HS Mathematics: Is Hearthstone turning into a Casino? Blizzard holding gun behind their head: Always has been.
@PuyochaGaming Жыл бұрын
"Blizzard has a unique feature : the company rarely draws conclusion from its own mistakes" made me laugh so hard! its a long-winded way of saying, they like to deflect there own mistakes! ha! good one
@byeguyssry Жыл бұрын
According to the wiki, on average, each run gives rewards equal to that of 696 gold. 53 in 8192 players will get 12 wins. Hence, we can calculate the average price of the skin. 53/8192 multiplied by the cost of the skin is equal to 1000-696. This gives us the cost of the skin as almost 47000 gold. If you're willing to spend 47000 gold on this skin and are decently good at the game, it's a good idea to enter the Brawilseum.
@victorzaak Жыл бұрын
That value you arrived would be an average of sorts. Some people could get the skin in much less runs and some wouldn't get it in a hundred runs. However, there's a hidden variable that is the win rate of the deck you are playing vs the decks you are playing against. If you don't have a strong meta deck, it wouldn't be viable to play the brawliseum at all...
@byeguyssry Жыл бұрын
@@victorzaak that's why I said "and are decently good at the game." And I did mention that this is the "average" cost of the skin. (Also, you'll get it in 154.5 runs on average lol)
@victorzaak Жыл бұрын
@@byeguyssry i see. Good points you made
@howareyou4400 Жыл бұрын
That's actually very wrong. Most of that "696 gold value" is for dust and cards. Cards are worth 1/4 now since you already have them and disenchant gives 1/5 or 1/4. Also dust should be worth half the value as you can often get 2 dust by spending one gold. At the end of day you only get roughly 200 gold value back on average. Compare to normal Arena mode, you are paying the price of 10 runs to get the reward of 2 to 3 runs.
@howareyou4400 Жыл бұрын
Blizzard is both greedy and quite stupid. Imagine they change the condition of "12 wins in a single run" into "12 wins in all runs". That way it's still more than 40 dollars per player. And there will be way more players attend the brawl this way.
@fffanatikos Жыл бұрын
I waste 3.000 gold last time to get that exclusive skin i wanted so much, i dont do the same mistake again.
@Dark3Nesz Жыл бұрын
(Beta player) I never liked this brawl from day 1, it feels like a gold sink with a very slim chance to gain a little more and with a LOT of luck a lot more. I feel like this brawl is only for ppl who play HS for hours per day or streamers.
@TheEiric Жыл бұрын
Its to drain everyone's gold before the mini set release so that you have to buy it
@Cuestrupaster Жыл бұрын
Same, I participate the first time, and then I think I never did it again, even if it was free, I first thought "oh it's like arena but I can actually predict what they'll play and skill will be way more important" and then I realize, wait a moment, there's no way to get 12 wins in this...
@AcidChaoS1 Жыл бұрын
@@TheEiricI will craft the minis set with dust, but I have to buy the gold version with 10K gold or $$$, because I have all Diamond cards.
@pabenjamin94 Жыл бұрын
If you can get 1000 gold's worth of resources off of 3 wins, I'd participate. But as it stands, you'll need at least 5 wins, which is unreasonable. I think a 50% win rate to break even is fair.
@caro5788 Жыл бұрын
I had to google it but yes, there is skill involved in gambling which means the Heroic Brawliseum is the most expensive form of it in HS, especially for F2P players
@Vay0 Жыл бұрын
Blizzard: we want people to have no gold by the time the miniset comes out, what do we do?
@sdobitoo Жыл бұрын
Jokes on them i have no gold cause i just returned and bought parth of arthas(
@trc0707 Жыл бұрын
Great video guys. On the spending side. If blizz would restart the esport approach. I would be right back to my spending ways. However, for now I will enjoy my free to play experience :)
@Landopoli Жыл бұрын
I really enjoy the Heroic Tavern Brawl. Not because I will play it, but because you can see the streamers showcase their skills at the highest level. The hero skin is not even high quality. It wasn’t even supposed to be there, it’s like a bonus. I do like that it’s very exclusive, and just the most pro players will ever get it. It’s just a cosmetic, it won’t give players an advantage. I’m disappointed in Zeddy for crying so much about not getting a skin. You can’t just buy your way to getting everything. And remember it’s just an offer. You can just say no when others will say yes and continue to play a free to play game. Love your videos Mathematician!!
