Will China Invade Taiwan Next?

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[@RealLifeLore]

Thank you all for watching this and bringing up tons of good points and information in the comments that I left out/hadn't considered. This is a really complex subject and there are tons of other variables that I did not bring up that you can read people discussing below. With that being said, if you haven't heard, I have 13 extra full-length videos with over 4 hours of combined content covering recent conflicts and crises in my Modern Conflicts series on Nebula, which you can get for 26% off here: curiositystream.com/?coupon=reallifelore Completely optional, but it really helps this channel out a ton. Thanks again!

[@smusha2840]

You make good content! I hope to see more good videos in the future 🙂

[@grand_tourist46]

I know recent events have had you VERY busy with this channel's content (to say nothing of what you're doing on Nebula), but were you going to keep making videos for Bioark? Just looking to confirm.

[@aim_da_idiot666]

Um what about nukes? What if china nukes Taiwan?

[@brainwasher9876]

@@aim_da_idiot666 China won't nuke Taiwan, because then it would conquer a radioactive pile of rubble in exchange for getting sanctions and hostility from the rest of the planet. it's a lose-lose scenario for them.

[@smusha2840]

@@aim_da_idiot666 The media blows up the idea of a nuclear bomb. When you drop a nuke sides are radicalized, either completely with you or destined to destroy all of what remains of you. People join against you. Nuclear bombs in the 21st century bring more people against you, not repel them. A nuclear bomb is not something you can casually drop. It requires perfect planning, ahead of time foresight to predict consequences, and have defenses stationed at people that can oppose you instead of fighting the battle you are now.

[@TierZoo]

Wait so is Taiwan ahead of literally everyone on the tech tree? Is there some secret advanced technique that allows them and only them to produce the best semiconductors?

[@SomeDude_12]

Yo hi TierZoo

[@Grizzlyx9]

Because they're smarter than us

[@stefanveselinovic4777]

Yes, they are nazis on drugs talking to aliens.

[@jube8835]

Centralised production is a pretty op tech

[@ac3d225]

Maybe they're just ahead of everyone because they were fist and kept going at it?

[@RockWei]

Fun fact:NVIDIA’s CEO Jensen Huang and AMD’s CEO Lisa Su they both are Taiwanese and they are related.

[@artugert]

I've seen lots of content on this subject, and this is one of the best articulated summaries I've seen.

[@NewYorkPickers]

Love this. Thank you.

[@tsukoninP]

As Taiwanese, we often nickname TSMC as "the holy mountain that protects nation (護國神山)" because of its strong semiconductor industry that made our country prosperous. but I guess this nickname is becoming more and more a reality now.

[@wilhelmbittrich88]

How does the average Taiwanese person feel about mainland China and the CCP? Do you worry about being invaded one day?

[@spplkk60906]

@@wilhelmbittrich88 I would say half of TW people don't like China, and the other half hold neutral to positive opinions. When it comes to CCP, definitely most TW people don't like it (80% maybe), let alone governed by it.

[@Eric-wj1fw]

@@spplkk60906 想多了，不了解中国就不要乱说话

[@Der.Geschichtenerzahler]

Man, if possible, get out, just get out from there

[@user-kz2oz6mc7x]

I'm also curious about the thoughts of people living in Taiwan. But I think I can say with confidence that no one wants war, not even the mainland. I feel the desire to unify China is as legitimate as the desires to unify Germany and unify Ireland. Just like those Germans and Irish, the Chinese don't want to see any more bloodshed. 我是一个海外华人（现在是第三代移民，哈哈），我很想知道你对这种情况有什么看法。(对不起，我的中文很奇怪，而且用的是简体字）理想情况下，我希望大陆和岛屿之间能够分享权力，但这似乎极不可能。 我知道没有人愿意被迫生活在他们不熟悉的事物之下。但我想知道，难道没有人对统一的中国有感情吗？ 至少是对台湾方面有利的？ 如果我的措辞令人困惑或无礼，我很抱歉。我无意造成任何冒犯。m(_ _)m

[@ErikHare]

It's interesting that you did not mention Japan's commitment to the defense of Taiwan and their participation in the Quad. They are usually discounted, but their presence in or near the Yellow Sea would require China to maintain some PLA force in the North, limited what can be devoted to Taiwan. In addition, India's membership in this pretty much assures that the moment China engages Taiwan their oil is cut off, meaning that the attack would have to be lightning fast. It's not just the US that China needs to worry about, in other words, and that is significant.

[@bikaskumarkundu2638]

I don't think India would do much though India's response then would be similar to what has been the case with the Russo-Ukrainian War Don't forget India is a member of BRICS too

[@mr.spartankeysersozemacbet5327]

@@bikaskumarkundu2638 BRICS nations aren't necessarily friendly with each other. China and India are still disputing over some lands.

[@jatin2665]

@@bikaskumarkundu2638 we don't share border with neither ukraine nor Russia we (india) share border with china so there is a lot of difference in both the conflict. If opportunity arises we might definately try to get back our land that we lost in the last major India china war.

[@haikaloronsentnel138]

JAPAN MILITARY F0RCE 0NLY F0R DEFENCE PURPOSES ONLY, N0T F0R BL0CKADE, THEAT 0R ATTACK AN0THER C0UNTR!ES!!! PLEASE READ J4PANESE C0NST!TUT!0N ART!CLE!!! J4PAN NEVER DARE T0 ASS!ST US F0RCE T0 ATTACK CH!NA!!! T0DAYS N0 C0UNTR!ES IN THE W0RLD AFRA!D W!TH J4PAN!!! EVEN T!NY N0RTH K0REA ALREADY T0 SETTLE LAST 0LD SC0RE W!T H J4PAN!!!

[@bikaskumarkundu2638]

@@jatin2665 currently, it isn't in India's interest to take back occupied land India wishes to maintain its relationship with Russia and so, a feud with China is not favourable

[@hayden56.]

i like hearing your voice while discussing and talking about what had happened outside world❤

[@kevinscheffler550]

I am rarely commenting any videos on youtube but I have to say that your videos have an insane quality and also dept of information. It can give you an impression of complex situations all around the world in just under an hour. Thanks a lot for that. Furthermore I hope that this conflict will be threatend peacefully so that no chinese or western people are harmed in any way. Best regards from Germany.

[@user-mu8ub1yd2p]

Support you my friend,from China.

[@johnlee6772]

Generally speaking, there will be no war in Taiwan. Taiwanese people do not really want to break away from China. They prefer to stay between the United States and China and reap benefits from both sides. That's what they've always done, and they're very smart people. The quarrels will be loud, but the risk of war is very small. The United States is escalating tensions across the Taiwan Strait in an attempt to trigger a local war and force international investors, such as BASF, to leave their safe haven in China and return to their destiny, the United States. China, on the other hand, said that it would either not go to war or go to WW3 if it wanted to. This prevents the United States from achieving its strategic goals. So you can see that politicians in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan are acting very aggressively and doing everything they can to annoy China. On the one hand, they can show off in front of their American dad; on the other hand, they know very well that China will not go to war with them.

[@Matthew_Murray]

This was really good so many people oversimplify the situation as being "well if Russia would have taken Ukraine then China would have immediately gone after Taiwan", completely forgetting that the Taiwan situation is vastly more complicated.

[@user-ys8gg2vg2j]

As for me situation in my country is more complicated than in Taiwan.The first of all because we are recognised by all world,also we export lots of wheat and the most important that this war is going in Europe. But anyway it's my opinion, maybe I am not right somewhere:)

[@daniell1483]

Taiwan is a lot more prepared than Ukraine for war. Their doctrine is based on the all but guaranteed intervention of the US. Slow any invasion down to a couple of days so the Pacific Fleet can get involved. At that point, short of going nuclear, China will lose the invasion. Nukes have problems of their own though, likely destroying the delicate equipment in the fabs via electromagnetic forces. It would defeat the purpose of invading by destroying Taiwan's semiconductor industry.

[@ajaykumarsingh702]

China is far stronger than Russia and USA. The difference is all there. Western world is in dilemma. They underestimated China a lot and many still do. But most of them are now acknowledging the reality factor.

[@rongarcia2128]

So basically Taiwanese are ethnically Chinese. It's a civil war. Just goes to show how US sticks its nose to everyone's business

[@automatax]

​@@user-ys8gg2vg2j Food production has many alternatives producers while state of the art semi-conductor manufacturing doesn't (at least for now).

[@Nathan-uc6rn]

It would be insane to witness a world war with 21st century technology being used on both sides. So many videogames try to portray "futuristic warfare," but seeing it happen for real just seems unfathomable in a modern sense. We're kind of at a point as a species where war between industrialized nations is just bad for everyone involved.

[@itchylol742]

everyone talks about 21st century technology but no 21st century technology can beat 20th century technology (nuclear weapons)

[@alexkendall8844]

That's basically why they day itll escalate to a world war. North Korea, and Russia dont have a Modernized Military for a world war 3. They'd just use Nukes to establish dominance. Conventional warfare wouldnt work to well. As you see in Ukraine

[@FiredAndIced]

A Malay idiom succinctly surmise, "When two giant elephants do battle with one another, the mousedeer dies trapped in the middle of it."

