Stock Market Bubble Starting to Crash

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Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 213
@GillerHeston
@GillerHeston 2 ай бұрын
Stocks extended their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 last up 0.8% in afternoon trading. but I don't know if stocks will quickly rebound, continue to pull back or move sideways for a few weeks, or if conditions will rapidly deteriorate.I am under pressure to grow my reserve.
@rogerwheelers4322
@rogerwheelers4322 2 ай бұрын
There are many other interesting stocks in many industries that you might follow. You don't have to act on every forecast, so I'll suggest that you work with a financial advisor who can help you choose the best times to purchase and sell the shares or ETFs you want to acquire.
@joshbarney114
@joshbarney114 2 ай бұрын
I agree, that's the more reason I prefer my day to day investment decisions being guided by an advisor, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's near impossible to not out-perform, been using my advisor for over 2years+ and I've netted over 2.8million.
@FabioOdelega876
@FabioOdelega876 2 ай бұрын
I appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress. Being heavily liquid, I'd rather not reinvent the wheel, thus the search for a reputable advisor, mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?
@joshbarney114
@joshbarney114 2 ай бұрын
Finding financial advisors like Marisa Breton Dollard who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
@FabioOdelega876
@FabioOdelega876 2 ай бұрын
I greatly appreciate it. I'm fortunate to have come upon your message because investing greatly fascinates me. I'll look Marisa Breton Dollard up and send her a message. You've truly motivated me. God's blessings on you.
@Kaustavpatell
@Kaustavpatell 2 ай бұрын
This is why I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
@kurtKking
@kurtKking 2 ай бұрын
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert.
@MickyGlover
@MickyGlover 2 ай бұрын
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850K.
@Vivienedouglass
@Vivienedouglass 2 ай бұрын
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation.
@Vivienedouglass
@Vivienedouglass 2 ай бұрын
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her
@abdeifitahwarsame
@abdeifitahwarsame 2 ай бұрын
Experiencing multiple losses as a new trader can be disheartening, but it's important to remember that setbacks are a natural part of the learning curve. Each loss is an opportunity to gain valuable insights and strengthen your skills. Take comfort in knowing that every successful trader has faced similar challenges. If you are not ready for the mental stress in trading just do copytrade instead. Less stress and easy.
@abdeifitahwarsame
@abdeifitahwarsame 2 ай бұрын
Imagine you're playing a game with a friend who's a pro. Instead of struggling on your own, you watch and copy their moves to win. Copy trading is similar in finance. You follow experienced investors' decisions, mimicking their trades to learn and potentially profit in the market.
@abdeifitahwarsame
@abdeifitahwarsame 2 ай бұрын
He's a renowned hedgefund manager
@abdeifitahwarsame
@abdeifitahwarsame 2 ай бұрын
He's mostly on telegrams using the user name
@abdeifitahwarsame
@abdeifitahwarsame 2 ай бұрын
ThiagoFrederick 💯
@Williampart
@Williampart 2 ай бұрын
ThiagFrederick's prowess as a trader shines through meticulous analysis, strategic decision-making, and a remarkable ability to navigate market fluctuations with precision and confidence.
@Theresaa12
@Theresaa12 2 ай бұрын
Market highs can sometimes be followed by corrections, but predicting the timing and extent of it is challenging. I've heard some analysts talk about a 'massive' correction. It makes me wonder if it's time to adjust my $2M portfolios or maybe even consider some defensive investments.
@BenTodd-fl8nv
@BenTodd-fl8nv 2 ай бұрын
Consider diversifying your portfolio with a mix of stocks and stable assets. Seeking professional advice now could provide valuable insights and strategies to navigate market uncertainties and protect your investments.
@judynewsom1902
@judynewsom1902 2 ай бұрын
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
@A_francis
@A_francis 2 ай бұрын
Thank you for sharing, I must say, Sharon appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive. I reached out and scheduled a call
@philippluklas
@philippluklas 3 ай бұрын
I strongly encourage everyone to keep their ETF savings plans going. Worst thing you can do is to stop investing listening to crash prophets, or worse, sell in a downturn to then buy again later -likely at higher levels. Been there before. Either one will lead you to invest later at higher levels. Been there
@mikkelhansen3714
@mikkelhansen3714 2 ай бұрын
I dont know about that, maybe if its an emerging market ETF, as those are quite undervalued. If you own an s&p 500 ETF well then it would be MUCH less risky to change to bonds and would probably even give the same return. Ofc it depends on your personal situation, and if you are even able to do that due to fees from selling or a locked in retirement account
@joseafalvel
@joseafalvel 2 ай бұрын
+ 1 I've also been there and panicking after a drop is the dumbest thing you can do as an investor, the best thing to avoid loses is not to try to time the market but to very extremely careful and do a deep due diligence on the assets you choose, long term you will feel very satisfied of not paying attention to the crash prophets
@whiskey_tango_foxtrot__
@whiskey_tango_foxtrot__ 3 ай бұрын
The two "solutions:" Print, print, print. War.
