Russia Losing Tartus Navy Base In Syria: What It Means

[@RACwarFootage]

I love the fact that the audio quality is so low that it sounds like Sutton is actually trapped inside a sinking submarine, sharing his last bits of knowledge with us before he runs out of oxygen. It really helps in terms of immersion.

[@beeble2003]

"Unscripted and unedited, poor mic" But proves that quality content makes up for just about any technical issue.

[@Kosme88]

In an age of AI voices and profesional script readers, the poor mic quality is much appreciated.

[@ChristopheBilliet]

absolutely agreed. i used to check the media for news like this but nowadays it seems like we can only rely on actual persons of interest who are not affiliated to any media corp. oh well, thank you sir H. I. Sutton. :)

[@beeble2003]

@@Kosme88 It is kind of nostalgic, isn't it? ☺

[@TorianTammas]

​@@ChristopheBilliet First thing i would do using a computer voice to alter it like I use a 5 pound mic.

[@frankholub4673]

The early Xbox tier mic is a feature not a bug, it’s how you know it’s a legit HI Sutton video

[@Seasonstobecheerful]

welcome back ..fascinating how rapid the retreat has happened ..quality chat as always 👍👏

[@stickemuppunkitsthefunlovi4733]

Fascinating how it happened the day after trump met William. Seems they are making deals behind the scenes.

[@daviddesert3132]

Even on a Syrian governmentle level it was more of a hand over?

[@GM-xk1nw]

​@@daviddesert3132 I don't know, they used all their remaining air force to slow down the fsa

[@jimjones9239]

Russian beat American withdrawal speed from Syria as Joe Biden from Afghanistan.

[@jean-louislalonde6070]

I was expecting more support from Russia to the Assad regime. I always felt that Assad was still in power all those years because Russia wanted to keep its Tartuz naval base.

[@CapnDan57]

Thanks again. Don't be surprised how quickly things change in the coming days & weeks. The collapse of a house of cards accelerates once started.

[@chrisbrent7487]

It's already happened. Tartus has been captured as has the Russian airbase at Latakia with most of its aircraft. HTS have a whole fleet of SU-34 fighter bombers now. All the ships left but a huge amount of equipment like radars, control stations and SAM launchers got left behind. Damascus has also fallen. It is also likely that Assad is dead as the aircraft he was likely on dropped out of the sky and off radar.

[@rogerphelps9939]

@@chrisbrent7487 Been given asylum in Russia apparently.

[@roadgent7921]

​@@chrisbrent7487 You're making stuff up 😮

[@chrisbrent7487]

@@rogerphelps9939 Yes it turned out that He made it to Moscow. There was an aircraft that left Damascus at the same time that lost thousands of metres of altitude in seconds and disappeared off radar though. At the time it was believed he could have been on board. I never said definitively he was dead either. Russia has left huge amounts of equipment behind. They left many troops too who were cut off. The Kremlin has been begging Turkey to arrange safe passage for them. Pretty ironic that Russia is begging a NATO member for help. Some of them are also in the North and the Kurdish forces are or were blocking their passage.

[@TheTwangKings]

​@roadgent7921 Ivan Trollski no like bad news, ah? Sorry Ivan, truth is bitter pill to swallow.

[@chrism2966]

Q: Who is telling Russia to leave Tartus ? Who is giving that order ? A little too early for rebels to get so organised I feel.

[@mabuhayproductionltd3627]

Putin

[@alexanderjason434]

Rebels ? Isis are Terrorist Beheaders Nafo Tools

[@lwilton]

Common sense on the part of the local Russian command. The Assad regime is no longer there to be a friend to Russia. The locals are clearly really unhappy with the Assad regime, and sensible people could conclude that they are likely to be unfriendly to friends and supporters of the Assad regime. Especially friends and supporters of Assad who were recently bombing and killing huge numbers of the rebel troops and assorted nearby civilians. Russia has maybe a thousand personnel at the base, maybe 500 armed and trained troops, against basically every man with a gun in Syria. Those are not good odds. The rebels don't need to be organized in the C&C sense. They just need a few thousand people with guns to decide to go in the direction of the base, and it will be gone.

[@ssaini5028]

Rebels are backed by Turkey...maybe Russia wont leave

[@BeAHappyCamper2Day]

War Zone Echo has info I like or don't

[@SDGLFDNC]

This is happening lightning fast. I was listening to Matt Bracken and I got the impression this is faster than he thought. He said Russia wouldn’t leave, but then no one thought Damascus would fall so fast.

[@iridium8341]

Russia is still there, still has the base. What are you smoking?

