That's what I get, too. Here is my Python: import numpy as np seed = 0 dice_count = 6 repeat = 100*1000 random_state = np.random.RandomState(seed) score = np.zeros((3,2)) for i in range(repeat): six_count = np.zeros((3)) for abc in range(3): for dice_index in range(dice_count): if random_state.randint(1,7)==6: for who in range(abc,3): six_count[who] += 1 #print("6COUNT",i,six_count) for who in range(3): if six_count[who]>=who+1: score[who,1]+=1 if six_count[who]==who+1: score[who,0]+=1 print("score",i,score/(i+1))
@jrodartec4 жыл бұрын
Hey, you, thank you for investing your time in running these simulations. Was going to do the same here if no one had. Kudus :)
@ChristmasTurki4 жыл бұрын
Bore off haha
@ZweiZombies4 жыл бұрын
Exactly n sixes or at least n sixes?
@lewisho81144 жыл бұрын
REALLY?
@zuckening8854 жыл бұрын
The 3 most common words in this video: -Six -Dice -Ye
@photelegy4 жыл бұрын
Why does he use "Ye"? Is this something from old English like "thou" as the informal "you"?
@zuckening8854 жыл бұрын
@@photelegy yes
@ShubhamRaj-mu8ol4 жыл бұрын
Right? Wrong!
@ΓιώταΚαλλίγερου4 жыл бұрын
-The-
@deoce4 жыл бұрын
@@zuckening885 missed opportunity on saying ye
@jerekhumphrey69274 жыл бұрын
Kevin: "those are the only 2 outcomes. It happens or it doesnt" Schrödinger: "I'm about to end this man's whole career"
@ΓιώταΚαλλίγερου4 жыл бұрын
Schrödinger: It lands on the edge
@equation27644 жыл бұрын
@@ΓιώταΚαλλίγερου It is heads AND tails at the same time until it isn't.
@dashyz32934 жыл бұрын
if it isn't the result of what you want, just quote futurama: "They cheated by measuring the result!"
@Noname-674 жыл бұрын
It's land on head tail and edge at the same time
@jailee64384 жыл бұрын
@@ΓιώταΚαλλίγερου no game no life?
@heyyou91374 жыл бұрын
Michael can go crazy Jake can disappear But only Kevin is here
@courtneysmith98074 жыл бұрын
Yeah what are the other guys up to?
@myrmatta14 жыл бұрын
They passed away from the virus
@underscoredfrisk4 жыл бұрын
@@myrmatta1 not funny didn't laugh
@underscoredfrisk4 жыл бұрын
bottom text
@apalsnerg4 жыл бұрын
@@underscoredfrisk ok
@cultsulth4 жыл бұрын
I just clicked for my weekly dose of "Right?... WRONG !"
@raihanalam94 жыл бұрын
LMAO 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
@funsouls28894 жыл бұрын
Or did you?
@ruufs23844 жыл бұрын
WRONG!
@cliffordbenenati73734 жыл бұрын
*Hello everyone, this is YOUR daily dose of....* *Right? WRONG!*
@lewisho81144 жыл бұрын
Ha!
@joblewit58564 жыл бұрын
Did You Know Kevin’s favorite word is “Right” WRONG!
@thatsahumanperson10494 жыл бұрын
Just take my freakin’ upvote
@ivyvetniss31484 жыл бұрын
Just take my freaking upvote
@ivyvetniss31484 жыл бұрын
@Egg YESSIR MAKE ZE TREND
@xacheron4 жыл бұрын
just take my freakin' upvote
@suleimens4 жыл бұрын
Just take my freakin upvote
@justinmplayz88094 жыл бұрын
Michael: Newton is right, or is he? Kevin: Newton is right, right? *WRONG!*
@shloksigtia98013 жыл бұрын
Very Very Very TRUE !!!
@deltro-lgx16553 жыл бұрын
😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣😹😹😹😹😹😹😹😹😹😹😹😹h
@revellations77413 жыл бұрын
Left
@TheUnderscore_3 жыл бұрын
@@revellations7741 omg newton politics!!!1!1!1!!1!!!1
@silver64103 жыл бұрын
more like duck duck goose
@plasmaballin4 жыл бұрын
"He seems to have been right about gravity." Einstein has joined the chat.
@alansmithee4194 жыл бұрын
Well, he *was* right about gravity. He just wasn't right about time or space, which happen to make gravity *appear* to behave differently when high speeds are involved. I might be wrong, but I think that's it.
@apalsnerg4 жыл бұрын
@@alansmithee419 Newtonian gravity is an okay approximation for the orbits of planets and for things falling on them, but yes, when near-light speeds are involved, things go wacky, which is what Einstein realised.
