Oscar Predictions 2025 | Mid-Year Report!

Now that we've hit the midpoint of 2024, what films released so far this year do I think will be nominated at the 97th Academy Awards? Here are five you can count on! #oscars2024 #academyawards #oscars #oscarpredictions #duneparttwo #theawardscontender
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[@rhythmoriented]

I know people are downplaying Jesse Plemons because Cannes acting winners don’t often get as strong Oscar consideration as other winners, but he was damn good in Kinds of Kindness.

[@rehnumachowdhury3629]

Kinds of kindness has gotten meh critics and audience scores, that really hurts his chances

[@chamindujanith6337]

@@rehnumachowdhury3629 He should get a nomination for Civil War

[@chamindujanith6337]

It would be ridiculous if Civil War doesn't get a best sound nomination

[@patrickfloresenciso526]

Or Best Film Editing.

[@spiderguy418]

Agreed. Say what you will about the movie as a whole - its sound design was EXCELLENT.

[@friendlypup5650]

It doesn’t really deserve anything other than sound

[@13Jeepjumper]

Yes, I was blown away with how good the sound was in this! I'm a HT guy and this is demo material!

[@HeartbeatCN]

You know we only need 4 more films to have great sound editing and the right hype to beat over Civil War?

[@alpe1987]

I think this year doesn’t have the kick that 2023 had. But you never know

[@Wineoclockbookworm]

I'm hoping for Civil War to be an Oscar contender. That movie really stuck with me long after seeing it.

[@10TabletP]

Can we please also talk about Lupita Nyong'o (and even also potentially Joseph Quinn) for A Quiet Place Day One???????

[@chelmrtz]

Yes! An incredible film with amazing performances. Also we need a best animal performance category for Frodo lol

[@10TabletP]

Yessss!!! I mean you almost forget at times that it's supposed to be a "scary" movie. The way their tears just rolled during the scenes. They brought you in with them as their friendship developed in the brief time...tugged at my heart when they exchanged sweaters 😢

[@Scottalexandervanwell]

It's a horror film it's a good one but no way that's going to happen that's not under the radar

[@10TabletP]

Hmmm don't be too sure... Sixth Sense, Misery, Silence of the Lambs, Get Out

[@elpendejo3490]

Great film but is not happening. Maybe can get a sound nomination at best

[@nickholland24]

I would say Rebecca Ferguson if any acting noms for Dune 2 ❤

[@stephaniemoore9122]

I agree w/Rebecca but I would add Chalamet they were excellent & they had the most scenes

[@justinmaelzer6362]

I dunno… she was better in Dune 1, mostly due to the script giving her more to do, and snubbed.

[@CATDHD]

not a chance. the only actor worthy of awards is Xavier Bardem, but he won't get a nomination. Villenueve set is not for actors, and any of them got enough material to work. Xavier squeezed everything from the splattering of stuff in the script, but it is still not enough. Ferguson was annoying sometimes though.

[@darrensmith4932]

I’m hoping this is Saoirse and Samuel L Jackson’s year to win at last

[@deusexmachina9776]

Saoirse's roles are way too similar to each other - girl discovering herself and the world, young adult. This film screams Lady Bird 10 years later. there is always going to be a bold actress with a daring performance to take the title from her. she needs to get out of her shell.

[@SoulKnightKing]

Put in Willem DaFoe too!

[@darrensmith4932]

@@SoulKnightKing good shout

[@Matolcsibenedek]

Samuel L jackson for what?

[@darrensmith4932]

@@Matolcsibenedek The Piano Lesson a film adaptation of a broadway play he was in

[@insert_name_here123]

I do think Villeneuve will get into Director because the category feels kinda empty to me. Like I think Sean Baker and Steve McQueen will get in, but people like Todd Phillips, Edward Berger, Mohammad Rasoulof, and Luca Guadagnino are unsure they’re not locks so I think Villeneuve honestly is a shoe in

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

I don't understand why so many people thought Austin Butler had a chance to be nominated for Dune pt 2. He's fine, but it's not a particularly substantial role either in terms of screentime or in terms of characterization and complexity. It's no Chris Hemsworth as Dementus in Furiosa. In fact, I thought the Harkonens were the weakest part of the movie as the most stereotypical villains possible. If anyone deserves an acting nomination for Dune pt 2, it's Rebecca Ferguson and Timothee Chalamet,

[@PleasedTown]

I want a Rebecca Ferguson nom really bad, but I highly doubt it will happen

[@deusexmachina9776]

Butler transformed himself, on screen he didn't blink, changed his voice to match Skarsgard's, his walk, being joyful in battles no one else in that film put so much artistic thought and transform themselves

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

@@PleasedTown Dune probably won't get any acting nominations. I'm just saying, it it did, she would make a lot more sense than Butler.

