Twials of Mana Five Times in a Row

[@IndoorSitup]

There's a 1/6 chance of Charlotte announcing the title, so this is essentially just like playing Russian Roulette. And Vinny lost 5 times in a row.

[@meizan.2615]

russian chawotte

[@CosmicWaltz7]

Fun fact: you can't lose at Russian Roulette. You either land on an empty chamber, or, it's very suddenly not your problem anymore.

[@Matteomax]

Wussian Woulette

[@sneezebiscuits7239]

@@CosmicWaltz7 A good way to look at it

[@StrikeFear13]

BAM! BAM! BAM! BAM! BAM! **click** Oh, that's not so bad...

[@fakename8749]

Your name: Johnny Water. Your mission: Assist Vinny in self-inflicted alcoholism.

[@lucidlullaby894]

Johnny “Spicy” Water

[@ultimategames_nl1891]

John Spice Girl

[@innerface.]

Ew, John Water….

[@GewelReal]

"Every copy of Twials of Mana is personalized"

[@nashnamkar891]

"Evewy copy of Twials of Mana is Pewsonalized"

[@maxducks2001]

"Wwwww wwww ww Wwwwww ww Wwww ww wwwwwwwwwwww"

[@MidoseitoAkage]

Mine is japanese, so I have no chance to hear Twials of Mana or reconize quickly the VO of Charlotte.

[@miyazukini]

"Is my game broken? I-is my game broken?! WHAT!!!" the amount of shock is just uncanny

[@IvyBrooksHobkin]

Thats my fucking favorite part, the fact its near instantaneous

[@Shroom-Mage]

It's actually a one in EIGHT chance, not six because in addition to any of the protagonists, faerie and the narrator can also say the title.

[@GmodPlusWoW]

@Andrew Elie I guess Vinny must have swapped luck with ProtonJon that week. *_Meanwhile, elsewhere in the universe..._* *ProtonJon:* "...huh. My luck's actually been pretty good recently. What's going on?"

[@Vanadras]

@@GmodPlusWoW Nah their Glitch/oddity finding Passives are pretty equal Id say ;)

[@yoshimallow]

@@GmodPlusWoW What lucky thing even happened to Jon around June 2020?

[@expresionless953]

so...thats 1/32K

[@kingofworms831]

@@expresionless953yep

[@SBaby]

To put this into perspective, you are more likely to encounter a shiny Pokémon in a single battle in a given Pokemon game than you are to do what Vinny did here.

[@MilesEdgeworth129]

Far more likely, in fact, as it's a 1 in 8 chance, due to Faerie or the Narrator also doing the title drop. I've done the math, and that actually bumps up the odds of getting the same voice five times in a row to a staggering *1 in 32,768.*

[@SBaby]

@@MilesEdgeworth129 Even if you compare it to Pokemon Tabletop's 1 in 10,000 chance of getting a Shiny, it's still less likely to get Charlotte's voice five times in a row.

[@EingefrorenesEisen]

That blows my mind, because I've played all the mainline Pokemon games besides Gen 5 and Gen 8. I even did some breeding and completed the Gen 6 Pokedex. Until Gen 9 I only ever encountered ONE shiny in Gen 3. ... It was a Wingull. ... And I had no Pokeballs. ... With only my level 100 team with Rayquaza, Kyogre, and Swampert.

[@mariopikaman1]

Twials of Mana Twials of Mana Twials of Mana Twials of Mana Twials of Mana

[@InsomniacBasilisk]

If you say *TWIALS OF MANA* into a mirror five times with the lights off a bucket of spicy water will appear in you’re room

[@JakeRanney]

With this luck, Vinny ought to speedrun Minecraft

[@annoyannoy]

If Vinny has luck like this, Dream's speedruns might have been actually real

[@Kipwich]

@@annoyannoy The secret is the spicy water. It’s a performance-enhancing drug.

[@annoyannoy]

@@Kipwich Can i performance-enhance my life

[@Kipwich]

@@annoyannoy Probably. How much spice ya got? Do you think you can handle the many twials you will face?

[@exploitativity]

@@annoyannoy Either that, or... Vinny faked all five?!

[@lasarousi]

I'm so disappointed the title doesn't say "five times in a wow".

