Why Aaron Judge Would Be Better with Robo-Umps

  Рет қаралды 137,954

Foolish Bailey

Foolish Bailey

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 323
@RockiesCanada
@RockiesCanada 3 жыл бұрын
I really like these types of videos. This and the Derek Jeter presentation video both really feel like they could've been fully fleshed out Baseball Bits, but they just didn't make the cut. The chill, relaxed low-production value of your Foolish Bailey videos doesn't really hurt the effect and the impact of the statistics either. I really like the narrative-driven Baseball Bits for when there's a twist or something betrays expectations, but these videos are fantastic as well and I don't want you to be discouraged on making these if another concept doesn't make the cut.
@Welcometotheclipshow
@Welcometotheclipshow 3 жыл бұрын
Good take right here
@matthew01234
@matthew01234 3 жыл бұрын
I think he should just make everything like baseball bits. I don't care how long it takes. If Bailey has to spend 24 hours a day to slave away and spend the rest of his life only communicating to us in baseball bits format that's exactly what I expect. Anything else is a disappoinment. Think about it. If he spent 24 hours a day making baseball bits for the rest of his life we might be able to get a few every week. He could stop sleeping, insert a feeding tube so he doesn't have to eat and just sit in a bedpan so he won't need bathroom breaks. That's what he should do.
@hypetrained
@hypetrained 3 жыл бұрын
another banger comment from famed internet savant machcharge
@RockiesCanada
@RockiesCanada 3 жыл бұрын
@@hypetrained Am I famed? Lol I rarely comment but thank you lol
@hypetrained
@hypetrained 3 жыл бұрын
@@RockiesCanada rockies fan always W
@jzk0517
@jzk0517 3 жыл бұрын
Joey from da bronx gonna love this one
@bakedtortilla3338
@bakedtortilla3338 3 жыл бұрын
RE2PECT
@jzk0517
@jzk0517 3 жыл бұрын
@@bakedtortilla3338 RINGSSSS 💍💍💍💍💍
@Thomas-eo6vs
@Thomas-eo6vs 3 жыл бұрын
I’d trade Frazier (RIP) and Andujar for robo-umps
@chernandez212331
@chernandez212331 3 жыл бұрын
@@jzk0517 RINGZZZZZ*
@RecardoGuillermo
@RecardoGuillermo 3 жыл бұрын
My name is Joe and I’m not from the Bronx, but I am from NY. Does that count?
@brianc4695
@brianc4695 3 жыл бұрын
New rule per the 2022 CBA: all MLB players must be 6'2" and use the same batting stance to avoid this problem
@FrshChees91
@FrshChees91 3 жыл бұрын
Me: Yes, give me robo umps to buff Aaron Judge! Bailey: Atuve is getting screwed too Me: We should learn to live without the aid of artificial intelligence in fear it may conquer us one day
@bmac4
@bmac4 3 жыл бұрын
I thought it was shown that Altuve wasnt even really a beneficiary of the trash cans though
@gotgt500
@gotgt500 3 жыл бұрын
My one fear about having robo umps is that it will take away managers arguing with the real umps which is honestly one of my favorite things about baseball
@luuk3731
@luuk3731 3 жыл бұрын
@@bmac4 Yes, I heard that he REFUSED to use any tricks that told him pitches because he thought cheating was bad.
@mbdg6810
@mbdg6810 3 жыл бұрын
@@gotgt500 they still have human umps on the field in the leagues using the robo-umps tho, so maybe you don't miss out
@jyjjy7
@jyjjy7 3 жыл бұрын
Judge ended at -29, Altuve -19, the good outweighs the evil yet you would prefer Angel Hernandez, the devil in disguise. Is this not proof that we should welcome our robot overlords, for they shall save us from ourselves? To be honest it seems kinda clear in retrospect that humanity jumped the shark, probably actually right around when that episode of Happy Days that the phrase is from came out, and at this point things are getting a bit embarrassing.
@ericlawson1378
@ericlawson1378 3 жыл бұрын
The other aspect to consider, and I'm not sure how you'd quantify this, is the pitches below the zone that Judge takes swings at because he knows if he doesn't swing it will be called a strike anyway. Not sure how you'd differentiate between him swinging to stay alive vs being fooled though.
