Election Polls Explained: What’s Going to Happen?

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With the campaign in full swing, it’s worth asking if the polling has changed, and what does this tell us about what’s likely to happen in the election itself?
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[@ABI-qw2bj]

Starmer & Sunak: In full campaign mode Davey: *WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE*

[@jakel8627]

Too right! 🔶️LIB DEM🔶️ 🔶️LIB DEM🔶️ 🔶️LIB DEM🔶️

[@tecwynjones6532]

​@@jakel8627Love how Google is translating "Lib Dem" to "Love Them"

[@herbivorethecarnivore8447]

@@jakel8627 Don't forget that just because they're technically a libertarian party doesn't mean they're not susceptible to the same bullshit as everyone else. They're the ones who said that an anti-war game was pro-war and "outrageous" because it used poppies.

[@Ryanlexz]

@@jakel8627 nah

[@volk4523]

Lib Dems for real Socialism!

[@mab9614]

Davey is the best example of “final exam is tomorrow. Let me go to a pub” mode😂

[@MrBoliao98]

Getting drunk for class participation, this isn't a mode, it is an actual strategy.

[@Sammyli99]

​@MrBoliao98 never done that, must be a they uk Thang, which explains a lot. Dumbsters ueber alles.😅😅😅

[@Al3x1066]

"dude we got like 4 weeks, it's fine" 😂😂

[@WebToolkit]

The absolute best strategy they have at this point is to just continue taking the piss. After all no one really cares what labour's policies are either, the objective is simply to get rid of the Tories.

[@yutawalker3005]

Honestly the lib dems strategy is just being relatable and it seems to be working 😂

[@staticgrass]

The tories should re-introduce black and white telly and steam trains to see if that helps with their core voters.

[@pauli2169]

What about Polio and Watch with mother?

[@Handhordcarl]

I do like a good steam train but even that wouldn't get me to vote conservative. Nothing would.

[@simonhayward4058]

i would bring back 60's to 90's year if any parties bring that back. i would.... i really dislike the futustic and techolongy today. it's bs

[@HuplesCat]

Child labour in USA southern states is back 😢

[@ru2225]

​​@@HuplesCatslavery too

[@Psi-Storm]

The UK voting system is so broken. How can a party with ~45% votes get 90% of the parliament seats?

[@cromusician6153]

I dont understand how LibDems would get seats and Reform wouldnt despite Reform having a higher polling 🤣

[@SirBenjiful]

@@cromusician6153The Lib Dems campaign very hard in a few specific seats so their votes are concentrated there. Reform's votes are more dispersed throughout the country, not high in any given seat - we may see this change though given Farage's return, they will probably campaign like hell to get him elected in Clacton.

[@cromusician6153]

@@SirBenjiful wait, so you guys vote for local seats and they decide parliament seats?

[@Pyritie]

@@cromusician6153 yes, it's similar to the US' system except with 650 "states" each worth 1

[@withersheep9009]

​@@cromusician6153 LibDems have very concentraed votes whereas Reform are most spread out amongst the whole country, like they might have 8% of the population, but nowhere are they more popular than another party so they dont get any seats. They might have like between 5-10% in each constituaecy and that'll all sum up to about 8%, but nowhere do they represent the voice of most of the people, whereas LibDems will have neglible presence in almost all constituencies but the few where they do have a presence they have a majority of the vote. Its why NI or Scottish parties have a presence because they aren't popular with people in England or Wales but are very popular among people in those places despite lower population.

[@CARL_093]

we knew torries will lose the only question is how big will they lose in the elections

[@MarkHewitt1978]

Right. It is all very interesting and will have long term implications, but for now we just need to know who is going to be PM on 5th July and 99.9% chance that is Starmer.

[@iielysiumx5811]

They seem to have adopted a highly defensive strategy, concentrating on seats they already control by large majorities and trying to sure up support amongst their base (over 65s, the wealthy and small business owners) remains to be seen if it will work

[@splashafrica]

I think the UK election will be like the South African election where the ruling party underperforms the polls 100ish years ago the tories kicked of the south african war and the UK suffered black week and all those nice things triggering an Isolated UK and by the end the tories lost power the UK entered a period of isolation...soon after we had the world wars now this time around the decline started with isolation (Brexit) with the world war not so far off...the more things change the more they stay the same

[@matthewsemple]

@@iielysiumx5811 yes, it's definitely a campaign based on the assumption that they have no chance of winning. They have clearly written off a load of marginal seats as being hopeless and they are desperately trying to achieve second position so they can at least become the main opposition party.

[@calumbishop7082]

@@MarkHewitt1978 I mean another question is 'how big will the Labour win be?', we are already seeing tensions flaring up between different factions in Labour over the Diane Abbott situation. The smaller the majority for Labour, the more powerful the individual factions of MP's will be.

[@BeginnerSkier115]

Also Nigel Farage became the leader of Reform UK again.

[@blueboy3990]

Holy sh*t, I don't know why he did that, this would significantly hurt the right due to the first past the post system.

