What Are Chances of A Financial CRASH in 2025?

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Economics Help

Economics Help

Күн бұрын

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@economicshelp
@economicshelp 3 күн бұрын
And a Happy New Year!😀
@andrewtaylor6737
@andrewtaylor6737 3 күн бұрын
Happy new year, boss!🥂
@irminschembri8263
@irminschembri8263 3 күн бұрын
And a Happy and Prosperous New Year to you, too.
@spacemonkey200
@spacemonkey200 3 күн бұрын
Happy New year! ❤
@MatthewRivers-Davis
@MatthewRivers-Davis 3 күн бұрын
Thanks for all your excellent content, Tejvan - Happy New Year - keep posting 😁
@moshudoduwade219
@moshudoduwade219 3 күн бұрын
The Economic Crash is coming!☹️
@philcrowley007
@philcrowley007 Күн бұрын
Sometimes protecting your capital seems more important than making money, basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much more harder. Missing the train vs loosing your money. There're a lot of trains, however if you lose your money its gone.
@Mitchell.Holland
@Mitchell.Holland 22 сағат бұрын
Many overlook that banks are return-driven businesses. I don't trust keeping a large sum in a bank. Instead, I invest with guidance, enjoy the benefits, and save for retirement
@larrydimon7811
@larrydimon7811 22 сағат бұрын
DCA long term stay true to the game keep adding ZEROS to your net worth! Will there be a correction? Absolutely and pounce like a cheetah in the Serengeti!!!
@VanillaCherryBread
@VanillaCherryBread 22 сағат бұрын
Nobody knows anything, I understood the market is no game of luck nor gamble, having had my portfolio steered by a CFA I can say its pointless going about such a comprehensive market solely, being guided avoids you unseen mistakes and has gotten my startup of 200k - £1m in nineteen months at 43... You'd be wise to choose professionalism and expertise over financial videos online if you're looking to really get on the positive side of the market.
@barbborstein7640
@barbborstein7640 22 сағат бұрын
I’m trying to get an advisor for guidance but it’s harder than you think. Anyone who is fee-based is hard to find and usually have a heavy workload. Would you be comfortable sharing a recommendation if it’s not too much trouble
@VanillaCherryBread
@VanillaCherryBread 22 сағат бұрын
Oh very well then, conducting due diligence on *Lina Dineikiene* should suffice. The lady has been around for a while, and her system is quite acclaimed for its outstanding quality.
@andrewclimo5709
@andrewclimo5709 3 күн бұрын
Please, please, no bail out this time. We simply cannot afford another round of QE, maling the rest if us poorer, just to make things easy for the City.
@andy_ppp
@andy_ppp 3 күн бұрын
Trump will bail out the billionaires for certain 🤷🏻‍♂️
@jamessmith1652
@jamessmith1652 3 күн бұрын
The problem last time wasn't the bail outs but the fact that they were given for free. We should have exacted a much greater price from the companies bailed out.
@stephfoxwell4620
@stephfoxwell4620 3 күн бұрын
Are you mad? QE is exactly what we need. Just not giving it straight to the already rich.
@sjt627
@sjt627 3 күн бұрын
I'm guessing you don't own a house and want them to crash to about 90k like Charlie 😂
@sky37blue
@sky37blue 3 күн бұрын
@@andrewclimo5709 QE is exactly what will happen, by design. They simply cannot afford not to. Your only way out is either bitcoin or the right tech stocks.
@jamesleblanc4066
@jamesleblanc4066 3 күн бұрын
The 2008 crash was a depression, but with massive cash thrown around. It's never really gotten better since if u think about it
@sky37blue
@sky37blue 3 күн бұрын
@@jamesleblanc4066 yes, by design. The cycle which resulted is why bitcoin only goes up long term.
@obnoxiaaeristokles3872
@obnoxiaaeristokles3872 3 күн бұрын
The current issues hail back from how the Obama government handled the situation then. It was a liquidity issue in 2008, but now they blew it up into a global depression. I am hearing from many sides that the US economy is still doing fine and that no crash is imminent, but nobody wants to explain how they take into account the economic desasters outside the US that will make US exports collapse and that will make foreign US stock holders liquidate their positions. I'm betting on a black swan in the second half of 2025.
@sky37blue
@sky37blue 3 күн бұрын
@@obnoxiaaeristokles3872 I couldn't care less about Obama or any other president as I'm not an American but it's fair to say they all would have done the same thing. The mistakes were made a long time before Obama arrived.
@triggersw3350
@triggersw3350 2 күн бұрын
True, things couldn't get better for ordinary folk since they are carrying the debt for massive amount of dollars given to the rich during 2008's quantitative easing. But.. all that money ended up in the hands of the rich who doubly benefited from it by messing about with that money investing it in stocks and assets.. So not really producing anything to boost the economy for ordinary folk..