[@PleasedTown]

@@FrakkinToasterLuvva i totally agree with you. i want Rebecca Ferguson to get a nom for Dune, and i am baffled as to why everyone is pushing for Austin Butler. I wish the conversation was centered on her instead since she deserves it more imo

[@stephaniemoore9122]

I completely agree I’ve been saying without them there would be no Dune 2. I think they like Austin bc he’s new & shiny They’ve seen Chalamet & Rebecca but they carried both movie & deserve a nomination Chalamet is Dune. I loved his performance

[@patrarus6097]

Thanks so much, Brian, for another excellent video. I'm an old-school fan of yours. My favorite tennis movie was a very underrated "McEnroe Vs. Borg" which came out a few years ago. "Challengers" did not impress me all that much. Perhaps June Squibb will get an Oscar nom for her leading role in "Thelma." I dare you to make a video about that senior-citizen scam dramedy.

[@MikeMJPMUNCH]

I hoping for some nomination for Love Lies Bleeding possible in editing, screenplay and acting

[@vins1979]

And cinematography!

[@cdricgay]

i think "CHALLENGERS" is more a movie for Critic Choice awards or golden Globes, but i'm not sure for the Oscars...🤔🤔🤔🤔

[@stephaniemoore9122]

It’s not going to make it sound maybe especially since Luca has Queer

[@alexanderminchin6094]

When referring to possible nominations for a big film like Dune: Part Two or any other film competing in the filmmaking categories like Cinematography, Sound, Editing, etc… Please just say craft and technical categories. Yes, some aspects of filmmaking are more technical than others, but there’s always a sense of craftsmanship and artistic value that are at the core center that is important never to underestimate.

[@h0pelessdreamerfilms]

I love that you gave a case for Challengers. It’s also my favorite movie of the year so far, and I know it won’t happen but I’d LOVE to see acting nominations for the whole trio, I think they’re all phenomenal! But being realistic, I do think it could get some below the line categories. Great video!!!

[@JMHughes573]

I'm all in for SING SING!

[@NathanielAhart]

Hey Brian! Really enjoyed the video and discussion as always, but I honestly don’t think the early-in-the year argument is quite as valid anymore, especially for Denis Villeneuve. I understand he was inexplicably absent from Director for the first Dune, but this is some Lawrence of Arabia-level quality of filmmaking, and I truly don’t see how they could ignore him this time around. Plus, movies with massive cultural impact like Get Out and Everything Everywhere All at Once have gone onto win major categories, so I think that could be the case with Dune: Part Two in Best Director…

[@jskuddy]

I hope that Margaret Qualley gets some recognition for how great she is in Kinds of Kindness.

[@williamsummerson1204]

I hope A Quiet Place, Day One gets a few Oscar nominations. I absolutely love the movie and performances,especially Lupita.🥰

[@diegoleonelreyes]

Best actress please

[@williamsummerson1204]

I said her performance was great,I didn't say anything about her getting an Oscar nomination, the movie might get a few nominations, like best horror, special effects. So relax.

[@mikedelong1207]

I love Javier Bardem for supporting actor. I love his performance.

[@dahomey2001]

Where's Emilia Perez?

[@sebastiano728]

Eh, Challengers' editing was what I didn't like about it. So many unjustified time jumps that made the movie feel even longer than it was. I also thought Zendaya was good in the flashbacks, but absolutely clichéd and unconvincing as the dissatisfied housewife. So no, I don't expect any nominations outside of maybeee screenplay (the score was cool, but it was often just the same track being played again and again, so can't see that happening either).

[@stephaniemoore9122]

Agree

[@justinmaelzer6362]

The academy clearly love Reznor / Ross, but they’ve already won twice which perhaps counts against them?

