In 1994, when Bill Clinton, a Rhodes Scholar from Oxford, who had been indoctrinated with the Oxford Prof. Halford Mackinder's Heartland Theory encouraging the destruction Russia, contemplated the unprovoked expansion of NATO, many prominent American politicians, scholars, and diplomats all warned the possible consequence of a war in Ukraine 25 years later. (As an insignificant, however, astute young observer of human history, I also voiced my strong objection against Clinton's unwise and irresponsible decision.) Unfortunately, all of our voices fell on a tin ear. So, this event is not as inevitable, nor as unpredictable, as what many pundits suggested. The full responsibility fell squarely on the American/Anglo imperialists. The wise Taiwanese people should not follow the dance of them. The responsible Taiwanese people should talk their American ally out of continuing the adventure in Ukraine, and advise them to start to focus on the West Pacific, where the real threat both US and Taiwan are facing is.
Many people are comparing Taiwan and Ukraine. Also, many people are saying, "Taiwan does not want to be a second Ukraine." I think I may have to spend some time analyzing it to make the issue clear for the interested people. 1. Taiwan is not Ukraine. However, in many aspects, Taiwan's situation is worse than Ukraine. 2. Ukraine is recognized as a country by US, Russia, EU and the rest of the world. Taiwan is not recognized as a country, by either China or US, and the majority of the world. 3. Ukraine was given a very good deal by Russia to exist as a neutral country. However, its leader chose to turn it down and act as a pawn of American/Anglo axis, threatening the existence of Russia. Now, it's facing the consequence. Taiwan is only given the status as a province by China, and on the other side, US does not recognize it as a country and never really intends to invite it to join any of the security organization, such as, NATO, AUKUS, etc. 4. So, Taiwan will continue to be threatened by China with the fear that its political status would be completely eliminated after the Chinese invasion and occupation. However, at the same time, Taiwan never receives any full-hearted support or guarantee from US. That means, if Taiwan chooses to stay with US, it will still be threatened by China. However, if it chooses to submit to China, US may treat it as an untrustworthy vassal. Any preemptive and punitive attack can also be launched on Taiwan by US, should US suspect any possible defection. 5. Ukraine serves as a fundamental security interest to Russia. However, it is not a fundamental security interest to US at all. Any reasonable US government should not choose to fight Russia in Ukraine. On the contrary, Taiwan serves as a fundamental security interest to US and is claimed by China as an inseparable part. So, the right way to say should be, "Ukraine is not Taiwan, and Ukraine does not want to be Taiwan." Then, the question is, "Why is there a war in Ukraine, but not in Taiwan?" It's all about the luck, fate, the existence of Taiwan Strait, and the stupidity of the American imperialists in its foreign policy establishment, who initiated the American adventure in Ukraine. So, how can the people of Taiwan prolong its luck? I am leaving it to the smart readers first before I will reveal the well-orchestrated answer.