@nowisgodinyourlovelylife717
@nowisgodinyourlovelylife717 3 күн бұрын
Best economic analyst on KZbin, hope to see more future videos about inequality and how the economic model today drives more of it
@philipburgin3109
@philipburgin3109 3 күн бұрын
Yea, i always look forward to his new content 👌
@fleecejohnsonn
@fleecejohnsonn 3 күн бұрын
Totally agree. I think the How Money Works channel is also good quality, it's slightly more focused on the microeconomic side.
@MartyH99
@MartyH99 3 күн бұрын
Inequality has always existed and is probably a good thing overall! Do you want to be equal to everyone else? How about people on their death bed, do you want equal outcomes with them? It can be arranged! When you say equality you only mean equal outcomes. For equal outcomes you need equal inputs as also. Do you really want that? Use your imagination - there are many, many people you do not want to be equal to!
@fleecejohnsonn
@fleecejohnsonn 3 күн бұрын
@@MartyH99 Some inequality is a natural and good process, for purposes of competition in not only the economy but genetics itself. However when the inequality becomes extreme then the obvious consequence of that is instability which is good for nothing except accelerationism.
@gerhard7323
@gerhard7323 3 күн бұрын
‘There’s class warfare, all right, but it’s my class, the rich class, that’s making war, and we’re winning’ - Warren Buffett
@billykotsos4642
@billykotsos4642 3 күн бұрын
Stock market != Countrys economy. The same goes for the UK. Stgnant wages for 90% of workers over the past 15 years have crippled the people
@Mike-lb1hx
@Mike-lb1hx 3 күн бұрын
Importing large numbers of lower skilled workers was bound to depress wages. There are no UK skill shortages there is a market rate that employers have successfully reduced by increasing supply
@billykotsos4642
@billykotsos4642 3 күн бұрын
@Mike-lb1hx dont forget about the super generous welfare state. Also much easier to let very few companies run the market rather than let small and medium businesses thrive and flurish. Brexit killed small businesses
@BradleyMaurice226
@BradleyMaurice226 Күн бұрын
Invest judiciously, keep a stop loss figure. Shuffle between debt and equity wherever the ratio goes too off your target. As for the target, I recommend a Ratio like this Debt % should be equal to your age in years. If you are 20, debt is 20%, reset in equity. If the market falls or rises drastically, your debt % will change, which you should rebalance to 20% and bring back equity to 80%. Thus you would have bought low or booked profit depending on if it was a crash or a bull run.
@JeffWilliamfick
@JeffWilliamfick Күн бұрын
I think the safest strategy is to diversify investments. Like spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown.
@EdwinBoettcher
@EdwinBoettcher Күн бұрын
I agree with you. As an early investor in NVDA, AVGO, ANSS, and PLTR, my financial advisor's advice was incredibly helpful. Over the past 7 years, she has helped me find stocks that did 10x multiple times. With her help, I've grown my portfolio to over a million dollars.
@RichardGeorge-pz3wm
@RichardGeorge-pz3wm Күн бұрын
that's impressive!, I could really use the expertise of this advisors , my portfolio has been down bad....who’s the person guiding you?
@EdwinBoettcher
@EdwinBoettcher Күн бұрын
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Becky Lou Gordon’’ for about two years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
@RichardGeorge-pz3wm
@RichardGeorge-pz3wm Күн бұрын
Thank you for the lead. I just searched her name, and I have sent her a message. I look forward to hearing from her.
@Hiram8866
@Hiram8866 2 күн бұрын
I remember back in 1929 we were all having a great time - and then all of a sudden...
@HumblyBlessed10
@HumblyBlessed10 2 күн бұрын
Wow, you remember all the way back to 1929. How old were you then?
@dylanthomas6717
@dylanthomas6717 2 күн бұрын
Your video's are not click bait! They are so informative and balanced. And the style of your presentation is something I really like. I always come away feeling more informed and less anxious about future predictions of the global economy.
@wokelefty
@wokelefty Күн бұрын
And no intro's or crappy music in the background 😁.
@hclee921
@hclee921 3 күн бұрын
Thanks!
@economicshelp
@economicshelp Күн бұрын
Thank you
@Constantin_91
@Constantin_91 3 күн бұрын
Thanks. A wonderful beginning to a wonderful new year 😊
@mydressmemos
@mydressmemos 14 сағат бұрын
So how exactly can we guard against the coming financial reset for 2025? Like what are really the best strategies to make our portfolio recession proof against the incoming financial reset? I'm very worried about my $160k stock portfolio.
@LUCIASMITH-d1z
@LUCIASMITH-d1z 14 сағат бұрын
Personally, I would say have a mentor. Not sure where you will get an experienced one, but if your knowledge of the market is limited, it seems like a good bet.
@DerraKormino
@DerraKormino 14 сағат бұрын
More reason I enjoy my day to day market decisions is that i'm being guided by a portfolio-coach, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time, both employing profit-oriented strategy and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downtrends, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis, it's quite impossible not to
@JacobsErick-u8r
@JacobsErick-u8r 14 сағат бұрын
please who is the consultant that assist you with your investment and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?
@DerraKormino
@DerraKormino 14 сағат бұрын
When ‘Melissa Terri Swayne’ is trading, there's no nonsense and no excuses. She wins the trade and you win. Take the loss, I promise she'll take one with you.
