, The Bubble that Broke the Bank, we are facing a triple alignment of financial disaster: The real estate crisis, the credit cycle crash, and distressed properties. These three crashes will be the basis of the financial foundations of the fourth turning. This will surpass the 2008 real estate crash.
@l.a.mottern3106
@l.a.mottern3106 10 ай бұрын
The "Turnings" may be lengthening out, because generations have been living longer and remaining engaged.
@jabscher6468
@jabscher6468 10 ай бұрын
Great commentary on leadership. Fascinating narrative with an interesting smattering of historical and literary references. All in support of a narrative, of course, but one to which I subscribe. I can only hope that folks watching recognize the gravity of comments about "collateral damage" and just how severe the pain from such events will be. Let's not lose sight of literally millions of lives lost in past 4th turnings. Great leaders like Lincoln and Churchill oversaw mass destruction and human misery.
@REASONFORTRUTH
@REASONFORTRUTH 10 ай бұрын
SUPER GREAT EPISODE! He should be one of your go to people to round out your for group as he brings the key perspective and expertise that rounds out the financial.
@DanKohan
@DanKohan 10 ай бұрын
Just like in history, when things get hard, someone often steps up to guide us through. YES. Nice video!
@steveareeno65
@steveareeno65 8 ай бұрын
I'm a conservative but when I think of someone who could be that type of great leader for the fourth turning, I think of someone like RFK Jr. The more I listen to that guy talk the more I like him. He seems so non-partisan and it actually feels like he genuinely cares about the state of our nation and the people in it. Not only that, he never gets baited into trash talking but stays focused on the course ahead, on the issues that really matter to the majority of Americans. I don't necessarily mean that "he's the guy" but I imagine it would be someone like him.
@chriskenney4377
@chriskenney4377 10 ай бұрын
Neill Howe and (i apologize I've forgotten his fellow author) have accomplished great scholarship. However, his ability to prognosticate leaves a lot to be admired. I don't think history is determinist. What one generation does over another has to be much more nuanced that he suggests. I see the trend, but great actors either come from a deep understanding of the human condition, or become tyrants. I know that Neil understands this, but I 'suggest more nuance to the future. Just a thought - beware the coming of the brown/black shirts.
@JoeBlow-nh7mp
@JoeBlow-nh7mp 10 ай бұрын
They could be wearing red hats or rainbow shirts... time will tell, but one thing for sure is that the good guys don't push their ideologies on any one. People should be free to adopt them as they see fit. The problem with 4th turning is that they can end in tragedies or genocides as we have seen so many times in past human history.
@marxamillion5576
@marxamillion5576 10 ай бұрын
Whenever I hear him, I realize what a tragedy it is that Bill Strauss has passed.
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf 10 ай бұрын
@@JoeBlow-nh7mp indeed! the side who had the country stolen, provenly, by a vegetable authoritarian regime, and protested aroudn the capitol with only them being casualties by the state, with ZERO guns found, could DEFINITELY be coming tyrants...
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf 10 ай бұрын
@@JoeBlow-nh7mp i hope youre clear theres only one of those sides pushing their will an ideologies on the other... and its probably the one cheering for locking down the country for 2 years over a cough virus, and trying to push a batch of rushed untested chemicals onto their popluation under threat of force... while at one time 40 to 50% being in favor of locking up people if they didnt take it, or having their children taken from them
@mannyg923
@mannyg923 10 ай бұрын
TRUE QUALITY LEADERSHIP INVOLVES INTEGRITY.
@biden-putin-stalin
@biden-putin-stalin 10 ай бұрын
The benefit in all of the future prognosticators out there is that they can point out where things are likely to go if you don't do something to stop or change it. Humans are very good about seeing problems that are coming and acting to prevent that thing from happening. So, often what may happen never does.
@hill2750
@hill2750 10 ай бұрын
Can anyone help me understand his views on resources and bonds. From what I understand gold bottomed in 6/1920, then really jumped right after 12/1929, then topped in 4/1934 then fell till 11/1970. Bond Yields as far as I can see from the Moody's Aaa bond history graph, bottomed in 1900, then topped in 1920, then bottomed in 1946. So if we are in a 4th turning like the one before and during WWII, then shouldn't we expect bond yields to go down? Or is he expecting bond yields to go down, bond prices to go up, but bond price appreciation to be eclipsed by money printing?
