Can Democrats Win the House and Senate?

[@johnstevenson22]

this aged well

[@niteman555]

Voter turnout was catastrophically bad

[@iii-ei5cv]

​@@niteman555you mean that one party catastrophically failed to motivate voters?

[@johnstevenson22]

@@niteman555 excuses

[@BB-jg2kn]

​@@niteman555only on the Democratic side

[@Shootingfoul]

it's not over yet.

[@msofronidis]

Well, someone won the trifecta.

[@SimonVivanco-n1q]

lol

[@blueboy3990]

When the senate was first created the population ratio between the most and least populated states was 6:1, now it's 60:1 ....

[@Talisguy]

The Senate and House both need to be a lot bigger. The voter-to-representative ratio is a huge problem with the US political system - Congress is simply too small for its members to keep remotely in touch with the everyday concerns of their electorate.

[@rikuvakevainen6157]

So they need bigger room to do their work.

[@Apocalypse21OG]

What you expect Wyoming or Vermont to do? Steal 30 millions people and have them cramp in a small area?

[@Talisguy]

​@@Apocalypse21OG No, the point is that having two Senators per state regardless of population is ridiculous.

[@Khneefer]

​@@Talisguy You have represenation tie to population in HR. Senate shows equality of all states in union. HR should be expanded to be cubic root of population (693 congressmans for today popualtion), and every state should have 3 senators instade of 2. Both should be elected by STAR Voting method.

[@noblereaction2586]

No…. The answer is no lmao

[@nathaniellowe1215]

Europeans having absolutely no pulse on American politics? Who would have thought!

[@vjhicks8533]

I hope Dan Osborn wins and inspires more independents to run. We’ve got to bit by bit get away from the “sports team” 2 party system.

[@ill_bred_demon9059]

We really need a space for non-MAGA Republicans and centrist Dems to run in Red states.

[@Waldohasaskit210]

I agree but it will never happen until we enact a different voting system

[@randommess-d5t]

​@@Waldohasaskit210we can still vote tactically

[@spacefun101]

Give us multi member districts and ranked choice voting so people aren’t encouraged to vote for someone they dislike please.

[@Henry-ps6jo]

Dan Osborn is just a democrat running as a independent to seem moderate. Go ahead and look at any other independents voting record, and you’ll see they pretty much vote with their caucus 99% of the time.

[@leifmcewen-updegrove1893]

As a Minnesotan I feel like I have to say this: it's pronounced "Walls" not "Waltz"

[@ABoxIsMyHome]

what’s your thoughts on Waltz and the general feeling of who will win the election?

[@leifmcewen-updegrove1893]

@@ABoxIsMyHome I think it's funny that people call him progressive, cus most of that is progressives in the state legislature pushing him on that stuff, not him wanting to do it. as for like who will win? its gonna be a coin-toss, a couple 1,000 voters in the swing states who will decide who they're voting for day of

[@ABoxIsMyHome]

@@leifmcewen-updegrove1893 i’m scared for y’all, i hope you are voting for Harris :)

[@soccerguy325]

@@leifmcewen-updegrove1893 Do you have a source that says he didn't actually want to sign any of the legislation that came to his desk? I find that unlikely, lmao

[@leifmcewen-updegrove1893]

@@soccerguy325 totally get that, it’s mostly anecdotal- I just know that a lot of my leftist activist friends weren’t the biggest fan of him cus they said he wasn’t willing to sign bills that would have raised Uber drivers minimum wages, and in general fought activist groups on language of the bills- not saying he’s a conservative or anything, just that he’s a politician of the moment sort of guy, and that his moderate reputation when he was in the house is I think more accurate to where he actually is

[@danoman8289]

Literally every house race mentioned went to the GOP Lmao

[@iii-ei5cv]

Coming back to gloat after TLDR got it wrong yet again!!

[@halahmilksheikh]

These guys always get it wrong each time. Just stay in your lane britbongs

[@Murray-wr5no]

Homer J Simpson is a household name in Alaska. He's running on a campaign of more tartar sauce for everyone. The fishing industry has his full support.