@alexmartinezgomez2251 Жыл бұрын
I don't play this tavern. I played when it was free first try, and rarely won more than 3-5 games... 2k coins is my next mini set :)
@makeleth Жыл бұрын
Now I feel kinda dirty after speding 1000 gold to get the scarlet skin last time. At least it was just 1000 gold and not 2000 or 3000 as some unlucky players might have paid. With these news now I will never enter another heroic brawl unless it has a free ticket. Thank you for your videos
@LiamsClan Жыл бұрын
What’s funny is that there idea of saving the collection kind of came true.
@Darkraidalek Жыл бұрын
If they made it just get 12 wins across any number of games at least would be somewhat doable. And they'd still make decent money.
@artems.2444 Жыл бұрын
5:06- "As we dont want to turn traditional Hearthstone to turn into a casino" - Guys where have you been all these 6 years?
@ThereIsPowerInTheBloodOfJesus7 Жыл бұрын
Blizzard: A company who is good at making prototype games. E.G. DotA, Lol, mmorpgs
@claretgarrido1695 Жыл бұрын
I think Activision-Blizzard knows about players who will definitely pay with their backhanded methods. It doesn't target the rest of the players with less income and may find that amount of money irrelevant compared to those who will already pay. Even so, it is a practice that is usually criticized and even deplorable (as has been the case with Activision for several years now). Also, it seems that the competition in the field is looking to repeat methods rather than innovate in the smartphone market, which could mean that they are profitable regardless of what happens to the players in the long term.
@Cuestrupaster Жыл бұрын
They need to make skins for DK for the Tavern Regular achievment, and for getting level 100 on the Battlepass, wich still without a DK skin as reward...
@diedeko2232 Жыл бұрын
I also miss the opportunity to by a single skinfor gold from time to time, as they once did. Also why not give players who reach legend more than just a pack? As I reached legend once and got my legendary I see no sence in doing this again just for one pack. I don‘t have much time to playand doing most of time just the quests. But if it would be worth, I would try to get legend more often. They could give away a special skin (but good ones, not that cheap stuff like for finish reward track) or some of the old ones for every third time players get legend f.e.
@byeguyssry Жыл бұрын
What's the difference between these skins and Signature cards, though?
@yungkenwud6397 Жыл бұрын
This is literally the worst mode, I dread every time it comes around. Not worth the misery no matter what they add to it.
@themostdiabolicalhater5986 Жыл бұрын
Why do you dread it if you don’t play it? That doesn’t make any sense
@alihorda Жыл бұрын
@@themostdiabolicalhater5986because it is shit and you can't play tavern brawl while it is on. Not a difficult concept to grasp it
@themostdiabolicalhater5986 Жыл бұрын
@@alihorda I didn’t realize people looked forward to regular tavern brawls that much I guess. I don’t even bother playing them for the pack half the time. My bad
@alihorda Жыл бұрын
@@themostdiabolicalhater5986 I only play brawl when we get a deck and I don't forget to play it. But basically making a mode worthless trash every few month with this heroic thing is just baffling
@yungkenwud6397 Жыл бұрын
@@themostdiabolicalhater5986 yeah, pretty much what Hajas said. It's usually a good mode for when I have a quick minute at work. Sorry for the confusion lol
@ElementVoidX Жыл бұрын
it is fine, I will just stop collecting hero portraits, I could hope they would put portraits and cardbacks into achievements, but then again that would not make them any money so no chance for that.
@Shabbadu Жыл бұрын
Actually I never payed any cent for mercenaries but got all the cards just out of packs I earned by leveling... So IMO the Mod is just fine.
