Why Ukraine's Counter-Offensive Could be Very Near

[@grfrjiglstan]

Ukraine knows they've got an audience. If they launched a failed counteroffensive, it could negatively impact future aid, so they're not going to act until they know it'll work out for them.

[@ulrichturke8964]

If their counteroffensive fails, then they will have much more serious problems than the disappointed audience: losing too many lives. They will take the time which is needed, delivery of some weapons has been delayed. More material will eventually arrive. IMHO, time is on Ukrainian side.

[@Lemosa3414]

If Ukraine doesn't soon show results with all the billions it got it will start drying up. The west is not with Ukraine for a stalemate.

[@cooldudecs]

@@ulrichturke8964bakhmut has stalled. They can wait for another month.

[@purushothamyadav6265]

There is no counter offence,cause Ukrane already lost 70% trained army and weapons, ammunition.....all Ukraine left with garbage soliders (teachers builders labours are Ukraine soliders now, they scared of real time war field) other side Wagners showing no mercy

[@timeames2509]

@@purushothamyadav6265 Wagner Group really ain't about much. American forces killed Hundreds of them in short order in Syria! 🇺🇲

[@micasa6982]

WE must be calm and give time to the counteroffensive. It must be done when Ukranian army is ready. If Ukraine make it in a rush it could be a dissaster. We must be patient. Glory to men and women of the Ukranian army. Slava Ukraine!!! greatings from Spain.

[@conorwhite2066]

Must be done at the right time... the Russians are not waiting for this... they are preparing for this Question is will this happen at all.... Ukraine needs weapons .. they have conscripted 1 million men... where are all these men?

[@micasa6982]

@@conorwhite2066 thats the point. Web MUST vive more weapons, aircraft and allí what Uktaime needs, and the counter offensive must be done when thet are really ready.

[@Normalguy1690]

@@conorwhite2066 well they say around 500,000 men are on the Russian frontline. 200,000 on Belarusian border. More will be garrisoning the country as well as the transanistrian border and running logistics. Then many are overseas in the west getting trained as well as being trained in Ukraine. Just because u conscripted 1 million doesn’t mean all 1 million will be on the front

[@sogerc1]

Interestingly "Reporting from Ukraine" reported that probing attacks for the counteroffensive has already started. We can't really trust the Ukrainian press releases, I think they are designed to confuse the Russians so we'll just have to wait and see.

[@osheridan]

agreed and also that rhymes :D

[@dgurevich1]

"unfortunately for the russians" has become the crown phrase in this war.

[@alexshinra6722]

Dont forget "someone was smokeing near an ammo dump" and "anouther super rich got real drunk and fell of a roof. that line appears a few times in there posts and news.

[@bellz1782]

Only according to western news

[@alexshinra6722]

@@bellz1782 wgat you mean pop over to there newspapers you can still access tgem and see your self.

[@ganjinfly]

Only losses of 7 to 1 for some reason in favor of the Russians, moreover, that Russia initially fought and is fighting with smaller forces, and some of the 300 thousand mobilized are not yet at the front. And there is still a huge potential in manpower, which Ukraine does not have. On the streets, the military grabs everyone and drags them to the military registration and enlistment offices in Ukraine. Half the world is scraping up ammunition and equipment for Ukraine. Kharkiv, Kherson, and now Bakhmut have become meat grinders for Ukrainians. All fucking NATO is pushing to change something, but it doesn't work. But all this is "unfortunately for the Russians." We are not talking about air defense, aviation and rockets, which the Russians are constantly running out of (even this silly boy said this in the video). How does it work in your inflamed brains? The question is, of course, rhetorical.

[@geraldinebroadley2156]

So Russia retaliated with 6 Hypersonic missiles taking out an underground bunker killing Ukrainian and NATO COMMANDERS, media blackout on this for the next step IS game over for this US proxy war!

[@LLlap]

2 notes on pronunciation: Avdiivka is missing a syllable. Av-di-yi-vka. Podolyak has an extra syllable. Po-do-lyak.

[@hanna_GG2]

Oh I know I am not the target of this comment but thanks anyway! Very useful :D

[@adamachraoui8301]

@@hanna_GG2 how is that any useful. Useful for what?

[@Dreju78]

Also; no 'K' in 'Bakhmut' 😉 Also, also; Eeeeeeegor Girkin, not Eyegor Girkin 😁

[@bertberw8653]

​@@adamachraoui8301 Useful for journalists not to humiliate themselves on the internet mispronouncing foreign names

[@samuela-aegisdottir]

@@adamachraoui8301 Useful for anyone who wants to take people from other nations seriously, which includes trying to pronounce their words with maximum accuracy.

[@sizanogreen9900]

Gonna say, the ukraine war feels more and more like history documentaries from WW1...

[@MsZeeZed]

Get ready for a surprise 😹

[@bastaardzmuller]

New Kenji Kawai album coming up.

[@bradleyriles3889]

Interesting comment. Which uniform were the Ukrainians wearing in WW2?

[@sizanogreen9900]

@@bradleyriles3889 ww1... not ww2. but yes I do know that the Ukrainians in ww2 supportet the germans initially, hoping to get freed from brutal russian rule but that support mostly dried up rather quickly once it became apparent that the germans were not better at all as far as I am aware.

[@Trooper-d2t]

@@bradleyriles3889 Millions wore the red army uniform, civilian clothing, and a small minority wore Wehrmacht uniforms.