[@nom_quack_girl]

Yay 🙃😞

[@adamking4538]

@@blueboy3990They offered the tortes an alliance, they refused what happens now is the fault of the tories.

[@TheCrimsonS4ge]

​@blueboy3990 I think that this is exactly what he wants. He wants to torpedo the tories as hard as possible so that HE can emerge as the leader of the UK Right Wing and can build up his power as opposition leader.

[@sillygoosegoose]

@@blueboy3990he’s said quite a lot recently that they want to hurt the tories. my guess is that they know the right won’t win in this election, so they’re happy to split the vote on the chance they get a good number of seats anyway and start gaining traction as a legitimate alternative, and eventually replace the tories as the main right wing party in a couple of elections.

[@misterpebbles]

British politics is basically the British public voting for one of the two same parties and then being shocked when nothing changes. 😂

[@alansmithee419]

No, we're not shocked. We understand why it's happening, there are simply no options available to us to fix it. First past the post is the reason it's so difficult to replace the two major parties, not people failing to vote for the right parties. We're unable to because the system would more than likely mean our vote is wasted.

[@samw1501]

We say nothing changes... And yet the country is very different today than it was in 2010. I'm not a Labour fanatic, bit given our broken electoral system, we have two options. Only one metric is needed: compare the country in 2010 with... Let's say 2020 just before pandemic, as it would be unfair to hold the Tories accountable for that. Which state was better? 2010. So vote the Tories out. We can fix our electoral system later.

[@Occido391]

Yes, but following their massive majority the labour party will resist changing the electoral system. Then in 10-15 years time people will tire of them and vote in the Tories to get labour out. Until we have a more effective democracy nothing will change, and voting Labour ensures that it won't change. ​@@samw1501

[@aRandomPerson...]

It's not that different in the USA

[@kevlarchicken]

@@alansmithee419 so people think their vote is going to be wasted and never take that first step towards change? seems kinda dumb to me

[@Shicksalblume]

A proposed return of national service and talk about the Trident nuclear weapons system? This is starting to feel like Yes, Prime Minister. Where's Jim Hacker?

[@jonmel]

Jim hacker was an half decent person , un like the conservatives

[@scottsterling7659]

Almost forgot about yes minister

[@TheOmegaXicor]

They said it was accurate so Sunak has been watching it

[@Matt4412-j7o]

Our voting system is terrible, we should have proportional representation Would be good to see a video on it, I don't think people realise just how bad our current system is

[@fatalshore5068]

We have proportional where I'm from and I think it's the best for sure. It's called the "Hare-Clarke" system if you are interested in such things

[@py8554]

The video about PR should include the history of how Cameron and the Tory cunningly sabotaged the effort to push forward the electoral reform after getting the LibDem on board to form a coalition.

[@_Blu-jay]

Primer has a good video simulating alternate voting systems

[@cv990a4]

Single transferable vote.

[@PrtyNeal]

America would like to have a word with you 😂

[@Johnmark-iq4gg]

Great video, The first $100,000 invested was amazing. But when you hit $300,000 it’s like smashing the glass ceiling! I cried.

[@bonner-qv3mi]

I completely agree with you! My first 100k took a long time and wasn't that special to be honest with you. Once I hit 300K that is the game changer in my opinion. At this point my money is basically making me a pretty good yearly salary. When I go to sleep at night I know my money is making decent money with the help of my FA

[@HenryKatty]

Nice. People often underestimate financial advisors' importance. Over 50 years of data reveal that those who work with advisors typically earn more than those who go it alone. I've been fortunate to work with one for 13 years, resulting in a $1 million portfolio, largely from early investments in AI and other growth stocks.

[@Johnmark-iq4gg]

I've been considering but haven't been proactive. Can you recommend your advisor? Could really use some assistance.

[@bonner-qv3mi]

"Angela Lynn Schilling" is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment..!

[@Johnmark-iq4gg]

I looked up her name online and found her page. I emailed and made an appointment to talk with her. Thanks for the tip!

[@jeromefitzroy]

I would like to see the Lib Dems as the official opposition!

[@RealUlrichLeland]

As long as they stay committed to their policy of electoral reform. I would hate if they gave up on proportional representation as soon as they stopped being a minor party.

[@py8554]

It’s my dream of the past 50 years.

[@honeycomblord9384]

Basically a "NDP becoming the second largest party in 2011" moment lol

[@zeroyuki92]

This year seems like the only year where it's actually plausible, go for it UK!

[@wumpyjumps]

​@@RealUlrichLelandI highly doubt they would as being opposition for one term doesn't mean staying as one. Last time they gave up on their principles they lost 2/3 of their voter base so they hopefully learned something from that. Also, PR is a great attack to use throughout the parliament.

[@worldwidewonders681]

This feels like Rishi is standing on the titanic and knowing he will fall in the cold water. The question is just how cold is the water

[@georgecaplin9075]

14 years of the tories and NOW he’s gonna build more GP surgeries? We can’t access the one’s we have. I know that might seem like a solution, but where are they getting the money?

