AI Will Cause Jobs to Evolve, Will You Be Able to Evolve With It?│Justin Wolfers

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World Knowledge Forum

World Knowledge Forum

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 19
@ClaudiaS193
@ClaudiaS193 21 сағат бұрын
Great! Thank you very much for showing and making it public!
@justducky8508
@justducky8508 2 күн бұрын
If and/or when the owner of a company decides to replace employees with AI for the same wage, the owner would be at a loss long term significantly. It becomes a loss because it’s essentially equating AI performance solely to a human performance. Although, there was a mention of jobs such as Translation, in which that scenario most likely will occur. Jobs such as technician, customer support and even financial analyst, will most likely not have that scenario occur. These jobs weigh heavily in human emotion, economics and ergonomics. Unless AI will be able to interpret cognitive dissonance and maybe even complex landscape/infrastructure, those fields including a few others, will remain employed longer than the latter.
@hoangthiennguyen4730
@hoangthiennguyen4730 12 сағат бұрын
You have broadened my horizon, thank you!
@valtersilva5386
@valtersilva5386 Күн бұрын
Amazing presentation, well done!
@alexandermoody1946
@alexandermoody1946 2 сағат бұрын
I really wish to convey a position of hope for the future and facilitate hope building hope. I wrote a short story that is unfinished about a boy and his flying robot friend and the shed of the mystery man. The meadow that they live near and the children that benefit in the habitats that exist there and what they all build together.
@alexandermoody1946
@alexandermoody1946 2 сағат бұрын
Gemmie and George live in a plausible future. Gemmie is a small robotic survey and construction advisor that is made of three small spheres that fly in unison with each other. Gemmie has a sweet sounding female north American voice. Gemmie is capable of measurement of lengths, widths, heights and areas within her communication range between the three parts using a laser measurement system. Gemmie is capable of measuring angles, establishing datums and synchronous orientations. Gemmie can also measure heat using infrared and has an electromagnetic wavelength range far exceeding a human, including x ray vision, ultra violet. Gemmie has a complex microphone system that can detect and record distinct sounds throughout a system of frequency than human perception. Gemmie has vast access to both a text based library and a video library of lots of works of human and robot creation. George is a teenage boy who would like to be an apprentice that can build, fabricate and construct many different creations and find solutions to problems in the world that have a maximum impact for humanity and robots within the civilisation. George lives and has grown up a short distance north of greater London in a small town on the edge of the countryside. There has been a wall that divides the meadow on the outskirts of the town with the urbanized area of the town. George has hazel and green coloured eyes and medium brown hair and is of average height and speaks with an accent from the area of England that he grew up in. George found a shed near the wall that was blocking the meadow. The shed had a small sign on the door that said please return any borrowed tools, the shed door was open and a tool box was inside that George borrows to use to do jobs for people within his local community. The shed is full of many other tools and machinery that can be used to offer assistance to people or robots. George grew up in a fairly poor home, he became resilient and reasonably capable for his age. Gemmie and George work together to solve problems and create different items in and for their local areas and community as well as taking on artistic works or creative challenges. The shed where the toolbox was burrowed was built and stocked with tools and machines by a mystery man that Gemmie and George have not met. His intention was to provide access to the tools he has gathered over many years for the community to build a future that provides and gives something that was missing from the community that he grew up in. The mystery man has a wide range of talents, experiences and competences and has collected tools and machines relevant to assist in these expressions of artistic form. There are a group of children that regularly ask for assistance from Gemmie and George to create solutions for the children to improve the prospects of the community that they grew up in and the environment around the area where they live. The children have all met in the community after coming to the town with their parents from different places all over the world. There is an elderly couple that live near the wall that separates the town from the meadow beyond. The meadow has a large beech tree on a slight hill that has been growing for a few hundred years and is still in very good health. At a lower position in the meadow a stream runs through that is a few meters wide and contains various small fish species and is teeming with other aquatic life. There is a good selection of reeds and aquatic plants along the stream and various grasses in the meadow as well as a few other types of trees and shrubs scattered about the meadow. Many different species of birds live in the meadow and can be heard singing in the trees and shrubs as well as nesting in the long grasses.