[@sebastiano728]

@@justinmaelzer6362 I think that wouldn't bother the Academy for a nomination, might affect whether they win. But again, I think what's working against them is how short the score for that movie actually is. And an electronic dance score is not something I think will appeal to the stuffy voters, but I might be wrong!

[@healthiqmedicalconsultancy]

I SAW THE TV GLOW for Screenplay and Editing

[@reniasva]

The ocars next year have more categories and I think Furiosa will certainly get a nomination for the stunt people.

[@G10-n7f]

Thelma is in limited release so not a lot of people have heard of it let alone have seen it but for the ones that have they’ve said it’s a great movie so I can see a surprise nomination for Thelma and June Squibb.

[@Dalzybabe80]

Just looking at the trailer….June Squibb looks great in that movie! I think she should get some recognition for it. I definitely want to watch it!

[@corycap]

Imma be cheering for kinds of kindness and furiosa in anything they get nominated for

[@sheilacrosby4894]

Love the channel did you film classes

[@JBerryGoBlue]

Hemsworth deserves a best supporting actor nom-his performance in Furiosa was gripping.

[@Scottalexandervanwell]

June Squibb for Thelma please

[@austinrodriguez4272]

Love your videos

[@sunnybear178]

I’m still rooting for Monkey Paw to push Monkey Man because it made its money back, it had such a big buzz and the film is not bad at all. Dev Patel did so good in his directorial debut. I want it to get at least some nominations.

[@skeletalknight]

It's definitely a long shot but I think I SAW THE TV GLOW should get a Best Original Screenplay nomination. Maybe a music nod too.

[@stephaniemoore9122]

I listened to your predictions * Challengers won’t make it was an entertaining movie. But A Best movie no Zendaya was good but not great Luca has Queer that’s where he will be noticed ** Dune 2 Amazing movie they have really captured the book personally the only negative was Chani’s character too combative too undermining against Paul she was supposed to be in Love that’s my only criticism I think Vilenuve should win Chalamet carried both movies should be notice Dune 2 he really took u thru his experience some of his scenes were spot on perfectly done Rebecca Ferguson also helped carry the movie Ferguson & Chalamet are Dune

[@qcrew2938]

DUNE Part 2 is the frontrunner for Best Picture if the year ended today

[@Scottalexandervanwell]

When in the hell has a action adventure sci-fi film ever won best picture well never look at Avatar look at avatar The Way of the water look and Star Wars none of those ever won nominated but never won

[@qcrew2938]

@@Scottalexandervanwell Return of the King won.... Sci-Fi/fantasy has to completely blow every other movie out of the water to have a chance. I think Dune Part 2 does that

[@marlowemichaelson1366]

@@ScottalexandervanwellMad Max is a sci-fi action adventure and it won 🤷

[@Scottalexandervanwell]

@@marlowemichaelson1366 Mad Max Fury Road did not win best picture it was nominated but it didn't win

[@marlowemichaelson1366]

@@Scottalexandervanwell oh you’re right. Sigh, a Sci Fi film will never win. Just like horror films. It sucks tbh

[@doncasto8520]

I hate that the obvious movies like Kinds of Kindness because some of those people have been nominated before get in. I would love to see some good movies like LaRoy, Texas; Last Stop In Yuma County, and even Thelma get some Oscar love. But you're right, there hasn't been a lot going on in the theaters lately.

[@vins1979]

Don't you think that Kinds of Kindness is an excellent movie??

[@doncasto8520]

@@vins1979 I can't say because it's only in two theaters in the next town and not convenient to me. It only has a 71% score on Rotten Tomatoes so I'll probably wait for streaming. My point being it's getting all this buzz on star power when there are some real good indie movies out there that might be better.

[@vins1979]

@@doncasto8520 "only 71%"... since when is 71% a low grade? Beside, this IS an indie movie. It was made with only 15 millions (just to compare: Poor Things costed more than the double), which means that all the 'big stars' did not get a big paycheck and they just wanted to work on a small, indie, and experimental movie from one of the major directors of this time. I recommend to go to watch it at the theatre, because the movie industry NEEDS this kind of movies. If movies like this flop, then less movies like this will be made, which means that there will be less money for the "real good" indie movies out there (assuming that Kinds of Kindness is not "a really good indie movie").