[@Gerrygambone]

Whoever believes the Tory promises needs to see a Doctor......Wait they cannot see the Doctor

[@ChineseKiwi]

Remember there's a viral old news clip of when Tony Blair was in power and a person complaining to him that they could only book in a GP **too early** vs when they wanted to see them. Meanwhile, under the Tories, a massive brain drain of medical personnel has happened, mainly to the US, Canada and Australia. You would too if you were paid 56% (registered nurse) or 59% (FY1 rank junior doctor) more in Australia. Those are not typos by the way. Fifty-nine percent. There are plenty of videos on KZbin from UK medical personnel who have gone, detailing all this.

[@jackn4853]

Govt's can always "get the money." A country is not, despite what people are led to believe run like a company or household budget. Think of COVID, or if there was a war, the money just appears.

[@ChineseKiwi]

@@jackn4853 it doesn't 'appear', it is via government debt via the issuance of government bonds but otherwise fine, including that government debt is not totally a bad thing, it is how it is used.

[@prideofdurham4776]

@Georgecaplin. My doctor is German.Havent seen him since 2019 , nobody has.Everybody sees the assistants.

[@BIGDZ8346]

I think one thing that is absolutely KEY to consider is that Labour's Polling is not that impressive. They are polling as you said in the mid 40s pretty similar when compared to say 2017 election where they done well but didn't manage to overtake the Conservatives. And that's because it's not that voting intentions for Labour have massively increased its that they have massively decreased for the Conservatives.

[@SlowhandGreg]

Your analysis is incorrect according to the larger polls Labour have become more efficient in their vote share Corbyn could never win because his vote share was too spread out as was shown in 2017 where he lost by 52 seats and even more in 2019 where Labour took a gubbing What Starmer has achieved is by loosing votes on the left but gaining more in the centre has created a very efficient vote distribution. and This is why the Tories and Reform will eat themselves alive as their vote share like Corbyn's is evenly spread

[@a.demifemiflapo5795]

Yes, it's more to do with how far the Tories have plummeted 📉📉

[@horsethief822]

I think there's a collective understanding that labour are not a desirable alternative, but there's no other options. I was planning to vote labour until I saw how weak Starmer's message actually was. The guy just expects to coast to victory on anti-tory sentiment and I think that's a signal that they'll be no different. I actually gritted my teeth and looked at reforms manifesto and I now cannot justify voting for anybody else. I think it's a shame they focus on immigration as such a core issue because it puts a lot of people off, but their actual fiscal policy and commitments to everyday citizens are great. The tax burden will be greatly reduced for regular earners and completely eliminated for those on low incomes (20k and below pa) as well as all NHS workers. How people don't see this as a good thing blows my mind and really showcases the power of the media IMO.

[@arandombard1197]

Yeah, it's more like the Tories have destroyed themselves than it is labour generating any enthusiasm or support.

[@Grandude77]

​@@horsethief822they say they will lower the tax burden on earners but don't offer any replacement income. Like taxing wealth and unearned income. So it's just more truss IEA nonsense, about tax cuts leading to growth with the promise of cuts to spending as required. We have seen where this leads, voting reform seems reckless to me.

[@andybrice2711]

Sorry, but this line of _"I would push the nuclear button if required."_ is just not emphatic enough for me. I want a candidate who is committed to press the nuclear button whether it's required or not, just out of curiosity.

[@blackroseangel123]

I'm very interested to see how uncle Nigel will affect the Tory vote. The only seats the conservatives will hold will be but such a small margin so even 1000 votes to reform could swing the results

[@SlowhandGreg]

from the larger polls it's showing a fairly even distribution for the Conservatives and Reform in England with a few core Toryland seats, this is the worst possible scenario for both parties given the fact that Starmer has gone for a strategy which optimizes the Labour vote.

[@douglasstewart3889]

Let’s be clear - until Trump was convicted Farage was going to the states to grift. Now he’s changed his mind and is staying here to grift. Tedious little man, but clever enough to seduce the poorly educated and the spiteful.

[@silvershocknicktail6638]

Farage has never won a domestic election, ever. We only know his name because UK media refuses to stop saying it, or putting his turning, lying, useless fascist mug on TV.

[@jaye20]

Uncle Nigel? I didn't think the character of Nigel could not get any creepier until you called him uncle 😅

[@aaronhpa]

Sunak tried to be Pedro Sanchez, but he hasn't got the sheer luck Pedro has.

[@jochen9367]

Also his situation is totally different, Pedro had won an election in 2019, Sunak never and although he was polling behind it was about 5 t 6 points of difference not 20 to 25

[@jeromefitzroy]

Pedro Sanchez is hot, Sunak is not.

[@2Links]

That or he was ready to go and he might as well call the election rather than be blamed for dragging it out to an even worse economy.

[@juanfranciscovillarroelthu6876]

Pedro is Also a cleaver political operative. Sunak could not get himself out of a paper bag

[@ElysiumCreator]

@@jeromefitzroythis guy understands politics better then anyone

[@chrishekman6179]

Couldnt happen to a better group of people

[@15jorada]

I was going to say the same thing. I'm from the US but from what I can see, Tories have absolutely ruined the country for anyone younger than 65

[@nickwoodward819]

Yes it could. Reform.