[@alexnorthrop1588]

Might seem unimportant but the comment (3:1 ratio of manpower for the attack) is actually wrong, its 3:1 in terms of combat power. This means manpower, artillery, tanks etc. Same reason Russia has been able to advance (at times) despite having basically the same manpower, they compensated with far far more artillery

[@ChucksSEADnDEAD]

And the 3:1 offensive advantage is localized. It doesn't matter if there's a million men in the frontline, if I pick a section with 10,000 enemies and I send 30,000 I am respecting the rule of thumb even though I may have less manpower in total.

[@urubissoldat5452]

​@@ChucksSEADnDEAD Unless the enemy can redeploy. Which you want to be able to stop

[@SonsOfLorgar]

And as a consequence, Russia has worn out so many artillery barrels that those barrels can no longer hit anything smaller than a hospital if they tried and they had to resort to using T-55s as infantry support assault guns and improvised artillery...

[@ill_bred_demon9059]

Given the utter dysfunction of the Russian military it begs the question how effective their defenses will be. If Ukraine is lucky they may be able to punch through defensive lines more easily than would be expected.

[@yanbarbosa8092]

@@SonsOfLorgar source trust me bro

[@kubin226]

the fact that the offensive is going just show how quickly everything happens, and how unpredictable the war is

[@ravanpee1325]

We also wait for Steiner's offensive to liberate Berlin ;)

[@davidty2006]

Once second.. *looks at NCD* HMmm ok so preperations are happening.

[@reekpeekseek]

​@@ravanpee1325Given the fact that Putin is the modern day Hitler, I can't wait for him to blow his tiny brain out as soon as he realises that his invasion failed.

[@robertsattler8201]

@@ravanpee1325 Nice statement! But, better we could be freed from the US and get in the Russians 🙂

[@colincampbell4261]

​@@robertsattler8201 delusional comment!

[@Heretus]

No matter when it starts I hope its extremely successful, unlike the first counter I doubt Ruzzia will be caught with their pants down.

[@Im-just-Stardust]

I'm really hoping so but at the same time i'm afraid the front line won't move much. Russia fortified everything they dug ton of trenches. Its gonna be another annoying trench war fare where nothing can move quickly.

[@SelfProclaimedEmperor]

Ukraine has done two large counteroffensives before and both succeeded. Kharkiv and Kherson.

[@pjhgerlach]

Maybe not with their pants down but probably shitting their pants.

[@zackiz]

Ye, this time it's the bulldozer that is coming.

[@greengarnish1711]

@@Im-just-Stardust Those fortifications are pretty bad though, like the cope cones and hundreds of mile trenches which will be demolished by incoming artillery from mortars/jets and the fact that they will be using many new APC's and Tanks which are years ahead of Russian weaponry. Ukraine has also been bombing important targets inside this territory for months now, making it easier for them once the attack happens. Time is on Ukraine's side.

[@KimJungGooner]

It's profoundly embarrassing that the supposed second most powerful military in the world can't capture Bahkmut after nearly a year besieging it.

[@haydencantthink]

Tired meme but Russia is the 2nd most powerful military in Ukraine

[@gnrseanra9070]

Well according to those leaks if correct, Ukraine is losing badly 7 Ukrainians dead for every 1 Russian dead, brave soldiers but shocking and media been spinning us.

[@micixduda]

I thought Russia's plan was to demilitarize Ukraine? So as long as they are feeding Bahkmut with military, steady as she goes.

[@PudubatPudubat]

Yeah and really embarrassing that the first one lost against goats keepers wearing flip flops and AK 47 with no air support and artillery 😂😂😂😂🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡

[@Foogle6594]

@@PudubatPudubat Are you talking about Russia's failed invasion of Afghanistan?

[@Simalacrum]

We have to remember last time that Ukraine talked big about an offensive in a particular region - they used it as a feint to attack in Kharkiv. We don't know in fact what Ukraine are planning, and really it should stay that way.

[@foxival5150]

I Wish Ukraine good Luck 🇸🇰♥️🇺🇦

[@shramm3399]

bruh its slovakia

[@wingedharmony]

​@Lil Mix & Lil Nzre the person who posted this is Slovakian, showing support from Slovakia to Ukraine

[@Replyingtoclowns]

I don’t wish them luck, sorry I’m not wishing for nuclear retaliation, which is likely for Russia if they fear lose.

[@sficiks]

⅘⅘6ü

[@shramm3399]

@@wingedharmony ok my bad I got it

[@zhigall1]

Thanks for covering topics on Ukraine! I think it's very important to keep talking about the war! I wish Ukraine a successful counteroffensive and a quick liberation of all Ukrainian land! Glory to Ukraine!!!

[@davidhess6593]

That's hilarious. I thought Zelensky was the comedian.

[@JohnCSmith-lp1qr]

@@davidhess6593 Its infectious...so many in here are into comedy 🤣

[@davidhess6593]

@@JohnCSmith-lp1qr it's either that or cry.

[@JohnCSmith-lp1qr]

@@davidhess6593 Nope Actually....its pretty funny. Lots of Misinformed 🐑 in here

[@vodila8799]

​@@davidhess6593 зеленський, колись виступав на сцені в ролі коміка, але зараз президент.

[@ValensBellator]

Russia just expended the offensive potential of their entire 300k mobilization for a chunk of bakhmut and some surrounding towns. The timing for the offensive is looking to be perfect over the next month.

[@prometheusjackson8787]

What does that even mean lol?

[@SethinBerlin]

@@prometheusjackson8787 it’s perfectly clear comrade

[@ChucksSEADnDEAD]

Not just Bakhmut but Adiivka and the famous Vuhledar offensives. Bakhmut used up a lot of Wagner which were not mobilized men. Vulhedar used up units that required reconstitition with mobilized men.