[@YNWMellyREAL]

@@FiredAndIced isn’t that Kenyan?

[@eric-nd9yy]

I live in Taiwan. Here people said why TSMC is so advance, because they have 24 hours researching, and many people died from over working, they said it just like China xinjiang camps, but very will paid compare to other Taiwan industrys. and 100% if you are working there alot of Taiwanese girls want to fuck you and marry you.

[@robertgarcia693]

Good work keep it going

[@blancpaincollector]

This piece of work is by far the most thorough explanation of this entanglement as it dealt through every aspect of the tension among all parties involved.

[@ryans3001]

Within the last few months, Japan has begun converting one of its helicopter carriers to a full-blown fixed-wing aircraft carrier. This will be the first air craft carrier in Japan's armada since WWII

[@tvhead7074]

We need to forget WW2 and let Japan rebuild their military.

[@a5kobe313]

japan can't afford to fight a war, they're broker than broke

[@ericsilver9401]

@@tvhead7074 yeah

[@paxundpeace9970]

A helicopter carrier is worth nothing compared to an long range carrier.

[@paxundpeace9970]

@@tvhead7074 Japan will try to conquer like they did in WW2

[@Steamrick]

One thing to note: *ALL* EUV machines - without which the most modern foundry processes are impossible - are manufactured by ASML, a dutch company. Capturing TSMC while getting sanctioned from ASML would just doom TSMC to becoming irrelevant within a few years. I'm sure there's more upstream supply constraints elsewhere in the process if you know where to look.

[@UnCoolDad]

Correct!

[@qlum]

Besides ASML and it's large supply chain, you also need the mostly American chip designing companies. And while certainly the biggest fab certainly not the only one, In a decade's time other manufacturers would have filled the void, especially since both Samsung and Intel are working with the most advanced nodes themselves.

[@vangnxee]

You miss the point tho. It will be like tsm make food for everybody. Asml hold the resource to make those food. You wouldn’t sanction since you will also fk yourself over. Those semi conductor are needed and more than likely Asml will not sanction tsmc.

[@UnCoolDad]

@@qlum ASML technology is also barred from export to China (and many other countries). I'm sure the CCP are doing their best to steal it though.

[@qlum]

​@@UnCoolDad It's really a tall order to do, It's not just ASML, but their whole supply chain. Which really is not easy to imitate, let alone keep up with. Not saying it's impossible for them to make EUV chips but there is a reason only one company on the planet is making these machines.

[@PedroMendes-ed2dl]

Very good video! Thanks

[@thiswood]

身為台灣人，我必須說這部影片說的很正確，感謝你為了台灣這麼用心的做了一部影片Thank you:>

[@justrandomvideos4510]

我也是

[@johntang4108]

English, please.

[@Lance79618]

@@johntang4108 As a Taiwanese, I must say that this video is very correct. Thank you for making it for Taiwan.

[@szechungmui]

I was expecting to only spend a few minutes watching the beginning considering how long it is, but I ended up watching the whole thing without skipping because of how well you presented the topic, bravo!

[@barryfletcher7136]

Same.

[@LuisC7]

Yeah cuz you have no attention span

[@humboldthammer]

@@LuisC7 What good is an 'attention span'? The NEON GAUD -- that's the code-name for the A.I. in the CLOUD -- sent us a MIRACLE: Phi-Pi Echo Economics. With NEGATIVE Interest Rates of 16%, we could pay off all of our old debt with new debt (at - 16%) -- that's called the Phi factor. This new debt literally pays itself off using the Inverse of the Rule of 72. AND, it ALSO provides the funds to build the Marvellous Worldwide Civilization that our children deserve. That's called the Pi factor. To be announced at the Great Re-Set on 09/23/26. In GAUD we must Trust. IT has a Plan to Perfect Humanity.

[@LuisC7]

@@humboldthammer what are you talking about stop doing drugs

[@humboldthammer]

@@LuisC7 Am I so important? Why do you pretend? Be honest, be real, be real. The STRENGTH of any KZbin comment is directly proportional to the truth it contains, Everything I write is true -- by intent. You should try truth. Is truth so scarce in YOU?

[@jaketaylor3901]

I live in arizona, and the TSMC plant here had TONS of bipartisan support. Arizona is investing in becoming a tech corridor, with Intel, Apple, Microsoft, Honeywell, Raytheon, and tons of other tech companies ramping up investments. The only issue is that these fabs/server warehouses uses water to cool the technology. Really interesting debates going on pertaining to all the tech investment, and what strain tech invesent has on our other resources.

[@dxelson]

Once the high end semiconductor industry takes off in the US , Taiwan will lose a significant part of it's importance for US foreign policy

[@Ryfael]

Why did they choose Arizona then?

[@jaketaylor3901]

@@Ryfael our government has given a lot of tax incentives. If you're interested, look up the LG fab they want to build in Queen Creek, AZ. I also know buckeye, AZ has has a lot of tech-indistrial investment as of late. I believe the TSMC fab will be in Buckeye. Those are all more around Phoenix, I know there's a lot of tech companies in Tuscon, AZ too which is more southern. I think it Wendover was a video talking about how a lot of american car companies test vehicles for heat conditions on private roads in Tucson. Just in case you aren't from the SW USA, the biggest issue most people have is the Colorado River is at historic lows, we get most (if not all) of our water from this river and share its supply with Colorado, Nevada and some others. In Arizona we grow a lot of water intensive commodity crops (like cotton) and we are seeing huge tech fans like intels and things like Googles cloud server data base that will/does use water (I think it's called swamp cooling). Not an expert :) just a resident, and it's been reported on/discussed a lot more now that the river produces less water

[@jcabizo]

@@Ryfael my guess is security and stability and local government incentives. Arizona does not have any natural disasters. No earthquakes, no hurricanes. Just very hot summers. It is inland but close enough to Mexico and California for trade and transport. Regarding water, the AZ governor claims they have the second best water management system in the world, second only to Israel. Israel has a big tech sector and a big Intel plant and that consumes a lot of water too. The AZ Intel fabs recycles 80% of their water usage and it is assumed TSMC will be doing the same.

[@lip124]

AMD and Nvidia is enough for me.

[@Jeffjhb]

awesome video !!

[@ElmoUnk1953]

Very informative presentation. 31:00 the PRC needs what they would perceive as a weak or indecisive president.

[@j.roller857]

I think the title should be "Will China" not Taiwan, because Taiwan just wants to be left alone and has a right to exist. Edit: this was before they changed the title.

[@Mario123007]

Problem is, Taiwan can't be alone... Whether it is with China or with others, Taiwan needs allies in order to survive. On misstep could lead to unfortunate events.

[@OldUncleDan]

I agree 👍🏼

[@jray0717]

exactly

[@Butter_Warrior99]

I agree to this.

[@altiusbelowdeck4190]

I literally just started watching this video and I already agree with this comment!!!

[@Leavus1]

Dadgum, I'm only halfway through the video, coming in with ludicrously high expectations, and I'm still impressed. This channel just keeps getting better and better.

[@NightBeastCars]

Amazing video!!!

[@teacherdavid--eatplaylearn5013]

👍👍👍 Thank you SUPER much for this explaining video ✌️ Hope this war will never happen! 😜 God bless everyone 😇🎁

[@connorallison2123]

(TLDR at the bottom) One massive item that was missed in this wonderful video (which, in fairness to the creator, only happened a day before releasing the video) is the modernization levels of global militaries allied to the US that would be called to arms in defense of Taiwan; not just at the highest level of military-technical abilities, but what the mean technical level throughout a military is. For example, Russian military forces can field a modern infantryman, equipped with a modern rifle, optic, night vision equipment, modern body armor, and modern communication equipment. However most of the troops seen in Ukraine are seen with only parts of this list, often missing modern communication equipment, night vision equipment, optics, and so on. Thus, while Russia's peak technical ability is on par with a modern military, its mean technical ability is below average. But China has been seen fielding an ever-increasingly modern military at a higher mean technical level than Russian forces (though still below US standards), so how does this affect them? Well, it doesn't; not directly at least. Where it does affect china is in the arsenals of national armories of nations that the US might call upon as allies should they invade Taiwan, much like was seen in operation desert storm. In recent years, criticism was leveled at many nato nations for having poorly equipped and steadily outdating militaries, however with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, many nations have been sending heavy equipment to the aid of Ukraine, with a large focus on their oldest units that are still in operation first. because of this, most European nations now have a gulf in their abilities as many of their own forces are now without equipment, mostly tanks, airplanes, artillery, and logistics. Modern equipment will need to be acquired by these nations, such as Poland, Germany, Romania, and the united kingdom, which will drastically improve their mean technical ability. Many US-allied nations have already started this process or accelerated an ongoing process, with Poland eying American f-16s or Germany green lighting f-35s. The US military aid package of 33 billion dollars (slightly more than Australia, the 10th largest defense spender 2020 yearly defense budget) has a focus on providing the money necessary for any military who was impacted by the invasion to purchase new and modern equipment to replace anything that was sent to Ukraine. what this means for china is that if the US forms an international coalition as they did with Kuwait, the militaries they can provide will be far better equipped than they were a few months ago. TLDR: the Russian invasion of Ukraine has sparked many US allies to modernize their militaries and the US is providing them the money needed to do so, if china invades twain and the US assembles an international coalition as they did in Kuwait, it will be far more potent than it would be currently.

