Ryan McBeth on Endgame in Ukraine, WW3 and What Trump's Win Means For the World | Ep. 39 Ryan McBeth

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Decoding Geopolitics Podcast

Decoding Geopolitics Podcast

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 318
@patf1288
@patf1288 3 күн бұрын
He wasn't in the Marines he was in the Army
@mattkelly2004
@mattkelly2004 3 күн бұрын
This is true!
@jimgauth
@jimgauth 2 күн бұрын
Probably why he talks more about Europe, than the Pacific region.
@hrvojesvetec3058
@hrvojesvetec3058 4 күн бұрын
Totaly agree..Ukrainians are great people, very brave, bold, capable, inovating and determed to defend/fight for their freedom, their country and people🇺🇦👍..we totaly underestimate Ukrainian people.would be devastating and dam evil to throw them under the bus after 3 yrs of heroic fighting, would be unforgivable!🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇸🇪🇸🇪👍
@kurtwicklund8901
@kurtwicklund8901 4 күн бұрын
Good thing history shows that could never possibly hapoen.
@ianatkin7541
@ianatkin7541 4 күн бұрын
"If" Russia lies? Wake up.
@maddskillz5177
@maddskillz5177 3 күн бұрын
Why? Russia is on the right side of the history.
@BTC9403
@BTC9403 3 күн бұрын
@@maddskillz5177what drugs are you on
@MrGamerxpert
@MrGamerxpert 3 күн бұрын
@@maddskillz5177 That'd be a first
@tiortedrootsky
@tiortedrootsky 3 күн бұрын
@@maddskillz5177 holy f thats rich...
@maddskillz5177
@maddskillz5177 2 күн бұрын
@@BTC9403 no drugs, just compare western culture to russia and stop watching hollywood. Iraq, iran, libia, serbia, follow the money. Russia is a good guy here, not usa promoting coup in 2014
@sarcasmo57
@sarcasmo57 4 күн бұрын
I think trump will bend over for Putin. But I hope you're right.
@sjoormen1
@sjoormen1 4 күн бұрын
Don't forget Sholz.
@lu544
@lu544 4 күн бұрын
I doubt it. What does he get in return as if he appeases it be like Afghanistan and he doesn't want that.
@ronaldgarrison8478
@ronaldgarrison8478 4 күн бұрын
Maybe he pushes Ukraine for a cease-fire that gives up some of their territory (although that might take a LOT of pushing). That leaves Russia in a pos'n to attack again in a few years. But by then, Trump's term is over, and it's someone else's problem.
@stevebusfield199
@stevebusfield199 3 күн бұрын
But will he bend over backwards or forwards? That's what the World wants to know.
@triluve
@triluve 3 күн бұрын
useful idiot that's how they call him
@Tufas
@Tufas 4 күн бұрын
All the talk about Germany having such a small army and not contributing - I remember Great Britain and France being quite happy at a reunited Germany that wanted to downsize its military so that Germany would not dominate European security. Fully understand that times have changed but so many people act like this does not effect the present. A lot of countries WANTED a less militarized Germany.
@ArthurTurner-bm1fn
@ArthurTurner-bm1fn 4 күн бұрын
Germany understands now that when it gets into a hobby it REALLY gets into a hobby. Call me an idiot but I like to think they'd be a phenomenal and responsible ally. The sins of the father do not carry down.
@ugiswrong
@ugiswrong 4 күн бұрын
The Turks would not fight against erdogan, so logically the German army would need to be divided by ethnicity if enlarged. That doesn’t work though due to older reasons
@erichert1001
@erichert1001 4 күн бұрын
Germany was pretty powerful militarily up until the early 90's. Which seems to be correlated to a certain event.
@PeterA650
@PeterA650 3 күн бұрын
The last German defense minister (whatever her name is) was hellbent on dismantling the rest of it and actively sabotaged aid to Ukraine until Scholz had no other option but to fire her.
@triluve
@triluve 3 күн бұрын
​@@erichert1001west germany?
@HoboHabilis
@HoboHabilis 3 күн бұрын
Last time I’ll click on this channel. One hour in he puts up the paywall.
@sittinandthinkin
@sittinandthinkin 3 күн бұрын
Just trying to help, Estonia Latvia and Lithuania are the BALTICS. The Balkans is the area between the Adriatic and Black Seas.
@Atlas_21
@Atlas_21 3 күн бұрын
Joke is on you, he said the BalkLANDS 🤣. Covering all bases there lol
@timotheusvanesch3959
@timotheusvanesch3959 2 күн бұрын
@@Atlas_21 Balking his way through the interview, indeed. 😂
@BrulesRules
@BrulesRules 10 сағат бұрын
Yeah where are the Balklands?
@IusedtohaveausernameIliked
@IusedtohaveausernameIliked 3 күн бұрын
The problem is that if you thumb your nose at the rule of law, that fabric that holds American society together won't be there for much longer. Respect for law and order used to be the GOP mantra but now they have a criminal for a president-to-be. That is worrisome for anybody who actually respects democracy.
@julius43461
@julius43461 Күн бұрын
Your cult has already destroyed that fabric. Trump won because he promised to fix it. I doubt he can, but that is the reality that your out of touch cult is missing/ignoring.
@Prometheus-Unbound
@Prometheus-Unbound 4 күн бұрын
WW3 started sometime in the last 10 years or so - historians will argue about the date. We don't see it clearly because it's highly asymmetric (think migration, infowars etc) and because as in WW2 it has aggressors with differing objectives who are allies only because of a common enemy, which broadly speaking is Western Civilisation and Culture (and its rules based systems).
