Can Democrats Win the House and Senate?

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As the race for the Presidency tightens, we turn our attention to key congressional races that could determine how effectively either candidate could enact their agendas. So has the edge in the House and Senate? And could there be a governing trifecta?
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[@blueboy3990]

When the senate was first created the population ratio between the most and least populated states was <a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="361">6:1</a>, now it's 6<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="1">0:1</a> ....

[@Talisguy]

The Senate and House both need to be a lot bigger. The voter-to-representative ratio is a huge problem with the US political system - Congress is simply too small for its members to keep remotely in touch with the everyday concerns of their electorate.

[@rikuvakevainen6157]

So they need bigger room to do their work.

[@Apocalypse21OG]

What you expect Wyoming or Vermont to do? Steal 30 millions people and have them cramp in a small area?

[@Talisguy]

​@@Apocalypse21OG No, the point is that having two Senators per state regardless of population is ridiculous.

[@Khneefer]

​@@Talisguy You have represenation tie to population in HR. Senate shows equality of all states in union. HR should be expanded to be cubic root of population (693 congressmans for today popualtion), and every state should have 3 senators instade of 2. Both should be elected by STAR Voting method.

[@leifmcewen-updegrove1893]

As a Minnesotan I feel like I have to say this: it's pronounced "Walls" not "Waltz"

[@ABoxIsMyHome]

what’s your thoughts on Waltz and the general feeling of who will win the election?

[@leifmcewen-updegrove1893]

@@ABoxIsMyHome I think it's funny that people call him progressive, cus most of that is progressives in the state legislature pushing him on that stuff, not him wanting to do it. as for like who will win? its gonna be a coin-toss, a couple 1,000 voters in the swing states who will decide who they're voting for day of

[@ABoxIsMyHome]

@@leifmcewen-updegrove1893 i’m scared for y’all, i hope you are voting for Harris :)

[@soccerguy325]

@@leifmcewen-updegrove1893 Do you have a source that says he didn't actually want to sign any of the legislation that came to his desk? I find that unlikely, lmao

[@leifmcewen-updegrove1893]

@@soccerguy325 totally get that, it’s mostly anecdotal- I just know that a lot of my leftist activist friends weren’t the biggest fan of him cus they said he wasn’t willing to sign bills that would have raised Uber drivers minimum wages, and in general fought activist groups on language of the bills- not saying he’s a conservative or anything, just that he’s a politician of the moment sort of guy, and that his moderate reputation when he was in the house is I think more accurate to where he actually is

[@socialistrepublicofvietnam1500]

<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="221">3:41</a> Finally, an independent politician we can trust!

[@NCR-National-Reclamation-Gov]

He's the only candidate going against big Lisa

[@zaineoakley5555]

Short Answer: Yes its possible but its unlikely

[@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190]

unless puerto rico is admited to the union, 5 house and 2 senate seats.

[@hegara376]

Exactly. My hope is that with Trump and MAGA gone, Dems and Reps can begin to work again "normally", like political opponents, not like enemies.

[@dqdq4083]

Fortunately

[@dqdq4083]

​@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190 will never happen

[@RealTalkLaughs]

@@hegara376 ya, we did that before. It's called the uniparty and all it did is give us perpetual war and monopolies to the criminals who put them in power. Like, how stupid are you on a scale of 1-AOC?

[@Nahasapasa]

<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="220">3:40</a> D'oh!

[@jonasastrom7422]

Never thought I'd hear Nick Fuentes' name here lol

[@dariomeneses5756]

"Controversial political pundit"? More like neo-nazi influencer

[@OliviaCloves]

You should’ve said it- Cruz is only up by 1 point in the state of Texas 😂😂

[@Matthewmistcloud]

You forgot about the abortion and weed admenedments in Florida

[@michaelmmm3190]

I don't think that will help democrats very much in Florida

[@gob384]

Florida went for Trump on the same ballot that they allowed felons the right to vote. The local Democrats infrastructure has been ineffective for a long time

[@Talisguy]

My bet is that neither party will get a trifecta, but the combination could fall any way - it's so close that I have no idea which party will get which. It's _possible_ that the GOP's public struggle to agree on a Speaker will flip the House, but I wouldn't put money on that happening and I don't think it'll be a large swing if it does happen. The Senate and Presidency are both a coin toss.