[@volk4523]

@@nickwoodward819 Tories are pretty bad because they actually have seats. Transphobes? AFUERA!

[@mf10w]

Can you include the Greens next poll video? They consistently poll at 5%, have an MP in Parliament, and have 90 times more councillors than Reform in England & Wales. After local election results 2024: Green - 181 councillors, Reform UK - 2 councillors.

[@caboosealmighty3735]

And will hopefully getting a second MP this time.

[@HuplesCat]

The ignoring of green is tragic. I assume people want oil adsense revenue? 😢

[@silvershocknicktail6638]

No no no, UK media isn't allowed to ever mention or acknowledge left wing parties, only mock them as silly and irrelevant. Massive increase in left wing support in local elections? Let's talk endlessly about Refash UK every waking second.

[@ThatTallGuy0]

What’s the point 😂😂

[@r9kv753]

No one realistic wants the greens. They are idolistic with no real plans.

[@e79905]

Guys, pizza graphs are bad for comparisons, even worse when you display them in separate slides.

[@blackjacktrial]

Whilst I'd prefer box and whisker projections of vote share and seats (and really prefer overlayed distribution graphs) it's probably easier for a lay person to understand a share of vote or seats as part of a single whole (so area based graphs). What would you propose as an easily comprehended alternative for vote share (a bar graph has similar issues, and an area graph has all of them, whilst the others are difficult for everyone to immediately grok.)

[@jonsmith5058]

Pizza graph…? Do you mean a pie chart?

[@aldrane7484]

@@jonsmith5058Tell me about it. Some right imbeciles in these comments lately.

[@Dangonyon]

Lmao what the fuck is a pizza graph 😂

[@allenkennedy99]

Pizza graphs are far inferior to chocolate bar graphs

[@ramstrong1961]

Obviously many people are not actually voting for Labour but against the Tories

[@a.demifemiflapo5795]

Absolutely. Anyone but the Tories

[@superhumantrueman]

Not according to the Redfield and Wilton poll released yesterday. Poll results were "63% voting for Starmer, 35% voting against Sunak"

[@Beetlejooce01]

That’s why I’m voting reform

[@superhumantrueman]

@@Beetlejooce01 How do you feel about Reforms support for private healthcare? Not many working people can afford to go private on top of everything else.

[@Speedkam]

@EvanJGMegson thanks. Thats the best way to put labour in power 💪💪💪

[@Conservator.]

The FPTP system is outrageously undemocratic imo. The LibDems, Greens (and yes also Reform) should be represented proportionately in parliament. I detest Reform (with a passion) but I do feel that that their supporters should have a voice in parliament. Greetings from the Netherlands 🇳🇱 (We’re on the other end on the proportional representation spectrum which I prefer but it isn’t flawless either).

[@Minimmalmythicist]

I agree, proportional representation is best. And if the Netherlands had First past the post, then Geert Wilders may well get a majority. People who think it´s a block against extremism are kidding themselves. In fact we´ve had a similar far right takeover in the UK, the difference is that they´ve taken over one of the mainstream parties, namely the Tories.

[@Conservator.]

@@Minimmalmythicist Exactly.

[@tomarmstrong1297]

Don't discount the possibility that the Conservative campaign didn't account for this eventuality and will have some mud to sling Nigel's way now.

[@loganullman-campbell5017]

What colour would you like your Tory? Red or Blue?

[@slaygal9012]

Count Binface Episode When?

[@TheHellishOtherTimeliney-gs8so]

FIRST! Also, the Tories are going to face a collapse with a way they conduct themselves, and it's abhorrent.

[@yunusgokcen174]

Tory party have no real policies, no plan to change.

[@MikeyPFilm]

GREEN PARTY? Am I going insane why are they being completely ignored

[@SirGusto]

Cause noone votes for them so it’s inconsequential

[@Kni0002]

the party that votes down solar farms and wind turbines, ironic

[@cuddlysoftcat9267]

​@@SirGusto they have more actual MPs than Reform, yet everyone talks about Reform! It's yet another example of the media's 'unbiased reporting' leaving out the true left wing of politics

[@mf10w]

After local election results 2024: Green - 181 councillors, Reform UK - 2 councillors.

[@Pyritie]

@@cuddlysoftcat9267 it's because there's not really much to talk about with the greens, same as lib dems, they're consistent

[@_mcck]

why didn't they include the greens in there polling reaserch?

[@threecards333]

The polls seem to include greens but TLDR did not.

[@_mcck]

@@threecards333 😞

[@exercisethemind]

​@@threecards333 it's interesting how so many "news" sources exclude as much information as they provide these days, isn't it?

[@barristophilliesiii5863]

Good video. Why aren't the greens featured anywhere?