@BobAbc0815
@BobAbc0815 4 күн бұрын
Historians still argue if WW II started in 39 or 37 and if WW I was the third Balkans War, so you might be right.
@MM22966
@MM22966 4 күн бұрын
Probably will peg it to the 2014 seizure of the Crimea or the start of the Donbass rebellion. Both have that "Mukden Incident" feel. (assuming historians decide to label what is going on as a World War)
@lu544
@lu544 4 күн бұрын
​​@@MM22966it's 2014 when Ukraine was officially invaded versus like Georgia or moldiva.
@MM22966
@MM22966 4 күн бұрын
@@lu544 How is Moldova included? It was not invaded. (Russian troops in its Transnistria region date back to end of the Cold War/breakup of the Soviet Union)
@Prometheus-Unbound
@Prometheus-Unbound 4 күн бұрын
@@BobAbc0815 I'd go for 2014 being 1931 - an Imperial power invades a nation using a dubious historical excuse and the world ignores it thereby suggesting land grabs are an acceptable political process.
@jonathanrousseau9552
@jonathanrousseau9552 3 күн бұрын
I don't know where he gets the idea that Trump will help Ukraine win this war.
@BobAbc0815
@BobAbc0815 4 күн бұрын
Pro Tip: dont line up for the Russian Recruitment Office, no matter how much they offer. The Health Risks make it not worth it, that's why they have to offer so much in the first Place.
@Blake_87
@Blake_87 3 күн бұрын
Health risk? This is war man. Not COD
@stevebusfield199
@stevebusfield199 3 күн бұрын
Are you saying you might get lead poisoning in the trenches?
@josephbriceno2799
@josephbriceno2799 5 сағат бұрын
And when you die, your family will findvthat they won't even pay up. They are literally lying and saying that these soldiers died away from combat within Russia to avoid payments. Additionally, those sent to fight in the Kursk oblast are likewise being denied death benefits because they are "within Russia". They are claiming that many have died in "automotive accidents".
@sshender3773
@sshender3773 4 күн бұрын
As a long time subscriber and fan of Ryan's I have to admit that there were too many bad takes for comfort. Listening to this on the go, but a rebuttal thread is absolutely called for.
@DrG65199
@DrG65199 3 күн бұрын
What are some of the bad takes you disagree with?
@jarettmeyer4929
@jarettmeyer4929 3 күн бұрын
I was thinking about all the “ummm” and “uhhhh” during the convo.
@DrG65199
@DrG65199 3 күн бұрын
@@jarettmeyer4929 fair enough. My interpretation of these is that they are a consequence of him actually considering the question and formulating a genuine response. Instead of a rehearsed or preplanned catch phrase. Just my perception though. Open to other views.
@Prometheus4096
@Prometheus4096 3 күн бұрын
@@DrG65199 Ryan McBeth doesn't really know what he is talking about. He has some niche military knowledge. But he doesn't know where his expertise stops. And he has not even a basic feel for politics or international relationships. He is a loudmouth that is good at getting attention, though.
@jarettmeyer4929
@jarettmeyer4929 3 күн бұрын
@ typically I agree. Though most of these if not all of these questions he has answered in videos he has made. And it just seemed to me that his mind wasn’t as sharp as it may usually be. Maybe from running right before the show? Don’t get me wrong I like Ryan a ton so no dig on him at all from me.
@rpersaud562
@rpersaud562 4 күн бұрын
Yeah, i like his spin on things about Europe and Trump, but i am not holding my breath. I just keep thinking back to Trump agreeing with Putin and disagreeing with the US intelligence agencies.
@kurtwicklund8901
@kurtwicklund8901 4 күн бұрын
Dude's punditry boils down to yet another practitioner of hammer one's personal round peg into the geopolitical square hole.
@lu544
@lu544 4 күн бұрын
Same intelligence people who signed that bogus Russian dossier about trump that came to be a lie?
@julius43461
@julius43461 Күн бұрын
Trumps recent "WW3" speech was scary. He really wants to throw Ukraine under the bus sadly.