@ccjl9160
@ccjl9160 3 жыл бұрын
It'd be tough. I just looked at it myself and Judge swings at pitches in Bailey's given zone 6.6% of the time - roughly equal to league average. Feel like the only way to know is if you sat down with Judge himself and looked at the film.
@momdidntloveme8955
@momdidntloveme8955 3 жыл бұрын
Good point, I know for sure Altuve takes a swing at a ton of balls that are super high, but again that's also just bc the dude can get a hit on any pitch so it might be confidence more than protecting
@jyjjy7
@jyjjy7 3 жыл бұрын
Actually one of the frustrating things about what's being discussed in the video is that Judge actually *doesn't* seem to adjust for it and consistently just accepts the bad calls rather than going outside of his zone and swinging at bad pitches. This is the right thing to do but it makes all the bad calls even more egregious as it should be a known thing by now as well as that Judge has a very good eye, so that they are still doing this to him to this level after all these years is unacceptable.
@sergeynazaro1768
@sergeynazaro1768 2 жыл бұрын
@@jyjjy7 my guy it’s the MLB these guys are throwing nasty pitches. It’s not that easy is Triple AAA rep ball we talking about the MLB here man
@pablogutierrez5767
@pablogutierrez5767 3 жыл бұрын
some could even go as far as to say Judge is taller than Altuve and Tony Kemp
@SadMarinersFan
@SadMarinersFan 3 жыл бұрын
You're probably right, but I need to see some data to back that up.
@cantguardmelo
@cantguardmelo 3 жыл бұрын
I doubt that dude.
@pablogutierrez5767
@pablogutierrez5767 3 жыл бұрын
@@SadMarinersFan I'm sorry but I don't abide by those liberal "analytics" standards, I have these things called eyes😤😤😤👌🏼
@FoolishBailey
@FoolishBailey 3 жыл бұрын
source?
@pablogutierrez5767
@pablogutierrez5767 3 жыл бұрын
@@FoolishBailey GarySanchezRBW and Bob Nightengale ofc
@Welcometotheclipshow
@Welcometotheclipshow 3 жыл бұрын
Took me too long to realize the music in the background was Christmas Music. “Last Christmas I gave you my heart...this year I’ll give it to someone special” - accurately describes my gradual increase in viewership to Bailey as compared to other baseball KZbinrs this year
@danielkent6082
@danielkent6082 3 жыл бұрын
Yeah I was watching the video and at one point was like "...wait is that Last Christmas?" lol. It really distracted me for a bit and I had to rewind a couple minutes haha
@SadMarinersFan
@SadMarinersFan 3 жыл бұрын
I do believe that if Aaron Judge wants to be a good baseball player he should simply become shorter.
@jonathanzuckerberg8850
@jonathanzuckerberg8850 3 жыл бұрын
He should get shorter when the pitch is coming in low and taller when it's coming in high
@TheChexMix
@TheChexMix 3 жыл бұрын
if judge wants to be the highest paid position player in baseball he has to become 6’1 by next year
@realMal1c3
@realMal1c3 2 жыл бұрын
All else being equal, one would rather be tall when playing baseball than shorter.
@tyj6081
@tyj6081 3 жыл бұрын
This is such a fun video, it’s like a little behind the scenes baseball bits. I would love more in-depth stats like this on players in fleshed out videos, gives me something to be excited to watch during lockout season. THE YEAR OF OHTANI BAYBAY
@zachrobinson4324
@zachrobinson4324 3 жыл бұрын
Aaron Judge should simply become shorter in order to avoid getting calls below the zone.
@desynthed
@desynthed 3 жыл бұрын
Incredible he hasn't thought of this yet
@bradwhiteuk
@bradwhiteuk 3 жыл бұрын
Did you apply for the Yankees Hitting Coach vacancy? 😂
@Verlisify
@Verlisify 3 жыл бұрын
12:06 Even the overlay doesn't make any sense. The top of the zone is at his belt???????
