The Coming Megaquake in New Zealand

There is a 25% probability of a megaquake or megathrust earthquake occurring on New Zealand's Hikurangi Subduction Zone (Plate Boundary) in the next fifty years. This video is about the science research into the hazard.
Keen to massively BOOST YOUR SCIENCE COMMUNICATION IMPACT? More info here: courses.outthe...
Visiting schools to talk about your science? This is how to TURN INFORMATION INTO INSPIRATION! courses.outthe...
Interested in my activities, thoughts and ideas on science communication and education? Sign up for my NEWSLETTER:
julianthomson....

[@vaa7514]

Thank you for this very informative video. This should be on national television. God bless the people of Aotearoa/New Zealand.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for your appreciation

[@margretvomstern4664]

But now it's here !!!!!!!!!!

[@victoriajesusismysavior]

Look up H.A.A.R.P That is what's causing all the earthquakes and tsunamis.

[@jagathfernando934]

Because I think most florida population are black

[@sallykemp1427]

Thank you!🥰😍

[@waikanaebeach]

For such a small community of geological researchers they produce impressive research and advancement of knowledge.

[@OutThereLearning]

I completely agree with that!

[@zealandia5668]

Because Zealandia has so much to offer.

[@i0x37]

@@zealandia5668 the fuck is zealandia mate, its new zealand

[@nickc5417]

@@i0x37 Zealandia is the continent New Zealand sits on top of, go back to sleep buddy......

Ha! Did they accurately predict anything?

[@pest_predator_nz]

As an Engineering Geologist living in NZ, I really enjoyed this. Thank you for sharing.

[@OutThereLearning]

That's great, thanks

[@nzbidzel]

This megaquake was taught to us kids at school in the 90s yet eff all done in the last 30s

[@VioletSkye19]

I really enjoyed this, it should be on our tv, not just on here… As a Kiwi who just lost their home to the January 2023 floods, this just made me realize more than ever, that in some areas, there’s just not somewhere where you can get to in time, & praying to whatever you happen to believe in, along with just trying to get safe, is the best you can do. I opened my front door around 7pm & all was fine, I opened it st 7.30pm & water was lapping at my front door, the entire carport, gardens & yard around the 6 unit grouping where I live, was essentially part of the Wairau River. The speed of that water rising was jaw dropping, but I live right on the river & all the water from the areas away & above from me, just came pouring down our driveway. I literally was close to swimming, it was up to my neck but I could just walk through it. I’m still stunned, even though I lived through it, took photos, videos, Its almost like a dream sequence rather than reality. After going through this, I’d recommend people to have ‘go bags’ with essential items, change of clothing, medication, basic personal documents etc etc as well as a list of things you can’t put aside, but want to grab quickly, as your not going to be thinking rationally. Oh yeah & have insurance, I had home, but no contents & I lost everything. So while my homes nearly ready for me to return to, I’ve had to borrow to get the inside stuff, & trust me when your looking at replacing the lot, you realize how much stuff you have! Hari Kirihimete (Merry Christmas) 🎄🥂🍾

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for taking the time to share your epic experience and advice. Appreciated. Hari Kirihimete to you too

[@MaryPoppins-tu1ms]

Дякую

[@trislaura]

I hope it doesn't happen soon. I just sent my families entire life savings to Ukraine so not sure I could survive this financially. I'm really not sure why I did send that money now, some kind of weird derangement syndrome, because here I am cheering on an ongoing occupation and what seems to be a genocide in the middle east! So complicated!

[@gdr55]

Interesting. Thanks for sharing. I am a survivor of the Christchurch 2010 - 2012 Earthquake sequences. It always annoys me when they never mention the Sept 4 7.1 2010 quake which was the first one of the sequence. I will never forget it.

[@Battleneter]

The CHCH event sequence highlighted to me its not the headline magnitude is all that matters, like a bomb its how close you are to it that "really" matters.

[@crayonarmy3964]

I actually did a project on that, It is really interesting info.

[@Munchkin71]

I had been in NZ 8 months when that hit.Scariest moment of my life

[@cabrianaearl5474]

Yes agreed!!!! The 7.1 was only a few km from my house. Much more terrifying than the 6.3 for me and my family, especially being in the middle of the night. I'm sure if one that size had hit the city it would have all been unfathomably worse (not to discount the profound impact of the 6.3 of course). And it's an important piece of the puzzle, as it likely triggered the rest.

[@pamiam9017]

Actually, there was one just before the 7.1, I think from memory it was a 5.7 or something (I could be wrong on that) but that was the first one of the sequence. The 7.1 was the one that did all the damage. Until Feb 22 came along and said "Hold my beer"

[@gdr55]

I have to say the response in Christchurch after the first Earthquake was out standing. I had moved out of my house because of the damage and no sewerage or water. And because I thought the whole roof of concrete tiles might cave in on me. They started giving out portable camping toilets to each home that had no sewerage and set up receiving tanks in the street so you could empty them. There were also Portaloos around the streets. The Red cross gave out money and distributed a bucket with essentials. When I look at whats happening in Florida in the “ Greatest Country on Earth” I see nothing for those poor people suffering after the hurricane. Nothing, and there are millions of RVs sitting in sales yards all over the country that could be taken there for people to live in while their houses are rebuilt. That whole area should be condemned in my opinion as unlivable just like the Red Zone in Christchurch where I lived. The US is a poor example of humanitarian effort for the so called Greatest Country on Earth.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for you comment about your experience!