@winifred-k9e
@winifred-k9e 14 сағат бұрын
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
@Amberabove
@Amberabove Күн бұрын
Trump economic policies could certainly lead to significant economic consequences for the U.S in 2025, I’m really concerned about how the current economic crisis and rising inflation have really taken a toll on my portfolio. It's becoming quite worrisome, especially at my age.
@CindyValenti
@CindyValenti Күн бұрын
I completely understand what you mean. These financial challenges affect older citizens like us more significantly. It's concerning to see our savings and investments diminishing in value. I’m also very worried but what can I do
@Derekhoffman312
@Derekhoffman312 Күн бұрын
Truly the situations are difficult but it has honestly never been easy. What I figured out years back what that with proper guidance, we can predict some of these situations and take advantage of them. Have you considered seeking the help of a financial advisor? I have been working with one since the corona lockdown, and she has been instrumental in navigating these difficult times. I and my Financial advisor are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take till 2025.
@Jpoteete
@Jpoteete Күн бұрын
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any advisors i can get on the phone with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
@Derekhoffman312
@Derekhoffman312 Күн бұрын
Annette Christine Conte is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
@Dantursi1
@Dantursi1 Күн бұрын
Thank you for the lead. I searched her site up and filled the form. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@cobbler40
@cobbler40 3 күн бұрын
High debt and high interest rates. What could go wrong.
@Solihul886
@Solihul886 3 күн бұрын
Not much given there are affordability checks/ratios for exactly this reason. Not like 2008
@richardsimms251
@richardsimms251 3 күн бұрын
Thank you for another great discussion. I financially support you because you are so helpful to me and interesting to listen to. RS. Canada
@RobbieNixon-d1w
@RobbieNixon-d1w Күн бұрын
So how exactly can we guard against the coming financial reset Like what are really the best strategies to make our portfolio recession proof against the incoming financial reset? I'm very worried about my $110k stock portfolio.
@PhilipDunk
@PhilipDunk Күн бұрын
Even with great opportunities, we should proceed cautiously. Seeking market analysis or advice from certified market strategists is important.
@PatrickLloyd-
@PatrickLloyd- Күн бұрын
I agree. Exactly why I now work with one. A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their emotions, no offense. I remember some years back, during the covid-outbreak, I needed a good boost to stay afloat, hence researched for advisors and thankfully came across one with grit. As of today, my cash reserve has yielded from $350k to nearly $1m
@Ji-Min-j7b
@Ji-Min-j7b Күн бұрын
@@PatrickLloyd- I’ve been looking to switch to an advisor for a while now. Any help pointing me to who your advisor is?
@PatrickLloyd-
@PatrickLloyd- Күн бұрын
I've stuck with SOPHIE LYNN CARRABUS since the pandemic, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field with over two decades of experience, simply look her up.
@Nernst96
@Nernst96 Күн бұрын
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@debyte
@debyte 22 сағат бұрын
A brilliant combination of a succinct presentation and a comprehensive coverage, thank you.
@seawavechau
@seawavechau 3 күн бұрын
one of the most brilliant economists on YT. appreciated.
@TheRahmans365
@TheRahmans365 2 күн бұрын
I disagree with the statement that "US shares are overvalued." In reality, inflation has spiraled out of control, leading to a significant decline in the value of money. This devaluation causes everything to become more expensive, including shares. Shares tend to respond quicker to inflationary pressures compared to goods and commodities.
@dominicestebanrice7460
@dominicestebanrice7460 2 күн бұрын
Outside of the Magnificent Seven, US stocks are moribund! Conversely, the M7 are unquestionably overvalued. If M7 mania vaporizes, all hell will break loose irrespective of inflation expectations.
@mwicks1968
@mwicks1968 3 күн бұрын
Not a good time to be Poor then …
@JohnBeeblebrox
@JohnBeeblebrox 3 күн бұрын
It's never a good time to "be poor" but the 21st Century is definitely the least worst time. Imagine living poor just 50 years ago (or 100, or 200). Pretty grim times. "For many men, the acquisition of wealth does not end their troubles, it only changes them." (Seneca)
@mwicks1968
@mwicks1968 3 күн бұрын
@ … or the 14th century - the Great Famine, the Black Death, the Hundred Years War … ??? Lovely!
@RoniiNN
@RoniiNN 3 күн бұрын
Being poor nothing to gain nothing to lose…
@JohnBeeblebrox
@JohnBeeblebrox 3 күн бұрын
@@RoniiNN You need to read the likes of Victor Frankl or Epictetus
@rupertbollywood1190
@rupertbollywood1190 Күн бұрын
Never is
@ryan_dylan6650
@ryan_dylan6650 3 күн бұрын
Happy New Year! 🎆🎊🎈 The challenges we face today are rooted in an economy struggling with uncertainties, including housing crises, foreclosures, global market fluctuations, and the lingering effects of the pandemic. These factors have contributed to instability. Urgent action is needed across all sectors to address rising inflation, sluggish growth, and trade disruptions, aiming to restore stability and revitalize economic progress.