@hairyfroglegs
@hairyfroglegs 3 жыл бұрын
Wow, stat cast is incredible. I had no idea about all these zones and pulling up actual pitches. Thank you for the strike zone visuals. I’m not actually a baseball watcher and they really helped me understand what you meant.
@Mayrink.
@Mayrink. 3 жыл бұрын
An edited "quick version" of this video could be a pretty convincing and shareable argument for the whole baseball community. Good stuff, Bailey.
@sergeynazaro1768
@sergeynazaro1768 2 жыл бұрын
Yes then they watch this lol
@samphilo5035
@samphilo5035 3 жыл бұрын
THANK YOU, those calls below his knees are an everyday occurrence. Crazy he has the composure to never get ejected too
@maxwhite3583
@maxwhite3583 3 жыл бұрын
Really great video and analysis. An interesting thing I found while digging through more data on Judge and Altuve is the difference in their swing rates. Judge swings at 42% of low pitches and 62.6% of high ones, while Altuve swings at 66.8% of low pitches and 53.3% of high pitches. This is compared to MLB averages of 53.5% and 56.2% for low and high pitches respectively. Judge's swing rates make sense, he hits considerably better on high pitches than low, so he should logically swing at more high pitches to increase his productivity, but Altuve's are perplexing. Altuve has a higher OBP and wOBA on high pitches compared to low pitches, but swings at low pitches ~14% more than high ones. Why is this? Especially with the results shown in the video, Altuve should take more low pitches, since he gets more favorable calls and hits worse there, while increasing his swing rate on high pitches, where he hits better and is less likely to get a called strike if he takes. If anyone has an explanation it would be much appreciated.
@adamrodak6612
@adamrodak6612 3 жыл бұрын
Glad you brought up these stats. I imagine he's swinging so much more often at low pitches because many are breaking balls/changeups. I'd be curious to know the whiff rate/barrel on his low vs. high pitches, I imagine it's much better on high.
@sergeynazaro1768
@sergeynazaro1768 2 жыл бұрын
Interesting!
@RogerRabbitShowdown
@RogerRabbitShowdown 3 жыл бұрын
Hi Bailey, I'm wondering where you got these pictures of these players I've never heard of before? If I go on the team rosters I don't see any of these people??
@FoolishBailey
@FoolishBailey 3 жыл бұрын
I made them all up. It's fiction.
@RogerRabbitShowdown
@RogerRabbitShowdown 3 жыл бұрын
@@FoolishBailey I knew it
@jacksonvelez7106
@jacksonvelez7106 3 жыл бұрын
@@RogerRabbitShowdown foolish Bailey likes to make his own OC characters. No ones really that tall or short, but it’s a fun idea!
@sneersh9107
@sneersh9107 3 жыл бұрын
@@jacksonvelez7106 This "Altuve" guy would have to be a dwarf to be that short. Dwarves? I don't believe they exist.
@TheBlank8234
@TheBlank8234 3 жыл бұрын
16:57 No harm done, but for MOST people who have it, that's not how red-green colorblindness works. We can tell the difference between red and green, its the differentiating between colors that are shades of red or shades of green that becomes difficult. Things like a forest or a sunset might have less variety or vibrancy of colors compared to people who don't have red-green colorblindness. Colorblindness is vastly misunderstood and experienced in many different ways, so no fault lol.
@PTFVBVB
@PTFVBVB 3 жыл бұрын
I think some of the best parts of this video isn't the final analysis, but the time spent going over how to use the tools to their best ability and how information found can lead you to look into more stuff. Great stuff as always Bailey!