[@thethreerailwayengines825]

Based on the MRP, poll, it's likely that if the Lib Dems were to combine with the SNP/Greens/Plaid, they could very easily have more seats than the Tories. So, is it possible for there to be a coalition opposition? As in, rather than a coalition government, the parties form a coalition in opposition, thus reducing the Tories to the third party and not even the opposition

[@AraBalaji]

Do a vid on if scotland will flip red or not

[@2Links]

Shame that a Labour landslide happens when Labour is at its worst - only because they've been far outdone by the Conservatives.

[@boas7742]

Labour is the least left they have been in years this is the best time for a labour government

[@Hardcore_Remixer]

​@@boas7742 Do you mean socially left or economically left? Because economical right means less government intervention and more freedom to the businesses while social right is towards the traditional family, placing the country first and, more extremely but currently necesary, deporting the illegal immigrants wether they have UK passports or not (just like AfD proposes to do in Germany with the illegal immigrants who have obtained German passports).

[@paulgibbon5991]

@@Hardcore_Remixer "towards the traditional family". Come on now, say what you really mean. Only question is, is your answer going to be homophobic or misogynist?

[@Hardcore_Remixer]

@@paulgibbon5991 Misogynist would be too conservative even for me. No, I'm not an adept of the Islam. Homophobic, and proud of it.

[@boas7742]

@@Hardcore_Remixer mostly economical currently starmer is mostly keeping the more extreme left wing parts of the party at bay compared to previous labour governments such as in 1935,1983 and 2019 were labour all but advocated nationalising industries and pushed for essentially turning a capitalist system into a borderline socialist one funnily enough these years are also the years in which labour suffered there most devastating defeats

[@sherpafan033]

This video is already seriously outdated considering Farage’s announcement last night

[@maritaschweizer1117]

Why? Does anybody listen to this Clown?

[@Lando-kx6so]

Labour will still win a massive majority, reform isn't getting any seats & the right wing vote will be even more split bringing the tories lower

[@soundscape26]

What does that change in the overall picture?

[@gleebo9519]

​​@@soundscape26 The Conservatives will poll even lower now, and reform could become the official opposition

[@soundscape26]

@@gleebo9519 Without MP's?

[@smole321]

They are just targeting the old people who don't ever leave the house and believe if they step out of the door an immigrant will mug them

[@johnpotts8308]

I cannot understand Tory strategy here. Leaving aside whether you agree with it or not, surely if the parties to your left have about 60% of support from the electorate and parties to your right have about 10% of the electorate, you move towards the 60% not the 10%?

[@tubey84]

Labour stymied them with the reforms under Starmer moving them to the centre ground. The Tories, embroiled in controversy and obsessed with Brexit, veered evermore right and vacated the centre ground entirely. The UK as a whole is centre-right, but it doesn't matter what the Tories do now; people simply hate them, think they're incompetent and deserve the pummelling coming their way. Their only hope for the next election after this one is Starmer gets embroiled in infighting and Labour moves to the left and Reform implode, allowing the Tories back to the centre right organically; otherwise I can honestly see Reform as a hard right main opposition in a few years time as the Tories have no ground to fight on if Labour stay in the centre.

[@jeromefitzroy]

Conservative math.

[@GeorgiawithaG]

Can't go left when half your MPs will jump further right out of spite. Seems like they have become their own worst enemies.

[@georgechristoforou991]

Tory strategy is fill yer pockets while you can

[@Hardcore_Remixer]

The thing is that they are losing most of their votes to right wing parties such as the Lib-Dems and specially to Reform. Besides, they are supposed to be a conservative party with conservative ideals. Now they are barely promissing what they should have been doing since a long time ago, but it's too late. And, as already mentioned above by @GeorgiawithaG, going left just to get votes may end up splitting the Tories in a second left wing party (like Labour) and bunch of nuances of right wing groups which would migrate to the Lib-Dems and Reform. Political parties aren't meant to copy one another's homework, but to actually represent a set of ideas the people can vote for by voting for the party. It's just the the Tories have too much diversity in their party and this leads to losing votes in favor of the more decided parties.

[@Nudelreaktor]

Did I understand that correctly, that a Party with 45% of votes can get a 2/3 majority in parliament?

[@wizzyno1566]

Yes. Easily.

[@wizzyno1566]

Theoretically a party with 40% of the votes could get 100% of the seats.

[@cromusician6153]

​@@wizzyno1566How? Like, I genuinely don't understand their voting system. How do LibDems get MPs and Reform don't? How will Labour have a 2/3rd majority?

[@Nudelreaktor]

That doesn't sound like a fair system

[@Pyritie]

@@cromusician6153 lib dems focus on a few areas, reform is spread out

[@TheAllRounderMemes]

based ed davey

[@oscarmike3482]

He's worked out the less the Lib Dems campaign, the more people like them

[@Ivytheherbert]

This is the rather unsurprising answer to "What happens when a political party desperately clings to power for years, and abandons all coherent policy other than being cruel?"

[@edwardspence5361]

Why weren't the green party mentioned at all? I believe they're polling around 5%

[@windwaker0rules]

TLDR: the financial review is great isn't it a fantastic newspaper, not bias and not full of hacks at all, we have staff that worked their.