@jsedge2473
@jsedge2473 2 ай бұрын
Yes. And keep in mind that the first solution is temporary. So there's really only one finale to this nonsense.
@eugenebrandon1533
@eugenebrandon1533 3 ай бұрын
Remember defense is your best offense...not how much will I make but how much can I lose.Thanks sven.
@tacocruiser4238
@tacocruiser4238 2 ай бұрын
If that's the case, then we should all be buying put options (but nobody does that because they are too expensive).
@CRM82
@CRM82 3 ай бұрын
He missed the rally, now again talking about market bubble and crash...
@themusic6808
@themusic6808 3 ай бұрын
There’s a lot of perma bears on KZbin lol
@MrGinotonix
@MrGinotonix 2 ай бұрын
Not that easy. The strong US economy is fueled by dept, private and public. This can persist longer than expected, but cannot go on forever. I guess 5y to the US debt crisis, but it could be 10 or 15.
@TheBooban
@TheBooban 2 ай бұрын
@@MrGinotonixpeople have been warning of too much debt since the 80’s. Maybe longer, but I wasn’t born then.
@khurram4589
@khurram4589 3 ай бұрын
Most high earners have a life that is about a bit more than just salaries.... Leaving all family and friends behind just to grow your money through profitable investment is knowledge.😊
@LydiaLopez-yh7wo
@LydiaLopez-yh7wo 3 ай бұрын
I feel sympathy for our country, low income people are now suffering to survive yet inflation and recession keep increasing daily, many families can't even enhance the good cost of living anymore. You've helped me a lot Sir James Clark! Imagine I invested $50,000 and received $190,500 after 14 days
@finanziker
@finanziker 3 ай бұрын
Cut spending, that was a good one.
@malindatrees4715
@malindatrees4715 2 ай бұрын
I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Michelle Stewart.
@LucasCruikshank337
@LucasCruikshank337 2 ай бұрын
Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing her been mentioned here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, I'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.
@AndrewHolmes694
@AndrewHolmes694 2 ай бұрын
She is my family's personal broker and also a personal broker in many families in United States, she's a licensed broker and a FINRA AGENT in United states
@Davidcoleman258
@Davidcoleman258 2 ай бұрын
You trade with Michelle Stewart too? Wow that woman has been a blessing to me and my family.
@ColleenBallinger287
@ColleenBallinger287 2 ай бұрын
I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?
@malindatrees4715
@malindatrees4715 2 ай бұрын
she's mostly on Telegrams, using the user name.
@johnalphacentauri
@johnalphacentauri 3 ай бұрын
A very interesting analysis. I suggest to be careful when using the comma or period annotation because sometimes billions are confused with trillions, even in your speech. Thanks.
@apc9714
@apc9714 3 ай бұрын
Imagine if congress was a family: "After long heated discussions about what to do to avoid drowning in debt, the wife and the husband agree that they will both take out loans and spend more money"
@guru47pi
@guru47pi 3 ай бұрын
The revenue side of a balanced budget matters, too. So to go with your family analogy for govt policy since 1980, mom and dad cut their income by quitting one of their jobs, and then blamed the resulting deficit on their 'lazy' kids' need for such luxuries as preschool and food.
@zenastronomy
@zenastronomy 3 ай бұрын
the difference is moral hazard. when one party benifits and another pays the costs of an action, you will get unethical behaviour. government going into debt, benifits the rich who get richer and richer. it harms the masses who pay for it through taxes and inflation. so what does the government do? it serves its constituents. which is the rich lobbying groups who make them rich through campaign funds and cushty jobs post government and not the public who vote for them. As the rich bribe every political party and every politician. this is the truth of democracy. It's perfectly logical and rational behaviour.
