Ukraine Conflict (20240428): Full Frontline Update

Here is a run through the frontlines for the Ukraine conflict.
Discord server: / discord
JMSP's map: www.google.com/maps/d/edit?mi...
Books
Johnny Pearce books: amzn.to/3vv5ZSF
Survival of the Fittest books: amzn.to/3TXjp3z
Jonathan MS Pearce books: amzn.to/3IbX3sZ
UA Supporter / Reporting from Ukraine merch:
uasupporter.com/atp
(or use the code ATP)
_____
0:00 Start
Blog/column: onlysky.media/jpearce/
Merchandise for the A Tippling Philosopher blog network and KZbin channel. www.redbubble.com/people/john...
Buy me a coffee: www.buymeacoffee.com/GkxsyfQ
Paypal Donate: www.paypal.com/paypalme/johnn...

[@edmanzini3664]

Thanks again. We need your views on the war daily as the mainstream media has moved on. I truly believe Ukraine will win this war in the long term as long as the West continues support.

[@johncromwell2529]

Absolutely👏👍🙏

[@jmtpolitico80]

Thanks JP for your Time! Tell your family we appreciate them for allowing you to give us so much of your Time! I really Appreciate It! Good day Team, almost 3:30 and will talk to y'all tomorrow! Brand New week! Hope it's a good one for Y'all!!! Thanks Again!!!

[@mike4480]

Ditto, and it even more remarkable when you have health issues, you are a model for us all , .. Johnathan ,.. (& thanks to the Team ) .. 💙💛💙

[@chrisc765]

Content machine! Thanks jr. What up team

[@Lyle-In-NO]

A content machine indeed. Well said.

[@NikkiOwen]

Thank you Jonathan ❤ JR ❤ Love to all ❤ Just hung out in the livechat for 2hours. 😂 🫂 ❤

[@Johnlarkin69]

had me curry lol

[@NikkiOwen]

​@@Johnlarkin69 I hope you loved it John 🫂 ❤

[@Johnlarkin69]

@@NikkiOwen ohhh yeah however my workmate may not feel the same tomorrow morning in the bin lorry lol

[@Johnlarkin69]

@@NikkiOwen it was ohhh be joyful but I dont think my workmate will appreciate it 2morrow in the wagon lol

[@NikkiOwen]

😂 I'm sure he'll forgive you! My Dad was a binman back in the day. Before the wheelies. ❤️

[@ArmUkraine]

Thankyou for the coverage!

[@johnhare595]

Evening JP 👍😊

[@Johnlarkin69]

what happened to the live feed big fella

[@NikkiOwen]

You should hear how differently people pronounce UK place names, even locals! Hilarious. I wouldn't worry too much.

[@williammorris584]

Indeed there is a considerable variation.

[@darrencorrigan8505]

4x, Jon, Team and JR thanks. Has a live been skipped? I hope your Son's team wins.

[@user-sg6or2nu5n]

The US has purchased 81 Soviet-era combat aircraft from Kazakhstan, the Kyiv Post reports. Kazakhstan, which is upgrading its air fleet, auctioned off 117 Soviet-era fighter and bomber aircraft, including MiG-31 interceptors, MiG-27 fighter bombers, MiG-29 fighters, and Su-24 bombers from the 1970s and 1980s. The declared sale value was one billion Kazakhstani tenge, or $2.26 million, said the Post, meaning the average value of each plane was $19,300. Given Ukraine's continued reliance on Soviet-era weapons, the aircraft could either serve as a source of spare parts or be strategically deployed as decoys at airfields, said the Post. Well, this is great news..........parts alone could really help Ukraine until F-16's, Grippin and Mirage 2000 arrive. Slava Ukraine !

[@Lyle-In-NO]

I wonder if the public was allowed to bid. A MIG-29 for around $20k or thereabouts! I'm guessing most were not airworthy.

[@user-sg6or2nu5n]

@@Lyle-In-NO agree.......but given the cost of russian missiles listed below. If no parts or airframes are useable the value of these as decoys is well worth the price paid....Forbes calculated the cost based on the estimates that one Russian Kh-101 cruise missile costs $13 million, a Kalibr cruise missile costs $ 6.5 million, a Kinzhal ballistic missile costs $15 million, an Iskander costs $3 million, and one Shahed 136 drone costs $50,000, among others.

[@jakealcock5905]

That's awesome, great to hear.

[@Lyle-In-NO]

Another update? I don't remember buying a lottery ticket.

[@user-zv2nk4tw1q]

Thanks again from Ottawa Canada. Cheers and good health to you and your's.

[@jeffreyburnette6261]

Hey hey from Placer county

[@jakealcock5905]

another great video. Really appreciate you taking the time to inform us!!!

[@tommarney1561]

I appreciated the extra context. Thanks!

[@markaguilera493]

👋

[@johncromwell2529]

Addicted to your analysis!

[@Art-H]

Thanks, Jonathan, for this accurate, balanced and detailed front-line update video. I really appreciate your dedication to providing accurate, true and factual information. It's something I also think is vitally important in these days of disinfo. And it's something that I too hold dear to my heart. Cheers Slava Ukraini! Heroyam slava! Do peremoghe!

