Yes, I know a 999/1 shot won (but it was still a bad bet)

[@bucketlisttrips6408]

It is not only the bankroll, but also there won’t be enough backers to take the other-side of the bet. As you said, in the end it has a -75% EV and although people are looking for high odds, it may not have backers every-time. Saying that there could be errors in your calculation too. As with Dortmund v Werder, this seems more likely to happen when teams are of appropriate value. Great video anyway.

[@Lance1190]

Do you know a live tool where you can also see XGA. Thank you Johann from Austria

[@Robert_Burns]

Interesting, but how many minutes remained in those 30,000 matches when 1000 bet was matched? No-one but backer and layer (and betfair) know, so it's impossible to ever know who gets the value because remaining time is usually unknown when the bet's struck.

[@LNHOUSE]

I agree, and nowadays premier league has much more injury time added. Also the probability of a team scoring will be very different in function of it's pre live starting odd.

[@flyingguru517]

iv seen a horse winning with a 1000 odds to 1 , and it was a matched bet , also pretty sure was bought.

[@stuartwallace7536]

Weren't you doing something similar with odds of laying at odds of 1.01 ? Are you still doing that? and how is it going?

[@KieMillett]

No. of markets: 45925, wins: 518, Total staked: £7447.45, Total Profit: £793.79. I moved up from 10p liability per bet to 20p after ~15-20k markets. I should probably push it up a bit higher tbh...

[@stuartwallace7536]

thats great - well done. How much effort does it take you to set up the bot every week?

[@chrisburke595]

cool video Kie.....Conclusion - both completely degenerate gamblers - Fact

[@JohnnyBarnes-th7zc]

Or you could have used your brain and layed Everton at 2-0 for a small liability