[@SDGLFDNC]

@ first off, why the insults? Second, my first statement was that it was lightning fast. Information gets corrected and things change. Thanks for looking at the past with future information though. Russia WAS told to pull out. The information I had when I made that post indicated that they had pulled out. In fact the navy base they were at doesn’t have any Russian ships, which is why the Syrian “Navy” is no more; due to Israel. I believe the army base has been hit as well. If you’re going to hurl insults, at least do your research.

[@kevincook1018]

Regarding the issue of finding a new base of operation - I participated in an early site assessment to base a squadron of attack subs at Guam circa 2003. Starting from scratch it takes considerable time (2-3 years at least) to stand up the capability to do depot level maintenance.

[@SDGLFDNC]

Which has to be rolled out based on logistics and support. It’s not a matter of building a dock for work. A whole infrastructure has to be rolled out for it. That takes time to do even if you do it haphazardly.

[@kevincook1018]

@@SDGLFDNC Totally agree. Physical buildings or a floating dry dock would not be the most challenging part. My experience is in submarine program management. I am assuming large surface ships need a similar degree of logistic support.

[@SDGLFDNC]

@ My experience is in environmental consulting, ropes courses, and maintenance. I’ve built ropes courses and even there, you have to kind of roll out your plan before you get to the final product. The best example I could give was from my Hazwoper class. We were supposed to set up a mock contamination scene requiring class A coverage. I was overruled, but I wanted to set up our decon stations from least to greatest “contamination” BEFORE sending in the suited up team. We found out afterwards that I was right. My takeaway from that, which has served me well, is that proper prep work and roll out ahead of time makes doing the job MUCH easier. Same goes for design/stuff. You still need to have a plan. Be careful, planning for things like this along with emergency planning is a personal interest of mine. I’m looking for land to build my own infrastructure on. The problem is finding the right land in the right place.

[@absodell5872]

Great video once again! Would love to see a analysis on the footage and info about the destroyed Syrian navy.

[@pigletsdaddy3052]

How sad for them. Still I'll get over it.

[@pgreen8531]

Hahaha 😂😂

[@malloc7108]

The content is of exceptional quality, and I'm glad you managed to get ASPI to loan you their mic. The only bit that is different is I can understand you because the guy who won't stop coughing I guess has the day off

[@sovndvibes]

We live in interesting times.

[@lt.petemaverickmitchell7113]

Indeed!

[@lt.petemaverickmitchell7113]

Indeed!

[@SDGLFDNC]

What I wouldn’t give to have to been in the room the first time that curse was uttered. I bet you could hear a pin drop.

[@moltderenou]

We have always lived in interesting times, but sometimes nobody told us.

[@sforza209]

The 2020’s have been nothing but wars. And we’re only half way through!!

[@eat_the_pudding]

Yay! More videos please. 3 months was too long of a wait

[@TroenderTass]

An actual 3 day special military operation.

[@peterrezba995]

There was back room deal weeks ago. That's why Assad was already out of the country for weeks now. I seen an interview with Lavrov and you could see that he knew well in advance that this was going to happen. There was zero resistance, otherwise would have all sorts of battle footage coming out of Syria. Russia made a back room deal with Turkey Assad has been there for 24 years and his wife has been battling cancer Assad instructed his military fold Turkey guaranteed a smooth transition. He's been granted asylum in Moscow Russia

[@memirandawong]

@@peterrezba995 Do you have a source for the "backroom deal". I have heard nothing regarding such a plan.

[@hornantuutti5157]

Thats next level coping. Russia got booted from syria just like the assads army. They simply got served and had no power to stop the rebels. This is total humiliation for russia once again. There is even surrounded russian troops that got left back when others evac.

[@MaxwellAerialPhotography]

@@peterrezba995me when i just make shit up

[@juansanchez5001]

😅😅

[@John-dw5pn]

nice job, and yes, hearing a human voice is a winner for you being a legitimate source.

[@robertpatrick3350]

Maintaining a presence in the med is going to put a major maintenance burden on Russia’s navy…. It’s going to wear out their newer and more capable vessels.

[@NotASeriousMoose]

But how are they even going to handle it, you can't have your closest port in the Baltic or Murmansk while operating in the Med

[@TorianTammas]

Russia has no new or capable naval vessels

[@NotASeriousMoose]

@@TorianTammas They do, and most are sent to Syria, as propaganda / they are the only ones capable to do the trip

[@ahshari]

@@TorianTammas😂😂😂😂said some dude on youtube

[@keefymckeefface8330]

@@ahshari They dont have much. Some corvette size missile attack boats. Then niche stuf like small brown water fast attack craft, assault hovercraft- couple subs.. when you look at what Russia has built over last 10 or 15 years it aint loads and lot it is pretty small or niche usage. So, yeah, that dude off tube you laughing at was pretty close to the mark. ;)

[@ImperatorSomnium]

Welcome back and thanks for the analysis 🍻

[@Global_Educator]

Interesting perspective and very good analysis in my opinion. Thank you…do more please. We need more analysis of what Russia is up against beyond the Ukraine War!