@finnrogers6973
@finnrogers6973 3 ай бұрын
I’ll do one better, in this scenario the family is in debt and they do get a loan but instead of paying back the loan with earned income they go to their basement and counterfeit the money to pay it off, the creditors accept the money, then the family realizes they could spend this money to fund all their spending flooding the market with worthless notes. The value of money decreases and creditors realize the notes are worthless. But because the family was smart, they spent all that money arming themselves so that no creditor would dare call them on their worthless paper. Essentially the family has created “don’t shoot me tokens” that do have value in that no one wants to get shot
@eco-enjoyer
@eco-enjoyer 3 ай бұрын
This gave me the best laugh I've had in awhile. Wish we could all have the luxury of creating money out of thin air.
@santiagograciano8402
@santiagograciano8402 3 ай бұрын
Need to buy votes
@davidedeltoro4117
@davidedeltoro4117 3 ай бұрын
I Agree with you 100% on stock valuations and the unsustainability for high interest rates for US Debt! In my opinion the end of this telenovela will be a big recession (induced by high rates); at that point inflation problems will be in the rear view mirror because companies will not be able to raise prices. The stock market will fall significlanty and the US treasuries will find buyers at 3% instead of 5%, with inflation back to 2%. That's the old school ending. The alternative is much worse with big problems for both stock and bond market.
@scottjackson6817
@scottjackson6817 2 ай бұрын
So far 4 out of 5 SP500 companies have beaten profit expectations this quarter. Is this a fundamental?
@Reza16888
@Reza16888 3 ай бұрын
Good, Sven. No matter what happens in the market, you'd OK!
@Unrealdruiddd
@Unrealdruiddd 2 ай бұрын
Muchas gracias Sven!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
de nada
@TheRothschild770
@TheRothschild770 2 ай бұрын
Very informative video you have, I have been able to understand the messages you pass but there are some other challenges that may come about when taking some other risks or planning
@633striker
@633striker 2 ай бұрын
I loved the 'cut spending' laugh
@dredoctor8271
@dredoctor8271 3 ай бұрын
I cut my spending. Sven laughing in my face is my worst fear now. I now also question my life decisions. ; ( Great vid!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
:-))))
@megaflippo1
@megaflippo1 3 ай бұрын
Thanks Sven, very informative vid, again and again !
@Fedgery007
@Fedgery007 3 ай бұрын
People have literally been saying the stock market has been in a bubble for years! Americans love the money printing. They want more of it as they keep voting for it!
@antonblanke
@antonblanke 2 ай бұрын
Just because it lasts for years it doesn’t mean it isn‘t a bubble… and just because it‘s a bubble, there‘s no reason it has to pop soon…
@richardpapen4269
@richardpapen4269 2 ай бұрын
So Yeah there was no bubble in 2008?
@Ethxnb44
@Ethxnb44 3 ай бұрын
Sven have you read any US inflation reports? Inflation excl shelter has been around 2.5% for months its not sticky at all
@AnyangU
@AnyangU 3 ай бұрын
I agree with much that you said. This is an informative and interesting video. But, I want to make one small semantic criticism. It is not that government debt has "caused" the stock market bubble but it has "enhanced" the creation of wealth. Obviously, technology and exuberance, whether too much or not, are fueling a lot of the gains, and creating a bubble, as well as government debt. Regardless, it is important to continue to turn over rocks and look for value in the market.
@Latin_American_Economic
@Latin_American_Economic 2 ай бұрын
Simply wanted to add something regarding AI from an interview with professor Damodaran from NYU with the Financial Times. He adds that he is old enough to have seen multiple big changes that have changed the markets and the way we live. He started his career in 1981 and saw the PC revolution. Then in the 1990s he saw the Internet and then social media and how they revolutionized the way we live. When these technological changes came about it led to an overreach and created bubbles. The bubbles are a reflection of how humans deal with disruptive changes. We tend to underestimate the difficulty of changes and overestimate the likelihood of success. This tend to create bubbles. Eventually things do settle, but it takes time and only a few come out on top.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
That is how it goes
@Eunegin23
@Eunegin23 2 ай бұрын
Main question: is it a stock market bubble? Or just a bubble in certain branches? Or none at all? You shouldn't just assume so and draw conclusions automatically.