[@badabingbadaboomboom]

I am voting Green - I will NOT support genocide

[@silvershocknicktail6638]

​@@Rampton8810.... No?

[@badabingbadaboomboom]

@@Rampton8810 Never heard of that mate and nothing on their website, just checked. Can you explain and your sources?

[@DeathInTheSnow]

Clacton has the chance to do the funniest thing ever by voting for *_Jovan Owusu-Nepaul_* in huge droves on the fourth of July. [Edit] I seem to have upset the Tory and Reform voters with this comment. *Good.* Keep liking this comment to upset them more.

[@Me-ui1zy]

Lab and Lib Dems should really be working together a little bit in seats with major Tory candidates. Like if they get behind one person in Richmond, then Sunak is out. Leave both parties on the ballot, but encourage one parties supporters to switch. Same thing could happen all over, Braverman, Kemi Badenoch and of course Clacton

[@clmclmn21]

That wouldn’t be funny. It would just be boring and putting yet another nameless and faceless MP on the backbenches that will in all probability do NOTHING for the people of Clacton. I find it hard that people actually want Labour to win. Maybe you are too young to remember 1997 - 2010, not that the last 14 years have been any better.

[@michaelfarrow5817]

@@clmclmn21 New Labour seems like halcyon days compared to now. Tory Sleaze in the 90s seems like halcyon days compared to now.

[@herbivorethecarnivore8447]

Basing your support and ideals on upsetting people isn't exactly a good image

[@Santisima_Trinidad]

​@@herbivorethecarnivore8447 it's exactly an amazing image.

[@douglasrouxel1761]

Excluding the Green Party, tut tut - you need to show everyone now we are in the short campaign, or you will get in trouble.

[@BackseatGamingJesus]

Yes, angering the Greens is dangerous, because they're full of Islamic extremists nowadays.

[@0w784g]

They won't, they are not beholden to any election rules. Their audience is young people, they are only interested in engagement. Its why the only ever put out videos focussing on the Tories. The channel is a joke.

[@mattpreece6106]

I mean tbh if you are small c conservative you may as well vote for Reform if you can. And if you are one of the few that think Brexit was a great idea. If you think it was a bad idea then you should probably vote to get rid of those parties tactically. Which is crazy. No matter who you are its better to not vote Tory.

[@captainbuggernut9565]

Large majorities tend to be bad news. Whether it's tory or Labour. A smaller majority keeps them honest. If Labour do get a huge majority you know we will get every bit of daft legislation they can think up. Im reminded of their attempts last time round to prosecute people who watch pirated movies and ID cards as well.

[@paulgibbon5991]

You seem confused. ID cards were the Tories, in an early experiment with Trumpite-style voter suppression.

[@0w784g]

Their invasions of Sierra Leone, Kosovo, Iraq and Afghanistan stand out for me 😂.

[@boyz9177]

@@0w784g SL and Kosovo ??????? One stopped rebels toppeling a democratically elected government and one stopped a genocide of kosovar albanians.

[@_jpg]

But...pirating movies is illegal and the people, who worked in them/provide them to the public lose money. How is persecuting pirates a bad thing?

[@KungFuWizardOfJesus]

@@_jpg Must you bootlick big corporations anymore? They can live on a few million dollars less I say.

[@kiratherenegade1561]

What's going to happen is Sunak & his mates are going to be dragged out of their seats, kicking & screaming.

[@svresh]

It's nice to see their own agenda finally come back to bite them in the arse, and in such spectacular fashion.

[@l.j.turner185]

Na na naaa na, Na na naaa na, Hey hey heyy, Goodbye 👋

[@Muppetkeeper]

Reform UK technically is a BUSINESS, not a political party.

[@ErgLeuk]

Labour are back to being Conservatives Light. Nothing will change.

[@KonyCurrentYear]

ZERO SEATS

[@a.demifemiflapo5795]

Remember Richie lost to Truss before 🤣

[@gabrielbrew4530]

Reform UK tanking the Tories and winning 0 seats is truly a beautiful prospect

[@KaitlynFedrick]

🎶 things can only get worse 🎶

[@KrustyKrabPizza22]

You knew it was coming the second lizz truss worked her magic

[@alishashah7801]

Please can you do a video explaining proportional voting! I’d love to understand more and how it would work in the UK. Thanks!!x

[@johnwilletts3984]

Remember right wingers:- If you fail to vote for Reform you may let a Tory back in.

[@francishandscomb8108]

Personal I say get rid of both the main party’s eles it will just be roundabouts

[@maccy4829]

Never EVER discount the shy tories, they’ve basically kept this country on the right since the 70’s

[@kygo]

If only Rishi did some of the things he said he would whilst you know, he was in charge of the country (like he still is now!). Only a fool would believe a single thing that comes out of his mouth.

[@barbthegreat586]

If only the Tories had overwhelming majority for like last 5 years, so they'd have been able to do all those things.