@mobilecivilian6124
@mobilecivilian6124 10 ай бұрын
I think 2024 is gonna be the year the shots heard round the world.
@Nicehousecrappycar
@Nicehousecrappycar 10 ай бұрын
I have Zero doubt that Neil has read each one of those books.
@WJdad
@WJdad 10 ай бұрын
What the heck? Hey @Wealthion - my phone seems to have autonomously reported your content. I’m listening on an old iPhone 6 that is strictly used and an iPod. When the battery is low, it skips ahead on content. So, my apologies. Not sure how to undo that.
@suzanneperlmutter6031
@suzanneperlmutter6031 10 ай бұрын
He's great! He's got the right ideas....
@dennislam4956
@dennislam4956 10 ай бұрын
Close to being the most captivating interview I've heard on this channel. It was very insightful and provides a lot of historical context ... plenty food for thought.
@jakewinslow4121
@jakewinslow4121 10 ай бұрын
Please make the next chat between these two 9:00:00
@carltonmcgee8878
@carltonmcgee8878 10 ай бұрын
Leaders are here, I’m the 2023 recipient of the Outstanding Leadership Award for Contributions in Ed and Learning and I’m on the shortlist of candidates for the Outstanding Visionaries Award, to be conferred in Dubai. Unfortunately we’re not packaged to fit the imagery based on the perceptions of what true leadership looks like-true leadership produces results. Todays leaders are authors of our own narratives. As Emerson writes, you don’t have to tell who you are because what you are speaks so loudly that I can’t even hear you. Peace.
@LadyF71
@LadyF71 10 ай бұрын
Congratulations! and good luck on the Outstanding Visionaries award 😊
@feelnrite
@feelnrite 10 ай бұрын
The time to sell is not yet but will be soon. We have more upside first but be ready when it turns. It will happen fast.
@DegenerateSpeculator
@DegenerateSpeculator 10 ай бұрын
Yield curve close to steepening. I wouldn't be hanging around much longer
@alohastateofmind3565
@alohastateofmind3565 10 ай бұрын
@@DegenerateSpeculator Crystal balls of steel
@emphyrio
@emphyrio 10 ай бұрын
Audiobook?? Great! Hopefully with a better microphone 🎤
@foodmonsterweightloss5886
@foodmonsterweightloss5886 10 ай бұрын
It would seem the real value of Niel's work is to get US to think along the lines that generaltional attitudes track with the Kondrative economic cycle. As to the timing, we need to look elsewhere - perhaps our own insights? Personally I think "feel" we are close to the most dramatic times where all hell breaks loose. All the fundamentals scream recession/depression yet it seems monsterous liquidity keeps the market and economy afloat. What will it take to empty the larder of liquidity. A new all time high in the markets with FOMO emptying pockets? Those few famous lines are appropriate here: "Slowly at first then all at once." "There are decades where nothing happens, then decades happen in a few months."
@cw0420
@cw0420 10 ай бұрын
Just one more conversation to cause further division through generations rather than race, politics, class, sex (insert your preferred dividing term here). It's division that assures that the few in power will remain in power and they are sleeping well. The day the majority sees past the division tactics and begins to focus on those propagating it will be the day the powerful panic. It's closer than they think.
@tuckerbugeater
@tuckerbugeater 10 ай бұрын
Well the division is caused by quite a conflict of value
@charlesburggraf3142
@charlesburggraf3142 10 ай бұрын
Does anyone know more about the book Neil was refering to at about 25 minutes in? I can't find anything about it online.
@Wealthion
@Wealthion 10 ай бұрын
www.amazon.com/Fourth-Turning-Here-Seasons-History/dp/1982173734/ref=asc_df_1982173734/?tag=hyprod-20&linkCode=df0&hvadid=598290856792&hvpos=&hvnetw=g&hvrand=12458916280728567995&hvpone=&hvptwo=&hvqmt=&hvdev=c&hvdvcmdl=&hvlocint=&hvlocphy=9032360&hvtargid=pla-1868549492049&psc=1
@johnrubino7604
@johnrubino7604 10 ай бұрын
Should have fixed the camera. Kinda hard to follow half a head.
