This Game Is PEAK FLAK!

[@mttv429]

Hi Mangs, I’m assuming that the percentage damage is uniformly distributed. That is 36%, 37%, …, 59% damage have an equal chance of happening. Also, you’ve assumed that the first attack knocks the infantry on a city to 5 HP. That’s not always going to happen, so the probability of a 2 shot kill is conditional on the first attack. If the infantry has 7HP, the resulting damage range is 40-66% and if it’s 6HP, the resulting damage is 42-69% (5HP as you’ve shown has a range of 43%-71%). I wrote a short piece of MATLAB code to loop through all scenarios. It looks like the probability is about 62.7%. FirstAttack = 36:1:59; ResultingHealthAfterFirstAttack = 10 - floor(FirstAttack/10); SecondAttack{7} = 40:1:66; % 7HP SecondAttack{6} = 42:1:69; % 6HP SecondAttack{5} = 43:1:71; % 5HP count_success_2SK = 0; count_total = 0; for i = 1:length(FirstAttack) for k = 1:length(ResultingHealthAfterFirstAttack) SA = SecondAttack{ResultingHealthAfterFirstAttack(i)}; for m = 1:length(SA) count_total = count_total +1; total_damage = FirstAttack(i) + SA(m); if (total_damage >= 100) count_success_2SK = count_success_2SK+1; end end end end "The probability of a two-shot kill is " + num2str(count_success_2SK/count_total) + " or " + num2str(100*count_success_2SK/count_total) + "%" ans = "The probability of a two-shot kill is 0.62684 or 62.6844%"

[@Mangs1337]

Love comments like these!

[@lasselen9448]

If I recall correctly one of Mangs's old videos, and if it's the same in AWBW, bad luck and good luck rolls are separate. This means, with Barbaric Blow for instance, you get a first roll of [-39..0] then a second roll of [0..89] with the final result being the sum of these two. Not sure how it would affect the kill chance, assuming AWBW's Flak even works that way, but at first glance it's not a linear distribution.

[@jorgevalenzuela1593]

Also your opponent could have captured your hq without answer since turn 14 and finish on 15, if he had use block rock and move planned

[@panthekirb7561]

AW has low key the smartest people as part of its fandom

[@kingqupa4508]

Flak fiend

[@derkatwork33]

Mangs: is he walking into a brute force right now? Literally everyone: I have never been worried about that.

[@ZigTheHunter]

Flak Guy lacks the alliteration of Grimm Guy, it should be Flak Fellow, Flak Friend, Etc.

[@ArkDShiggy]

Flak fiend, or Flak fan could work too.

[@nitrogleaserin]

I submit FlakJack

[@raydespoir]

It works better as a rhyme imo. FlakAttacc would work

[@scarabix3D]

If only there was a convenient one syllable f word that would sound punchy when paired up with "flak"

[@MrTJTeez]

​@@scarabix3D flak *redacted*

[@hijackdallas6052]

You pick Flak, because it is fun You pick Orcs in 40k, because it is fun.

[@schwarzflammenkaiser2347]

You don´t pick the orc life, the orc life picks you.

[@ssss298]

Waaaaaaaghhhhh

[@whichDude]

*Orks

[@andregon4366]

Isn't that the point of games?

[@whichDude]

@@andregon4366 Orks are traditionally more rng and luck based depending on editions. Their melee is always solid, but their other stuff is typically shaky. Sometimes they get special rules that are gambling like. Healers that might randomly kill person instead, jetpacks that might explode if you choose to fly further, shooting accuracy in general.

[@SuperLemonfish]

You actually look alot like flak. You should do a full on cosplay!

[@justguy-4630]

Uh... Mangs looks like a meathead?

[@brayansoto7856]

Flak vs Jake... its like seeing a gorila with a gun, of course he can melt you or he melt first vs a guy being a wannabe sonic with love to plains

[@catlord9001]

"Flak Guy"? no. Flak FELLA.

[@PonTheGachaMachine]

Perhaps... Ape Man?

[@Mangs1337]

Will we eventually get Flak Guy???

[@SteamWolf320]

Mangs should be Flak Guy.

[@baldbro3693]

You can be Flak guy and Deejus can be Jugger guy

[@Hone_mor2525]

You?