[@jerryloufretz1797]

The reason for the Florida situation is the governor refused Federal aid. He believes it is each property owner's responsibility to take care of themselves without government help.

[@joesuijuris6498]

The ChCh earthquake was planned...even John Key admitted it was man-made...public seriously need to wake up to reality...weather manipulation and earthquakes use the same machine called H.A.A.R.P.

[@bonnieballew7762]

Oh, the u.s. is great helping everyone else, but they’re own citizens.

[@NoNameToYou]

You are not wrong

[@andreamatheson5760]

This is a great documentary, thank you! I'd be keen to find out more about the faults that run up through the area and out to sea on the south west coast of the North Island. I'm in Porirua and we seem to get a reasonable number of small earthquakes generated from that area. Thanks again for a really informative look at this region!

[@OutThereLearning]

Maybe this video will help? kzbin.info/www/bejne/jpfThqiCh8h4b80

[@andreamatheson5760]

@@OutThereLearning thank you so much will definitely check it out!

[@JZ-gr1tz]

I was reading last night thst it's travel all the Way to San Andres fault That once it hits Zeland Cal will need to basically run away.

[@andrewbeeching1240]

​@@JZ-gr1tznup. Those two spots are both on the Pacific Ring of Fire, and are on the same plate, but they don't share any common faults. As I understand it, there's no direct or immediate seismic link between NZ and California.

[@rob.e.t.9107]

Would just like to say I've learnt & understood more through OTL than when I attended school. Thanks team.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you!

[@tclanjtopsom4846]

I hate to think what you were doing at school.

[@Daniel-Davies-Gonstead-Student]

@@tclanjtopsom4846 What Rob said is not a testiment to what he was doing, it's a testiment to the brokenness of the school system.

[@andrewjones-productions]

As a 31 year Japan resident, the advice given at the end of this excellent programme is exactly as is given in Japan. The only tiny difference being that we don't have chimneys, but older homes have heavy clay tiles which pretty much equate to exactly the same dangers and their incredible weight are often the cause of a home or structure (temples etc) collapsing.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for your comment!

[@stunnedmulletblah9714]

We have chimneys but we're not allowed to use them. I kid you not

[@solidostso8500]

​@@stunnedmulletblah9714 not allowed to use them ?? What part of Nz do you live in

[@tuirose9202]

​@@solidostso8500 he was talking about chimneys in Japan

[@lynet1998]

@@stunnedmulletblah9714 What country do you live in?

[@garysmith3837]

Great education, our country owes these dedicated men and women researchers a large Thankyou for the work they do. Quietly working unseen mapping, understanding and preparing our people and Infrastructure for large events. Take my hat off to them with Thanks and respect.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for your appreciation on behalf of the team

[@portianikau6132]

O🙏❤️👨‍👩‍👧‍👧Our Heavenly Father has a plan for his Children from the beginning of time and we have been given the air that we Breath and as humane and our Beautiful animals 2 care 4 This beautiful Land and Country Language to cherish Kings and Rulers free to choose but also be accoutable Knowledge is power Technology Science and yes we are totally Greatful for our Prostegis Individuals who countlessly indevour to carry on studying and perservere to the end in HOPE FAITH CHARITY LOVE WORLD PEACE I 67 yr old mum and grandmother finish college in the 4th form had to go to find employment came from a Humble upbringing love my people Family My King country Land Religion and our Pets and the beautiful animals we are given to look after For we are all GODS Beautifuls Creation Great and small It has been PROPHISED in Ancient times and 2day PREPARE THE COMING OF THE LORD FAMILY JESUS LIVES AND LOVES US ALL FOR ALL ETERNITY AROHANUI GREETINGS FROM THE BEAUTIFUL LAND OF NEW ZEALAND TE IKA A MAUI KIRIKIRIROA WAIKATO TAINUI HALEILUA HOSANNA AMINE PAIMARIRE🙏🙏❤️👨‍👩‍👧‍👧🤣🫂🙏🙏🙏🤣

[@amacuro]

This video is absolutely gorgeous. Each discipline to study these earthquakes is so beautiful and interesting. I could watch videos like this all day. Big thanks to whoever put this together and to this channel for uploading it!

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you on behalf of the team

[@sixthsenseamelia4695]

Beautiful cinematography. Thank you Out There Learning.

[@thebarbaryan4357]

the scariest part is... you know that it's coming to happen but there's nothing much you can do to stop it.

[@kiamau]

I was living in chch when the chch earthquakes happened. I'd hate to think of the damage a large subduction earthquake would be capable of doing . I try to prepare my kids but in saying that I realized after the chch earthquakes nothing can really prepare you for that , it just happens and all you can do is hope that everyone is ok

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks you for describing your experience!

[@jamyshaw]

Really informative and well put together doco. Wish our regular TV was this good. Nice work! 😊

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you

[@kelusitepitbeautifulwoman4154]

My Grand father is From New Zealand. His family. Brother , sisters parents. He moved here after wwii, met n married my nanny. Awesome man.

[@OutThereLearning]

Cool!

[@peterlloyd1434]

How close will it get to the beehive? That’s where we need it!

