Ian Bremmer: State of the World 2023 | GZERO Live

Ian Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, delivered his landmark State of the World speech at the annual GZERO Summit Japan in Tokyo, hosted by Eurasia Group, the world’s leading geopolitical risk firm.
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In the speech, streamed live on GZERO’s website and on social media, Ian presented his vision for where the world is headed in 2024 and outlined the major themes and forces shaping the geopolitical landscape.
Watch the full speech in the video above and read his full remarks here: www.gzeromedia.com/events/pas...
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#IanBremmer #StateoftheWorld #GZEROLive

[@GZEROMedia]

What worries you most about what's going on in the world? And what do you find the most puzzling? Share your questions here for Ian Bremmer & our experts and watch live on Jan 8 to see what they say #TopRisks2024. Go to this link and click the "Notify me" button to join us kzbin.info/www/bejne/Y5LIq3aGbdCjgck

[@user-sl1ms2og6g]

Almost all of Chinese don’t really be against CCP, they enjoy the privileges of dictatorship, they dream of controlling the whole world. they just disagree the president Xi,because the president Xi doesn’t give the chance to be in turn with control over the common people in the highest positions for most powerful. The purpose of Russia is to occupy all of the land in the world; The purpose of Chinese is making all of human beings to listen to China, they become the leader of the world.The Chinese immigrants in different countries vote the party who coordinate with China, they vote KMT and Taiwan people’s party in Taiwan, they vote Labour Party in Australia. As I know 99.5% Chinese have been doing it

[@user-sl1ms2og6g]

There are 1400 million Chinese, a massive population more than many countries’ total population amount added together, they have been filled in different democratic countries

[@user-sl1ms2og6g]

Now，trump can’t be the president of US as trump tend to support Russia and China more.

[@donfleming3534]

Since I am the sole black man living in Japan, I would like to thank Mr. Ian for his portrayal of Japan as being the "greatest example" of the values of inclusivity and diversity since the end of ww2. What?????

[@TouchGrassGardening]

I always enjoy your state of the world speech each year Ian. Thank you.

[@SleepySteve_sk]

It'd be great to have the date a speech like this was recorded in the description. Thanks for getting it out so quickly

[@mina.975]

Yes, we are stuck with you Ian! Thank you so much for a powerful, and insightful speech. Please come back anytime, we always welcome you!!

[@prestongalle9158]

I am becoming a huge Ian Bremmer fan.

[@user-sl1ms2og6g]

I have been interested in his talking after I find his representation first time

[@user-dg4ui4sj2t]

God bless ❤

[@user-sl1ms2og6g]

Yes, he said the true. Most secondary hands SMT machines for electric factories from Japan, because there are high ratios of quality to price for the Japan machine

[@rogerclark6605]

Did I miss any reference to the Minsk agreement?

[@debbiemetke5938]

Ian, thanks for ending with the necessity of the United Nations and the kudos to Japan for following the ideals (unlike us)

[@MTBSamurai]

Lost Kissinger? A war criminal dying is it really any loss?

[@reginafefifofina]

Why don’t you do an independent poll in the spirit of the holidays - if you vote, or could vote- which USA candidate would you vote for? I’d love to see the international perspective!

[@A-gor]

I'd vote Trump. No wars under him.

[@vicenteferrazpacheconeto6503]

Very well, nice analysis touching key political issues, but...missing cost competitive theory. Europe industry used to rely on cheap Russian gas. China got it and will benefit to keep growing more. Brics trade agreements not mentioned...

[@CD_RN_Independent_Voter]

Oh man…

[@jimberndt5819]

I am still bewildered how very smart people ever believed Russia was going to say "Ooops, our bad. Sorry, let me pay for the havoc we have caused". The best chance Ukraine had was the Mink agreements, or the March negotiations. The world is now more unpredictable than ever. Follow the money.

[@yafeters]

Ian Bremmer is my favorite political scientist / geopolitical thinker today. Keep up the great work!

[@jhrusa8125]

Peter Zeihan is way more accurate.

[@spencerme3486]

No worldwide famines and Germany’s economy hasn’t collapsed, just to name a couple of Peter’s misses

[@jhrusa8125]

@spencerme3486 No, their going down just like he said. You have been watching economics lately.