[@shoopdahoop678]

Why not Flak Fellow

[@trolol1358]

imho, Flak could be really good in T4 match Live queue. With luck, you have to think twice more as the OPPONENT, and you can push really easy with that in mind.

[@swagmaster2003]

12:25 Actually, Block Rock would be FANTASTIC here, because your units are greatly out of position and you just used your power. The +2 movement would allow your opponent to completely surround your HQ with his vehicles and do an unstoppable HQ cap. But hey, that's live play.

[@nz75Kingston]

12:41 saddest helicopter attack ever! That poor 7 HP helicopter wanted to wall the HQ cap/artilllery so badly I could feel the tears pooring out of the windshield when it got sent to attack a tank!

[@aeiou6332]

Title: this game is peak flak Mangs: looses Mangs: "pick flak 👍" Refuses to elaborate

[@Hone_mor2525]

I don't even need to watch the video. The thumbnail itself is peak!

[@machetank4045]

We need a sequel video to "Stop caring about fire emblem" titled "Stop caring about advance wars" and it's just flak propaganda.

[@DennisN09]

„These bombers... They're indirect- combat units." - Flak

[@atruebossawbw]

Mangs: *gets no good luck rolls and proceeds to get demolished* Also Mangs: Play Flak guys it's fun!

[@gideon2295]

Oh i watched this match live yesterday. Loved to look it ^^

[@Alche_mist]

Glad to see Chociloni here, and even winning! I like the guy. He's certanily above my level, but his games tend to be entertaining. Also, he created several Golden Sun/Weyard themed maps and those are maybe weird to play, but SO AESTHETICALLY PLEASING. At least for a Golden Sun series lover like myself.

[@irispaiva]

First we had a Grimm Guy, now we might have a Flak Fella

[@Scrap_and_build_ourselves]

My wildest dream is to do what Grimm Guy does but with Jugger. Only problem with that is that you have to pray hard to the Casino Gods to get it right, so it's not easy to pull off.

[@Krizalid3YE]

Playing as Flak is how we Brazilian say: "Vivendo a vida louca!" (Living a crasy life!) Because why not play as Flak? If is in the game, why not? XD

[@cLazyKatz]

Imo, Flak’s powers could make your meat-shields go offensive (inf benefits most from his Super). Any units that has less value should attack higher-value units (inf atk everything, tanks atk med/neo) or rush in and take out their indirects. You might find Flak most fun in small maps as his Super can either tear down opponent’s frontline, or unluckily build wounded meat-shields (that can still block dangerous units). Either way, use that chance to disrupt opponent’s formation while reposition yours

[@gabrielbitencourt1879]

I love how Olaf can summon a cold so fierce he literally frezzes enemy units alive. Drake wash his enemies away.. Sturm just summon a METEOR to blow his enemies up... Then there is Flak. In his power he flex his strength. In his super power he gets very angry. Love Flak

[@Artemis_WR]

i used to play with helmut a lot back in the day and still do it, one of the more fun to play cos just due to it's sheer randomness. and yes, flak name in the eu version is helmut

[@evanedwards4598]

99% of flak mains quit maining him right before they roll fat. Don't stop gambling.

[@disc06]

Maybe Mangs found out Flak is an eggman just like him and felt a new connection with the character.

[@RCL89]

After a minute watching the video I wanted to scroll down to post: "Flangs" only to realize that he already named himself that way.

[@schwarzflammenkaiser2347]

"As you can see..." no we can´t see because you had the calculator too low.

[@DavidMarcus1525]

Dear Mangs, I like the idea of you making a custom CO in advance wars. Can you make a video about units that are good for stardard and CO only unit?

[@hadoukenfighter]

Flak losing due to bad luck? Yup it really is peak flak!

[@sanstroid]

Hey mangs I have a challenge for you, can you beat first jess mission in the normal campaing, but you can't use units that cost more than 12000 (predeployed units have to be deleted if they don't follow the rules).

