min 57:00 AirBnB had 80 listings in 2010, 360 in 2011, 1000 in 2012, 2300 in 2013, 5000 in 2014, and 8000 in 2015. 5000 listings is 0.1% of total housing transactions in the USA, which has been 5 mio during 2010-2015 each year. Thats a drop in a bucket, unlikely to have had any meaningful influence on housing demand and price recovery.

min 54:00 If you look at the stock market drop during the two 17.6 year bull market cycles of Kerry Balenthiran 1947-1964 and 1982-1999, the market barely dropped. Only banks and real estate in 1989-1992. We might get a bull up to 2035 according to this cycle.

I've read Phil's citizens dividend book but I still can't follow the calculation. For once, aren't the oil drilling licenses already auctioned in most countries, like for example the 5G licenses in Germany? Therefore, the state collects the maximum rent of these licenses that minimizes oil company's profits, given there is sufficient competition among the upstream oil producers fighting for the land/oil drilling licenses. Corrupt countries who are selling these licenses to corporations in exchange for favours to the country's dictator need to deal with this problem first of course. And secondly, we already have a property tax of 1% on average in the US, which should be around 3% of the land value if the land's value is one third of the whole property including the building. Hence, what difference would a small increase to 5% make?! If you abolish private land ownership completely and collect 100% of the rent by only giving out land leases, who is going to decide how much each piece of land is worth? Doesn't that open a huge window for corruption, typical for such central planning? Because if some state governcy decides how much rent you have to pay, how can they objectively and fair determine rent? Or is this an accepted side effect of the whole idea, that some people will end up lucky paying little in a good district while others pay more than what a free market would pay?

Great stuff Paul, thanks for interviewing the boss - great to hear Phil just open up and simply talk.

Hear for the accent

Absolutely invaluable information from Phil. The corruption within the system is rife and it won't come to fruition in our life times. Still the transparency he provides is so reliable and comforting

Join my company's free mailing list: bit.ly/PCI-YT1 Books mentioned: The Secret Life of Real Estate and Banking: bit.ly/SWsloreb-YT1 The Secret Wealth Advantage: tr.ee/P4VfvQ1fQ9 Power In The Land: bit.ly/PA-PTL2-YT

Russia is back in Ukrain because nato is expanding after it was agreed during the the fall of USSR that nato would not expand into these territories

Bloody legend,

Please keep these video coming thanks Phil . Your very respected within my circle ⭕️

Events from 1925. Earthquakes: A 7.9 magnitude earthquake in San Francisco, California killed 3,000 people, and an 8.2 magnitude earthquake in Valparaíso, Chile killed 20,000 people. • Second Occupation of Cuba: The US began the Second Occupation of Cuba. • Mein Kampf: Adolf Hitler published his book Mein Kampf on July 18, 1925. • First television transmitter: Scottish engineer John Logie Baird created the first television transmitter in London on October 30, 1925. • Treaty of Locarno: The Treaty of Locarno was a series of agreements between Belgium, France, Great Britain, and Germany to guarantee peace in western Europe. You have (herewith) been warned.

thanks for your gems Phil. You changed my life man

🙏

If you're interested in purchasing this book in paperback or ebook, please visit: bit.ly/419MO1D

Thanks for your insight

Hi Phil, First, I want to express my deep appreciation for your work. I’m a strong believer in the 18-year real estate cycle and have read your book and watched nearly all of your podcasts. Your insights have made so much sense to me, and I’m grateful for the clarity you’ve brought to such a complex topic. However, I’ve been reflecting on a few things, particularly since the pandemic. During the pandemic, we witnessed a full economic shutdown, and governments responded by printing large amounts of money to keep the economy afloat. This intervention seemed necessary, but I believe it reflects a broader pattern where governments primarily focus on sustaining the economy, even if it means inflating debt. Afterward, they seem to rely on "financial repression" (keeping interest rates low and managing inflation) because high inflation is politically damaging, especially around elections. Given that this approach-money printing and financial repression-has been in play since the last real estate crisis, I’m curious how these factors (money printing, high inflation, and financial repression) fit into the current real estate cycle. Am I correct in thinking that these actions are merely delaying the inevitable correction in property prices, as debt and speculation continue to build up? Or do they have a more profound impact on the timing and scale of the correction? Thank you again for your insights and for the work you’ve done in this field. Best regards, Stefan Kosev

It’s September 20th, 2024 at the time of this comment, the phase of the winners curse, the US Fed has recently dropped the Funds rate 50bps and the markets are so far at all time highs, I don’t know that I would be in the markets were it not for the knowledge of the 18.6 year cycle. Anticipating the real estate peak starting in 2026, till then prices at all time highs while much of the zeitgeist is crash and recessions!!!

