Ben Goldacre: Battling Bad Science

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TED

TED

Күн бұрын

www.ted.com Every day there are news reports of new health advice, but how can you know if they're right? Doctor and epidemiologist Ben Goldacre shows us, at high speed, the ways evidence can be distorted, from the blindingly obvious nutrition claims to the very subtle tricks of the pharmaceutical industry.
TEDTalks is a daily video podcast of the best talks and performances from the TED Conference, where the world's leading thinkers and doers give the talk of their lives in 18 minutes. Featured speakers have included Al Gore on climate change, Philippe Starck on design, Jill Bolte Taylor on observing her own stroke, Nicholas Negroponte on One Laptop per Child, Jane Goodall on chimpanzees, Bill Gates on malaria and mosquitoes, Pattie Maes on the "Sixth Sense" wearable tech, and "Lost" producer JJ Abrams on the allure of mystery. TED stands for Technology, Entertainment, Design, and TEDTalks cover these topics as well as science, business, development and the arts. Closed captions and translated subtitles in a variety of languages are now available on TED.com, at www.ted.com/tra....

Пікірлер: 651
@jessewallis6589
@jessewallis6589 9 жыл бұрын
I love that his go to statement is "FIND THE PAPER" and read it for yourself instead of just reading the headline or article.
@julieblackwelder9109
@julieblackwelder9109 9 жыл бұрын
Jesse Wallis I've been doing that for years and friends laugh about it. But, TED sent me an email and deleted my comment when I called an extremely biased speaker "an educated fool". He spoke disparagingly about the people who don't blindly believe what he presents because he is using the scientific method, as if that makes him infalliable.
@thekkl
@thekkl 9 жыл бұрын
Julie Blackwelder Link?
@julieblackwelder9109
@julieblackwelder9109 9 жыл бұрын
How can I link a deleted comment?
@thekkl
@thekkl 9 жыл бұрын
Julie Blackwelder No link to the TED talk with the extremely biased speaker who thinks anyone who doesn't blindly accept what he believes is a fool.
@thekkl
@thekkl 9 жыл бұрын
Daniil Pintjuk Yep, you also need to tell whether or not it's a good research article.
@roidroid
@roidroid 13 жыл бұрын
I've been reading Ben's blog for a while, and one of his top solutions to these problems (that he apparently didn't have the time to discuss too much in this video) is that all publishable drug trials should be PRE-REGISTERED with some central scientific body before the trial is even done. This way, it removes publication bias - where bad results are withheld. And it also allows other scientists to publicly suggest alterations to the trial method to weed out problems & bias beforehand.
@thehorizontries4759
@thehorizontries4759 2 жыл бұрын
Centralization sounds like the opposite of what we need to do lol. That’s ok he gets to have his opinion. I’m glad he brought this all to light.
@roidroid
@roidroid 2 жыл бұрын
@@thehorizontries4759 pre-registration has become a more common thing in the years since i made this comment.
@McMurchie
@McMurchie Жыл бұрын
I think he covered it a year later after your post in a video called 'what doctors don't know about the drugs they prescribe', apparently that too has its issues.
@incognito595
@incognito595 24 күн бұрын
I believe he talks about that in another one of his talks, yes.
@KennyfuKennard
@KennyfuKennard 2 жыл бұрын
10 years later this is repeating at a mind-blowing scale.
@DaithiDublin
@DaithiDublin 13 жыл бұрын
I've just watched this twice in a row and I'm desperately out of breath! Great talk. He certainly made the most of his 15 minutes.
@chazwyman8951
@chazwyman8951 2 жыл бұрын
Everyone should read his book "Bad Science". It was published a while ago so you can pick it up for a couple of quid.
@denniscorcoran3856
@denniscorcoran3856 2 жыл бұрын
I slowed the video down to 75% and it sounded much better!!
@Dragon-Slay3r
@Dragon-Slay3r 8 ай бұрын
Ghostrider fucked them yesterday so they couldn't breath and irobot (me being Ai) fucked all their covers Forklift anybody? Or shall I turn up the radio? 😭
@sgordon8123
@sgordon8123 2 ай бұрын
"I got my talk done in the time limit but people tell me that they have to listen to it several times to take it in."
@youjunhu236
@youjunhu236 2 жыл бұрын
I love his criticism of bad reality using scientific mathods. We need more people doing this kind of work.