[@spencerme3486]

Peter said you better buy a BMW because they won’t be able to make them for a while. He’s as wrong as your use of “they’re”

[@jhrusa8125]

@spencerme3486 He's 70% right as opposed to Ian, who is 70 % wrong. Can you tell me why he's rooting for a totalitarian government like China, who is committing genocide against Muslims? One just needs to go back 10 years and read their work and see who's more accurate .If you want to lose money, you can listen to Ian. There's 2 kinds of geopolitical analysts. One who looks at the world and makes his predictions (Peter), and the other who makes his predictions on what he wants to see happen (Ian).

[@fadynaayem8449]

First class

[@adrianhudek9111]

Smart guy

[@shokuchideirdrecarrigan7402]

Why does he mispronounce Netanyahu’s name-NOTanyahu. Is this a deliberate dis?

[@JamesFitzgerald]

Ok. At around 26:00 you step in it. Amf.

[@chrisbea49]

black sea fleet has run from Sevastopol, grain has been exported for a while, Putin can do nothing. A 777 took off from Kiev airport today. The counteroffensive didn't go as well in part because Ukr only got a fraction of what it was promised. If they got 100-150 ATACMS they could have trashed the occupiers in Crimea. We don't want a quick ru defeat and potential collapse, it would give Outer Manchuria to the PRC.

[@jaijagan1656]

Ian, Very well thought and perspetive on the world and US. You are right abt most of your points.

[@kshen7485]

More bubbles and less manufacturers made this split country.

[@reginafefifofina]

15:49 I’m imagining Xi with a bone and Putin is a dog that never gives up his dream - like a Rottweiler because he’s hardcore 😂

[@travaller1]

Nicely & Concisely Done!!

[@seanhealy4873]

Great talk, thanks

[@valetudo1569]

Didn't this get uploaded yesterday?

[@johnyjsl9219]

Japaaaaaan!

[@JT.Pilgrim]

24:10 (except if Trump is elected. I can see that relationship deteriorating quickly.

[@tellog3406]

I have to say I'm very happy to hear a huge change in tone regarding Russia - Ukraine war. Just as any other conflict, the ongoing war between Russia and Ukr has been in the makings for at least a decade, and while Putin has shown little mercy with innocent civilians, Ukranian leadership bears a huge amount of responsibility in what's been going on. Poroshenko and Zelensky should have met the Minsk Agreements and reunited Eastern Ukraine after a nice, educated, respectfull and generous settlement with Donetsk and Lugansk. Declaring those territories "terrorist entities" and sending in the Ukrainian professional army was certainly not a constructive option and, in the long run, is playing out to be absolutely contrary to Ukrainian interests. Unfortunately, there is no going back, today I think partition will be the only way forward, certainly the quickest and easiest path to stop the killing of human lives. And I'm glad to hear Bremmer feels that way too, after almost two years of hearing him unleashing anti - Russian propaganda that has brought us nowhere.

[@Matanumi]

Like he said, America, UK, Europe and Ukraine themselves won't take a defeat as an answer. Unacceptable (yet here we are)

[@reginafefifofina]

Everyone is getting refugees - the way Oprah gives cars - you get refugees m and you get refugees- everyone gets refugees…. One planet system?

[@laldadlaney4722]

Ian has ZERO INSUGHT IN THE POLITICAL SITUATION IN INDIA! Please remember this talk in Jun 2024 on his world view!

[@thedarrrklllord]

I wud say he is pretty bang on target ...

[@janisjesu3202]

Where does Australia stand?

[@lktruong]

In the back and behind South Korea with their Samsungs, Hyundais, Kpops and Kdrama...

[@toi_techno]

Inequality is at root of this instability The democratic West needs to be built on a foundation of citizens who feel they are getting the their far share If this is in place a more stable world can be built on it

[@tekannon7803]

Excellent, top-notch, riveting speech that goes beyond the usual geo-political rhetoric by never forgetting the ordinary person in all that's going on in a world where nothing will surprise us anymore: tsunamis, wars, environment disasters, draughts, civil wars, religious wars; you name it and we've already been there done that. Ian, excuse me to criticize you when I could not even imagine doing what you do. But here goes: you are a center-stage personality and a global icon, but you should stay away from bringing the spotlight on you personally. Stay the way you come off best: pointing things out. You must not bring yourself into the picture, Ian. What do I mean by that? You said Henry the 'K' was around one hundred years-"and if you're lucky---or something like that---I will be here for another 50 years, too. So get ready for a lot more of seeing me, me, me------" etc. Do you see the mirage in what I am saying? This is where you go into overdrive and forget that you are most appreciated by not throwing in hypothetical statements about 'Ian Bremmer'. It is overkill; you want to not reference yourself at all or try to be funny at any time in a speech. Why do I say this? Because you are already someone of renown and it looks like you are patting yourself on the back i.e., "me, myself and I."