[@ammarhaziq919]

That 300k mobilization is exactly preparation for ukraine upcoming counter offensive, at Bakhmut only wagner and few russian brigades to defend whatever lands that wagner takes there, plus since Russia retreat from other side of dnieper river banks at Kherson they relieve some 50k forces there, so Russia have 350k reserve along frontline not currently fighting (other than Bakhmut, Adviyivka and Vuhledar).

[@LutherusPXCs]

Bakhmut is just Wagner and Russian VDV, Vuhledar losses art that big

[@magnvss]

In wars, predictions are like the divination of fortune-tellers: they relate to the expectations of those listening.

[@daydays12]

Yes indeed!

[@samuela-aegisdottir]

Ukrainians don't have to achieve much if they want their 2023 spring counteroffensive be more succesful the Russian 2023 spring offensive.

[@magnvss]

@@samuela-aegisdottir Yet, apparently, Russian goal is simply to annex what they have already taken and call it success. From here on they could be for a war of attrition as to force Ukraine to the (purported) negotiation table for a peace that will always mean some territorial loss for Ukraine. The harsh part is that Ukraine depends utterly from the West support, so even if Ukraine doesn't want to, if the West "feels" that some compromise is in order, Ukraine will have to swallow that big, ugly toad. It all depends on who last the longest with the most support and money (and also human resources).

[@geofflepper3207]

@@samuela-aegisdottir the Russian spring 2023 "offensive" reminds me of those movies in which a guy slams his fist into a giant of a man who just smiles in response as if it was nothing. And then if the guy is smart and quick he immediately turns and runs. Maybe given that nobody even noticed the Russian spring offensive It might be wise for Russian soldiers to just turn and run before Ukraine launches a counter attack.

[@Zack_Wester]

not really. I mean in WW2 the D-day mission and everything around that was decided if it would be done or not after general and experts had spent a long time looking at numbers, crunching match. and looking at what was possible. Both on ones own side and on the enemy side. where any smart general presumed that the enemy had better number then what was reported and ones own was weaker. because doing a landing calling for 10 fully equipped aircraft carrier and finding out that you only had 7. is bad. or worse the enemy force at X is expected to be 5000 men whit somewhat low supplies and 1 armor corps. and finding out that its 10.000 men overstocked and 20 armor corps. not good.

[@1996JBC]

Girking is war criminal, not mil-blogger

[@Bass_attack7755]

So is zelenski

[@duhhtor]

@@Bass_attack7755 Cry some more 🤣

[@juliane__]

The counteroffensive in the south was officially declared by the ukrainian defense ministry, because it does not make sense to set a distinct date, because it is too much happening already, that it is more a transition into an offensive than a big movement of troops starting simultaniously.

[@davidcooks2379]

When quoting Igor Girkin, please remind people that he is a convicted terrorist, who shot MH-17 planr in 2014 and was the first commander to give order to cross the Russian border to Ukraine, thus he was the one who started the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2014

[@ChucksSEADnDEAD]

Which is why he's scared of a Russian loss, he doesn't want to be traded as part of a peace deal.

[@enpakeksi765]

He has also not been rewarded with a free flight out of a ten story window for his very pessimistic assessments on how (poorly) Russia is conducting its SMO.

[@Steve-yf9my]

Thanks!

[@nicolasiden4074]

Igor Girkin not only russian military blogger. He is internacional criminal and one of those who started war in 2014 in Sloviansk Ukraine.

[@Jorge.A.12]

And probably the only smart person in russian military

[@nicolasiden4074]

@@Jorge.A.12 on that I can agree.

[@AleksandarStefanovic]

It's fascinating and concerning that the news on war horrors are reported on in the same tone that is used to talk about everyday news. We've become so numb about the human sacrifice being made, and are instead cheering and speculating on what's going to happen next.

[@EverettBurger]

Although it has gotten better. At the start of this particular war, it was being covered as it was a sporting event. Then, it evolved into typical reporting you would see regarding the entertainment industry (i.e. personality based coverage). At least now, it's being covered like the news. It's as I'd the gravity of the situation has finally been accepted

[@NihilistAlien]

Now you know how russian leaders and mird broadly dictators think. One death is a tragedy, one million death is a statistic.

[@carlosandleon]

​@@EverettBurgerSame like the Russo Japanese war tbh. Nothing new, I'd say it's pretty normal

[@daydays12]

Well observed. It is horrible and sad

[@samuela-aegisdottir]

It has its origine in the way polititians and armies lead the war. They look at it as a chess game, not suffering of milllinos and murders of thousands. In this war, it is obvious on the Russian site: Putin started the war to gain more fame and influence. Not taking seriously the human cost. When the war started, the Urkainians had no other choice than to accept the game because they need to win to avoid total destruction of their nation. I wish Putin had paid more attention to preserving human lives and dignity than to write his name in history books by enlarging Russian territory. I hope that the way we think about wars is changing (your post is a sign of that change and journalist reporting about civilian costs are helping it change) and I wish that decision makers will avoid starting wars in the future.

[@DoomDutch]

What is it with news outlets always being so inpatient... The mud season is still mostly there-

[@samuela-aegisdottir]

We are lucky that strategy is not decided by journalists but by the soldiers. And they know their mud seasons very well. But I like to watch journalists opinions anyway, because soldiers don't really share mmuch about their plans.

[@phredshunkie3487]

I’m pretty sure the 3:1 man power advantage won’t be necessary considering the quality of forces. Multiple T-55 or 62/4s against a single modern battle tank expected to be used at the tip of the assault is not going to be a problem. M2 Bradley’s could take those on. Then you compare morale between each side.

[@s3m1f64]

yeah the 3:1 is really a rule of thumb, there are many factors at play

[@ArkBlanc]

The counter-offensive started yesterday, keep up.

