Cringing at Old Oscar Predictions

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[@Rififi-r1j]

Its great that you guys are posting oscar content even after the oscars....dedication and commitment to the channel title

[@haliabrowne293]

so so good!!

[@kimojio]

every season is oscar season here!

[@movieunycorn9105]

Once Oscar season ends, Oscar season begins again

[@travisspazz1624]

I legit forgot The Son even existed!!

[@ikexbankai]

Was it good?

[@RB-.-]

@@ikexbankai No. Interesting subject matter done in the most heavy handed & cliched manner possible. The kid actor was in over his head. Terrible terrible terrible ending too.

[@friendlypup5650]

@@ikexbankai medium. More bad than good

[@bryant7369]

The father was sooooooo good. How is it even possible 😭

[@travisspazz1624]

@@bryant7369 yeah sound of metal was my favorite of 2020, but Hopkins definitely earns that Oscar!

[@lorcan545]

This kind of video makes winning Best Picture look so much like an exercise in hacking an algorithm that it's hard to decide whether that's really what it is or if the appearance that that's the case is just a by-product of the phenomenon of Oscars predicting.

[@hatelovebowel4571]

Also it's funny that Damien Chazelle told Diego Calva to travel the world as much as possible because he was gonna become famous and couldn't go anywhere after Babylon😭

[@taylor11111]

Aw this makes me sad.

[@reecejennings9637]

That's what shoulda happened

[@moviegeek1111]

geez he was ego tripping hard

[@redred4877]

The Son bombed so hard lmfao 😅 Massive oscar-bait fail.

[@seankoontz4235]

Biggest failed Oscar bait since J. Edgar

[@pb.j.1753]

Same for Empire of Light

[@gocinema252]

Biggest Oscar bait fail since Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

[@ryantrent2114]

It looked good on paper, all ridicule aside

[@seankoontz4235]

@Ryan Trent Absolutely. Just didn’t work out

[@silecitizen6487]

Hoping Florian Zeller’s next film is called ‘The Holy Spirit’

[@hakug2587]

😂😂😂

[@seanlarajames708]

Can you please get back to doing Oscar retrospectives. I love those videos!

[@dusterrant9332]

I remember all the naysayers in the comments of those prediction videos saying that EEAAO wouldn't even get nominated for anything LOL.

[@arontamas5639]

Same with Coda...... Everyone praised Power of the dog and Kodie Smith McPhee for best supporting actor and Bafta totally turned the whole thing around.....

[@RB-.-]

Thanks for reminding me how good Bones and All & Banshees are

[@gocinema252]

I remember before and after The Whale premiered at Venice and TIFF that it would not get nominated for Best Picture because Darren Aronofsky films tended to be polarizing and the reviews didn’t convince me that it would get nominated for Best Picture. It was kind of like The Eyes of Tammy Faye where even if not everyone loved the movie, people still loved the performance.

[@hatelovebowel4571]

I would say you guys were mostly solid since nobody knew a dame thing at that time. But I wanna praise Justin cause he actually had some good takes like All Quite getting into adapted!

[@VinelSeason]

I still wish Margot Robbie was nominated for Babylon

[@leviturner4565]

In the 2022 Oscar livestream, Brother Bro said Jamie Lee won’t ever get Nominated 😂

[@seankoontz4235]

White Noise and Cha Cha Real Smooth ahead of Banshees... hilarious

[@Sharpe1502]

They didn’t think Banshees would be competitive and the entirety of last year, I was like, “Why do they and FilmDrunk think Martin McDonough will not produce a masterpiece?”

[@VinelSeason]

I agree with Brother Bro, Jackman should’ve been in the 5

[@johnvilleneuve8484]

Your low expectations for "Tar" were a mystery, incomprehensible. With Todd Fields record, it was a no brainer that it was going to be a major contender. That reasoning of yours was baffling!

[@langleymneely]

So after “The Father” and “The Son” is Florian Zellers next film going to be called “The Holy Spirit”? Lol

[@KPlaysSports123]

I'm surprised Wakanda Forever wasn't even on your list considering I think it ended up 11th

[@RareCinephile]

I feel like Asteroid City, Challengers, or Foe could be last year’s Banshees or Tar.