@eh7599
@eh7599 2 ай бұрын
Great video
@KrisJovi-vj3vd
@KrisJovi-vj3vd 3 ай бұрын
The market is clearly overpriced. Gha k you for the video
@eco-enjoyer
@eco-enjoyer 3 ай бұрын
Companies with yield of 10% or higher? Is that safe? Seems like those are companies that are primed to cut their dividend or go belly up, no?
@Talyigal
@Talyigal 3 ай бұрын
Dear Sven, it is very interesting thanks! In some of your videos we saw that you find value in some stocks from china. Would you consider to give your opinion about some other countries that have a generall low valuation because of some risks? for example, as an Israeli, I know that investors here in Israel tend to look at our Israeli indexes now as atractive. Surely, we are not objective, but thats why your point of view would be highly apriciated.
@elrevesyelderecho
@elrevesyelderecho 3 ай бұрын
5:00 I would say our debt too. Being the financial system based on the US dollar, we'll end up importing the inflation and devaluation the FED creates.
@alexk1843
@alexk1843 3 ай бұрын
Sven, what do you think about the quantity theory of money? In 2022-23 we had a decrease in USD money supply, so we should expect a recession and lower inflation (maybe even deflation)
@Eline_Meijer
@Eline_Meijer 3 ай бұрын
Thanks for the detailed video Sven.
@SergiMedina
@SergiMedina 2 ай бұрын
Yes, as long as we keep letting politicians spend without control just for their personal gain (power + money), economics and the future aren't going any better, all the contrary. We must stop them before it's too late. We could start by stop voting them once and for all. Just give people freedom. We do everything. We always did. Thank you!
@Tonied
@Tonied 3 ай бұрын
Sven you are hilarious.."Cut spending" lmao!
@Latin_American_Economic
@Latin_American_Economic 2 ай бұрын
I did not know you could get a breakdown of GDP like you have here. That's awesome! Thank you for sharing =] Also now that you pointed out it really doesn't make sense how the stock market is higher than the pandemic period when government printed so much money. If the growth was based on productivity then inflation would be no more but we still have inflation so that makes no sense..
@taskagordon9056
@taskagordon9056 2 ай бұрын
You are correct. Valuations have reached a significant high. This means we are expected to get lower returns in the long run. But, why not speak about a different alternative? A passive investment strategy focused on asset allocation diversified across multiple asset classes and geographic markets? We can't always rely on the USA alone. We can't predict the future and where the risk and return are best allocated, but we can diversify well enough, not to care about specific risks like the one you are discussing.
@giuseppeo77
@giuseppeo77 2 ай бұрын
8:39... Hi Sven, I don't get how market to GDP could be Zero, could you please clarify that? Because I'm guessing it's not and then if a normal market to GDP let's say is 60% and therefore assuming that as the baseline then 193% market to GDP would not be 1.9 std deviations...Hope all is well, cheers! 😉
@ap.8215
@ap.8215 3 ай бұрын
Sven, thanks for the videos. I have a small question/remark though, namely when you are mentioning interest spending on the current debt depending on interest rates. Aren’t interest rates for the open/current debt fixed for the government via coupon of the bonds the sell? Shouldn’t rate matter more for incremental/new debt only?
@kentvandervelden
@kentvandervelden 3 ай бұрын
17% is bills, 40% is notes. ~$7.6T matures in 2024, ~22%. Look for US Treasury Monthly Statement of the Public Debt. Also paper: Optimizing the Maturity Structure of US Treasury Debt
@kentvandervelden
@kentvandervelden 3 ай бұрын
Using March's data, $8.1T matures in '24. Most of that is already at ~5.2%. 25% is average of 1.78%.
@207j
@207j 2 ай бұрын
Many have predicted a market crash since 2013.. and yes, eventually, it will happen.. it's easy to "predict" it will happen.. the big question is WHEN.... If you can predict that - it would be a clip worth watching..
@panagope
@panagope 3 ай бұрын
For which stock market you speak , that ot is a bubble? Because european and especially emerging stock markets are not bubble at all.
@Pizza-gb1ch
@Pizza-gb1ch 3 ай бұрын
@0:59 He posts a chart and discusses the market here.
@davidepattibiomed89
@davidepattibiomed89 3 ай бұрын
US is definitely in a bubble..
@JackDespero
@JackDespero 3 ай бұрын
How many times does he need to mention the US, the Fed, and show American indices to let you know that it is talking about the US market?