[@emanuelfigueroa5657]

Last news, aparently Russia is in talks with the Rebels (HTS, SNA), and the former Syrian military that has now defected to rebel side, so Syria could still maintain those bases, what in exchange? I don't know exactly.. Maintenance as all the weaponry Syrias has is mainly Soviet/Russian. Support in the ongoing Invasion of Israel of southern Syria. Possibly the rebels want another card to de alineate from Turkiye. But I suppose the rebels really hate the Russians (no one likes to get bombed). The bases hasn't sill been taken from the Russians by force or truce, military personel is still there. And in worst case scenario, the ships and aircraft will take refuge in Russias other ally in the Mediterranean... Algeria.

[@john_in_phoenix]

It certainly does look like Russia is being kicked out of Syria!

[@tigersilberhannes9153]

And you created another islamist state, well done, i hope you are happy.

[@uzer12387]

​@@tigersilberhannes9153"you"? Are you talking about Assad? who repressed peaceful protests, used torture again and again, and used gas on his own people? Should we act surprised that people fighting him became less moderate as a result?

[@robinhard111]

@@tigersilberhannes9153 It was actually Syrians who kicked out their former murderous ruler; not that any veryt civilized government will result from all of thius.

[@harryniedecken5321]

​@@tigersilberhannes9153 it's an invasion by Israel against Russia

[@dukenukem8381]

@@tigersilberhannes9153 "islamist state" is just racism dog whistle. Anyway anything is better than being occupied by russian medieval imperialists.

[@StoneCresent]

At this time it remains to be seen if Russia loses its Syrian bases; although, they are certainly worried enough to evacuate their assets. The questions now are how the Alawites of the Syrian coast will act and if HTS or other rebels will attempt to push into the coastal plain.

[@GlennMerker]

There was zero will to stand and fight for Basharal-Assad.

[@bertiefox5410]

Why do you say that?

[@favesongslist]

@@bertiefox5410 It is how this is reported in the UK media.

[@armchairgeneralissimo]

Internal betrayal on Assad's side, his strongest and most loyal forces were sent to their deaths in Aleppo and along the M5 while the rest of the SAA stayed at their posts out of harms way or ran. Once these forces were dealt with the rest of the SAA were a stack of falling dominos.

[@joeblowe3180]

Same can be said for the Russians and Putin. They are high-tailing it out of there

[@NotSure723]

@@bertiefox5410 "Why do you say that?" -Because most of his forces abandoned him...

[@w0mblemania]

Thank you. This is a breath of fresh air after all the silliness on social media

[@RaulRuizH]

Right now there is an P-8A Poseidon patrolling in front of Tartus coast

[@oddizzee]

@@RaulRuizH is that the nuke torpedo.

[@udsmall7306]

​@@oddizzeeNo. It is one of our many surveillance platforms. Aircraft. 🛫

[@FranzBieberkopf]

I'd be surprised if NATO planes didn't keep ab eye on Russian navy bases. In the case of Tartous, maybe Israeli planes.

[@DrVinnieBoombots]

Nah....Satellites. :)

[@MaxwellAerialPhotography]

@oddizzeeno you mong, the P-8 Poseidon is an American maritime patrol aircraft.

[@RalphBrooker-gn9iv]

Thanks for this important insight delivered so quickly. Grounds for optimism.

[@RobertLutece909]

It's likely the Russians will do what we've always done when we lost a forward base. They'll find another ally which is willing to rent them a port in exchange for oil or economic development. It will take a few years, of course, but this is a temporary problem.

[@uzer12387]

Except that Russia doesn't appear to have much to offer these days. What just happened shows that it can't even offer the typical unconditional support to protect unpopular regimes anymore. It will be significantly harder for them to find an alternative than it would be for the US

[@RobertLutece909]

@@uzer12387 They have oil. Oil goes a long way.

[@termitreter6545]

@@RobertLutece909 I feel like a lot of people vastly overestimate the meaning of oil. Even in Afghanistan/Iraq war, oil really wasnt a big factor in the wars anymore. You can clearly see that in the limited efforts in securing these countries' oil-industry. These days, US has pretty good oil production with fracking, theres lots of countries that produce oil, but theres also alternatives like renewables. That doesnt mean oil isnt important, but its not - maybe never was - the end all be all of foreign politics.