[@oscarguyhere6663]

Your neighbors smh sorry ya'll have to deal with that haha I know what it's like living in a city

[@devdanferguson7616]

"Saltburn has had really positive test screening reactions and it's made us very confident in that movie" welp

[@johnvilleneuve8484]

Not only was "Green Book" not great; it was quite bad. Why mince words? Linguistics are important, but mostly to decipher nonsense reasoning. If you liked "Green Book", just say it!

[@purekinema]

My takeaway after EEAAO is that the basic formula of an Oscar winning film hasn't changed: It still goes to films that have critical acclaim, at least some level of commercial success, a well-liked and "sellable" cast and crew, an uplifting story, and socially conscious message. However, there were such extra barriers that have been weakened. The biggest change that EEAAO made is that genre films and movies with "out there" comedy are now suddenly in play for Oscar wins, as long as they also check the five boxes I mentioned. So which movies check those five boxes? We don't know the critical and commercial success yet, but these are the movies with potential: -The Color Purple (though a little derivative) -The Holdovers maybe (although cast and crew is a little weak) -Poor Things (depending of course on the story) -Saltburn (might be too niche interest) -Barbie (if uplifting lol, think it will be too mired in irony) -Next Goal Wins

[@seankoontz4235]

I think The Holdovers is gonna happen Would love it if Next Goal Wins is actually very good after all the delays, if it’s meh or bad that would be like the final nail in the coffin ☹️ We’ll see

[@nediaelifra721]

@@seankoontz4235 the director of holdovers has a huge controversy and it will get blacklash similar to three billboards

[@seankoontz4235]

@Nedia Elifra I just looked it up, and shit that’s bad. A shame; Giamatti would easily be in my Actor top five

[@Pjagadeesh105]

love from india

[@lanastan322]

such a fun vid crazy how the top 3 international contenders here didnt even get nominated and All Quiet took all the love

[@PoetryJesusY2K]

I wouldn’t be kicking yourselves over The Son that was entirely Florian Zeller dropping the ball

[@MsGreenwalls]

The Son fooled us all

[@seankoontz4235]

2022 would be an interesting year for a retrospective: EEAAO’s rise to being the front runner, mostly unpredictable acting races, etc.

[@MsGreenwalls]

why did EVERYONE just assume that Tar was a bio pic

[@evansoloway717]

i think the real lesson to pull from the babylon disaster is that you cannot put too much stock in young or inexperienced directors. chazelle is still in his 30s, which in hollywood is considered a baby. at the beginning of last year y'all were putting him side-by-side with scorsese and spielberg like they were at the same level when it was just never true. those guys are in their 70s/80s and have earned legendary reputations from decades of consistent greatness, leading now to their positions as oscar darlings who can almost never NOT be nominated, whereas chazelle is not even 40 and has only made 2 big oscar vehicles. The same mistake was made with regards to florian zeller.

[@johnvilleneuve8484]

Your accuracy in regards to "Everything All At Once" was astonishing. Perhaps because I did not like the movie. Nevertheless, it freaks me out that you both anticipated the awards juggernaut that it became!

[@Starkardur]

I predicted it a week after it came out it would be a big player in award season. Not a surprise at all

[@adityanair6554]

The annual tradition is back🎉🎉🎉🎉

[@DCERVANTES98]

I've been waiting for this

[@robfuzz]

It's still amazing to me that in 1991 Silence of the Lambs came out in Feb. and won best picture.

[@matthewcloranmusic7745]

Answer: Triangle of Sadness.

[@js7dragon]

Cole's haircut is looking GOOD here.

[@MatheusSantos-em4ok]

Still don`t know how Bill Nighly was nomitade for a movie almost anyone watched or liked

[@reecejennings9637]

Long time love for Nighy and the feeling he was a really overdue actor. Lack of clear competition, and an assured screenplay nom. He made the most sense when the dust cleared as 4th place and he's had a hell of a run as an actor

[@seankoontz4235]

I watched it a couple weeks ago, it actually is a very good movie and performance although I’m still a little surprised that he got in literally everywhere

[@jingren]

0:48 and I burst out laughing I'm sorry 🤣

[@PriyaSingh-rx6hx]

i really liked hong chau’s performance. i think she was the likely runner up for BSA

[@reecejennings9637]

I wish she was, but it's very unlikely. Condon had BAFTA and mass hype as the potential one win for her film, Bassett had narrative and hype. I imagine 4th was a toss up between her and Hsu, but I know a lot of people went to bat for Hsu

[@TheChicktube]

looking early so I can win big like Brother Bro $$$$$$$

[@matthewkauerauf1886]

Asteroid City could be the Cannes pick. Especially if people don’t want to give Holdovers the picture nom due to Payne. Focus Features could pivot.