[@kygo]

@@barbthegreat586 Yeah, I don't understand why anyone would vote Torries, they've had so long on power and ruined so much.

[@0w784g]

Why do you believe any politician? Theyre not obliged to tell the truth you know...

[@BlueShadow125]

for once in our lifetimes, can we just have ONE prime minister who isn't the intellectual equivalent of a lobotomised goldfish?

[@TheRealEtaoinShrdlu]

ZERO SEATS!!!

[@herbivorethecarnivore8447]

So do you just run around screaming that on every video?

[@anteep4900]

@@herbivorethecarnivore8447 ZERO SEATS!!!

[@caboosealmighty3735]

Net zero.

[@herbivorethecarnivore8447]

@@anteep4900 Ooga booga grunga goo

[@martingibbons1324]

Last election Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party stood aside to save the country from Labour. Now is the time for Sunak to do the right thing for the UK stand down the entire conservative party and put all of their resources behind REFORM to save our country from the inevitable Labour catastrophe. Go on Sunak think of the country.

[@LarfOutLoud]

love these guys videos, posting consisntly

[@SuperSmashDolls]

4:03 "Labour is the party of business" is weirdly funny to me.

[@dav3bassman]

Do a video on next month's Bohemian Grove :')

[@angiki9988]

Lib Dems as the official opposition would be hilarious.

[@jack504]

Labour lead with lib Dems as main opposition would be a winner Canada 1993 shows it can happen with fptp Tory damage needs to be punished

[@brendenwright7957]

I'm curious on how further the vote will divide for the right, now that Nigel Farage announced he's running again, and is back in his former position as leader of Reform UK.

[@maszlagma]

I mean, not that ReformUK would be any better than the Tories...

[@yunusgokcen174]

If ReformUK are against aid for Ukraine than no.

[@TheBooban]

Why not? But nobody can manage the UK. Labour never done any good either. Watch them come to power. Do nothing.

[@captainvanisher988]

@@yunusgokcen174 Ukraine is losing, even after all the aid. No matter how much you want EU to fund them, unless we send our own armies Ukraine won't win anything.

[@Pyriold]

@@captainvanisher988 I don't think they are losing, but winning is unlikely too at the moment. Unfortunately i think this war will go on for a long time.

[@captainvanisher988]

@@Pyriold then you clearly haven't been following up. The Eastern front is crumbling on multiple places, they have a huge shortage of manpower, so much so that 2000 reserves managed to push and capture villages in the Northern front. Russia has many more years that they can fight this war, Ukraine doesn't. It has been depopulated to no avail, it has sold off half of the country's land to fight a war that they were never going to win. Sadly another war caused by the incompetence and corruption of the Us government. But it was bound to happen with how corrupt and tied to the Us Ukraine had gone. It was inevitable, unless the Us backed out which was never going to happen. Now Ukrainian men are dying whilst their girlfriends are clubbing and selling their bodies in Europe because of 1 incompetent corrupt leader. Tell me what has Ukraine gained other than becoming a region for NATO proxy war and economic growth for arms manufacturers?

[@byunbaekhyun2283]

why are you refraining to mention the greens AT ALL? they consistently polled above 5%, yet only ONE of your video is dedicated to the greens.

[@simondlatham5939]

This video is way out of date given Farage has returned. Maybe redo this video at the end of the week

[@soundscape26]

That doesn't change much to the overall picture, they can put that in the TLDR Daily video later today.

[@RandoTheRando]

Ed Davey sounds like a chill lad

[@decoyfox]

Farage just hammered the final nail in the Tory coffin

[@revolutionuk]

The Tories were toast anyway, they themselves sealed their own fate.

[@noonecaresaboutgoogle3219]

This is just firing the captain when the ship has already hit the iceberg. The damage is done.

[@jona826]

People who were planning to stay at home are now saying they will vote for Reform.

[@superhumantrueman]

What people? There haven't been any polls since yesterdays announcement.

[@soundscape26]

Who?

[@superhumantrueman]

@@soundscape26 They won't answer, because they made it up.

[@felixnimo]

Things can only get worse 😬💀

[@qubex]

Calling this election at this moment in time is a truly baffling decision.

[@chameleonedm]

It is extremely clear that we are heading for a Labour majority

[@AB-qo2xq]

We just want another EU referendum and I don't even care whatever happens otherwise.

[@bullbrissot]

vote lib dem dont vote refrom there are the one that got us in this bertix mess in the first place lest we forget

[@rphb5870]

well it will be big if reform gets bigger then tori. but what is truly needed for UK, is to get proportional representation. I have a simply suggestion. Double the member of parliament., let every constituency stay as is, but add just as many new ones to be rewarded based on the percentage voted on. That way a party can get 30% of the seats in the house without winning a single constituency

[@alansmithee419]

I'm slightly confused. Do you mean that each constituency would have a local representative elected for by the people of the constituency, and then proportional representation would decide the members of the house of commons? Or would both proportional representation and local constituency elections contribute to a house of commons that is twice the size, producing a sort of "compromise" between proportional representation and FPTP?

