Rarity Is Over - 9.7 Billion Pokemon Cards Printed In One Year

  Рет қаралды 10,037

smpratte

smpratte

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 104
@theboringchannel2027
@theboringchannel2027 Жыл бұрын
BLACK SHIRT means this is SERIOUS
@PeterMurrayj
@PeterMurrayj Жыл бұрын
You convinced me, watching entire thing
@TTG_JG
@TTG_JG Жыл бұрын
Black Label Scott
@SDCISHERE
@SDCISHERE Жыл бұрын
@coreymackxs
@coreymackxs Жыл бұрын
9billion cards, 8.99b in bulk.
@pineappleginseng1557
@pineappleginseng1557 Жыл бұрын
As a casual collector, I'm just glad i get to stroll into Target or Walmart and FINALLY be able to just snag one or two packs. I see this as an absolute win. I can finally splurge a little bit, without competing with hardcore campers.
@ace101guy
@ace101guy Жыл бұрын
9.7 billion yet target and Walmarts are empty
@JmurphOne
@JmurphOne Жыл бұрын
I hate that English special sets get no form of booster box. I really like the smaller booster boxes for the Japanese special sets. We get too many obscure and bulky products for them.
@thsigma3514
@thsigma3514 Жыл бұрын
151 actually gets a booster bundle, the first special set to have one. 6 packs for msrp ($4.50 now). It may not be a booster box kinda deal, but you don't have any extra fluff or added cost b/c of a promo or dice or a coin.
@BT-su1yf
@BT-su1yf Жыл бұрын
I bought a few booster bundles. I’m glad they’re now giving us an option to go for something with less packaging.
@SpicyRancher
@SpicyRancher Жыл бұрын
Increased demand met with increased supply to match. I think it’s just the next level for Pokémon and I’m here for it. As a whole I think the English and Japanese card market for vintage is pretty solid too. Only Japanese modern is getting a little suspicious with manipulation of obvious waifus. Even then, exclusive Japanese promos have grown fairly organically.
@bangla996
@bangla996 Жыл бұрын
absolutely true. people forget about downside protection during a rampant bull market. demand can always change, but supply does not
@Teacherguy06
@Teacherguy06 Жыл бұрын
Yup..I’m a school teacher and Pokémon collector. Kids still arguing over the cards and bending them. Uggh.
@Retrogradez90
@Retrogradez90 Жыл бұрын
This is interesting because while I agree the print is more, the demand is massive. Packs and boxes vanish and are in high demand. Some people don't even think it's enough and we're at 9.7B
@UnwantedCommentary
@UnwantedCommentary Жыл бұрын
Your videos are always so insightful.
@CaptainZackSparrow
@CaptainZackSparrow Жыл бұрын
Demand for cards was growing before the Logan Paul boom - definitely a lot of genuine interest/demand here. I agree we’re seeing a toooooon of supply now. Just need to look at sword and shield pop reports and compare it to, gee, any other era to see how insane it is lol. There will almost undoubtedly be cool sets and great art in the future. How well will the 2020 era do, with so much more supply? Hold on to your seats boys and girls! Will be fun to see how the dust settles
@stephenng9277
@stephenng9277 Жыл бұрын
Yup it was growing due to the release of Pokemon Go. That was when a lot of collectors came back.
@louis4951
@louis4951 Жыл бұрын
Really depends on the demographic in my opinion. Are these cards mostly just staying in sealed collections.. if so then the future will be shit. But if it's actually kids playing the game the usual (gen 1 cycle) they stop playing for a decade to grow up and then hit the nostalgia button like millennials have then the future will be bright. But with 2020 boom my bet is most of the cards sold are being stored and sealed (for hopes of a repeat of stars aligning in 10-15 years and retire off their moonbreon) but with over printing I don't see any modern card from here on out getting to base set levels ever.