@bonsun4186
@bonsun4186 3 жыл бұрын
Glad you posted cause now I’ll have something to listen to while I’m at work tonight. Kinda podcast-esque
@WarrenFranceSportsNetwork
@WarrenFranceSportsNetwork 3 жыл бұрын
Watch it every game as a Yankees fan. He and Giancarlo get some of the most ridiculous strike calls and then they press and swing at stupid pitches. The low and away strikes are outrageous
@babyalamo2222
@babyalamo2222 3 жыл бұрын
Appreciate the shout out to us red green colorblind folk nobody else ever thinks of us 🙏
@bartonallenlewis6012
@bartonallenlewis6012 3 жыл бұрын
Lovin' the really chill lo-fi "Last Christmas." sabermetrics + Wham! is such a vibe
@nicholasdileonardi328
@nicholasdileonardi328 3 жыл бұрын
love this vid and the lofi hip hop radio - beats to study/discuss strike zones to
@johnwillis4319
@johnwillis4319 3 жыл бұрын
It would be interesting to see if there is a correlation between good hitters and called strikes. I feel like it’s possible that umps have an unintentional bias that forces them to give tougher calls against better hitters. Might be a comparison of ops+ or wrc+ vs strikes called outside the zone. Although even if the bias existed it could also be a sample size issue b/c of pitchers being more likely to pitch around good hitters as opposed to going right at worse hitters. I should probably just go do the comparison myself, but I am very lazy.
@stefanmaste
@stefanmaste 3 жыл бұрын
Thats exactly what i was thinking. Someone has to make up the bad decisions Judge and Altuve get to get back to League Average, but is this done mostly by good or bad hitters or just random, i don't know and i feel like there could be arguments to both sides. I think it could be very interesting to see if robo-umps would probably the good average sized hitter or bad average sized hitter.
@len9518
@len9518 3 жыл бұрын
Absolutely. Prime example was Ted Williams. If he didn't swing, the ump would call a ball, if there was any doubt.
@burningphoneix
@burningphoneix 3 жыл бұрын
@@len9518 Wasn't that story about Hornsby?
@baileylupo3156
@baileylupo3156 2 жыл бұрын
@@stefanmaste if you think about it altuve and judge are your regression to the mean for each other. Judge gets more ball calls at the top of the zone and more strikes at the bottom while altuve does the opposite (more strikes at top of zone and more balls at the bottom)
@danielgoldstein150
@danielgoldstein150 3 жыл бұрын
excellent video - love the way you analyze baseball! It's always really interesting, and I'm consistenly impressed with your ability to measure things that I wouldn't think to measure in the game!
@dougtyas9701
@dougtyas9701 3 жыл бұрын
I would love to see a video showing this with the top 10 tallest and shortest players who meet a plate appearance threshold. Would give us a much larger sample size.
@sampson5324
@sampson5324 3 жыл бұрын
The Altuve reveal was hilarious, great video
@iobjection
@iobjection 3 жыл бұрын
Socks and their consequences have been disastrous for home plate umpiring
@chargerman426
@chargerman426 3 жыл бұрын
Great background music on this video and very interesting content. Prob the best Foolish Bailey vid yet.
@zeelofps6474
@zeelofps6474 2 жыл бұрын
I traveled from Twitter to type this comment…. Well Done! 👌🏽👌🏽 I don’t think the average baseball fan is aware of such an issue and you broke it down with all of the necessary information to 1) making it sound like your not just some Aaron Judge fanboy 2) that you’ve been seeing the same thing happening and have the education and courage to put this information out there!💪🏽 Baseball 10,000% needs StatCast-Umps and I forecast that it’ll start being implemented in the next season or two, with how many EGREGIOUS calls are being dealt out this season. There is ZERO CHANCE the commissioners and board members don’t see what everyone tweets, posts or comments on. Well done mate!🔥🔥
@trentonbossert4576
@trentonbossert4576 3 жыл бұрын
This is a great video. I could listen to you talk about missed strike calls for hours
@AndThatsBaseball
@AndThatsBaseball 3 жыл бұрын
I showed this to my uncle Joey and he was really enjoying it until you started defending that cheater Alt*ve. For the last 40 minutes, Uncle Joey has been ranting about how Altuve will never hold a candle to legendary second basemen like Chuck Knoblauch. Thanks a lot, Bailey.
@FoolishBailey
@FoolishBailey 3 жыл бұрын
Spending another Christmas in da Bronx?
@AndThatsBaseball
@AndThatsBaseball 3 жыл бұрын
@@FoolishBailey of course, it ain’t Christmas if it ain’t in da Bronx
@Roysorb
@Roysorb 3 жыл бұрын
Bailey: if your baseball brain works like mine your next question is... Me: If there were robo umps would Adam Dunn be in the 500 home run club? Bailey: Altuve short short. Me: Oh...