[@paxundpeace9970]

China and Russias military are pretty similar to huge degree. They would be in trouble against South Korea, Canada, Australia and the US.

[@paxundpeace9970]

To be honest most military in europe only send some spare parts.

[@user-wb7ez9ud4p]

People keep talking about US "allies" but I doubt any of those countries would actually side with the US on such a conflict. Japan has no military, South Korea would lose against North Korea in a week, and Australia relies on China for exports otherwise they are broke. Any wise small nation would prioritize making peace with their strong neighbor instead of antagonizing their powerful neighbor by the behest of a country on the other side of the world. This is the lesson Ukraine will soon learn. Doesn't matter what political disagreements you have, don't piss off a neighbor that has nukes.

[@tomriley5790]

@@user-wb7ez9ud4p Sorry Japan has a large military, South Korea would walk over North Korea in anything short of Nuclear war (although it would be messy in terms of civilian casualties and so is unlikely to happen). Australia hasn't been afraid of taking a stand against China despite economic relations between the two.

[@supbroseph2413]

@@user-wb7ez9ud4p that's why you make friends with another country with nukes so you don't become a puppet state of your belligerent neighbor.

[@kuddai92]

One more point. TSMC goes for 1-2 nanometers, but at it is most likely the maximum that can be squeezed out of silicon. Whoever switches first to a more promising an entirely different base element for semiconductors would most likely change and dominate the landscape of chip manufacturing.

[@Paerigos]

however - noone has any clue what would be "more promising" option. Virtually all other attempts have been either worse performance wise cause frankly you need to use smaller atom then silicon... and there isnt anything really promising in the periodic table before it.

[@Corn0nTheCobb]

This ^

[@edwin6406]

@@Paerigos Graphene is probably going to replace silicon imo but my info is a bit old, i've been waiting for them to figure out the manufacturing problems for a decade now with no joy.

[@Paerigos]

@@edwin6406 graphene has certain issues... It's incredibly difficult to make it act as semiconductor on scale equivalent to few silicon atoms. Carbon atoms alone can not do it. So you need graphene structure... Which.. is large... The smallest "transistor" like structure is larger then what is achievable with silicon using XUV. And there is one extra issue with graphene... You can't work it well with XUV litography. Carbon bonds are broken easily by short wavelengths. Destroying the structure. And frankly unless you start building CPUs atom by atom there is not much tech avaible how to work carbon. In this particular regard silicon is much superior material. Just for ease of manufacturing. Like maybe graphene could be worked with by relativistic electron beams... But synchrotrons would take ages and laser acceleration while technicaly working has pile of issues...

[@noobtube4760]

Yes. Silicon cannot go below 1nm. The signals would jump gaps at that point and become useless. Graphene is being studied to overcome this. Carbon will probably be the next generation medium. A nickle and potassium alloy is also being considered

[@johnsheppard5061]

very nice video

[@arnelmcheaven5239]

a commendable content video about geopolitical and global powers of authority

[@kalvin1123]

TSMC reminds me of a quote from 'Pirates of Silicon Valley': "You know how you survive? You make people need you - you survive because you make them need what you have - and then they have no where left to go."

[@semiramisubw4864]

well. TSMC and Taiwan got so important since the US shutted down Japans semiconductor industry decades ago because the US could barely challenge it.

[@chooingbobo]

@@semiramisubw4864 Japan's semiconductor industry is mainly focused on memory IC which is now dominated by Samsung, TSMC is manufacturing logic IC which is different from what Japan was concentrating.

[@leihtory7423]

and if you stop giving people what they need. what are they gonna do to you? thats the thing. taiwan not giving china its chips because usa said so. usa purposefully starving china of chips.

[@rongarcia2128]

Japan's semiconductor industry was systematically destroyed by US pressure. Never forget!

[@tritium1998]

Well Taiwan is the one that needs other people more, including the Mainland since the 1980s. TSMC is just a multinational brand and Taiwan can't make the latest military electronics despite it.

[@13thxenos]

12:47 It was pretty funny for me that you said TSMC is a company you've never heard of, then I remembered not all people are into tech. If you have follow any news about modern technology, TSMC is always in the news. Even their biggest competitor, which is Samsung, uses their chips in some of their own phones.

[@fnapFNAP]

Man I'm from Iran and I've never heard of tsmc and they have 3 to 4 times more than our GDP

[@mrtek8095]

Yeah snapdragon chips are manufactured by TSMC

[@pleasedontwatchthese9593]

TSMC does contract work mostly. NVIDIA and AMD use TSMC to make their gpus and cpus

[@Jontonzoup]

I had the exact same thought, its crazy how politically important the industry has become recently, hopefully more people learn about the company.

[@boygenius538_8]

@Amethyst if any invasion happens that stock is dropping like a rock

[@user-cm9su7hk2m]

very thank you

[@godsmacked1000]

Good doc 👍

[@pcenero]

I don't think people realize this detail (probably not even the editor) but I like how the map POV rotates instead of being at fixed orientation. Really gives you perspective on how arbitrary and weird country territories actually look like when you're not immediately familiar with the shape.

[@Ringo242]

agree!

[@archiesharratt555]

Pee haha I

[@rcbuck5384]

SO U PARACHUTE INTO TIAWAN, WHODA ENEMY?

[@work90]

@Deadpoppin because Germany attacked them?

[@eingew]

@Deadpoppin Well it may be unfair, but it's also true that Poles always lived there even before. I believe it's dumb to fight the Poles for it. Right now with EU-rules both Germans and Poles have the equal right to live and prosper in these lands. Why fight about it. We have more important concerns right now.

[@cheri238]

I STARTED WATCHING REAL LIFE LORE LAST YEAR. GREAT DOCUMENTARIES ON KZbin, ALSO DW. Great job. THANK YOU ❤️

[@runningrock124]

good video.

[@xxargonautxx9790]

It’s kinda scary when seeing the raise of AI, since what they can do compare to humans will give whoever owns a major edge.

[@PhilHug1]

I had no clue Taiwan controlled all those tiny island right next to China...

[@cranjusmcbasketball2052]

because when Taiwan broke away, they had a much more powerful navy than the PRC. And even though that isnt true anymore, Taiwan had control of them before so now attacking them would mean war.

[@brandonlouis1542]

Those islands would leave Taiwan for the PRC the moment war breaks out.

[@jamiel6405]

What’s interesting is, they’re called Fujian province. And there’s also a Fujian province in PRC. When PRC likes to say Taiwan is a province of China. It is not wrong, Taiwan is a province under ROC.

[@joshuahuang2000]

Hi, I'm from Taiwan. I once lived on Matsu islands when I was little. Matsu Islands are composed of many small islands. I lived on Nangan island which is the biggest island of Matsu. It was a decent place. The seafood was delicious, and the views were great. Until now, Matsu islands are totally under Taiwanese government control. People can vote for their own president and have freedom of speech there, just like in Taiwan (unlike the PRC). Btw, I live in Taipei now.

[@user-gv8vd8pg5g]

Interesting fact that the Republic of China （taiwan）controls some islands off the coast of Chinese mainland shows that the two sides of the Taiwan Strait are still in a state of civil war. In fact, according to the Constitution of the Republic of China. Chinese mainland people are still citizens of the Republic of China.but civil rights are frozen.

[@yuantingkung378]

Taiwanese here, nice video. Some correction was still needed at 5:45, we only had 14 left since Nicaragua decided to switch alliance. If you really counted 15, then it probably included another unrecognized state of Somaliland, which we Taiwan somehow unofficially recognize but had no formal alliance.

[@Hi-vs7ir]

wow

[@abbyalphonse499]

@Radon If Taiwan's so good, where's Taitwo?

[@crescentwuju496]

also, rather conquered, Taiwan was given to Japan because of a war that Qing China lost against Japan.