@itsglennn
@itsglennn Жыл бұрын
I thought the Pikachu stamp promo (with the lady) was rare until I checked PSA and saw almost 7000 graded 10 😳
@MrGuitarfreak132
@MrGuitarfreak132 Жыл бұрын
And the prices are still like $1000k+ it’s nuts! Too bad too because I really like that card. I think ultimately demand is high for that cars especially for Japanese and Chinese buyers. It’s just a cool card and really shows the culture of that part of the world off.
@CoolTrainerTony
@CoolTrainerTony Жыл бұрын
You overestimate how many cards 7000 is
@PeterMurrayj
@PeterMurrayj Жыл бұрын
When they came out every one I bought hit a 10
@DesterMobed
@DesterMobed Жыл бұрын
Yea that card is pure hype and will eventually crash. If you want good rare pikachu promos to invest in festa full arts are the best. These stamp promos were massively overprinted. The same 3 guys and thier alt accounts keep pumping them on Reddit. Everyone is blind to see the pump.
@DesterMobed
@DesterMobed Жыл бұрын
I expect a 50-75% drop once the pump is over.
@cafe100mph6
@cafe100mph6 Жыл бұрын
If you look at charts psa 10 vintage does extremely well vs lower grades if you can afford it upfront. Vintage already is at 10 -25x lower psa 10 pop report, that number gap will continue to rise as people haven't even opened/ graded half of Sword & Shield yet. Vintage is down from all time high and is flat lined and primed to get another bull run. Remember, every set will be vintage in 20 years so why not buy OG vintage with %5 the psa 10 pop.
@TheVTRainMan
@TheVTRainMan Жыл бұрын
I wish someone that was good at statistics would actually break this down. eg. 9.7 billion cards printed, we know that only 1 of the 10 cards is a rare or better = 97,000,000 and maybe 1 out of 6 of those are ultra rares = 16,169,900, 1 out of 72 packs (2 booster boxes or 720 cards) might be an alt = 135,800 alt arts. How many sets were printed in that time span (9 sets)? Is that 15,088 alt arts per set? If every alt art was printed the same in each set and only 5 exist in the set. Is that (3,017 of each artwork)? The real rarities will start to make more sense. But math is is hard. It's also hard to guesstimate with all of the different rarities and pull rates. But, I think it is clear Pokemon prints too many bulk filler cards and packaging is obnoxious. They could cut this down card printing by half if only 5 cards per pack. Too much waste. :P
@anwarthinks
@anwarthinks Жыл бұрын
It's a massive number but one thing to consider who put calculated the billion figure as some countries calculate it as "a thousand million" and some people count it as "a million million" I'm sure we're all hoping it's the smaller :')
@PokemonShed
@PokemonShed Жыл бұрын
honestly first time seeing your page. watched it all, AGREE 100 percent i think we can all appreciate the real talk.. good job mate
@elvistcg
@elvistcg Жыл бұрын
9.7 billion means nothing. Pull rates are adjusted and even out of reach for top cards. Majority of people in this hobby have 1 copy at best of their favorite card and likely none of the latter favorites. Graded pop is nowhere near what demand is either.
@grimdeth2197
@grimdeth2197 Жыл бұрын
That's crazy to say. They definitely print 1000's of alt arts daily.
@bigtres8464
@bigtres8464 Жыл бұрын
moral of the story is pokemon is alive and well!!!!
@brettlewis2900
@brettlewis2900 Жыл бұрын
The white spec on that black shirt bothered the crap out of me lol
@Jkoihm
@Jkoihm Жыл бұрын
Yes we all prefer PSA 10s LMAO
@AnthonyGiallourakis
@AnthonyGiallourakis Жыл бұрын
When the economy tanks, most of these modern cards are going to lose more than 60% of their current market price. When people aren't eating, it's just cardboard.Sell your modern at these crazy prices and move the money over the early WOTC PSA 8 and higher. You won't be sorry.
@PeterMurrayj
@PeterMurrayj Жыл бұрын
Early wotc is dead. Full arts forevermore
@AnthonyGiallourakis
@AnthonyGiallourakis Жыл бұрын
@@PeterMurrayj Hahaha 🤣. If you took the number of Pokemon cards printed in 2022 and laid them end to end, it would reach all the way to the moon... Good luck with that.