@adb0124 жыл бұрын
@@apalsnerg @alan smithee .... Eeeemmm.... Not really. Things REALLY behave different in relativistic gravity than in classical gravity, and in reality they move like in relativistic gravity. The shift of the perihelion of Mercury cannot be explained by classical gravity but it is fully accounted for when you add the relativistic effect of being under a strong gravitational field. Even in a much lower and mundane gravity field, the atomic clocks in GPS satellites (in low Earth orbit) need to be corrected due to them being under a slightly weaker gravitational field compared to their counterparts in Earth.
@JNCressey4 жыл бұрын
close enough for architecture and ballistics
@alex_zetsu4 жыл бұрын
Well, Newton's approximations are right up to 7 decimal places from the Roman Empire all the way to Newton's own time. It's not until people did experiments involving fast stuff that Newton's approximations are different than Einstein's equations. The other way to find a large difference is to go near something much heavier than Earth.
@isaacnewton27614 жыл бұрын
I still believe I’m right, young sir. An apple fell on my head.
@dudezgamez5503 жыл бұрын
bruh
@merchdraws3 жыл бұрын
i dont think you understand the gravity of this
@pepsir57463 жыл бұрын
@@merchdraws oh god, the apocalypse is here
@gamingwithraien46393 жыл бұрын
Guy ℵ
@Zeus-77783 жыл бұрын
Wassup newton
@harrietjameson4 жыл бұрын
Me: *Gets everything except for the answer wrong* Isaac: “Happens to everyone”
@AngelTheProxy134 жыл бұрын
Task failed successfully
@russetpotatoe26884 жыл бұрын
Task failed successfully
@commie_cat4 жыл бұрын
Task failed successfully
@thatoneguy95823 жыл бұрын
Task failed successfully
@dudezgamez5503 жыл бұрын
Task failed succssfully
@RandomU5erName4 жыл бұрын
Cmon now, he ain't here to defend himself
@CanadianBellator4 жыл бұрын
RandomU5erName ah your profile picture reminds me of the good ol XrpmX13 days
@deven95654 жыл бұрын
try and fly then
@Sike074 жыл бұрын
or is he
@TheMightyGiantDad3 жыл бұрын
At 6:15 when you say "12 over 1" and write that as a fraction, that's actually not how the formula works. It's actually the combination function, "12 choose 1", or how many ways you can choose 1 object out of twelve, which just happens to also equal 12. It actually has nothing to do with fractions at all, it's just notation to write the numbers on top of each other like that.
@shadourow-bathory69652 жыл бұрын
Disagreed If 12 choose 2 = (12! / 10!)/2! = 12*11/2 I think that it makes sense to write 12 choose 1 as 12/1 Still, it's horrible to write is in a vulgarisation video, as it's extremly missleading
@maxamillion60422 жыл бұрын
@@shadourow-bathory6965 yeah, I think writing the fraction without an explanation can be misleading
@GoldenLumberjack2 жыл бұрын
confused Unga Bunga
@SonsyAnteater782 жыл бұрын
I have no idea what u guys are talking about but im getting close to it in math im omost able to understand u guys
@DiThi4 жыл бұрын
"Here's what Newton couldn't quite handle" ... * dies *
@madkirk74314 жыл бұрын
@@hashtagnoname3931 ye thy make joke
@SerjBassist4 жыл бұрын
"If he's so smart, how come he's dead?" Homer Simpson
@rodrigosaniz32314 жыл бұрын
These are the results I obtained using Pascal's Triangle: Getting at least: - One 6 with 6 dice..............66.51020233% - Two 6s with 12 dice.........61.86673737% - Three 6s with 18 dice.......59.73456859% Getting exactly: - One 6 with 6 dice..............40.1877572% - Two 6s with 12 dice.........29.60935686% - Three 6s with 18 dice.......24.5198448%
@jrodartec4 жыл бұрын
This matches up nicely with the simulations ran by EnderCrypt (a few comments above you) ;)
@toz_lmao4 жыл бұрын
Very smart man. But me no understand maths, 2+2 very hard
@lordfarquaad23194 жыл бұрын
I've got the same results using combination, very nice
@SHRI-K4 жыл бұрын
Isn't probability of getting exactly one 6 in 6 flings supposed to be 0.6651
@rumbid60204 жыл бұрын
But it makes the sense the more dices you throw the more chance you have for 6...
@linsetv4 жыл бұрын
Kevin: "those are the only 2 outcomes. It happens or it doesnt" Thats why i have a 50/50 chance of winning the lottery.