[@PLOTTHICC]

How’s Inside Out 2 a shoo-in (or Moana 2 competitive) or Dune 2, for that matter, when Oscar voters dont like voting for sequels🤔 ATSV lost last yr for that reason

[@savvastoynoysidis360]

Yeah, inside out two was pretty good for mainstream animated film so far but I would rather have lotr: war of ruhim,wild robot,wallace, lonney tunes and gromit or any foreign speaking animated film to win instead

[@huggyjose]

Nothing about The Room Next Door?

[@Jojolmm]

In a just world, my so far number one favorite movie of the year I saw the tv glow would get summin, but even if it’s one of the best things I’ve seen in decades, I don’t think it’ll get recognized

[@thomashavard-morgan8181]

I was gutted with the push back for the Bike Riders as I thought it was Jodie's first real shot at that Oscar nomination, and now hearing Cynthia Erivo has been cast instead of her in Prima Facie, I'm like when will it happen for her.

[@klaus472]

I dont think bikeriders would get anything but Tom Hardy really stood out in that movie and it would be cool if he got a surprise nomination or just got in at some precursors

[@JuanJose-vb8dy]

Furiosa getting a Visual Effects nom, with such horrible green screens, would be so funny

[@xoxo20000]

The film definitely looked more "shiny" than Fury Road. Didn't capture the same magic either

[@robertpresto1205]

Do you think that Jessica Lange has a chance for" The Great Lillian Hall"? She was amazing but the movie came out early and with little fanfare.

[@chrishowson3243]

Its been submitted for the Emmys as a TV movie so it will 100% not be appearing at the Oscars

[@belloutdoors5217]

Sleepin on kinds of kindness

[@kayla_eevee]

I loved Kinds of Kindness. Not as much as Poor Things but I still thought it was an incredible, fascinating experience. I absolutely understand why some people might hate it, though. It wouldn't surprise me at all if it got little to no awards attention. In my opinion, marketing it as a comedy was a massive mistake. That thing is 100% a horror movie. Every scene, every line of dialogue, every single shot is exquisitely crafted to make the audience uncomfortable. It was by far the most emotionally exhausting experience I've had watching a movie in a long time and although I thought it was worth it, it's completely understandable if it's just not somebody else's thing.

[@ДарьяФирсова-л5к]

You don't see Chris getting something for Furiosa?

[@sofiamorina5568]

Kate Winslet for LEE

[@Jamal3.87]

I loved Challengers, except the ending. The writing, directing, editing, and acting is first rate. But I think the screenplay is looking like it’s only shot as of now.

[@vins1979]

Come on! Editing and soundtrack are amazing!

[@Dalzybabe80]

There’s a best actress buzz about Amy Adams in Nightbitch! This might be her Oscar win! Let’s watch this space……

[@deusexmachina9776]

Challengers is not making it to the Oscars for best picture, the release date screamed the studio didn't have enough faith in it. Pass Lives I didn't watch it but having a female director and Asian cast is such a selling factor these days.

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

It's such a selling factor that the majority of directors are still white men and the majority of actors nominated are white, and Past Lives ended up not getting a director or acting nomination. And no one cared, but instead whined all over the Internet about Barbie not getting those same nominations. Past Lives' selling factor is that it's a great film.

[@deusexmachina9776]

@@FrakkinToasterLuvva America is majority white so yes actors nominated reflect that - also directing is a very complex job that women tend not to chose. it required being in charge which is a masculine trait - women tend to be agreeable. yeah Barbie rode that whole female director feminist wave to the bank - Everything Everywhere All At one had actors mention being Asian American at very speech, lets not act like the Hollywood climate isn't what it is

[@Sharpe1502]

I disagree. It has legs. I won’t be surprised if it gets in for score and original screenplay.

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

@@deusexmachina9776 Wow, you really went full sexist in that comment.

[@tbam73]

It will get score and screenplay definitely. Z for best actress is a possibility. The release date has nothing to do with faith. It probably wasn't ready for release to be considered for 2023 nominations. And waiting until after September this year to release it is ridiculous

[@Grand_Master12312]

I hope that beetljuice beetljuice gets an oscar for score

[@jenniferboht961]

There is buzz about We Live in Time?