I’m 47, how did I not hear of Phil Anderson until now, I guess I’m lucky, just in time for the Winners’ Curse!!!

Legend

Thanks

Keynes is a big part of the problem today.

If you're interested in purchasing The Corruption of Economics - 2nd Edition book, here is the link: bit.ly/SW-COE-YT1

If you're interested in purchasing the books, here are the links: The Power in the Land - 2nd Edition: bit.ly/PA-PTL2-YT Taken for a Ride - 2nd Edition: bit.ly/4bJkEwN

Hai phil, its me yuni .i dont keep in touch becouse i lose my phone since im in bali

How do you watch the actual video?

Modern day slaves, we are 100% slaves without knowing that we are.

Land labor and capital. Thank you

👍

Would love to see some more content on KZbin from you Phil 👍

Alright

Hi Phil! I am interested in rotating from one cycle to another and found correlation with moon cycles etc. I would love to hear more about your thoughts on how astrology affects the cycles and your thoughts on emerging markets such as crypto. If crypto was to top in the next couple of years if I wanted to cash out into an asset to wait for real estate to bottom which asset would hold up well in an environment where everything is crashing? Love your work from the uk

I really recommend that you read this book. It's available in paperback and eBook versions; click here to get yours: bit.ly/4bJkEwN

I really recommend that you read this book. It's available in paperback and eBook versions; click here to get yours: bit.ly/4bJkEwN

Funny how the Dow had pretty much gone straight up to 2020 after this video. Phil you are the goat and it’s great watching this in 2024.

The underlying question here is why is human behaviour cyclical over these timeframes?

The way Nassim Taleb uses the term, is to describe and unknown risk which also happens at an unknown time. The way almost everyone is misusing the term is to describe and any event at all that most don’t see coming which misses the point Nassim was trying to make in the first place. Events like pandemics for instance are a very well known risk that can be modeled for, prepared for, and insured against to some degree. He was trying to say that even the best risk modeling possible based around a portfolio will still eventually cause you loses as there will be risks that occur that you didn’t even know existed. So his philosophy was to create a portfolio that is as resilient as possible

Is price of Gold an indicator to what Flynn and Senator Paul have said?

Both Ron Paul and General Flynn have warned of a coming “Black Swan event,” but does it actually exist? It's not too late to benefit from our knowledge; start with our free newsletter service: bit.ly/PCI-YT1

Good morning Phil, I am subscribed to The Signal and I live in Narre Warren, in the suburbs of the South East of Melbourne. I am excited to have you in our state, and I am curious about your map reading classes, and whether I can attend them. I will look around for more ways to follow you now! Thank you for sharing your knowledge with us! Regards, Margaret.

Interesting

Ho Phillip, thanks for sharing your wisdom 😊

Hey Phillip I bought your book; though I would give your KZbin channel a follow too.

Here in Germany House prices are 30 percent down

Glad to see ya

You are not the only one. Many traders got it right.

Hey Phil... Amazing stuff. I must read it. Thanks mate. I certainly made the decision to stop looking for the answer once I found the 18.6 year cycle and Gann at the same time. The answers are all there, you just need to know where to look! Thanks for all of your insights on Twitter too.

Spot on - thank you. Cheeky to ask - but what are your high level predictions for 2024?

I mentioned 𝑻𝒉𝒆 𝑪𝒐𝒓𝒓𝒖𝒑𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 𝒐𝒇 𝑬𝒄𝒐𝒏𝒐𝒎𝒊𝒄𝒔 book in this video; get yours here: bit.ly/SW-COE-YT1

Phil, I appreciate your work on RE cycles to the extent that I bought the book (I hate buying books). I know you have mentioned Gann numbers elsewhere, where should I begin with Gann or elsewhere for intrayear analysis? Conscious of the enormous fog around the man

Great man