[@beachboysandrew]

I’m guessing you’re not American. The American news cycle moves absurdly quickly. The speaker debacle is not going to affect almost anyone’s vote given everything else that’s happened since then

[@Murray-wr5no]

Homer J Simpson is a household name in Alaska. He's running on a campaign of more tartar sauce for everyone. The fishing industry has his full support.

[@beachboysandrew]

Short answer: no. They have no realistic pathway in the Senate

[@RJH755]

Wouldn't say they have NO pathway but it does seem unlikely

[@KrustyKrabPizza22]

​@@RJH755I think it's more of an unknown possibility tbh. We're in uncharted waters with the drop out mid race, and the polls getting way better all of a sudden

[@BlAckH0le-f7y]

@@KrustyKrabPizza22 Aaaaand then Trump just started gaining ground on every front

[@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190]

@@BlAckH0le-f7y a lot of these are partisan polls

[@Tester24796]

​@@BlAckH0le-f7ystranger things have happened. Like trump winning in 2016.

[@TwilightLimits-sk7kn]

noticed the Simpsons reference in the election card example

[@ryanhorton607]

<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="181">3:01</a> And Ohio. It's issue 1 on our ballot and it's making a lot of people become partisan on the matter because Republicans were the most recent abusers of redistricting the state over the last 4 years. 7 times, their maps were rejected, and so now, it's either vote for democrats because they want you to also pass issue 1, it's time we take partisanship out of the mapping, or vote republican because the democrats are trying to silence your right to have your elected officials represent how you get mapped.

[@cl8804]

i mean if they lucky they can win a third of a trifecta Dxracer

[@CB38096]

California is on track to flip at least 4 house seats. I think it’s likely the house flips but it will be closely split.

[@Cyrus992]

It’s gaining for Republican registrations

[@almighty5839]

No it’s not 😂 at most they’ll flip one

[@pranshukrishna5105]

its not even clear whether dems will will presidency, forget about senate

[@davidescristofaros2241]

Literally nothing is clear, except that the Senate will most likely be red. The rest is a total tossup.

[@hauthesun]

Clearly you don't know how the branches of government work...

[@pranshukrishna5105]

@@hauthesun dems aren't winning a trifecta

[@pranshukrishna5105]

@@hauthesun just so that you know even ronald regan landslide win in 1984 was not a trifecta

[@soccerguy325]

@@pranshukrishna5105 They absolutely can.

[@Batmans_Pet_Goldfish]

NY results should be interesting this time around.

[@phattorangecatto]

“Unpopular” Ted Cruz? He is one of the top national republicans, he is not losing

[@justincaver324]

OK, he still hated in Texas 🥴

[@phattorangecatto]

@@justincaver324 hated in Texas by the liberals in Austin im sure, you’re delusional if you think he is losing the state.

[@phattorangecatto]

@@justincaver324 This is like saying Eric Adams is going to be replaced by a republican in NYC because he is disliked in NYC. It’s pure wishful thinking

[@martinfitzsimons5884]

Buy that man a light bulb!

[@psychospeech6189]

No. Not even a little

[@scpatl4now]

There is also an abortion referendum in Florida

[@ellieteller8090]

<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="232">3:52</a> isnt all that popular is one way of putting it, another way of putting it is he has like MAYBE a 10% chance of winning

[@nerenahd]

The problem about polls is that Trump/MAGA supporters are either ashamed to say they vote for them or distrustful of anything that's not clearly on their side (eg Fox News). That's why they've been outperforming the polls on election day. Pretty hard to gauge the actual inclination of the electorate.