@matdddd
@matdddd 8 жыл бұрын
keep up the fight. thank you
@Ramboost007
@Ramboost007 11 жыл бұрын
This is basically his book "Bad Science" in a nutshell. Still, go buy it. It's fucking brilliant.
@chrisschouest8997
@chrisschouest8997 4 жыл бұрын
This is one of the best talks ever given in medicine
@espoppelaars
@espoppelaars 9 жыл бұрын
This problem of withholding trials can be avoided by obligating scientists to register all trials beforehand. It just so happens that Ben Goldacre has been involved in getting exactly this regulation approved: you can sign the petition or donate here: www.alltrials.net/petition/
@espoppelaars
@espoppelaars 8 жыл бұрын
***** It applies to all research, but medicine in particular I believe.
@espoppelaars
@espoppelaars 8 жыл бұрын
***** I doubt this is the case. There have been HUGE meta-analyses published showing the safety of GMO's. I can't imagine there are actually many more unpublished studies about this; nobody would invest so much money and not publish it (biased stakeholders aside).
@juliafowler91
@juliafowler91 8 жыл бұрын
+Eefje Poppelaars Sorry to butt in... i will quickly admit that I am no expert on GMOs but I am very curious on the subject. After hearing some things, I decided to search though some Canadian gov't sites (being the Canadian I am haha) - but I was not quite convinced/satisfied by what I had found... (or lack of I should say) It can be hard when I am bombarded with contradicting bias sources and such. I wish finding these kinds of answers could be more SIMPLE... (on all subjects). Petition is signed! I feel as though my concern isn't purely about the fact the organism is genetically modified ... but rather skeptic towards all the pesticides (and all that fun stuff) that they put on the food. And that is where my worries were not set to rest. So... this being the top comment and all - I thought I should add in... In hopes that some nice fellow could share some interesting information my way. (:
@saffron1006
@saffron1006 8 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the link!
@espoppelaars
@espoppelaars 8 жыл бұрын
Sophie Jones​ Of course there is an ethics board in medicine, as in all research conducted on humans or animals. But it's a completely different thing, because for this they only state what they will do to the subjects and it's only reviewed based on ethical rules and not on scientific research design or hypotheses. Moreover, it's not made public and it doesn't guarantee that it can be published.
@ResurrectingJiriki
@ResurrectingJiriki 6 жыл бұрын
This guy changed my thinking, the way I looked at the world and thus my life with his book Bad Science. Forever grateful. He's an inspiration in my book
@EleventhHourPower
@EleventhHourPower 6 жыл бұрын
Uh no it's his book
@nathaliechollet8848
@nathaliechollet8848 Жыл бұрын
Oh the irony that I am here ( this evening even ) and the first comment I see is this one … ❤
@franinconverse
@franinconverse 10 жыл бұрын
I love listening to him talk.
@Slarti
@Slarti 8 жыл бұрын
I think the important thing to remember is that just because someone calls themselves a scientist or even has a PHD it does not make what they do science. The scientific method is simply a way of learning and repeating what one has done before using various specific methods - this means that, in some cases, a janitor may be more scientific in their approach than a researcher.
@Dragon-Slay3r
@Dragon-Slay3r 8 ай бұрын
Mix it with phlegm we have to help them aswel 😂 I can do this all day 🖕
@nicelittlerunner
@nicelittlerunner 9 жыл бұрын
Is there a download I can use to slow him down by 10%? that'd do it
@foobargorch
@foobargorch 9 жыл бұрын
on chrome with html5 video there's an option to slow down by 50% (but not 10%) alternatively, use a youtube ripper to download the video file (there are online services as well as programs that do this). VLC supports variable playback rate
@randomboys1000
@randomboys1000 4 жыл бұрын
just change the playback speed
@PeterNordseth
@PeterNordseth 4 жыл бұрын
@nicelittlerunner Just wait five years and you can do it in the youtube player! *sending message into future*
@htetsiehta3335
@htetsiehta3335 10 жыл бұрын
I love that there's just random foliage behind
@rehanimus
@rehanimus 4 жыл бұрын
This lecture is awesome at 1.5 x speed
@lavarahhaihavu5511
@lavarahhaihavu5511 3 жыл бұрын
How could anyone not understand his talk even at his speed, his made alot of sense.
@ChrisCapel
@ChrisCapel 13 жыл бұрын
This is depressing. Money really is the root of all evil...
@RianKashfi
@RianKashfi 9 жыл бұрын
Did someone default this video's normal speed to 2x or is it simply that when they said that "Ben Goldacre shows us, at high speed" they meant that he would speaking at "high speed" too? ._.
