Craig Burley Expected Goals Hilarious Rant

Craig goes off on one about xG. Quite amusing.

[@rohithraman6488]

"I expect things at Christmas from Santa Claus but they don't come" - Craig Burley 2016

[@hasan--9767]

Graig looks fatter & older here the golf has been working for him 😂

[@bradley2916]

Hasan--97 im related to him 😅

[@salihalash4111]

Nice

[@MarkanVaran7]

@@bradley2916 you're lucky then lol

[@bradley2916]

@@MarkanVaran7 he's my uncle😂👍

[@robb6803]

Poor Santa Claus , Just respect the fact that he has a lot of houses to go to, Craig .. Maybe he might visit next year 👍

[@ugoboss6898]

Lol

[@rhysgellingfisher1489]

Craig would sack the manager if the striker missed 2 open goals every game by the sounds of it

[@KB-lt8xd]

Are you dumb? If a team isn’t scoring their chances, anyone can see that through watching their games and criticise them for it. They can also praise them for taking their chances. We don’t need a bunch of lifeless nerds making bullshit numerical judgements that mean nothing, not to mention their numbers clearly aren’t right. Chelsea’s expected goals in the CL final wasn’t even two when they scored a one on one and missed two blatant sitters. All three of these ch aces should have been goals but of course the expected goals needs find a way to say that both Werner sitters rightfully didn’t end up in goals

[@ShubhamGupta-RSA]

Now I understand the grudge between those two

[@abeolurin3019]

Expected goal are away for determing the quality of chance created not the number of shots it’s very clear to see if one team played better than another but lost expected goal takes that and produces a number which tells you the reality of the game after that

[@Z_Victory_Z]

We do not determine a winner based on chances created. It does not tell you the reality. The score determines the winner or loser and thus tells you the reality. You play to win. Full stop.

[@samaael777]

@@Z_Victory_Z like many others you miss the point

[@kingsaka5042]

No. It’s determining the quality of the chance from the shot. A team could have many chances but don’t end in a shot and xg won’t count it as a chance. xg has to be looked at with context. Not like idiots on Twitter saying “this team has a higher xg so that means they should of won!” No it don’t work like that.

[@jamesgarfoyle3188]

it is a bit like Messi fans saying to Ronaldo fans, ''don't talk about goals'' just talk about ''expected goals''

[@JP-Sphere]

Who said we do retard?

[@fuzzupuzzu]

hahahahahaha good destruction of this clown gab

[@ScottYoung29]

Craig Burley is miles aff it

[@KB-lt8xd]

No, he’s not. Expected goals is for lifeless nerds with nothing better to do with their time than make up a bs criteria on a sport which means nothing

[@oofy3563]

@@KB-lt8xd then why do clubs use it

[@KB-lt8xd]

@@oofy3563 there is literally no proof that top clubs use it. The only clubs who use it are no doubt MLS ones because they’re new to football and they think nerd shit like expected goals is actually a worthy thing to look at

[@samaael777]

go for a walk burley, you're done. all the top clubs look at xg now. out with the OLD in with the new. go away

[@KB-lt8xd]

Oh and where’s your proof they do that?🤣 they clearly don’t. Yeah, I’m sure Perez and Zidane are sitting down in meetings every month with Perez letting Zidane know that Vinicius isn’t meeting his expected goals🤣

[@gunman5489]

@@KB-lt8xd 14 hours ago James I'd understand your doubt of xG if the comments 2 years old but surely you have to understand the importance the stat holds

[@jamesgarfoyle3188]

looking at xg is not a problem. The fact remains the same. You don't score more goals than the opposition, you cannot win.

[@simonoliver8576]

This is the first time i agree with him who cares about expected goals Brighton win the problem league every season with expected goals its completely irrelevant 🤣😎

[@JP-Sphere]

Which league?

[@simonoliver8576]

@@JP-Sphere the expected goals league m8 XG as it's known but Brighton did improve on this problem in this season just gone to be fair to them tho 😎😎

[@CagedPaps]

@@simonoliver8576 It's funny you make this joke because you're actually wrong, but xG if you want to base the league on it... Was correct for Brighton. If you sort the league by xG for the season, Brighton would be 10th... They came 9th last season. Obviously it doesn't take into consideration how many you concede, so Leeds actually came 9th in xG. I think, just like Craig here and Jeff Stelling, you just don't know what xG is, and that's totally fine. But at least understand the basics before you try and rip it. Think of xG as quality of chance if it's easier. Using hundreds of thousands of goal data (usually from Opta), they can determine the statistical likelihood of that shot being scored - taking into account everything, position, was it with their head? etc etc. You'd then score each shot on a scale of 0-1. 1 meaning that chance should be scored (obviously it can be missed), like a penalty. So if a team is taking lots of shots but a low xG it means they're probably chucking them in from 40 yards etc. Brighton last season had an xG of 49.57. They only scored 42 though, which means they were underperforming, they'd created chances they should have scored. We can break it down to per player too (I'm not going to). Man City's xG was 93.4, they scored 99. To be blunt, pundits will be the last to understand as they're mostly footballers and many are well, a bit thick. Expected goals means how many you were expected to score from the chances created. All football fans already do this in their heads. You've bound to have heard people say "he should have stuck that away", or when you lose you think "but we created good chances". Or the pundits with their 'they're just not clinical enough'. That's all saying, you had chances you would normally expect a decent player to score from. So it's a great tool to quickly gauge performance but not no one is disputing winning games is ultimately what matters, but scouts to coaches to professional bettors use it...