[@wanderingsoul4104]

And mine ❤️

[@lematindesmagiciens8764]

Reminds me of when Bozo the Clown was running for president in the 80s. His slogan was: 'Vote for the real Bozo' !

[@ProgrammerInProgress]

Please think of poor blinky

[@trytwicelikemice3190]

At first I thought that was an unfortunately named candidate... checked online and there is no Homer J. Simpson running, I guess it's an in-joke for TLDR

[@ryanh9388]

Simpson eh… new man?

[@socialistrepublicofvietnam1500]

3:41 Finally, an independent politician we can trust!

[@NCR-National-Reclamation-Gov]

He's the only candidate going against big Lisa

[@Jagzeplin]

i wouldnt have noticed that if not for your comment. thank you

[@nathangamble125]

No, he's obviously corrupt. I'm writing in Mr Plow instead, a candidate that we all know we can trust.

[@PKyran42]

thank you Socialist Republic of Vietnam

[@aiaesthetics1124]

Short answer: no Long answer: no

[@fighter0056]

Just dismissing the possibility ist just shortsighted

[@thepolishcow9050]

@@fighter0056Harris is literally down in all of the polling in every swing state at this point. The senate is also almost guaranteed to flip because of states like Montana being likely for republicans to win. The house is genuinely the only one I could see going to democrats at this point. It’s not shortsighted to go off of the concrete information that we have instead of just saying, “B-B-But it could happen.”

[@isocarboxazid]

@@thepolishcow9050 Yeah, and I guess you forgot Trump was WAYYYYY further down in polling in 2016 than Harris is now? You remember how that turned out, right?

[@Jagzeplin]

short answer: no long answer: noooooooooooooo

[@Givemepeanutbutter]

​@@thepolishcow9050 the polls don't really mean anything. Winning the polls losing the polls, who gives a f. Hillary Clinton was winning the polls in 2016 and lost

[@FighterBro48]

Quick answer no: Senate is highly favorable for Reps no matter who wins the presidency

[@michaelvstemerman]

Dems will win House, Reps will win Senate, and President is a cointoss

[@ill_bred_demon9059]

Odds are in their favor, but it's not out of the question. Especially with Nebraska and Texas being opportunities for Dems

[@shutup2483]

@@ill_bred_demon9059 I'd say there's a better chance of the Ukraine war ending this year than Texas having a blue senator, especially due to Allred's disastrous debate performance.

[@shutup2483]

​@@michaelvstemerman I doubt the Presidency is a coin toss (it's at least more favorable to Trump), especially given Kamala's recent string of disastrous interviews on Fox and 60 Minutes. Also, running on Trump being orange Hitler won't help Kamala's campaign, even more so since she's technically the incumbent.

[@ill_bred_demon9059]

@shutup2483 every woman in Texas saw Cruz support the extreme abortion ban. That won't go over well with them

[@lc7664]

OK, this was actually a good video. Clear, nice visual aids, to the point, important. Thanks!!

[@wolfwalker5924]

A vote for Harris is a vote for WW3 and the loss of the dollar as the world's reserve currency. All she has to stand on is her horrific failure as Border Tsar. She's lazy, arrogant, unlikeable, dishonest, lacking communication skills, and climbed up the political ladder using the influence of her politically powerful, married boyfriend with benefits.

[@Nahasapasa]

3:40 D'oh!

[@kebsonxd1720]

Aged like milk

[@ClarkDeCinci]

Next Video: Can Democrats Turn Mars Blue?

[@tylorhobbs8920]

That depends, do we know anything about Mark Watney's political views?

[@Rizz779]

😂😂honestly

[@look4keith]

Obviously you don't give a damn about what is at stake. The safety and security of millions of people is a joke for you.

[@Rizz779]

@@look4keith What’re you on about lmao??