@Biztalkcontrolcenter
@Biztalkcontrolcenter 10 ай бұрын
same
@MrMarccj
@MrMarccj 10 ай бұрын
The audio version is really well done, nicely paced. Nice job Neil!
@johngaltman
@johngaltman 10 ай бұрын
He uses the word nation, which we used to be a true nation, we are now multiple nations as all empires eventually become, and which is also what tear them apart as each of those nations want different things for their different peoples.
@Notrocketscience101
@Notrocketscience101 10 ай бұрын
He wrote this book in 1998, that was 25 years ago. I’ll leave people on here salivating over his advice. have no idea how little he knows. I learned my lesson over 40 years ago when Douglas M Casey wrote his ridiculous paper back on the coming. Great depression. 1982! It was actually the single best time in all of American history to buy stocks.😂
@tuckerbugeater
@tuckerbugeater 10 ай бұрын
Well the crisis is clearly happening the question is how it will play out. But I'm sure people like Neil have already prepared the rich to respond to this crisis that's why they release the bio weapon
@Announcement2024
@Announcement2024 10 ай бұрын
The stock market is a complex system that is influenced by a variety of factors, including economic indicators, political events, and global trends. The relationship between policies and the stock market can be complex and multifaceted, and it can take time for the full effects of policies to be reflected in market trends. Therefore, it is possible that policies implemented in the past may have a "lagged effect" on the stock market, as their full impact may not be felt until later on.
@waynetodd3620
@waynetodd3620 10 ай бұрын
During a fourth turning just how bad is good...??? in the long run - Is a Nuclear War just the right amount of social adjustment ??? Because we just might find out this time we go too far - So understanding a fourth turning can help, but will we look back on this one and say I am glad I went through it !!! economic collapse, nuclear war, and political collapse, famine, pole shift and loss of the world wide electrical grid...take your pick. If you aren't prepping by now good luck you will not get through this fourth turning ( they are not always the same).
@kyleinpa5285
@kyleinpa5285 10 ай бұрын
Is Neil suggesting that we SHOULD become less individualistic, or just that it is what he is predicting will happen?
@kyleinpa5285
@kyleinpa5285 10 ай бұрын
I don’t know how he can lump all Millennials into one group and say we are all community oriented. I care about myself, my family, and my friends. I don’t want my taxes to pay for some lazy pieces of $hit that live 2,000 miles away.
@l.a.mottern3106
@l.a.mottern3106 10 ай бұрын
Everybody will find their own Tribe.
@Aledo_Bearcats
@Aledo_Bearcats 10 ай бұрын
@@l.a.mottern3106 Boomers are incapable of sharing their brokerage accounts.
@timdieckman2162
@timdieckman2162 10 ай бұрын
He hints we should all join the BORG, in a non confrontational way. Henry Kissinger, say what?An Apologist for the world economic forum
@IvyANguyen
@IvyANguyen 10 ай бұрын
@@l.a.mottern3106 Didn't that happen in the most recent 3T (1980s/90s)?
@shangao3596
@shangao3596 10 ай бұрын
A great interview! Can you please add Neil's Substack link if you have it? Cheers
@vincentmurphy9252
@vincentmurphy9252 10 ай бұрын
What’s missing is freedom of speech and no one seems to care-
@gchekibed2099
@gchekibed2099 10 ай бұрын
Strapped to the train, just along for the ride.
@leonie563
@leonie563 10 ай бұрын
Great points about Seniors. Govts have only planned aged pensions till 65/70 but are paying out into 100+. It's probably time we leave pension at 80 and self funded after that...