[@MeanMaoriMean555]

Lol

[@2pintsofcremedementh]

Spray the wasps with the tsunami :D

[@AwakenedAvocado]

Right under jabcindas stable

[@peterlloyd1434]

@@AwakenedAvocado Hay! Now you just horsing around!

[@karenherangi6125]

F seriously

[@George-xb5ey]

Dutchsinse channel covers earthquakes fantastically

[@debsmith8056]

Yes his channel is great and he mentions what sometimes never hits our news. Like the one we had off the coast of New Zealand a number of weeks back. He’s great to listen to.

[@AROHA-NUI]

He is the best never wrong all ways spot on.

[@pommygeezer9309]

Wow! I recently travelled to NZ. Actually the day I landed was the mega rainfall that put Auckland literally underwater.. Flew from Melbourne. We went across the ditch and flew over the Southern Alps. I was blown away! Beautiful. The lady next to me from NZ told me that they were overdue a big earthquake by about 20 years.. and that a lot of the west coast will soon not exist! I was only there a few days, I went to Christchurch. They've really had it tough with the last earthquake back in 2011. The Cathedral is still half a ruin. But under careful restoration.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for sharing your comment

[@MarsFKA]

I live in Oamaru, on the South Island east coast. Two weeks ago, we had a presentation in a packed Opera House by a geo-scientist from Otago University. Her presentation was entitled AF8 and covered a possible magnitude 8 earthquake in the Alpine Fault that runs down the length of the South Island. The fault is visible in photographs from space as a straight line down the western side of the Southern Alps and is the continuation of the Hikurangi Fault covered in this excellent video. It is responsible for the uplift of the Southern Alps, which rise 100 mm every year and erode away at about the same rate - the Canterbury Plains are gravel from the grass roots down, as anyone driving a plough or a tent peg discovers. Excavations, core sample drilling in West Coast lakes, and other ground work has identified Alpine Fault earthquakes going back 3,000 years and, most importantly, given some idea of their frequency. From that, our presenter said, there is a seventy percent chance of a major Alpine Fault earthquake in the next fifty years. A magnitude 8 earthquake, at a depth of 10-12 kilometres, anywhere along the Alpine Fault would devastate the West Coast and rattle the entire island. Nowhere in the South Island would be free from damage of some kind. When asked about the effects of an AF8 earthquake on the hydro-electricity dams in the lower South Island, two of which are built on faults that have been reclassified from "extinct" to "dormant", she said the simulations have showed that all of them would make it through such an earthquake. If the Waitaki dam, which is the oldest and all-concrete, and has the smallest lake, were to fail, the flood would be mostly confined to the Waitaki Riverbed, although the residents of Kurow, 6 kilometres downstream, at the point where the valley opens out onto the river plain, would have to evacuate very quickly, preferably straight up the hill behind the town (The reference to Kurow in this sentence is my own thought). The Aviemore (mostly earth construction) and Benmore (all earth) dams would have no significant harm. The all-concrete Clyde dam on the Clutha River would not be affected by an AF8.

[@MaryPoppins-tu1ms]

@@MarsFKA Thank you for sharing...So scary

[@Jakey4000]

This is stunning, you've all put in so much effort and it's paid off with a brilliant video. I went through the Christchurch earthquakes so I'm terrified of another larger quake sometime soon, it seems like a good reason to move to somewhere less seismically active.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you so much - yes - kudos to the team!

[@boboften9952]

Other Countries have poisonous snakes , poisonous spiders , crocodiles , ..... guns , fires , major floods , riots , wars ... etc We have earthquakes I would say we are better off Just be prepared Hint ( stand in a door way during an earthquake if at all possible )

[@WSmith_1984]

With all that's happening it seems likely the big one will hit soon.... there's been 3/4 over 7s in the last month, the super volcano they are discussing here is also starting to waken up...... if I were you I'd do what I can to move.

[@WSmith_1984]

The climate is changing.... but we are not the be all end all when it comes to the equation...... There's many natural processes at work here..... the magnetic poles are shifting and have accelerated over the last 100 years.... this has decreased the strength of the magnetosphere allowing the energy from solar coronal mass ejections to have a greater impact on our atmosphere.... this in turn has helped change the trajectories of the jet streams, upsetting our "normal" weather patterns..... There is also the chandler wobble which effects the geographical north and south axis.... the earth wobbles in precession every 26,000 years..... There's also the milankovitch cycle..... this changes earths cyclical precession around the sun from a circular shape into a oval shape. This creates tidal heaving in earths core and continental plates, leading to more earthquakes and volcanic activity..... None of the above we can do much about.... that's why we're not told about it in the news daily, they also can't sell us a solution to these problems...... notice how many are buying bunkers though? We do however need to change our behaviour, we can do more to stop poisoning our environment and the air we breath, this is our home, let's stop poisoning the well before we can't anymore. Peace, power and freedom to all.

[@jeremyfergusson1602]

Christchurch safest place to live. The researchers that get big salaries did this for more funding. Fuck yous can't predict nature wellington 2 main fault in world. Why not study there fuckwits DUH

[@marc_spence]

Thank you for presenting this critical information in a way that we can understand without the need of the years of study that it took to collate it!

[@jellyfishfields5657]

They say if you cant explain to a child, you dont know whats really going on. Theyve essentially done that, and done it well

[@Glenabernethybupid1]

An outstanding effort! I found this concerning and exciting at the same time - exciting that we know more now than ever before. Any chance of a part 2 that explains possible scenarios with Tsunamis and geographic impacts from a megaquake?