@curitira2980
@curitira2980 3 күн бұрын
This sounds promising! Do you have any professionals or advisors you could recommend? I really need help with proper portfolio allocation.
@luigijohson6732
@luigijohson6732 3 күн бұрын
She’s the best signal provider in the market. Knowledgeable, level headed (no loss like some other traders who recently jumped on the bandwagon).
@danialwiren2403
@danialwiren2403 3 күн бұрын
Wow, seeing her name pop up here too is a pleasant surprise! Didn’t realize she was spreading so much positivity around. This is awesome! I’m in the fifth deal with her, and it’s been amazing!
@kurtleo3529
@kurtleo3529 3 күн бұрын
Just withdraw my profits week ago, To be honest it was an amazing feeling when the profits hits my wallet I wish I could reinvest but, too much bills.
@leonardives1991
@leonardives1991 3 күн бұрын
Jennafer Beaver has really set the standard for others to follow, we love her here in Ontario Canada 🇨🇦 as she has been really helpful and changed lots of lives
@einseitig3391
@einseitig3391 3 күн бұрын
Crashes are usually not foreseen and hence come along when everyone is expecting sunny uplands. That said not only is Bitcoin 'an interesting sub-plot' as you said but two other areas provide ample chance of crashes: (i) Real-estate, starting in Florida. (ii) The massive bond losses sitting on US bank balance sheets and how this will be resolved.
@ChinchillaBONK
@ChinchillaBONK 2 күн бұрын
Love seeing videos just explaining all the data, graphs and charts.
@christophermessum2578
@christophermessum2578 Күн бұрын
for those wary of bitcoin and the rise of blockchain technology should really research a little deeper. This is not just bubble but trend over the greater timeframe and if you're willing to consider 18year property cycles then consider a reasonable % of net wealth into the high growth arena. UK is as equal risk of downturn to the crypto upturn.
@fabio.1
@fabio.1 2 күн бұрын
What would cause a great reset and reboot of economies?
@billykotsos4642
@billykotsos4642 3 күн бұрын
Ιf the US stock market is overpriced then what about the UK stock market?
@1292liam
@1292liam 3 күн бұрын
not so overpriced. It'd be happier in the EU
@sky37blue
@sky37blue 3 күн бұрын
@@billykotsos4642 overpriced for the average punter, yes. Is it overpriced though? price it versus the money supply and inflation, then price it against bitcoin.
@tictoc5443
@tictoc5443 3 күн бұрын
IMO UK stock market is cheap for a reason
@sky37blue
@sky37blue 3 күн бұрын
@@tictoc5443 yes, because it's not comprised of good tech stocks or bitcoin. The only asset classes which will outperform inflation.
@oiausdlkasuldhflaksjdhoiausydo
@oiausdlkasuldhflaksjdhoiausydo 3 күн бұрын
"Silver lining and all that" that cracked me up. It seems to me the US economy is a huge huge bubble, the price os Tesla and Nvidia Stock make no sense.
@rbxrockettrio8650
@rbxrockettrio8650 3 күн бұрын
Tesla kinda does since they’ll get a lot of government contracts now
@flesz_
@flesz_ 3 күн бұрын
I'm 400% on Nvidia, put £2k in 2021
@danielindrigo7992
@danielindrigo7992 2 күн бұрын
The markets in general are grossly overvalued, but they pale in comparison to how much tesla is overvalued.
@brandonb7925
@brandonb7925 Күн бұрын
Teslas valuation makes no sense. That's not investing that's gambling
@MartyH99
@MartyH99 3 күн бұрын
They will sacrifice enough of the real economy and society as required to prop up the financial system!. No crash will be allowed to endure!
@nemurerumaboroshi
@nemurerumaboroshi Күн бұрын
The chart at 9:25 is mind-blowing. I'd basically interpret it as the evidence that capitalism is broken and doesn't work for anyone except for the tiny fraction of the world's population.
@toledo980
@toledo980 Күн бұрын
It works exactly as is intended to work. The working class always getting from behind
@nemurerumaboroshi
@nemurerumaboroshi Күн бұрын
The chart is a bit misleading though, because of the population increase. Real GDP per capita should've been used instead of just Real GDP. However, it's still 2.3x compared to 3x+ here.
@khalidbinhida
@khalidbinhida Күн бұрын
Excellent analysis. I think this trend will continue till early 2026 and then we will have a crash.
@mattanderson6672
@mattanderson6672 2 күн бұрын
Fantastic discussion Excellent analysis Thank you Sir I always love listening to you
@Mike-lb1hx
@Mike-lb1hx 3 күн бұрын
The graph on US house prices to income is clearly wrong by a factor of maybe 10, there is no way houses are 60 times median income unless you are using monthly rather than annual income for some strange reason
@gerhard7323
@gerhard7323 3 күн бұрын
The people who need to borrow, often simply to live, increasingly can't and those that essentially benefit from the consumption plus interest of the former still, as of yet at least, have no need. Presumably 'something' will eventually have to give when the stone has been bled dry?