@sakarivaariskoski7700
@sakarivaariskoski7700 3 күн бұрын
The automatic subtitles named him "Ryan Meth" lmao
@johnwalsh4857
@johnwalsh4857 4 күн бұрын
if you see in context of the Iran iraq war 1980 to 1988, the Iranians delayed releasing the hostages until after the USA 1980 elections were over and the Reagan gov was in power, after the Iranian gov made deals with the USA rep party. if elected Reagan would unfreeze Iranian assets and resume the delayed arms shipments that were ordered by the Shah Iranian gov that they overthrew. Well the hostages got released some Iranian assets got unfrozen some weapons went thru , but the USA did not finish the deal on their end due to delays, and this resulted in the Iran contra scandal. with iran angry at the USA and doing terrorist attacks and taking American hostages in the 1980s to get the USA get thru 100 percent of the deal , USA was in a position basically to double cross the Iranians since the Iranians were desperate and fighting for their lives vs. the Iraqis in the 1980s. So in context look at this scenario , Putin helps Trump get elected, Trump then makes a play about ending the war, negotiations collapse, Trump on his end , ends all support for Ukraine. however the EU and their allies step in and provide dramatically more aid to Ukraine, and USA allows Ukraine to buy weapons from the USA using the aid money coming from the Europeans and allies. and the war continues. Not surprised if Putin gets angry and starts doing terrorist attacks on USA European allied industries supporting Ukraine. Which only inflames the west to give more aid to Ukraine. The drip feeding continues as usual but with the Europeans replacing the Americans in drip feeding the aid. I think , the war ends with the Russians holding 20 percent of Ukraine, both sides exhausted. The peace negotiations result in the Russians keeping the 20 percent they conquered from Ukraine in exchange the Ukraine gets security guarantees from NATO , billlions in USD in reconstruction aid. and army gets to rearm with the help of NATO. Russia gets all its assets unfrozen and all sanctons lifted. However yes both sides are exhausted just like the Iranians and Iraqis after their war ended in 88. However both sides armies are not in any state to win against the other. and the Russian army in particular while greatly expanded. its been largely humiliated. with lots of prestige lost. its combat doctrine remains the same , lot of command and control issues too centralized. however its improved esp. in terms of drone warfare, however its weapons stocks dating back to the cold war has been severely depleted. also the war by the time it ends I think the Russians would have suffered about 1-2 million casualties. for like 20 percent of Ukrainian land which is mostly ruins. which the Russians have to spend many billions of USD rebuilding. Also the Russians while ballyhooing they won, will not feel that they have won, many elites will start blaming Putin and each other for the war. Also world oil prices might crash due to the USA drilling more oil under the Trump admin. I tink Putin will probably do a massive purge of the elites after the war just to keep his regime stable which has been destabilized due to the war , and also crack down on rising crime rates, as the Ukraine war veterans return back to Russia, the the crackdowns probably result in rebellions esp. in the ethnic minority areas. Russian economy crashes after the war. with Putin so called Indian and Chinese allies maybe even the North Koreans call on the Russians to pay up their war debts to them. in the face of mounting internal problems, Putin cannot just do another war to distract the Russians. so will probably resort to more purges and internal repression to stabilize his regime. and go on to repair his economy and rebuild and reform his army but this will be slow gong due to various economic problems Russia will be facing like foreign investors not coming back to Russia in droves. like pre war and still European hostility to Russia with the Europeans largely not buying Russian energy products. Also as for the political front, the rise of the PMCs during hte war created many PMCs , and those PMCs are loyal to Russian patrons who are oligarchs. Those guys cant just bve purged by Putin since it might result in a civil war. and the PMCs are paying top dollar and better working conditions and benefits, recruiting from the returning Russian war veterans , no one wants to join the Russian army. and these oligarchs with their PMCs are very much unhappy with Putin. but Putin is still t he middle man they need to keep Russia from going into some sort of destabilization. Now after Putin its really a question on who rules next. if the successor to Putin does not havef the same caliber of managing as Putin then there is a grave problem with Russia having lots of PMCs( even the Rosgvardia is a PMC of the FSB). Then a succession crisis can cause a civil war. Now if this civil war occurs, it will be an opportune time for Ukraine, as Ukraine is probably in a great position to take advantage of it as its probably rearmed and reformed its military with a booming economy and rapidly rebuilding. While Russia on the border has a tanking economy and in severe destabilization. not surprised if Ukraine supports various factions in the war. for hte pirce of returning back its lost territory. So Ukraine manages to take back all or most of its lost territory with a Russia not being able to do anything about due ot it having a civil war.
@polarissilvertree
@polarissilvertree 3 күн бұрын
I don't agree with Ryan. The strength AND weakness of American democracy is that it requires voluntary trust of the government and amongst themselves. That trust is breaking down because of people like Trump. At some point it is irreversible.
@googacct
@googacct 4 күн бұрын
Initially I gave this podcast a thumbs up, but after cutting off the podcast halfway through to force people to go to patreon, I gave it a thumbs down. I do not like that kind of bait and switch. If you are going to do do something like this you need to make it clear at the beginning of the podcast as well as in the description of the video. that this is only a partial interview.
@MalachiMarvin
@MalachiMarvin 3 күн бұрын
Thanks for the heads up.
@aaa777aaa
@aaa777aaa 4 күн бұрын
Russian rural population does not buy in supermarkets. They buy in small local stores or just grow own food in backyards, small land plots etc. like they have done for centuries. At night there are no lights visible from satelites, there are no street lights, windows are insulated for cold reasons.
@yaroslavromanov8357
@yaroslavromanov8357 3 күн бұрын
urbanization of Russia is 75%, rural population is insignificant
@aaa777aaa
@aaa777aaa 3 күн бұрын
Men killed in Ukraine are mostly from rural population, urban and especially big cities men do not want to fight, that's why there is no second draft. So for the purpose of identifying how many potential soldiers are left estimating rural population size is important.
@hungrybraineater2
@hungrybraineater2 3 күн бұрын
@@yaroslavromanov8357 If you live in Chelybinsk its like living in the middle of Ohio nobody in Moscow gives a shit about you. Its a similar dynamic to the US. Cities like Milwaukee, Cleveland, Detroit, Flint, New Orleans, Baltimore, Mobile. It might be urban but infrastructure is terrible and you are lucky to have it at all. I suspect most people signing contracts are from the smaller cities in Russia nobody cares about. Those cities like Cheylybinsk might as well be rural given how disconnected the Russian intelligentsia and decision makers are from them.
@yaroslavromanov8357
@yaroslavromanov8357 3 күн бұрын
I don't know what you call rural in Ohio, but Chelyabinsk agglomeration contains about 1.5 million people, three quarters of which are in Chelyabinsk itself. It is the seventh largest city in the country
@hungrybraineater2
@hungrybraineater2 3 күн бұрын
​@@yaroslavromanov8357 Well yes the midwest as a whole is also an amalgamation of Pittsburg and Cleveland along with Chicago, Detroit etc is an interconnected industrial region like Chelybinsk, important people in the capital seem to want to throw under the bus for some easy money. Granted Russia has their population in communist block apartments. The Americans just stuffed their people in cookiee cutter woodframes and saddled them with an underwater mortgage.
