Hi Mangs, I’m assuming that the percentage damage is uniformly distributed. That is 36%, 37%, …, 59% damage have an equal chance of happening. Also, you’ve assumed that the first attack knocks the infantry on a city to 5 HP. That’s not always going to happen, so the probability of a 2 shot kill is conditional on the first attack. If the infantry has 7HP, the resulting damage range is 40-66% and if it’s 6HP, the resulting damage is 42-69% (5HP as you’ve shown has a range of 43%-71%). I wrote a short piece of MATLAB code to loop through all scenarios. It looks like the probability is about 62.7%. FirstAttack = 36:1:59; ResultingHealthAfterFirstAttack = 10 - floor(FirstAttack/10); SecondAttack{7} = 40:1:66; % 7HP SecondAttack{6} = 42:1:69; % 6HP SecondAttack{5} = 43:1:71; % 5HP count_success_2SK = 0; count_total = 0; for i = 1:length(FirstAttack) for k = 1:length(ResultingHealthAfterFirstAttack) SA = SecondAttack{ResultingHealthAfterFirstAttack(i)}; for m = 1:length(SA) count_total = count_total +1; total_damage = FirstAttack(i) + SA(m); if (total_damage >= 100) count_success_2SK = count_success_2SK+1; end end end end "The probability of a two-shot kill is " + num2str(count_success_2SK/count_total) + " or " + num2str(100*count_success_2SK/count_total) + "%" ans = "The probability of a two-shot kill is 0.62684 or 62.6844%"
@Mangs13374 ай бұрын
Love comments like these!
@lasselen94484 ай бұрын
If I recall correctly one of Mangs's old videos, and if it's the same in AWBW, bad luck and good luck rolls are separate. This means, with Barbaric Blow for instance, you get a first roll of [-39..0] then a second roll of [0..89] with the final result being the sum of these two. Not sure how it would affect the kill chance, assuming AWBW's Flak even works that way, but at first glance it's not a linear distribution.
@jorgevalenzuela15934 ай бұрын
Also your opponent could have captured your hq without answer since turn 14 and finish on 15, if he had use block rock and move planned
@panthekirb75614 ай бұрын
AW has low key the smartest people as part of its fandom
@kingqupa45084 ай бұрын
Flak fiend
@ZigTheHunter4 ай бұрын
Flak Guy lacks the alliteration of Grimm Guy, it should be Flak Fellow, Flak Friend, Etc.
@ArkDShiggy4 ай бұрын
Flak fiend, or Flak fan could work too.
@nitrogleaserin4 ай бұрын
I submit FlakJack
@raydespoir4 ай бұрын
It works better as a rhyme imo. FlakAttacc would work
@scarabix3D4 ай бұрын
If only there was a convenient one syllable f word that would sound punchy when paired up with "flak"
@MrTJTeez4 ай бұрын
@@scarabix3D flak *redacted*
@derkatwork334 ай бұрын
Mangs: is he walking into a brute force right now? Literally everyone: I have never been worried about that.
@hijackdallas60524 ай бұрын
You pick Flak, because it is fun You pick Orcs in 40k, because it is fun.
@schwarzflammenkaiser23474 ай бұрын
You don´t pick the orc life, the orc life picks you.
@ssss2984 ай бұрын
Waaaaaaaghhhhh
@whichDude4 ай бұрын
*Orks
@andregon43664 ай бұрын
Isn't that the point of games?
@whichDude4 ай бұрын
@@andregon4366 Orks are traditionally more rng and luck based depending on editions. Their melee is always solid, but their other stuff is typically shaky. Sometimes they get special rules that are gambling like. Healers that might randomly kill person instead, jetpacks that might explode if you choose to fly further, shooting accuracy in general.
@SuperLemonfish4 ай бұрын
You actually look alot like flak. You should do a full on cosplay!
@ub-46304 ай бұрын
Uh... Mangs looks like a meathead?
@catlord90014 ай бұрын
"Flak Guy"? no. Flak FELLA.
@PonTheGachaMachine4 ай бұрын
Perhaps... Ape Man?
@brayansoto78564 ай бұрын
Flak vs Jake... its like seeing a gorila with a gun, of course he can melt you or he melt first vs a guy being a wannabe sonic with love to plains
@Hone_mor25254 ай бұрын
I don't even need to watch the video. The thumbnail itself is peak!