[@simonchai3040]

Mangs newest challenge: play and win with only flak 😂

[@ArkDShiggy]

Fortune favors the Flaks who fear no foe

[@EANTYcrown]

I dont think we will ever see a flak guy have success. Grimm is fun because he is consistent, if you are good enough you can take games with Grimm just by planning how to use your resources, with flak is a crapshoot and the average result is just bad

[@Austin555661]

How do two sonyas with active supers work Can you get two units to kill each other? Wonder if you could get a mod to give flak first strike, then do a flak off lmao

[@GUSH3R]

I think that Flangs and Jangs are the same guy 🧐

[@whichDude]

Flak stealing Jugger's thunder. Give the bot some love too

[@janithenimal3435]

More miniatures like this please

[@wackerbigfoot]

HI mangs I have been following your channel for 4 years now and enjoyed your content i loved advanced wars 2 more than anything it was the first game i had on my game boy and held onto it when the reboot came out and when i heard about advance wars by web i had to try it out i havent done a match but i will pick flack and only flack cause i like his character so i will become flack guy cause i want a challange all i need is help getting into AWBW and will do it but keep going with your bad self and hope to see more!

[@impersonal6959]

The desperate counterattack that gave Mangs hope was beautiful! Threw everything available in the scramble for victory!

[@danarc5042]

Mangs what are the plugins you are using on awbw

[@ManaNek]

When I saw Flak I just assumed bad luck rolls 👍

[@kire5991]

ayy thats what ive been doing on live league, only luck CO's. doesnt work out too well but its hilarious to destroy neotanks and shit with infantry

[@1_random_commenter]

With Luck damage, there is a tension between the goals of taking favorable engagements, and protecting your infantry/total unit count. Yeeting your units as a Luck CO will only feed free dudes to your opponent. (Not to say you did that, necessarily. Just thinking out loud.)

[@Harmless_Music]

Flak’s unique luck rolls making him an unusual BCopter-Recon specialist is why I love AW’s COs so much, flaws and all

[@nomen6426]

You should make a fireemblem 6,7 or 8 patch that makes all your units have flak luck damage or something like that

[@JoutarouKuujou1]

who is "they see me rollin"?

[@chaosryans]

If you could figure out when the numbers are generated for luck rolls you could probably cheese it a little bit in games that aren't so time constrained. Move infantry then tank and get a -3 +5 or tank then infantry and get +3 +3 etc. or its like pokemon or Minecraft where you figure out which RNG seed you have and know the potential outputs.

[@USELESSDCK]

The problem comes from the fact you don't know the results before they happen, the only people who could know "RNG" bofore it happens would be the website developers and that would only be IF they coded the website in a specific manner.

[@chaosryans]

@@USELESSDCK depends on how its coded like if its identical to adv wars rng patterns. But yeah knowing the code would be helpful. Then during a match you can plot the damage rolls to see if there's a matching pattern. Some number generators are overly complex like using frame counts or more simple like turn/input counts. But super dedicated people could probably figure it out after a while although if its time or frames it would be really hard to use.

[@kylearigo2300]

Have you made a guide on each CO yet?

[@MurtorSH]

Mangs didn't pray hard enough to casino bot.

[@TheCasualSubculturist]

We need Uber Flak, doubling every advantage and disadvantage.

[@coolblubird]

I wish Flak was allowed in tourney play I love playing Flak

[@mithosaurion151]

I mean Flak is the Devil Axe of Advance Wars...

[@Nougatbars]

I keep wanting to do a Flak and Jugger only account, called Jak and Flugger, the issue is I am bad at Advance Wars. The Will is there, but the skill is not.

[@asajio0136]

How I can activate the bgm in the web page?? I never found the option

[@emily_boop]

flaks reboot camp theme goes soo hard, they're really awesome in general

[@Nick3lass3]

Ending was the best part, hahah

[@SturmAH]

Love the ending! 😂

[@RunicRhino22]

What if Flak had better anti air? 🤔

[@IDESTROYER236]

Flakback when.

[@FelrinKirla]

Forget Flak Guy, we need a player named Juggernaut to only play Jugger

[@jeffbraun5004]

Mangs 2024: "I am winning" 14:50 Is 2k ahead in unit value, equal in unit count and 2k down in income, at the end of his turn 😂

[@mike5449]

Lowkey... I could be Flak guy if I got decent at this game. I like playing Flak. : > Alas, I am dumb at this game.