@invertedv12powerhouse77
@invertedv12powerhouse77 3 ай бұрын
International markets oftwn are affected by the us stock market. Just look at 08
@rhyka101
@rhyka101 3 ай бұрын
Some very insightful analysis. Much appreciated. What about individual stocks that are solid value investments? I think that your channel is great but needs some specifics with regards to an example of a stock that you are buying and a precise amount. Some youtubers do 5 stocks I'm buying now. How about Sven does 1 stock I'm buying now with no vague allusions?
@nataliam895
@nataliam895 3 ай бұрын
He has a platform you can subscribe to know the stocks
@T0mkisss
@T0mkisss 3 ай бұрын
The suit is back, jokes, intellectual humility ("now or in 20 years"). Solid update! The one thing that I've not heard anyone talking about is the - US growing at 2% with the government borrowing of over well over 2% of GDP. It would be great to hear more and deeper investigations of that situation because it's either not fully accurate (needs to be looked at from a different angle), or it's a very consequential insight which is not being priced in by the market so there might be some serious Burry / Ackman asynchronous plays available to take advantage of it.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
the problem is that you can't know when it will stop working / without knowing the timing, there is no play
@T0mkisss
@T0mkisss 2 ай бұрын
@@Value-Investing yeah, and for that reason an all-in play like Burry's in GFC might not be smart, but there might be asynchronous plays like Ackman's during the pandemic where - heads we're flat, tails we win big.
@wernerschonenberger3038
@wernerschonenberger3038 3 ай бұрын
Hi Sven! Great video, thanks 👍👍👍! Valuations are widespread (from single digit PEs to high double digit PEs) and don't we get a "skewed" picture due to a few (Tech, AI?) heavily-weighted stocks? Has the band of PEs in the S&P 500 ever been so wide unless in a market turmoil? There are still "bargains" with solid business models and a low (
@thekingofallblogs
@thekingofallblogs 3 ай бұрын
Half the youtube channels think runaway inflation. Half think we are headed for recession. No one really knows. I'm investing in high yield stocks that can hopefully keep their value.
@Barkotina
@Barkotina 2 ай бұрын
Sven, do you beat the market?
@joseafalvel
@joseafalvel 2 ай бұрын
Phil Fisher taught me that overvaluation metrics are not a symptom that necessarily leads to a huge drop, quality investments can go up and up and up, bears always follow the technicals and they don't pay attention on the fundamentals of the companies that are taking the indexes so high, you can't say that the top 7 of the s&p 500 with the best balance sheets I've ever seen are comparable to the tech bubble that was fueled by investors believing that start ups without reaching break-even point were going to be the next big deal just because their respectives high P/E at both moments are very high, simply you can't, I like your channel but bears are always predicting the apocalypse and 19 of 20 times they are wrong and from a personal stand point since I stopped taking seriously these type of videos my returns have been way much better by sticking to the fundamentals and stop trying to time the best moment to enter into a position, actually back in those days I lost so many great opportunities when I used to pay attention to the next possible crash type of content
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
good point! THanks for sharing!
@lettuceforbuns
@lettuceforbuns 3 ай бұрын
What about increasing government income as well. (ie.tax)? It's historically low now. US boomed after WW2 - look at the tax rate then.
@user-ts4iz3te1b
@user-ts4iz3te1b 3 ай бұрын
Do you have update on Meta. It grew its revenue +27% Y/Y I remember you said it's a dying, eroding business... Btw how much money you lost since 2020 ?
@unktzor
@unktzor 3 ай бұрын
He bought at $100 and made a video about it, were you buying then?
@tzvassilev
@tzvassilev 2 ай бұрын
Thank you Sven, but this time I don’t agree with your conclusions. Corporations are raising the prices for goods and services and so their earnings go up, just take a look at the earnings beats across the board. My investment thesis is that in the long term inflation is irrelevant for a diversified stock portfolio and even if short term effects can’t be ruled out, these are corrected in the long term. If we see rates at 10% we will see double digit inflation too and then I would still argue that it is better to hold stocks than bonds. A bond is just a nominal value asset and therefore it makes sense to consider it only when inflation and rates are going down. If you hold bonds in an environment of increasing inflation and interest rates you get double hit due to the fact that the real value of the bond is eroding due to inflation but also it’s nominal value is going down with every interest rate hike. Stocks on the other hand will be offering a better protection due inflation being passed through. Your idea to buy treasuries will certainly lead to a disaster in a scenario of high or even accelerating inflation because the nominal yield won’t be able to keep up with the loss of purchasing power.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing, of course, anything can happen
@lesleyjohnson8488
@lesleyjohnson8488 2 ай бұрын
I think Sven believes that inflation will necessarily be reduced when (or if) the government stops issuing so much debt. It’s my personal theory that a reduction in interest rates will actually have the unintended consequence of a decline in the stock market. Right now the real estate crisis in office buildings has been relatively limited and only a few banks have been affected. If interest rates decline, this will lead to a precipitous decline in other kinds of real estate prices, which have been unusually buoyed by lack of inventory, such as housing. Once inventory increases due to reduced interest rates, this could start a domino effect (all based on rational behaviour) resulting in a real estate crash. Not every crisis begins in the stock market.