[@OutThereLearning]

Good idea. Thanks for your comment

[@naysneedle5707]

Growing up in Wellington I remember being taught at primary school in the 80s that 'The Big One' is coming, been waiting ever since. I hope I don't die before it happens, I need closure!

[@OutThereLearning]

Careful what you wish for!

[@kiwibonsai2355]

I've been waiting for a manned space mission since the 70s ✌️

[@dennisconstantine624]

One human lifetime is nothing in geology time.

[@iqbalezra2084]

I live in Jakarta and the south coast of Java, the island where Jakarta is located, also have the same subduction features like the one in North Island. Just like in New Zealand both local and central authorities are also educating people on the danger poses by these Megathrust events. Will that be enough? Definitely not. More needs to be done. Including enforcing mandatory building codes.

[@bernardtimmer6723]

You are certainly right about the subduction zone south of Java but Jakarta is on the north coast lol...

[@undemanding]

Hypothesis: the deep earthquakes at Fiji cause the energy transfer

[@bernardtimmer6723]

@@undemanding you may well be right Martin, interesting idea...

[@sharrondaniels9384]

You are very right about this life changing events like these ,thank you for giving everyone around New Zealand and the rest of the world who are taking any notice .if they are not they should.

[@Niknteen1]

@@undemanding 'Dutchsinse' has very interesting vids on YT to do with quakes and the energy flows.. Deep quakes etc.. He's somewhat accurate with his predicitons on quakes and their locations..

[@bobdhitman]

I could have watched a full 3hr documentary of this. Tunes in the background are hitting the right spots!!! Well done! 👏👏👏

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you!

[@Turitea]

A great introduction to the hazards lurking in the Hikurangi trench. In the revised National Seismic Model the thousands of different scenarios from the mere 10 identified in 2010 will be fascinating to examine. I'm particularly interested in what effect a Hikurangi event will have on the Wellington and other faults and to what degree they will be stirred into action. When the Turitea wind farm consent was granted by Ms Kenderdine she stated in the Final Decision that a fault rupture was not expected. The wind farm is right on the Wellington fault. You can see some of the turbines in the northern section on Google Earth.

[@BallisticDamages]

Thanks for making great, informative content!

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks for the positive feedback

[@tigercrossing4242]

I just listened to this video and have now subscribed to this amazing channel! A great big thank you to the channel producers, scientists, researchers & support team for providing this essential information for an unaware & unprepared population. Excellent ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for watching and for your appreciative feedback

[@garynew9637]

I drove from Christchurch to kaikura in 2019. Major work being carried out. Loved the south island. . Cheers from Qld.

[@dubemccready7438]

Good to know our scientists are doing what is needed to be informed - Great video's

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you

[@melodiefrances3898]

We have a similar situation in the Pacific Northwest in the United States (and Canada) called the Cascadia subduction zone. It's terrifying thinking of a 9+ earthquake lifting up the sea floor ... I assumed New Zealand had one of these but didn't know anything about it. Thank you for the video.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you

[@calthorp]

Cascadia is a lot bigger

[@OnwardsUpwards]

Yes just below Vancouver Island in British Columbia there are many great plates that converge.

[@Mo-wm2ui]

This in interesting, real scientists, real knowledge. I want to hear them speak. I do not want music playing in the background that is distracting and makes it harder to focus on them. Why? It just spoils something really good.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks for watching and for your feedback

[@komorebi3055]

Agree.

[@borismedved835]

Glad you mentioned that. Had to mute it, but then I had to shut off the subtitles a few times to check out some of the diagrams. Very interesting video, very annoying soundtrack.

[@Master-ng9uj]

I'm more concerned about the Alpine Fault. There's a 75% chance of a major earthquake by 2068, with an 82% chance of it being 8 or higher. That's a 61.5% chance of an 8+ earthquake along the South Island's spine. That'll absolutely wreck the South Island, and do some serious damage to Wellington too.

[@defaultname01]

Nah Sth island west coast maybe but east coast all good

[@orange42]

Beautiful, informative, gorgeous audio, stunning work. Well done.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you. This video was produced by Magpie Content Creation, and kindly sponsored by the Earthquake Commission.

[@BD-bditw]

And thank God above that it is not filmed in vertical! All vertical video should be banned from KZbin.

[@siliveliosakalia6397]

Thanks for sharing your information about predicting the coming mega earthquake in New Zealand. It's critical to be seen and heard that people are preparing for the best possible requirements available.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for your comment

[@noodlessurprise]

This was such a good short on this subject. By no means I am an expert at all, but listening to everyone talking so comprehensively and with such passion in their interest was so enjoyable and educational. Thanks for this.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you - great to receive your appreciative comment 🙂

[@davidarundel6187]

Would last night's earthquake off the west coast of Wellington , have been a slip quake , going over some "speed humps " , which got us a 5.8 magnitude rumble . Think being a salt crystal on a plate over a speaker , going up thru the frequencies or volume , then returning to 'normal ' - most of the quakes we've had since Christchurch , have changed in nature from when I was younger and my younger includes the one which shut down the road road from Denniston , and put a 3 meter high water fall in one of the major rivers , near Murchison . - much of that coffer dam that formed is now down the Westport area , flooding the surrounding land - there used to be a dredge there to keep the port open for fisherys .