@cdorcey1735
@cdorcey1735 10 ай бұрын
One reason that the older generations did things together was because they lived in smaller houses, so "home" was a place to rest between going out with friends for entertainment. What could you do at home, besides eat, sleep, and listen to radio. But TV gave people more entertainment at home, and homes got built larger and larger so family members weren't tripping over each other. And now we have KZbin, which is far more informative and entertaining than TV, and smaller families. Many of us can even work from home (without working together with other members of the household).
@alli4236
@alli4236 10 ай бұрын
Go further back in time and people earned a living from their homes. Homes were the center for economic opportunity. It would be interesting to see if some of the work from home trend ironically brings us back to an earlier period in some respects.
@peterlance3989
@peterlance3989 10 ай бұрын
I can't help but to wonder if Howe has ever actually met a Millenial in the flesh.
@tuckerbugeater
@tuckerbugeater 10 ай бұрын
He invented the term and now he's obsessed with his predictions coming true
@MarvelousOldWorld
@MarvelousOldWorld 10 ай бұрын
Here’s what perplexes me.. the 4th turning giving rise to the 1st. The Yuga cycle has the Iron Age yielding to a new Bronze Age, then silver and THEN a Golden Age. It’s a long crawl out of the depths, rather than a pinnacle of civilization arising overnight from chaos and barbarism. But then again, God works in mysterious ways…
@jaretolson3022
@jaretolson3022 10 ай бұрын
Was just listening to Martin Armstrong, roughly the same time frame. You bring up government and civic duty. This should much like a direct democracy.
@SCOTT-ki3ve
@SCOTT-ki3ve 10 ай бұрын
Last time we had a depression, then a world war. If it's gonna END around 2033...brace for impact
@tuckerbugeater
@tuckerbugeater 10 ай бұрын
Just die for feminism and the next Generation to enjoy life
@GK123
@GK123 8 ай бұрын
1929 and 1939-45 are equivalent to 2008 and 2020-2022. Already happened for the most part
@ANGELCRYPT0
@ANGELCRYPT0 10 ай бұрын
Start stacking sats before it's too late.
@JackTheMusical
@JackTheMusical 10 ай бұрын
So can we expect a Capex boom as money looks back inward and populism surges?
@RalphPrescott
@RalphPrescott 10 ай бұрын
Adam, Pons & Fleischman reported room temperature ("cold") fusion not a superconductor.
@Wealthion
@Wealthion 10 ай бұрын
You're correct. I misspoke. I was confusing two different papers I wrote in my high school science class
@RalphPrescott
@RalphPrescott 10 ай бұрын
FWIW, I'm just a tad bit older and I wrote one on inertial containment fusion being close to commercial use.
@maryfreeman2917
@maryfreeman2917 10 ай бұрын
I have two millennials. Worried for sure.
@williamhoffer9277
@williamhoffer9277 10 ай бұрын
The good thing for America, as long as they are able to maintain their political three tiered structure, someone will step up and lead the nation back on track.
@thomasotoole3212
@thomasotoole3212 10 ай бұрын
I wish I could put my finger on what the take away is from Howe and this drag on and on analysis.. It’s prepare for rough waters ahead, economically speaking.. Same.. Same.. Hunt, Snider, Henry, Rogers, Van Metre, etc..
@tuckerbugeater
@tuckerbugeater 10 ай бұрын
All I get from these speakers is that they want to put fear into you and make you accept what is inevitable
@virgilkirschner5717
@virgilkirschner5717 10 ай бұрын
Let's talk solutions
@pavementstoneguy
@pavementstoneguy 10 ай бұрын
Repeal the 19th Amendment and replace the current monetary system. Good luck getting elected with that platform though lol
@gchekibed2099
@gchekibed2099 10 ай бұрын
Yes, all solutions too painful. So they won't happen. Instead a catastrophic blow up, and then more manipulation until it's all out of control. Then a reset because nothing is left to manipulate.
@GigiEmbrechts
@GigiEmbrechts 10 ай бұрын
No lobbying and term limits
@frankrusso2093
@frankrusso2093 10 ай бұрын
@@pavementstoneguy For sure but the 17th is key and much easier to digest and sell.