[@kiphumphreys9148]

Never have to apologize for keeping a happy home. I dont know if this hopeful thinking but those russian incursions look vulnerable. Theyre surrounded for the most part. More so than most of the postions they pushed into. On the other side. Russias prison population was over 500,000. I believe when we heard of russia mobilizing their prisons for war. War casualties were at about 250k on their side. Now their prisons are nearing empty. So if all the casualties so far are prison forces. There would still be 300k extremely expendable troops to slog through. My worry is even if these are over extensions, would they be willing to sacrifice thousands more in each area just for the sake of keeping their gains... Hopefully the munitions that are getting to the frontlines now, can make the advance not worth it. Even if its grinding expendable russian meat waves.

[@jakealcock5905]

Yeah that is definitely a worry as that many expendable troops would not only wear out countless munitions and resources on Ukraine's side but also give Russia enough time to rest and recuperate their main forces for a larger offensive.

[@williammorris584]

Syrski says that the enemy “Aims” to seize the strategic initiative? They’ve had it for six months. The ease with which the Russians winkle the Ukrainians out of positions lately are partly related to maneuver, but probably also due to both thinness and a lack of depth of the Ukrainians. The Ukrainian deficit of personnel looks very serious. The Russians seem to be feeding reserves into the Ocheretyne salient to produce enough pressure to produce more crackups (a charitable euphemism for a unit doing a runner) in this area. The Ukrainians appear to be increasingly sensitive to the possibility of encirclements. They will fight for an area, but when flanked they apparently are unable to counter the pincers as well as in the past, and therefore withdraw to the next defensible location that straightens their lines. This implies continued logistical poverty, depleted units, lack of reserves, or some combination of the three.

[@harveybrown37]

A direct result of American dereliction of previously stated Duty. Whether the Ukrainian Government's new Mobilisation law will correct measures in good time remains to be seen but Military Aid to Ukraine quickens and whether it will help in Luhansk for example remains to be seen.

[@williammorris584]

@@harveybrown37 The consequence of being existentially dependent on handouts, as well as a manpower shortage and terrible demographic challenges they have only begun to face.

[@markreardon6663]

In wrinkling out with 'ease' the Russians are taking huge losses in manpower and equipment. They are only able to advance locally and in spurts. The reason they are pushing hard now is that they know that a lot of aid is coming, particularly in ammunition of all types. The Ukrainians are bleeding the Russians to death at the moment. Oh, and the Russians are absolutely dependent on outside sources for material and manpower. Finally a 15k advance over two years in Donsesk at the cost of well over 400 000 casualties and huge amounts of equipment in what was supposed to be a three week war, tells us that the Russians aren't reaching Kviv soon let alone Kharkiv.

[@sherrillwhately7586]

Reporting from Ukraine seems to use an AI generated translator. He pronounces General Serskyi really weird too: Ser sky, like up in the sky 🌌.

[@pomg6512]

Well

[@T_Boz1]

I suggest watching an interview with Pete the Medic when his mom visited him in Ukraine on Olga Butko's youtube channel.

[@ATPGeo]

I had a meal with Pete in Ukraine. We have worked together on fundraising

[@williecassidy3772]

Why do people get hung up about how you pronounce names of towns? It's a source (very good) of the situation of the war in Ukraine not a Ukrainian language class.

[@IssabekovR]

The Russian objective is to bleed Ukrainian reserves. Is it going to work or not, I don't know. Russians can't just sit, as this will allow Ukraine to prepare enough reserves for new offensives. It's quite a pickle for the Russians, they don't have a strategy to win outright. All they can do is to continue attrition, while also hoping to prepare their own reserves. Will it work, who knows

[@TLMS654]

There has been nothing but a stream of bad news from the front since Zaluzhnyi was fired. Yes, there have been no weapons from the US, but I think that Zelenskyy is being given a pass for changing Zaluzhnyi that he doesn't deserve.

[@KathysGuess]

Jonathan, since you have taken such an interest in the defense economy of the USA reminding us constantly how important our defense industry is to our economy and hegemony, I’ve decided I should solve the UK economic development. Scotland, your PM needs to start building a defense industry in Scotland. The War footing Europe needs to be on should start with the recent Ukrainian financial commitment to be spent in Scotland to help their desperate economy. I’m not being sarcastic or flippant, Scotland is left out too often in UK 🇬🇧 planning. The people are smarter and more energetic than your island. If PM Sunak doesn’t pay attention to Scotland he’s going to lose his job. It’s time for a refit of Scottish economy, it’s being wasted as the best resource UK has for defense industrial production. In USA we carefully distribute our Keynesian economics funding across the USA. It’s the only way to make the citizenry content with their contribution to society and defense of our country. I hope you get to this comment,you amaze me with your stamina for Ukraine 🇺🇦🇺🇸🇬🇧🙏🏼🌻

[@nerdyali4154]

I think the English and Welsh are quite happy to let the Scots descend into advanced "progressive" authoritarian madness. Being sarcastic or flippant might have given you and excuse for posting such cluelessness, but sadly you've dispelled that possibility.

[@plankatlt753]

im ukrainian and i know 100% that Reporting from ukraine pronounce it wrong "Ocheretine", it gives you hint that RFU might be not real ukrainian

[@matejjumper3113]

Hi and thank you as always John. (Dont wanna sound like a douche, it is spelled osheretnye.. due to the letter ч being pronounced as tsch rather than a simple K)