[@pumbajayden]

No dozers in the rivers either, used to push up gravel, now they just keep putting big rocks in. They wonder why anyone with half a brain moves overseas

[@tessiebear8005]

Thanks for your comment. Very interesting. I have experienced the Christchurch earthquakes, however, I didn't know one had shut down the Denniston road- did you happen to live up on Denniston plateau at some point in your life?

[@davidarundel6187]

@@tessiebear8005 I was a kid in the MacKenzie at the time of what was called the "Murchison Earthquake" . Yes , at one time for a short while , I lived up at Deniston . A very unique place , so close to the ocean yet so far , via road , but not as the crow flys .

[@avici0182]

I absolutely love videos like these. Thank you for putting this out there!

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for such appreciation!

[@m0peds]

Amazing watching this from Taupo which is actually a volcano where we’ve been having lots of earthquakes some up-to 5.4 MW

[@laurensalvatierra8636]

Is it safe in Taupo at the moment? Is there a chance of earthquake or eruption there?

[@michaelgrey7854]

My Brother is the person at NIWA that approves grants for research. Good to know he is doing a good job.

[@OutThereLearning]

Indeed!

[@Kiwi-ICU-RN]

Well, this is terrifying.

[@kw267]

you do know that there is a place in Gisborne, Nth Island, NZ, called The Mt Hikurangi Rangers. The Sth Island, Te Waipounamu/ Ngai Tahu is the younger sibling to the Older Brother of Our Chieftain, Porourangi. So they also connect geographically,......AWESOME FINDING !!!! LOVE IT !!!!

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for that info

[@betty8447]

Your right 😃 Gizz-town Ngati porou East Coast! Hard out!...we all survive thu what comes our way in nature....

[@kw267]

@@betty8447 Hi Betty, awesome to hear from someone from our hometown!!!💜💙

[@elviradammasch4843]

Very well presented. The only thing I would still have added - move out from highrise buildings. I rather live in a tent in a higher location than in one of these concret boxes.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks!

[@shonahewitt5874]

Be prepared.....that is all you can do.....Just get on with life...no good getting stressed on something that may never happen in your life time.

[@OutThereLearning]

@@shonahewitt5874 absolutely!

[@consciuosnesssoul]

Brilliant Out There Learning is providing a great and life saving service. Thanks GNS

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you on behalf of the team

[@MegalithHunter]

New subscriber here. Really informative video. Going to binge watch the others. I have a tendency to check the latest seismic activity in the Mediterranean before I go to sleep at night because It fascinates me how many mini quakes take place everyday. The world is constantly in flux.

[@OutThereLearning]

Than you for your interest!

[@damionneranginui6546]

The scariest thing not mentioned is the lack of land masses between Aotearoa and Australia means there's nothing to disperse the energy of a full tsunami hitting the east coast of Australia. When I was working in the mines, out near Roma, I found pipi shells in the soil. Very far from shore so I wonder what washed them all the way that far inland?

[@michelebarnett718]

The east coast of Australia gets hit by tsunamis each year but by the time they reach land they have died down

[@damionneranginui6546]

@@michelebarnett718 true but not an event similar to the Indonesian earthquake causing the Bali tsunami. This will be bigger hopefully not for many lifetimes

[@michelebarnett718]

It could have been the massive cyclone that hit back in 1899 ….they found fish and sea debris klms in land but it was a cyclone not a tsunami

[@kuri5771]

Australia was once an inland sea, heaps of opalized marine life in the desert meters under ground.

[@damionneranginui6546]

@@kuri5771 and I forgot to tell you, I'm a shot firer so I crack rocks and sandstone and I see firsthand what is in the layers of the shattered time capsule

[@noelburland7169]

Most people probably think that the Alpine Fault poses the greatest risk, but the Hikurangi Subduction Zone is New Zealand's largest fault and poses the most significant risk to lives and our economy. One thing not explored in this video is what sort of length of fault rupture we could see in a Megathrust Earthquake event. For example, for the 2021 Kermadec earthquake of 8.1M the USGS estimated that the rupture zone was 175 by 75 km (109 by 47 mi) in area. The 2004 Boxing Day Tsunami was caused by a fault rupture between the Burma Plate and the Indian Plate of approximately 1,300 kilometres in length. If the Hikurangi Subduction Zone were to cause a major Megathrust earthquake what sort of length of the fault would be likely to rupture?

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks for your comment. You are right - the different faults pose different risks in terms of possible impacts. In terms of the length of rupture of a Hikurangi quake there are different possibilities. It could be only one of either the southern, middle or northern sections of the East Coast, or a combination of 2 or possibly all of them at once. It is thought that in the past the ruptures have been a mix of these possibilities. Cheers

[@MamaPinks]

The lady at 5:34, I love that she is doing hard movements to mimick what would be happening, it really helps for me, who really needs visual confirmation of what I am hearing in her words. 😀 💜 Facinating stuff!

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks for your appreciation!

[@CreativeClones]

Well done to the soundie who was recording dialog on those windy coastlines. Quality.