@M7MD-6093 Жыл бұрын
If you participating in tha brawl don’t go more than once, i don’t see the problem
@Salvadorioo Жыл бұрын
Дякую за твої відео! З таким мисленням тобі місце у геймдеві. Ти даєш собі ради з цим
@HearthstoneMathematics Жыл бұрын
Дякую! :]
@mmarkusgaming Жыл бұрын
Last time when it was up was my first time participating in it, and I won 12-2 with a murocks shaman net deck. It was very hard and really RNG dependant... the time I've lost was against an UH DH on turn 4 and the other against beast hunter with manacheated (discounted) colossal on turn 5. I will not participate in more of these.
@neondead2.0.15 Жыл бұрын
Did you win Scarlet skin ? because i did 3 tries to have it, 1 run 1 win. For me as F2P she is worth it.
@Cuestrupaster Жыл бұрын
@@neondead2.0.15 FYI: between this and the N'zoth skin that's also for 1k in shop right now, I think the N'zoth skin is more worth it, although is for a different class so maybe you don't care about Warlock, there's also Guff, but no one likes Guff...
@mmarkusgaming Жыл бұрын
@@neondead2.0.15 Yes got her. It was the only reason I've participated.
@neondead2.0.15 Жыл бұрын
@@Cuestrupaster N'zoth 1.5 k and i got it too. Guff (and similar skins) don't have entry animations and hero power animations. Reason why Scarlet was so important is because DK had literally 2 skins that F2P can use: Stock and 1000 wins one. But reason why Sai worse than Scarlet is because of he's art and special interactions with card's. (He have less of them and they sound bleak vs Scarlet's).
@BeefyGreek Жыл бұрын
Tbf I think they should introduce a one free run element to it because it’s just a week without a tavern brawl for most
@honganhnguyen1950 Жыл бұрын
They give a free Standard pack instead.
@BeefyGreek Жыл бұрын
@@honganhnguyen1950 I appreciate that but I actually like the tavern brawls not just the free pack 😂
@mrdrquesos2795 Жыл бұрын
They should give one free ticket
@FlamiriusV Жыл бұрын
Zeddy was mad not at heroic per se but he was mad he could whale the rewards.
@TheFuzzician Жыл бұрын
The worst part about this is that some streamer or another is going to showcase a 12-win run, which will inevitably cause a few unlucky souls to try their luck, and of course waste 1000 gold. There are time I wonder if Blizzard sets some of these up, or otherwise encourages them to be more positive. You get a false sense of enjoyment from watching them. I recently criticized Trump (the HS player) for this, because he too often only shows the successful runs, which gives the impression that it can be a fun mode to play. I understand that drafting a mediocre deck and getting clapped 3 times with no chance of even participating is not fun to watch, I think it is important to witness these moments, because they outnumber the good ones considerably.
@gerrion25 Жыл бұрын
Meanwhile, I dare ask the most important question: will the bell worgen ever return? 🤔
@neondead2.0.15 Жыл бұрын
At least Scarlet one look and sound good. AND she is NOT from canceled mercenary from Mercenaries. I am F2P and i love her skin, but on Sai i will pass. (And because they will put old skin with animations in shop so they can syphon more gold and i definetly will want it more). So to All F2P who want Sai skin it will cost you ~2000-3000 gold at minimum, so do it only if you REALLY like it. (Like me with Scarlet skin)
@konasavage Жыл бұрын
I avoid this mode. Great video! Love you guys.
@RokuDragoon Жыл бұрын
0:34 The heroic tavern brawl has been delayed by a week
@Kitadudez Жыл бұрын
Like every brawsileum since years in hs I skip ez ez ez.
@Ominosentenzioso92 Жыл бұрын
prices are a complete joke: 7€ for a picture that you cannot see properly becouse it's 90pixel*90pixel. (*you cant know at a glance what you are playing against with the new heroes) 25€ for "legendary" hero portrait with year-2000s level animations. signature cards that are pay-to-get, you dont know what you are looking at and what that does. hearthstone started as a game for teenagers and then went into toddlers market with colourful clowns, bland quotes, and uninspiring themese. to make money they can start firing all the art designers, and start with fantasy style cards, not orcs with guitars. second, draw cards and hero portraits one can understand at first glance, like the "song spells" of this expansion that are so full of details and it's impossible to know for certain what's in there. but mostly, stop making cards as a "funny reference" to the real world (enthusiastic banker, a bored banker, package runner, a rugby player, such staples of wow).