@thomasjgallagher924
@thomasjgallagher924 9 сағат бұрын
I've been follwing Ryan probably since March 2022. His investigative work is wonderful and he's that balance of integrity an entertainment that makes him so widely respected. He did, however, wander off into speculation and areas that aren't his expertise, as well as make repeated mistakes liek referring to the Baltics as, something like the Balkins (wasn't quite the same). Oil production in the US is and has been the highest in recent years. Ever. It's not regulatory constraints on drilling that is restraining production, but rather refining capacity and price itself. Few new refineries are being opened because they're huge and expensive and if we're at the "end of oil" no one wants to make that investment. Prices are low and could go lower, which means producers don't want to increase supply. So removing and new well formation restrictions in the US is unlikely to have an impact on Russia. One could argue, like he did on European health care (which isn't free), that if Americans all spent $500 less on gasoline per year, that would have a similar impact on price. The US is and has been the largest supplier to Europe of LNG and there were huge investments in port facilities in Europe to increase the level of LNG that can be imported. LNG is expensive and not competitive in price vs pipelines. It's unlikely that facilitating much more LNG will have an impact on the Russian economy. There are quite a few areas that Ryan wandered off into that could have used refinement, but in his characterization of Obama-period aid was a bit misleading. One of the things I saw a lot of in Ukraine during the 2010s was US advisors and trainers remaking Ukrainian forces into something more of a Western model. It was that effort to make NCOs (like the goo sargeant, here) more meaningful. That work didn't get far enough along before the full-scale invasion, but it has been critical. ZSU forces in Donbas at the time would credit the LM TPQ-53s (short-range radar for mortar fire) as having some of the biggest impact on casaulty numbers. Those were in with the blankets from O'bama. Yes the Javelins in 2017 were huge in pushing the Russian armor back into Russia, but I'm not so sure that was Trump helping Ukraine so much as Trump conducting a sale; it wasn't aid. One last thing because I think I made my point on the "wandering off" bit. These two gentlemen talked about how hard it is to really read the sentiment and such in Ukraine. Well come on over! It's not expensive to get to Ukraine from Czechia, for example, and it's pretty cheap to travel around. Get your feet wet in L'viv, then Kyiv, the Kharkiv. Talk to people. Super easy. Talk to troops. Super easy. Yes the media and politicians get it wrong, but don't take my word for it. You have remote jobs, go to Ukraine for a fortnight or something. The Eagles already won the NFC East anyway, but good luck to the Commanders in the Wild Card. ;p
@ChristophKral
@ChristophKral 4 күн бұрын
Ryan is naive - also Germans thought 1933 that Hitler is "only a little extreme but otherwise no real danger".
@lu544
@lu544 4 күн бұрын
Lol so you think Trump is the same?
@JinKee
@JinKee 4 күн бұрын
Fight disinformation with knowledge!
@TheKilo0123
@TheKilo0123 4 күн бұрын
Ryan was in the army... No disrespect... But the army is the army, and the marines are not the army...
@user-oo8xp2rf1k
@user-oo8xp2rf1k 2 күн бұрын
Just for clarity from the UK : we don't want him to pay for a WHOLE F35. We just want him to pay for something relatively affordable such as one of the straps on a seat, or some of the lower spec pipework. .
@Daveyboy1066
@Daveyboy1066 4 күн бұрын
Talk about mental gymnastics, so that is how someone can legitimise supporting both Ukraine and Trump. By coming up with some fantasy scenario which totally disregards reality. What can I say the guy is delusional and has mentally managed to fit a square peg into a round hole to ignore a bucket full of inconvieniant truths and his clear bias towards Trump (for whatever reason) is what has driven this. He will know in reality Trump is devoid of all integrity and character, is completely self serving only doing that which he see's as benefitting him personally and Putin will just make sure (as he has been doing for decades now) that his agenda is mutually beneficial for Trump to. The long and short of which means, not only is Ukraine screwed but the US and Western democracy.
@MM22966
@MM22966 4 күн бұрын
The bias is that most Americans support Trump. That is how he was elected. They (& Ryan) clearly trust him as a leader because of that. I don't think anybody really knows what President Trump's plan for dealing with the Russo-Ukraine War is. Most are just guessing. People that pretend they do for certain are simply repeating propaganda from others.
@kurtwicklund8901
@kurtwicklund8901 4 күн бұрын
I figured I would just skim the comments rather than watch the video. I gave up on the guy months ago. He is great on technical issues. Then he decided he wss a geopolitical pundit too. Should have stayed in his lane.
@Eduardo-pc6gq
@Eduardo-pc6gq 4 күн бұрын
@@kurtwicklund8901likewise I’ve found him interesting before. Now he seems to make almost ridiculous statements that it sounds like he’s making up as he’s going along. Not well thought out structured commentary on geopolitics. Like you say should have stayed in his lane, appears he’s become carried away with himself now. Shame.
@stevebusfield199
@stevebusfield199 3 күн бұрын
I don't think he's a trump supporter, but his business ties often include or revolve around military contracts, if you want to do business with trump's military (gag), then you need to show yourself to be apolitical and nonpartisan. Obvious to me anyways.
@Daveyboy1066
@Daveyboy1066 3 күн бұрын
@@stevebusfield199 So he is just yet another blogger that's been bought!
@cadmdhpro8779
@cadmdhpro8779 4 күн бұрын
Belgium has tens of thousands of lobbyists. You can find everything they like. Not sunshine, though.