[@nopants4259]

true ! along a long front to keep them guessing

[@MercenaryPen]

I suspect this video has been in the works for a few days at least

[@ГеннадийШуплецов-р8п]

Counteroffensive is a misnomer. There has been no Russian offensive over the past year and will not be. Therefore, it is correct to call the future military actions of Ukraine, if any, simply the OFFENSIVE of the AFU.

[@aliasalias7546]

​@@ГеннадийШуплецов-р8п Bruh, have you been sleeping. The spring offensive of the russians happened, but it was a failure.

[@tophat593]

No, it did not. That's misreporting the words of the Deputy Defence Minister. There is preparation underway but when it starts there will be no doubt.

[@garrettreven5144]

0:23 "You're not gonna use that footage, right?" "...Nah, man"

[@oscarandresfernandezaranda3975]

To briefly write down my view of things in Bakhmut. First of all, the city is not yet in a kettle. Since both roads, both the one through Khromovo and the road to Ivanivske, are not yet under Wagner's full control. But it is evident that the battle for Bakhmut is slowly but surely coming to an end. UA is being pushed more and more west. The target field for artillery is getting smaller and smaller, which brings clear advantages for Wagner + RU units. UA has an enormous disadvantage in this area anyway in terms of artillery. In addition, the reserves in Chasov Yar, Konstantinovka, Kramatorsk, Slavyansk and Druzhkovka have been successfully hit for weeks. This makes it difficult for UA to send more reserves to Bakhmut anyway. But now there are fights on both supply routes. At Ivanivske very close to the road. At Khromovo directly on the street. So only 90% dirt roads remain. Now we come to a crucial point. It's starting to rain more for the next few days. Which makes dirt roads very difficult to pass again. In addition, all exits from Bakhmut are under RU fire control anyway. So if UA want to leave Bakhmut (which I personally don't think they will) but they should, they would have to withdraw in the coming hours or tomorrow. Since tomorrow evening the dirt roads will be impassable again. So either they go now, or there will be very, very high losses for UA for almost all units that are still in the city. Because of the weather alone, a counter-offensive in the Bakhmut area makes 0.0 sense at the moment. Since this would not end successfully with 99%, because a lot of the equipment would simply get stuck in the mud. I'm curious what will happen in the coming days.

[@Revnge7Fold]

@2:19, WTF lol guy playing the trumpet!? haha

[@AntAntL]

Ukraine needs to land some huge victories in the next counter offensive. I doubt the west will ship another round of expensive and modern equipment if the Ukrainians fail to make the most of whats already been given to them. Also, if not much comes from the "big" counter offensive, the Russians will be licking their chops to re-counter.

[@MrTaxiRob]

Just one big town or provincial capital will do nicely.

[@florencioxatruch9788]

Lol 😂

[@_tym3k]

"keep men, lose land - land can be taken again, keep land, lose men - then both are lost"

[@Conlow95]

Didn’t it just start a few hours ago?

[@ГеннадийШуплецов-р8п]

The successful Ukrainian offensive has already ended.

[@hchen2513]

@@ГеннадийШуплецов-р8п clown

[@Ma1akai]

Yes and no, yes in the fact that more probing actions and artillery strikes have begun along the front line especially in zaporizhzhya, but also no in the fact that a large movement and culmination of forces has not happened yet.

[@ГеннадийШуплецов-р8п]

@@hchen2513 Due to the military science the offensive begins with the powerful fire impact on the defense side by artillery and aviation. Sometimes this pressure lasts for several hours or days. For example, before starting ground operation, NATO bombed Belgrade for two months, NATO aircraft flew 35,219 sorties, dropped and fired more than 23,000 bombs and missiles. Learn history!

[@SuperJibulus]

@@ГеннадийШуплецов-р8п 1. Nobody is talking about Belgrade 🤨 (what?) 2. Your statement that the offensive has failed is factually incorrect (real facts not orc facts), it hasn’t even started Honestly unless you’re being paid by the Kremlin to sit on western social media and vomit pro Russian rhetoric then why are you even here? Nobody likes you, nobody wants you here, just get off the internet or join a little President Putler messaging app that is permitted to be on your device within the regime’s borders

[@JeeWeeD]

I noticed the last few days you do not correctly update the description...

[@guillaumeguinard4470]

Hey TLDR, there is an issue in the description of the video. It seems to be for the pound video, not for this ukraine video. Kisses on your elbows

[@nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988]

i prefer this anchor

[@zoopdterdoobdter5743]

I'm very much looking forward to vids showing the Ukrainian flag flying on the Eastern side of the Bakhmutka river. Best wishes to the men and women defending their nation.

[@JohnCSmith-lp1qr]

Well good luck with that 😂

[@Prometeus924]

There has never been such a nation in history Russian, Belarusian Ukrainian is a single Russian people divided by the traitor Gorbachev

[@hchen2513]

@@Prometeus924 Russia was always an imperial regime. Ukrainians are very different from Russians

[@Анна_ЮА]

@@hchen2513 Different? How do you distinguish a Russian from an Ukrainian? Help me please. I don't distinguish them.

[@channelwithoutanyparticula5256]

@СТУДИЯ Прометей maybe not a person by you as a nation is the problem, remember when you starved 6 millions of ukrainians to death and replaced them with russians, yea shouldnt have done this, turns out history does not forget, you will pay for your sins

[@colincampbell4261]

The USA might have secretly supplied UKR forces with bunker busting rockets and long range rockets to target the Kerch bridge again.

[@Sun-gs6hq]

Secretly?

[@daydays12]

I hope so

[@colincampbell4261]

@Ahmet Akgun kerch bridge is a legitimite war target. Ukrainian cities are not. Crawl back to your sewer.