[@simonoliver8576]

@@CagedPaps wow you don't half go on about xg a lot here pal are you involved in it yourself or something? I mean I get it of course I do expected goals a team scored based on chances created right but I basically stick by what I said really I mean put it this way if Brighton had the best forward players In the premier league like mo salah or son Harry kane for example hypothetically speaking anyway then they would take them chances basically but they don't do they I guess I just prefer facts to what could of been m8 that's all ?🤣

[@CagedPaps]

​@@simonoliver8576 If you think 4 small paragraphs is a lot, then I think I understand why you struggle with it. You stick by what you said? You said Brighton would win the "problem" league if it was xG. No they wouldn't. You asked who cares about xG? Well we know Arsenal and Brentford actually own stat companies, so most top flight scouts use it. It's why companies like StatsBomb et al exist (they're aimed at clubs). Professional bettors use it, at least a lot of the successful ones. If you just want to stick to goals scored, that's fine. Analytics aren't for everything, Craig in this video said he thought it was a prediction. He didn't understand what it means. If you understood what it meant, you wouldn't have asked who cares about it and said Brighton would win on expected goals. No I'm not involved with a company producing or selling xG models.

[@aalperenarslann]

istatistikleri alt üst eden bir yorum hahaha.

[@markjones520]

Is Craig Burley Todd Grimshaw of Coronation Street ??

[@MK-cu9bo]

Big Mouth Craig burly

[@finding_aether]

Craig Burley, even if you are 100% right, You should let the guy talk.. Why shout at him?

[@elcochiloco1456]

Expected goals is such a bull shit stat. Means nothing lol

[@elcochiloco1456]

I get what it is but it’s still a bs stat. It’s nothing more than a “guesstimate”. It literally means nothing once the game starts! And you’re gonna sit here and tell me it’s the most important stat 😂😂 please man. It’s more of stat that has to do with trends but nothing with the game its self once it starts. What’s next? Expected red cards and yellow cards?

[@daniel-cc7bn]

@@elcochiloco1456 BREAKING NEWS: TOP CLUBS HAVE DECIDED TO GET RID OF THEIR DATA ANALYSTS COS SOME GEEZER ON THE INTERNET THINK STATS ARE BS

[@nayan9672]

@@daniel-cc7bn they won't sack anyone, but I'm sure one can't just look at xG and call it a day. Eye test is still better than all stats.

[@KB-lt8xd]

@@daniel-cc7bn no big clubs use expected goals🤣 you’re actually an embarrassment if you think people like Perez and Zidane sit down every week concerned because Vinicius isn’t meeting his expected goals🤣 expected goals is a shit concept that no one outside of lifeless nerds like you use

[@franciscomaldonado3222]

@@KB-lt8xd not Perez and Zidane...stop being such an idiot 😂 obviously Madrid has analysts that look at these stats for them and send them to Zidane... just because you’re too dumb to understand how it works and how it could actually benefit a club doesn’t mean that no one uses it 😂

[@riteshramanbindra4991]

Lol, I think Craig was right on that one....

[@wrighj]

Wtf is gab talking about ?

[@TheGrotee]

Love Gab. He knows a lot more about football the Craig. Do not understand why Criag got so upset.

[@salihalash4111]

Okay send me som stats of chelsea unfer sarri pleass [e-mail]

[@Z_Victory_Z]

The game is about results. Results are determined by wins-losses. Full stop. Your nerd stats don’t take into account the things that aren’t quantitative like leadership and emotions, etc. Trophies are handed out for wins, not expected goals. Managers are rewarded or fired for those trophies or lack thereof. Not expected goals. Just measuring the chances a team has/expected goals over the course of several to many matches is not a better metric than the results themselves. This is nonsense and pseudoscience.

[@Z_Victory_Z]

Because Gab is uttering nonsense, has a horrible backdrop for his video feed, is super fat to the point his blubber shakes on his jowls every time he speaks, and he looks 30 years older than he actually is. There is a lot to find revolting there.

[@jabrown]

@M No, you actually spelled it right!

[@rohithraman6488]

What's the point of having higher "Expected goals" if you can't take your chances? Also how can everyone unanimously decide whether a particular chance counts towards "expected goals"? By contrast, if the ball ends up in the back of the net, unless it's disallowed for offside/foul, then we can all say it's a goal, but if a team has a chance, how much "expected goals" is that? It's more subjective

[@Z_Victory_Z]

Amen, Craig. Amen.

[@DischordInMyHead]

XG Merchants United vs Grass FC

[@soccer0928]

Craig is the GOAT 🐐