[@Rizz779]

@@look4keith didn’t yall use this same speech for every election lmao

[@miladd237]

🫵😂

[@FradAnner]

I hope we all know that it doesn't matter who is in the 'top job' because this is a systemic problem -- greed. We have allowed many of our economic sectors, to take advantage of the American people. It's disgusting and frightening for the future of our country. My wife and I will be retiring in the next two years n another country. We are absolutely worried that SSI will no longer be funded. we'll have to rely on his pension, a 403 (b) and a very prolific Investment account with my Stephanie Janis Stiefel my FA. Our national debt is bloating and expanding every month. Our government needs to get spending under control and cut the federal budget.

[@SehunEscobar]

What country you moving too?!'m headed to Thailand or the Philippines in 4 years.

[@SekouJannicke]

I know this FA, Stephanie Janis Stiefel but only by her reputation at Neuberger Berman ; even though she's now involved in managing portfolios and providing investmnt guidance to clients. I have been trying to get in contact since l watched her interview on WSJ last month.

[@FradAnner]

@@SehunEscobarI have a sister in Sri Lanka, should be easy for me to settle in

[@FradAnner]

@@SekouJannickeWell her name is 'STEPHANIE JANIS STIEFEL'. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

[@IvanSimaleza]

The new American Dream is to leave. Housing costs, medical costs, and the IRS are three of the big reasons that make it so.

[@zaineoakley5555]

Short Answer: Yes its possible but its unlikely

[@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190]

unless puerto rico is admited to the union, 5 house and 2 senate seats.

[@hegara376]

Exactly. My hope is that with Trump and MAGA gone, Dems and Reps can begin to work again "normally", like political opponents, not like enemies.

[@dqdq4083]

Fortunately

[@dqdq4083]

​@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190 will never happen

[@RealTalkLaughs]

@@hegara376 ya, we did that before. It's called the uniparty and all it did is give us perpetual war and monopolies to the criminals who put them in power. Like, how stupid are you on a scale of 1-AOC?

[@jonasastrom7422]

Never thought I'd hear Nick Fuentes' name here lol

[@dariomeneses5756]

"Controversial political pundit"? More like neo-nazi influencer

[@ReginaldToynbee]

Nick is the goat

[@AOA9871]

@@ReginaldToynbee 💀

[@linkly9272]

@@ReginaldToynbee I don't think a diet consisting of crayons, glue, and marker fumes is working out for you; might want to switch gears.

[@jonasastrom7422]

@@ReginaldToynbee fr I'm a day one

[@charlylimph]

Its always weird when my home district gets mentioned on international news

[@scpatl4now]

There is also an abortion referendum in Florida

[@beachboysandrew]

Short answer: no. They have no realistic pathway in the Senate

[@RJH755]

Wouldn't say they have NO pathway but it does seem unlikely

[@KrustyKrabPizza22]

​@@RJH755I think it's more of an unknown possibility tbh. We're in uncharted waters with the drop out mid race, and the polls getting way better all of a sudden

[@BlAckH0le-f7y]

@@KrustyKrabPizza22 Aaaaand then Trump just started gaining ground on every front

[@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190]

@@BlAckH0le-f7y a lot of these are partisan polls

[@Tester24796]

​@@BlAckH0le-f7ystranger things have happened. Like trump winning in 2016.

[@jonathanazenon8731]

Beautifully said!

[@lsantilli]

You guys are really impressive with your research on these for being out of country - as a Mainer who was stoked about Golden and the ranked voting we have been so stoked he got through. Hopefully he can again!

[@OliviaCloves]

I’m also excited to see Dan Osborn go to the senate as a Populist

[@indefatigable8193]

Look, as an American who had a father in politics since age 8, went to school for quantitative analysis in political science and can feel the heartbeat of the election like any average American can… I can tell you… something crazy is about to happen. It’s always what we don’t expect. Someone is going to win someplace weird.

[@LucaSoares361]

Nooop

[@Talisguy]

My bet is that neither party will get a trifecta, but the combination could fall any way - it's so close that I have no idea which party will get which. It's _possible_ that the GOP's public struggle to agree on a Speaker will flip the House, but I wouldn't put money on that happening and I don't think it'll be a large swing if it does happen. The Senate and Presidency are both a coin toss.