@wallekiikeri4354
@wallekiikeri4354 8 жыл бұрын
+Faiyaz Kashfi Rian the speed on 0.5 is quite entertaining. speaks way too fast on normal speed
@RianKashfi
@RianKashfi 8 жыл бұрын
+Walle Kiikeri Indeed.
@RianKashfi
@RianKashfi 8 жыл бұрын
+Walle Kiikeri Indeed.
@RianKashfi
@RianKashfi 8 жыл бұрын
+Walle Kiikeri Indeed.
@RianKashfi
@RianKashfi 8 жыл бұрын
+TheKnights Oh dang that's pretty cool you got to see the guy in person. Quite an efficient speaker, I'd say.
@DeoMachina
@DeoMachina 13 жыл бұрын
Give this man a medal! (and somebody to write better conclusions, still feeling bad vibes because it looks like we're screwed)
@Dragon-Slay3r
@Dragon-Slay3r 8 ай бұрын
Yeah use candy crush cover and the cancer sticks to cover covid attempted murder situation
@DeoMachina
@DeoMachina 8 ай бұрын
@@Dragon-Slay3r 12 years later and I no longer think this man deserves a medal
@foxyboxin
@foxyboxin 13 жыл бұрын
@thelegendxp What he's saying is that the testing methodology employed by the industry is better, as in, more rigorous, more thorough, but that the independent agencies are unbiased in the sense that they actually report all of their results, instead of just some of them. This actually makes sense, given that big pharmaceutical industries have more money to spend on the testing than independent nonprofits; they can afford to do more and better tests, they just choose to withhold them sometimes.
@valkookie
@valkookie 11 жыл бұрын
It is a good book, isn't it? Irecently started getting into science (I'm 16, so I've got a bit of time), so dad got it for me for christmas. took a while to start reading, but once i started, i couldn't put it down! Did get a bit depressed at the state of things, though. i've started begging dad for bad pharma, and can't wait to read it! Bad Science did manage to get me into some frosty situations with kids at my school - i go to a steiner school in switzerland.
@salahboulenouar7065
@salahboulenouar7065 3 жыл бұрын
Hey Kia! I loved reading this comment, and then I was even more amazed when I saw that it was from 8 years ago! So, now that you are 24, how has your journey with science developed?
@crashmediauk8471
@crashmediauk8471 2 жыл бұрын
Currently doing a Uni course and this was on my recommended videos to watch, very interesting and something I will bear in mind when doing research.
@tammoilliet8683
@tammoilliet8683 3 жыл бұрын
Those of you watching this post 2020, did you happen to notice the Pfizer logo on the image he used when discussing the withheld drug trial information?
@MannanJavid
@MannanJavid 3 жыл бұрын
Are you antivax? That’s everyone’s answer (a character attack) to someone like you asking a simple question. Yeah, bro.. people are super deep into being marketed by pharmacy right now and not realizing they are the data.
@MannanJavid
@MannanJavid 3 жыл бұрын
And that of course they’ll withhold the bad data just like before.
@bkobe7
@bkobe7 13 жыл бұрын
6:26 Benny picks nose 6:28 Benny puts booger in pocket
@wanaak1426
@wanaak1426 3 жыл бұрын
I hate that I actually went back to look! LOL
@deeliciousplum
@deeliciousplum 13 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much for sharing this Ben Goldacre vid. In 2010 and in Montréal, I attended a wonderful and insightful symposium called The Lorne Trottier Public Science Symposium. Ben was one of its speakers.
@aie_aie_
@aie_aie_ 4 жыл бұрын
He finds the flaws in experiments, but I think I've found one of his flaws! And it's not small. When he talks about experiments comparing results with medication vs. results with placebo, he repeatedly implies that placebo = nothing. That the placebo would be a case of "no care". Placing someone on "placebo medication" means inviting them into a care setting, giving them time, getting them to talk about their symptoms and feelings, giving them an appointment for the next time... In short, it's not a small thing. All this attention has an effect that can be MAJOR on the patient's psychology, on his self-confidence, on his future, on his healing and self-healing resources. Remember when you were a child: you fell and you hurt. And you were healed like this: "Oooh, tell me where it hurts... I'll blow on it... magic... get better? Come in my arms ... we'll pass this boo-boo ..." = Placebo medication. And a few seconds or minutes later, you were already in less pain, maybe you didn't even feel anything, and you went back to playing. This situation is obviously not the same as an injured child who has no one to take care of, who would only get indifference by complaining. So I think this doctor has a very chemical-dogmatic approach to human functioning and care. Too bad. ...And he reveals that in the experiments, the "placebo" group would therefore be considered a "no care" group. Which truncates the comparisons, and therefore the conclusions that can be drawn.