@Exodianotforbidden
@Exodianotforbidden Жыл бұрын
@@AnthonyGiallourakis😂😂😂😂
@jelle-rj2ku
@jelle-rj2ku Жыл бұрын
ALT arts to the moon buddy
@AnthonyGiallourakis
@AnthonyGiallourakis Жыл бұрын
@@jelle-rj2ku Literally. There is no scarcity in any modern product, just a limited number of sellers. When that changes, and it will, who's going to buy all that cardboard? I'm not against buying and collecting and investing in Pokemon, I just don't like to lose money when there are better ways in this hobby to stay in without getting cratered. Modern is overpriced and overowned. Vintage is undervalued and out of favor.
@eeveevault
@eeveevault Жыл бұрын
See how many are still in good condition after the crash. That'll be what determines the rarity level in the future. Not for everything, like an energy or something else low tier, but definitely ultra rare or better. Certain promos. I'm at the point where I can be patient with a majority of cards, but sealed and top tier is still very much a safe bet imo
@joelebstein
@joelebstein Жыл бұрын
underated card: Lillie's Full Force. Check the pop report. Great card to buy from Cosmic Eclipse. Super low pop and relatively inexpensive for a chase card
@MisterStubstep
@MisterStubstep Жыл бұрын
I want it to rain Pokémon cards
@KainUniverse
@KainUniverse Жыл бұрын
I’m not really bothered by that, I’m collecting cards for fun and the economic part is not important for me (in terms of reselling etc.). However I understand how some people can frustrated by that! If this is the way they are taking I believe that prices of all sets pre-SV will skyrocket in the future!
@weskarp7643
@weskarp7643 Жыл бұрын
I love the thumbnail. Pretty clever.
@sirdactyl
@sirdactyl Жыл бұрын
One could say: IT'S OVER 9000 MILLIONS!
@ryohirosawa9186
@ryohirosawa9186 Жыл бұрын
On top of that, pokemon printed 9 billion cards in 2021, so nearly 20 billion cards in just 2 years. And probably 80% of those cards are now sleeping in those "investors"'s closets. So once the price goes high enough to take profit, everybody starts selling at the same time and the market crashes, and the current modern cards ( sword/ shield, perhaps even sun / moon, and everything thereafter)will die forever and the idea of "making money on pokemon is easy" will be gone, and the popularity will fall off a cliff. Whatever modern sets after that crash might be something good to hold on to. But current modern cards are only for collection and enjoyment. And I'm here for it :)
@SuperDeano1000
@SuperDeano1000 Жыл бұрын
Yeah, Logan wasn't the main reason. He fuelled it but people seemed to have a general urge to get back into it, as did he. The lockdowns did something to us. I decided myself to try the new Vivid Voltage set after not collecting for nearly 18 years and the guy in the shop said 'we're sold out because of Logan Paul', and I thought 'Oh, the laughs at suicide guy??'. Suddenly I discovered that Pokémon craze had hit full speed without me even realising. I couldn't have been the only person who decided to jump back in of their own accord. Logan isn't the house-hold name the internet believes he is, especially not in 2020.
@jaredcafferty7682
@jaredcafferty7682 Жыл бұрын
I got back into it slightly before the Covid Lockdowns, so I can attest to that. Logan did just fuel it, but adults that grew up with it wanted their memories and good times back.
@vm7052
@vm7052 Жыл бұрын
Hello, thanks for the video ! What sources could we use to know the number of prints over the years ?
@coalitionoftheilling
@coalitionoftheilling Жыл бұрын
If you just want to play the game or grab a few card arts you like and put them in a binder, this is great news. If you like to collect and own things that not every single other person can get their hands on unless they have unlimited resources - it's nightmarish. If there's an art or two I think looks cool, I'll snag it. But not much printed after 2021 appeals to the collector in me knowing that it's all mass produced "junk" in that regard. The Mona Lisa wouldn't be the Mona Lisa if someone uncovered a Leonardo da Vinci basement filled with 20,000 spare copies that got auctioned off across the globe. Art and aesthetic appeal mixed with popularity will always only be half of the picture. Rarity is a thing. Boomer or not.