[@beachboysandrew]

I’m guessing you’re not American. The American news cycle moves absurdly quickly. The speaker debacle is not going to affect almost anyone’s vote given everything else that’s happened since then

[@tuxtitan780]

Id imagine that the democrats will take the house and lose the Senate, and the Republicans will be the opposite. Then whoever wins the presidency still won't have a trifecta

[@reysandyabayan9745]

With this kind of enthusiasm, it's not impossible!

[@cl8804]

jew no matter who so much genecider enthusiasm

[@Satsaru]

It was, in fact, impossible.

[@CB38096]

California is on track to flip at least 4 house seats. I think it’s likely the house flips but it will be closely split.

[@Cyrus992]

It’s gaining for Republican registrations

[@almighty5839]

No it’s not 😂 at most they’ll flip one

[@linkly9272]

I remember when people were saying "Red California!!" in 2020; how did that one turn out?

[@dark_messiah8183]

@@Cyrus992 I believe most of this comes down to registered legacy democrats finally actually switching party registrations. Not necessarily indicative of actual much net Republican votes.

[@Cyrus992]

@@dark_messiah8183 explain further

[@Matthewmistcloud]

You forgot about the abortion and weed admenedments in Florida

[@michaelmmm3190]

I don't think that will help democrats very much in Florida

[@gob384]

Florida went for Trump on the same ballot that they allowed felons the right to vote. The local Democrats infrastructure has been ineffective for a long time

[@caseclosed9342]

Weed legalization is popular among both parties here. And the ban on abortion is actually more extreme than what a lot of people wanted, so I don’t think it will help democrats that they are on the ballot. We’re also the state that voted for Trump in 2020 AND voted in favor of a $15/hour minimum wage…

[@jeckjeck3119]

@@caseclosed9342 Would GQP more extreme than what they wanted help dems?

[@Matthewmistcloud]

@@caseclosed9342 I think personally that the state is going to flip I live in brevard county which in 2016 was a trump plus 19.5 % in 2020 it was Trump plus 16.4 but this year I have hardly seen any Trump signs and it’s one of the most republican counties in the state but from what I saw it had large support on both 3 and 4

[@jspihlman]

Governor Kathy Hochul's last name is pronounced hoe-cull, not hock-cull.

[@zackwoods5077]

However you pronounce it, Republicans would like to thank her for being so awful as a governor that they control the house because of it.

[@nerenahd]

The problem about polls is that Trump/MAGA supporters are either ashamed to say they vote for them or distrustful of anything that's not clearly on their side (eg Fox News). That's why they've been outperforming the polls on election day. Pretty hard to gauge the actual inclination of the electorate.

[@JSmirkingRevenge]

No, thats 2016, now they are open about voting for him The problem with 2020 is they did not include people who just said Trump and refused to go further with the polling, now they are including those people

[@MidWitPride]

I think that was much more of a factor in 2016 than it is now. People forget that Trump already was the president for 4 years, so he's not some wildcard outlier one has to support from the shadows anymore, but very much mainstream. Those that were ashamed of supporting Trump have by now come out of the closet, switched sides or become fence sitters. I don't think the remaining hesitant Trump supporters are a significant proportion of the voter base at this point.

[@maxlucy7135]

Democrats out performed the polls by an average of about 4.5 points, 5 points in swing states. Polls will always be inaccurate

[@ChristaFree]

Maga doesn't like fox news lol

[@ImStevan]

i just don't think that they are ashamed anymore ever since he won in 2016 edit: clarifying that i'm talking about 2016

[@sarahpne]

Why is TLDR so biased about American politics? They can talk about far right Eastern European parties pretty fairly. But when it comes to America it’s terrible.

[@danishsyed1068]

Speaking as American it’s because our right wing is much farther to the right than Europe’s normally

[@robertmartin6800]

@@danishsyed1068 The American right is more liberal than the European right, it's more overtly skeptical towards the state, but it's not farther to the right than the European right-wingers are.