@collintrytsman3353
@collintrytsman3353 4 сағат бұрын
by 'Balklands' do you mean the Baltic States Ryan:)
@emanuelroth7960
@emanuelroth7960 3 күн бұрын
For personal use-- at 15:12 ryan talks about it's really about china and Taiwan. If America doesn't support Ukraine which has an easy railroad line across the border from allied nations, America will certainly not support Taiwan.
@Gnaeus155
@Gnaeus155 2 күн бұрын
I agree with so much, except that the United States has been here politically ever before. Never has someone tried to overthrow the government and then been reelected. Or that US citizens, especially the younger generation, feer the loyalty to our country that the people you associate with do.
@williamcahill2462
@williamcahill2462 3 күн бұрын
I appreciate what Ryan says about "there is enough that ties us together to get us through" That was true for me, now IDGAF
@quintrankid8045
@quintrankid8045 3 күн бұрын
When did that change for you? And why?
@williamcahill2462
@williamcahill2462 2 күн бұрын
@quintrankid8045 when I met young black guys telling me they were voting for him because "he gave them a stimmy (stimulus check)" When I met Cuban Americans who cannot be moved once the world socialism is invoked, forgetting that police, fire, military, libraries and government are socialism. When met Mexicans with undocumented family voting for him. I knew I was done with my 50 year fight to want more for the many. I'm not doing it anymore. Not changing how I vote, just now focused on my immediate needs only. They can all live with the cosequences of their abject stupidity. I'm done!!
@reserva120
@reserva120 3 күн бұрын
Were 800 ATACMs and 500 Harm missiles away from this war being over .. so simple .
@SoniaBalfour
@SoniaBalfour 3 күн бұрын
Too simplistic counting supermarkets in Russia,the country outside of the cities consists of villages divided up into smallholdings every resident,and many who are non residents living in the city will visit on the weekend to, grow their own fruit , veg potatoes,maize etc many will have a cow for milk,a pig for bacon,chickens for eggs,forest for berries,firewood and mushrooms,surplus is bottled,dried,smoked , stored underground or sold.The village shop generally supplies the basics,tea sugar,cooking oil,matches and ciggarets. In the event of an economic collapse eastern europeans and Russians are in a far better position to survive than western counterparts who rely on supermarkets. Probably a far better indicator of population would be the consumption of tea,kasia,cooking oil and other staples. that need to be imported or refined for local consumption.
@quintrankid8045
@quintrankid8045 3 күн бұрын
I wonder, could you just count roofs by area and adjust for density or proximity to other roofs?
@meintingles4396
@meintingles4396 3 күн бұрын
I don't think the 2% argument holds up anymore, does it? Most of them ARE spending 2%.
@luckyluckydog123
@luckyluckydog123 3 күн бұрын
by no means all. Germany is around 1.5%, and so is Italy, Spain and some other smaller countries such as Belgium. In fact just yesterday in Italy I heard on TV a left-wing politician who said Italy should CUT military expenses, because weapons kill kill bad bad, handouts good good
@timotheusvanesch3959
@timotheusvanesch3959 2 күн бұрын
@@luckyluckydog123 “In 2024, NATO Allies in Europe will invest a combined total of 380 billion US dollars in defence. For the first time, this amounts to 2% of their combined GDP," said Mr Stoltenberg. According to NATO itself, which seems to me a reliable source. According to the EDA it's 1.9%. In absloute numbers, the EU is heading towards €326bln in 2024 ($347bln). EU and Europe are 2 different things; there are a few European countries who are not a part of the EU but are a part of NATO. (f.i. the UK & Norway). Apart from this, the USA needs to keep in mind that NATO is "Trans-Atlantic", NOT "Trans-Pacific". The USA has 2 seas to sail; Europe has only NATO. Of course we are also helping in the Pacific, but that makes it more logical the USA is spending more than 3%.
@Wacko2-wrx
@Wacko2-wrx 3 күн бұрын
Thought I was going hear an intelligent conversation but found I had 2 clowns trying to outdo each other. Go on line guys and get some facts and just for starters it’s Ukraine running out of soldiers not Russia.
@Transblucency
@Transblucency 2 күн бұрын
Ooookay buddy. Don't be stupid. Russia's losses are much, much higher than they were in Afghanistan or Chechnya (source here was Yevgeny Prigozhin whose losses for Wagner PMC alone by May last year outstripped the entire total of Russians killed in Afghanistan over 10 years by about 4,000 to 6,000 KIA. As far as equipment losses, well take a look at the satellite data for yourself. Warthog Defense does some great analytics. The Russian army is being bled white in the Ukraine and you know it.
@subcitizen2012
@subcitizen2012 3 күн бұрын
I watched Ryan for a couple years there, then one day he was casually talking about the arsenal being dropped in Gaza and clarified that he's in full support of Israel, full unceasing and unquestionable support as they give us a taste of a present day holocaust-but-nicer. This is what's tolerated. The ceasefire protests were about the weapons killing 70% minors and women, now estimated well into 100k victims. Photocopy coming to Lebanon next year. This is a man that knows what he's talking about on a lot of things, but he's a military-hammer terrorist-nail kind of guy. He's the sort of dude that I didn't join the military so I wouldn't become. Jokes on me, there's only minor differences here and there. Like not being able to recognize present day atrocities and why they were committed. Peace can be pursued as vigorously as war, but jingoism and a lot of money reverse laundered money.
@quintrankid8045
@quintrankid8045 3 күн бұрын
Do you recognize what Hamas did on Oct 7th as an atrocity?
@tiortedrootsky
@tiortedrootsky 3 күн бұрын
The problem with potential for Trump to go all in for Ukraine is one of the big points for people to vote for him seem to be spending more on americans... A lot of people dont want to help anybody while their life is getting worse. I wouldnt count on Trump.