@phantom_68
@phantom_68 Жыл бұрын
Values in general have crashed hard and fast the past 6 months. We are in a deep Bear Market. Many cards have lost 30-40% of their value, many of these popular and rare as well. There are a handful of outliers, I'm talking in general here.
@aspakay_
@aspakay_ Жыл бұрын
Think about the percentages aswell though of 9.7 billion cards if even like 5% of them are the alt arts and rarer cards thats 485 million!?!? heck go even lower - 2% is 194 million!?!? THATS ALOT OF CARDS
@WhatOreos
@WhatOreos Жыл бұрын
Is Janet Yellen on the Pokemon Board of directors?
@FilnetMgnigon
@FilnetMgnigon Жыл бұрын
The Treasury is printing pokemon cards🚬👌👽
@Swatta637
@Swatta637 Жыл бұрын
LOOOOL
@Kangasconrad
@Kangasconrad Жыл бұрын
I just need a few 100k for a Trophy Kangaskhan and Ill be fine
@jamesa.paintingjap.7777
@jamesa.paintingjap.7777 Жыл бұрын
Rarity from modern indeed. Everyone who thinks all these full sets they have are gonna be worth thousands of dollars in years to come, but they won’t be because everyone will have them. #EVERYONE
@michaelthomas6280
@michaelthomas6280 Жыл бұрын
There are less of every SAR and Alt art than there are first edition charizards
@pokephil420
@pokephil420 Жыл бұрын
False
@pancakedeluxe2681
@pancakedeluxe2681 Жыл бұрын
Ok but other languages were also added like simplified chinese
@SenatorAri
@SenatorAri Жыл бұрын
99% of cards printed these days are 9/10. Grades should be almost meaningless. But somehow people will pay 5x/10x the price for a card in a plastic case with a 10 printed on it. Grade companies are just making bank right now and charging insane prices for no reason
@TheRealTem4Elf
@TheRealTem4Elf Жыл бұрын
They're printing humans now? 😱
@tartuffethespry
@tartuffethespry Жыл бұрын
Is it known how many 1st edition base set holos were printed? (for each one)
@Alma-B
@Alma-B Жыл бұрын
doesnt really matter how many were printed when psa is not giving 10s on them anymore and the pop is like 100 max for most cards 🤣🤣
@Jawsh98
@Jawsh98 Жыл бұрын
No, there is no official release number for any of the WOTC sets.
@AlphaWasSpotted
@AlphaWasSpotted Жыл бұрын
So basically the bubble will pop and some new change in the way rarity works will develope?
@SpicyRancher
@SpicyRancher Жыл бұрын
The only bubble I see popping is for Japanese waifu cards. Their value is from buy outs and sitting on controlled product making artificial scarcity. Already happened with some Lillie cards. Everything else seems normal and TPC itself seems more intent on “increasing” pull rates with trainer galleries and illustrator rare spots which feels good for your average consumer such as kids and lay people. The “true” rare cards will probably always be Japanese exclusive promo and trophy cards. Secret rares will have their place in the middle like usual.
@thecardbaron6871
@thecardbaron6871 Жыл бұрын
@@SpicyRancher AND MOONBREON!
@Chirs67
@Chirs67 Жыл бұрын
Speaking on grading standards need to be higher but you have regularly shun the idea of AGS’ way of grading.
@TalysaV
@TalysaV Жыл бұрын
11 digits 😅 also thanks for the insight, it’s a really interesting time.
@E-A-Z-Y
@E-A-Z-Y Жыл бұрын
Sujimori 😂
@creed5
@creed5 Жыл бұрын
yet i still see shining fates every week. why TPCI... why overprint this set to uber UBER oblivion
@shadowlegend9073
@shadowlegend9073 Жыл бұрын
here's the thing, the demand will keep up. there isn't anything else to go to. nobody is creative anymore, I will be surprised if it falters much. at least for the yellow border era. kind of a silly video tbh lol
@christopherk7920
@christopherk7920 Жыл бұрын
how bout PSA platinum label ???