[@youremomlol2263]

the bias against republicans is so weird too, considering there's parties to the right they are more fair towards lol

[@duncanhw]

​@@danishsyed1068 listen to any far right European politician about immigration and you'll change your mind

[@sarahpne]

@@danishsyed1068 no it’s not even kind of?

[@Irisishunter]

The Republicans won the trifecta Not the Democrats

[@vezy1003]

"Fans of TLDR like YOU care about ... " Is it just me or does anyone else get really annoyed by that ad format? I like the content, I don't mind the ad's , it is what it is, but this insistent labeling followed by a proclamation of what " I " care about make me wanna scream at the screen. "I watched a video and now I'm a fan am I?" "Oh, I care about learning about the world around me do I? How nice of you to tell me." Honestly, I might even suffer through the ad if it didn't start of so irksome. I am irked.

[@falkevanlaere]

It's annoying, but they need to make money some way. This isn't just a KZbin channel but a corperation

[@monkeeseemonkeedoo3745]

It's manipulation!

[@Marius-J]

Its just marketing speech :l

[@Habib_Osman]

You doing alright in your ivory tower up there? this is the most first world problem complaining I've seen all year. What a whiner!

[@falkevanlaere]

@@Habib_Osman it could be worse, he could be a whiner who complains about other people whining

[@juanbautistanemi3616]

🤣🤣🤣

[@zacharybrand8145]

Jon Tester needs a win in Montana! If you are a Montana Resident, get out and VOTE! You will determine whether democracy wins or dies in one week!

[@luketarplin]

I think no, is the answer.

[@jonasvancaeneghem4077]

Short answer: no

[@Desperate-Drive3423]

as a european its always fun to see who will win

[@aaaaaa-aaaaaaaaaaaaaaa]

not very fun if you are from Ukraine

[@Talisguy]

I'm definitely not having fun here as a fellow European. I hate that this thing I have absolutely no control over is going to have such an impact on global politics.

[@soundscape26]

Fun? I wish they would just get on with it already.

[@MorningNapalm]

No one will be having much fun if Trump wins. Backing for Hungary, Serbia, Russia, ...

[@scottowensbyable]

​@Talisguy As an American, I realize most of the world is trying to survive whatever media and politicians throw at us. However I'm very thankful my ancestors left Europe/Asia, wherever.

[@susantocp]

3:49 Homer Simpson 😂

[@rad4924]

No. No they can't. I cannot emphasise this enough. There's a bigger chance of Big Bird from Sesame Street becoming President than there is of the Democrats winning a trifecta.

[@Talisguy]

What are your predictions? Who will win what?

[@pranshukrishna5105]

exactly

[@Talisguy]

While I don't see any party getting a trifecta, it very much seems like any and all of these races could go either way. No combination of wins or losses would surprise me, unless one was a landslide in either direction.

[@pranshukrishna5105]

@@Talisguy nah dems aren't winning senate

[@turkmenistan1940]

At this point I would take option number one

[@chrischester321]

You guys need to turn on the lights in your studio before you start recording

[@greenchair5615]

2:37 This map of NY is actually slightly wrong. One of the districts got flipped back to the democrats after the special election when George Santos was expelled. If you look on Long Island, it's the northern of the two dark red ones.

[@Gretri17]

The last time we had 1 party have control of congress and was the president was 2016 with Trump and 2008 with Obama. To have this happen is super unlikely, and if it happens, that party will have complete control for 2 years

[@Batmans_Pet_Goldfish]

NY results should be interesting this time around.

[@NewFrontier63]

We live in hope.

[@pranshukrishna5105]

its not even clear whether dems will will presidency, forget about senate

[@davidescristofaros2241]

Literally nothing is clear, except that the Senate will most likely be red. The rest is a total tossup.

[@hauthesun]

Clearly you don't know how the branches of government work...

[@pranshukrishna5105]

@@hauthesun dems aren't winning a trifecta

[@pranshukrishna5105]

@@hauthesun just so that you know even ronald regan landslide win in 1984 was not a trifecta

[@soccerguy325]

@@pranshukrishna5105 They absolutely can.