[@regorflora7915]

Now that the sensors are in placed. Running from low ground to high ground on this area should be a done regularly as an excercise. Could be a life saver when the time comes

[@OutThereLearning]

Indeed. Regular tsunami evacuation exercises are becoming increasingly done by schools and other organizations. Thanks for your comment

[@Limitr5.7]

Interesting considering that amount of quakes we've had in the last 5 days

[@_JustinCider_]

Nicely presented thank you. How does the Alpine Fault tie in with all this? Apparently that too is overdue for giving us a shakeup. Will/could a significant quake in one area trigger a similarly large quake in the other?

[@jyyrsdbn]

.

[@elisabethcave874]

They are both on the same plate boundary, so yes, when one releases the likelihood if the other releasing too increases.

[@gaffenz1137]

@@elisabethcave874 would NZ even survive that?

[@lisacameron4698]

@@gaffenz1137 It would not be the New Zealand as we know it now

[@tippo5341]

Great video, and thank you for for showing the work that goes into the study of earthquakes and the possibilities of their magnitude likelihood...is truly interesting stuff. Given the seismic activity that NZ has, it's no surprise you guys are at the leading edge of these studies...impressive and much needed work!!!! Cheers from Aus!!!! 🍻🍻🍻🍻

[@OutThereLearning]

@@tippo5341 thank you

[@itschevez]

there was a massive eatthquake lastnight in taranaki, biggest one ive felt in the last few years..

[@louisejeffries7155]

I’ve just come back after years away That Taranaki quake last night was seriously the scariest ever. It just kept going and going I guess what made it seem worse is just this week it has come up (in my tube feed) two independent predictions of a large quake coming Last night was a worry though huh

[@itschevez]

@@louisejeffries7155 yup haha it went for like 10 seconds or more it was scary as heck! 😂

[@tonycerviver2123]

unbelievable coverage of the tectonic plates. After dealing with a cyclone, New Zealand is now dealing with an earthquake magnitude 6.1. So, by all means keep up with this study on subduction zones and how they will affect our lives. The people of Turkey and Syria are learning the hard way how plates collide and cause damage incalculable.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you. Comment appreciated

[@Gizathecat2]

Fascinating! I live in Washington State where the Cascadia Subduction Zone lurks off the west coast. In the year 1700 Japan was struck by a destructive event called a “ghost tsunami” because no earthquake preceded it. The earthquake occurred off the northwest corner of Washington State on the Cascadia subduction zone. I think the quake was estimated to be in the nines. It is said if the Cascadia ruptures between Northern California and Northern Vancouver Island the destruction could level everything west of Interstate Five. So, New Zealand, we hear you! We know what’s looming under your coastline.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for your info!

[@COaksie]

I follow and study the Cascadian Subduction Zone as well, have read at least 10 books on the subject, including the history of the Japanese tsunami. I currently live in So. Cal, another earthquake hotbed but not a subduction zone, ....but have a son living in Western WA, an area we've longed to move to, to live in deep forest...but I want to know what we could be moving into, the potential for disaster. And yes, the potential is huge and real, and long overdue. It's an odd quandry, planning life decisions like a big move, around an overdue megaquake...

[@willywagtail9520]

20 years ago , I can remember a 7.3 quake in the Fiordlands!!!! it felt like the ground was a wave of water " lifted and droped"

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks for your description!

[@calypsomcdonnell1479]

​@@maryjones5710 Como queras!

[@paulwhite7593]

An absolutely brilliant video, clearly illustrated with relevant moving and graphic shots. As a past resident of Christchurch I well remember the very slight tremor that woke me in the early hours of a morning in about 1968. The later devastating earthquake in 2011 showed me how lucky we had been to escape the full ferocity of that event. Let's hope this video information will save lives in the future. Where we live now in Canada there have been some small tremors and, of course, we all look towards the supervolcano in Yellowstone that will affect us all. I hope the Canadians are as well prepared as the Kiwis.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you!

[@PandorasBox13]

Dutchsince for approximate areas Quakes are hitting.

[@annethomson4920]

Not a popular opinion. I agree with you but many do not.

[@davidderby6951]

Stop showing my Lyall Bay house in the Wgtn vids, creeps me out a bit

[@Muritaipet]

LOL ..... ( Sorry dude. I really did laugh at the awful irony of having your house illustrating the mega earthquake video. I promise I'm not a bad person. I do really feel for you)

[@OzGeologyOfficial]

I'm so glad this is going viral.

[@OutThereLearning]

:-)

[@JESUS_Is_KING573]

2:30 that squid attacking the enemy😅

[@The762nato]

Great presentation it shows the great work your doing . MR.MAX Ltd , have enjoyed working with you .

[@OutThereLearning]

😀

[@marianfeliselda7455]

I'm happy to watch this video it is very helpful information and besides it gives me a beautiful view of the Island NZ. Watching from K.L Malaysia.

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks for watching!

[@Patricia-tr9zm]

I am in Hawkes Bay, and always grateful for little earthquakes (4 ish) because we know what can happen when big ones hit. Awesome documentary thanks so much. Thorough and well presented ❤

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you!

[@DJPurpleOne17]

I'm not worried, I'm fascinated, everything happens for a reason... to protect the circle of life you have to evolve and constantly change... this is nature's way of refreshing the environment... in dire circumstances though you just gotta learn how to safely navigate through it

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks for your thoughtful comment. Great.

[@felicitybywater8012]

After watching this from Australia, I'm now feeling very safe. Love and best wishes to all Kiwis from Sydney ❤

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks! 🙂

[@felicitybywater8012]

@@OutThereLearning You're welcome.