@swagmaster20034 ай бұрын
12:25 Actually, Block Rock would be FANTASTIC here, because your units are greatly out of position and you just used your power. The +2 movement would allow your opponent to completely surround your HQ with his vehicles and do an unstoppable HQ cap. But hey, that's live play.
@Mangs13374 ай бұрын
Will we eventually get Flak Guy???
@SteamWolf3204 ай бұрын
Mangs should be Flak Guy.
@baldbro36934 ай бұрын
You can be Flak guy and Deejus can be Jugger guy
@Hone_mor25254 ай бұрын
You?
@shoopdahoop6784 ай бұрын
Why not Flak Fellow
@trolol13584 ай бұрын
imho, Flak could be really good in T4 match Live queue. With luck, you have to think twice more as the OPPONENT, and you can push really easy with that in mind.
@nz75Kingston4 ай бұрын
12:41 saddest helicopter attack ever! That poor 7 HP helicopter wanted to wall the HQ cap/artilllery so badly I could feel the tears pooring out of the windshield when it got sent to attack a tank!
@machetank40454 ай бұрын
We need a sequel video to "Stop caring about fire emblem" titled "Stop caring about advance wars" and it's just flak propaganda.
@gideon22954 ай бұрын
Oh i watched this match live yesterday. Loved to look it ^^
@ER-je3fd4 ай бұрын
My wildest dream is to do what Grimm Guy does but with Jugger. Only problem with that is that you have to pray hard to the Casino Gods to get it right, so it's not easy to pull off.
@RCL894 ай бұрын
After a minute watching the video I wanted to scroll down to post: "Flangs" only to realize that he already named himself that way.
@disc064 ай бұрын
Maybe Mangs found out Flak is an eggman just like him and felt a new connection with the character.
@aeiou63322 ай бұрын
Title: this game is peak flak Mangs: looses Mangs: "pick flak 👍" Refuses to elaborate
@cLazyKatz4 ай бұрын
Imo, Flak’s powers could make your meat-shields go offensive (inf benefits most from his Super). Any units that has less value should attack higher-value units (inf atk everything, tanks atk med/neo) or rush in and take out their indirects. You might find Flak most fun in small maps as his Super can either tear down opponent’s frontline, or unluckily build wounded meat-shields (that can still block dangerous units). Either way, use that chance to disrupt opponent’s formation while reposition yours
@DavidMarcus15254 ай бұрын
Dear Mangs, I like the idea of you making a custom CO in advance wars. Can you make a video about units that are good for stardard and CO only unit?
@simonchai30404 ай бұрын
Mangs newest challenge: play and win with only flak 😂
@hadoukenfighter4 ай бұрын
Flak losing due to bad luck? Yup it really is peak flak!
@ArkDShiggy4 ай бұрын
Fortune favors the Flaks who fear no foe
@sanstroid4 ай бұрын
Hey mangs I have a challenge for you, can you beat first jess mission in the normal campaing, but you can't use units that cost more than 12000 (predeployed units have to be deleted if they don't follow the rules).
@evanedwards45984 ай бұрын
99% of flak mains quit maining him right before they roll fat. Don't stop gambling.
@emily_boop4 ай бұрын
flaks reboot camp theme goes soo hard, they're really awesome in general
@nomen64264 ай бұрын
You should make a fireemblem 6,7 or 8 patch that makes all your units have flak luck damage or something like that
@Austin5556614 ай бұрын
How do two sonyas with active supers work Can you get two units to kill each other? Wonder if you could get a mod to give flak first strike, then do a flak off lmao
@coolblubird4 ай бұрын
I wish Flak was allowed in tourney play I love playing Flak
@HylianDefender4 ай бұрын
Forget Flak Guy, we need a player named Juggernaut to only play Jugger
@SturmAH4 ай бұрын
Love the ending! 😂
@mithosaurion1514 ай бұрын
I mean Flak is the Devil Axe of Advance Wars...
@Nougatbars4 ай бұрын
I keep wanting to do a Flak and Jugger only account, called Jak and Flugger, the issue is I am bad at Advance Wars. The Will is there, but the skill is not.