[@petwisk2012]

Five Twimes in a wow*

[@mowang1104]

Five times in owo*

[@joshuas.g.g.4951]

I still absolutely love how the very first video started with "Twials", and the very last one ended with "Twials".

[@memesleyv3]

in the past 24 hours i've rewatched this at least 30 times, thank god it's an actual highlight now

[@ironencepersonal9634]

I just have this on loop as background noise

[@PieDivide]

You literally willed it into existence

[@anonymouslucario285]

2:02 the way he's says that kills me lol

[@MaxwellKasper]

His game may not be broken, but he is.

[@TallTapper]

god it felt like he would snap and scream

[@RoseOfNight]

This kinda stuff proves he has italian blood. I can /feel/ him doing the hand thing at the monitor lmfao

[@thatitalianlameguy2235]

@@RoseOfNight he would've screamed porcodio if that was the case

[@RoseOfNight]

@@thatitalianlameguy2235 I'm argentinian, a country with a lot of italian descendants. We do the hand thing even if we don't speak italian

[@appleofdoom]

Literally a 1 in 7776 chance for it to happen 5 times in a row

[@bobosmith101]

SHINY POKEMON

[@YumekuiNeru]

Although you should account for among other things all the times it did not happen. Confirmation bias and all.

[@bobosmith101]

@@YumekuiNeru Bro but it DID happen

[@YumekuiNeru]

@@bobosmith101 How many times did it not happen?

[@ironpro7217]

@@YumekuiNeru 2:19 vinny says it was 5 in a row

[@AaronLizerus]

Hewwo mistew Vinesawce, I bwought you youw favouwite spicy bevewage.

[@rene9175]

His visceral reaction to the fifth one just slays me and also gives me life.

[@thedootslayer6983]

That water really spicy

[@kaizerdeath12]

Squeenix heard about the challenge and said "end this man's liver"

[@zedbags]

"GODDAMNIT THAT'S REAL"

[@willtoppa]

every copy of tWiAlS of Mana is personalised

[@CapnShades]

*evewy *pewsonawized

[@cantbehelped]

Vinny playing this game was the best thing to ever happen in this world. Also the game is pretty good, I think the awful voice direction adds to the charm.

[@Shroom-Mage]

Definitely added to the charm of Vinny's stream. I played through the game right before him in Japanese, and well, let's just say the English voices change the tone of quite a few scenes.

[@ukatosp1953]

2:01 I love the desperation in his voice

[@Crankyham422]

Twials of Mana Starring Charwotte

[@Ashurman666]

*Stawing

[@KCDinc]

The Choicer Voicer brought me back to this classic.

[@nahueltabarez8889]

Twaials of spwicy watew

[@PTp1ranha]

Vinny taking psychic damage

[@nickjaquez1713]

bwain werms ovo

[@ElfRightsActivist]

thank you vinnyjohn extrasauce man

[@Skye_Spiral]

God, this was amazing. Pewfect.

[@belisarius6949]

I wuv it, its wondafewl~♡

[@stardust-reverie]

the fucking unadulterated shock and horror on the 3 for 3. i LIVE for it

[@JacobTheCroc]

The fifht time he got it, he got real mad.

[@speedhacked_]

the W in Twials of Mana means water. Spicy water.

[@JC21]

Imagine if this happened for Fire Emblem Heroes but with Sharena's voice. I probably would go insane.

[@milesedgeworth132]

You might think that a 1/6 chance isn't that high, and you might say "Hey, isn't that what luck is?" However, when we look at these five continuous Charlotte occurrences things simply don't add up. If we compare them to other Trials of Mana players, Vinny "Vinesauce" Pizzapasta is way above the 99th percentile even among the most experienced Trials of Mana players. You might be asking if we're just cherrypicking streams and that perhaps Vinny only got this luck after trying hundreds of times. I mean, even if its a small chance its bound to happen sometime, right? Well, to have a better understanding of our decision to remove his record from the Trials of Mana Charlotte% we need to know something called "String Theory". Here's a simple explanation...

[@sliterhedgehog]

I love how Vinny's bewilderment progressively increases each time it happens

[@Nat_the_Chicken]

Smart to put this bit in its own video, I'm surprised it took this long. It was already edited together for the Best of June 2020, so you didn't even have to do anything.