@alexandermoody1946
@alexandermoody1946 2 сағат бұрын
The wall between the meadow and the town had been built almost two hundred and fifty years before the modern day when common land was being repurposed for private use away from the common people. The wall made of large pieces of granite that was not typically found in the area spanned the length of the town completely blocking access to the meadow. Two of the local children had taken to trying to climb the wall to see the meadow had concocted a method of using a pallet lent against the wall and as both stood on top one child would cradle his gingers together and the other child would place his foot into the cradled fingers and be lifted up to reach the top of the wall where the child would be able to pull himself up onto the top of the wall. The challenge then was to reach down and grab the hand of his friend and to assist his friend to get up high enough to get hold of the top of the wall with his other hand so that they could sit side by side and watch the breeze move the long grasses in the meadow. Although the children would hang onto the upper ledge of the wall and drop back down when ready to get off of the wall they could never drop into the meadow as they could not get the height to climb back up. This method worked many times as the two children would enjoy their time sitting on the wall together. Gemmie and George had seen the two sitting on the wall many times and between them a plan of action was designed, a suitable position found by a thorough survey by Gemmie and an appropriate length of steel plate had been located within the shed to provide support to the upper part of the wall whilst the other work was underway. Using an aluminium scaffold tower that Gemmie and George had borrowed from the shed they constructed the tower in front of the position of the wall. George began to climb the aluminium scaffold tower until reaching a height that was suitable to cut a chase into the mortar line so that the steel plate could be slid into the groove that had to be chased into the wall to support the stones above. Gemmie projected a laser line and George began to chisel away at the lime mortar to produce a chase large enough to slide the steel plate in. The mortar removed for roughly fifty percent of the walls thickness now ready to accept the steel plate. Gently the plate was tapped in with a small hammer until the upper stones were supported. George then gradually dismantling the section of wall central to the steel plate as gradually creating an opening unit the opening was wide enough to use as a suitable doorway to access the meadow. As George removed the lowest small granite blocks Gemmie noticed that under the stone wall was a pieces of granite that was long enough to use as a lintel for the doorway. A stone either side under the steel plate was removed and the lintel slid into place.and the steel plate was removed leaving a completely stove opening doorway leading onto the meadow. George found a small trowel in the tool box and began to fill in the gaps and imperfections in the wall with lime mortar. The granite blocks that had been removed were repurposed for the threshold and some found to fit in the gaps between courses in the opening to tidy the finished detail. The entrance to the meadow was completed and the children would have somewhere to play over the weeks of the coming summer. As the two children started to make their way towards the pallet that they used to climb up the wall the opening in the wall was on their right hand side. Aghast the two peering through the opening were able to appreciate there first view of the garden without the height the wall had given. The grass seemed taller now, the beech tree in the distance rising a little way above the meadow. Different flowers could be seen that had recently come into bloom were swaying in tune with the meadow. Much of this they had longed to feel as they walked with their hands outstretched to their sides towards the long grasses. The children paused, "we should invite the others before we get to far", said a child to the other. "your counting on this not being a dream" the other child remarked. " This is too real to not take the chance to share". The two children retreated back through the wall and we're gone for sometime,