@Dru_Stephan4 ай бұрын
A man of Flakulture.
@1_random_commenter4 ай бұрын
With Luck damage, there is a tension between the goals of taking favorable engagements, and protecting your infantry/total unit count. Yeeting your units as a Luck CO will only feed free dudes to your opponent. (Not to say you did that, necessarily. Just thinking out loud.)
@Majster4K4 ай бұрын
Tbh now i want to make an awbw account and name it Flugabwehrkanone (Flak in short) cause this idea is marvelous
@Linkranger674 ай бұрын
Please name it "Flak Fellow"
@dxd83864 ай бұрын
Oh man that’s a nice medium tank you got there would be a shame if something… oh well, never mind then. Thats basically flak in my experience
@startrooper00164 ай бұрын
funny, you are playing against my AWBW buddy
@madogthefirst4 ай бұрын
I wonder if Mangs is going to catch some.... flak for this. I'll show myself out.
@MurtorSH4 ай бұрын
Mangs didn't pray hard enough to casino bot.
@TheCasualSubculturist4 ай бұрын
We need Uber Flak, doubling every advantage and disadvantage.
@AWGrimmGirl4 ай бұрын
How about Flak Girl? ♥
@inversepie65124 ай бұрын
I am a Jugger main in AWBW. I will tell you, rnjesus giveth and rnjesus taketh away.
@Nick3lass34 ай бұрын
Ending was the best part, hahah
@ub-46304 ай бұрын
Unfortunately, the guy she tells you not to worry about is never the guy you don't have to worry about, which is Flak.
@Aardappelpurree4 ай бұрын
Flakkalakalaka Other flak names: Flemish Flak Flakdimir French Flakgue Flakkapult
@drakedarkest16274 ай бұрын
dude, you are "the flak guy"
@hx94 ай бұрын
Ladies and gentleman... I have a new hobby *cracks open a beer* ... oh no
@PICADALOL4 ай бұрын
My, oh my...😮
@officedullard87224 ай бұрын
Flak!
@privategallade91204 ай бұрын
🥚
@FidoriaSky4 ай бұрын
You Pick Flack Cuz ur the PEAK FLAK
@epicperson533 ай бұрын
Play Flak
@scottygagnon42874 ай бұрын
44 views 1 minute. SO sad D:
@atruebossawbw4 ай бұрын
Mangs: *gets no good luck rolls and proceeds to get demolished* Also Mangs: Play Flak guys it's fun!
Glad to see Chociloni here, and even winning! I like the guy. He's certanily above my level, but his games tend to be entertaining. Also, he created several Golden Sun/Weyard themed maps and those are maybe weird to play, but SO AESTHETICALLY PLEASING. At least for a Golden Sun series lover like myself.
@Krizalid3YE4 ай бұрын
Playing as Flak is how we Brazilian say: "Vivendo a vida louca!" (Living a crasy life!) Because why not play as Flak? If is in the game, why not? XD
@ManaNek4 ай бұрын
When I saw Flak I just assumed bad luck rolls 👍
@napalmcannon25134 ай бұрын
The luck giveth and also taketh away
@danubilo4 ай бұрын
i think flak is actually worst than grimm because his unreliability
@irispaiva4 ай бұрын
First we had a Grimm Guy, now we might have a Flak Fella
@schwarzflammenkaiser23474 ай бұрын
"As you can see..." no we can´t see because you had the calculator too low.
@GUSH3R4 ай бұрын
I think that Flangs and Jangs are the same guy 🧐
@mike54494 ай бұрын
Lowkey... I could be Flak guy if I got decent at this game. I like playing Flak. : > Alas, I am dumb at this game.
@magicalcapi91484 ай бұрын
Next time, try using Brute Force only instead of Barbaric Blow. I don't know exactly how to explain, but my theory is that Brute Force has a better average vs unit number. In AW not all engagements are made equal, some are way more important than others, so if these key fights don't do great with CO power is still "fine", but if they go terrible with his Super you're screwed. One example would be you and your opponent have one Neo Tank each. With no power, Flak can do 46% ~ 79%, which is already reasonable. With power it rises to 41% ~ 109%, already powerful enough to one-shot and in the worst roll, still 4 damage. With super however, the rolls are 21% ~ 149%, if you have a bad roll here, dealing only 2 damage, you're toasted. There might be a case yeeting lower cost units, like tanks with Barbaric can one-shot Neos with 0% ~ 105%... or, you can just use brute force and possibly do 0% ~ 65% already, AND use power again sooner.