[@VolkannCaglayann]

15:44 The Civil War movie is guaranteed at least one nomination at the Oscars. Absolutely it will be "Sound".

[@chelmrtz]

I would love for Lupita N’yongo to get in for A Quiet Place. She is magnificent as usual in that film

[@rehnumachowdhury3629]

I can see it being a sag nomination, and maybe that might help her.

[@Grand_Master12312]

I hope that deafpool and wolverine gets visual effects oscar win along nominations: Along visuals Best director, picture, screenplay, costumes, makeup, sound, production design, cimenatography, score, film editing

[@diegoleonelreyes]

This is the stupidest comment I’ve ever seen

[@kevzsabz8253]

I'm only interested in the Best Animated Feature category. Period. There will be a lot of submissions of that category until the end of the year. 😁😁👌👌

[@savvastoynoysidis360]

I hope wild robot woman, inside out two is good but dreamworls hasnt won since Curse of the were rabbit

[@LelekPLN]

So far, I'm not sure who the Awards favorites will be - for now it looks like maybe Dune 2 and The Challenegers and later maybe Joker 2, Anora, A Real Pain, Nosferatu or Here. It would be cool if Nosferatu or MaXXXine get some recognition. From movies without a release date I could see The Apprentice, Blitz, Emilia Perez, Polaris, Grand Tour or The Seed of the Sacred Fig have a chance. With the Hollywood strikes postponing a lot of movies to 2025, I would expect a lot of foreign films in the running this year.

[@heatherparisi8250]

looking at the list of 2024 animated films and there is a wallace & gromit film coming out and then the lord of the rings animated film so possibly those two will compete with inside out 2

[@savvastoynoysidis360]

Also the wild robot ,memoir of snake,flow, piece by piece and looney tunes : new film

[@Grand_Master12312]

I hope chris hemsforth gets an oscar nomination

[@MikeMJPMUNCH]

I thought he should have been nominated for Bad Times at the El Royale

[@Grand_Master12312]

@@MikeMJPMUNCH maybe. So should benedict cumberbach for smaug and the cuorier

[@kathyt8374]

I just saw Ghostlight and thought Keith Kupferer gave an Oscar-worthy performance.

[@jenniferboht961]

Do you think they will start a popcorn bucket category?

[@teamrainbow7674]

It would be criminal if Denis didn’t get a director nom, there’s not gonna be a bigger directorial achievement this year

[@oswaldosoto5185]

Challengers was one of the worst movies I’ve seen lately, bored to death and I love tennis

[@meridianhailu77]

😒

[@douggordy]

Don't get all the love for Dune - yes, I think it will do well (again!) in the tech categories, but can't imagine it actually winning for Pic, Director or in ANY acting categories ... like the first, I found it slightly ludicrous and at times boring... when you have to have an explosion every 5 minutes, your storytelling is deficient. And here's my question: Arrakis is a desert planet with very limited water, NO vegetation and the only animals are those huge sandworms and tiny mouses - so what do these people EAT?!!! :-O!

[@chrishowson3243]

THANK YOU! I don’t get all the Dune love. I know its source material is old but are we really still stanning the White Savior trope in 2024????

[@kpsk8031]

Dune 2 is easily my biggest disappointment of the year. I was told it was a 9/10 and I got a 6/10 movie. Loved the first one.

[@stephaniemoore9122]

The sets r amazing the language amazing the plot of the movie Is so timely its very layered & suspenseful

[@maazahmed506]

@@chrishowson3243 You don't get all the Dune love because you don't get Dune. If you think Dune is a white savior story, you literally missed the entire point of the story.

[@chrishowson3243]

@@maazahmed506 let’s see indigenous people in grave peril ✅ White boy comes to oppress, but then is forced to live amongst the people ✅ White boys falls in love with pretty lady who shows him the ways of the people ✅ White boy proves he is the prophet by riding the giant worm!!! (Which every other person of this culture can do, but he’s white so it’s amazing and means he is destined to be their leader! ✅ White boy uses his inside knowledge of the colonizers to tip the scale on the rebellion and win the freedom of his new people ✅ Ma’am that is literally the archetype of a white savior troupe 🙄

[@geekTroperaku]

I'll be shocked if Furiosa gets a nomination for visual effects, that was some Ep ii level of bad green screen.

