Australian Immigration News 26th of October: 482 to PR, where will they all fit? New shortage list +

[@estellebright2579]

Thanks Karl for raising the issue of 482 to 186 PR “phantom pathway”. To me Labor is creating a massive pool of skilled workers being more or less “permanently temporary”. They could’ve removed the grant cap of partner visa and give those spaces to 186. That way, those 186k people would at least have a decent chance for a PR grant, rather than having to wait 2-4 years, fearing all the uncertainty. Let’s hope the new SID visa can change this dynamic.

[@ailsaustralia]

Thanks Estelle, yes lets hope so and the partner visa numbers should not even be mentioned, it is what it is and should not be capped

[@pratikmhatre4815]

Irrespective of the kind of news it is, I always enjoy your sarcastic way of providing information. 😅

[@ailsaustralia]

`thanks!

[@ogechionwuka4225]

Thank you so much Karl for all you do. I have issues with my visa 190 and I urgently need an immigration law firm to advise me and also handle my case as I believe all is not lost ..

[@okanmercimek5964]

Hi Karl, As you said, the bar for visa 186 applications don't show the actual waiting time for many metro applicants including myself who already hit the 17 months of waiting time. It's really frustrating and puts a lot of stress on us as we have already passed medical and AFP clearance time which will be causing re-doing all with more and more waiting time and costs. Thanks for bringing this issues up. Great work as always.

[@ailsaustralia]

Yeah thats really bad and they should not be asking for medicals and police checks until they are ready to grant. I'll highlight your comment next week. Thanks!

[@estellebright2579]

On top of having to continue to work with current employer, praying the business doesn’t go bust or you lose the job, while also waiting for the PR grant. It’s too much of a stress for me imo.

[@sarah9029]

17 months! 😢

[@sudheeralakmal5691]

I also having the same frustration. Waiting time is more than 13 months now. But no update since the first day I lodged the application. AFP clearance and medical are already passed 1 year. The stress level due to this uncertainty is too much to deal with.

[@mandzpt]

@@ailsaustralia looking forward to this discussion next week. re: impact of longer processing times for metro applicants. even with the existing MD 105, metro applicants are already being displaced and pushed out to more than 12 months as regional and new applications with priority occupations are being processed much faster, as early as 3 to 4 months from lodged to finalised. there is nothing holding back those already granted in the regionals to move to metro areas once their PR's are finalised. why not have a separate stream for regionals and priority occupations? be truthful with the visa processing times for those in metro especially those who are already here and contributing.

[@meech.88]

Canada and Australia deserve a break 🤌🏼. Housing, job's etc need to catch up to the influx of new people.

[@ailsaustralia]

Can work on both if the government gets a move on

[@meech.88]

@ailsaustralia yeah, however, the govt also has to ensure that the current citizens are doing okay and not constantly stressed re: cost of living. So indeed, do both, but also give countries like 🇨🇦 and 🇦🇺 a bit of breathing room 🙌🏼.

[@paulchester2543]

Hi Karl thanks for the informative video as always! I came to Australia from the UK on a 482 in an IT trade and reliant on Employer sponsorship for PR so I hope that only gets easier or they bring in the self nomination as has been mentioned. One thing i dont agree on though is just because our familes come over with us, they arnt lay abouts. My wife for example works supporting families in the community so regardless of numbers, partners can be skilled also and contribute to society.

[@ailsaustralia]

Absolutely we never said they would not contribute but the issue is knowing how many workers in the skills that we are seeking are coming, not the total number. If we need more in the skills needed then bring more in

[@paulchester2543]

@ailsaustralia Sorry my comment was probably worded poorly, I wasn't saying you guys said they aren't skilled I was aiming that more at the govt figures. The numbers don't really represent the amount of Skilled workers that are coming in, a partner of a 482 could be skilled in another area so technically the skilled numbers should be 2 rather than 1 skilled and 1 family. So if they are unable to glean that info then yes absolutely partners and family shouldn't form part of the numbers.

[@septianaekonugroho]

Thank you for the information, sir. May you always be healthy and strong and God bless you

[@ailsaustralia]

Thank you much appreciated!

[@TopherGriffin]

The migration system feels completely broken. I have been living in Australia for nearly 6 years, I am on a bridging visa and unable to access car finance or a mortgage. The mental health challenges this causes as I live as if I am bankrupt, unable to protect myself from rent increases through owning a home, let alone replace my broken car. I feel broken and let down, I simply hope my visa is processed soon as I am seriously considering leaving now as I am sick of my life being on hold.