@nickparkyn35614 жыл бұрын
And why you only need to tickets to have a 100% chance of winning
@srjoker88964 жыл бұрын
For God's sake are you serious? The possible outcomes are, it happens, or it doesn't, it doesn't mean that both cases have the same probability :/
@pota2s5614 жыл бұрын
@@srjoker8896 Well he didn't say which lottery
@niro62464 жыл бұрын
@@srjoker8896 lmao whoooosh
@Leksaboi4 жыл бұрын
@@srjoker8896 woooooooooooooooooosh
@evandavis52234 жыл бұрын
The real problem is that there was too much ambiguity in the initial problem.
@Ultrasonix34 жыл бұрын
Isn't it because of people forgetting to use the choose function when calculating binomial probability
@BigDBrian4 жыл бұрын
the only ambiguous part is whether it has to match the amount, or can be above. if it has to match, because of the exponential increase in the amount of cases, b and especially c will have really low probability.
@every1164 жыл бұрын
I calculated it both ways, A still has the best chance of accomplishing their goal whether the goal is to roll at least one 6 or exactly 1 six.
@pizzawhisker4 жыл бұрын
I hope if someone has more than 1 six, their answer to "Do you have 1 six?" is "Yes". So, 1 six means 1 or more sixes. Can't find ambiguity.
@fatsquirrel753 ай бұрын
@@pizzawhiskerif you have 3 bananas and are asked, "do you have 1 banana", many people (but not all) would say, "no, I have 3". Very different from, "do you have at least one banana", to which everyone would say "yes". The first question is ambiguous, the second is not.
@benharvey80944 жыл бұрын
Kevin: “He may’ve been right about gravity...” Einstein: “Am I a joke to you?”
@kyanleong80143 жыл бұрын
Nope. It’s gravty, not gravity
@MisterHunterWolf3 жыл бұрын
@@kyanleong8014 funny?
@Natt_Skapa2 жыл бұрын
I was bout to comment same
@Lucky102792 жыл бұрын
😆
@LincolnDWard10 ай бұрын
I mean, you can be right that 2+2 is 4 despite not knowing that addition is a property of a vector space. Newton was right about the force relationships that gravity creates; he just didn't know any of the deeper spacetime processes going on in the creation of that force or how those might create complications at extreme distances or speeds.
@rikothefirst4 жыл бұрын
"Peeps problem isnt hard to figure out until it is" -Gravty guy
@andrewbledsoe1313 жыл бұрын
Gave you a like because I read this as he said it
@Lagoon74 жыл бұрын
When you cheat on the test and have to have to put in a random explanation
@eegzaregood95634 жыл бұрын
Who would have thought my man Newton would be wrong about 'GRAVTY'
@LevianDaWolforca4 жыл бұрын
YE!!!
@greengreen1104 жыл бұрын
flat earthers, but seriously how are they this damn stupid and paranoid?
@FuzzyLitchi4 жыл бұрын
I mean he kinda was. Newtonian physics don't work with special relativity
@Dockhead4 жыл бұрын
@@greengreen110 i think its purely a running joke at this point its gotta be
@Super-wr6cf4 жыл бұрын
boyo Sorry to disappoint you but no, they’re serious asf and I ain’t lying
@NikitaKaramov4 жыл бұрын
Every time Kevin says "ye" I like to imagine him and Kanye hanging out solving mathematical puzzles
@ratoim3 жыл бұрын
Yo Newton, I'm really happy for you and Imma let you finish, but Leibniz is the best mathematician of all time.
@TheRealGuywithoutaMustache4 жыл бұрын
"Probability of finding my marker *100%"* Whenever I try to find something, that I lost, I usually have a 0% chance of finding it unless I stop looking for it.
@technicallybread4 жыл бұрын
Just like my will to live
@adararelgnel26954 жыл бұрын
You again
@schtoobs4 жыл бұрын
Ahh yes...The Heisenberg Lost Property Property.
@Qwr9874 жыл бұрын
He's here, he's there, he's everywhere! Who you gonna call? Physic Friend "Just Some Guy without a Mustache".
@YellowToad4 жыл бұрын
probability of me typing this: 100%
@DanielNapoli-vk2lj4 жыл бұрын
I’m the only one who noticed that he got 5 “6” after throwing 18 dices? 0.o
@halfcookedramen4 жыл бұрын
Uhh, Timestamp Plz?
@dragonslayerslayerdragon50773 жыл бұрын
...but have you ever played Yahtzee?
@halfcookedramen3 жыл бұрын
@@dragonslayerslayerdragon5077 What does that have to do with it lol?
@cheekibreeki9043 жыл бұрын
Must've tried it a lot of times until he succeeded.
@astrid24323 жыл бұрын
@@halfcookedramen 9:00
@jamirimaj68804 жыл бұрын
"See, mom? Me and Isaac Newton both flunked Proba, you don't need to worry anything."