@returnofthesacc
@returnofthesacc 3 жыл бұрын
Banger soundtrack, banger video. happy holidays Bailey
@michaelwelch1472
@michaelwelch1472 3 жыл бұрын
I really love this channel because it’s the reverse of many “second channels”. In baseball bits you’re more sincere and here you play a more over the top character.
@King_Immanuel
@King_Immanuel 3 жыл бұрын
But Bailey what if the robot umps take over the world and then start making bad calls like the human umps
@kleshreen
@kleshreen 3 жыл бұрын
Last Christmas, I gave you my heart, the very next day, you put out another fire video
@Scorpidactyl
@Scorpidactyl 3 жыл бұрын
Today's players are so soft. Back in the good old days, if Pete Rose was 6'7 and getting calls like that, he would've gone to downtown Cincy and found some workers hoisting a grand piano up the side of a building and trash talked them until they dropped the piano on him, squishing him into a more competitive accordion shape.
@samgatti3045
@samgatti3045 3 жыл бұрын
It’s really interesting that this seems like it’s a very niche stat that only someone like Bailey could think about, but I’m sure nearly every pitcher in the league has thought about this exact topic.
@cjolson6269
@cjolson6269 3 жыл бұрын
I think there's an important distinction to be made here between sensitivity and specificity as far as accuracy metrics go (i.e. which pitches are inaccurately called strikes vs. inaccurately called balls). Anecdotally, I feel like I see more Ump Scorecards where the ump has expanded the strikezone, and less strikes called balls.
@metalhammerm6903
@metalhammerm6903 3 жыл бұрын
As a 5’7 short king myself, we stand with Altuve and Judge in demanding a robo strike zone ✊🏻
@iunch2209
@iunch2209 3 жыл бұрын
Great video. That lo fi Last Christmas made me want to claw out my own ear drums though
@geezushasrisen
@geezushasrisen 3 жыл бұрын
You could make this same exact video for Giancarlo. The amount of low balls called strikes I’ve seen for these two makes me wanna headbutt my TV everytime.
@obscurereference6298
@obscurereference6298 3 жыл бұрын
So now who are the players getting the most Ump love to offset these players getting the shaft? Might be relevant to fantasy people who want to know which players stats might regress to the mean.
@highlanderholyfield855
@highlanderholyfield855 2 жыл бұрын
The fact that hes batting over .310 despite all the bs strikes thats been called on him just shows how good of a hitter he is.
@g.anthonybenjamin281
@g.anthonybenjamin281 3 жыл бұрын
Do you think Altuve gets those high pitches called strikes because he swings at those pitches pretty often? I am amazed how many hits he gets on those high pitches (although this is entirely an anecdotal) - i am pretty sure I have seen him hit homers on pitches well above the strike zone
@jarryd8167
@jarryd8167 3 жыл бұрын
I'm thinking he realized those pitches would be called strikes and worked his ass off to compensate and become a good high pitch hitter
@g.anthonybenjamin281
@g.anthonybenjamin281 3 жыл бұрын
@@jarryd8167 i thought everyone has a hard time laying off the high pitch. I’ve never seen anyone hit so many pitches above the shoulders as Altuve. I figure he’s mastered it as much as possible.
@samkarp6557
@samkarp6557 3 жыл бұрын
plz do a significance test between your aaron judge avg and league avg
@samkarp6557
@samkarp6557 3 жыл бұрын
especially when youre doing a percent of less than 50 pitches
@FoolishBailey
@FoolishBailey 3 жыл бұрын
I did basically his entire career!
@ns1clrk
@ns1clrk 3 жыл бұрын
2 Bailey vids in 2 days? It IS Christmas!
@okgo1fan
@okgo1fan 3 жыл бұрын
Great vid. Would be interesting to see across the league which individual players were most +/- compared to expected in these same top/bottom shadow zones. For instance we can see from this video extreme heights lead to more negative totals as those guys are harder to judge (pun), so their zone weaknesses get attacked relatively more than their strengths. But is there an underlying factor why someone would have a highly positive +/- here, like having a weird stance? If so, to what degree does that help them get calls? Or is it just complete randomness for average-height dudes?