@jed4119
@jed4119 3 күн бұрын
We don’t need everyone to know about US getting help through article 5 we need Trump to know .
@vrlp2576
@vrlp2576 4 күн бұрын
Please don't ask vain people personal questions.
@stevebusfield199
@stevebusfield199 3 күн бұрын
He's far from vain.. Self-depreciating for sure.
@LeakyNefarious
@LeakyNefarious 3 күн бұрын
Really. Don't ask any guest personal questions. I didn't click on this video to here him low-key whine about being lonely
@stevebusfield199
@stevebusfield199 3 күн бұрын
@LeakyNefarious true... you've never been laid, and you don't whine.
@tonydejesus3774
@tonydejesus3774 3 күн бұрын
Odd takes all around. If you can stave off a mass mobilization by relying on another nation, it costs less to use their troops than yours. The thing with a dictator is that they are not constrained by the morals of their people.
@quintrankid8045
@quintrankid8045 3 күн бұрын
Perhaps not. But even dictators have political constraints. And from what I hear Putin is reluctant to draft people from Moscow because mass protest might be more likely, and maybe also, there are more relatives of oligarchs in Moscow. But what do I know? Not much.
@williamcahill2462
@williamcahill2462 3 күн бұрын
That pay wall move at the end cost you a like and subscribe. Just thought you should know what actions we take from your action.
@darkdragonsoul99
@darkdragonsoul99 2 күн бұрын
North America is literally the only continent that has every biome in it.
@TimTheMain
@TimTheMain 4 күн бұрын
I'm sorry but this is the worst episode so far, nothin I could not have heard in the pub on the end of the road. Starving soldiers? We are so extremely far from that. Nothing McBeth said showed any understanding of the situation. I don't think he even understood when you said Ukrainians had the brunt of the hardship in the USSR.
@justin4911
@justin4911 3 күн бұрын
Trump did not decide sending lethal aid to Ukraine was a good idea. The US Congress decided sending lethal aid to Ukraine was a good idea, and Trump decided to squeeze Ukraine for political favors before allowing the lethal aid to be sent. I get that Ryan is trying to be politically mild, or neutral, or something, but Trump's slow walking of the aid Congress funded for Ukraine resulted in his impeachment. It's not obscure information or something.
@justin4911
@justin4911 3 күн бұрын
Ryan also doesn't seem to be aware that the 2% of GDP thing is old news. All the NATO countries are, today, meeting the commitment to spend 2% of their GDP on defense except for half a dozen countries nobody cares about and... Canada.
@justin4911
@justin4911 2 күн бұрын
Oh funny. Now he's talking about Biden slow walking aid.
@JohnJackson-e9z
@JohnJackson-e9z 4 күн бұрын
Ruasia's war in Ukraine seems likely to end as a frozen conflict much like Korea, Georgia, Maldova, etc...
@stevebusfield199
@stevebusfield199 3 күн бұрын
If it doesn't then I hope the sanctions stay in effect, otherwise a stalemate and frozen conflict is great news for Russia's future trouble making.
@julius43461
@julius43461 Күн бұрын
21:20, Exactly. I was always annoyed by people hating on Americans for not knowing anything about Europe or other countries. You need to understand, US is not a country, it's a continent, it's an entire civilization that doesn't really need anyone else. European countries are like city states in comparison.
@Apjooz
@Apjooz 23 сағат бұрын
Hey you seem to know about Europe.
@opus3989
@opus3989 3 күн бұрын
He looked really happy on the picture for wwIII
@Hamzat22
@Hamzat22 3 күн бұрын
Beer bottles are quite shitty for molotov coctails. You want something bigger with thinner walls (like 0.7 l vodka bottles).
@quintrankid8045
@quintrankid8045 3 күн бұрын
Do they score the beer bottles to make them break easier?
@Hamzat22
@Hamzat22 3 күн бұрын
@quintrankid8045 i have no idea.
@kyttraus
@kyttraus 3 күн бұрын
Rising Star Ryan Macbeth 💪
@julesmarwell8023
@julesmarwell8023 4 күн бұрын
the Japanese special forces are to train with American and Australian forces in the North of Aust. some 16.000 american military personnel to be stationed up North
@googleaccountuser3116
@googleaccountuser3116 4 күн бұрын
You think Japan wants a piece of Russia or a piece of historical lands? 🤭
@oyvindkleven1087
@oyvindkleven1087 Күн бұрын
Big fan of Ryan McBeth, but he does not know much about the oil industry. The oil industry is adding and removing rigs to keep the price of oil at a certain point. If oil is above $60-$70/bbl, they will produce. If it’s below, they won’t. They aren’t going to do more work for less money. Who would?
@Stop_Loss
@Stop_Loss 2 күн бұрын
guy smokes a cigar before hitting the treadmill 😅
@KaipPavadinsiTaipNepagadinsi
@KaipPavadinsiTaipNepagadinsi Күн бұрын
Sounds like this dude has problems differentiating the Baltics from the Balkans, LOL.
@BrulesRules
@BrulesRules 10 сағат бұрын
Balklands.
@boogooglysilversmith8009
@boogooglysilversmith8009 2 күн бұрын
A little thing that may have been over looked is the new way the ussr is drafting, they sent out an email and its that persons responsibility to report. The emails were counted as conscription, the emails were also sent to those fighting the ussr so yes the numbers of conscripts is inflated.
@bluetexas001
@bluetexas001 3 күн бұрын
Ryan you're hand waving the end of democracy so hard I expect you to fly away. I guess you're fairly confident that the fascists will come for you last.