[@Sharpe1502]

I don’t see it getting nominated for best picture. It’s another ensemble movie by Wes Anderson. The academy doesn’t like ensemble pieces by Wes Anderson. It might get some techs, but I’m not seeing it get anything beyond that.

[@pb.j.1753]

Cannes is more than American films

[@johnnolan5579]

Next time, get some sleep. lol.

[@michaelkennedy4571]

always love the music blasting through the walls in the background lol

[@jakecyan1]

coool

[@schmuck.on.wheels]

Honestly really cool to see a peek at your record keeping, as someone who makes a bunch of dumb lists for no reason, seeing that sort of data organized properly just makes me happy lol.

[@adityanair6554]

It's here!!!!

[@jackhindle9062]

Love the video! Is there any reason the first picture prediction video is privated?

[@antoniavids]

babylon is a misunderstood masterpiece

[@bennyathron7616]

Can you turn your long videos into podcasts as well?

[@Starkardur]

I have never heard of Thirteen Lives movie until now

[@beabravo6759]

Does anyone have issues with Gold Derby?

[@Kahayuman]

lets not pretend the cat at the back is not interested or just feel so criungey of our selections

[@antoniavids]

also i still wondering how could margot robbie not win a nomination with babylon???? her performance was fucking amazing

[@romxilda]

It’s time for my favourite video of the year!!!

[@JoeJoeJoe25]

The statistics analytics like these that made you guys great!

[@nediaelifra721]

proud to have predicted both screenplay winners eeao and women talking because they made sense in their categories eeao was the cool genre bending screenplay that has a social message in vein of get out and pym and women talking was dialogue heavy movie in vein of the father

[@ThreeThingsIResold]

Yes! Great video idea!

[@mariamariana8706]

YAYYYY best video ever

[@tovergeit3587]

I just have a feeling barbie is gonna get so much nominations and I am all for it

[@nicholasbrake4189]

What does everyone think will be 2023's Empire of Light and The Son? I am guessing Saltburn and Maestro

[@pb.j.1753]

The Killer, The Holdovers

[@taylor11111]

I guess I could see salt burn getting snubbed but I don’t see it being bad/looked down on.

[@pb.j.1753]

Oh and I forgot May December. And I am like 80% sure about it having read the script.

[@nicholasbrake4189]

@@pb.j.1753 I don't think the Killer will really be an oscar movie anyway but I see it being great

[@nediaelifra721]

@@pb.j.1753 may December could be the critics leader like TPOTD

[@hothotheat3000]

I’m so sorry for you, living next to such loud people.

[@kyudibles]

manifestation is that powerful

[@pb.j.1753]

I am just worried about people who call Babylon a masterpiece. Yuccckkkk

[@pb.j.1753]

How you underestimated All Quiet for so long is truly baffling.

[@himanshugautam3224]

i think ' The Son ' was good , the story it was trying to tell and the conclusion that was excellent . But yes when they went in to make a movie it fell apart somewhere . Most probably the dialogues and the way they choose to direct it.

[@SamxJxPx1993]

I was predicting 'Mass' right at the start of the 2022-23 season

[@lumpnubs25]

I am still a little surprised that Sadie Sink didn’t get a supporting actress nomination. She had the hype from Stranger Things and lowkey had a better performance than Stephanie Hsu.

[@poett8875]

She wasn’t the best supporting actress in the film. Hong Chau and even Samantha Morton were both better than her.

[@tonyg76]

@Tim Chew The Whale was the better movie and Sadie had the better performance imo.

[@kylejohnson4615]

You take that back RIGHT NOW

[@jongon0848]

Jamie Lee Curtis yes, Stephanie Hsu? Hell no!

[@Wired4Life2]

@@poett8875 I preferred Sink over Chau and Morton.