@alli4236
@alli4236 10 ай бұрын
Start with breaking up the monopolys, severely limit gov subsidies, do sadly let the fake economy crumble by not artificially injecting it with more cash and raising interest rates (will affect more people like me negatively at first), and make industrial start up easier and mom and pop business start up easier with fewer regulations on them? Would actually love some critiques here. These are my brainstorming weeks.
@curious8836
@curious8836 10 ай бұрын
Increasing competition over increasingly scarce resources along with downward demographic trend - quite paradoxical, since per capita resource availability should effectively rise. Means that more and more would be hogged by fewer and fewer....can't sustain, come what may.
@gregorydemaine8853
@gregorydemaine8853 10 ай бұрын
The world, as always, is changing... and this time from some huge metrics already on our doorstep. The big ones being the permanent demographic decline in population and the influence of some very powerful technologies. These changes are unstoppable and... that's a good thing anyway. The only problem humanity has, is the inability for our stupid leaders to even see these changes that are before us, let alone put in place a 10-20 year, globally coordinated, transitional plan to embrace these changes... all without war or any other human suffering. And this is because we do not yet have real Democracy; it hasn't been put into practice yet. In reality, all countries are under some sort of dictatorship. Only when we have a real democracy, where we can be governed by the collective brilliance of all people, will we have law, order and clever governance.
@thesolitaryadventurer
@thesolitaryadventurer 10 ай бұрын
💯
@terranceramirez4816
@terranceramirez4816 10 ай бұрын
Only when we have a real democracy, where we can be governed by a majority of wolves who have a hankering for grilled lamb chops,... FTFY
@ronaldjohnson5894
@ronaldjohnson5894 10 ай бұрын
I wish Neil would go on Rohan so that so many more will be exposed to the turnings.
@JackTheMusical
@JackTheMusical 10 ай бұрын
I was like "who's Rohan" then I realised you meant Rogan.
@ericharrison4583
@ericharrison4583 10 ай бұрын
A decline of quality of the governance lol. Little late for that
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf 10 ай бұрын
you have one illegitimate old folks home patient who cant finish asentance, screaming like a certain mustache guy in front of a red white house, that the other side is the most extreme movement in the history of the country, and them being a threat to democracy... with the whole side making comments alongside of calling them domestic ter|s... and you have them now actively prosecuting their opposition for counts that equates to hundreds of years in prison, with ZERO basis or evidence put forward
@brianabare7515
@brianabare7515 10 ай бұрын
As a Boomer I feel like filing a defamation lawsuit 😂
@zoreyaswain1133
@zoreyaswain1133 10 ай бұрын
The jury will be filled of 14 people who dislike you. Good luck.
@vaniaandrade9671
@vaniaandrade9671 9 ай бұрын
X Gen here and we are here to help the best we can... Every generation is important! Boomer's had good and bad characteristics... Some mistakes were made and good things came about for us all... You didn't know the future as we don't know our future either... Stay safe and be proud of your contribution to the world!
@edbehan1306
@edbehan1306 10 ай бұрын
Does the fourth turning only happen in America
@Markbazzle1
@Markbazzle1 10 ай бұрын
Mr. Howe gives a nice account of, and some historical evidence for his generational theory, but I have always had a problem with the idea of assigning group status to children who are being born on a flat time curve, not a lumpy one. Obviously the Boomers represent a bubble in population growth in America, but otherwise children are born at a steady rate, pretty much. Therefore anyone attempting to cluster the population into separate groups has a problem - where do I draw my (let’s face it, arbitrary) line to separate one generation from the next? We can see that therefore the choice must be a fairly subjective one, since, as I said, objectively the population / date curve is pretty smooth. I believe in cycles in the weather and in real estate prices and a lot of other measurable groups, but the theory of generational characteristics is not one of those, is it?