@considerthis7712
@considerthis7712 4 күн бұрын
This running smoker is a nut.
@michalveltrusky9633
@michalveltrusky9633 3 күн бұрын
36:04 WTF Ryan, I thought I stepped on my cat's paw
@Hamzat22
@Hamzat22 3 күн бұрын
There are many reasons for N.K. soldiers to be in UA. One, important is to show that Russia has allies that send regular military units to its aid. Its priceless for propaganda reason (for both Russia and N.K.).
@marcsainz6800
@marcsainz6800 2 күн бұрын
Asks Ryan questions he's already answered publicly, but pay walls the response. Ok buddy.
@andriiomelianenko8282
@andriiomelianenko8282 3 күн бұрын
Please add timecodes, thanks!
@davidgarza1301
@davidgarza1301 3 күн бұрын
Love how Ryan fired up a cigar for this interview!
@onetwo5155
@onetwo5155 3 күн бұрын
Interesting interview. The entire analysis and projection part concerning the Ukraine war, however, is almost pure fiction and distinctly US in perspective. I think he is underestimating Russia, assuming power projection in their minds works as in the 1900s. Russia will never conclude the war without trade concessions and the losses in the war will be enough to have a gradual transition from a war economy to a regular one over years. With investment money coming in once the war is concluded, it is unlikely Russia will be hit too hard for too long. No matter what deal Germany strikes with the US, any conclusion to the war will lead to increase trade between the EU and Russia, simply because of the tyranny of distance, though it is unlikely to reach any degree of integration and dependence that it had before.
@eoghanf
@eoghanf 4 күн бұрын
Where are these Balklands?
@whowhy9023
@whowhy9023 4 күн бұрын
The Balkans are north of Turkey & Greece. Includes Bulgaria , Rumania, Serbia etc…
@murrayeldred3563
@murrayeldred3563 4 күн бұрын
Near North Bakota.😅 Falkland Islands.
@JohnJackson-e9z
@JohnJackson-e9z 4 күн бұрын
He obviously was mixed up. He should have said the Baltic states.
@rjScubaSki
@rjScubaSki 4 күн бұрын
He’s disrespectful of Balgentinas claim to las Balvinas
@Atlas_21
@Atlas_21 3 күн бұрын
@@whowhy9023 Yes that is true, but what are the BalkLANDS?
@moloko5
@moloko5 3 күн бұрын
This is not a serious individual. It's a bunch of just so stories to justify his partisan priors.
@collintrytsman3353
@collintrytsman3353 4 сағат бұрын
7 weeks of casualties............you mean 7 DAYS Ryan:)
@JavierGomez-yu3ng
@JavierGomez-yu3ng 3 күн бұрын
Im sure he was in the Army not the Marine Corp
@wayneronnie7402
@wayneronnie7402 4 күн бұрын
There's not been a country called "England since 1707" when England and Scotland united into Great Britain.
@DrG65199
@DrG65199 3 күн бұрын
Thats not entirely true. England, Scotland and Wales are separate countries in a political union. Technically.
@stevebusfield199
@stevebusfield199 3 күн бұрын
I wouldn't make a comment like that unless I was British. Curious, are you British?
@geobernadotte
@geobernadotte 3 күн бұрын
Oh wow. Normally I kinda like his videos, but non-scripted talk is not what he should do. Loads of silly stuff, unfortunately. Well, our American friends, really another breed.
@nathanbanks2354
@nathanbanks2354 2 күн бұрын
You could be right..I kinda hope so. 13:50
@jimbograves1576
@jimbograves1576 Күн бұрын
Did he say the "Balklins". Ah, more than once?
@christophercole8877
@christophercole8877 4 күн бұрын
Macbeth seems limited in his scope of understanding.
@Mengcharsway
@Mengcharsway 17 сағат бұрын
I love the channel, but I always get strong grifter vibes from McBeth when I hear him interviewed. I find it hard to trust his opinions.
@krisvalenti4141
@krisvalenti4141 3 күн бұрын
I love Ryan's content but am I the only one thinking as he smokes a cigar and talks about running the treadmill, jogging and running it looks a little weird? Failing to understand how smoking is part of a 'healthy lifestyle'. @ 3:57
@TheEnigma9000
@TheEnigma9000 2 күн бұрын
Whatever happened with the Taiwan bit?
@nordware7048
@nordware7048 3 күн бұрын
Smokes in-between running? 😯
@Ryan-bf2tq
@Ryan-bf2tq 2 күн бұрын
This guy is so annoying
@julius43461
@julius43461 Күн бұрын
Ryan's Croatian and Serbian flags are way too close. They might get into a fight if left to their own devices there.
@MrRossGodwin
@MrRossGodwin 3 күн бұрын
I appreciate how early on this guy said he talks to Newsmaxx so I knew to ignore the rest of the video and not waste an hour of my life.
@Daveyboy1066
@Daveyboy1066 4 күн бұрын
Ryan is also simply wrong about Russia runing out of food, fuel, resources etc. Russia's enormous size (teritorially) means it is incredibly self sufficient in natural resources, more so than any other country and as it has proven what little it doesn't have it can trade for even if you totally exclude it's energy sector. Yes Putin may well not be able to maintain the current level of intensity of it's offensive but it is NEVER going to be so weakened by a lack of resources (anyway) that Ukraine without the whole free worlds commited help will be able to roll it back and I am afraid Trumps win means it most certainly will soon lose that.
@lu544
@lu544 4 күн бұрын
Just because you have resources doesn't mean you can access and develop it to the fullest
@Northrnsnow
@Northrnsnow 4 күн бұрын
Russia is falling apart. What news are you watching
@Daveyboy1066
@Daveyboy1066 4 күн бұрын
@@lu544 They don't need to!!!