@kyliezweifel1114
@kyliezweifel1114 3 жыл бұрын
The entire point of a placebo is to make you think you are receiving the medication when in fact you are not. He does address that the thought/assumption that you are receiving medication can cause a patient to respond differently..aka the placebo effect; which can skew results. I don’t understand your argument.
@andacomfeeuvou
@andacomfeeuvou 2 жыл бұрын
Your observations are very good. I usually warn people not to belittle the "placebo drug" because it cures. We don't know how it heals, but the fact that it heals cannot be ignored or belittled. Respect the placebo drug, respect the placebo medicines, they do not harm the body with side effects. Our mind is our perfect doctor.
@celiacresswell6909
@celiacresswell6909 3 ай бұрын
Maybe we should medicate people without them knowing: then we could truly study the effect of the drug itself😮
@Numenor76
@Numenor76 9 жыл бұрын
Good, informative talk, even if it is at a high speed. That's why i was impressed to see how he slows down at the end. Conclusion being, we should be more sceptical and thorough at various claims about anything actually. Even more if it comes from corporations, were their primary goal is profit, to sell and not to care about the consequences on the public. The social evolution would be about that i think, a groth on sceptisim.
@theennin
@theennin 2 жыл бұрын
Wait can someone please explain how this passes FDA if their falsifiing results
@SuperTico1980
@SuperTico1980 9 жыл бұрын
This so we can develop awernnes of the issue in discussions BAD SCIENCE,to think about it,not to jump in irrational conclusions!to promote a healthy system of rezoning!!
@DeistByDefinition
@DeistByDefinition 13 жыл бұрын
Those where 14 minutes 20 seconds well invested by myself. Glad I watched it.
@TrishBov
@TrishBov 11 жыл бұрын
Its pleasing to hear someone who speaks as fast as me lol.
@CierraLovesUAlot
@CierraLovesUAlot 4 жыл бұрын
Right I had no problems following him
@jaffacakesarenice
@jaffacakesarenice 11 жыл бұрын
Read again. I said 'risk' (note inverted commas) of the *exposure* amongst cases vs. controls, not the risk of the outcome amongst those exposed vs. unexposed. The latter, as you said, would be a relative risk.
@ratjoe24
@ratjoe24 11 жыл бұрын
Brilliant video. It's like he has compacted all of his excellent book bad science into one 15 minute talk.
@jaffacakesarenice
@jaffacakesarenice 11 жыл бұрын
An Odds Ratio is derived from a particular type of observational epidemiological study, the 'Case-Control' study. Basically it's a ratio of odds of exposure to something between individuals with a particular outcome (cases) and individuals without such an outcome (controls). The higher the odds ratio the higher the 'risk' of exposure amongst cases when compared with controls. An Odds Ratio of 2.0 means that there is a twofold increase in 'risk' amongst cases when compared with controls, etc.
@lukebobb2622
@lukebobb2622 5 жыл бұрын
"but, and its a big but" (everyone laughs)
@LAnonHubbard
@LAnonHubbard 13 жыл бұрын
Brilliant talk. Lift the veil on the actual evidence!!
@LightWthoutTheStatic
@LightWthoutTheStatic 13 жыл бұрын
This is one of the most useful videos I've yet to see from TED. Great stuff if you can handle his enthusiasm. heh heh.
@notreveh
@notreveh 13 жыл бұрын
This should have been the video number 1.000 since it is such a wonderful speech.
@michalchik
@michalchik 12 жыл бұрын
You are most welcome. I am glad you have a curious open mind.
@DizY_8
@DizY_8 13 жыл бұрын
I liked his enthusiasm. I've found that a lot of these TED talks conferences boring cause they lack a coherent and/or enthusiastic talker.
@3LARI
@3LARI 12 жыл бұрын
I really this guy's honest attitude and his work is highly applaudable, but most of all, I like the way he just walked off at the end and didn't hang around to get an egomaniacal hand job off the sycophantic audience like most of the other tossers that talk at TED. Good man, Ben. Good man.