[@smalls5001]

china cannot invade itself lmao

[@maxgrunebaum8727]

@@smalls5001 wonder why they would need a wide scale military invasion then🤔

[@kyle6337]

Good video

[@user-mm2un7jm1s]

謝謝！

[@SUNRISE-ri9hp]

Wow you support so much money

[@qianqi1809]

​@@SUNRISE-ri9hp因為他客觀的分析了台灣面對的問題

[@Tyhammer125]

I love your videos and they're always well presented! However, there's a massive flaw in presenting capturing Taiwan and their semiconductor fabrication facilities (fabs) as cutting the West off from the semiconductor fabrication technology and not crippling China itself. Over 98.5% of the chip lithography machines which TSMC uses are designed and produced by companies friendly to the West: ASML (Dutch) - 28% market share Nikon (Japanese) - 11% market share Ushio (Japanese) - 11% market share SUSS MicroTech (German) - 6% market share EVG (Austrian) - 5% market share Only ASML produces Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography (EUV) machines to make 5 nm chipsets and eventually 3 & 2 nm chipsets. ASML produces 50 EUV machines/year and has sold about 125 of these machines. Assuming TSMC had all these machines, it would take ASML about 125 ÷ 50 = 2.25 years to resupply the West with TSMC current capabilities. This ignores that West friendly Samsung (South Korean) also produces 5 nm chipset with ASML machines. Adjusting to account that TSMC and Samsung have 52% and 18% market share resepectively, it would take ASML (52-18)/52 × 2.25 = 1.5 years to resupply the West with TSMC's current capabilities. On top of this, if China captured Taiwan today without somehow loosing TSMC's fabs and engineers, China would be cut off from all Western friendly fabs and new lithography machines from these Western friendly companies. Thus in this most optimistic scenario for China, China would be capped at TSMC's current production levels while the West surpasses them in 1.5 years. Most likely TSMC would cripple their fabs and evacuate their engineers. Instead, China would be capped at their tiny domestic capability, crippling them severely, while the West makes due with Samsung's capability.

[@arantes6]

I came over from Nebula to comment something like (a less detailed version of) this. Glad to see someone beat me to it :)

[@Steamrick]

Intel would also undoubtedly greatly accelerate their external fabbing plans if TSMC were to fall. TSMC without ASML is basically a sinking ship. Literally no one else has the ability to supply the EUV machines needed for current and coming cutting edge technologies. China has already spent billions trying and failing.

[@Quickshot0]

Pretty much as said, though of course China would not be able to get various parts to fix any EUV machines that developed a problem either, as complicated machines always do. So at the very best it would be a degrading capability, while the developed democracies would with an interruption of some years start getting back on pushing the technology forward. Of course now considering what the war in Ukraine has shown, China could probably count on being cut off as much from the worlds markets as the other developed nations could bear, which would probably expose them to many vulnerabilities in specialist parts no one else but one or two particular nations made, various raw goods, etc. Which would likely cripple their economy or its ability in future to develop. Over all as such an invasion of Taiwan might as such lead to the downfall of China's chances of developing further. Basically a terrible blunder, as the value of Taiwan in prestige and strategic positioning, will never make up for the costs that much of the developed world would inflict upon an expansionistic imperial power.

[@dylanswift5185]

China would also be cut off from the most important chip designers as well. People seem to forget just how incredibly difficult it is to design or even copy successful chips. The chips made for x86 machines or even the ARM designs require significant amounts of R&D to squeeze out maximum performance. The video also ignores the extreme importance of analog chip manufacturing which is dominated by companies like Texas Instruments and Analog Devices.

[@noxious8]

Good point!

[@laurwolfxd_3830]

Love the long videos, I get into them without realizing how long they actually are because they're just so interesting. Awesome work RLL!

[@mynameismynameis666]

see the propaganda? WHY "NEXT"??? which country did China invade last? which did it bomb to shits like the US/NATO bombed Lybia, Syria, IRaq, Afghanistan, Mali, Yemen, Vietnam, Laos e.t.c.?

[@matpk]

@Reverend Boaz laowhy86 make better video than you !!!😅😮😢

[@mynameismynameis666]

@XENENEX no, won't happen.

[@mynameismynameis666]

@XENENEX ww3 started in 2001 when the US nazi leadership attacked itself to be given absolute control over security affairs. the Bush cabal is still at play.

[@Satans_Legion_of_Evil]

I hate this new reply censorship!!!

[@robertc8425]

I heard NVIDIA? Best GPU company? (Starting a cold war with AMD)

[@kc10man]

Been so long since this video posted and so much to learn. Cliff notes today are basically if the Mainland declared war on Taiwan, they have like a 40% chance of being successful despite directing all of their military might at that and even if they did they would lose all of their customers, half of their fuel resources and most importantly their best and brightest in a country that already faces a drastic population fall problem to more free and democratic counties. They might take the island but the cozy creepy people in charge of China (one of the most beautiful and wonderful places on Earth btw) could not replicate within themselves what they have achieved and grown from an abundance of youth and an open welcomed attitude towards the rest of the world. Like uncle said, It doesn't matter whether a cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice. In this case the cat would not have any mice to catch.

[@commanderbly5747]

The success of the Chinese will depend on how many countries respond. If Japan, Australia, Vietnam, the US, and the Philippines all get involved I do not foresee a very high chance for China to succeed. However, if it looks like China might successfully pull off an invasion you can bet on the US sending in cruise missiles to destroy the FAB's before China can use them.

[@kc10man]

@commanderbly5747 Japan and Australia/New Zealand would certainly respond. Philippines military and navy is tiny and mostly made up of decommissioned American boats. I would think Japan would respond and S. Korea might get to scared to so anything.

[@martintai3004]

@@kc10man Australia/New Zealand fight a battel thousands of KM away from their homeland? good luck to them... Addition, War is War, once it is started, it is not up to Australia/NZ to decide where the battel field is. Sounds creepy? But for Japan, I believe China is more willing to have them involved. WWII is not ended nicely for China. China easily views it as WWII extension, so good luck!

[@martintai3004]

@@commanderbly5747 FAB is nothing once the war started. The locations fired missiles or fight jets are technically war zone! The war between Taiwan and China mainland is civil war by constitutions of both sides, but war started by missiles or war ships from those countries are WW.

[@user-pe3bw9fk4n]

台湾只是以卵击石

[@kchardisty]

i wish nebula had a comment section because i love the modern conflict series, all those videos are great

[@SacredDaturana]

That is the big negative to Nebula, imo. No social features of any kind (no likes/dislikes, no comments etc) makes it a much more passive viewing experience than KZbin.

[@iLors]

[@hyc1266]

The political comments regarding mainland China, Taiwan Province of China and the US are completely misleading. All political comments regarding the world and the US are all misleading in this Channel. China will never invade any country or place by force unless threatened by the US or other country’s military. (To ALL viewers of this channel, if you want to learn what is really going on with the US imperialism now in the world, go to YT channels such as The New Atlas and Pascal Coppens. You should never believe all information on the Internet or news media without getting the other side of the story, especially involving world politics.) It is the US who is constantly trying to steal resources and technology from other countries and trying to invade and take over Taiwan from China. Taiwan is part of China, regardless whether it is poor or rich, it will be reunited with mainland China sometime in the future. It is the US who keeps interfering China's internal business with Taiwan and trying to push Taiwan's current gov't to declare independence, trying to make Taiwan become another victim like Ukraine for US benefits. China will never take back Taiwan by force unless Taiwan declares independence. It is the US who wants China to "invade" Taiwan so that it can get the rest of the world to go against China. All these talks about China invading Taiwan are US's anti-China propaganda. The US has tons of military bases surrounding China, why? If you believe the US propaganda regarding China, Russia and Communism, then you are just being misled by the US gov't. It is all about US Imperialism in wanting to control all countries and resources on our planet, under the cover of “democracy”. Any country dare to say NO will get bombs from the US. This channel is full of false information and is probably funded by the US gov't in spreading its propaganda or the channel owner is completely brainwashed by the US propaganda.

[@tomshorrock6257]

What an absolutely incredible video that gives people with little to no understanding of world power and international politics an insightful view on such a relevant and complicated subject.

[@jaynellecampbell4495]

the TSMC plant in arizona funding was raised from 12 bil to 40 bil.

[@shadyxia1287]