[@johnrushing3537]

Hoping maybe a surprise Oscar nom for Chris Hemsworth in furiosa

[@mastadon]

this video could have been 5 minutes.

[@savvastoynoysidis360]

Why does everyone hates dune 2 in the comments

[@bliss66]

Stop trying to make Challengers happen, Brian. lol

[@singstreetcar5881]

Inside out 2 may be a screenplay nomination. This movie has made a billion dollars

[@jembartlett]

Completely disagree that Dune 2 was better than part one. It was worse in every way.

[@deusexmachina9776]

LOL Inside Out is winning best animation- the first not horrible Pixar film and Disney just pays for that award anyways so

[@ΓΕΏΡΓΙΟΣ-ι8ν]

I mean we are still in the middle of the year, who know maybe could either wild robot or lotr became kind of like spiderveverse but who knows

[@CATDHD]

Who cares about Bikeriders? Hoping for Furiosa to get some recognition. It didn't deserve to bomb.

[@marrmart7690]

ا I am waiting For Anglina jolle maria callas The opra singer pipic. And Jissica lange In long days journy Becase she make it perfect in the theatre. And Cate winslet In lee They release the film trailer Will be in 10 And Emmy adams Come back Iam waiting to Sing sing Colman domingo Come back again after last oscar namnation And i wait A piano lesson Samele jacson And danyeal deadwiler Come back after till And i want to watch His three daughters I think Challanger Will be same All of us strangers And Sultburn Last year and dont get any award I think zack efron film Make wrong when he dont release his last film in this time Thank you brian💜💛💜 For mid year report We wait augast report

[@PicklesRTasty]

Civil War better get sound

[@Ziggy-hy4fn]

Civil War will be nominated for Best Picture. That is all.

[@DJarvis1987]

❤❤❤

[@Dim4323]

Dune part 2 Shattared people expectations LONG LIVE THE FIGHTERS!

[@strictly_sports32]

Will Jesse Plemons ever win an Oscar? This is his year!

[@geldiprimes8797]

Against all odds holding out for a Best Actress nom for Kirsten Dunst 🤞

[@eml132]

Can't feel the love for Dune Part Two as it was not as strong as the first part.

[@anthonydupre8895]

Way better reviews and better box office. If anything it is stronger than the first film. Come on now

[@samgreen1241]

i am manifesting zendaya an oscar nomination for best actress this year

[@singstreetcar5881]

Not happening Maybe a globe glove nomination

[@MegaAtomium]

Dune II... so biring.

[@vins1979]

I totally agree: boring epic for grown children

[@savvastoynoysidis360]

Not only I disagree but you also mistyped

[@vins1979]

@@savvastoynoysidis360 dude, commenting on others' typos! seriously, are we in 2009?

[@DevaNeeramanii]

It will be absolutely criminal if Zendaya doesn't get a Best Actress nomination.

[@biggerock]

The Oscar's are totally irrelevant. The whole thing is nothing but Hollywood's annual self-congratulatory frenzy.

[@kevinlove6974]

So what's relevant in your opinion

[@qcrew2938]

Wow what an original take you got there

[@wxyz459]

Are you familiar with the concept of an award show?

[@pepperminttree]

this year has been so long i forgot dune 2 came out THIS year. my dream acting noms would be rebecca and austin

[@keeganthorpe]

So far Civil War is my favorite of the year.

[@AnitaLonski]

Hit Man should be nominated for pic & actor

[@singstreetcar5881]

Challengers is a golden globes movie. They love movie stars. Zendaya is a movie same with the 2 lead actors

[@joshhuntermovies]

Toy Story 4 > Inside out 2 though

[@MegaAtomium]

Dune II... so Boring!!!

[@jenm5178]

Civil war was rubbish couldn’t believe A24 gave the go for that

[@jenm5178]

Barbie shouldn’t have been considered tbh

[@tonyg76]

Dune Part 2 most overrated movie of 2024 so far. Kinds of Kindness should get 0 nominations, it was terrible. Inside Out 2 will get a nomination, but it is not win worthy in my opinion. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes was average, do not know about VFX though. Weak year for Oscar movies so far, but good movies like Godzilla x Kong, Argylle, Madame Web, Daddio, One Life, Young Woman & the Sea exist.