@rupertbollywood1190
@rupertbollywood1190 Күн бұрын
I don't believe the US stock market is overvalued - it's more like p:e ratios and other valuation methods no longer have any meaning. There are bubbles, sure. But they don't take down the whole edifice because the infinitely growing debt of the USA and its international dominance will ensure the US stock market is always overcapitalised, forever. You're right about the UK though.
@lacreshahicks
@lacreshahicks Күн бұрын
The US government debt is on an exponential free fall and the only way to pay that debt is to keep printing . Hyper inflation is coming , housing crash , a recession and a possible depression too. i think is time investors redirected their focus to the equities market cause despite the severe bear market, I am aware of certain investors that have earned over $365,000.
@chintana-r6o
@chintana-r6o Күн бұрын
stock market is no different, to maintain such profit, you need to have some in-depth knowledge on the market, prioritise patience and a long-term perspective most importantly consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
@KingRoh-t8h
@KingRoh-t8h Күн бұрын
A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for a licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve.
@Morgangreen-b1l
@Morgangreen-b1l Күн бұрын
I think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
@KingRoh-t8h
@KingRoh-t8h 17 сағат бұрын
‘Grace Lorraine Austin’ is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name.
@Morgangreen-b1l
@Morgangreen-b1l 17 сағат бұрын
Thank you for the recommendation. I'll send her an email, and I hope I'm able to reach her.
@nfisher6502
@nfisher6502 3 күн бұрын
Is the US Stock Market really overvalued? If you divide the SP500 by M2 money supply it’s nowhere near as overpriced as it was in 1999 and 2008. The QE has simply inflated the price of shares compared to other non yielding assets. Great content as ever ! Keep up the Amazing work and videos and all the best for 2025. 🎉
@Solihul886
@Solihul886 3 күн бұрын
These videos play every year. Its just another day
@paulmoore120
@paulmoore120 3 күн бұрын
Great presentation.Thanks.
@uweinhamburg
@uweinhamburg 3 күн бұрын
I guess, the figures you have shown make it pretty clear, why some groups have to bet close to everything on each new trend, nest examples right now AI and cryptocurrencies, no matter what the risk may be. We who live will see which future bubble comes next.
@fleecejohnsonn
@fleecejohnsonn 3 күн бұрын
Things are gonna be even crazier soon, which is hard to imagine given the state of the US and the world today.
@1292liam
@1292liam 3 күн бұрын
Happy New Year Mate. Great content channel !
@davejohnston5158
@davejohnston5158 2 күн бұрын
Here in the UK the bubble in house prices is still inflating in certain areas. Provincial cities 1 hour from London seeing 30 views and 6-10 offers within days of being put on the market. I think those who can are getting out and staying out of London. Rest of the UK is pretty flat.
@MrWr99
@MrWr99 2 күн бұрын
Interesting, Ive rented a flat in Peterborough centre this summer, 50 min from London after viewing 6 properties in a single day. The agents from the properties I didn’t choose chased me few days after. It felt pretty much like tenants market.
@lokechanmun8587
@lokechanmun8587 3 күн бұрын
The price of inequality.
@FrankFaulkner-qf8cb
@FrankFaulkner-qf8cb 3 күн бұрын
It will crash, because greed turns to panic instantly, it will hit like a 6 meter shark, u won't see it coming
@oscarperegrino8998
@oscarperegrino8998 3 күн бұрын
It will happen one day thats forsure
@rcchin7897
@rcchin7897 2 күн бұрын
France and Germany already in a recession, and China‘s not doing well, either. Fintwit is littered with recession indicators. HOWEVER, I‘ve noticed that, while a recession isn‘t an if, it‘s always a when, and forward-looking indicators are unable to predict to the year when a recession will come. Doesn‘t mean you should give up and not take preparations, such as diversifying your assets. Won‘t make as much as the S&P, but nobody talks about risk, and you need to only take as much risk as your financial situation will let you.
@rossbaker9721
@rossbaker9721 2 күн бұрын
David McWilliams book money is a must read.
@mattcameron9349
@mattcameron9349 3 күн бұрын
I've stuck my money in NS&I bonds (away from the Stock Market) and am just sitting tight, waiting for the inevitable...
@rinnin
@rinnin 3 күн бұрын
Would you not earn more in an easy access account?
@mattcameron9349
@mattcameron9349 3 күн бұрын
@rinnin I've maxed out on Premium Bonds. I more or less win the equivalent on interest paid on £40k
@pondeify
@pondeify 3 күн бұрын
The inevitable inflation reducing the value of your pounds
@mattcameron9349
@mattcameron9349 3 күн бұрын
@@pondeify At least I can calculate (and mitigate) for that. When a crash comes, it is already too late. I'm too poor to take risks.
@JohnBeeblebrox
@JohnBeeblebrox 3 күн бұрын
Money market funds or ETFs within an ISA and/or SIPP also a good idea. Currently paying 4.75%pa (tax free).