@peterdollins3610
@peterdollins3610 5 жыл бұрын
Greece 74 to 84 the people were healthy, in general. after the Greeks went toward western diets rate of heart diseases with many other sicknesses increased dramatically as was shown in figures and observed by leading Greek heart surgeons.. 3 blue areas in Greece have more older people staying healthy far longer than in other regions. Peter l. Dollins.
@SulisFidelis
@SulisFidelis 12 жыл бұрын
I have one member of my immediate family who needs anti-psychotics and another who needs anti-depressants. The idea that people withhold studies about the effects of these drugs or try to manipulate the data is disgusting and frightening. People dependent on any prescribed drug are vulnerable to a greater or lesser extent, and I can't believe that people feel they can exploit their illness
@flamingleg
@flamingleg 13 жыл бұрын
@SIC66SIC66 I wouldn't say that i'm scared, I'd describe myself as being skeptical. I don't doubt that the doctor has my best interests at heart and that he or she would prescribe what they thought was the best solution. Personally, I would do the research first, and then go to the doctor for clarification, for a second opinion and perhaps for some advice. The key point here is that you yourself should be taking the first proactive step. It is your health after all.
@MinyMiny
@MinyMiny 8 жыл бұрын
I tried slowing it down to .5 to better understand him but now he just sounds drunk lol
@JunaidalitheAwesomeMe
@JunaidalitheAwesomeMe 8 жыл бұрын
ha ha u r right
@circleofleaves2676
@circleofleaves2676 8 жыл бұрын
Same. Wish there was an option between 0.5 and normal.
@preyasmp
@preyasmp 8 жыл бұрын
Because he has a lot of imp stuff to talk in 18 mins
@x256h
@x256h 7 жыл бұрын
I SPEED UP to x2
@x256h
@x256h 7 жыл бұрын
Use Video Speed Controller Chrome Extension
@WACHAPELICULAS41
@WACHAPELICULAS41 2 жыл бұрын
llegue aquí por un enlace compartido de prepa en línea de mi país y me voy con ganas de seguir aprendiendo del tema
@Friemelkubus
@Friemelkubus 13 жыл бұрын
Many of TED's speakers are hero's. Each one of them in their own way.Both because of who they are and what they do.
@PlanetBongoSan
@PlanetBongoSan 11 жыл бұрын
yerp, this Ben Goldacre guy wrote a really excellent book on the subject - 'Bad Science'. Can't recommend it highly enough, a very entertaining and yet serious work on an important subject. I just ordered the follow-up , 'Bad Pharma', looking forward to that one too
@GabrielHarper
@GabrielHarper 12 жыл бұрын
Everyone in the world needs to watch this, and understand what he's saying. It's easy to forget that everyone has a motive, and 99% of the time that motive is money. Question everything!
@foxyboxin
@foxyboxin 13 жыл бұрын
@AGrandt Good idea, but I think that might be tougher to implement than simply legally obligating the companies to disclose before their products are allowed to come to market.
@tieshamilay9446
@tieshamilay9446 Жыл бұрын
I love how this man presents. He is the type that you won't go to sleep on. First, he has accent, so you have to listen carefully to what he is saying. Secondly, he speaks like an auctioneer, which kind of makes his speak like a comedy. Very entertaining. Who says education can't relate to gen Z in a fun way?
@capnbmac
@capnbmac 13 жыл бұрын
@sylvur eggs are packed with nutrients some not found in many other foods, so yes, eggs 2-3 times a week can be an important part of a healthy diet.
@saretie
@saretie 10 жыл бұрын
I know the talk was 2 years ago...but is there any way to obtain sources for some of the information he sites....
@axelasdf
@axelasdf 13 жыл бұрын
It's been awhile since I've seen a good TED talk.
@josephhoward9163
@josephhoward9163 5 жыл бұрын
slide of al gore in the Tedx talk opening montage of alumini on bad science. that cracks me up, classic
@kurtalaimo9390
@kurtalaimo9390 4 жыл бұрын
Watching this for HSC1100 at Monash, Caulfield. any one else??