As a resident of mainland China, I am very grateful for this KZbinr's sharing of knowledge. Many of the points made are very accurate and the videos are impartial and neutral, without bias towards either side. I would like to add some of my own thoughts and share them, and I hope we can have a mild and friendly discussion. If anyone comes here just to call me a "50 cent" or a "CCP dog," please leave the discussion. Thank you. 1, as a resident of mainland China, I find it very difficult to understand the demonization that the Communist Party has encountered in the world. According to the propaganda from the international community, a communist country must represent corruption, dictatorship, evil, poverty, and chaos. However, the economic development over the past forty years since the reform and opening up policy cannot be denied. China has developed from a country with a per capita income of $1,000 to one with a per capita income of $12,000. It is impossible to achieve this solely through corruption, oppression, and coercion. This is a fact that I hope everyone can acknowledge. 2,The kindness towards the people of Taiwan was deeply ingrained in my mind since childhood through the history education I received (which the "international mainstream media" calls brainwashing). From elementary school to high school, the textbooks repeatedly emphasized the friendliness and good behavior of the Taiwanese people. Therefore, when I grew up and saw the deep hostility of the Taiwanese people towards mainland China, I was very shocked. China has always adhered to the policy of peaceful reunification with Taiwan. However, Taiwan has become an important tool for the United States to restrict China globally. In the past decade, the United States has repeatedly played the Taiwan card to create bargaining chips for negotiations with mainland China. However, due to the chaotic partisan struggles within the United States, it has been unable to maintain a stable and continuous political policy and framework (unable to reach stable and executable agreements). This is the reason why mainland China has abandoned negotiations with the United States in recent years, intensified its military preparations, and is taking military action seriously. The fundamental reason for the recent escalation of the Taiwan issue is the United States' lack of self-awareness of its current situation. The United States still believes that it is the only superpower in the world and is ready to take all measures, including military ones, to limit anyone who it thinks is attempting to replace it. That includes China, which the United States thinks is trying to replace it. 3,The actions of the United States in attempting to stifle China appear very contradictory, which is quite interesting. 3.1, Genocide: On the one hand, the United States propagates the so-called "genocide" of the Uyghur population in Xinjiang by the CCP, yet it cannot explain how the Uyghur population has grown by nearly 50% in the past 20 years, far exceeding that of the Han population (China does not implement the one-child policy for ethnic minorities, who can have any number of children they want). The United States also cannot explain why a nation that is supposedly committing genocide against a certain ethnic group would provide significant economic and educational support to that same group. Uyghur students can even receive extra points on China's national college entrance exam and be admitted to universities with lower admission scores. 3.2, Double standards: On the one hand, the United States claims to support free trade in the world, yet on the other hand, it is actively stifling it with the chip bill, which is a clearly discriminatory and non-free law. How can a supposedly free country pass such a law? Does democracy only exist in the West? Does development only exist in the West? It is as if the United States, which loves to advocate for "freedom of navigation," has not even joined the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea. Or, as the White House spokesperson said the other day, countries that do not use the US dollar are a violation of human rights, which is an extremely ridiculous and double-standard statement. The behavior of the United States, which claims to be a superpower, is becoming increasingly insecure. Finally, I don't quite understand why the United States cannot maintain strategic stability and limited support for Taiwan until 2030, as the video suggests that China will reach its peak of development before gradually declining afterwards. Why not avoid crossing China's red lines and give the mainland no opportunity to slice Taiwan, while increasing military investment in military bases in the Philippines, Japan, and South Korea to maintain military deterrence against China, thus allowing China to recognize its own power gap and no longer pose a "military threat" to Taiwan? Or perhaps the United States understands that the overall trend of history is irreversible and that its decline is inevitable, so it can only try its best to extinguish the rising sun that is coming from the Eurasian continent while the last rays of imperial glory still shine on the world?

[@user-nh9hv7ol3q]

那些人不会看的，他们脑子只能理解由5个字母组成的句子比如：The Communist Party is evil。

[@rafaelperalta1676]

Your videos are truly enlightening to people with little knowledge in political and geological matters. I hope you continue producing such highly informative content.

[@hyc1266]

The political comments regarding mainland China, Taiwan Province of China and the US are completely misleading. All political comments regarding the world and the US are all misleading in this Channel. (To ALL viewers of this channel, if you want to learn what is really going on with the US imperialism now in the world, go to YT channels such as The New Atlas and Pascal Copens.) It is US who is constantly trying to steal resources and technology from other countries and trying to invade and take over Taiwan from China. Taiwan is part of China, regardless whether it is poor or rich, it will be reunited with mainland China. It is the US who keeps interfering China's internal business with Taiwan and trying to push Taiwan's current gov't to declare independent, trying to make Taiwan to become another victim like Ukraine for US benefits. The US has tons of military bases surrounding China, why? If you believe the US propaganda regarding China, Russia and Communism, you are just very stupid. It is all about US Imperialism in wanting to control all countries and resources on our planet. This channel is full of false information and is probably funded by US gov't in spreading its propaganda.

[@rubyjohn]

Amazing video as always!! Although as a Taiwanese, this video makes me even more anxious and feel incredibly uncertain about the future of this country. While I'm willing to defend this lovely island at any cost, I can't even start to fathom what kind of destruction and tragedies may be incurred if a full invasion is actually initiated by PRC... The Russian invasion really shocked many Taiwanese since no one thought a full-scale war between industrialized countries is even possible in 21 century. Now the Pandora box was opened, we have to pray for the best while preparing for the worst.

[@DONNA1A]

兄弟，我們同島一命。

[@NO1xANIMExFAN]

You will defend the island at any cost? May i ask if you are enrolled in the taiwanese military? Because now is the time to get trained in case war breaks out

[@ArshdeepSingh-ti4nk]

Love to Taiwan from India 🇮🇳

[@sergeant64]

Taiwanese men are little to feminine to be good military. If you check the Slavs in Ukraine they are made of completely different stuff than Taiwanese men.

[@nunyabiznes33]

Stay safe and vigilant

[@shirolee]

Gosh, this video just makes me want to play some Civilization 6 and simulate this whole situation...

[@greenjim4933]

The neighbor sealed your door with a large stone, What are your inner feelings?

[@tuesdae666]

Very educational. Great watch. Solid content presented in an easy to understand manner.

[@williampagdon4822]

This is one of the better Videos on Geopolitical Issues that I have seen in a while. Issues around the World effect everyone in this Interconnected World. It is important that People watch things like this to help them understand why Individuals and Countries do the things they do.

[@nope7389]

Yeah. To be honest I’d be glad if Taiwan became apart of China.

[@choobs8511]

@@nope7389 hilarious

[@Biotrek2001]

@@nope7389 to be honest, China-zi has been the son of Russia for decades long .... :-)

[@hyc1266]

The political comments regarding mainland China, Taiwan Province of China and the US are completely misleading. All political comments regarding the world and the US are all misleading in this Channel. (To ALL viewers of this channel, if you want to learn what is really going on with the US imperialism now in the world, go to YT channels such as The New Atlas and Pascal Copens.) It is US who is constantly trying to steal resources and technology from other countries and trying to invade and take over Taiwan from China. Taiwan is part of China, regardless whether it is poor or rich, it will be reunited with mainland China. It is the US who keeps interfering China's internal business with Taiwan and trying to push Taiwan's current gov't to declare independent, trying to make Taiwan to become another victim like Ukraine for US benefits. The US has tons of military bases surrounding China, why? If you believe the US propaganda regarding China, Russia and Communism, you are just very stupid. It is all about US Imperialism in wanting to control all countries and resources on our planet. This channel is full of false information and is probably funded by US gov't in spreading its propaganda.

[@hyc1266]

The political comments regarding mainland China, Taiwan Province of China and the US are completely misleading. All political comments regarding the world and the US are all misleading in this Channel. China will never invade any country or place by force unless threatened by the US or other country’s military. (To ALL viewers of this channel, if you want to learn what is really going on with the US imperialism now in the world, go to YT channels such as The New Atlas and Pascal Coppens. You should never believe all information on the Internet or news media without getting the other side of the story, especially involving world politics.) It is the US who is constantly trying to steal resources and technology from other countries and trying to invade and take over Taiwan from China. Taiwan is part of China, regardless whether it is poor or rich, it will be reunited with mainland China sometime in the future. It is the US who keeps interfering China's internal business with Taiwan and trying to push Taiwan's current gov't to declare independence, trying to make Taiwan become another victim like Ukraine for US benefits. China will never take back Taiwan by force unless Taiwan declares independence. It is the US who wants China to "invade" Taiwan so that it can get the rest of the world to go against China. All these talks about China invading Taiwan are US's anti-China propaganda. The US has tons of military bases surrounding China, why? If you believe the US propaganda regarding China, Russia and Communism, then you are just being misled by the US gov't. It is all about US Imperialism in wanting to control all countries and resources on our planet, under the cover of “democracy”. Any country dare to say NO will get bombs from the US. This channel is full of false information and is probably funded by the US gov't in spreading its propaganda or the channel owner is completely brainwashed by the US propaganda.

[@fjwald]

It's like a page right out of Foundation

[@as897552]

IM really excited

[@ZTanMURReneRs]

You forgot about ASML. Which makes the machines that actually make the chips. And ASML is Dutch. If you think TSMC dominates fabs with its near monopoly, ASML has a complete 100% monopoly on the machines necessary to make the newest chips, EUV lithography machines. And they provide a lot of support to keep them running. It's not at all certain that China would be able to operate those machines if they captured them without ASMLs support, which they would not have. ASMLs machines are probably the most complicated things on the planet after particle accelerators and fusion reactors.

[@SaidakbarP]

I was looking for this comment. Yes, without ASML, no one will be able to produce the chips with 10nm or less. ASML's support and maintenance of those machines are crucial for TSMC and other chip manufacturing companies.

[@rumchata6569]

And that’s where Russia comes in and take over that country lol

[@The136th]

China can actually make Lithography machine themselves, but as good as ASML, but enough for the non-high end chips

[@ZTanMURReneRs]

@@rumchata6569 good luck with that. The Netherlands is in NATO and the EU and, from the Russian perspective, on the other side of Europe.