@georgeemil3618
@georgeemil3618 2 күн бұрын
I'm going to watch this video on January 1, 2026
@grahambuckingham7295
@grahambuckingham7295 Күн бұрын
TV will be repossessed by then.
@sky37blue
@sky37blue 3 күн бұрын
Could you explore the bitcoin story more? I would like to know what you think of the 'Everything Theory' of Raoul Pal at Realvision
@lawLess-fs1qx
@lawLess-fs1qx 3 күн бұрын
do you believe the Fed,ECB, Banks will allow digital tokens instead of fiat currencies for transactions? If so back Raoul. He was pumping NFT's a few years ago.
@sky37blue
@sky37blue 3 күн бұрын
@lawLess-fs1qx I was buying bitcoin before I found Raoul. I don't care about NFT's but his everything theory is the best explanation I have heard for events post 2008.
@matthewharding-ew1ts
@matthewharding-ew1ts 3 күн бұрын
Well welcome to 2025 then..........sounds great fun, enjoy!
@Daytona2
@Daytona2 3 күн бұрын
Yeah, it's all baked in, but timing a crash is difficult, to put it mildly. As John Maynard Keynes said, "markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent". Tho perhaps that psychopath will make it easy. I'm an investor. 15% gold, 85% cash. Until markets start offering value. It looks like financial repression is around the corner. Hope that you're having a pleasant Christmas Tejvan and thank you for the wonderful insights and education. btw this Christmas I'm working through the Library of Mistakes vids - dunno if you're aware of them.
@xavierrodriguez1455
@xavierrodriguez1455 2 күн бұрын
When will the house market crash
@jonathanjonathan7386
@jonathanjonathan7386 2 күн бұрын
not in ur lifetime
@rupertbollywood1190
@rupertbollywood1190 Күн бұрын
It won't. The more QE you demand, the more the rich will preserve their wealth by buying houses.
@Johndoe10007
@Johndoe10007 3 күн бұрын
Do you think the uk stock market the ftse looks good value with a PE ratio of 14
@grahambuckingham7295
@grahambuckingham7295 Күн бұрын
A lot better than US
@rupertbollywood1190
@rupertbollywood1190 Күн бұрын
No. I sold all my UK stocks in an ISA today.
@bruceblunderfield5431
@bruceblunderfield5431 2 күн бұрын
Well if a bailout was to occur, what would it have to be this time? T$3 or T$4?😮
@flesz_
@flesz_ 3 күн бұрын
Happy new year
@fromthenorth3541
@fromthenorth3541 2 күн бұрын
why a crash? why not only a normal correction of 10%? 50% crashes doesn't happens every 2 years but I understand the world ending theme make more people click
@JohnnyinMN
@JohnnyinMN 2 күн бұрын
Interesting video, but you haven’t discussed the inevitable London crash as of July 2025. The derivatives trading moving to the E.U. will cost thousands of jobs and remove London from a prominent financial position. The pound will no longer be necessary in the world market and the Euro will eventually be the second dominating currency. By 2027, this transition should be completed. The British have no idea what lies ahead for them.
@keirenle
@keirenle 2 күн бұрын
Given the level of financial engineering I doubt if America would crash any time soon. Only when I noticed that people no longer care for US dollars or gov bonds them I would worried about America defaults. As of for today? American and European would get poorer, inflation would be higher level but every thing would moved along fine.
@peterz9690
@peterz9690 2 күн бұрын
Plenty of 'bubbles', shares, housing, Bitcoin, all gambling hoping it doesn't burst.
@wody21
@wody21 Күн бұрын
Why shouldn't those bubbles burst?
@peterz9690
@peterz9690 Күн бұрын
@wody21 When one ' bubble' crashes, the rest will follow.
@DeputyChiefWhip
@DeputyChiefWhip 3 күн бұрын
Bloody hell, The Prophet of Doom. Happy New Year to you too 🎉
@philipburgin3109
@philipburgin3109 3 күн бұрын
😂 it does seem to be on the cards though...
@benforrest8590
@benforrest8590 3 күн бұрын
its going to be like 2008 times ten. thats right.. 20,080
@Solihul886
@Solihul886 3 күн бұрын
Not even remotely the same parameters as 2008, doubtful
@benforrest8590
@benforrest8590 Күн бұрын
@@Solihul886 was a joke. maybe not a good one. '08 was US homes bubble. what will 2025 crash be.? tech stocks, commercial real-estate, over exposed banks, Chinese real-estate, war?
@bena7519
@bena7519 3 күн бұрын
The stock market isn’t the economy and the stock market isn’t real life, that isn’t anything new. Nvidia has been the most important company in the stock market for the last 2 years and has an mcap in the multi-trillions, yet if you were to ask everyday people, the vast majority of them have never even heard of Nvidia, which pretty much says it all.
@suntzu94
@suntzu94 2 күн бұрын
They refer to these as “futures,” which are speculations about future economic output.
@abrin5508
@abrin5508 3 күн бұрын
There should have been a proper crash in 2020 - instead they pumped so much money in the dip that it was back to above pre-mini crash inside 4 months. I'd be more wary of holding cash as their track record says they will do the same again (ie print money) at any sign of weakness. Just spread it around all asset classes.