[@Matanumi]

both gzero and Eurasia can only do so much Western leaders MAY listen to him but most others don't give a shit- they'll do what they want

[@TheVeteransRabbi]

You need to dig deeper then Oct 7 th. My father's side of the family has been here since 1492. And the land isn't owned legally by the Palestinians unless it was written in the ottoman Turks property books called the TABU. Go deeper down the rabbit hole.

[@A-gor]

So you don't want Trump 😅 he's coming, though.

[@crxspybacon123]

what a great guy

[@GlobalDrifter1000]

Strange chap.

[@billandpech]

What authority Dictates that the palestinians have a legal right to parts of Israel other than this really governmand how long has that authority existed?

[@robertblandford]

So the question is... "Lets build a wall" or "Lets build a road" I am pretty sure a road (north south of the americas) is gonna win the silk road / tunnel to the med competition. Only problem is America is not yet in the game!

[@billturner6564]

On the positive side Ukraine sank the Russians black see fleet and grain. Exports have recovered to pree war levels 😂 Russia spent the Very Last of its USD and Euro in December and has 300 tons of gold left

[@Gordian1095]

Using "productive" and "biden" in the same sentence is grammatically incorrect.

[@jeffreynarwold8544]

It seems to me that everyone that wants to give Ukrainian land to Russia fails to remember Chamberlain and Hitler. Do we really need to repeat history?

[@paulzx5034]

Hi from Russia. Look... Germany was a confined state with limited resources. And you need Russians to beat Hitler. You also need Russians to help you with Japan. In no way declining West, mired in all sorts of crisises could beat the largest country in the world. Our resources are nearly unlimited and our friends are numerous.

[@Matanumi]

​@@paulzx5034I'm not so sure about that. Does the last underestimate your resources? sure But I believe some Russians overestimate theirs

[@reginafefifofina]

0:00 and Wagner is security in Africa holding back Iran? I don’t know what that’s about - yet. The coups. Maybe I should give a it a try, I got a passport 😂. Purpose of your visit?

[@user-sl1ms2og6g]

Yes, transfer the supply chain from China to other countries can be solved more the question of climate change

[@kshen7485]

India seems not fall into western trap, except using them.

[@chickenfishhybrid44]

Yes, they dont fall into the trap of modern sewers, theyre a western trap. Stick with the open type.

[@davidsimpson2923]

Or is it the war about to kick off in Guyana? Sheesh. Run across this guy for the first time. Engaging speaker

[@reginafefifofina]

20:28 what I thought happened was for example: China put in all the African infrastructure promising jobs with financing they wouldn’t ever be able to pay back (like payday loans). The jobs were all low paying and management jobs went to Chinese nationals. Financial markets/government banks counted the African debt liability as revenue to finance the ugly condos they pre sold but didn’t complete- causing bank runs, protests and some homelessness. If that’s not greedy I don’t know what is.

[@antihypocrisy8978]

1) Would infrastructure be built without China's involvement? Without infrastructure, how can African nations develop its industries? 2) If African nations have experience in building infrastructure, they would not need Chinese involvement. So, where can we find local managers for a sudden burst of projects? 3) I don't think you understand how banks work. Banks fund loans with liabilities like deposits, not other loans. 4) If you cite homelessness as an issue in China, then I'm sure you haven't even set foot in the country in the last decade. 5) If you want to cite greed, perhaps you should look at how the West has treated African nations and their natural resources in the past few centuries.

[@haroldflashman4687]

China has built more infrastructure in Africa and the Global South in less than 10 years, than the western colonial powers have in over 60 years.