@Ominosentenzioso92 Жыл бұрын
Second, make animations 30% faster, make the autosquelch button, redo all the hero quotes in a way that they don't sound passive -aggressive and make them say something with meaning, not just hello. Ecc. Game is a mess, devs and developers have absolutely no idea what they are doing and minus 3billions inspiration. Executives have no idea what are selling, to whom, what's the value... The only thing that keeps people here are the effects of the cards, which have been mostly cool last couple+years.
@sodapopinksi667 Жыл бұрын
I'm happy I don't want the skin this time. I wanted the last skin
@shocknawe Жыл бұрын
I love paying a ton of money to buy a lottery ticket.
@АндрейЗверев-э9ф Жыл бұрын
I’m convinced once again that quitting Hearthstone was a great decision Fuck Hearthstone, glory to Marvel Snap where you can play for fun and win for free
@dativo1631 Жыл бұрын
Sorry but i dont really like the blue skin of Holomancer lol
@Elstar. Жыл бұрын
The heroic brawl is next week
@leolph999 Жыл бұрын
@09:01 what class has a blue secret symbol? ;-)
@makeleth Жыл бұрын
Death Knight secrets leaked hype!!
@Ikobot. Жыл бұрын
Yeah, new vid. Comment with kiss for algoritm 💋
@arrowghost Жыл бұрын
When it's turned into a casino to keep the game running, it's fueled by real money transactions, that's just very sad. But at least I still get to enjoy your HS videos, it's more fun that way.
@cloudoaldo2461 Жыл бұрын
Commenting for the algoritm
@HearthstoneMathematics Жыл бұрын
:]
@sheda111 Жыл бұрын
I don't find it like a casino, but like a horrible opportunity spent wrong If they gave first try free a LOT of people would love the mode, and many more would spend retries. But 12 in a R O W ? that's not showing off skill but money
@oscarcabrejosvilchez4703 Жыл бұрын
I went 1-3 :(
@OO-rt9yf Жыл бұрын
Too much stuff game feels boated too many skins. There a few I’ll buy but they just are so many now. Where is the regular solo adventures. Books of heroes feel like such a slog not worth the reward. 2500 wins on mage but haven’t unlocked death knight. The multi player gets rage inducing after a while. I would be willing to pay up to $60 dollars for good solo content but they just don’t pump it out instead they offer us slots. Mercs felt like solo content but way overboard and failed hard. If they put it out for $60 and you could unlock every character but easier it would have been better.
@PullOffYouSkin Жыл бұрын
Black Jack mode
@reztarr2548 Жыл бұрын
its simply not worth. cash grab mode end of story.
@Lu-KN Жыл бұрын
I only play proper brawls.
@Lu-KN Жыл бұрын
I do not play brawliseum.
@gordonplayer Жыл бұрын
heroic brawl has been postponed. therefore, the whole video is fake news. (this is a joke)
@M7MD-6093 Жыл бұрын
Bro the skins doesn’t even look good
@prayinghermit Жыл бұрын
Just make it 100 gold lul
@themostdiabolicalhater5986 Жыл бұрын
This distinction between “free to play” and “premium” players is absurd. The “premium” players are the actual players. If you care enough about something that you enjoy listening to robot voices on KZbin do math about it but you can’t spend money on it you are either a child, or you have much more pressing things you need to be doing than playing card games
@HearthstoneMathematics Жыл бұрын
Hearthstone is a Free-2-play game, which means that the factor of playing without investing money is extremely important. At the same time, we are concerned about the total amount of money that premium players have to pay. The main problem with Hearthstone is that lately players have been making purchases less and less. It's not the players' fault that they don't want to buy items. The reason for the decline in revenue, in our opinion, lies in poor strategic decisions.