[@Old_Machine_Spirit]

@@RobertLutece909 Considering how much of the world is moving away from oil, not to mention that the largest producers are Saudi Arabia and the US...that bargaining chip is only useful for China when they come asking for their due

[@benjiro8793]

@@Old_Machine_Spirit But China is a massive oil importer. So economic wise Oil is not on the table from China. The whole expansion in the South Sea is driven by their desire to secure the oil shipping routes. If anything, China is more likely to drag out any bit of oil a "China friendly country". China will most likely fall back the the old bribery with some "here is a big construction project where you officials their relatives can take a big chunk out" (build by Chinese imported labor for all the non-dangerous stuff). Aka, the hidden bribery but even those projects seems to be less popular because the "loans" are now considered poisonous to even china friendly regimes. Russia, they are down a creek without a paddle. Unless they want to trigger more issues like trying to get a navel base in Lebanon (que Israel going nuts). The only thing the Russian benefit from is a temporary stop of hostilities in Ukraine, to rebuild their army (and then relaunch a new invasion with fresh / better trained / equipped troops), and refocus on securing their other assets. What will be interesting is to see how Europe will react, as a large oil and gas importer. Securing regimes is a thing still high on the list of EU countries (especially France with Afrika). Its possible as we see the US withdraw from the world in its shell under Trump, that the EU will become a more aggressive nation. There are a rather large amount of ship/sub building projects announced/going on in EU states these days. Not all of that capacity is for home protection.

[@behindthespotlight7983]

Excellent commentary. New sub 👍🏼

[@MarcRademacher]

Where are they going now? Black Sea is not allowed by Turkey. Closest base is St Petersburg??

[@charlieunderwood1311]

But the Baltic is surrounded by NATO. The Arctic bases are probably frozen now.

[@dwgray9000]

​@@charlieunderwood1311 despite what russian propaganda claims, russia is not at war with nato. They can sail to konigsberg whenever they want too.

[@tonyp2865]

@@charlieunderwood1311 It's a missile world today, you ain't safe anywhere.

[@PrintScreen.]

Probably find a port in some shithole like Libya or sail to Vladivostok through Suez or as you said

[@robertpatrick3350]

They are going on a long cruise…… hopefully they are well provisioned it’s a long way will just a case of pickled cabbage and a jar of olives…… if they breakdown that’s a long way home and a highly profitable salvage claim for someone….

[@gnolan4281]

Quite interesting and informative; a tutorial on the wider implications and repercussions that broadened my perspective. My only quibble is that although my audio setup is top notch I find the narration somewhat difficult to understand even though English is my native language.

[@IsaacKuo]

Thanks so much for being so informative!

[@Wedgetail96]

Extremely informative video, as usual all facts, no hype. Greatly appreciated. Is relocating to Libya not an option for them?

[@andrewmcalister3462]

Libya atm is more a bunch of fiefdoms controlled by warlords than a country. Likely too unstable for even Russia to want to base expensive naval assets there. Some have suggested Algeria as a possibility. Lebanon is pretty cash strapped atm - Russia might be able to negotiate short term basing there in return for a couple of tankers of oil to keep their power stations running.

[@pranteranaud3617]

We don't have any idea who will be in power. This is a good report. However, let's wait and see what happens.

[@montrose252]

Welcome back! We have missed you

[@marymarlow3646]

Thank you. This is exactly the information I was wanting to hear about. It’s the most important implication for Ukraine. 👍

[@theancientsancients1769]

Erdogan of Turkey after Azerbaijan win now wins Syria and he will share a border with Israel and Lebanon through Syria something he sought for a long time

[@nomad7734]

Well the Kurds may have a say in it... and the rebels in the south

[@Hoaxer51]

The Kurds are looking for a good spot to call home, they may have found it. Erdogan won’t be happy about that but it might be what will stop the Kurds in Turkey from rebelling. He might have to give a little bit for the peace that would make life better for everyone.

[@akkafietje137]

Assad has really nice friends, Russia runs away, his army surrenders, Hezbollah flee to Lebanon, and Iran isn't home yet

[@ulfosterberg9116]

They are all just in it to screw the others. Just like the BRICS...

[@emmanuelojang3684]

Yea sure he Has nice Friends and i like that as a matter of facts that's what is bound to happen when you get carried away with Power

[@paddy2875]

Replaced by Al Qaeda and ISIS supporters

[@williamreese6642]

He is dead

[@KRAKEN777-u7b]

People in Syrian government. And military must have been paid to switch or stand aside . . Always the same . . Nothing get grassroots .. unless your IQ is the same as room temperature .

[@465maltbie]

Thank you for the update, it looks like there is enough uncertainty to go around for everyone. Charles

[@petersilva037]

@8:33 you wrote/said *exasperated" ... I'm pretty sure you meant *exacerbated* loved the video.