[@mrw9044]

It's a very informative video, but what I don't understand is when you say that Dems are "marginally less likely to achieve" a trifecta than Republicans, meaning it's probably very unlikely Dems will win this, why are you talking about this scenario in the first place?

[@TwilightLimits-sk7kn]

noticed the Simpsons reference in the election card example

[@milianozuniga-deanda4955]

I've been watching Is Osborne and the fact that he's this close is INSANE!

[@PhilipJackson03]

It’s to say the midterms would be essential if Kamala wins. Gerrymandering makes it basically impossible to win the house this time around and other than the potential of an Independent winning in Nebraska and Allred winning in Texas the balance of power in the senate is very much in the Rep’s favour. But I think a midterm election would definitely favour democrats IF Kamala were to win. Since the focus would be on trying to enact her agenda and the swaths of seats up for re-election that time around give them a better fighting chance. But ofc that’s all speculation.

[@SneedSeeding]

Not everyone is going to be behind Kamala's agenda lol. Much like with the 2010 midterms there may actually be extreme backlash, it would all depend on how she acted as president.

[@morrisyoung2682]

Jesus I hope not

[@chinguunerdenebadrakh7022]

The likeliest situation is Congress flipping which is ironic because control of 2 houses is already mixed

[@richardyong535]

While i think they have a good chance to flip the house, keeping the senate will be difficult unless they could pull an upset

[@Habib_Osman]

Begging for dem likes cringe.

[@Theaverageazn247]

tl;dr house maybe. pres maybe. Senate: LOL NOPE

[@ellieteller8090]

3:52 isnt all that popular is one way of putting it, another way of putting it is he has like MAYBE a 10% chance of winning

[@KippinCollars]

It's good to see Homer Simpson running for office in Alaska.

[@J42494]

Nope the majority is voting Red.

[@sanctamachina]

If you ignore all the polls, yes. I also see you still haven't learned to pay attention to swing state polls and still are looking at national polls. It's almost like you're trying to ignore the actual metrics.

[@vincentknight27]

Man don’t tell me there’s a candidate with the first name “Marionette”

[@MissWhiskers]

😂😂😂 I didn't even think of that.

[@scaper12123]

Short answer: no. Long answer: probably not, but it would be funny

[@BlondellSnowden]

Nevah say Nevah😂😂😂

[@ThijquintNL]

The winnneeerrrrr takes it allllll🎶🎶🎶🎶

[@NCR-National-Reclamation-Gov]

better than multi-party 🎶🎶 🎶

[@kyrcreruly]

Mamma-Mia, here we go again. 😒🎶🎶🎶🎶 😂

[@ssuwandi3240]

NC..Not a Chance 😊

[@Boukansha]

You guys suck at US politics.

[@aliras6114]

I’m surprised that you guys present more left side then right side. We will see in couple of weeks who does

[@AnonymousBosch3158]

Fellow american friends, doesn't matter what, just take Marjorie Taylor Green out of the congress. Please!

[@Cyrus992]

How about all? I randomly met Adam Schiff at Jackson Hole

[@joebiden123mail5]

GET RID MARJORIE SHES THE WORSE

[@dqdq4083]

No. She's great

[@thematthew761]

@@dqdq4083she’s q anon

[@jeckjeck3119]

She is from gerry mandered pizz a pool. I don't think that is possible.

[@Weasel_Face333]

There’s one possible upset I think you forgot to mention that has a non-zero chance of happening. Not particularly likely but Kunce is pretty centrist and Hawley is fairly unpopular. When you look at how close Blunt vs. Kander was in 2016 and consider the fact that a lot of people are only voting down the ticket this election, we could see a surprise flip there.

[@phattorangecatto]

“Unpopular” Ted Cruz? He is one of the top national republicans, he is not losing

[@justincaver324]

OK, he still hated in Texas 🥴

[@phattorangecatto]

@@justincaver324 hated in Texas by the liberals in Austin im sure, you’re delusional if you think he is losing the state.