[@magicalcapi9148]

Flak guy, me half sleep Jugger bot, *TERMINATOR VIBES*

[@Linkranger67]

Please name it "Flak Fellow"

[@magicalcapi9148]

Next time, try using Brute Force only instead of Barbaric Blow. I don't know exactly how to explain, but my theory is that Brute Force has a better average vs unit number. In AW not all engagements are made equal, some are way more important than others, so if these key fights don't do great with CO power is still "fine", but if they go terrible with his Super you're screwed. One example would be you and your opponent have one Neo Tank each. With no power, Flak can do 46% ~ 79%, which is already reasonable. With power it rises to 41% ~ 109%, already powerful enough to one-shot and in the worst roll, still 4 damage. With super however, the rolls are 21% ~ 149%, if you have a bad roll here, dealing only 2 damage, you're toasted. There might be a case yeeting lower cost units, like tanks with Barbaric can one-shot Neos with 0% ~ 105%... or, you can just use brute force and possibly do 0% ~ 65% already, AND use power again sooner.

[@lilwheedle]

that infantry/MD tank engagement was the most disappointing point of the match. I was here in my chair praying to Flak Jesus, but alas he did not deliver. sad days

[@ronaldmcdonald4103]

Where can i play this

[@napalmcannon2513]

The luck giveth and also taketh away

[@LimakPan]

Flak will on average do more luck damage than a standard CO. His true weakness is that other COs get a damage bonus, such as Koal's 10% on roads, and then add their luck roll to that bonus. Flak's improvement to luck damage doesn't make up for a lack of a flat or conditional bonus other COs have even in low tiers.

[@dxd8386]

Oh man that’s a nice medium tank you got there would be a shame if something… oh well, never mind then. Thats basically flak in my experience

[@startrooper0016]

funny, you are playing against my AWBW buddy

[@Grokhnar]

Mangs turns into Flanks

[@Waauugh]

I wanna see a tournament with only Flaks.

[@boldandbrash9447]

Flakguy, the new Grimguy

[@lero4827]

Peak flak is truly an rng fest! You better pray to the rng gods before smashing the power button! Pro tip: try to use flaks indirect bombers they are quit strong if used correctly

[@riri2887]

I love the thumbnail!

[@magicchomperj-o5344]

Shadow of Aetheria Iron man?, I'm planning to do one myself. But are you mangs?

[@InuXAbridged]

Flak Fella when

[@danubilo]

i think flak is actually worst than grimm because his unreliability

[@Dru_Stephan]

A man of Flakulture.

[@Majster4K]

Tbh now i want to make an awbw account and name it Flugabwehrkanone (Flak in short) cause this idea is marvelous

[@inversepie6512]

I am a Jugger main in AWBW. I will tell you, rnjesus giveth and rnjesus taketh away.

[@oof5992]

no drake today, pack your bags

[@Hone_mor2525]

SQUALL

[@panthekirb7561]

Flangs promotes losing :(

[@AWGrimmGirl]

How about Flak Girl? ♥

[@Aardappelpurree]

Flakkalakalaka Other flak names: Flemish Flak Flakdimir French Flakgue Flakkapult

[@kingqupa4508]

Flak fiend

[@steve_jedi2511]

So you plan to make exclusive AWBW account for FLAK?

[@madogthefirst]

I wonder if Mangs is going to catch some.... flak for this. I'll show myself out.

[@foohfreitas6153]

you should not rely so much in a miracle with Flak, you should atack the medium tank with a simple tank during barbaric blow, trying to beat a medium tank with a infantry is a last resource, Flak is good with indirects , unit spam and com towers, I play Flak a lot

[@PICADALOL]

My, oh my...😮

[@CoyoteMao]

Campaign-accurate Flak gameplay.

[@LopsidedMoz]

Flak mains rise up

[@drakedarkest1627]

dude, you are "the flak guy"

[@justguy-4630]

Unfortunately, the guy she tells you not to worry about is never the guy you don't have to worry about, which is Flak.

[@officedullard8722]

Flak!

[@hx9]

Ladies and gentleman... I have a new hobby *cracks open a beer* ... oh no

[@whisper6534]

Up!

[@z3ra]

MangsFlak is so epic!

[@privategallade9120]

🥚