[@sandhu7121]

Finally got my pr on 28oct 2024. I got 186 visa.

[@MelodyPineros]

Congratulations. How long did it take to get the visa granted?

[@Sanju-e7p]

Very informative video. Thank you for this. I am 51 year old, working as a Personal Carer for Australia almost 10 years. I am still finding harder to get DAMA sponsorships. May I ask, when will be the essential skills visa introduced? Will it have age concession? My current visa is about to expire. Thank you.

[@ailsaustralia]

There will always be an age cut off of some kind. Surprising in DAMA regions employers are still hesitate to sponsor

[@Spectrecontrol]

Informative as always, thanks!

[@ailsaustralia]

Thanks so much!

[@wasimmahmudjewel4090]

Every time you bring essential videos to us. Many thanks for your support. Please rise a tone for over 45 years of age skill visa holders who are earning less than minimum high income threshold. At least give us a chance to get PR before age 50. I believe home affairs will consider your concern regarding the issue. Regards

[@ailsaustralia]

Will do!

[@harveywallis8083]

Hi Karl, thank you for the content and advice you provide. It's great to stay up to date with your words of wisdom! How often do the immigration department review rule changes for the PR pathways? As you have mentioned, potentially the number of 482-186 transtions look to be increasing and causing an overinflation issue. I'm looking to start my 186 application in May 2025! Thanks again.

[@ailsaustralia]

No doubt the department will have to allocate more numbers to those who can be granted the 186 visa to accomodate them all

[@tejassingh1105]

Thanks for giving information. it is very helpful. Do we need to submit evidence for 191 visa lodgment that we complied the visa condition 8579 while staying Designated Regional area. If yes what will be documents!

[@rinjig4358]

I just wish if they give grandfather for present students who came before the implementation of age cap. It’s so stressful.

[@glittergirl380]

I too am praying 🙏.

[@ailsaustralia]

I know but this government does not seem to care and its very frustrating and stressful for you all

[@andrew1470]

Two year 482 visas need to apply for another 482 visa if they entered weeks after grant. I hope this changes as it takes time to prepare to move to Australia and even find accommodation.

[@ailsaustralia]

yes that is an issue but and one that should be raised

[@sicoco3216]

Glad Accountants are no longer on the shortage list. There is an oversupply of them.

[@Nicholisp]

Whoohoo Taxation Accountants are marked. (Hopefully theyll still make the list) 🥳

[@ailsaustralia]

I think they will but who knows for sure until it comes out.

[@joetom58]

Hi Karl just wanted to know if you have lodged your visa already and if your occupation is in the confidence off list. Will it affect me?

[@kamaljit-9811]

Informative video thanks a lot Sir

[@ailsaustralia]

Thank you!

[@hasithawickramasinghe7153]

Thanks for the great video 🎉

[@ailsaustralia]

Our pleasure Hasitha

[@mumtazshah1470]

Congrats karl ❤

[@ailsaustralia]

Thanks Mumtaz

[@deepakghalley-nd9bh]

What about 500 to 485 who are recently here and can’t even work for a year. We want to hear through your youtube

[@ailsaustralia]

Not sure what you mean Deepak, please give me more information

[@deepakghalley-nd9bh]

@@ailsaustralia I understood it depends on age factor, 35 plus can’t make the visa 485 from student visa 500. Thanks for your response

[@Bm24567]

Hi Karl, boat builder seems to be in national shortage and in every state except NSW. Also shipwright is on the ‘confident on’ list, and the trades are very similar. Does this look positive for boat builder for skills on demand?

[@ailsaustralia]

Really hard to say unless invitations get back to normal but while they stay on this priority offers you cant tell. Best of luck though!

[@jennjack4131]

Thanks Karl!

[@ailsaustralia]

Your welcome

[@JenniferOgechi-f4m]

Hi Karl. My friend is scared, he said his employer may write to DHA to withdraw his 186 DE nomination approval letter, because he wants to apply for 186 DE visa in next 3 months, they want him to apply for his 186 DE visa immediately. Even his employer has already started asking him whether he has started his 186 DE visa application, since they sent him his nomination approval letter 3 weeks ago. Can they withdraw his nomination letter from the DHA, because he doesn't want to apply his 186 DE visa immediately as his employer wants?. Thank you Karl.