@scottmayers2438
@scottmayers2438 6 жыл бұрын
Question: Considering all Ben said above (which I agree to), what about studies about things like second-hand smoke as being 'proven' hazardous causes of premature death? I ask not in doubt that harm CAN occur in excess environments but that when it is used by governments to create laws, how CAN one actually experiment realistically to determine such kinds of conclusions? How can you rule out other causes? Relating also to this is how statistics show a decrease in smoking upon laws that both educate and restrict ads and overt access, etc. In line with what Ben said above about the KINDS of people involved, if the success of effectiveness of these tactics suffice to help say, a middle to upper class portion of the environment, how can a statistic be appropriate about ALL people, like those in poverty. An example of something I know as a smoker to which political excuse is backed by science is regarding the hiding of the presence of tobacco products in stores (here in Saskatchewan, Canada, at least). As far as I am aware, no one would rationally opt to go to the store one day out of the blue to buy cigarettes of any particular brand name to initiate their addiction. Rather, people would only opt to begin smoking by peer or local environmental groups of people (like family) and ONLY try smoking first THROUGH others without even requiring to pay for it. The brand one seems to have only relates to what they began with in these initial trials and not due directly to an appealing looking package on display by some company. Nor is the higher prices matter as a deterrent until one is already an addict. (Thus, the excuse to charge higher prices as a deterrent only affect the post addicted, not the initiated.)
@bmorenasty8713
@bmorenasty8713 6 жыл бұрын
There are decades of high quality studies by independent researchers all over the world that show exposure to secondhand smoke causes cancer and all the same health problems as smoking cigarettes.
@scottmayers2438
@scottmayers2438 6 жыл бұрын
HOW has these studies been done? Did they have a control and test groups of people double-blinded? We HEAR of study results. Can you point to specific studies and experiments? If one is using mere death stats, how do you exclusively narrow one's cause of death to such a specific unique environmental pollutant when the exhaust of one car running for one minute has more 'second hand' fumes (as one environmental example) for a lifetime of smoking. Note I know that smoking is sufficiently hazardous to warrant being skeptical of smoking. But the presumed experiments like second-hand (or third hand, etc) are more likely political expedients to justify certain actions. These are just as valid to question. You cannot act with the emotional hatred of some activity such as smoking by allowing us to TRUST studies that don't voluntarily explain HOW these studies are done. IF so, then we've discovered the reason for WHY many use false science and how those with apparently appropriate skepticism about some topics AND that the same people skeptical of one set of people using science this way are HYPOCRITICALLY adapting this bad behavior of themselves. [I'm serious about asking you (or anyone here) if they can redirect me to the second-hand smoke studies with appropriate depth.]
@Spirited_skiing
@Spirited_skiing 6 жыл бұрын
While a review or a book on its own does not have methods within its own text, it has plenty of links to papers within the field in its bibliography or hyperlinked in. Dig in and enjoy! www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK44330/ A note about the studies they employ: Case control and cohort studies are the standard for smoking or secondhand smoking, because it would be unethical to assign smoking randomly to people given the nature of the harm. It is imperfect, however, the continued replication of more than a hundred studies finding the same results helps to rule out confounders and strengthens the casual link between secondhand smoking and cancer. You can read more about Bradford Hill's 9 criteria of causation here: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradford_Hill_criteria (I'm an epidemiology graduate student so if you have methods/paper questions, I'm happy to explain to the best of my abilities)
@scottmayers2438
@scottmayers2438 6 жыл бұрын
Thank you. I already notice errors on the first link to the N.I.H. There, ALL the reference links link back to the same page. !?? If this is just some oversight, for such an important presentation to the public, it lacks the professionalism and I'm already surprised that this hasn't been noticed. "Researchers have identified more than 50 carcinogenic compounds and many other toxic substances in tobacco smoke (USDHHS 1986; Hoffmann and Hecht 1990; Hecht 1999)"
@scottmayers2438
@scottmayers2438 6 жыл бұрын
Reading further, "In 1981, the first major epidemiologic studies of secondhand smoke and lung cancer showed that nonsmoking women married to smokers had a higher risk of lung cancer than did nonsmoking women married to nonsmokers (Garfinkel 1981; Hirayama 1981; Trichopoulos et al. 1981). " Without access to see exactly the studies it is hard to not rule out a lot based only on conclusions claimed and interpretations about how the studies were done etc. Men are/were more likely smokers with non-smoking spousal women if they are of either men who worked in labor-risk environments, not to mention the women of poorer social classes of this study would probably be much less representative. That is, the women who are non-smokers would not normally choose male spouses who smoke without themselves having less variable choices. Then their own risks likely go up simply due to being in more risky general environments that would have other potential factors that contribute to cancer. There are way too many questions to be raised where it is hard to rule out other factors. I had a family of friends who were relatively poor and had large numbers of relatives who cohabited the same small house where the smoke in the air there was so extreme that you could not see well ten feet away. This was unusual as an extreme but illustrates the kind of environments where one's economic classes alone suffice to make them more at risk. Should one live in a community where the environment was like that for any environmental pollutant in general, those who don't smoke would more likely be ones who require accepting spouses who smoke. So the experiments using spousal studies of distinct couples of differences about whether they smoke should hint that those women are likely in an unusual unhealthier community at large.