[@ardeladimwit]

8:07 exasperated" no, think you mean "exacerbated" . No doubt Putin is exasperated with his losses, but overall the loss of Syrian bases is strategically disastrous for Russia as even the Black Sea Fleet has met catastrophic damages. Shipping is generally cheaper than air, but there's a limit on how many Il-76/78 are now available for hauling cargo because Russia also ha to cannibalize parrt for aircraft and the IL-76/78 is rather obvious aircraft to take down.

[@HISuttonCovertShores]

thanks, yes!

[@HISuttonCovertShores]

You use a lot of good words in your reply

[@adrien5834]

Exasperate used to mean the same thing as exacerbate, to make a condition or a state worse. It's only recently that is has come to be used only as a synonym for annoy. It doesn't mean that you are wrong, of course, I just think that it's interesting.

[@ardeladimwit]

@@HISuttonCovertShores ah, you catch my typos as well.

[@nomad7734]

Russia is not losing their base... silly assumption.

[@robertwilkinson8421]

Interesting report. Lots of Great Points made here. Russia losing Syria as a Staging and Transit point for Travel into Africa was crucial. Now it's all gone, it's game over!

[@akula9713]

Considering that the rebels have been funded and provided with weapons by the Turks, (and Israel, USA) it will be interesting to see how Russia responds to Turkey’s actions. Will this mean a pipeline can now be laid through to Turkey to supply the EU from the Gulf states?

[@Titoscudd]

Russia should act like the US has done at Atanf and around the Syrian oil field and establish its bases in Syria whether or not the Syrian rebels or whatever government takes over permits Russian presence.

[@MichaelKoronka]

​@@Titoscudd The rebels would kick their asses. They Russian troops already lack the will to fight even with superior weapons. Russia already said the bombings they have done are futile. It will be interesting to see how it all unfolds. Where loyalties change and how well the rebels can govern.

[@jean-louislalonde6070]

Russia has another card to play regarding Turkey: Its admission (or not) in the Brics+. Turkey is on the fence, if it joins the Brics+ it cannot be with NATO.

[@karlgreene2177]

The regime change has and is all about the Pipeline that America Turkey and Israel wanted.

[@EternalKhann]

​@@jean-louislalonde6070Funniest comment of the day! 😂 BRICS is not a defense alliance. If it would be, you'd have India (QUAD member), China (Shanghai Cooperation), Ruzza (CSTO) and many others in a super-pact which is all against each other 😂

[@RichardGodson-ys6id]

I hope you don't mind me correcting one of your graphics at around 8:20. Ukraine's campaign in the Black Sea has exacerbated (not exasperated) the problem for Russia.

[@TrineDaely]

Any chance of getting a collab with What's Going on With Shipping about this? Since you both come at these subjects with expertise but from different angles I think it would be interesting to see what conclusions you'd come to as a team.

[@andrewthomson]

Watch both videos, ezpz collab right there.

[@thomasnowell]

Excellent info! I'm thankful for that. But the sound my man... Haha. Have you tried recording on your phone? Just press record and put it in the desk. No fancy stuff required. But it would be night and day compared to this.

[@ericaandshane]

Tartus is the second most important naval base outside of Russia. Surely Sevastopol is No. 1, even with the current limitations.

[@johnnyboy-f6v]

Sevastopol. Ahh yes, the port Putler stole then got bombed out of. Ahh yes...

[@graemes52]

Crimea is No1, Vladivostok and Murmansk are also in the top 5

[@ericaandshane]

@@graemes52 The last two are inside Russia.

[@richtea615]

Crimea is Russian clay now, comrade.

[@xcalibertrekker6693]

Russia is desperate as the rubble has collapsed and their whole economy is following close behind.

[@TerryGaskett]

Just found you, keep the info supply updates flowing, I'm sure there will be multiple things emerging around Africa resupply......😁🤔✔️

[@mcelravys]

It means the Med just got a little bit freerer

[@TorianTammas]

May be invest in a mic. My proposal would be a Shure MV7. You can plug it in your laptop. It would help your content a lot.

[@DrVinnieBoombots]

That's a $250 mic.

[@chcgo2undaground]

Russian naval ships have left Tartus by 11 Dec 2024...3 frigates, i Kilo sub, 2 support vessels...

[@reloads223]

thank you for your news report.

[@icns01]

Great analysis! Concise, clear and well supported with graphics. Intel and insight on the situation much appreciated!👍

[@donovan8747]

Putin: "All according to plan"

[@lawrencejames8011]

Whose plan ?

[@doxzer9684]

Don't f with motherland.