[@moochington]

I still can't believe he hit a 1/7776 sequence

[@N0PH0B14]

There was a 1/32768 chance of this happening. Guess he didn't turn off his mods

[@lovelesswish1972]

1/7776 chance to get it 5 times in a row Man

[@lovelesswish1972]

@@Joiner113 wtvr I just love the fact that vinny gets mad every time a Twials of mana comes up

[@Loop_Kat]

Johnnie Water, Texas Stranger

[@InsomniacBasilisk]

*TWIALS OF MANA*

[@InsomniacBasilisk]

Thanks for six likes I guess.

[@SKOT_3]

This never gets old I love it.

[@CosmicWaltz7]

1 in 6 odds, each time. That means, the odds of getting the same opening voice clip twice in a row is 1 in 36. Three times is 1 in 216. Four times is 1 in 1,296. The odds of getting that voice clip five times in a row is 1 in 7,776. A .01286008% chance. Damn.

[@tf_d]

but.. the narrator and faerie can also say it..

[@soothsayingProfit]

@@tf_d So 1: in 32,768 odds lmao

[@FistofSteel1900]

drunk speedrun any%

[@Alex_Gol]

Twials of Mana

[@arzfan29]

1 in 32,768 chance of 5 Charlotte's in a row

[@arutezza]

Ith my gwame bwoken??

[@mandridhugh9555]

feelin a bit of deja vu, like I watched this exact video from this channel before.

[@alfiegordon9013]

It was in June highlights and someone else uploaded the clips somewhere

[@HakureiIllusion]

You know they say all title scween weadings awe cweated equal, but you look at me and you look at the othew pwotagonists, and you can see that statement is not twue! See, nowmally if you stawt up the game, you've got a 1-in-6 chance of being gweeted by any pawticulaw voice. But I'm a genetic fweak, and I'm not nowmal! So you got a 25% at least at heaw me! And then you add the faewie and the nawwatow to the mix? Youw chances of heawing anothew pwotagonist dwastic go down. See, with them, you got a 37 and 1/2 chance of not heawing one of the othew pwotagonists. But I? I got a 66 and 2/3 chance of talking, cuz Duwan, Angela, and Wiesz KNOOOW they can't talk ovew me, and they'we not even gonna twy. So, Vinny, you take my 66 and 2/3 chance, minus theiw 37.5% chance, you got a 29 and 1/6 chance of heawing someone else at the title scween. But then you take my 66.7% chance of talkin' if we was to go one on one, and then add 37 and 1/2... pewcent, I got a 104 and 1/5 chance of weading the title scween! Vinny Vinesauce, the numbews don't lie, and they spell TWIALS fow you at the title scween.

[@Henu_K]

1:56 that's the Gambler's Fallacy

[@fancychuproductions3916]

local New Yorker has a mental break down over an anime RPG game using UwU dialogic

[@barrykane7844]

"Twials of Mana" x 1 Fuck. "Twials of Mana" x 6 *YES!!!*

[@unnamedvisitor1649]

"Twials of E!!"

[@turninonthescrew7394]

(1/6)^5 = 0.0001286 = 1 in 7,776 chance of this happening The passive giveth and the passive taketh away.

[@SBaby]

I think Vinny might be one of the main reasons why Charlotte became the most popular character in Trials of Mana.

[@masarutas]

Twials of spwicy wawer

[@rudolph2937]

Remember everybody, if you do the spicy water... L A S E R L O A D S

[@Wignut]

If there's a 1/6 chance on getting _Twials_, then that's a 1/(6^5) or 1/7776 chance in getting it 5 times in a row.

[@funnyarc]

_Chat has been sated, you will be spared,_ *For Now*

[@GherkinGarboi]

My bwain melted.

[@TallTapper]

trials of mana moment

[@Nat_the_Chicken]

twials of mana moment

[@DAFORCEFilms]

1/7776 odds of that happening. That’s almost double the modern odds of finding a shiny Pokemon.

[@rabiroden]

L A S E R L O A D S

[@Skul1ManEXE]

binni dwinks the spicy watew

[@KuroKamiGM]

You can say he had some.. extra sauce

[@battlestarnomore]

Verny of mwana.