[@JSmirkingRevenge]

No, thats 2016, now they are open about voting for him The problem with 2020 is they did not include people who just said Trump and refused to go further with the polling, now they are including those people

[@MidWitPride]

I think that was much more of a factor in 2016 than it is now. People forget that Trump already was the president for 4 years, so he's not some wildcard outlier one has to support from the shadows anymore, but very much mainstream. Those that were ashamed of supporting Trump have by now come out of the closet, switched sides or become fence sitters. I don't think the remaining hesitant Trump supporters are a significant proportion of the voter base at this point.

[@maxlucy7135]

Democrats out performed the polls by an average of about 4.5 points, 5 points in swing states. Polls will always be inaccurate

[@ChristaFree]

Maga doesn't like fox news lol

[@ImStevan]

i just don't think that they are ashamed anymore since he won

[@rad4924]

No. No they can't. I cannot emphasise this enough. There's a bigger chance of Big Bird from Sesame Street becoming President than there is of the Democrats winning a trifecta.

[@Talisguy]

What are your predictions? Who will win what?

[@pranshukrishna5105]

exactly

[@Talisguy]

While I don't see any party getting a trifecta, it very much seems like any and all of these races could go either way. No combination of wins or losses would surprise me, unless one was a landslide in either direction.

[@pranshukrishna5105]

@@Talisguy nah dems aren't winning senate

[@turkmenistan1940]

At this point I would take option number one

[@giovannituber2827]

Kamala is burdened with what has been...

[@Krebssssssss]

Right now, Dems have to hope for a massive underrepresentation in the polls. It’s not looking good right now. Harris is currently doing worse than Clinton was in ‘16.

[@reysandyabayan9745]

With this kind of enthusiasm, it's not impossible!

[@cl8804]

jew no matter who so much genecider enthusiasm

[@richardyong535]

While i think they have a good chance to flip the house, keeping the senate will be difficult unless they could pull an upset

[@benitasam9171]

Not at all! The game will be changed!

[@PhilliesNostalgia]

Ain’t happening. Would I like it to happen? Yes. But will it happen? No. It’s more likely each chamber will flip, rather than one party controlling both chambers

[@PhilipJackson03]

It’s to say the midterms would be essential if Kamala wins. Gerrymandering makes it basically impossible to win the house this time around and other than the potential of an Independent winning in Nebraska and Allred winning in Texas the balance of power in the senate is very much in the Rep’s favour. But I think a midterm election would definitely favour democrats IF Kamala were to win. Since the focus would be on trying to enact her agenda and the swaths of seats up for re-election that time around give them a better fighting chance. But ofc that’s all speculation.

[@vezy1003]

"Fans of TLDR like YOU care about ... " Is it just me or does anyone else get really annoyed by that ad format? I like the content, I don't mind the ad's , it is what it is, but this insistent labeling followed by a proclamation of what " I " care about make me wanna scream at the screen. "I watched a video and now I'm a fan am I?" "Oh, I care about learning about the world around me do I? How nice of you to tell me." Honestly, I might even suffer through the ad if it didn't start of so irksome. I am irked.

[@falkevanlaere]

It's annoying, but they need to make money some way. This isn't just a KZbin channel but a corperation

[@monkeeseemonkeedoo3745]

It's manipulation!

[@Marius-J]

Its just marketing speech :l

[@mbk526]

No.

[@Desperate-Drive3423]

as a european its always fun to see who will win

[@aaaaaa-aaaaaaaaaaaaaaa]

not very fun if you are from Ukraine

[@Talisguy]

I'm definitely not having fun here as a fellow European. I hate that this thing I have absolutely no control over is going to have such an impact on global politics.

[@soundscape26]

Fun? I wish they would just get on with it already.

[@MorningNapalm]

No one will be having much fun if Trump wins. Backing for Hungary, Serbia, Russia, ...

[@scottowensbyable]

​@Talisguy As an American, I realize most of the world is trying to survive whatever media and politicians throw at us. However I'm very thankful my ancestors left Europe/Asia, wherever.