[@ailsaustralia]

`the employer can withdraw their nomination at anytime they choose

[@engahmadhakim]

Hi Karl, any updates on the MD 109? Do you think it could be operational before the end of the year?

[@ailsaustralia]

It would have to be if they are serious about getting trades people in ASAP

[@danielamarcello4307]

Hi Karl, I’m General Accountant in ACT and I’m waiting to apply my sponsorship early next year. With this new CSOL it means I would not be able to do it if General Accountant is off?😢

[@crissmi2498]

I found that the employer nomination processing time also taking longer than expected.

[@ailsaustralia]

Yes it makes a mokery of what they are telling us

[@crissmi2498]

@ so sad

[@melchabert5998]

Hi Karl, what is happening with NSW invitation rounds? It seems that no mass invitation rounds have happened yet. Any information or insight on the matter? Thank you 🙏

[@ailsaustralia]

Mel there were a few targeted invitaitons for NSW but seems more for offshore. Lets hope some good news in the near future

[@jeta1260]

Thank you, Sir :))

[@ailsaustralia]

Your welcome!

[@ailsaustralia]

Most welcome!

[@bulatsolarsky]

Hi, Karl ! Thanks for your updates. Where there any news on 494 visa (reducing from 3 to 2 years before eligibility for PR) ? Thanks

[@ailsaustralia]

No nothing on this and I won't expect they will I'm afraid

[@WuhanVirusFAKU]

Hi Karl, Is Property Manager under the shortage skills list? It’s a rear occupation but would it be possible for any stream to secure PR pathway?

[@Vinitx-100]

As the Graphic Designer occupation is in the CSOL off list draft, there's a possibility it might be removed from the occupation list in the future. Considering this, would you suggest me to keep finding an employer to sponsor me on a 482 visa, in this occupation?

[@ailsaustralia]

It is hard to say, the new list should be out soon so perhaps it is best to wait till then

[@prasu1769]

Thanks for raising 191 visa holders problem next week Karl ..The department really want to understand how it is affecting 494 visa holders even after apply permanent residency there own .then still they want to leave Australia because of this complex visa issue .

[@ailsaustralia]

yes that should not be happening! Will push them for a comment next week.

[@randomstring200]

Thank you !!!!

[@ailsaustralia]

Your welcome!

[@tharakasamarasekara9339]

Hi Karl! Wonderful Video! Did you receive any update on the MD 109?

[@ailsaustralia]

Not yet, I wanted to chase them but got too busy. This week for sure!

[@tharakasamarasekara9339]

@@ailsaustralia Thank you very much!

[@umairkhan-y8d]

Hello karl, chef, cook and baker is in shortage list, so what you think it will on skill in demand occupation list sponsorship, as soon will be release ?

[@ailsaustralia]

I think it will be on the core list yes

[@tvnzz]

482 visa holders in occupation on short term stream , pathway to PR is still dependent on employer nomination, so it's not a true pathway if employer is not willing.. also, how does the pending change in lists impact this? Are short and medium streams not falling away? So then, what pathways are there actually for 482 visa holders? Besides using the states point tested path..

[@ailsaustralia]

Your right there is a big issue when you have to be dependent on employers to look after their staff. If not 482 only the points tested visas left

[@tvnzz]

@ailsaustralia the deputy minister himself said in a press statement there is a huge problem when employers have too much power over their employees visas...but despite this, no pathways have been created for 482's to transition without employer sponsorship. I previously asked various MARA agents to lobby this point to the minister.. With no luck..

[@estellebright2579]

@@tvnzz it was rumoured that the new SID visa would change that, but not much info coming out yet. If employee can essentially self-nominate for PR that would be much better.

[@ailsaustralia]

We will keep trying

[@cesarvargas6244]

Hi Karl, I've logged my 482 sponsor visa in march 2024. When should I expect any answers?

[@User-dodosoos]

😮😮that’s taking so long! Maybe depends on if your employer is accredited as well? My coworker applied end of Mar or in Apr this year. Her visa has granted in 2 months. I’ve just applied mine this month and waiting too. Hope you get yours soon

[@sarah9029]

Oh no, this is too long! It used to take days or a couple of weeks. But yeah maybe because of the current situation even this visa which used to be easy will take forever

[@ailsaustralia]

That varies on many issues, just need to wait them out. Best of luck

[@bubblesevent3355]

Thanks for video Please let me know they still on approval issuing for 482 visa for cooks position

[@ailsaustralia]

Yep they are

[@avatarman9073]

Hi Karl, can covid 19 impacted former students who did most of their studies online offshore due to covid travel restrictions use that study towards meeting the Australian Study Requirement for 190/189/491? Looks like it is not and this is extremely unfair 😢. Can't even do a professional year because of this.