[@baragonkunfan94thesecondar60]

twails of manna!!!1!!1!1!11!11

[@VorpalBender]

This is the correct way to play Twials of Mana

[@Insane3OB]

5 shots 1 every hour I can handle it no problem.

[@calamaty2007]

I thought this was already uploaded on this channel.

[@quoteclone]

The description says it's a 1/7776 chance and Vinny literally says it near the end of the video. Why is everyone calculating this is in the comments?

[@kingsteve4304]

gotta make sure the math is like vinny's chances of getting Charlotte to say the title:100%.

[@Void_Out]

And it’s still wrong, since it’s out of 8 voices, not 6

[@teecee1827]

Twials of mana

[@shanemczane6725]

7776 WILL COMMENCE AGAIN

[@blueskiesj]

it's like Twials Yahtzee

[@TomodachiSmash]

TWIALS

[@Considerers]

Vinny confirmed hacking

[@asra-5180]

Twials of Mana%

[@Cuddleshock]

_It's time to puke-puke._

[@Astro-Rabby]

Charlotte is my daughter

[@Shivery]

Twials of Mana was an amazing stream. Also... E

[@darkneonwolf93]

My favorite Vinesauce 2020 moment!

[@just_matt214]

You know they say all men are created equal, but you look at me and you look at TWIALS OF MANA, and you can see that statement is not true.

[@mitchdouglas9844]

This is a 1 in 7776 chance of happening, or 0.0128% chance

[@EnchantedSmellyWolf]

Here Vinwy. Take this spicy watah. 🍶

[@DudleyKetsukane]

Twials

[@SlyHikari03]

Spicy bevwage.

[@TheTheisson]

Maybe she actually has a higher chance of appearing

[@tek3576]

So did he take breaks or something

[@gongalicious]

Pew pew!

[@scrunglebungyopyo9825]

Should the title not be twiaws of mana with both the R and the L replaced?

[@clanofclams2720]

No.

[@TheProDevin]

No one: Absolutely no one: Charlotte: *TWIALS OF MANA*

[@tailedgates9]

No, you WILL listen to Charlotte. XD

[@SandwitchReaper]

(1/6)^5 = 1/7776

[@EdwardoFE]

pwetty gewd videwo

[@a-random-guy91]

wtf is spicy water

[@TheOfficialMarioGalaxyFanclub]

Water, but it burns.

[@TheOfficialMarioGalaxyFanclub]

I’m kidding, it’s alchohol.

[@a-random-guy91]

@@TheOfficialMarioGalaxyFanclub ive never heard anyone use the term spicy water until watching this video

[@Rincewindl]

DREAM LUCK

[@bubblemage]

is this game good? any opinions?

[@weirdo7319]

The voice acting is pretty horrendous as you may know already. The story is more lighthearted than the original. But I find the combat to be fun because I like the action oriented combat that they've made.

[@bubblemage]

@@weirdo7319 i've read it's too easy, is that true? i hate easy games

[@steel5897]

@@bubblemage it's true.

[@FloorFerret]

@@bubblemage its quite easy. But it was enjoyable either way. The upside is that means you can basically pick any character and any job. So just pick who you like and what sounds cool. The downside is I have little interest to replay the game to see the stories of characters I missed. :(

[@erva231]

@@bubblemage Yeah it's pretty easy even on hard but you can unlock 2 more difficulty settings after you do the post game which are actually challenging.

[@nogidoki3325]

Trials of mana crappy ghost filter highlights when?

[@MayliSong]

Anyone know what he was shooting? I need to know how much harder to laugh.

[@killervacuum]

why does he keep closing and re-opening the game

[@xWallen]

because he's either stopping his stream, or doing something else? use your head maybe?

[@rocketforthree4479]

Not to be pedantic, but the chances are exactly 1 in 7,776

[@clanofclams2720]

@@Joiner113 guys it's actually just a 50/50 chance for the coin to land on heads 60 times in a row.

[@Rezu55]

@@Joiner113 Rocket forthree was talking about the chance of it happening 5 times in a row, of course the individual probabilities are the same every time.

[@Joiner113]

@@clanofclams2720 yeah you're right, i got confused between the individual probabilities and the cumulative probability