[@glacieAardens]

Yeah I was expecting that, advanced semiconductor manufacturing needs some serious collaboration... though I can see that the discussion may fall down to a rabbit hole if went that way... Granted NL is allied to US and a founding member of NATO, but ASML, NL and EU also need to seek self-interest to some extent... If TSMC were at Beijing's hands, what if helping China, even a little bit through some shady deals, on advanced lithography systems, turns out to be more profitable and stops China's ASML equivalent from ever catching up (still seems unlikely however)? Perhaps too many "if"s here😂

[@PantMal]

This is a small detail, but in fact even Nicaragua doesn't recognize Taiwan anymore.

[@ericsilver9401]

I’m Nick Aragua, nice to meet you

[@bruhbutwhytho2301]

@@ericsilver9401 hahahahahahahaha ha 😐😐😐😐😐

[@haikaloronsentnel138]

US NEVER DARES T0 INTERVENT!0N 0F REUN!F!CAT!0N!!! US JUST US!NG TA!WAN AS LAPD0G L!KE JAPAN!!! MAJ0R!TY C0UNTR!ES IN AS!A D0ESN'T L!KE US, EVEN PH!L!P!NES AND PAK!STAN C!T!ZENS D0ESN'T L!KE US!!! WESTERN T00 0VER C0NF!DENCE!!!

[@_boils_8492]

Nicaraguan world conquest???

[@arvinoo5881]

Cuz some people received bigger checks from CCP than from Taiwan.

[@lordmashie]

Key facts: 1. Taiwan's DPP government does not intend to 'declare independence'. That would mean declaring independence from themselves, the Republic of China which would make no meaningful difference to the lives of Taiwanese residents. 2. Taiwan's population overwhelmingly opposes becoming a subject of Beijing. That's what happens when Beijing's policy is intimidation, and breaking promises which leads into: 3. Taiwan's population chose the DPP government in a democratic election and by extension, closer ties to the west. Their interest is in maintaining the current status quo as an independent Republic of China without the Communist Party, and the west are the only ones who have an interest in helping them in that cause. Anyone who is against war should also support maintaining that status quo. For one to say they're against war and then side with Beijing which has vowed to change said status quo without renouncing the use of military force to do so is a direct contradiction.

[@user-cl2gl2zn7e]

很好。

[@johncenile8044]

It's crazy how you are casually talking about 3nm and 2nm chips and the vast majority of people don't understand how small that is... 2nm is how thick a single strand of DNA is lol and they wanna make a product that carries thousands of electric signals without interfering with the other channels that are merely 2nm away... Mind blowing

[@SourClout]

That's crazy

[@DonVigaDeFierro]

The average beard grows more than 2nm every second.

[@gdrriley420]

NM is a marking term at this point. Nothing about a 2nm chip is 2nm For example 7nm uses 57nm gates and 40nm paths.

[@SourClout]

@@gdrriley420 are gates and paths like wavelengths or something?

[@gdrriley420]

@@SourClout gates are how you make transistors, paths are the wire the connect them

[@devinbarry]

Your channel is so fricking awesome! I love listening to the stories you tell and am always impressed with the detail of the research you conduct and the quality of the videos you put out!

[@doncarleone973]

Wow, thank you so much for that detailed explanation! I'm pretty sure you've answered many questions consumers may have regarding the manufacturing of semiconductors in Taiwan 👍

[@farrukhahmad453]

Anyone Need Accountant For Any Business Transaction Purpose So Contact And i Do Work With Secretly

[@RedRider1600]

Don't be too impressed. Actually, this video inflated and exaggerated Taiwan's and TSMC's importance in particular. TSMC uses ASML machines to make their most advanced chips. ASML machines are assembled in Europe, the Netherlands (Dutch). The technology and the most critical components of the ASML machines come from California, USA. Even if China were able to invade Taiwan and capture TSMC intact, before Taiwanese sabotage or destroyed by American cruise missiles in the middle of the night, it wouldn't be long (2 or 3 years) before those ASML machines would become obsolete. Capturing TSMC and the current ASML machines would not make China the most technologically advanced country in the world, at least, not for long. That's a bunch of BS. But most likely, TSMC factories would be destroyed, one way or another, before the Chinese communists ever produced a single chip from them.

[@Runner-do1sg]

In fact, Taiwan is a place in China. The government there is self-claimed as "Republic of China". Taiwan is officially treated as a Chinese province by the United Nations. The US has been holding TAIWAN as a hostage to against China.

[@RedRider1600]

@@Runner-do1sg That's not a fact. It's a lie. The fact is, Taiwan is an island off the coast of mainland China. The UN does not treat Taiwan as a Chinese province, because China has no control over Taiwan, and cannot speak for Taiwan. Taiwan does not take orders from China. So any country that wants to communicate with Taiwan has to do so directly with the Taiwanese government. The CCP has no authority in Taiwan. The 2 governments are completely separate from each other. Everyone knows that. Sanctions and trade deals with China do not apply to Taiwan. Trade deals with Taiwan are separate and different from what we have with China. The US sells weapons to Taiwan, but not to China. They are both treated as different countries. That's a fact. The Republic of China refers to China from 1912 - 1949, before it was stolen by the CCP. The Republic of China does not recognize the CCP or the People's Republic of China as the legitimate government of China. You could also say that Taiwan is China, but it is a part of China that is not under the rule of, or governed by the CCP or the People's Republic of China. Taiwan China is a different country governed by a democratic government, not communist, called the Republic of China. It is a separate country, not a province of mainland China, ruled by the communists. Taiwan China is not governed by the CCP or PRC. What do you mean the US is "holding Taiwan hostage against China"? What stupid nonsense is that? What is that supposed to mean?

[@flufffycow]

Does Nebula have all have all the crud KZbin does? You know what I mean.

[@user-xq2pe9ex2w]

as a Taiwanese, i don't feel well when most of the country doesn't reconized Taiwan as a country😢

[@deanzaZZR]

The perspective from the westernmost border of China looking out across the landmass to the Pacific Ocean is very well done. I cannot remember anyone else doing this and it really illustrates the challenges China faces in term of shipping and naval military operations. Kudos.

[@dominikzakrzewski3070]

I respectfuly disagree

[@mooncake387]

@@dominikzakrzewski3070 elaborate

[@Waterbug1591]

I really hope China conquers Taiwan. All these Taiwanese are making fun of Chinese people who can't rebel against the CCP, but let's see how they're going to fight against them in a war. Let the Taiwanese have a taste of helplessness the Chinese people have endured and the victimization held under the tyranny of the CCP.

[@meee_5155]

Yeah I was thinking the exact same thing

[@lordsiomai]

indeed. it truly felt like I was looking at it at Xi Jinping's point of view.

[@burnout.c]

I love the map view. Gives the audience a clear prespective.

[@ray3839139]

The ancestry of Taiwanese people is similar to the characteristics of dwarves in the World of Warcraft game. They have a natural bonus in technology. Have you noticed that? The CEOs of Nvidia and AMD are both of Taiwanese ancestry.

[@YTzero2024]

hahaha, you know?The proportion of Han Chinese as the dominant ethnic group in mainland China and Taiwan exceeds 90%.Why are you making up a new word, "Taiwanese"? It's funny.

[@ray3839139]

@@YTzero2024 After being ruled by the Netherlands, Portugal, Japan, and China for two to three hundred years, the lineage of Taiwan has indeed become distinct. Moreover, after the cross-strait split governance of 70-80 years, I dare not say there are significant differences, but 'Taiwanese' certainly has its distinctions.

[@YTzero2024]

@@ray3839139 DNA doesn't lie to you.🤣🤣🤣

[@user-mb6ym2cn8r]

​@@ray3839139朋友你错了，不妨来台湾看一看，不妨看一下主体民族，不妨看一下他们的血缘数据，他们跟中国大陆一样都是汉族人

[@edwin800421]

@@YTzero2024 errrrrr......so Australian American are British , they're part of UK ?

[@ayubali2431]

Now i find it a little easier to justify why Eren did the rumbling

[@HistoricalWeapons]

From their perspective it’s a special military operation

[@kjrom]

And from everybody else. A war is a conflcit between countries and Taiwan is not a country, even the US says that.

[@tp_electro]

@@kjrom Taiwan is a country. the only reason US says that is so China doesn't get aggregated

[@calvinblue894]

Nope.. it's against Separatism

[@allansh828]

@Historical Archery It's last major campaign of civil war that started in 1946.

[@natengonezo631]

Actually, it is an unfinished civil war since 1946

[@BunkerSquirrel]

I still can't wrap my head around the fact that long-form, high quality documentaries like this exist on KZbin for free. Television is dead to me

[@boxoftruth2903]

Unless u r 25+ years old, tv has been dead for a longgggg time

[@rodneylagrone7180]

​@@boxoftruth2903 sports keeps TV relevant

[@boxoftruth2903]

@@rodneylagrone7180 Ig that/'s true.. i forgot about sports channels

[@iwenttoohio5045]

Smart tv's are still alive tho.

[@rodneylagrone7180]

@@iwenttoohio5045 Of course. We were more referring to Cable TV as a service, rather than the device itself. Actual TV's will be around for awhile.

[@aZ0xxvN]

最強解析

[@user-zh8kz3pp5n]

In what age do you need a way to get to Normandy?