@kire59914 ай бұрын
ayy thats what ive been doing on live league, only luck CO's. doesnt work out too well but its hilarious to destroy neotanks and shit with infantry
@danarc50424 ай бұрын
Mangs what are the plugins you are using on awbw
@EANTYcrown4 ай бұрын
I dont think we will ever see a flak guy have success. Grimm is fun because he is consistent, if you are good enough you can take games with Grimm just by planning how to use your resources, with flak is a crapshoot and the average result is just bad
@wackerbigfoot4 ай бұрын
HI mangs I have been following your channel for 4 years now and enjoyed your content i loved advanced wars 2 more than anything it was the first game i had on my game boy and held onto it when the reboot came out and when i heard about advance wars by web i had to try it out i havent done a match but i will pick flack and only flack cause i like his character so i will become flack guy cause i want a challange all i need is help getting into AWBW and will do it but keep going with your bad self and hope to see more!
@kingqupa45084 ай бұрын
Flak fiend
@lero48274 ай бұрын
Peak flak is truly an rng fest! You better pray to the rng gods before smashing the power button! Pro tip: try to use flaks indirect bombers they are quit strong if used correctly
@magicalcapi91484 ай бұрын
Flak guy, me half sleep Jugger bot, *TERMINATOR VIBES*
@magicchomperj-o53444 ай бұрын
Shadow of Aetheria Iron man?, I'm planning to do one myself. But are you mangs?
@Artemis_WR4 ай бұрын
i used to play with helmut a lot back in the day and still do it, one of the more fun to play cos just due to it's sheer randomness. and yes, flak name in the eu version is helmut
@asajio01364 ай бұрын
How I can activate the bgm in the web page?? I never found the option
@boldandbrash94474 ай бұрын
Flakguy, the new Grimguy
@panthekirb75614 ай бұрын
Flangs promotes losing :(
@kylearigo23004 ай бұрын
Have you made a guide on each CO yet?
@RunicRhino224 ай бұрын
What if Flak had better anti air? 🤔
@riri28874 ай бұрын
I love the thumbnail!
@Grokhnar4 ай бұрын
Mangs turns into Flanks
@ronaldmcdonald41034 ай бұрын
Where can i play this
@janithenimal34354 ай бұрын
More miniatures like this please
@LopsidedMoz4 ай бұрын
Flak mains rise up
@whisper65343 ай бұрын
Up!
@oof59924 ай бұрын
no drake today, pack your bags
@Hone_mor25254 ай бұрын
SQUALL
@IDESTROYER2364 ай бұрын
Flakback when.
@lilwheedle4 ай бұрын
that infantry/MD tank engagement was the most disappointing point of the match. I was here in my chair praying to Flak Jesus, but alas he did not deliver. sad days
@Harmless_Music4 ай бұрын
Flak’s unique luck rolls making him an unusual BCopter-Recon specialist is why I love AW’s COs so much, flaws and all
@JoutarouKuujou14 ай бұрын
who is "they see me rollin"?
@gabrielbitencourt18794 ай бұрын
I love how Olaf can summon a cold so fierce he literally frezzes enemy units alive. Drake wash his enemies away.. Sturm just summon a METEOR to blow his enemies up... Then there is Flak. In his power he flex his strength. In his super power he gets very angry. Love Flak
@CoyoteMaoАй бұрын
Campaign-accurate Flak gameplay.
@impersonal69594 ай бұрын
The desperate counterattack that gave Mangs hope was beautiful! Threw everything available in the scramble for victory!
@jeffbraun50044 ай бұрын
Mangs 2024: "I am winning" 14:50 Is 2k ahead in unit value, equal in unit count and 2k down in income, at the end of his turn 😂
@steve_jedi25114 ай бұрын
So you plan to make exclusive AWBW account for FLAK?
@whichDude4 ай бұрын
Flak stealing Jugger's thunder. Give the bot some love too