[@phattorangecatto]

@@justincaver324 This is like saying Eric Adams is going to be replaced by a republican in NYC because he is disliked in NYC. It’s pure wishful thinking

[@jeckjeck3119]

@@phattorangecatto Texas is becoming purple every year, soon it will be blue. It is possible.

[@LukeMarkam]

I won’t say Texas Cruz is “popular” but I do think democrats are grasping for the wind to think he will be unseated. The way I look at it, Beto Ororke didn’t come close to beating Cruz in 2018. Instead, a deeply unpopular Cruz still beat the most enigmatic and charismatic candidate the democrats have run in texas in decades. If Beto didn’t beat Cruz I don’t think Alred is going to have a chance.

[@jacktilded]

This would be a good video for a channel called TLDR News US.

[@quanghungtran3581]

Short answer? No Long answer? Hell no!!!!

[@tuxtitan780]

Long answer is that its possible, but possible in the same way that winning the lottery is possible. Its so unlikely that it may aswell be impossible, but regardless there is still a very small chance

[@quanghungtran3581]

@@tuxtitan780 Yeah.. the odds look very bad already. She's slipping in the polls even 2-3 weeks before the election day so it's a very low chance she gets the presidency. And the upcoming congress vote heavily favors the Republicans. All in all, voters are putting their concern for the economy on top.

[@tuxtitan780]

@quanghungtran3581 i honestly think it's more likely than not that the house goes blue. The senate is almost certainly going red. And while Harris has slipped in the polls, I'm not going to make any calls myself yet. The polls keep going back and forth. It seems like for a couple weeks, Trump will gain ground, and the next couple Harris will. I think that at the moment, Trump probably does have the advantage and is more likely to win despite the national polling still being in favor of Harris, but it's not a slam dunk either way. Regardless, it's going to be damn near impossible for the democrats to get a trifecta. The Republicans at least have a more than one in a billion chance to, but imo it's more likely than not that neither will.

[@stephanezanovello2997]

They might flip the house, it is extremely unlikly they will keep the senate, Presidency is a toss-up.

[@stephanezanovello2997]

​@@quanghungtran3581according to the poll average even Nevada goes for Trump.

[@vaulttech]

Minor correction: 0:53 you depict the MPs, but there are actually 3 vacants (not only 2)

[@theharoldsshow]

No. Republican Trifecta is most likely

[@22julip]

Washington, Oregon, CA , Nevada , new Mexico, New York , New England, plus one or two more , 12 blue states 38 Red states, if an earthquake knocks the 3 blue states into the sea , no more Democratic presidents . Whoopi ,,,not the earthquake, no more dems .

[@davianoinglesias5030]

If women and the younger generation come out to vote then a Trifecta for the Dems isn't impossible

[@mikehart8281]

The ladies are voting in big numbers. Hell hath no fury like women scorned by getting their rights taken away from them. I think Dems sweep senate, house and presidency.

[@sicilianknicca_mickygreeneyes]

gaza and israel have destroyed that hope

[@2010hyundaielantra]

Younger Men are Much more right-wing than Young women, so "younger generation" isn't going to cut it

[@billwhitis9997]

I'm certain that that is the last thing that conservative Democrats want to do.

[@chrislay4670]

Let’s hope the hell they don’t. America can’t handle anymore of there antics.

[@CharlieAdams-v4q]

Living in Arkansas for 28 years like, y’all can switch who you elect 😅

[@TwentyZZ24]

Openly taking side as an independent news organisation is not a good show. Why would I watch your other videos knowing you push your own beliefs rather than cover both sides?

[@streetpunkstar]

Homer J Simpson running on an independent ticket? He's got my vote.

[@tutonreliablo2421]

You guys are no better than cnn

[@romantsar8344]

why?

[@monkeeseemonkeedoo3745]

@@romantsar8344 They get their bs from cnn (and establishment sources generally), then package it for a euro audience.