[@bernardtimmer6723]

As Zealandia crashed into Australia, New Zealand split into 4 larger pieces and especially on eastern seaboard developed those deep trenches.

[@kaiw522]

the trenches develop when plates move away from one another. (Along divergent plate boundaries)

[@nighthawktt]

Great documentary and good oration 👍👍🌟🌟 Very pleased this is made available on KZbin Appreciate the knowledge given on local earthquake history Selfishly hoping to hear more Thank you for your time and sharing 👏🌹

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for your interest!

[@wordzmyth]

Future small talk: So what do you do for a living Future scientist: I lubricate the sea bed so it can slip underthe earth *disbelieving silence*

[@samnoon8728]

Brilliant documentary. We are fortunate to have clever people asking questions and sharing the information. Prepare your home and protect your whanau!

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for your comment. Appreciated

[@user-bh1cb6ru9t]

Frankly, I'm excited. Let's shake things up. Awesome channel by the way.

[@louisejeffries7155]

Do we have the leadership to manage this type of event with out massive amounts of guidance and direction from overseas bodies I think not I think we have a deficit or even a void of decent leadership that would be needed to be effective in guiding the nation through a legit catastrophe

[@2pintsofcremedementh]

@@louisejeffries7155 I think leadership is what gets in the way a lot of the time, just look at the 2011 Christchurch earthquake and the grassroots efforts such as the student army and the "incredibro hulk". More was achieved in the first hours after the quake than in the years that followed. Everything came to a grinding halt as soon as the red tape went up and people were prevented from getting involved without a hard hat and a team of health and safety bureaucrats telling them not to put themselves in harm's way.

[@Benignusseed]

Very good piece. Thank you for making your information relatable and interesting. The final msg is also a great reminder!

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you

[@mikefrederickson9437]

Had an earthquake last night was South of French pass south Island was 5.8 lucky it was 51 km deep.Gave us a good shake as far north as Taranaki

[@robheathcote8561]

Go The Naki

[@daveyboy6985]

Yeah my phone gave me a warning just before it hit.

[@mikefrederickson9437]

@@daveyboy6985 got the same warning

[@robheathcote8561]

was a good little wobble, havnt had one for a while

[@louisejeffries7155]

@@daveyboy6985 yer my cat warned me!

[@kiwigirljacks]

The past six months we have had frequent shakes felt here in Waihi,originating out of Te Aroha. Never felt so many!! My grab bag is ready to go if need be.

[@seria3692]

From all the recent earthquakes including the one down South a couple days ago it could potentially happen soon alongside the alpine fault rupture(which is kinda scary). I'm way down South on the East Coast so it won't be as bad but it still is a threat, I'm keeping tabs on the public domains for earthquakes. Just hope it doesn't happen anytime soon.

[@davidlafleche1142]

Check out Alaska, 1964. Very soon, every city in the world shall look even worse than that (Matthew 24:7, KJV).

[@jerrybow8779]

@@davidlafleche1142 🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️🤦🏼‍♂️🤮

[@extremekidproductions7859]

What was the mic setup for the windy interviews? Very clear sound. Great doco :)

[@garthsullivan856]

Really awesome info and well put together as always.

[@OutThereLearning]

Cheers!

[@TheMitchellWhite]

Thank you KZbin for recommending this video to me 5 minutes before I go to bed (at home in New Zealand).

[@nonnobissolum]

I keep getting the impression that Mother Nature, the Universe, what-have-you, gives exactly ZERO f's about us.

[@setapartone9311]

God's righteous judgement is coming. Repent and turn to Jesus Christ while the door of grace remains open for just a while longer 🙏

[@dennisconstantine624]

Exactly, Mother Nature was here billions of years before us, it don’t give a hoot about 8 billion flees on its back.

[@nevillepomare9408]

FEAR NOT! Based on this video, the probability of a major quake [25%] is far outweighed by the probability that it won't happen [75%].

[@OutThereLearning]

Yep, like driving a car, you are more likely not to crash than to have an accident. Still worth wearing a seat belt though just in case

[@samuelsontraining]

@@OutThereLearning What is the seatbelt option in relation to this potential disaster?

[@OutThereLearning]

@@samuelsontraining Great question! - for individuals it is going online (getready.govt.nz/en/) to get all the best advice about preparedness and planning and then actually following that advice! - for councils and businesses it is about understanding the risks, planning accordingly and continually building resilience and readiness for response and recovery

[@samuelsontraining]

@@OutThereLearning Thank you. I live in Blighty and whilst our "disasters" are significantly different to yours, I appreciate your replies and video.

[@chrystale888]

My husband from New Zealand had a dream people were running to Hamilton in the north as the north island erupted everywhere, Wellington and Christchurch were destroyed. The only thing that survived were bits in the north near Hamilton.

[@jellyfishfields5657]

Possible. There is essentially a “ring of fire” in the auckland area. The place is literally littered with volcanos, some of which are active some dormant. Rangitoto is the big one, people swim near it at one of the popular beaches. Ive always imagined if there was one big eruption from rangitoto is would essentially set of a chain reaction amongst other volcanoes within the auckland volcanic field and basically blow us sideways from hell. I guess if it was big enough to do that it could rupture along the fault lines triggering further eruptions - white island possibly, maybe taupo which is currently active, ruapehu and its sisters maybe heading south maybe even a few that are all over the northern tip of new zealand. If it could do that perhaps a few earthquakes triggered right down along the south island and if that hasnt truly screwed us the final blow would be the tsunamis triggered by the massive land movement events. Interesting dream.