[@ailsaustralia]

Australian study requirement can be met using covid period issues but not regional study points

[@estellebright2579]

I vaguely remember there was a concession specifically for covid-19 related concession on meeting the Australian Study Requirement. Dunno about your situation though.

[@dhruvinpandit763]

Hi Karl, Thanks for keeping us updated. Can you please help me by answering when can I expect 190 or 491 invitation being mechanical engineer with 80 & 90 points. I applied in September 2023

[@ailsaustralia]

Sorry cant answer these types of questions but best of luck

[@User-dodosoos]

Hi Karl, Congratulations 🎉 Just wondering what would be the pathway from demand visa to PR besides using points system ? Will it be same as current 482 which we can apply 186 after 2years on the visa with an employer ?

[@ailsaustralia]

Most likely it will be very similar

[@User-dodosoos]

@@ailsaustralia Thank you for responding!

[@shirly887]

One example is Teacher Aide, but is not on the skill list. How do we know the pathway to get the PR with this occupation?

[@ailsaustralia]

No chance at the moment because it has never been on any list

[@fortunate6978]

Hi, karl! How long 482 nomination is taking in these days.

[@ailsaustralia]

That varies on the type of company

[@shanlumo4843]

Karl, do you think they may regret giving the pathway (2 year 482 to PR) by the end of 2025 or early 2026? I am so stressed about any change.

[@ailsaustralia]

Not sure what you mean, the 485 has gone back to its original time frames

[@wandannekah]

Thanks Karl, is the 191 visa backlog could be justified by the same reason as the 186 visa?

[@nguyenanhtuan1196]

I think not, 191 number is virtually identical to 491+494 numbers. 186 is different because now many short-term can transition to PR while it was not the case 2 years ago, then the backlog.

[@ailsaustralia]

Technically the 191 should not have a planning level because the 491 visa has already been counted, so no I do not think that is the issue. Staff. numbers are probably causing it

[@lucianarico4602]

When do you think that they are going to change the point system? After or before the elections? When are they going to change the PM? Thanks

[@ailsaustralia]

Won't be till 2026 I feel as they may not be ready to chage everything , but who knows

[@wenhan88]

Hi Karl, I’m currently in nomination process of visa 482. Will the new occupation list affected once released?

[@ailsaustralia]

No once your application has been put in your safe. Good luck!

[@diongreat74]

Hi Wen, same here visa 482 on process.

[@wenhan88]

@@ailsaustralia thanks for your information Karl. Have a great day ahead

[@topthings8703]

Hi karl, I got ROI in SA and and applied for state nomination in carpentry. My salary around $36 k per year. I work 30 hours and get $25 per week. Am I in Risk 😢 Thanks

[@felixoppong5750]

Hi Karl, is there hesitation from DOHA issuing 191 visas?

[@ailsaustralia]

Not that I know of, perhaps there are just more applicants

[@inspirationalthoughts2263]

Hey Karl external auditor is in shortage occupation list nationwide including nsw however accountant is not does it mean nsw will update the list which will include external auditor?

[@ailsaustralia]

Wish we could tell you

[@inspirationalthoughts2263]

Based on your experience what you think ​@@ailsaustralia

[@tlhsieh4803]

why only 191 visa holders? 887 also have been waiting for long.

[@ailsaustralia]

Yeah I know, sorry should have mentioned

[@prabhgunachauria4764]

Hey, is it confirmed that experience requirements is reducing from 2 years to 1 year for TSS 482 from NOV 23rd? I mean legislation is passed?

[@ailsaustralia]

No nothing has passed or been put foward yet. Stay tuned

[@hthabib9440]

I have submitted my visa subclass 482 on 13 may 2024. My occupation is bricklayer. 5 months done i am still waiting 😞 any update pls give me

[@ailsaustralia]

Wish I could but it not unusual for applicants to be waiting more than 6 months

[@rabiulislam-mi7bl]

Adorable sir

[@ailsaustralia]

Thanks!

[@goodbadfrank]

Hi Karl, Can you advise when the results for 192 PEV visa come out as many people are saying it's coming out in increments until Feb 2025? My brother wants to know.