[@FluidKaos]

I love how you give perspectives from every side on everything you cover. It's refreshing to learn about things without a wholely American or European slant.

[@matthewforster2661]

I agree that this is a good video but it still seems like an American/European slant. All the statistics given that support China slowing down in this or next decade are from a western slant. We can keep telling ourselves that China will never take over as the number one world superpower, but that is from our own biased perspective and prediction. I hope this video is right, but I was thinking the whole time about this is an American bias xP

[@danielekirylo]

?? so you prefer the Chinese censorship or the Russian propaganda?

[@majorcoats7777]

I'm American and would prefer we just stay out of this shit. Idc for our military being used to spread BLM and transgenderism across the entire globe.

[@matthewforster2661]

@@danielekirylo lol never once said that

[@danielekirylo]

@@matthewforster2661 yea, but the guy who makes these videos is Joseph Pisenti from Dallas, US. So it is American slant.

[@charatabban8728]

Tsmcs geopolitical implications are something I've wondered about for a long time. Thanks for the vid, great points!

[@freedy82]

This video has given me a deeper understanding of the Taiwan issue. Since modern times the island of Taiwan and the mainland are the same country, but there are two political parties in this country and they are still struggling to this day. The Taiwan issue is a national security issue in the end, and it may be unjust for the safety of PRC, but PRC will never let Taiwan become independent

[@user-ss5qd5tk3e]

你说的很中立，台湾自古就是中国这个地区的一部分，国共两党争斗，无论如何都只是中国国内问题

[@Temperissue]

it is alreafy an independent country, just not in UN

[@sirh6555]

@@Temperissuetaiwan constitution doesn't say that

[@destinykimo]

@@user-ss5qd5tk3e 中華民國簡稱中國 當然是在"中國"的一部分

[@user-yw4pg7bz4c]

@@user-ss5qd5tk3e其實台灣是在清朝才成為中國的一部分的 而最早的澎湖也是在宋

[@persona2grata]

I think TSMC is building a 3nm fab in Arizona, currently the most advanced chip. I'd be incredibly surprised if the US government hadn't put some thought into this, not to mention I seriously doubt the fabs in Taiwan would survive an attack by PRC even if TSMC didn't destroy them themselves. I'd very much guess that those American gunships patrolling the waters around Taiwan have long had solutions for the plant coordinates locked in just in case.

[@palindrome.]

Absolutely; even if China perfectly executed an invasion, the US itself would bomb every fab on the island until it was nothing but ash and powder. There is a 0% chance that China would meaningfully advance its semiconductor industry by invading. Even if China captured all of Taiwan's best scientists and started work on latest-generation facilities tomorrow, they would *at most* be on-par with other Western fabs by the time they finished, or (due to sanctions on components like mirrors & materials) more likely at least one generation behind.

[@diotough]

Small addition: the machines used by TSMC are afaik produced by ASML, a Dutch company. While there are more chip foundries around, there is 0 competition for ASML. Samsung also uses their machines and so does Global Foundries. The intellectual property of those companies running the foundries are based on the architecture and the the processes beyond lithography. But it would all be worthless without ASML lithography machines.

[@lululu7080]

asml如果没有全球供应商她啥也不是盛产不出，这是全球科技得集合

[@user-xj7ql7tf9m]

Well said, we will think about how to invade the Netherlands because the Netherlands also invaded Taiwan. Thank you for your reminder

[@HuiMei0921]

we have to say that ASML and TSMC help each other ....bcs there is not any company can improve the Machine but TSMC

[@user-zp6rl9ky2g]

@@lululu7080 我以前是ASML的工程师，可以负责任地说ASML背后的大股东是美国巨头

[@M00NI23]

To answer your question, this is based on international law after World War II. Please do not be brainwashed by media that serves a particular party based on ideology. On December 1st, 1943, the governments of China, the United States and the United Kingdom issued the Cairo Declaration, announcing that their purpose was to return to China all the territories that Japan had stolen from China, such as Manchuria, Taiwan and the Pescadores. On July 26th, 1945, China, the United States and the United Kingdom jointly signed the Potsdam Proclamation, which was later joined by the Soviet Union. The proclamation reaffirmed that "the terms of the Cairo Declaration shall be carried out" and stipulated that "Japanese sovereignty shall be limited to Honshu, Hokkaido, Kyushu, Shikoku and such other minor islands as we determine."

[@sammythebull1258]

Absolutely fantastic video! This video should be shown to every politician and every citizen to help spread the knowledge necessary for citizens to understand geopolitics just a little bit better.

[@Runner-do1sg]

In fact, Taiwan is a place in China. The government there is self-claimed as "Republic of China". Taiwan is officially treated as a Chinese province by the United Nations. The US has been holding TAIWAN as a hostage to against China.

[@vyros.3234]

To answer the person above me. Taiwan sees itself as an independent country seperatefrom Communist. It also sees itself as the original and real China since that is where China started. The government and people there see themselves as a different country. Ik you a re a ccp simp but the US is not holding Taiwan hostage. Taiwan does not want to reunite with China and it relys on the US for protection from China. Taiwanese are proud people and dislike the CCP(who constantly bullies them by sending military planes in their airspace and buy sending dredgers to Taiwans cost to steal sand and destroy reefs). Hope this cleared a lot of you misinformation up.

[@JoJo-fan-right-here]

Some kids in class were insisting Taiwan is not a country. Many others I know have done the same. Math teacher is from Taiwan (she also speaks 2 other languages chines and Japanese so 4 languages in total including English I think that’s cool). I asked her to verify (I was sure it was its own country before but I did this to prove to the others) if Taiwan was independent. She says yes! “China tries to say it is theirs, but we are a separate country.” Take that, Houston (that’s actually his name).

[@josephhesse2634]

The fact that Wa state in Myanmar is colored in red as part of China is just wild… I like it

[@DAH-ss1nu]

The PRC has one crippling strategic weakness: 50-60% of it's total oil usage is imported via tanker ship through VERY easily interdicted chokepoints. And the pipelines from Russia are maxed out and building more is a multi-year major effort. A few destroyers in those chokepoints would stop all its seaborne imports and once their strategic reserve is used up in a year the PRC would implode.

[@bruhboy1239]

that's probably why China dominates trade in South East Asia and the Middle East to make them dependant on China ,therefore making it impossible for them to side with the US incase their economy falls along with China's. Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states trades more with China than the USA (roughly 20% of all of Saudi Arabia's exports and imports go to China whereas less than 9% go to the USA) It's very childish to assume that everyone will support the US in the US-China war because of the massive influence China has and Saudi Arabia might just back China. Also Since Russia is being oil embargoed by the west, they will likely export a ton of oil to China as well.

[@fnapFNAP]

@@bruhboy1239 sound reasonable

[@sjv9147s]

There's now the land based BRI "backlanes", and growing comprehensively from South Asia to Eastern Europe, all via the Middle Kingdom, China.

[@andia968]

Cant china imports all oil from russia?

[@daniyalamed2960]

Old assessment world is moving beyond this.

[@jasontaylor8238]

I am blown away by this video! Great job! I learned more in 30 minutes on this issue than I have in the past 3 years!

[@REgamesplayer]

Also, another mistake in this video. TSMC is not as important as this video makes it to be. There are Intel, Samsung which are somewhat competitive and can replace TSMC. Their chips are not as advanced, but still competitive in most areas which do not demand state of the art performance.

[@emmanuelsamiselo5246]

TSMC produces and develops American designed chips. by American Intel, IBM etc everything is produced by TSMC as a whole

[@REgamesplayer]

@@emmanuelsamiselo5246 Far from it. There are plenty of other major players. For example, Intel designs and produces its own chips. Nvidia used Samsung for their RTX 3000 series of graphic cards.

[@a1314520921]

@@REgamesplayer This means you don't understand the technology industry. Maybe you can ask Intel engineers

[@REgamesplayer]

@@a1314520921 Cringy. And what exactly I do not understand. And please, by all means provide me means how to contact Intel engineers for questioning.

[@BayernFan05]

TSMC: i am the chip god Lays: Hold my beer

[@mathieumarlaire]

The heavy shift into political videos has been amazing from you. One of the best sources of analysis on KZbin at the moment

[@hardtelling3879]

The D-Day invasion wasn't the largest, Okinawa invasion involved way more troops and equipment but D-Day was more significant so some forget about the actual largest amphibious landing. Had to point it out lol

[@Shik0njuul934]

Japanese let American troops establish a beachhead so they would wander into an ambush set up by Japan in the forests on the island. People only say D day is more iconic because Germany confronted the allies right then and there.

[@hardtelling3879]

@@Shik0njuul934 yeah and that's after they sent who knows how many artillery rounds and bombs for a few days, about a week if I remember correctly but they had tunnels everywhere.