@alexandermoody1946
@alexandermoody1946 2 сағат бұрын
When the children returned they were accompanied by more than a small handful of children, every child in their peer group had seen the imperative of attendance in this the first occasion that the meadow had been open to the children of the town. The two children that would sit on the wall Richard and Sala had grown up on the edge of the meadow of Hayfield. They had known each other their whole lives along with the other children that lived near the wall and had played in the streets along with any other children that when summoned with a knock would frequently be found together. Sala and Richard finding the door had first to knock and in great excitement opened the gate to the path outside a small house before running along the path and thumping at the door. Within seconds a disgruntled looking lady in a saree appeared at the door at the end of the path. "boys what is this about, you banging on our door like that?" the lady exclaimed frantically and with an significant amount of panic in her voice. The boys looked at each other, "were sorry" they both said " is Anjali able to come out to play?, we have a surprise for her" Sala said with both fear and caution in his tone "and I thought something serious had happened" she replied. Richard without a second thought in excitement " Mrs Shah there is something we would like to show Anjali" "and what might that be that you come down that path at tremendous speed and knock so abruptly on our door?"." Please Mrs Shah can we keep the surprise, we promise nothing bad will happen" Sala said firmly with a diplomatic tone. After a few moments a small girl appeared in the door way, she had thick dark hair and large eyes the colour brown, Anjali had always been very pretty, a little dainty but ready to play with the boys when her parents who were known for their strict disciplinary actions were behind closed doors and she was away on adventures in the local streets of Hayfield. " so what's going on, are you going to tell or what?" she enquired somewhat intrigued. "can we get the others together first this is going to be something we will all be excited about" Sala affirmed. "don't tell me you stuck a ladder up against the wall so we no longer have to climb the pallet?". " come on lets knock for Rio she is going to love this" Richard said decisively. The three children had walked out of Mr and Mrs Shah's front garden closing the gate behind them and turning right carried on along the wall where several smallish two and three bedroom houses faced on to the wall. Rio's house was not a large house and her garden was not enclosed like the garden at the front of Mr and Mrs Shah's house. A low hedge divided the pedestrian walkway and the area outside of Rio's home that was flat with alternate checkered slabs of yellow and red with a medium sized terracotta pot in the center of the cheques that contained some sort of bush that had thick leaves although out of all the children only Anjali knew that this bush was the same as her mother would often use in her kitchen being that Mrs Shah was profoundly apt with the use of herbs and spices she would often use in her kitchen and the leaves of this plant were both tasty and pungent, although wholly in edible through the thickness and waxy texture when found in the middle your spoon. The children knocked on Rio's door and within seconds she was out of the door and headed along the road again. " parents out Rio" Richard said listening intently for an answer. "yeah their both at work again, I sometimes wish they had time to share with me" she responded with a little sadness in her voice. The children walking on turned to the right now with the wall directly behind them. Chibuike lives four or five houses down from the wall, as the children walked towards his door Chibuike was there " Hey my people" Chibuike bellowed in a loving friendly call. "Hey Chibuike" Anjali and the others called back. " what's got you?" Chibuike rooted. " we have a surprise for everyone and we could rather not say just yet until we see who else is about" Richard informed Chibuike. "OK OK I got you" Chibuike reassured the others.