[@joem0088]

As if IB is the president of the world 😂😢😅😢😂

[@joshuapaul2022]

The situation on the front is catastrophic (this fact was admitted even by BBC in an article: "Ukraine war: Soldier tells BBC of front-line 'hell'".) Well, it's a quote from The Time article. Zelenskyy top advisers say about him: “He deludes himself,” one of his closest aides tells me in frustration. “We’re out of options. We’re not winning. But try telling him that. It is immovable, verging on the messianic.” One Austrian artist was in a similar state in 1945. Zelenskyy "achievements" to date: 500,000 Ukrainians are dead, 3x that mangled and crippled for life, half of Ukraine's population is living as refugees scattered all over Europe and Russia right now, they're drafting women because they've run out of men to kidnap off the streets. Zelenskyy and his minions should be brought to justice in Nuremberg 2.0. It would be a fresh lesson of accountability for all future war criminals around the world.

[@Catch22699]

I can’t believe Ian speaks with such assurance after he’s been wrong on so many primary issues… most recently, the libertarian Argentinian president. Ian’s river of rot coming out of his mouth is hard to believe acting as if he read a book about the countries economics and presidential powers. The guys ego just cannot be contained to what he knows about stay in your lane Ian.

[@jojoeverycat7726]

As always Ian got every thing upside down because of either lack on the ground information or poor intepretation, well-known geopolitical experts are all worrying how serious economic and political problems the US of A has. Its capability to continue printing money and its stupidity in international understanding are key to its weakness and loss of credibility everywhere. Its corrupted internal politics make even worst for US of A to comprehend the basic of how the world politics are working. In addition, China will eventually manage their economy hicup as all the realist, economic professors are pointed out. Set up housing facility and reguratory will clean all the mess of their early day capitalism experiments. The mainstrean medias just play their book with Biden administration to contain China.

[@peterkappelmann3861]

FINELY an AMERICAN that knows what he is talking about @

[@kshen7485]

Japanese problem in 1990s is because it has been the colony of USA since WWII, nowadays China is not.

[@alburj1]

India is going to matter more n more in the long term. Period.

[@ambarishupadhyay921]

Indiaaaaaaaaa India!!! ❤❤❤❤❤

[@user-gy2nw7ky5z]

Bremmer is an idiot.

[@rgomoffat]

NATO must expand.

[@andrewnagel6322]

Ian is on putlers pay roll, enough said.

[@ewilson0223]

You mean Xi's payroll*

[@karleaves1728]

Such a slight of hand to focus on only a handful of years to focus on the "Israeli/Palestinian". Particularly as the crucial argument that the Palestinians make is that they were evicted from their own land. If he'd gone back a decade or two, he would have had to contend with the fact that none of Israel's Arab neighbours have ever supported the "refugees" in Gaza and the West Bank. That's because Arabs don't recognise the Palestinians as Arabic. If he'd gone back a century, he'd have had to contend with the fact that "Palestine" was inhabited with less than or around 1 million people. It was an empty barren wasteland. He would have had to contend with the U.N. resolution creating the Israeli state. Contend with the fact Israel invited actively Arabic residents to become Israeli citizens. Contend with the fact that Israel has since 1948 offered significant territory for a Palestinian State and that they have refused entirely. Anyone arguing all Israel needs to do is offer the Palestinians a state is completely clueless. If he'd gone back millennia, he'd have had to contend with the historic claims of the Jewish People to the ancient Kingdoms of Judea and Samaria. But, no. He makes ridiculous arguments based on a microscopic view of history. To remind folk: When you refuse to understand history you are likely to repeat it. This guy seriously needs to be ignored. His views on China are seriously infantile. He reiterates comments that far more nuanced observers have been making for years. He doesn't look at the underlying problems with China that have been seriously existent since the Han Dynasty in circa 205 B.C. He spends a good 10 minutes discussing China's economic issues through a narrow prism of Western economic thinking. Chinese leaders have never thought in such terms. They think in terms of generations. The blip in Chinese economic growth was entirely due to Western economic investment in a developing country with low labour costs. Those days are over. Just as they ended for the Azores for after the 16tth century when the West Indies were discovered by Europeans. Just as the West Indies in the 18th and 19th century ended after the end of slavery (and cheap labour). Just as the South of the U.S. has become an economic backwater following the Civil War. Just as Japan has suffered several decades of static growth after the emergence of the other Asian Tigers. Seriously. This guy. Just don't bother. I tried, but his knowledge is so shallow, and his assessments and insight is almost negligent.