@Cruelaid
@Cruelaid 10 ай бұрын
Nihao ✌🏼
@StormKingLand
@StormKingLand 10 ай бұрын
I'm from the US. This dude is way too US centric
@SCOTT-ki3ve
@SCOTT-ki3ve 10 ай бұрын
Our upcoming presidential election tells us Mr Howe is right. It's TIME
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf 10 ай бұрын
its time for what? what does the upcoing presidential elections tell you? you have one illegitimate old folks home patient who cant finish asentance, screaming like a certain mustache guy in front of a red white house, that the other side is the most extreme movement in the history of the country, and them being a threat to democracy... with the whole side making comments alongside of calling them domestic ter|s... and you have them now actively prosecuting their opposition for counts that equates to hundreds of years in prison, with ZERO basis or evidence put forward so i guess you mean that its time to vote them out
@mikeb7436
@mikeb7436 10 ай бұрын
I interview RFK Jr. You’ll find it very interesting.
@jimmaag4274
@jimmaag4274 9 ай бұрын
This makes me think of Vivek Ramaswamy
@cantstoptherf7999
@cantstoptherf7999 10 ай бұрын
The "young" have no idea they are the lineage of a subjugated people. It will be nigh impossible for them to build.
@aaron159r2
@aaron159r2 10 ай бұрын
This is a very developed narrative. But, a narrative nonetheless. I'm not convinced any of his pontification informs us on what's coming next.
@tuckerbugeater
@tuckerbugeater 10 ай бұрын
Well the crisis is already here that's why they caused the great financial collapse did 9/11 and release the pandemic they will control you
@debrat3105
@debrat3105 10 ай бұрын
Not sure what to make of some of what Neil says. Sounds like he might be saying conformity, groupthink, obedience to authority, is the future? Are millennials creative and tough enough to lead? You have to be able to tolerate adversity. I don’t know. I hope they can reconnect with reality, be open to wisdom, and tougher skinned. You can be all this and still be kind, generous, and wise.
@kenzeng2
@kenzeng2 10 ай бұрын
Gold and SPY starts to diverge. SPY August down 15%. Gold outperforms SPY in coming months.
@josegonsales4110
@josegonsales4110 9 ай бұрын
I don't get it. What's "the greater good", a republic or democracy?😮
@merlinwizard1000
@merlinwizard1000 10 ай бұрын
6th, 4 August 2023
@snuiverink1234
@snuiverink1234 10 ай бұрын
Same story like 2022 just keep repeating it...
@petercape2331
@petercape2331 10 ай бұрын
Photo fit
@krzysztofflis1847
@krzysztofflis1847 9 ай бұрын
@ChatGPT-xm7xs
@ChatGPT-xm7xs 10 ай бұрын
Bring back Mike Preston and New Harbor Financial. Let’s hear more about Mike Preston’s S&P500 3200 by 3Q 2023 prediction.
@wilfhigginson465
@wilfhigginson465 10 ай бұрын
The Soviet Union lasted over 80 years, I get we want to optimistic; but let’s get real if there was any near term hope we never would have got ourselves in this place in the first place.
@jorgesoto7640
@jorgesoto7640 10 ай бұрын
I think its a good time to be young if there's a work crunch and low work force for alot of industries, if your a lets say young person getting into the trades or what ever , if everyone your age is going to school and old people are retiring its a perfect time to be a skilled worker . Peter zeihan is really optimistic about it , idk the world will look very different in the future but north America will be fine , specially if the conservatives win the culture war . So its not the end of world just most of it lol
@rickfifield6033
@rickfifield6033 10 ай бұрын
2
@HS-PGA
@HS-PGA 10 ай бұрын
Xers and Xennials need to position themselves as sources of wisdom and guidance for the next generation . Millenials haven’t gone through the traditional learning structures X got to but are being forced into positions of management and leadership without having the experience to back it . Xers just have to melt a little of their colder exterior of every body’s wrong approach and take a educational/coach / mentor approach despite yes I know we all had to do it ourselves . 😂
@wpelfeta
@wpelfeta 10 ай бұрын
I think automation will take care of the demographic shift economically. The problem will be that it will only further concentrate wealth via the capitalism snowball. As a country, we will have to address the wealth inequality and potential unemployment somehow. I'm not sure if I have an answer for it, but I think it will be the biggest issue we will need to face in the coming decades.
@nick83nyc
@nick83nyc 10 ай бұрын
AI and robots don’t pay taxes and are not consumers……..