[@ANTYTRUMPEST-xz1nb]

It has to happen 🎯💯🇺🇸

[@User.mindyourownbusiness94]

They have hope, if and only if everyone votes blue. From California to South Carolina, from hardcore democrats to independents who are closer to a 3rd party candidate, everyone everywhere must vote blue 🔵.. then there is a chance.

[@jamie59685]

cope 😂

[@mbk526]

No.

[@denisecase807]

Get rid of rhe electoral college. I'm voting a straight blue ticket. The rethugs are ridiculous.

[@yamyam2987]

🤡🤡🤡

[@kiranvasishta9763]

It is actually there so wierdos from coasts cant control the whole country. Also think again. A lot more conservatives dont vote in states like IL, CA, NY as there is no hope of winning the state. But with no electoral college they will vote. You seem to overestimate dem support nationally.

[@darrencarpenter5001]

Go out and Vote! Get two plus people to vote! Remind friends and families to vote! Let your followers on Social media know! Get people to register! Show love with Kindness!

[@primal1233]

It is highly unlikely that the Democrats will win the house

[@kc5466]

It actually is more than likely

[@Talisguy]

Winning the House is more likely than the Senate.

[@Talisguy]

It's the Senate it really wouldn't put money on them winning. Reclaiming the House is likely.

[@flash012234]

More likely than the Senate

[@cl8804]

not at all, haha

[@theconqueringram5295]

I hope for the best.

[@cl8804]

i mean if they lucky they can win a third of a trifecta Dxracer

[@kuzeycanikligil4091]

Please

[@janedoe3043]

John James is an interesting race. It's in an area that was very blue until Trump, and in 2016 decided the election for Trump. James won by a razor thin margin against Marlinga who was a judge. Now Marlinga is running for the second time against James, who has tied his entire political career to Trump. The area is expected to vote for Harris so you would expect James to lose.

[@Miller0308]

Hopefully it’s gonna be a republican sweep

[@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190]

hell no. have you seen what it has becom.e they peddle lies and hate. WE CANT AFFORD TO VOTE IN TRAITROS. trump sold secrets to outin and sent covid tests to putin when amercians needed it. he stepped aid growing to puerto rico even though it is as americna as hawaii in 1941

[@monkeeseemonkeedoo3745]

@@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190 BS. No one peddles more lies than the dnc biased media. Look how they gaslit over biden, they have zero credibility

[@jeckjeck3119]

Hopefully not. America doesn't need more try tors.

[@Miller0308]

@@jeckjeck3119 instead America needs people killing unborn babies until they’re born? Or America needs men dressing as women and molesting real women? Or tell me, does America maybe need a new system where idiots who don’t work get paid for housing and food on mass while other people work their asses off?

[@kennycarlson9996]

no way in hell dems have it for the next 100 yrs

[@dingaling487]

Whenever you guys say can something happen, it's usually impossible or painfully obvious. Pick a betteriddle ground

[@mta4tubeyou]

The aim of this video is to see "if either party will win a trifecta." How come the title of the video mentioned the Democrats? #Biased

[@cl8804]

how is it biased??

[@mustarastas88]

Keep crying lol

[@LOLE_Editz]

Your mouth would be shut if he did the same for Trump. #Biased

[@zombiedodge1426]

Democrats aren't keeping the Senate. The map is just too favorable to the GOP this year. Re-taking the House is strong possibility, though. Given a choice I'd rather have the Senate, because of its role in confirming cabinet secretaries and (more importantly) SCOTUS Justices, but at least a Democratic House can block or at least force a watering down of Trump's policy proposals.

[@MyGamingIsLegal]

The House maybe but definitely not the Senate they're on pace to losing the Senate and the Presidency.

[@tuxtitan780]

Neither is on pace to lose the presidency. It's a toss up, and one of the least predictable elections in US history. Otherwise, yeah. Its absurdly unlikely that they'll keep the Senate, but it does look more likely than not righg now that they'll take the house

[@jeckjeck3119]

Senate more likely, but I doubt aboutthe presidency.

[@martinfitzsimons5884]

Buy that man a light bulb!