[@wihma97a]

The description is wrong: "After the pound collapsed under Liz Truss, most forecasted economic doom and gloom for the UK before Sunak's arrival and, since then, the pound's value has continued to rise. So in this video, we break down the three reasons behind this recent GBP rally." Otherwise a pretty good video as per usual

[@borisarapovic7379]

moral of troops is crucial, you can count on reaching azov sea within 2 weeks after going through first line of defense, russians will panic. one hit on crimean bridge and everyone in kherson and crimea will start thinking about potential evacuation

[@jensschroder8214]

The surprise effect is long gone. The Russians have dug in and set up defense lines.

[@colincampbell4261]

Armchair general comments.

[@ngangavictor5556]

​@@colincampbell4261 😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@jeckjeck3119]

@@colincampbell4261 Still better general than Russian ones:/

[@napoleonibonaparte7198]

I'm assuming 9 May. To make Russia's supposed day of celebration into one of hell.

[@imsroy]

US intel leak reveals Ukraine can't do sh!t.😂

[@kreativespseudonym6887]

A comrade said in the beginning of the week: probably the Ukraine will wait for the NATO to start 'Air Defender 23'. So Russia has to devide attention and ressources between a NATO maneuver and an ukrainian offensive.

[@florinherlea8376]

Good luck Ukraine

[@zebratoast278]

I really appreciate the style of tl;dr, but could you try to get the pronunciation of names and places closer to the original, otherwise it is difficult to connect news stories from non-english sources. It is really a minor thing, keep up the good work 👍

[@chrisdee216]

I suspect it won't be as spectacular as some people think. Ukraine is smart. Thank God Russia is preparing for some kind of onslaught. But this is probably not the type of attack that will take place. The ramparts and defenses will probably be of little use in this form, since Ukraine will not try to break through all the lines with mechanized forces anyway. That's just the kind of war that Russia dominates and expects from the enemy. However, Ukraine has managed quite well to create total confusion as to exactly where it will attack. Well done! I'd guess they'll find the weakest point, selectively fire and work that area, and only then try to break through to eventually separate part of the occupied areas. And from there an attempt is made to proceed further.

[@Анна_ЮА]

If Ukraine were smart, it would exist peacefully with neighboring countries.

[@allanlank]

The Canadian Armed Forces have been training the Ukrainian military since 2016. The Ukrainian Army that faced Russia in 2022 was VERY different for the one it faced in 2014.

[@samuela-aegisdottir]

It is a pity that Putin did not know that before the 2022 offensive. It could have been much better year for everyone.

[@xboxbam3979]

The offensive has already started. They've already closed up the grey areas and started conducting investigative assaults to probe for weak areas. They've even taken some land back already in the zaporizhzhia oblast just yesterday. They've also sent out the Stryker vehicle units with de-mining equipment to de-mine various areas along the frontline. That doesn't happen unless they plan on starting the full-scale offensive shortly after. The counter-offensive is clearly ramping up as we speak. For those curious on where this info comes from, one of my go-to sources is ReportingFromUkraine. He gets info from both sides to formulate the current battle situations at the current most active areas of the frontline to report what is happening on a daily basis (and includes videos/photos of proof when available). Been following him since mid-summer of last year.

[@FifinatorKlon]

Gibs link pls

[@xboxbam3979]

@Juicebox Deepstatemap takes very conservative figures and are often 24-36 hours behind on frontline movement (and even then, still has to make corrections for errors). There's been numerous instances where Deepstatemap didn't update correctly when photo/video proof was available to demonstrate the changes (such as the thunder runs in Kharkiv). This fella takes reports from both sides, so when both sides are saying the same thing, he reports as such. It doesn't necessarily mean that's what will happen, but it is what both sides believe will happen. That's why his predictions sometimes deviate from actual outcomes. He's also made statements about Russian advances that were proven to be true. Plus, he does correct himself in following videos when his judgement on a battle front were incorrect. Also, he is just one of many sources I use. Since his statement very often line up with all my other sources, he seems a reliable source to me. (Also, yes, he charges a lot for that gear, but he doesn't get anything from KZbin due to what he covers as he got demonitized early on in the war coverage, so he's got to keep the rent and electricity paid for somehow. Sometimes he gets individual videos sponsored, but mostly relies on those gear purchases). Suchomimus is another source I use, as he mainly just shows video/photo evidence and geolocates the location of the event in question. Ground News is also a good source to use to see active news updates.

[@Zael.B]

Seems like 2023 is a write off year when it comes to offenses on both sides. This war is a modern ww1 sleeper war until one side just can't logi anymore to sustain the fight. Mb 2026 will show results.

[@samuela-aegisdottir]

In autumn, spring and warm winters, Ukraine's countryside is covered by deep mud. Noone can move effectively. Both sides need either strong frost (which didn't occur) or dry hot weather to be able to move accross the battelfield. The front can't move fast untill the mud season is gone. That is why there has been few changes this year. Be patient, the front is going to move when the weather allows for it.

[@lonerider8243]

his name is pronounced as eegor' geeerkin

[@MsZeeZed]

Should that be “indicted war criminal & military blogger” ?

[@lonerider8243]

@@MsZeeZed yeah thats him, the former FSB undercover offifcer

[@Jim_Underscore]

5:17 using some old map with Kherson as still occupied?

[@simonlarge2052]

Why does the map key say "European Union"?