[@seanhealy4873]

Jeeeez lad his talk is about what might happen in the next couple/few years and you're banging on about what happened centuries ago, and you say he should be ignored???

[@karleaves1728]

@@seanhealy4873 Yeah, I do. This is a long standing conflict. The only people who focus on a handful of years are those who refuse to debate or accept the history of the middle east. I couldn't care if he disputed the impact of the Sykes-Picot agreement, or if he disputed the shared historical remembrance of the three Abrahamic religions as recorded in their respective holy texts. I'd even listen to him if he started talking about the murky past of 1948 and what or what did not happen. Yet he starts his analysis without any semblance of context. It is kind of like suggesting that you should only observe China's behaviour through the prism of Xi Jinping's premiership. When any moderately serious scholar understands you need to go back centuries to understand Chinese culture and their attitudes so as to understand current events. At it's best, he is displaying pure ignorance. At it's worst it is deliberate sophistry designed to make a political point rather than add to a meaningful debate.

[@seanhealy4873]

@karleaves1728 again I will say his talk is about what might happen in the next few years, he can't be expected to flesh out the long history or every region in a 1hr talk. And if you seriously think his views should be ignored then I can only imagine how many other commentators you may put in that category

[@karleaves1728]

@@seanhealy4873 And I reiterate, you can't engage on a topic like this without a broader context. As soon as he says he's limiting his remarks to the most recent period, he's lost the room. Let's make judgements on the U.S. based solely on the Trumpian years. Let's focus on Europe without considering WW2. To deliberately evade the context, it's either a) idiotic, or b) deliberately misleading. Either way, he doesn't deserve being listened to. You can take your pick of a) or b).

[@karleaves1728]

​@@seanhealy4873 You'd be right. I will put a lot of other commentators in that category. Did you ever learn about the holocaust? Do you understand the diaspora? Do you understand what happened after the U.N. (for god's sake, one of the few times I will call that as an authority) partitioned Trans-Jordan to create three separate states, including a tiny state for those Jews who hadn't been gassed, shot or murdered in Europe... And the response? Six Arabic States invade on the first day of the declaration of the state. Even though the nascent Israeli state extended a hand of friendship, of citizenship and of peace to any and all non-Jews living in the new borders (noting that today there are a number of Arab-Israeli's in the Knesset.) The state of Israel, the U.N. and the international community have repeatedly offered the creation of a "Palestinian state". The only people who never agree are the Palestinians. To quote Yasser Arafat "I don't want to be the Mayor of Jericho". Meanwhile, the state of Israel and its leaders have been positive actors in any and all peace talks that have happened. My point remains. If you have no idea of history - which you seem to be promoting in this case - then you have absolutely no chance to make things better. To quote Einstein: "Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results." So I am actually being generous in this context. One of two cases are the fact. Bremmer is either insane or a bad actor. Either way, he ought to be discarded and ignored.

[@GlobalDrifter1000]

Too much mincing about.

[@reginafefifofina]

31:47 trump maga white Christian nationalist- help where you can 🙏🏽 please

[@reginafefifofina]

26:57 have you heard about trump’s professional camps for everyone he doesn’t like 😱

[@delatroy]

Biased

[@simonfarrugia26]

It's funny, you could have said the same thing about Russia 2 years ago: Russia is risk averse except its red line, Ukraine Nato accession.

[@user-ru4iq3ss9m]

Ukraine should immediately surrender to Russia unconditionally

[@gene4094]

That’s what the dictatorships around the world would love.

[@user-ru4iq3ss9m]

@@gene4094 it’s going to happen

[@rgomoffat]

No.

[@danielstarnes7354]

That's what your Mom would do

[@hyuxion]

all he talked about are symptoms, the global world order is dysfunctional, it no longer works for everyone. The hegemony US with 25% of global economy controls much of the International institute and media and strategic military choke point, is no longer sustainable. Take an example, UK, a close US ally, is too weak to be permanent member for UNSC, so UK can not contribute to the world peace and prosperity. The global South is much more stronger, and demands more say on the world affairs.. India should take UK's role in UNSC, IMF and world bank needs to reform, US needs to retreat its military from Russia, India and China door step, There is a lot of risk for a global conflict or war, if US does not want to cooperate with emerging powers,