[@plotniski2822]

@@lawrencejames8011 Allah

[@rionijam727]

​@lawrencejames8011 almost certain he said putin

[@anuvisraa5786]

@@lawrencejames8011 trukey

[@Natealfjames]

Thank you sir for another informative video, great content 👌🏼

[@Balrog2005]

Maybe they will open one in Libya... but it will be interesting how Turkey play this, if they go too much anti Russian, that will be difficult. Erdogan normally wants to play all the sides so... (EDITED, Lybia not Libya...)

[@flavius5722]

They will remain without any based în the mediterranean

[@chirawanphung]

⁠​⁠@@flavius5722Lybia… mediteranean… oh dear.

[@Toastiiiiiiiiiiiiii]

@@chirawanphungwhat do you mean, Lybia hast some coast

[@flavius5722]

@@chirawanphungHaving a naval base that NATO countries like Italy can easily blocked , is not a good idea , Gaddafi find himself in the same situation And what does you make that the libians will even accept that ?

[@chirawanphung]

@@flavius5722 Who are the Lybians?

[@taylorthomas2089]

If they get the base back does that make them re Tartus?

[@bikechainmic]

It makes them "Tarts-r-Us"

[@kenhorlor5674]

Hehe, droll

[@lt.petemaverickmitchell7113]

Hahaha 😂😂

[@RobSandman]

If the US ends up owning it does that make it Apple Tartus?

[@xcalibertrekker6693]

The west wont allow that. Trump will install a pro US leader.

[@dukenukem8381]

hawk tuah podcast can wait, new HI Sutton video just dropped

[@556m4]

Can I interest you in some super valuable Hawk Coin my good sir ?

[@dukenukem8381]

@@556m4 Sorry sir, I only trade in stable beach pebbles.

[@imbalos]

@@Gentleman...Driver If she dont hawk tuah, I dont talk tuah

[@dukenukem8381]

@@Gentleman...Driver that is the joke

[@Gentleman...Driver]

@@dukenukem8381 ok

[@aucourant9998]

This is a big loss to Russia. They still have their warm water ports in the Black Sea, but these are vulnerable to the whims of Turkey.

[@keefymckeefface8330]

a very old treaty not just whims

[@TJ24050]

For the last three years Turkey has closed the Black Sea to either Ukrainian or Russian naval assets to come in or out. Their bases in Syria were the only warm water port they had outside of Russia itself. The only warm water ports they have now are in the Black Sea and they can’t get any ships in or out.

[@raywhitehead730]

Why should we care? Bring it home. America.

[@rogerphelps9939]

Ukraine, not Turkey.

[@johnnyboy-f6v]

Like rats abandoning ships, Sevastopol naval base was abandoned.

[@edwarding4355]

Where are these ships going to go? A long trip to Kalingrad.

[@jean-louislalonde6070]

Murmansk?

[@rogerphelps9939]

@@jean-louislalonde6070 Frozen solid.

[@nomad7734]

Russia is not losing it Navy base... it was already agreed upon during negotiations to stop fighting. As the rebels said, we are not fighting the Russians. :)

[@Sumabus]

This.

[@ThomasSmithTx]

Didn't the Russians bomb the rebels?

[@jpdemer5]

@@Sumabus ...is bullcrap. Russia is out.

[@jpdemer5]

@@Sumabus ...is bullcrap. Russians have already left.

[@joeblowe3180]

They're being forced out before they actually wanted to leave though. So SEMANTICS

[@roland20002000]

Great content but you really need a new mic

[@michaelneuwirth3414]

German, 60. Greetings from Berlin, and thank you for your video, because such important details as the probable loss of the only Russian naval base in the Mediterranean Sea must first prevail over other sensational reports or be recognised as news. P.S.: Propaganda can play down loss figures, but not the loss of a harbour!

[@nomad7734]

Russia isn't losing it naval base... it was part of the deal with the rebels to stop supporting Assad. Rebels stated, they are not fighting the Russians. Tell you everything one needs to know. They actually need Russia.

[@evaki-g3n]

😂😂😂😂😂​@@nomad7734

[@DrVinnieBoombots]

@@nomad7734 Having Wet Dreams again?

[@kennethe.3901]

Sorry for offtopic but do you happen to have a Jabra Bluetooth headset in use in this video? The audio has some phase outs etc

[@ThunderAppeal]

I thought this video was a year old because the narrative is two years old. Turns out this video is only a few hours old.

[@robbienl8176]

Russia has too lose 10 times before they finally lost something i gues.

[@relwaretep]

Hearing multiple reports of Syrian Army bases being abandoned with forces walking out in plain clothes, so yeah don't expect this base will remain occupied with Russian forces much past sunset.