@erikredd694
@erikredd694 2 жыл бұрын
Love the music in the background
@somethangwong1810
@somethangwong1810 3 жыл бұрын
Great add of Christmas music those little things are always great
@capraagricola
@capraagricola 3 жыл бұрын
Now that we've done a video on the extreme height players can we get one about the extreme width players
@jsfbigman
@jsfbigman 2 жыл бұрын
I haven’t seen this video! Great job! I’m a big Yankee but also a huge baseball fan and I love stat cast data! I know back in 2017 he was getting the most balls called strikes. I don’t want a ump that consistently calls low pitches. I don’t think ML pitchers want to pitch up in the zone against Judge. MLB pitchers are more dominant than ever. We had a lot of no hitters. If we had the robo-umps the game would have better offense. I like when hitters bat .300 and higher. A .300 batting average is great nowadays. Very few people hitting .300
@franktaverna7992
@franktaverna7992 3 жыл бұрын
about 14 minutes ago, I audibly asked my computer screen "oh yea so what about Altuve then?"
@mxmschae
@mxmschae 2 жыл бұрын
Me, a WWE fan, loving the Jim Ross Mick Foley v Undertaker soundbyte at the start
@jimmysidebottom4744
@jimmysidebottom4744 3 жыл бұрын
Umpires on all levels should be required to watch this as part of their training.
@LudaChez
@LudaChez 3 жыл бұрын
Judge is going to see this and be like, I knew it!! He's definitely known this or had someone in his agency I imagine make something like this. But since you are impartial I imagine he will actually see this. It helps his case.
@CadChamberlain
@CadChamberlain 3 жыл бұрын
If the pitch location circle is a solid circle, it means an automated strikezone saw it as a strike
@foshee1123
@foshee1123 2 жыл бұрын
Next time, when dealing with multi-year pitch numbers, just use the pitch frequency numbers when finding call rates to help yourself out! Love the analytical sports nerd videos!
@DutchVanDerLinde-sx1ox
@DutchVanDerLinde-sx1ox 3 жыл бұрын
Yes! More foolish baseball/bailey. I need my fix. Lest I start reading random players baseball reference pages
@fat342
@fat342 3 жыл бұрын
This is some juicy data. I love giving meaning to the numbers. Awesome video
@ShelfyTV
@ShelfyTV 3 жыл бұрын
Banger
@maryjohanson727
@maryjohanson727 2 жыл бұрын
as a long time pirates fan id love a breakdown of how many times they would score a run on bases loaded but get strike 3 called instead of ball 4. probably enough times to change the outcome of their games from L's to W's
@Steenar123
@Steenar123 2 жыл бұрын
This is so incredibly nerdy and I love it. 👍
@Norse_Code1
@Norse_Code1 2 жыл бұрын
an interesting thing to go deeper with is to see how many of those pitches came on a 3-x Count where he would have walked had the call been "accurate" and see how much that would have effected OBP/WR
@bennybombo
@bennybombo 3 жыл бұрын
Random and unrelated to the video, but the subtle jazzy Christmas music was a nice touch, oh and go braves
@ripconman4265
@ripconman4265 3 жыл бұрын
"And if your baseball brain is anything like my baseball brain, you know what's coming next..." *reveals jose altuve* *I lose my mind*
@daleftuprightatsoldierfield
@daleftuprightatsoldierfield 3 жыл бұрын
Now I’m interested at the opposite end of the spectrum. Which hitters get the most ball/strike calls going their way at the bottom and top of the zones and is there any correlation between a player’s deviation from league average height and how many calls they get? The average position player is just under 6’1, so it would be interesting to see how umpires call strikes on a batter like Juan Soto as compared to Judge and Altuve
@TheGLORY13
@TheGLORY13 3 жыл бұрын
I feel the true issue with robo umps is going to be a bit more extreme then people truly realize. (Mind you I haven't checked in on how it's gone in the...league that gave it go) But realistically a ball simply has to cross ANY portion of the plate to be a strike, there's nothing stating it has to be "this % of the ball in the zone for it to be ruled a strike" it simply has to touch it somewhere in the zone. The rule states "It must cross over the plate somewhere in the aforementioned zone to be a strike" So theoretically a high breaking ball could cross through the zone but be catching the back or top of the zone as it breaks down as the plate isn't just a 2D plane (that likely won't be common) but still will occur. I personally think a form of robo umps would likely help pitchers more than it helps hitters. Strikes become precise and a more likelihood of them having a BIGGER zone to protect than with actual umpires. Yeah catchers stole calls and umps all have different zones. This one would be consistent but new and potentially bigger
@korbinkristjanson8260
@korbinkristjanson8260 3 жыл бұрын
Does the on screen broadcast strike zone change for each player?