@LightWthoutTheStatic
@LightWthoutTheStatic 13 жыл бұрын
Freeeeeak man! This guy's enthusiasm is waking me up more than my coffee is!! Got my heart pumping. haha
@irob160614
@irob160614 13 жыл бұрын
Actually there should be three treatments when he was talking about the clinical trials in pharmaceuticals. There should be a group treated with a placebo, one with the best drug out there currently, and one with the product your testing.
@mangolongp1ay641
@mangolongp1ay641 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks KZbin for recommending this to me now. Oh, and I wish this guy was my doctor.
@shuttereff3ct593
@shuttereff3ct593 7 жыл бұрын
Great enlighten for our minds .. already have known this man from his famous book!
@hiirscotty
@hiirscotty 13 жыл бұрын
Excellent talk - loved his book, too.
@Locustfiretree
@Locustfiretree 13 жыл бұрын
Excellent! I wish more people would see this.
@flamingleg
@flamingleg 13 жыл бұрын
@SIC66SIC66 think about it like this. A doctor is expected to hold expert opinion on all drugs. It's a vital part of their job and one of their chief responsibilities. If you the patient only require one drug to treat one specific illness or condition, then it should follow that to self-administer that drug you would only be required to become an 'expert' on one specific substance.
@jaffacakesarenice
@jaffacakesarenice 11 жыл бұрын
To be fair to Ben, it's not his fault if the results were provided as ORs in the original studies he's quoting. As you said, odds ratios (and case-control studies) don't provide the best level of evidence regarding association, but in some situations they're the best we've got. Not sure how far I'd get with what you suggested; I am most definitely *not* a statistician (unfortunately) and often find statistics rather confusing. I am aware, though, that ORs are at best a very crude estimate of RR.
@earthmother
@earthmother 13 жыл бұрын
this has to be, by far, the BEST thing i've watched on KZbin in months.....*subscribed*
@Master_Therion
@Master_Therion 13 жыл бұрын
I worked in big pharma for a few months... I saw cases of them with holding data, even when court ordered to make it available. When getting a drug to market means one $Billion profit say goodbye to integrity, honesty and patient safety. Greed is not good.
@KnasiTaket
@KnasiTaket 13 жыл бұрын
I love the enthusiasm from him!
@johnglennmercury7
@johnglennmercury7 2 жыл бұрын
Good on homeopathy, replication crisis, etc. But have you analysed covid vaccines' effectiveness? Trials' rigour? Side effects?
@Anitube
@Anitube 13 жыл бұрын
@Plecebo1996 While I don't disagree, you realize that TED stands for Technology, Entertainment and Design right?
@j_j8758
@j_j8758 4 жыл бұрын
This is the best talk I've watched
@violet156
@violet156 13 жыл бұрын
great talk, also how to spot missing data, so whats the name of the review group he was talking about?
@michaelspittler4373
@michaelspittler4373 11 жыл бұрын
sceptizism combined with humor and good will... how good can one guy get? :-)
@AndieRileyJournalist
@AndieRileyJournalist 4 жыл бұрын
His mum was the lead singer in 70's one hit wonder Foxx.
@ScottishAtheist
@ScottishAtheist 13 жыл бұрын
Ben Goldacre can squeeze an hour long talk into 15 mins
@hazyrra
@hazyrra 9 жыл бұрын
"lift up the lid, finger around in the mechanics and peer in". I don't understand this. can anybody explain?
@austininflorida
@austininflorida 9 жыл бұрын
He means the mechanics of the pharmaceutical industry. He is recommending that more people, especially doctors writing prescriptions but everyone really, should take a look for themselves at the business practices and study methodology. He argues that the best way to improve the system is to make sure everyone knows how it works.
@shannonlamont
@shannonlamont 9 жыл бұрын
+hazyrra I think he means something like this: www.alltrials.net/petition/
@U2QuoZepplin
@U2QuoZepplin 3 жыл бұрын
N.B He makes a very convincing argument too.
@thefilth7368
@thefilth7368 5 жыл бұрын
Excellent talk. Thank you.
@2nd3rd1st
@2nd3rd1st 13 жыл бұрын
@Mrmoc7 What about his choice of bottled water, do you agree with him? Do you like his jacket? Do you have anything relevant to say?