[@andalilbitqueer]

<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="213">3:33</a>- Not really, though Peltola won in part because the republicans campaigning against her kept attacking each other; Golden was already at 48-44 on the first round, and has held on ti the seat since 2018

[@ThijquintNL]

The winnneeerrrrr takes it allllll🎶🎶🎶🎶

[@NCR-National-Reclamation-Gov]

better than multi-party 🎶🎶 🎶

[@kyrcreruly]

Mamma-Mia, here we go again. 😒🎶🎶🎶🎶 😂

[@MorningNapalm]

<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="12">0:12</a> "He (Trump) is basically a tosser"

[@MorningNapalm]

Why is Homer Simpson on the Alaska ballot?

[@User.mindyourownbusiness94]

They have hope, if and only if everyone votes blue. From California to South Carolina, from hardcore democrats to independents who are closer to a 3rd party candidate, everyone everywhere must vote blue 🔵.. then there is a chance.

[@jamie59685]

cope 😂

[@19932603A]

My favorite reality TV show is in full swing baby. :D

[@primal1233]

It is highly unlikely that the Democrats will win the house

[@kc5466]

It actually is more than likely

[@Talisguy]

Winning the House is more likely than the Senate.

[@Talisguy]

It's the Senate it really wouldn't put money on them winning. Reclaiming the House is likely.

[@flash012234]

More likely than the Senate

[@cl8804]

not at all, haha

[@taraldomland8657]

It would be amazing if the dems could actually implement some good reform

[@quanghungtran3581]

Short answer? No Long answer? Hell no!!!!

[@mrw9044]

It's a very informative video, but what I don't understand is when you say that Dems are "marginally less likely to achieve" a trifecta than Republicans, meaning it's probably very unlikely Dems will win this, why are you talking about this scenario in the first place?

[@OfficialPazic]

<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="241">4:01</a> Nick Fuentes o7

[@tutonreliablo2421]

You guys are no better than cnn

[@romantsar8344]

why?

[@monkeeseemonkeedoo3745]

@@romantsar8344 They get their bs from cnn (and establishment sources generally), then package it for a euro audience.

[@PoseidonOilRig]

WHY DON'T YOU EVER TALK ABOUT DEMOCRAT GERRYMANDERING?!

[@mta4tubeyou]

The aim of this video is to see "if either party will win a trifecta." How come the title of the video mentioned the Democrats? #Biased

[@cl8804]

how is it biased??

[@mustarastas88]

Keep crying lol

[@LOLE_Editz]

Your mouth would be shut if he did the same for Trump. #Biased

[@johnwinter7597]

I love this channel and the things they talk about, but I think everything’s going red. The Democrats spent more time helping other countries in the people in this country.

[@hopeintruth5119]

You shouldn't speak about things you don't know. That is extremely surface level rate and a wrong one. Most likely the Democrats will win due to the fact that they aren't trying to do away with democracy and rights like the republican party

[@mr.x817]

@@hopeintruth5119abortion isn’t a right. What democracy republicans trying to do away with? Every 4 years yall say the same line. From Mitt Romney going to deport black Americans to Trump going to become a dictator. Yall thrive off misinformation & disinformation.

[@AlphaHorst]

Democrats winning New York is not really plausible. Even as an outside I can tell that the people of New York are not doing good right now, add to that the current issue with the major and people are not really likely to choose to stay with the same. Iˋd be much more plausible to assume that they will flip fully for a few years and look at the other side.

[@TheBT]

How awful do you have to be to have New Yorkers consider voting for Republicans. Maybe if Democrats stopped being Shit this wouldn't be so close of a race. We know from polling on issues that Democrat policies are more popular but they ruin it with their incompetence

[@abiodunsulaiman2297]

The dooming is insane what the fuck

[@AlphaHorst]

@@abiodunsulaiman2297 Sorry, but as an outsider what I see is: Finances are way down Prices, especially for living are way up The mayor did an big upsi buisnesses are leaving and crime is still a major issue Undecided voters will certainly not think "Yea lets change absolutely nothing and keep it all like it is"

[@PoseidonOilRig]

Ted Cruz is not unpopular, lmao

[@loubertloubert]

god please no

[@AnonymousBosch3158]

Fellow american friends, doesn't matter what, just take Marjorie Taylor Green out of the congress. Please!