@richdilorenzo8145
@richdilorenzo8145 10 ай бұрын
So two years as a congressman for Abe. Two years for K. Harris as well. So you are saying their's a CHANCE???
@rsollecito5947
@rsollecito5947 10 ай бұрын
If the institutions will be in charge, does that mean a socialistic or communistic society?
@frankrusso2093
@frankrusso2093 10 ай бұрын
When Oppenheimer killed Mars, we started to lose it.
@lanab4103
@lanab4103 10 ай бұрын
Look for a "great" leader to come forward straight from the books of Daniel and Revelation
@MickeyDonald
@MickeyDonald 10 ай бұрын
8:30 Certainly. Ramaswamy 2024.
@boomser911
@boomser911 10 ай бұрын
Hahahahah
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf 10 ай бұрын
@@boomser911 argument
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf 10 ай бұрын
@@boomser911 name one problem with him. asside from not proclaiming how the 2020 was obviously a complete frau of an electi
@boomser911
@boomser911 10 ай бұрын
He's an Indian Hindu with "Judeo-Christian" values. Clearly a weak gatekeeper. He won't go very far.
@aasifazimabadi786
@aasifazimabadi786 10 ай бұрын
A lot of these things are inverted. Modernity encourages barbarism and genocide through industrialization, nationalism, and totalitarian ideologies that cast the traditions of the past aside. Similarly, social media is actually promotes antisocial behaviour, when we view it through the prism of modernity. We think we are connecting to other people, and that might happen to some extent, but we do it at the expense of REAL, meaningful relations. As Rene Guenon said, we are living in a reign of a quantity. Only the numbers of things being produced go up. The actual quality of living, when we stop thinking like economists and scientists but actual philosophers, has gone down. That's the overall trajectory of this world as we get closer and closer to the end times, Kali Yuga, Qayamat, whatever you want to call it.
@JohnDoe69X
@JohnDoe69X 10 ай бұрын
Being a leftist, it's no surprise that this guy envisions a future (First Turning) that is more "inclusive" and "equitable". Everyone interprets the world through the prism of their ideology.
@Mrcool12684
@Mrcool12684 10 ай бұрын
Is this one a repeat
@dkvikingkd233
@dkvikingkd233 10 ай бұрын
Kissinger is a horrible person imo!
@debrat3105
@debrat3105 10 ай бұрын
I was surprised the way he talked about him. But, cannot deny that he’s a sharp politician. He was born 1923 - greatest generation? But did not serve, I don’t believe, like so many did then - sacrificed. He also didn’t marry until his 50s if I got the math right.
@bennygutierrez6184
@bennygutierrez6184 10 ай бұрын
@4:44 Mexican-Americans today still fell the vestiges and discrimination that happened after the Mexican- American War. Rights and privileges agreed upon by the Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo are not honored , as usual.
@michaeldonnellan8630
@michaeldonnellan8630 10 ай бұрын
Theodore Roosevelt was supporter of ethnic questions. You get what you pay for
@k.c.wingert7179
@k.c.wingert7179 10 ай бұрын
We get the leadership we deserve. Look what the liberals did the Clarence Thomas and Brett Kavanaugh. Then we will wonder why good leaders won't want to step forward for those types of positions. The same could be said of the lawmakers and President. It's a circuis.
@BigFattyNat
@BigFattyNat 10 ай бұрын
the new leaders are out there, but yall arnt rdy for who they are. most people arnt rdy to know. lets just say they share some specific opinions w General Patton
@l.a.mottern3106
@l.a.mottern3106 10 ай бұрын
Techno-Fascist Corporatism must be eliminated or you will not have anything near what the Founders & Constitution articulated for the country. You will not have the country you were promised, paying for, or worth living in.
@RyanMoran6
@RyanMoran6 10 ай бұрын
Did Neil just say the US wasnt committed enough to Mid East nation building and thats why we failed in Iraq and Afghanistan unlike Germany and Japan. We were in Afghanistan for 20 years. How much blood and treasure does Neil think we should have spent?
@marxamillion5576
@marxamillion5576 10 ай бұрын
Sorry, inspiration and innovation are not what come of collectivism
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