@bradwhiteuk
@bradwhiteuk 3 жыл бұрын
It does for sure on YES network
@maaarcus7227
@maaarcus7227 3 жыл бұрын
Yes.
@theactualtodd
@theactualtodd 2 жыл бұрын
Got distracted by the Muzak version of “Last Christmas” as your talkbed.
@Kartracer-pq6tl
@Kartracer-pq6tl 3 жыл бұрын
Best foolish Bailey video ever made
@GeeBabyLaflare
@GeeBabyLaflare 2 жыл бұрын
Okay so watching this 4 months late, but I have to know, is that “Last Christmas” jingling in the background of the second half of the video?!?!
@MisterKoishness
@MisterKoishness 3 жыл бұрын
I do appreciate the christmas lofi
@RiftRaft_
@RiftRaft_ 2 жыл бұрын
May 23, 2022. Orioles @Yankees. Judge had a strike down the middle and was call a ball
@ltervola
@ltervola 3 жыл бұрын
Miguel Sano suffers from umpire bias too, he has good plate discipline, but is a known strikeout king, so he seems to get the call against him more often, and apparently the numbers bear it out, would be interesting to see a video breakdown on that as well.
@baileylupo3156
@baileylupo3156 2 жыл бұрын
I love the content of this video and it’s something I’ve never really though about, but is there anyway you did a statistical t-test for each one? I would love to see that done and I may even do it myself seeing that you show all data in the video. Just something to see if each zone is significant mathematically through statistical tests.
@connorleahy2792
@connorleahy2792 3 жыл бұрын
I see KZbin also really wants you to watch the FastPass video lol thought they were only targeting me
@FoolishBailey
@FoolishBailey 3 жыл бұрын
I got about halfway through it, so I think it wants me to finish.
@chriscreaturo8809
@chriscreaturo8809 3 жыл бұрын
The low strike calls on Judge are a significant portion of my anger as a Yankee fan
@vincentbelden2691
@vincentbelden2691 2 жыл бұрын
What’s up with the Christmas music in the background lol
@ashleybies1694
@ashleybies1694 2 жыл бұрын
I think you’re right to surmise that unusually short players and unusually tall hitters get height~biased umpiring as though their were at a more average height. However, testing this hypothesis would necessitate a regression of height to strike call rate for each of these zones. Most interesting to my mind would be to analyze all extreme outliers, and figure out how much height is involved and what other factors may sometimes play in. With regard to these two hitters, it would be important to compare their called strike rate for borderline pitcher on both the outside and inside edges of the plate to these zones you’ve analyzed, to confirm that height appears to be a factor for them. Finally, since you’ve brought up biased umpiring for Ohtani as both a pitcher and a hitter, it would be interesting to explore why this may be the case for him, and whether the same phenomenon can be found for other players in similar contexts or with similar characteristics. Thanks Foolish! 🌳🐾
@kitpeddler
@kitpeddler 3 жыл бұрын
I'm skeptical of comparing percentages from a region that spans both in and out of the strike zone. Like, at least part of the reason Aaron Judge gets a higher percentage of called strikes in that low region could be that a larger percentage of the pitches in that region he takes are in the top of that region (where they are in the strike zone).