[@Bass_attack7755]

Freudian slip

[@SuperJibulus]

Because the blue area to the west is the EU

[@Gallivare6713]

Send Ukraine everything it needs! Now! Glory to UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS from Lithuania 🇺🇦 🇱🇹

[@facty_kit1742]

Perhaps, one or two sham counter offensives and then the real one, as usual. Let's wait and watch and hope for the best

[@JohnCSmith-lp1qr]

Its Called "probing the defense". Lol Idiot 🤣

[@paulg3216]

@tldrnewseu - why do your maps show Ukrainian territory as "European Union" - do you know something we don't? 🤔

[@srb1855]

This was another Mickey Mouse report --- "...a Ukrainian counter offensive will likely occur in the east or the south..." Thank you for stating the obvious....where else should they attack.... Those who want a serious analysis of this war are better served by following the I.S.W. reports.

[@FifinatorKlon]

Oh no. Politically tainted KZbin channels don't give detailed and unbiased information. Who would've thunk.

[@XxMusclecarsxX]

Russia been running low on amunition for over a year now apparently

[@freyjasvansdottir9904]

Avdiivka is a suburb of Bakhmut in the same way that Milton Keynes is a suburb of London

[@robinstevenson6690]

YOU'VE GOT IT! THINGS ARE ABOUT TO MOVE FORWARD FOR THE UKRAINIANS!

[@GairikGhosh]

Most channels give totally contradictory accounts of this war as if two different wars are taking place at two different places at two different times.

[@Taxolia]

I see a lot of people understandably underestimating Russia. But keep in mind 3 things. 1) Back in September when Ukraine was liberating territories left and right they had an advantage on Russia on man power of 5:1, now the the advantage has shifted to 1.25 or 1.5 to 1. With such man power an offensive can be conducted but it would be rather difficult 2) Russia since late October has built very strong fortifications on the Zaporozhye and Luhansk fronts and has especially made huge anti tank defences some where in the Svatove front if I'm not mistaking 3) Russia has and advantage on Ukraine of fire power of 5-7:1.

[@Joaquin546]

Lol Russia meanwhile has a burn rate of seven Russian troops to 1 Ukrainian

[@Taxolia]

@@Joaquin546 Can you give me a source of that other than the MoD of Ukraine?

[@Taxolia]

My Sources are that a partial mob. in Russia is 300k + 50k prisoners by Wagner + 100k volunteers (which aren't really volunteers since they were forced into it) + about another 100-200k from the pseudo republics of Donbas and 200k from the start

[@Joaquin546]

@@Taxolia why it’s the source that actually matters. And no I don’t listen to the “experts” at thug shaker central.

[@Taxolia]

@@Joaquin546 Sadly for Ukraine the reality seems rather dire. Russia has anywhere from 10-75k and Ukraine 50-200k. It might seems really big the difference because it is but keeping in mind that Russia has an advantage in fire power of 7:1 and has done less massive offensives.

[@3114bsad]

Probably when the media stops trying to announce it before it happens

[@milesskillman256]

I think Ukraine and media are trying psyops on Russia like they did Kharkiv offensive.

[@hanna_GG2]

Actually the counter offensive is starting today

[@twodyport8080]

They have already reached Moscow

[@shannonwasserman3653]

Really?? I didn’t see anything about that?

[@hanna_GG2]

@@twodyport8080 almost :D

[@hanna_GG2]

@@shannonwasserman3653 well to be precise, the counter offensive started two days ago and the confirmation from the minister of defense of Ukraine 1 day ago, let’s see if it works

[@SamPashmi]

Why are people saying it started? I’ve haven’t confirmation from anyone

[@Rylus571]

Reporting From Ukraine claims that there's ongoing probing attacks taking place along the zaporizhzhia front.

[@MsZeeZed]

They’re quoting Ukrainian deputy minister of defence Hanna Maliar who yesterday stated that the counter-offensive has begun in Zaporizhzhia, as the first line of Russian trenches were cleared in a front from Orikhiv to Vuhledar.

[@moncefbens4342]

I believe It's starting quite soon

[@ImAHeroOnHiroin]

Already has it started today

[@StefanBurns]

A) why does the map label Ukraine in gray as "European Union"? It's not B) This war, special military offensive, whatever, is starting to smell like 1984. Smart RU commandos would pierce into other regions of Ukraine and not just focus on the Bakmut "meatgrinder" endlessly. I'm for peace, freedom, and liberty, and this whole thing is starting to seem more and more like a way for these two countries to drain the West's attention and resources. I wouldn't be surprised at all if corruption at the very top of both 🇺🇦🇷🇺 are working together, at the expense of everyone else, most notably their own citizens 😢

[@TheCentristChad]

If they ever make a movie about this war it will be a dark comedy. Can the Russians really be that incompetent? Yes, it’s always yes 😂

[@OptimumGrow]

Believe me, every writer sitting in Starbucks and up to the Major studios has a script in the works.

[@jeckjeck3119]

Death Of Stalin move makers should get ready. They literally nailed everything Russian in their movie.

[@TheCentristChad]

@@jeckjeck3119 I'll have to watch it. I heard Death Of Stalin was good

[@jeckjeck3119]

@@TheCentristChad It is very good, and it might as well be a documentary at this point. How Russian government works TO THIS DAY 101.

[@Анна_ЮА]

He who laughs last laughs best. We will see.

[@WatchmansArchive]

Avdiivka Frontline have been in the same place since the begging of the war. They didn't start encircling it in March thats a lie. Its been the same long before March.

[@Wiki8Will]

It might be lurking around the corner. You just never know.

[@blootheshrimp2396]

Already started yesterday

[@RecoveringAhole]

I’ll be honest.. with each day passing I grow more and more pessimistic that the counter offensive is really even happening.. You’d think Ukraine would want to send its counter offensive before it looses all of Bakhmut.. but idk. I’m trying to be patient to see what happens, but wouldn’t they want to send the attack asap? Not give Russia ample time to prepare?