[@scottcates]

Excellent report

[@war-painter]

Thank you Mr Sutton, your calm, informed voice on marine matters always cools me out in turbulent times as these. 🇺🇦🇺🇸🇺🇦

[@marcs990]

@H I Sutton Hi there, I’m in the defence industry also but more on the equipment & design area. My surname also is Sutton & I’m reaching out to ask if a fellow Sutton can offer any kind of employment, since the age of 16 I was in the Royal Signals & then went on to completing P Coy & joining 16 Air Assault Bge plus working within ARRC as a Warrant Officer. If you can assist or reach out to any contacts it will be greatly appreciated. Thanks, Mark.

[@andykim4563]

great vid, thanks for this

[@laughingTommy]

Great video. Thank you. I was wondering about the effect on aerial supply and resupply in Africa.

[@Rokaize]

Will this have consequences for russias reputation? Armenia froze their CSTO membership over the lack of Russias ability to provide peacekeeping. Will this result in further degradation of the world’s confidence in them meeting their obligations?

[@nomad7734]

Nope

[@Rokaize]

@ explain

[@DerDop]

@@Rokaize it's a humiliation for Russia, no matter what cope you read here.

[@MaxwellAerialPhotography]

@@nomad7734how would it not degrade confidence in Russia militarily and diplomatically. If this were the US you would definitely think it would be the case.

[@gregwallace6159]

If they end up keeping the bases it won't be as bad a look. If they lose the bases then I would guess that this will be the beginning of the "multipolar" world being set back at least a few decades.

[@N7-WAR-HOUND]

I really enjoyed this. Reminds me of the Preston steward channel with in depth analysis but with a Warm accent, any chance we could help you with some better recording equipment? I’m sure listeners would be keen to hear your take in a higher quality

[@msebastien24]

For now, you're wrong. Russia is not leaving Tartus. They have a 50-year lease. As with the Baikonur Cosmodrome, Russia has full sovereignty on its Tartus naval facility. The agreement, however, limits the number of Russian ships docked there at any one time to 11.

[@rogerphelps9939]

Lease was with the old regime. The new one will tear it up.

[@msebastien24]

@@rogerphelps9939 There was no announcement. Russian officials are in contact with the new authorities. So, what you say is not backed up by anything.

[@Seafox0011]

@@msebastien24 Lol its going deal with it.

[@murphy7801]

​@@msebastien24we have video footage of locals showing the Russians pulling out.

[@aftastosk6016]

​@@rogerphelps9939if they do so it will mean that Russia 's allies ( China etc) and possibly all the bricks block will not recognise them as legitimate government. If they want to be a normal government and not a Taliban like, they have to recognize the lease deal.

[@alexanderleach3365]

This would be bad for Putin to lose influence in the Mediterranean.

[@Duivenzijnfascisten]

When we needed him most, he returned

[@KapitainZino]

Very informative video, thank you!

[@peta333]

The airbase has already left too

[@danielk9906]

Hey mister Suutton, could you please make a video on midget submarines? Id like to know more about how theyve been used and why they disappeared from military use after ww2 basically

[@TheSlugstoppa]

Taxi for Assad - going anywhere.

[@hoogstraten4271]

To syberia

[@robertpatrick3350]

There’s alway a hotel available for him in The Hague, small private room en-suite and an exercise courtyard.

[@evaki-g3n]

And taxi for you to turkey maybe ???? 😂😂😂😂😂

[@jpdemer5]

"Never mind the ammo - send me a ride!"

[@bigsarge2085]

Interesting, thank you.

[@BobAbc0815]

I wonder if Algeria or Egypt would be willing to step in with a Replacement Base, for a (presumably high) Price🤔

[@DrVinnieBoombots]

LOL!

[@rogerphelps9939]

No.

[@andresmartinezramos7513]

Egypt no, because literally why Algeria no, because they are happy selling gas to Europe as Russia isn't

[@leifeline]

That naval base belongs to scotland now.They are going to store their fishing nets there for safty reasons!

[@Caseshells123]

It’s in Alewite territory. The Christian’s control it and will defend their territory. This area is not Damascus with different sects. They are well armed and organized. If they don’t want to give it up they won’t and the Russians won’t just walk away.

[@rogerphelps9939]

They have.

[@Gregory-kv8vj]

The correct word on the final slide is 'exacerbate', not 'exasperate'. These are two different things. The former means 'made worse' while the latter is suggestive of losing patience.

[@scottbruce40]

Glad someone pointed out this common mistake out before I became the dog-in-the-manager. Otherwise a very informative video with details I could not find else where. Btw, is H. Sutton related to Sutton Hoo?

[@philjameson292]

Looks like a long trip to the Baltic or Pacific for those Russian sailors

[@lawrencejames8011]

The last time they undertook this voyage was in 1905 and it ended in tears thanks to the Imperial Japanese Navy.