@PeterA650
@PeterA650 3 күн бұрын
The russian army is currently firing North Korean shells and bringing North Korean howitzers in. China has been actively developing drones for them. At the same time, they are both directly importing and manufacturing Iranian "Shahed" drones. Yesterday, they fired North Korean ballistic missiles into Ukraine. If you think russia is self-sufficient you're delusional.
@stevebusfield199
@stevebusfield199 3 күн бұрын
They import much of their food. You've heard of the recent shortages of eggs and butter. If most of the economy goes to the military and less towards food imports, you might just find yourself lacking...food. Outside Moscow, the average Russian can't afford beef, and it's considered a luxury item.
@OrneryHumorist
@OrneryHumorist 4 күн бұрын
why does he keep saying Balklands
@rjScubaSki
@rjScubaSki 4 күн бұрын
He means the Balvinas
@jeanneknight4791
@jeanneknight4791 Күн бұрын
Ryan is from New Jersey. LOL!
@laughingkiwi-b5h
@laughingkiwi-b5h 3 күн бұрын
What may have solved the under spending issue with NATO countries is if article 5 stipulated that the other nations would come to the aid of any country which was attacked but not until 10% of that countrys territory had been destroyed for every 1% under 6% of their GDP they spent on defence averaged over the previous 5 years. So if youre only spending 1% and you get attacked you dont get any help until half your country has been shelled all to shit.
@googleaccountuser3116
@googleaccountuser3116 4 күн бұрын
Oh great, now we're at war with people that eat pets. 😐
@xealit
@xealit 3 күн бұрын
don't escalate!
@ronaldgarrison8478
@ronaldgarrison8478 4 күн бұрын
~18:00 Hmmm, can't find the Balklands on any map.
@Atlas_21
@Atlas_21 3 күн бұрын
Was scanning the comment section for this comment, surprised you seem to be the only one that picked it up. And he repeated it a couple of times! 🤦
@Prometheus4096
@Prometheus4096 3 күн бұрын
He means the Baltics, lol. Sure, you can misspeak once. Sure, he is an American. But if your only claim to fame is the Ukraine-Russia war, and we are 3 years in, and you don't know the difference between the Baltics, the Balkans, and the 'Balklands', you should call it quits yourself.
@ronaldgarrison8478
@ronaldgarrison8478 3 күн бұрын
@@Prometheus4096 I give props for what someone gets right. Hell, I think I've given a like on every single video on this channel. At the same time, when someone makes a shockingly careless mistake, I reserve the right to mention it.
@effingsix3825
@effingsix3825 4 күн бұрын
🤔 The best policy would be to conduct erstwhile diplomacy by other means.
@AjdamusMagnus
@AjdamusMagnus 2 күн бұрын
Im watching a listening and ty jsi z Cesky republiky? Lol.. tak to jsem nevedel:)
@jeanneknight4791
@jeanneknight4791 Күн бұрын
He's Czech. He is (or was) living in England. I think his early videos explain that he is (or was) studying there. He has very little accent left.
@AjdamusMagnus
@AjdamusMagnus Күн бұрын
@jeanneknight4791 yes, that is why made this comment...
@JinKee
@JinKee 4 күн бұрын
2:21 Ryan’s Triathlon Bike: “am i a joke to u?”
@hhunstad2011
@hhunstad2011 2 күн бұрын
Fracking is an atrocious practice
@MikkoVille
@MikkoVille 3 күн бұрын
I stopped watching at the cigar.
@ACME18
@ACME18 3 күн бұрын
Ten minutes in and I çan no longer stand this AA meeting. IM OUT 😂
@Rattus9000
@Rattus9000 3 күн бұрын
50 cigars Ryan.
@rjScubaSki
@rjScubaSki 4 күн бұрын
Absolutely delusional. Things last until they don’t.
@shlagnoth2172
@shlagnoth2172 2 күн бұрын
Ww3 started 10 years ago
@jamesreid6494
@jamesreid6494 2 күн бұрын
Ryan, you have 'been to Europe' but have you ever been there (or any othrr place) outside your cocoon of 'americanness'. Y'know...?
@Elitemusicman1
@Elitemusicman1 4 сағат бұрын
This american is the most american american ever XD
@BwannaKubwa
@BwannaKubwa 4 күн бұрын
Air Force not marines
@juanhuizar5607
@juanhuizar5607 3 күн бұрын
Waiting out Russians can be a double edge sword..
@mikeullyett
@mikeullyett 2 сағат бұрын
Stop it!
@ballapeti
@ballapeti 3 күн бұрын
Ryan forgot to consider that Trump will never leave office.
@hrvojesvetec3058
@hrvojesvetec3058 4 күн бұрын
Will give Trump a chanse, hopefully he will see/realize that he can become a great Hero if he does the right thing..in fact he could be THE leader of the free world, Western alliance and make America/West so much more stronger and richer..
@kurtwicklund8901
@kurtwicklund8901 4 күн бұрын
Oy vey
@lu544
@lu544 4 күн бұрын
He was the first to arm ukraine with some weapons. Ukraine should have investigated Hunter too....
@ralphhardie7492
@ralphhardie7492 4 күн бұрын
Ryan doesn't understand psychopathy... 😂😂😂😂 Rational thinking 🤔🤔🤔?? Good luck with that 🤞
@WythenshawePhil
@WythenshawePhil 3 күн бұрын
Ww3 HaS StArTeD. Hurr Durr.
@markheithaus
@markheithaus 3 күн бұрын
"Balklands"?
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