@Mike-ys4sr2023
@Mike-ys4sr2023 3 күн бұрын
I have been hearing about crash over 5 years ago 😅 😂
@erickanter
@erickanter 2 күн бұрын
Watch the bond market.
@doyoueatrocks
@doyoueatrocks 3 сағат бұрын
Can’t wait for this recession to kick off
@culmore170a
@culmore170a 3 күн бұрын
The mag 7 are highly valued but have potential if you believe the AI hype . The rest of the us market is not over valued .
@Johndoe10007
@Johndoe10007 3 күн бұрын
There is still lots of cash moving around the finance world 🌎 all that cash is looking for a return and thus finds itself in the stock market, real estate and bitcoin regardless of buying such assets at an investment worthy price so to my mind it’s an over priced bubbles here there and almost everywhere
@bjrnhjjakobsen2174
@bjrnhjjakobsen2174 3 күн бұрын
Inequality seems to be the culprit- the low income citizens do not consume and that will create problems. There are many activities where bitcoin comes in handy - Russian payments to foreign suppliers and sending money out of China and Russia…
@sky37blue
@sky37blue 3 күн бұрын
@@bjrnhjjakobsen2174 and as insurance against your own government. Who cares what Russia and China use it for.
@JesterEric
@JesterEric 3 күн бұрын
Inequality is primarily caused by the banks and governments creating unlimited amounts of unbacked currency
@bjrnhjjakobsen2174
@bjrnhjjakobsen2174 2 күн бұрын
@ The taxation model also has a big impact.
@Vember813
@Vember813 3 күн бұрын
Pls do a video on AI
@gerhard7323
@gerhard7323 2 күн бұрын
BTC, another diabolical 'financial instrument', is likely to play a similar role to the CDOs' and subprime loans' domino effect in the 2008 GFC.
@youngian
@youngian 3 күн бұрын
There's no consequences to online pundits making bold predictions as it's tomorrow's forgotten fish and chip paper if they're wrong. But can dine out all year if a dart hits the double.
@greg1943-u3i
@greg1943-u3i 3 күн бұрын
This is the time of year for all the "end is nigh" charlatans to sell us some snake oil.
@jrr3613
@jrr3613 19 сағат бұрын
Hehe, he is an Oxford University professor so knows a thing or two
@frasermitchell9183
@frasermitchell9183 3 күн бұрын
The two things that drive a market - Fear and Greed. What will win out in 2025 ?
@christopher-bj8de
@christopher-bj8de Күн бұрын
Not a mention of real money i.e. GOLD
@alanbranfield614
@alanbranfield614 Күн бұрын
Cant believe the Bank share prices havent hit a cliff edge, and dropped like a stone. Cant be far off.
@OllyCamella
@OllyCamella 3 күн бұрын
Great content, as always! A bit off-topic, but I wanted to ask: My OKX wallet holds some USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). Could you explain how to move them to Binance?
@preciseaudioblog
@preciseaudioblog 2 күн бұрын
You don’t share your seed phrase with anyone!
@Darren-i1w
@Darren-i1w 3 күн бұрын
Not a crash, its a buying opportunity
@RoniiNN
@RoniiNN 3 күн бұрын
Sure is good for new business without zombie companies.
@PeterKnagge
@PeterKnagge 3 күн бұрын
A buying opportunity for who??
@Darren-i1w
@Darren-i1w 3 күн бұрын
@PeterKnagge any one who wants to buy shares, they will recover
@flesz_
@flesz_ 3 күн бұрын
Buying opportunity to buy what
@EDJ1984
@EDJ1984 3 күн бұрын
Lol 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
@bertiewooster3326
@bertiewooster3326 3 күн бұрын
I got out of the market years ago my wealth is in cash and the house I own outright i have enough cash to see me out and live a great old fart lifestyle!
@MN76.
@MN76. 2 күн бұрын
So will it be good or will it go bad? 🤔
@stephfoxwell4620
@stephfoxwell4620 3 күн бұрын
This Dude is beyond bewildered. What is wrong with him?
@flesz_
@flesz_ 3 күн бұрын
Opium
@ghostl1124
@ghostl1124 Күн бұрын
He is Bri- ish , nothing more...
@rupertbollywood1190
@rupertbollywood1190 Күн бұрын
Can't remember but I've seen his face before. He's either a gold nut, a bond nut or a cash nut. One of those except with a different accent from usual.
@andrewwing5086
@andrewwing5086 2 күн бұрын
The uk as American needs a distribution in wealth for a stable society, politically at least. When offered to the electorate by the present government in the UK, firstly, there's no patience or want to understand that the past 14 years of austerity can not be undone in less than 6 months. That the levers of power are not rigid with instant response but some what looser caused by debt to GDP. Keeping our creditors happy, we all saw what happened with Liz Trust. Globalisation that the government can ease on the nation but can't stop, the days of Churchill and rolling spite fires in the sky have gone. Why do I think this, look at resent polling of the government the rise in Reform that's not even a party but a company with 15 shares 9 held by Farage, 60% owner so can't be deposed. It's the economy stupid. Wake up it's later than you think.