@fiercefunky
@fiercefunky 13 жыл бұрын
I like that enthusiasm Benny!
@incognito595
@incognito595 2 ай бұрын
This is So Important.
@jarroda2006
@jarroda2006 13 жыл бұрын
Curious to your opinion on the fact that drug companies now MUST provide study protocols prior to conducting a study so that negative studies cannot be hidden.
@Head1essC1own
@Head1essC1own 12 жыл бұрын
Goldacre's book should be required reading for everyone in school. Seriously.
@Yaarrr
@Yaarrr 13 жыл бұрын
One of the better TED videos.
@MartiUK_
@MartiUK_ 13 жыл бұрын
I've been waiting for this video for ages! Thanks TED.
@holyunderware2000
@holyunderware2000 13 жыл бұрын
best TED talk ive seen in awhile
@brettygood1
@brettygood1 13 жыл бұрын
You see, this is my problem with capitalism & advertising. Even if the information is available (which is rare) the loopholes & tediousness of unveiling the truth of claims about products is far beyond the intellect/time any average American (or person) is willing to put into a decision about which bottle of soap or capsules they should buy. Such a good talk, one of my favorites!
@foxyboxin
@foxyboxin 13 жыл бұрын
@AGrandt Either solution would require doing that if you're serious about it. Getting consumers to care about an issue is like trying to herd cats. There's no way you could ever convince enough people to give enough of a toss about this issue. And even if you could, what if every single company is doing this? Then, do consumers just stop taking medication all together?
@thruthewall
@thruthewall 13 жыл бұрын
@88Kamikaze69 I didnt mean to portray you as a bumpkin at all! I was only messing, trying to lighten the mood as it were. Yes anyone can get a "mickey mouse" doctorate, that can be bought from any number of "internet universities". But i dont think Ben Goldacre can be put into that category. He is a highly respected member of the scientific community. Added to that, he is giving you scientific facts to back up what he saying, im sure that adds weight to his arguement even more!
@StreetGeekz
@StreetGeekz 12 жыл бұрын
Extracting certain aspects of the plant can be just as effective if not better than some modern medicines seeing as how the vast majority of OUR meds.(west) are really just for pain relief. There are many plants that can do those things and more IF treated and cured properly and done by the right people. Of course even if it turns out to work better than western-meds very few will know about it due to the potential profits involved.
@qttytn
@qttytn 13 жыл бұрын
Already fav'd before I watched, the love this guy, buy his book
@RobDaaawG
@RobDaaawG 11 жыл бұрын
I agree, but that statement is not entirely correct. The world wouldn't freeze over if all of the carbon dioxide was removed. EM radiation of various spectrum's are absorbed by other compounds in the atmosphere (like water vapor) too, as well as the surface of the earth. .. But yes CO2 is a real problem at the concentrations its getting too in the atmosphere, as its absorption spectrum is somewhat wider than other greenhouse gasses.
@mwilliamson4198
@mwilliamson4198 11 жыл бұрын
Good talk. Learn to stand still man...
@thecatandthefiddle
@thecatandthefiddle 13 жыл бұрын
A fascinating topic presented in an entertaining fashion by an amusing speaker. :3 I only dislike that he sounds like he was rushed, but that can be overlooked.
@kablamo9999
@kablamo9999 13 жыл бұрын
Why not pass laws to require the companies to give out all the info?
@paniwi11
@paniwi11 13 жыл бұрын
@SafeDonations That's wonderful for Mary...any reason you're posting it here?
@joelontong7449
@joelontong7449 5 жыл бұрын
When i lose concentration it sounds like this guy is saying: *aakgfjdhagashdgkashdhkadhsadsd* But in a British accent.
@gulllars
@gulllars 13 жыл бұрын
11:00 going meta :D Really good talk. I already suspected most of what he said, but now i have a better understanding of it :)
@lemur366
@lemur366 13 жыл бұрын
Oh my wizard god, this man talks SUPER fast. I think this video should be twice as long if he talked normally
@trumpy88
@trumpy88 13 жыл бұрын
@ googolplexbyte "Larger sample sizes generally lead to increased precision when estimating unknown parameters. eg if we wish to know the proportion of a certain species of fish that is infected with a pathogen, we would generally have a more accurate estimate of this proportion if we sampled and examined 200, rather than 100 fish. Fundamental facts of math.. statistics describe this phenomenon, eg. the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem" 4rm wiki Sample size determination
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