@giuseppeo77
@giuseppeo77 2 ай бұрын
From 11:00 to 11:26...not sure I understood your idea, probably it's me because not sleeping well and life problems but I found it a bit confusing...So you say you could put your money into a 5 year bond (not sure those exist) and get a 5% interest rate and then you said "invest that 5% and put it into value investing stocks" you mean you wait for 5 years and then the yield you will get (the 5%) you invest that into...see it's a bit confusing, I am sure you meant something else...I hope you clarify, thanks and my best to you Sven...apart from my two comments asking for clarification, the idea of the whole video you are trying to bring home is great! 👍
@valuations520
@valuations520 2 ай бұрын
You get five percent per year on your principle. So $5000 yield on $100k invested in the 5-year bond. Then take the $5000, pay tax, and invest the remainder.
@davidsabroe421
@davidsabroe421 3 ай бұрын
How come the rate of government interest rate on debt, not just be decided to be 0?
@ng67432
@ng67432 2 ай бұрын
Sell everything and make 5% from Treasuries (i.e. 3% after taxes) and invest that into stocks? What sense does that make?
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
depends on your risk and reward, I see very few thinking about risk these days!
@hermes8258
@hermes8258 2 ай бұрын
04:04 "there are two ways to borrow - you can increase interest rates... or you can print money" This is done by two separate entities, the Fed (not part of the federal gov't) and the Treasury (which is). And there is a third method, albeit indirect - taxation, no?
@Fddhjdthnbcfseyhvg
@Fddhjdthnbcfseyhvg 2 ай бұрын
Cut spending. This was a good joke my friend😂❤ I know how to position yourself. Bend over and grab your ankles, Uncle Sam is coming in!!
@marcb934
@marcb934 3 ай бұрын
Okay Sven, so the world will crash and burn. Maybe it is the last chance to attend the Berkshire meeting next week in Omaha. 🤔
@elrevesyelderecho
@elrevesyelderecho 3 ай бұрын
6:28 investment in real assets and business that increase prices at inflation pace?
@Spura83
@Spura83 2 ай бұрын
World Economic Forum president said that we didn't have such debt levels ever since Napoleonic Wars. I don't know if that's true, but it certainly feels like everyone is in deep debt (except for singular companies). If the market crashes it's sure to crash across all equity markets so what's the play here... buy bonds?
@PeterPanda00
@PeterPanda00 2 ай бұрын
What about the good old Coal?
@erikm9768
@erikm9768 2 ай бұрын
Sven i think you meant 1,725 trillion at 5:04 ?
@crankfotton
@crankfotton 2 ай бұрын
keep hearing this over and over again... the answer to the question is nobody knows when... its not rocket science, but the PHD ego wont allow that.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
that is my message, nobody knows when or how, but it is a risk. I feel for you if you have a problem with my education
@charlieGeorge-rr5we
@charlieGeorge-rr5we 2 ай бұрын
That's huge! I'm a newbie and I've been investing by myself for a while now but not really happy with how's going, ing, I lost $3,000 recently in one of my investments
@AdaleeDavid
@AdaleeDavid 2 ай бұрын
As a newbie about to invest, you must have these four things in mind 1. Have a long term mindset. 2. Be willing to take risk. 3. Be careful on money usage, if you're not spending to earn back, then stop spending. 4. Never claim to know - Ask questions and it's best you work with a financial advise
@OliverNoah-zi3ve
@OliverNoah-zi3ve 2 ай бұрын
Well, all the accolades goes too my personal financial advisor jansen Costa.