[@OutThereLearning]

That is quite an apocalyptic picture! :-) Auckland's volcanoes only erupt once, so the next one is likely to occur somewhere new, and there is no evidence to suggest it will trigger other volcanoes at distance, such as in Tongariro. Thanks for watching

[@chrystale888]

@@jellyfishfields5657 Yes, he saw a meteorite slam into the pacific that causes the ring to erupt everywhere. My husband also saw Krakatoa etc along the ring explode sending pyroclastic flows into Australia wiping out most of the population, undermining the foundation that will send the continent BACK under the sea with only a large bit in Perth left over and a bit in Victoria. He also saw the east coast get slammed by meteorite debris and massive tsunamis. He also saw the Mediterranean go under the sea that came all the way up to Bulgaria which was the new coastline.

[@daynadavis2102]

@@chrystale888 gosh your poor husband! Does this happen to him often? These visions?

[@relaxation-Corner]

@@chrystale888 jesus

[@adelarsen9776]

How does the pacific plate go under the south american plate and the australian plate ? It can't go west and east at the same time.

[@OutThereLearning]

It can because it has a constructive plate boundary within it. Thanks for the question

[@adelarsen9776]

@@OutThereLearning The line must be quite interesting to study.

[@kiwibonsai2355]

Let build a museum in Wellington to hold our historic national treasures right on the waters edge 🙄

[@peterp7063]

Pity about the constant irritating background music. The non-musical advert was almost a relief!

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks for your feedback

[@cobihillssteyn7975]

Absolutely impressive. Keep up the good work.👏👏👏👏

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you!

[@J0sh351]

Hope the government has been briefed on this Q_Q

[@simonRTJ]

With this knowledge in mind, I am unsure why the councils allow development at sea level, and where i live in Hawkes bay, the Napier waterfront which, a few hundred meters back, is at negative sea level. surely this would considered a "red zone" for building homes.

[@samuelsontraining]

$$$$$$$$

[@OutThereLearning]

Not an unreasonable opinion. That is one reason why this science is important - so that we can make good planning decisions

[@RossTePaa-zh2de]

Had about 300 small earthquakes in eastern BOP last Friday and Saturday biggest 4.6 and 4.8

[@ElBantosClips]

At least we now know that its a "when" not an "if" for the next earthquake. Our government and councils need to be getting stuff ready. I know they are, I seen there was a meeting a while ago in Selwyn about the alpine fault but it needs to be more widespread. The 7.1 we had was big, but I can't imagine what an 8+ will feel like

[@OutThereLearning]

Thank you for your comment!

[@stewartcameron7742]

@@OutThereLearning kk

[@stewartcameron7742]

An 8 pon the rhicter scale would be a 7 to the power of 3,just guessing really,can one survive it,not only immediately,but for a week or 3 weeks,food water,shelter,safety, communication ,not easy, need to think,seek help,also be ready to help.need to team up, form a group,stay positive,beware of ground slips, ground movement,buildings, keep away from buildings. Seek help, seek others,keep safe.

[@louisejeffries7155]

Doesn’t depth make a difference though

[@ElBantosClips]

@@louisejeffries7155 yea, but a 300km stretch of earth moving at 8 on the scale will be something to behold

[@stevensims3342]

Earthquakes are mind boggling. Never experienced one but I have seen a lot along with the evidence in prone areas. The fact entire tens of square miles of the earth's seemingly stable crust are undulating and shaking. Massive and incredible magnitudes of physical mass in a section of this planet's surface are now moving...

[@OutThereLearning]

Yep!

[@maoriprincess2010]

Hmmmm... ive been hesitant to move to aussie due to snakes, spiders and just every creepy crawly actually but maybe now its not so bad! 😬

[@OutThereLearning]

:-)

[@RYNO.79]

My sister said a 5.8 hit last night. She is in Nae Nae, Lower Hutt

[@2410-s9l]

Didn't hear about that. Am in Wellington.

[@sueelliott4793]

Between lake Taupo and the big earthquake? I would rather have the quake, but were doomed either way. Hi from Tauranga

[@meatavoreNana]

Yep, no one gets out of here alive..

[@edwardmckeown5975]

16th of March 2023, 2 days ago. A 7.1 magnitude earthquake off the coast of the north island

[@herawalters5037]

i live in wellington thankyou for your content

[@OutThereLearning]

Cheers!

[@bubdigli6756]

This is the longest advertisement for insurance I've ever seen

[@OutThereLearning]

😄

[@martinamadsen812]

It is all very well to learn as much as possible about the world we live in, but in the end predicting when an earthquake, or a Tsunami will strike is at best an educated guess.! The best option must be to move all dwellings away from the reach of Tsunamis and build all houses so they are designed to handle serious earthquakes and storms etc, because preventing a catastrophe must be smarter than merely reacting once disaster strike.! 🤔💕

[@OutThereLearning]

Thanks for your comment

[@donpuffalt2996]

This information is interesting, but because the background music is so loud, we have to struggle to catch the words of the commentators.

[@OutThereLearning]

@@donpuffalt2996 thanks for your feedback