@Neekalos
@Neekalos 2 жыл бұрын
I was thinking the same thing. All this video technically proved was that there is indeed a difference in called strike %, but it doesn't prove why it happens. There are 2 possible explanations: 1) he really does get a higher % of strikes thrown in the strike side of the low area, or 2) he's getting a higher percentage of bad calls. I wish he would have done an analysis on "bad call %" to prove that he does actually get more bad calls compared to league average.
@caseywinkler850
@caseywinkler850 3 жыл бұрын
Would like to see the percentages of the league average changed into an average lost for the average player, so like aaron judge lost out on 101 pitches and altuve lost out on 52 but how does that number compare to that of an average player during the same time span?
@forrestweintraub9858
@forrestweintraub9858 2 жыл бұрын
the #s of pitches lost are already relative to the average hitter
@capt.slamkalski5332
@capt.slamkalski5332 3 жыл бұрын
What about swing strikes. Take those off that percentage. Pitch that the ump called. Did you add that in?
@briancook5828
@briancook5828 3 жыл бұрын
It'd be interesting to see the numbers if Judges and Altuves strikezones are replaced with the league average; see if there is a difference in the calls at all
@lowkeyvalid7130
@lowkeyvalid7130 3 жыл бұрын
I’d be curious to see if there was stat tracking the amount of calls a left handed hitter gets stolen on an outside pitch compared to right handed hitters. Just from personal experience and watching games, left handed hitters tend to get hosed on outside pitches more than right handed hitters.
@barry7136
@barry7136 3 жыл бұрын
Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong - but I would also think at the 9 minute mark that this would not necessarily even things out because Judge clearly gets a much higher percentage of pitches in this low area compared to league average - in the video it shows 9.1% for Judge while it shows 5.6% for the league. So Judge is additionally screwed by the fact that opposing teams can implement the low "strike" call into their gameplans - in addition to the detriments of falling behind in the count more easily for an already strikeout-heavy hitter, this could manifest in Judge having to protect a bigger plate when he swings which would have very complicated statistical effects.
@barry7136
@barry7136 3 жыл бұрын
oh nvm you're talking about it now lol
@guitarchim
@guitarchim 3 жыл бұрын
I've noticed the opposite with short players like mookie. Mookie gets the high strike call a lot because of his short stature
@RogerRabbitShowdown
@RogerRabbitShowdown 3 жыл бұрын
Judge should just get shorter tbh
@jzk0517
@jzk0517 3 жыл бұрын
If he truly cared about the game he would
@CubeApril
@CubeApril 3 жыл бұрын
This is the ASMR of baseball videos.
@soupcansam0544
@soupcansam0544 2 жыл бұрын
Love the Christmas music
@brentwishart6092
@brentwishart6092 3 жыл бұрын
I always wonder if, as players get better does the plate change for them. Similar to how good pitchers get a smaller plate do great batters great a larger or smaller plate.
@blantant
@blantant 2 жыл бұрын
Love this format
@sergeynazaro1768
@sergeynazaro1768 2 жыл бұрын
This is an excellent analysis. Please send to Aaron Judge
@DarthAnimal
@DarthAnimal Жыл бұрын
Do we have stats on how accurate umpires are? Id love to see how many umps would be better than a robo ump, and how many need to be replaced
@tommyc9218
@tommyc9218 3 жыл бұрын
Was that last Christmas playing at like 17:20 ?
@BigE1293
@BigE1293 3 жыл бұрын
Tall chads and short kings should have solidarity with each other against the evil oppressive forces of people that are average height - Bailey
@handsomesquidward121
@handsomesquidward121 3 жыл бұрын
It’s the tax for getting to be 6’7
@w203wuda
@w203wuda 3 жыл бұрын
when we see a called strike from a low breaking pitch according to k zone from the broadcast, we often hear "its not where he catches it, it's where it crossed the plate" type of commentating, i guess those just happened because the batter is kinda tall or he was hitting behind altuve and the ump was officiating based on muscle memories
@Nebb74
@Nebb74 3 жыл бұрын
Who is the person that would be the antithesis of these two? Who would be the person most screwed by electronic umps being introduced?
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