@alexandermoody1946
@alexandermoody1946 2 сағат бұрын
Gemmie and George made their way towards the wall. " Do you think the children will be playing on the meadow already Gemmie?"." I cannot detect any sound of children coming from that orientation". " The willow tree a little way from the stream you surveyed". "Yes George?". " Any objections to heading that way?". " You are planning something are you not?" " Gemmie that would be telling would it not" George exclaimed with an slight humorous giggle from under his breath. "George!" " OK alright Gemmie we are going to need some string, some rope, some pegs and a small survey bot that is willing to loop a string to some branches ". "Excuse me? "Gemmie expressed in a frustrated tone." Please Gemmie if I try to climb that tree there is a good chance I will cause damage to the branches". "very well George I will tie them off" Gemmie said in response. "If you loop a single strand of string over and around the branch and return the string to the ground I should be able to use the string to pull a rope tied to the string in the loop, I still need to find some sticks to use to peg the rope down to draw the branches into growing in a shape that can be made into a hangout for the children that they can share with each other". Gemmie levitated up into the air and each of her three spheres started to disembark in three directions, directly in front of where George was still walking a sphere went whizzing forward at near to full speed and the two other spheres 30 degrees left and 30 degrees right from the central direction the first had traveled. Any direction past 180 degrees would of returned to the wall. Within a minute or so the right hand sphere had returned to suggest using some of the willow sticks that required thinning to relieve some of the internal density. This Gemmie and George agreed was the most suitable although Gemmie reported that the central sphere had seen some dry branches on the hill where the beech tree held ground. Gemmie and George continued purposefully towards the willow that was only fifty meters or so away now. When they arrived George who had been carrying the tool box with the strap over his shoulder placed the box down on the ground and opened the lid. Inside a small compact saw that folded out from a single end was found and George started to remove some of the branches that would not be able to remain if the grey willow was to have an internal area. These branches George carefully placed outside of the radius that Gemmie was carefully calculating by surveying with her three spherical parts all of the branch lengths. "We would be able to train the tree to a 2 meter radius" Gemmie expressed. "Would you do the honors and laser cast that radius onto the ground around the tree please" the three spheres started to circumnavigate around the tree each spaced 120d degrees apart, projecting a laser to the ground as they went. George opened the tool box again and took out a small retractable knife that used small disposable blades. He started to whittle a sharp taper on a single end and a notch on the other. Within the box a hammer was positioned underneath the upper tray and George with Gemmie started to lay out the pegs perpendicular to the relevant branches that were to be tied. After the two had twenty or so pegs in the ground Gemmie began to float the string up so that George could pull the rope over the branches and start to bring the branches down towards ground level. Very delicately he pulled before tying each branch off with a loop on a peg. The loop would be loosed after a suitable time of adjustment for the tree and then tightened further. When looking at the grey willow tree the length of rope zigzagged between willow peg and branches to appear as a green umbrella of foliage. With the remaining length of rope Gemmie carried the string to the central trunk where George was ready to receive the string and pull the slack of the rope into the central core area of the soon to be grown hangout for the children to share. With the remaining rope George began to wrap around the trunk having the advantage of straightening any branches with the direction of the trunk and retaining some foliage in the central area rather than only have leaves on the branches being pulled out. After the trunk was wrapped and then rope was stowed away as part of the tree structure the loose branches that came off of the main branches that were being held with the rope. These were then woven between branches and ropes to ascend back to the top of the structure. By this time the children had gathered all thirteen of themselves together and we're heading back towards the wall. Gemmie and George were making their way towards the beech tree as the children entered the meadow. There were no recently trodden paths within the meadow except the path that George had trodden and the paths that had been were overgrown and non decipherable from the rest of the meadow. The children lead in excitement by a petite French girl named Raphaëlle they ran into the meadow with little risk of appraisal for the improper behavior that were expected within the town. Although none of the children incited mischief. They sang and played games amongst themselves. Their excitement did not calm for some time. Meanwhile Gemmie and George looked on from the beech tree as the children played. A large branch overhead looked ideal for creating a rope swing. "Gemmie do you remember seeing any other rope in the shed?" "Yes George towards the back, hanging on the left hand wall from the entrance were a few more coils". "George they play without fear or reprisal". "They have had their whole lives behind that wall, although they always had each other, they now have a means to create a different type of memory that was never possible in the confines they have known their whole lives. This is a different world that none of those children has ever experienced before and if you watch those children play, part of their play will have a shared effect on you". "George, I am a survey bot, children playing would never have an effect". " Gemmie, you know what do not worry, actually Gemmie I hope this world becomes a better more meaningful place because of our friendship".