[@hooting-ton5215]

This is the one election where "Labour is guaranteed to win" has filled me with so much dread

[@yunusgokcen174]

Get used to it. The UK will rejoin the EU once this happens

[@Tux00]

If Labour win this time there may be not another election for years and years, as the leftist fascists take over.

[@BESTGINGEREU]

Why would it fill you with dread?

[@BESTGINGEREU]

​@@yunusgokcen174doubtful, that'd be suicide for the labour party

[@soundscape26]

No need.

[@sh4rkface0]

2:32 party politics aside, it is genuinely insane that a party with up to 12% popular support could gain ZERO seats in parliament. FPTP really is weird

[@paulhumphreys919]

Britain needs reform!

[@ianhopping105]

But not Reform PLC.

[@BSJinx]

Honestly, this election is reminiscent of the Tiny Toons episode "The Acme Bowl": "Are we gonna win?" "NO!!!!!" "Are we gonna lose?" "YEAH!!!!!!" "Are we gonna lose BIG?" "YEAH!!!!!" "How big?" "REAL BIG!!!!!" "Are we gonna get creamed?" "WE'RE GONNA BE ANNIHILATED!!!!!"

[@supersuede91]

I am centre-left but will be voting Reform as a anti-Islam vote

[@Pyritie]

you are not centre-left

[@barbthegreat586]

You aren't centre left.

[@supersuede91]

Actually I am probably more centre-left than you guys. I am pro-trans, pro-nonbinary, pro-gay, pro-drugs, pro-strong welfare to protect the most vulnerable in our society, and very anti-privatisation. I am centre-left. You may not like it, but this is what Peak European Values looks like.

[@supersuede91]

Forgot to mention I am also pro abortion but probably only up to 6 months

[@Pyritie]

sounds like it would be worth re-examining that "anti-islam" part of yourself then. There's many other factors at play than just "they do bad things because of their religion"

[@badoiuecristian]

No way reform gets 0…

[@captainshakesbeard2453]

Gonna vote Reform

[@chameleonedm]

Ah yeah cause Brexit went so great didn't it

[@AshWeststar]

@@chameleonedm You seem to have forgotten that Corbyn was also an advocate of brexit. It's clear either way that the Torys didn't do a good job of it or really much else.

[@Beetlejooce01]

Me too

[@chameleonedm]

@@AshWeststar How did I forget that? I didn't vote for Corbyn

[@captainshakesbeard2453]

@@chameleonedm You can't blame on Brexit what is the Tories fault

[@itskdog]

There's a YpuGov MRP poll now as well

[@robertlockwood3540]

Just imagine Nigel Farage stood at the Ballot Box in Parliament on the opposition benches of the house How interesting would that make PMQ's?

[@jackn4853]

Too much like work for Farage.

[@TR-wg9rk]

Given that Reform are likely to only have just 1 or 2 MPs, Farage wouldn’t be at the dispatch box and wouldn’t get an automatic right to ask questions. He’ll only get called at PMQs once every few months (at best).

[@robertlockwood3540]

@@TR-wg9rk I know that I’m not stupid. Just relishing what could be. Kier (Barney Rubble) wouldn’t stand a chance

[@franciscojesusgomezcarrera9895]

Imagine a Labour leader saying that he is the leader of "the party of businesses"

[@AlexJones-og6rg]

Vote Reform

[@silvershocknicktail6638]

Piss off, Fashy McSerialnumber

[@matthewtalbot-paine7977]

I think in all my years I've heard 3 people say "bring back national service" and each of them was joking. I'm pretty sure most "right wing" people don't want national service.

[@jakel8627]

🔶️LIB DEM🔶️ 🔶️LIB DEM🔶️ 🔶️LIB DEM🔶️ 🔶️LIB DEM🔶️ 🔶️LIB DEM🔶️ 🔶️LIB DEM🔶️

[@davidarmitage4814]

Whatever the failings of the Conservative Party we cannot allow that personality amputee Kier Starmer anywhere near Downing Street. At least with Corbyn you knew what he stood for.

[@johnwarren9112]

We need change 👍 reform UK

[@alansmithee419]

We need positive change, and we ain't gonna get it there.

[@Thorum0]

Very creepy you can get that many seats with only just over 2 in 5 votes...

[@Tux00]

Voting Reform

[@Rush9999]

Defining a person by biological sex is one of the most evil things you can do to people who don't deserve it...

[@JN-om6rw]

And what's going to happen to the influence of the jewish lobby

[@JJ-te2pi]

You mean the Muslim lobby....

[@tasty_fish]

The strange thing about these opinion polls is that nobody has ever met anyone who has been asked in an opinion poll

[@RopekingRopethemall]

Go REFORM GOOOO GOOD LUCK FROM THE NETHERLANDS

[@Worldmisery]

I'm not voting Reform and I don't like Git Wilders.

[@jameslewis2635]

Win or lose, it's good to see that at least Ed Davey is having fun and not taking himself too seriously.

[@0u73rh34v3n]

First tho