@Jawsh98
@Jawsh98 Жыл бұрын
Love to read the peasant's response on YT. The real collectors are in Patreon ;)
@Yugiohsachse
@Yugiohsachse Жыл бұрын
I love Yugioh more
@cafe100mph6
@cafe100mph6 Жыл бұрын
They need to stop printing evolving skies so they can at least have 1 set that retains value! End it already befofre the cards are worthless
@joshuaortiz6095
@joshuaortiz6095 Жыл бұрын
Great info
@Dielonthug
@Dielonthug Жыл бұрын
That's why I dont collect modern. Its highly printed crap
@Exodianotforbidden
@Exodianotforbidden Жыл бұрын
But 20 years from now those modern are gonna be vintage haha😂
@Dielonthug
@Dielonthug Жыл бұрын
@@Exodianotforbidden and if my uncle had balls she be my aunt. What's your point?
@wizzyplayz4820
@wizzyplayz4820 Жыл бұрын
@@Exodianotforbidden might be vintage but it wont be rare hahaah
@Goat_ai
@Goat_ai Жыл бұрын
I hope they see how well the lord of the ring set did with having numbered cards. Either bring back first edition prints, or have numbered card rarity like almost all other trading cards are. God packs, something....
@thecardbaron6871
@thecardbaron6871 Жыл бұрын
WOTC is failing and they were desperate.... now they go back to non numbered cards and will see a drop in sales!
@gitusumbia
@gitusumbia Жыл бұрын
There is no need for 1st edition cards It makes zero sense for them
@Alma-B
@Alma-B Жыл бұрын
except that modern wotc is a dumpster fire of a company 🤣🤣
@thecardbaron6871
@thecardbaron6871 Жыл бұрын
@@Alma-B agreed!
@RySenkari
@RySenkari Жыл бұрын
@@gitusumbia 1st edition cards could be LGS exclusive, I could see a 1% 1st edition run getting people into their local LGS instead of buying in bulk online.
@sportscardsandthings
@sportscardsandthings Жыл бұрын
Pokemon should be accessible for all. Imagine folks wanting to pay more to collect the cards? And wanting them to be rare so that others cant access the cards?
@TheMpmpmpmpmpmp
@TheMpmpmpmpmpmp Жыл бұрын
I think as a collector you want certain items to be rare. Its what makes opening packs fun. I think how they handle reprinting will make or kill the hobby.
@sportscardsandthings
@sportscardsandthings Жыл бұрын
@@TheMpmpmpmpmpmp High print run only affects the investor-type of collectors. Most folks who arent looking at pokemon from a monetary value perspective benefit from having easily accessible cards. And pokemon thrives from having a large casual collector base.
@labutter420
@labutter420 Жыл бұрын
First
@crashthestash
@crashthestash Жыл бұрын
Edition
@labutter420
@labutter420 Жыл бұрын
@@crashthestash shadowless
@thecardbaron6871
@thecardbaron6871 Жыл бұрын
MOONBREON is going to nosedive hard!
@Zaccyonline
@Zaccyonline Жыл бұрын
This is an exciting time for the hobby, with much more to offer everyone from players to sealed collectors and everyone in-between. 🥰 It’s nice to see the general public doesn’t scoff at Pokémon hobbyists like they used to. One thing I believe is an underappreciated consequence of the Logan Paul & Pokémon GO! phenomenon (what an amazing craze to witness!), is that many of the people who came into the hobby at that time have remained, so a lot more people are having fun in the Pokémon community~ engaging with each other more than ever because there’s a kind of stigma that has been lifted. The curse has been lifted. Nobody is too cool for Pokémon anymore. 😎 People who thought it was silly of me buying Pokémon cards over the years are asking me questions about Pokémon like I’m some sort of expert, and when I connect dots for them on the simplest things it’s neat to see the awe in their eyes, like, “why didn’t I know about this sooner?”. 🥲 I imagine you’ve dealt with this for a long time, I hope it brings you similar amusement. 😅
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