[@ailsaustralia]

Sorry no info on this event

[@goodbadfrank]

@@ailsaustralia thanks for the reply. Please let know if any news on this. thanks again

[@hemantdangi7926]

What's wrong with the invitation round at states....they are not giving

[@ailsaustralia]

They are limiting their invitations it seems to focus on the people they want the most, another unfair system operating

[@rizkhanriyas1538]

Hi Karl. I have lodged my 491 non priority visa in july 2023. When can I expect a grant?

[@ailsaustralia]

12-18 months would be usual. Faster if your lucky

[@hussainjaffri3141]

Very nice 👍

[@ailsaustralia]

Thank you! Cheers!

[@ayyytac]

hi Karl; Can we say that in the future of Australian immigration policy, people who have completed their masters and doctorates in Australia will have a better chance of obtaining residency and citizenship? thanks

[@ailsaustralia]

No you cannot say that, in the future it will be all about people finishing study and prove they can gain employment before they will be selected

[@rexlongfellow]

Could you please make an updated 482 visa video? There have been some changes I guess.

[@ailsaustralia]

Not really we are waiting for the new one next month to make a new video. Stay tuned

[@faelrsc]

7000 applicants and 10000 family member… this is wrong and it has to stop !

[@sarah9029]

So you think they should leave their families back home? Yeah it’s not right but it’s the poor planning I assume!

[@m-m8835]

Yeah you won’t be getting a skilled worker without their partner / child.

[@faelrsc]

@@m-m8835 Enough skilled workers are driving Uber and delivering food, mate.

[@ailsaustralia]

often you cannot get skilled workes unless thier families are allowed to come. It is more an issue they should not be counted in the allocations

[@sandhu7121]

Can i get direct permanent resident of canada if i am Australian citizen or permanent resident and had experience for 4 and half year in automotive mechanic

[@jalaluddinqureshi5500]

Hi Karl, thanks for the informative video. Can I submit 2 Eoi's of different skill occupations for 189. I am civil engineer and I can also get my skill assessment as construction project manager due to closely related work. Please guide. Thanks

[@ailsaustralia]

yes you can submit as many EOI's as you have skill asessments for

[@jalaluddinqureshi5500]

@ailsaustralia thanks Carl

[@Baaz4ill]

👍

[@shanthishama9681]

Does this occupation list affects 186 Direct Entry ?

[@ailsaustralia]

If the change the Meduim to long term list DE depends on yes it will affect

[@Keeptheblue]

Why not much people talk about 494 Reginal visa , which lot of people are staying for long time where employers are finding it hard to get employee soon , and government talk about giving priority, it is just lip service.

[@ailsaustralia]

Your right, there needs to be a big shift in there processing priorities. I topic we will be pursuing

[@aunghtet7147]

Hi Karl Do you think 189 round will be coming this December again?

[@ailsaustralia]

Most likely, yes

[@shahzebhyder1994]

Hi Karl, Any updates on Skills in demand Visa ? Thanks

[@ailsaustralia]

Not yet, stay tuned

[@123firehearts]

Hi @Karl when will be the NSW starts SC 190 & SC 491 pathway 2 invitation rounds.

[@ailsaustralia]

190's are already going but probably not till next year for 491

[@123firehearts]

@@ailsaustralia thank you so much.

[@TharunreddyThatikonda]

Can you please share docs of FOI Data requests shown in the video thanks

[@ailsaustralia]

The one about 482 was our own the other one has a link

[@arvindersingh9335]

Hi Karl any assumption on motor mechanic occupation future in coming invitation round. Please do share any information

[@ailsaustralia]

Wish we had that crystal ball but it still on order from Amazon

[@jawadbouzid5660]

I want to ask if there is a work visa that does not require a language exam?

[@ailsaustralia]

Not easy to get one of those, sorry

[@shabagsingh2910]

Medical laboratory sciencest not shortage in all states but occupation is on priority list 😮

[@ailsaustralia]

Yes this shortage list may go up and down so not sure how reliable it is as yet

[@ChrisJohannsen]

Ironically I moved from Canada to Australia because Canada let in too many people and destroyed the economy and quality of life for regular people

[@ailsaustralia]

Well your lucky Australia is a country of migrants so everyone fits in

[@ChrisJohannsen]

@@ailsaustralia so is Canada. I was a first gen Canadian myself. The issue is when countries don't have the infrastructure and housing to handle the amount of immigrants they accept. It's used as a crutch to prop up economic numbers but in reality the per capita GDP is dropping and quality of life gets worse for everyone.