@AlexanderFisher-ti2yp
@AlexanderFisher-ti2yp 2 ай бұрын
Yes!!! That's his name Dr jansen Costa alot of people recommend highly of him
@OliverNoah-zi3ve
@OliverNoah-zi3ve 2 ай бұрын
HE'S MOSTLY ON TELEGRAMS, USING THE USERNAME
@OliverNoah-zi3ve
@OliverNoah-zi3ve 2 ай бұрын
@mrjansenco
@JoeC5050
@JoeC5050 3 ай бұрын
u were saying bubble since 2019..
@marcuschalkley2355
@marcuschalkley2355 3 ай бұрын
Is it a good time to buy newmont mining now the price has gone up?
@Christineperkins-uw8ow
@Christineperkins-uw8ow 3 ай бұрын
I suggest buying the new tesla innovation shares at this point as they are relatively cheap and are sure to yield long-term profits
@marcuschalkley2355
@marcuschalkley2355 3 ай бұрын
@@Christineperkins-uw8ow ewwww
@Christineperkins-uw8ow
@Christineperkins-uw8ow 3 ай бұрын
@@marcuschalkley2355 wdym😂
@johnristheanswer
@johnristheanswer 3 ай бұрын
Inflation is US is low , excluding houses / rentals.
@shawntan6446
@shawntan6446 2 ай бұрын
had been hearing u saying this crash whenever there is a pull back lol
@iurevych
@iurevych 3 ай бұрын
This is a first time I’m seeing Sven laughing. Everyone, watch minute 5
@sociolocomtsac
@sociolocomtsac 2 ай бұрын
S&P PE has nothing to do with individual stocks. This is macro investing, not "value investing."
@seanpetrash7263
@seanpetrash7263 2 ай бұрын
Is it a crash or just shrinking m1 m2?
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
Time will tell
@tiago.sartor
@tiago.sartor 3 ай бұрын
Cut spending in an election year? 😂😂😂
@LeszekChojnacki
@LeszekChojnacki 3 ай бұрын
Hello Sven, are u able to make a vid regarding biden capital gain tax reform? This could have a big impact and there is no vid which translate this in proper way, have a nice day :)
@reynolds8532
@reynolds8532 3 ай бұрын
5:06... You mean Trillion, not billion..
@pea-pu442
@pea-pu442 2 ай бұрын
Many stocks are low..
@zenastronomy
@zenastronomy 3 ай бұрын
the difference is moral hazard. when one party benifits and another pays the costs of an action, you will get unethical behaviour. government going into debt, benifits the rich who get richer and richer. it harms the masses who pay for it through taxes and inflation. so what does the government do? it serves its constituents. which is the rich lobbying groups who make them rich through campaign funds and cushty jobs post government and not the public who vote for them. As the rich bribe every political party and every politician. this is the truth of democracy. It's perfectly logical and rational behaviour.
@gergelyovics
@gergelyovics 2 ай бұрын
I come across Whiskeys as an investment.
@karsinds
@karsinds 2 ай бұрын
Not bubble, just a normal bull market.
@azulsimmons1040
@azulsimmons1040 2 ай бұрын
10% or higher dividend? wow.
@mjs28s
@mjs28s 2 ай бұрын
so don't buy market ETFs (indexes) stick with individual stocks as there are lots of great values out there. The indexes are priced rich as they are, like the SP500, more like the S&P15 as so much of the over-valuation is the top holdings. Index funds are not a good way to invest less you are one that wants a 100% hands-off approach to your investing.
@Adamskyization
@Adamskyization 2 ай бұрын
Intel is bumming because they are losing their technological edge at a record speed. There is no way I'll buy a laptop with an Intel cpu on it. The performance is so garbage it's ridiculous. Also most major companies start to design their own chips which are much superior than Intel.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
Thanks for sharing
@marianSEO563
@marianSEO563 2 ай бұрын
But Sven, this time it's different. Ai will make Magnificient 7 earn big.
@saethman
@saethman 3 ай бұрын
Bonds of confiscation doesn't seem to be low risk to me :o
@caucasianafrican1435
@caucasianafrican1435 3 ай бұрын
Cut Spending??? 😄😃😀
@NotesNomads
@NotesNomads 3 ай бұрын
Cut spending hahaha OMGALOL
@Cleisthenes607
@Cleisthenes607 3 ай бұрын
Don't tease me bro! I can't wait.