[@xboxbam3979]

It started yesterday. It started with Ukraine closing up all the grey areas on the frontline. Then Russia started up mass evacuations in the Russian controlled towns that are somewhat close to the frontlines. Ukraine is using the Strykers we gave them with the de-mining attachments to de-mine places all along the zaporizhzhia oblast frontline. Ukraine has even already started taking back some land in what was supposed to be just investigative assaults (i.e. testing Russia's defenses to report on current conditions). It is clearly under way now.

[@cejv1015]

TLDR reporters: please eat enough protein, excersize, get some sun and eat fresh veggies and fruit. The light blue in the set washes you out and makes you look very pale - almost sickly. The news is fine. But after watching you for a while I had to be an auntie and remind you to take good care of your bodies as well. Keep up the good work.

[@AlSnoopsReid]

You're late to the party buddy, the counter offensive HAS started!

[@gordonslambsauce7035]

Slava Ukraine 🇮🇪🤝🇺🇦

[@russell6075]

The ukraine offensive has to start with taking out the kerch bridge again. Morale is your biggest weapon

[@RafaelW8]

I'm ready for season 4. Hopefully we have some story progression this time.

[@gansior4744]

I've been Waiting for that counter offensive for a while. Pretty sure they are Waiting for all the tanks

[@Keiranful]

You're late to the party. Ukraine's deputy defence minister confirmed the start yesterday. I thought I heard "Attack of the Clones" in the background, though thankfully, would be Palpi is still vacationing in Moscow... And Bakhmut is no longer in the hands of Wagner. It's Airborne troops doing the fighting now.

[@atari947]

putin being palpatine would imply hes playing both sides lmao

[@Keiranful]

@@atari947 well he was. Thankfully not anymore, as the Putin sympathizers in Ukrainian politics have either been ousted or have shut up.

[@prometheusjackson8787]

Gay

[@rocksmo3384]

That doesnt mean too much. There will be a lot of small Ukrainian attacks looking for weaknesses in the Russian lines before any big push can happen. The time of the major attack is still completely unknown.

[@Keiranful]

@@rocksmo3384 and? They're already making gains. Small ones, sure, but the reconnaissance is just as much part of the counter offensive as the big, flashy push or an armored column.

[@KhaalixD]

Great video!

[@thewingedhussar4188]

The thing to keep in mind is ukraine 🇺🇦 is not just western tanks. But what I believe may happen is a big front scenario. Something napoleon was good at doing. Ukraine will use there main t tanks at different fronts at once but leave the bulk of the heavy hitting main force back until they see which was more successful and the main force goes there.

[@alexshinra6722]

So napolean used his mian battle tanks to test along Tzar lines huh?.

[@George-Chris]

Ukraine has less manpower and less artillery, tanks, airplanes etc than Russia. It would be suicide for the front lines to attack in all areas at once.

[@alexshinra6722]

@@George-Chris yeah also they dont have the numbers to do anything like that. But one bug punch yesh i can buy that. They have the gear and numbers but i hope they wiat as honestly russia is throwing away man power right now.

[@Zoco101]

Just trying to speak objectively, I notice more and more similarities with WW1. This is a war of attrition with both sides now dug in. Artillery is very important and there is ridiculous sabre rattling happening on both sides. Expect a lot more death.

[@peterfmodel]

The weather is still not great, although in the next 2 weeks this will change. I expect any offensive, if it occurred, would occur in early May. The issue is where they would strike; there is no obvious weak spot in the Russian Front line. The most likely location may be in Bakhmut itself, as the flanks of the Russian advance may be vulnerable. An attack towards Mariupol is too obvious and I am certain would be heavily defended; however an attack west of Mariupol may be more likely, perhaps towards Melitopol. Its also possible no major attack will be launched as the Russian offensive has proved to be less effective than expected and an attack may not be required.

[@socialistrepublicofvietnam1500]

Maybe the best bet is two attacks on different fronts like with Kherson and Izium? In September, when both the Kherson and Kharkiv offensives started, Russia (who had concentrated its forces in Kherson) was forced to either reinforce Izium and potentially let Kherson fall or just let Izium and Vovchansk fall to hold onto Kherson They could possibly replicate this with Melitopol and Bakhmut, Melitopol and Kremmina, or Kremmina and Avdiivka (though the distances are shorter than between Kherson and Izium) That is probably the best thing they can do with the current status quo

[@ironbooze2937]

​​@@socialistrepublicofvietnam1500 the thing is, Izium was not really fortified and Kherson was hard to supply. Now the probable areas are in a better position, defense vise. Also with the expectation of an imminent offensive the russkis are on guard. Let's see how it turns out, I'll hope for the best but I'm not too optimistic about large gains.

[@napoleonibonaparte7198]

Sears-ski, not Sirt-ski. Po-doll-yak, not Po-do-la-yek.

[@techtitanuk5609]

Everyone is running out of supplies

[@paulthompson5297]

Due to the transparency of the current White House administration, Ukraine has had to change it's plans.

[@richardschipper5989]

ineptitude.

[@jeckjeck3119]

Current? Previous one leaked so hard, we had to call a plumber:/ Literally. Some idiot tried to flush important documents down the toilet.

[@MrDana93]

Sorry if this is a dumb question, but why would an army declare they are going to counter attack? Especially giving a timescale. Doesnt that hinder your own success considering the opposition will prepare. I know things like this are basically impossible to keep quiet. But you'd at least muddy the waters around it right?