[@Cyrus992]

How about all? I randomly met Adam Schiff at Jackson Hole

[@joebiden123mail5]

GET RID MARJORIE SHES THE WORSE

[@dqdq4083]

No. She's great

[@siempresonrie5924]

Hopefully it’s gonna be a republican sweep

[@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190]

hell no. have you seen what it has becom.e they peddle lies and hate. WE CANT AFFORD TO VOTE IN TRAITROS. trump sold secrets to outin and sent covid tests to putin when amercians needed it. he stepped aid growing to puerto rico even though it is as americna as hawaii in 1941

[@monkeeseemonkeedoo3745]

@@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190 BS. No one peddles more lies than the dnc biased media. Look how they gaslit over biden, they have zero credibility

[@MyGamingIsLegal]

The House maybe but definitely not the Senate they're on pace to losing the Senate and the Presidency.

[@ssmanwithaplan]

Its pronounced Ho-kul

[@kuzeycanikligil4091]

Please

[@alastairhewitt380]

Voting for Stein for president then a blue congress (as much as a I hate democrats), so even if we end up with trump, his psycho plans will be stalled. I can't bring myself to vote for far right kamala or trump

[@quietus13]

What are Trump's psycho plans?

[@Rmizis]

Kamala far right???

[@AD-poop_]

Kamala is not far right lmao

[@mustarastas88]

Voting for Stein is voting for Trump lol

[@LolanBadeauxMakes]

NO! unlikely not even a close possibility

[@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190]

unless puerto rico is admited to the union, 5 house and 2 senate seats.

[@mr.x817]

TLDR surly love the democrats/liberals. Maybe saying them winning or performing well does good for your views. I love y’all but be more center than left wing you’re hurting your conservative viewers.

[@FalconsEye58094]

its the only way anything important will get done

[@althaearatliffthereligion]

As an Ohioan I am voting for Brown, he’s a meaningful legislator.

[@mesamies123]

Democrat isn’t an adjective; it's a noun. Democratic is an adjective.

[@JaSmith-m1n]

Click bate

[@paxtatarica8982]

Wat????

[@yofedstyhrega4594]

They wont but also dont really need to atm. I feel like keeping a few seets in the Supreme court is waaay more important right now they should pressure Sotomayor to leave because losing another seat to the right would be so bad theyve already shown to want to abuse it.

[@caiden5855]

Way more Pro Harris videos on this channel than Trump

[@MorningNapalm]

The IQ here is higher than the American average.

[@JustATrippyDuck]

Because pro trump videos attract a certain toxic demographic lol

[@caiden5855]

@@JustATrippyDuck What has that got to do with anything

[@timmmahhhh]

Pro sanity versus pro fascism. #FDJT

[@JustATrippyDuck]

@@caiden5855 they don’t want to be bombed with dislikes and have to moderate the wars in the comment sections

[@MrBoliao98]

No, while the Presidency will remain with the Democrats, the rest will end with the Republicans being in charge. But I'm so disgusted with ageing senators it is an issue.

[@HShango]

That's exactly what I was thinking

[@yahnah9116]

Why are you so certain?

[@MrBoliao98]

@@yahnah9116 because this is what the conservative vote is thinking. People would have voted Republican, but Trump is too disgusting.

[@MrBoliao98]

@@yahnah9116 Trump for a Republican attempted to subvert the republic. He is the single issue why people would vote Dem.

[@turkmenistan1940]

I don't think Kamala is winning btw.. It seems like it's not even close anymore

[@WisdomLearner]

Honestly I don't like either party, not that their are other options. It's like voting for the least worst than voting for someone suitable.

[@eversor10]

No its not how the government was created

[@cluddlesclaimscraniums6841]

How things are created is not necessarily how things show stay.