@joezw99
@joezw99 3 ай бұрын
Sven, you don't know when it's going to crash. Your advice has not outperformed even the S&P index so perhaps you should stick to "neutral" advice and not make any predictions unless you are *sure*. I wouldn't be surprised if inverse Sven outperformed investing with Sven.
@Albannas
@Albannas 2 ай бұрын
As one economist said economists aren't good at investing since they see too many risks and miss oportunities
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
my advice is: see what fits you best!
@user-ky1on8bt3s
@user-ky1on8bt3s 3 ай бұрын
sven' when you say "print money", is it actually new pysycal money beeing printed? or other way to "print"?
@ForChiddlers
@ForChiddlers 3 ай бұрын
Dude...
@user-ky1on8bt3s
@user-ky1on8bt3s 3 ай бұрын
@@ForChiddlers you have a real comment to make?
@ForChiddlers
@ForChiddlers 3 ай бұрын
@@user-ky1on8bt3s just read how central banks bring money into circulation
@johnristheanswer
@johnristheanswer 3 ай бұрын
* physical * being
@user-ky1on8bt3s
@user-ky1on8bt3s 3 ай бұрын
@@johnristheanswer not my nativ languege
@duramajin3118
@duramajin3118 3 ай бұрын
Market down 2% for the week = crash
@joseafalvel
@joseafalvel 2 ай бұрын
they just can't avoid calling out the end of the world due to events that any experienced real value investor is used to see every once in a while
@lkmb1717
@lkmb1717 2 ай бұрын
UUUUUUU -1.46% down....... bubble is popping....... Come on be serious!!!! What Bubble??? Maybe in USD and all other silly fiat currency.....
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@meathead919
@meathead919 2 ай бұрын
I own businesses (that just happen to be publicly traded), not pieces of paper.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
Yep!
@ryansimpson3074
@ryansimpson3074 2 ай бұрын
DCA into SPLG and forget about it
@_al_c2638
@_al_c2638 3 ай бұрын
Apple, the best innovative American company (haha), is going down, when is a good time to buy?
@Amwatson801
@Amwatson801 3 ай бұрын
That depends on what return you expect. Sven says in the video that he is aiming for 10% yields. Apple distributed around 15b/80b as dividends and buybacks in FY23: in order for those to hit 10%, Apple would need to trade at $60 (so the 80b in buybacks would represent an 8.5% yield, and the 15b in dividends would represent a 1.5% yield). PLus 3-5% growth, you would be at a 13-15% return from a business trading at 10x earnings. Will this ever happen? Likely not. But I don't think anybody expected Meta to trade at 8x eanrings in 2022 either...
@Christineperkins-uw8ow
@Christineperkins-uw8ow 3 ай бұрын
This is a window to get as much of the latest tesla innovation shares as possible considering the dip
@Mogoisweak
@Mogoisweak 3 ай бұрын
"Money Printing" to buy govt debt is not inflationary.
@Isendir1234
@Isendir1234 3 ай бұрын
But the government using that newly printed money is
@nononnomonohjghdgdshrsrhsjgd
@nononnomonohjghdgdshrsrhsjgd 2 ай бұрын
is that german accent? there is something unpleasan german, but there is also something very normal, which is not german.
@junxu6519
@junxu6519 2 ай бұрын
maybe it is the time to long china
@whiskey_tango_foxtrot__
@whiskey_tango_foxtrot__ 3 ай бұрын
Government debt is out of control and the government can cut spending... $61 billion to the Ukraine enters the chat Excellent video...
@jonathankr
@jonathankr 3 ай бұрын
It's aid, not money. It's partially fake... if you know what i mean. They are giving them weapons to get into debt. The longer the war, the more America gets to sell weapons to Europe.
@elrevesyelderecho
@elrevesyelderecho 3 ай бұрын
8:15 Quién podrá salvarnos? El Chapulín Colorado! This joke is only available in Spanish... sorry
@jimanastasiadis5135
@jimanastasiadis5135 2 ай бұрын
Jesus christ these bots
@baffinsansterre
@baffinsansterre 2 ай бұрын
Did you really say the "S" word?
@OroborusFMA
@OroborusFMA 3 ай бұрын
The capitalist state cannot solve the crises, contradictions, and injustices of late capitalism. Socialism or barbarism: you choose.
@SocialWarriorClub
@SocialWarriorClub 2 ай бұрын
After Friday’s news about the Republic First Bank Collapsing! We should start see a downtrend until Powell speech.
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