[@stellarhope6954]

Very informative

[@alanbstard4]

they won't give it up. This matter in Syria is not over yet

[@4adiarmuid]

be interesting to see how long they hold on to tartus and latakia - or if they try to take ground for new latakia oblast

[@johnnyboy-f6v]

Putin losing his last warm water port. Ouch! That's gotta hurt.

Only for a price of a few million lives - who cares about the Yazidi, Druze, Alawite and Christians. The Jews must be besides themselves of joy...

[@conso5434]

Ты я смотрю кипятком ссышь?

[@makoimonroe2633]

Dont be mad blame your governent.​@conso5434

[@Kosme88]

If only there was an exclave in the baltic sea that could host a warm water port.

[@robertstimac2428]

That port was his springboard for Africa and the Middle East. Now it will be much more difficult, more expensive, and the supply will last much longer.

[@robertjones-iv7wq]

Good information...but... technically, you keep turning away from your mic while talking and talking VERY softly. Amend that and you have a good show

[@buxomborin]

Speaking like the baby is sleeping while the in laws are staying over

[@karlfair]

Thank you, Sir.

[@albertmax9662]

Iran is the great unknown in the region with its Iraqi and Lebanese proxies.

[@DrVinnieBoombots]

Their bogged down with Israel wiping the floor with Hezbalah

[@frankwood3632]

Nothing like having to go live with your college student son due to a crisis at home.

[@mirola73]

Everything is still going according to plan............... It's all fine. Nothing to see here.

[@johnferris1913]

If I was Basher Al-Assad, I'd stay well away from the windows of my new home in Russia.

[@DominicFlynn]

there is no reason to believe Russia will lose it's Tartus Navy Base. Syria, no matter the regime, is bound by treaty to comply with the base lease agreement.

[@TheTiger8753]

Dominic Flyn aka Ivan when did Russia EVER honour ANY agreements, both navy and air force bases are lost. The rebels would not be that stupid that they would allow an enemy to be stationed in their backyard. Tough to swallow aye Ivan?

[@davidhimmelsbach557]

Putin has already run away with his fleet. Sheesh.

[@pd4165]

The lease is worth no more than the price of the paper that it's written on - it was agreed with a government that no longer exists. This isn't a change of party in power it's a revolution. The incoming government might be open to leasing bases to Russia.......or it may not. If not then Russia will just have to walk away from them.

[@Colinpark]

I understood that the ships based at Tartus were part of Black Sea fleet, meaning they are allowed to tranist back to the Black Sea, but then they would be stuck there, is that correct?

[@HISuttonCovertShores]

No, they are blocked from entering the Black Sea by Türkiye, under a different part of Montreux

[@Steve-fe8gj]

Wow, this was one of the best MI6 videos I’ve ever seen!🙃

[@HorstMichel-mh7gv]

Thanks for the insight.

[@canconservative8976]

Exact scenario occurred in Ukraine 2014... did Russia abandon it's massive military base in the Crimea? Wake up kids...

[@abroamg]

The rebels ending Assads Russia friendly regime weren’t supported by Russian special forces though. The only way is negotiation at this point. And Russia would have to make a big sweet deal, since the other potential interested parties aren’t tied up fighting on their own soil

[@restitvtororbis5330]

Is Russia going to fly in all the soldiers and equipment it needs to hold a port in a now unfriendly country? I think not. The portion of the port they have is small and the airbase inland is already cut off by land. Without a friendly regime in Syria there's no justifiable reason to waste resources holding ground that they will inevitably lose anyway. Even if Russia didn't have Ukraine to worry about right now, an entire regime you back collapsing in 2 weeks would be enough to bow out of country. It was barely worth diverting resources to back the regime to begin with over the past 2 years, and with the regime gone the strategic calculus just can't justify holding on to that port any longer.

[@canconservative8976]

@@restitvtororbis5330 sure, there is a strategy in fall back and consolidate… why hasn’t the port been taken?… Russia will probably extricate with all its vessels and armoury intact, compared to the American withdrawal in Afghanistan

[@canconservative8976]

@@abroamg you give too much credit to the ragtag who only succeeded because of the will of the people, unlike the short lived incident in Turkey a few years back

[@kimmogensen4888]

Along the Syrian coast is the heartland of the tribe who have been running Syria for long then I lived they are only 13% of the population but are very strong in that mountain range along the coast I don’t think they are likely to be conquered militarily but some negotiated deal will probably be made, that is their homeland they will not just give up but fight to the last man, the navy bases is definitely under threat but I don’t think the rebels will go there but instead negotiate over a peace deal and Russia will not be let back into Syria, it is not impossible to get to the bases of the Russians it is just a high risk and there will probably only be none friendly faces around