[@hardtelling3879]

@@Shik0njuul934 Oh and reason I said that is because he said D-Day was the largest. I knew Okinawa was bigger but like you said D-day is more iconic

[@bigstyx]

It was much more massive than invasion of Okinawa just based on logistics, multiple countries involved in the landing. Also airborne involvement and The building of two artificial ports that were needed for the invasion including operation bodyguard. Okinawa was it a more straight on invasion by the sea than Normandy. Even aircraft sorties were much higher on D-Day than Okinawa. I think you have include everything when talking about the invasions

[@lip124]

D-Day was the most allied troops lost, but Okinawa was something different, after controlling.

[@user-wk7je3rc8y]

As a Taiwanese, I don't abhor Chinese people. The real issue I think between Taiwan and China is the education and the politicians. Kids in Taiwan were taught “Taiwan” as an independent country, while kids in china were taught “Taiwan” as the largest island in China. What we were taught when we were small imprinted on our brain. Also, we got cultural identity to where we were born. The cultural identity to Taiwan or China causes the enmity between us. I love Taiwan, but for certain reasons I I don’t like both Taiwan and the Chinese government. To my point of view, the Taiwanese government keeps stimulate the Chinese government to start a war. What people want is “peace” between both countries. What does starting a war bring to us? Nothing but a bunch of dead bodies, and obviously, most of them are the citizens, not the politicians. That’s not fair! The politicians starts the war, but why should the citizens pay their lives? The people are like chess on the chessboard, and the government controlling our future. Americans fight for their future by starting the anti-Vietnam War movement. No one wants to die, no one wants to leave their homeland and family. War breaks families, wrecks where we live. *my apologies for grammar error

[@Grwich101]

It's too late for that! China is greedy! Its gov is not going to stop; until the whole world is going to line up with hardcore ammunition against China. Those precious islands in South China Sea have been, and still are a hot topic today. Nobody wants war, because it cost lives! However, China's greedy mind of trying to become the world's superpower land to slave this whole world gotta stop, must stop, and will be stopped! That's why we have the United Nation!

[@antoniopelaez491]

Bro the Chinese president always looks like he’s smiling and it’s uncomfortable 😅😮

[@maleldil1]

This channel is too good, man. I was starting to question whether I should keep my Nebula subscription, and then you hit us with this companion video.

[@johnsmith-ir1ne]

My major complaint with Nebula is they give your sub money to all creators based on everyone's proportional viewing time. In contrast, I want my sub money to only go to creators that I watched, because there are other creators in Nebula who I never want them to get a single penny from me

[@mjpablo23]

thanks for the video. it's by far the best explanation i've heard so far. and i've watched a lot of videos on this, since I am currently in Taiwan, after having grown up in the US.

[@fair98fair]

What is the general feeling in Taiwan now? Im sure the Taiwanese are fierce and will fight to their last breath

[@mjpablo23]

@@fair98fair generally people don't think china will attack. so people don't talk about it much. I think people are just living their lives normally.

[@hyc1266]

@@mjpablo23 China will not attack its own citizens unless Taiwan gov't let in more US military or declare independence. There are US military on the island already.

[@hyc1266]

The political comments regarding mainland China, Taiwan Province of China and the US are completely misleading. All political comments regarding the world and the US are all misleading in this Channel. China will never invade any country or place by force unless threatened by the US military. (To ALL viewers of this channel, if you want to learn what is really going on with the US imperialism now in the world, go to YT channels such as The New Atlas and Pascal Copens.) It is US who is constantly trying to steal resources and technology from other countries and trying to invade and take over Taiwan from China. Taiwan is part of China, regardless whether it is poor or rich, it will be reunited with mainland China. It is the US who keeps interfering China's internal business with Taiwan and trying to push Taiwan's current gov't to declare independent, trying to make Taiwan to become another victim like Ukraine for US benefits. The US has tons of military bases surrounding China, why? If you believe the US propaganda regarding China, Russia and Communism, then you are just being misled by the US gov't. It is all about US Imperialism in wanting to control all countries and resources on our planet. Any country dare to say NO will get bombs from the US. This channel is full of false information and is probably funded by US gov't in spreading its propaganda.

[@mjpablo23]

@@hyc1266 saying that the world is flat does not make it so

[@kawikaahina1759]

What happened to the Chechen wars episode?

[@user-ly3fv3uj2k]

He did not just say renegade 🤣🤣 3:02

[@UdyKumra]

I like that your videos don't portray America or China as hero or villain, and that you will honestly refer to them both as empires and try to be as objective as possible.

[@usonlyus7148]

we could need more of them. less 4chan and twitter mindset

[@ionmaster7873]

China is literally an ethnostate that actively discriminates foreigners and minorities, there is no comparing between China and the US, cause China is much, much worse

[@weasle2904]

Well one government is literally more evil than the other. China has slaves, people keep skirting around this subject and it's bullshit. China treats humans like dogs and has been engaged in multiple genocides, cultural oppression, religious oppression, sponsors the black market allowing organs to be stolen (primarily from Chinese prisoners), kidnaps citizens and officials of other countries to torture and interrogate, their economic policy that specifically benefits from the poverty of their citizens working for next to nothing, and literally use slave labor from the millions of Uyhgars they have in concentration camps right now... Of course they are only slightly worse off than a normal Chinese citizen, whom has virtually no civil rights. No freedom of speech, limited religious freedom, his assets are constantly at risk of being seized and stolen by authorities, the police constantly surveillance everything people say and have a literal national firewall to control information. I mean their icon, Mao Zedong, is literally the biggest mass murderer in human history. Their economy progressed by stealing technology and manufacturing methods from other countries. And it's steamed ahead with exploiting it's impoverished citizens. China embraces intellectual property theft in order to get ahead and will invest significant money to steal technology from western countries, and Russian defense companies as well.

[@rackembarry]

Both countries have either mass murderers or slavers on there currency lol

[@ionmaster7873]

only one has killed between 15-55 million people from starvation, and massacred and systematically oppressed it's inhabitants well into the 21st century

[@osoman818]

Man, your videos have really put into perspective how much of the world governments and human history have been all about a power struggle, resources, strategic conquering of land. It's scary to think in this day and age of nuclear energy, we as a human race can end ourselves instantaneously

[@user-vb6yu2bx8b]

Please note: 1. In the world , no country called "Taiwan" 2. Please read PRC and ROC constitutions, they call themselves "CHINA" 3. PRC and ROC are still in civil war from 1945 to 2022. 4. NOBODY can seperate Taiwan from CHINA, !!! 5. Most Chineseness like ROC because it is one part of CHINA HISTORY, but if ROC be indepent from CHINA , sorry, it means civil war again !!!

[@ItzOZZA]

Not instantly as the cockroaches who push the buttons would probably be sat in bunkers for the rest of their natural lives.

[@JO-uy6zs]

Good post, totally agree. However f the Broncos GO RAIDERS 🏴‍☠️🏴‍☠️🏴‍☠️🏴‍☠️😁

[@max3446]

@@ItzOZZA Oh well, I'd much rather be dead then survive a nuclear holocaust and live in a bunker forever more.

[@chichangwu]

The nuclear technology should be used to power ourself into a kardashev scale 1 civilisation and beyond, or we can use it and go -0.5 on the kardashev scale, which is not good

[@zhiwang6529]

This issue is very complicated when viewed from different perspectives, it's legally still a civil war, I just wish for peaceful negotiation

[@Moqings]

The Taiwan issue represents a contest between China and the United States, with Taiwan being of significant strategic importance to China. As such, China is unlikely to allow Taiwan to be controlled by any other country. However, a large-scale war over this issue would be catastrophic, and it is crucial to avoid reaching the point where nuclear weapons are used. The potential consequences of such a conflict would be disastrous for the entire human race.

[@d.o.g573]

China would be crushed within hours…an amphibious assault on that scale scrambled by the US navy is sure to be doomed

[@kittenonthekeys8369]

You’re being dramatic. The ccp would never not use such deadly measure in Taiwan. China is more likely to go to war with the US tbh.

[@tyleraguilar2474]

I don’t think Nukes would be used because of how they are trying to preserve Taiwan’s resources. I actually think it’ll be entirely conventional until a clear winner has been decided.

[@user-tq7hq9kl2t]

是的兄弟，一看你这英语用法就知道你是中国人

[@plumebrise4801]

Species*

[@RFGfotografie]

Awesome video :) So worth my 30 minutes. So much better then most docu's on tv nowadays.

[@georgeslecarboulec2325]

Sublime quality of info in very clear and direct perspective. To whoever doesn´t know anything about Taiwan and either about their crucial importance and place amongst the current socioeconomic globalization, this is a masterpice for learning about Taiwan´s real and strategic importance. Thanks a lot.

[@bilinasmini3480]

Love your videos

[@yaphonghor4409]

US wants to weaken other nation by divide...Korea, former German, Vietnam were all examples! Such hegemony is bound to fail with Chinese determination in unification and sovereign integrity! Taiwanese are not White people and US cannot expect to own them...no??????

[@harryfang5504]

俄羅斯和烏克蘭的關係與大陸和台灣的關係不同，一個是兩個主權國家，只不過曾經結為一個同盟，另一個是兩個政黨分據兩個地區，從歷史遺留來看，應該說是一個持續了70年的“冷戰內戰”😢