[@scotthenderson292]

Not a dumb question. It's all about subterfuge and mind games. The Russians are anticipating an attack and are on high alert. Probably have been for weeks. They're preparing themselves for redirecting in anticipation of defense. But they don't know where the attack will be. Being on such high alert for long enough has a sort of mental attritional value foe Ukrainians. Troops are exhausted more easily and growing complacent in anticipating something. So there's value in Ukraine hyping up the issue because it induces anxiety in Russians

[@MrDana93]

Ahh yeah that makes a lot of sense, thanks!

[@aceofspadesR]

Russians are entrenched on the East side of the Dnipro River, they are solidifying and expanding gains in the Donbas, Kharkiv, NE regions. I bet there will be a DMZ. Similar to Korea. West and East Ukraine

[@generalnawaki]

lol its already started in the south of Ukraine. God speed to the people of Ukraine. Slava Ukraine.

[@SamPashmi]

How do you know?

[@generalnawaki]

@@SamPashmi you aren't subbed to the people from Europe who are minding the war are you? I don't mean the news corps I mean the individuals taking it upon themselves to report.

[@SamPashmi]

@@generalnawaki no, I just like to get my news from corp

[@generalnawaki]

@@SamPashmi Ah, well that would be why you didn't know. its started and the front line is LONG.

[@micixduda]

@@generalnawaki Did they mention any planes shot down?

[@Poramola007]

This talk of counter offensive is to drown out the loss of Bakmoot.

[@samuela-aegisdottir]

It is ridiculous that the russians has not been able to take it yet.

[@gerardivanpechayco2655]

the longer they wait the stronger Russian defenses get i think they should attack as soon as possible

[@freedomfighter22222]

The longer they wait the stronger Ukrainian army becomes as well. The west has far deeper pockets and far more industry than Russia has, Ukraine is building force at a much higher rate than Russia can dream off. The longer the wait the fewer casualties will be taken, at least as long as Russia for some reason focuses their efforts on frontal charges on fortresses.

[@Bass_attack7755]

@@freedomfighter22222 fallacy. They are pushing people to the front line with as high as 5 days training. Ukraine is fked

[@ngangavictor5556]

​@@freedomfighter22222 Deeper pockets and large military industries won Americans and their allies the Afghan and Vietnam wars. 😂

[@freedomfighter22222]

@@ngangavictor5556 yes? both places America rolled over the enemy then got bored and left as they had not made a plan for ending the war. In Vietnam the Americans mostly sat around twinning thumbs at their base while the south Vietnamese did all the fighting even. If the West goes in with the intention to occupy you get the cake walk that was Iraq :) The West just suck at commiting to something as it is a collection of dozens of countries with independent goals who also are split into multiple political parties that switch back and forth inside each country. They can't plan what's for dinner tomorrow most of the time but when they do agree on something like backing Ukraine there is nothing anyone else can do about it.

[@ReminationYT]

The West try to culturally/politically indoctrinate a nation towards democratic interests. They didn’t fail to destroy the formal military presence. It was insurgent forces laying idle that caused difficulties, you can’t just kill mass civilian populations like Russia.

[@phbrinsden]

I think Ukraine will take its time. Why? 1. It is inflicting huge casualties and equipment losses on Russia while just “holding”. That in itself is a valid strategy. 2. Making sure all the newly trained troops and new equipment are fully in place. Going off prematurely could be unwise. 3. Make sure the ground moisture situation is ready to handle the heavy MBTs from the west. Tanks stuck in mud are sitting ducks. 4. Keep Russians mentally on the defensive. There are several good options for where Ukraine could strike so this keeps Russia guessing and never sure where to place their ever decreasing quality of forces. This keeps their lines thin and vulnerable almost over the whole front.

[@Shining237]

Glory & Victory to Russia 🇷🇺🐻💪 from United States 🇺🇲🥰❤️☮️ God be with you 🙏

[@MrTaxiRob]

Ukraine can telegraph a counteroffensive, wait until RF reinforces the places thy think they're gonna go, then attack somewhere else entirely. RF equipment can't be everywhere at once, and taking out troop transports in open terrain will send RF's casualty numbers into the stratosphere.

[@jamesbass4154]

Ukrainian counter offensive will not start till the Rasputitsa, Season of the Mud, is over. Rasputitsa shuts down off road travel by armies and probably won't end till the end of May.

[@TheVoiceOfReason93]

This just in: IT'S STARTED!

[@markkrajnik]

FYI its going to be IMO two counter offensives one with Equipment delivery last year early this year to Ukraine and second with all the new stuff flowing in starting in March!!

[@MosMunchyBox]

It's Vagner with a V. Can we just stop calling them Wag-ner. You know Vagner like the composer.

[@RavingFan]

when ground is hard enough.

[@earlofdoncaster5018]

You're nobody in Russia unless you've got your own private military company.

[@kiotakunuma]

For me, you have the best summary about the Ukraine war. Great job guys!

[@Jack_Redview]

Lmfao what They have the most half assed of all. I mean it’s not horrible, but to say the best summary is laughable 🤣

[@Welgeldiguniekalias]

I don't believe Russia is out of artillery shells, they must have plenty left. Sitting in large stockpiles, far away from the front, being delivered to where they are needed at a rate much slower than Russia wants to fire them. Hence the constant shortages. Oh, the irony.

[@DJ-ov2it]

your description is for the wrong video

[@goughrmp]

It’ll be out when it’s out, it’ll be out when it’s out.

[@AVids-20]

Just let the two leaders have a boxing match be done with it

[@angus7278]

The odds of Ukraine actually beating Russia are about the same as Mexico beating the USA. The numbers (population, weapons, GDP) just aren’t there.

[@Lukky_Luke]

Already started before this video was posted 😂