@alexandermoody1946
@alexandermoody1946 2 сағат бұрын
George and Gemmie made their way back through the meadow, past different flowers of pink, white, purple, yellow and red, past different types of grasses and a patch of brambles here and there until finally they returned to the wall. The children so excited failed to notice George leaving the meadow and Gemmie would be to small to see from that distance. After returning to the shed and finding another rope from the wall where they hung the question became of what to do about the swing to give most practical use to the children. A large knot tied with the rope. A plank of wood with some holes or perhaps something else all together. George collected various different useful parts, a piece of wooden plank at 24 inches long and 12 inches wide, a cordless drill with a charged battery, some drill bits. A few metric 12 millimeters nuts, bolts and washers and some pieces of 50 millimeter wide 316L stainless steel flat bar that were cut to 250 millimeters long on the band saw in the corner of the shed. These few pieces would create a swing that was constructed using the rope and the plank for the seat. Gemmie reminded George " George, did you check the tool box for spanners?". "Gemmie thank you for reminding me no I hadn't" along the opposite wall to the rope surplus tools hung from the wall. Gemmie quickly buzzed over and located the 19 millimeter spanners and George lifted two spanners off of the nails that the spanners ring end was looped through and placed them both into the tool box. The children had been playing tag for sometime until Gemmie and George returned to the doorway through the wall. As Gemmie and George started to walk towards the beech tree a girl dressed in ragged jeans and a light green tee-shirt, "Oi fella what you doing here?" the girl stated in an abrupt tone. " Oi fella?" George repeated complete in the surprise of the moment. " yeah you. You here to tell us to get out this field?". " no" George assured. All this time Gemmie had been very carefully surveying the area and had not engaged in conversation with the young girl. " I am George and you are?" George starting the conversation over afresh. " You sure we're not in any trouble George?" said the girl. " Not with me although we may need to discuss the hole in the wall at some point, but until then you should enjoy the meadow as you choose" George suggested. "I am Felicity, although lots of the children call me Lic, Felicity sounds more grown up" Felicity insisted. "Well Felicity although we all as children want to rush to grow up, when your grown up you cannot easily relive your childhood so enjoy your time here at your own pace". " George what's that in your hand" said Felicity. " The tool box" said George. "No the tyre" said Felicity. " That Happens to be a tyre, anyway I need to get on now". At that moment Gemmie swooped down Felicity's reaction was rapid. "Whoa what is that?" "This is Gemmie, she can answer many of your questions amongst many of the things she does." "Felicity, Gemmie and I need to get on and you should probably go back to play with your friends." See you sometime George concluded. Felicity walked back towards the other children who were intrigued to hear who the strangers were and if they would all be getting in trouble. "Na, he seems ok, but did you see that little robot? That is the, out awesome little robot I have ever seen, it's like three little balls" Felicity said. Chibuike peered towards the direction Gemmie and George were walking and said "where you think they're going?". Felicity was not sure, " wherever they're going he has a tyre and a tool bag". "A tyre" Richard responded giving a glance over to Sala. They made sudden eye contact as if to suggest an idea was brewing between them although they knew not to confere. Sala suggested giving George and Gemmie some time and following their direction a little later. Anjali and Rio seemed to agree, the children played for a longer length of time. They were playing a game of home. With one child guarding the base or home and the other children were creeping through the grasses. The rules were quite simple the child that was chosen to guard would stay on the home point until such time for an opportunity to run after and catch one or more of the children without leaving the home undefended, the opponents would try to run home without being caught. Jamal who was slightly taller than the other children had the distinct disadvantage of not being able to hide in the grasses so well because of his height, what he lost in stealth he made up for with speed. Rio was in control of home for this round and very subtly decided to double back on Jamal to fake disinterest. This tactic almost worked especially as Jamal almost tripped over in the effort to evade.
@asden3
@asden3 15 сағат бұрын
An overly optimistic view of an AI embedded future. Many of the "AI can't do this job" examples are wrong. AI can't do them but a humanoid robot combined with AI can do the job and for less than $1 per hour. Many of the white collar examples where he says AI can't do it, doesn't take into account AI agents that will emerge next year. So by just the end of 2025 most of his "AI can't do this" examples will be wrong.
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