@mann234
@mann234 2 күн бұрын
@luckyloonie1359
@luckyloonie1359 2 күн бұрын
5:55 I wish I was a bankster & also work in investment banking for a bottomless wallet💰... Just want to get CRA💸 off the back of working class... Money laundering are done by the politicians and religious leaders; not hard working middle class... #TDBank🌎💘💰
@hungcapitalll
@hungcapitalll 3 күн бұрын
The more we talk about it. The more likely we make it. Stock market plunges are only caused by people spreading the idea of it until a tipping point
@jimmyjones9780
@jimmyjones9780 3 күн бұрын
This guy talks about Uncle Joe like it's such a wonderful place, but he fails to talk about the American Debt which is fueling everything American ....
@gerhard7323
@gerhard7323 3 күн бұрын
Irrational exuberance and the animal spirits reign supreme.
@sokratzmmf
@sokratzmmf 3 күн бұрын
AI bubble is gonna burst
@永Tom
@永Tom 3 күн бұрын
Bitcoin is not a bubble 😆 Given away yourself a bit there. Everything is propped up by debt, repricing is coming next year when liquidity dries up.
@AM_o2000
@AM_o2000 3 күн бұрын
A video for the fans of sudden endings. ;)
@searchingfortruth4783
@searchingfortruth4783 3 күн бұрын
Buy Bitcoin
@RabJ208
@RabJ208 2 күн бұрын
Nope! Ponzi scheme. Only a few make real money - the vast majority lose. Much better idea to go to a casino and put your money on the red or black.
@bobwelo
@bobwelo 3 күн бұрын
@MBReader410
@MBReader410 Күн бұрын
Make people pay back furlow
@Lepanto2024
@Lepanto2024 Күн бұрын
The way you say "Trump " suggests you are not a fan. Pity
@stephfoxwell4620
@stephfoxwell4620 3 күн бұрын
None whatsoever
@firmbutton6485
@firmbutton6485 3 күн бұрын
Please cover bitcoin. Not crypto.
@RoniiNN
@RoniiNN 3 күн бұрын
Is just a black market and a gabbling den for poor people.
@jasf1728
@jasf1728 3 күн бұрын
You should know the inflation never falls, it is always increasing, only the rate of increase changes speed. So now you know this perhaps you can adjust your graphs, and not think it's so wonderful when the rate slows down just after a mega speeding up of it!
@JohnBeeblebrox
@JohnBeeblebrox 3 күн бұрын
Deflation IS a thing. e.g. Japan throughout much of the 2000s and into the 2010s, Greece experienced deflation in the aftermath of its economic crisis. In the years following the 2008 global financial crisis and even Switzerland has occasionally experienced deflation, with negative inflation rates reported in some years.
@jasf1728
@jasf1728 3 күн бұрын
@JohnBeeblebrox deflation is a thing yes, however slower inflation is not deflation.
@JohnBeeblebrox
@JohnBeeblebrox 3 күн бұрын
@@jasf1728 If inflation falls below zero it becomes deflation (with a different set of problems). You stated "inflation never falls", which it does. Perhaps I'm being a bit pedantic. If so the apologies ;-)
@Solihul886
@Solihul886 3 күн бұрын
Stagnation is essentially deflation
@JohnBeeblebrox
@JohnBeeblebrox 3 күн бұрын
@@Solihul886 Not quite. Stagnation and deflation are related but distinct economic phenomena. Stagnation refers to a period where economic growth is slow or non-existent, often characterized by high unemployment, low consumer spending, and lack of business investment. Deflation, on the other hand, is a decrease in the general price level of goods and services, where the inflation rate falls below zero. While stagnation can lead to deflation, they aren't synonymous. In a stagnant economy, prices might not necessarily fall; they could just remain flat or grow very slowly. However, prolonged stagnation can eventually cause deflation if demand continues to drop. When consumers expect prices to fall further, they delay purchases, which reduces demand even more, creating a vicious cycle where businesses cut prices to stimulate sales, leading to deflation.
@andrewtaylor6737
@andrewtaylor6737 3 күн бұрын
House prices will certainly drop but by how much is anyone's guess, also the jobs market going into freefall! The bull run nearly here guys, get in now but most won't as they're afraid of crypto.
@1292liam
@1292liam 3 күн бұрын
House prices in the UK will rise modestly in 2025
@mattj905
@mattj905 3 күн бұрын
@@1292liamsays Savills, who make money from selling houses
@CarlRoberts-h2v
@CarlRoberts-h2v 2 күн бұрын
America is in a financial debt trap period it is caught in an equation between debt and intrest payment😂😂😂😂
@thomastan7511
@thomastan7511 2 күн бұрын
Recession on the way.
@Joseph-wu6kd
@Joseph-wu6kd 2 күн бұрын
Printer brrrrrrrrr...........................🤣😂🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑
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