[@Walker956]

using the term far right makes you sound too biased. we know you're leftwing no need to rub it in our faces all the time.

[@abiodunsulaiman2297]

How are they rubbing it in when they're just acknowledging a white supremacist is a white supremacist

[@mustarastas88]

They want to ban abortion, oppress LGBTQ and hate immigrants. Sounds pretty far right to me.

[@LOLE_Editz]

Go back to your Fox News and Torygraph then.

[@fingsnstuff9525]

Honestly I think the best thing for america is that neither harris or trump win tbh

[@kumbaya69421]

Kamala has been taking straight Ls recently. The interview with Brett Baier and her absence from the Al Smith charity dinner. This is not going to end well for her. Trump is going balls to walls with interviews and media appearances. Although, it is possible that Democrats gain the house and keep Senate.

[@CB38096]

Pure partisan hopium. Cute sis🥰

[@helenpauls1496]

Straights A’s is what majority of us see. She’s on course to win.

[@Batmans_Pet_Goldfish]

​@@helenpauls1496 plagiarism is a straight A? I'm not a fan of Trump, but that's just cope.

[@helenpauls1496]

@@Batmans_Pet_Goldfish Oh for goodness sake. He doesn’t have a clue about any of his policies. She’s the best person for President. Behind the scenes, he been dumped anyway, Vance is being groomed to replace him.

[@MarkQ_]

then why has he cancelled so many events in the last couple days?

[@sergeantsugartm]

How come that Polymarket sees a 60% win chance for Trump over a 40% win chance for Harris?

[@mrintrovert5068]

Trumps always over performs the polls and he is winning by most polls.

[@Talisguy]

​@@mrintrovert5068 Most polls are a toss-up. It's Trump's tendency to overperform the polls and the fact that they're essentially tied that makes people suspect a Trump win.

[@CB38096]

And what was it saying 3 weeks ago? Betting markets are far more volatile than polling averages. The betting markets switched between favoring Harris and Trump 3 times in September as an example. Not to mention you have a lot of crypto investors so the betting markets lean trump on average.

[@jovelo902]

Yea, lots of politically illiterate cryptobros are propping up the polymarket.

[@luke_cohen1]

Polymarket users who are betting on the election aren’t Americans since Americans themselves aren’t allowed to bet on such things. They also don’t do a great job in terms of user moderation (the website itself is run by Peter Thiel aka JD Vance’s mentor) so it’s highly likely that most of betting and comments are coming from Russian Bots rather than actual people, much less US Citizens.

[@morturismorturis]

First wheeee

[@IsachenkoPlayer]

This is unlikely, but it's trush

[@krieg_guardsman9548]

Why are the called blue dogs? Because the bite the hand that feeds?

[@luke_cohen1]

The Blue Dog Caucus’ original meeting room supposedly had a portrait of a blue colored dog. That’s the origin of the name.

[@jarrlan]

If they do we're all fucked

[@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190]

nope they would help you. codify roe, ban torturous conversion therapy for minors, education reform, housing reform, an infrastructure bill that adds anathro 500 billion to build even more roadds

[@legomovieman2]

No lmao

[@JustSomeTommy]

Even if they do, nothing will fundamentally change.

[@economiccrisis9267]

A Trump presidency with a democratic Congress would be a win for the country

[@randomguy-tg7ok]

...how?

[@Talisguy]

I do not understand this idea that the ideal government is one that's paid obscene amounts of money to do as little as possible.

[@someguy8454]

Isnt much of trumps plan just abusing excecutive powers without needing congress?

[@zUJ7EjVD]

The presidency is the absolute worst thing to go republican, with the house being the best (and the Democrats strongest category).

[@economiccrisis9267]

@@randomguy-tg7ok because they'll both keep each other in check?

[@carms001]

First comment AAAYYY

[@pranshukrishna5105]

NO

[@rossbaker9721]

No, because Harris isn’t going to win.

[@krisshnapeswanipeswani3190]

you udnerstimate the power of a white suburban women who is angry at being told what to do

[@CMCNestT]

No.