@Lucky102792 жыл бұрын
😆
@frickezthias86384 жыл бұрын
I love how you explain the science and math of it, but then also open up a philosophical question in all your videos... Why is it that Isaac Newton got the right answer with math, but wrongly explained the rationale with his words? I've noticed this pattern in other videos you have and it's great
@demerion4 жыл бұрын
In edited this comment and now you can't see why it was upvoted!
@krzyswieczorek85924 жыл бұрын
Haha same
@Muhammed_English3144 жыл бұрын
me too , right? Wrong!!!
@hitgove29684 жыл бұрын
ikr. Wrong
@Muhammed_English3144 жыл бұрын
@@hitgove2968 ikrw.
@cthulhufhtagn24834 жыл бұрын
It's this channel's version of "Or is it?"
@Akronox4 жыл бұрын
For the people curious regarding Newton's explanation and why it was wrong: "Although Newton correctly calculated the odds of each bet, he provided a separate intuitive explanation to Pepys. He imagined that B and C toss their dice in groups of six, and said that A was most favorable because it required a 6 in only one toss, while B and C required a 6 in each of their tosses. This explanation assumes that a group does not produce more than one 6, so it does not actually correspond to the original problem." (from Wikipedia).
@edwardblair409610 ай бұрын
I was hoping the video here would go into more detail about why Newton's intuitive explination was wrong. That is go into more of a mathematical explination of the error rather than a verbal error.
@DeclanMBrennan4 жыл бұрын
Nicely explained. The natural follow-on is *the Birthday Problem* : "How many people should be in a room before there is a 50% chance of them sharing the same birthday?". This amounts to throwing a large handful of 365 sided dice (ignoring leap days and the challenge of constructing such dice). The answer is surprisingly low: 23.
@ora_veugle4 жыл бұрын
"And like Newton said, C is even worse" Kevin, 7:27 2020
@aikslf4 жыл бұрын
C is a decent programming langauge
@fireserpent98544 жыл бұрын
Z You mean Csharp?
@myartmypassion68359 ай бұрын
Or is it?
@eldupa15304 жыл бұрын
Fun drinking game: every time he says "ye" drink
@EHMM3 жыл бұрын
Oh no.....
@kyleflanagan9633 жыл бұрын
No thanks, I chose life.
@brendaneichler52442 жыл бұрын
Especially since it ought to be "thou"...
@62723554636372 жыл бұрын
@@brendaneichler5244 Or thee, depending on case. Well, in modern spelling, at least. Back in ye olde days (actually, before "y"e old days, really), it was spelled with the letter thorn (which only survives today in the Icelandic alphabet). In handwriting, that eventually was written badly enough to come close to the Y form; however, more importantly, it didn't exist in print types imported from the continent, so in various works, it was replaced with the relatively unused Y type (which did exist in German and Dutch alphabets). It also was being replaced by the now common "th", so the Y thing didn't last. Finally, English discarded the singular second person pronoun, replacing it with the (already used in that way) deferential plural form (a differentiation we still keep over here in German, but now using the third instead of second person plural - to be deferential but not quite as deferential - it's complicated, like anything German). The old singular started to fade from active use/common knowledge (even to the point that people start making up new plurals) and archaic spelling/typesetting took on its own life. In this use, however, Y never was a (modern English spelling) "y" type of sound.
@alexandermestre52084 жыл бұрын
Kevin: probability of finding my marker A 100%! Michael: or is it?
@keshavleitan78004 жыл бұрын
Actually he said marker😅. But I get the joke.
@xXDarQXx4 жыл бұрын
Did he really find the marker? Is the marker right there in his palm? And what do that mean? Does it have to exist between the confines of his grasp for him to be sure that he found it? What if the marker is a reflection of the real one so our eyes tricked us to think that he really does have it? Well you might argue that he senses its presence its touch but we don't know that. He may have been just pretending to have it while some kind of cgi special effects that edited the marker in there. He may have /found/ the marker but did it really happen? Only because it was video taped then it must be true right? Than I would bet that Thanos is as real as Uranus is a gas mess. And furthermore, did the past really happen? Where does the past exist? George Orwell in his immortal classic "1984" called that exact same question into trial setting place in the dystopian future of 1949 (the year the book have been released). He argued that the past exists in two places and two places only, human memory and records made by humans. A fascist government can easily alter the former, but surely they can't alter human memory? Well, human memory is as mortal as the ones who wields, and such a weakness can easily be spoiled to wipe it out. As it had been shown to us by our total obleviance about the daily routine and religious life of our early ancestors. Maybe it can't be altered but it can be easily wiped and refilled. Furtunatly our future was far from what George foretold, at least as far as we can tell. And a large part of our history as we tell at subjectively correct.
@alexandermestre52084 жыл бұрын
@@xXDarQXx I came for the memes, I ended up with an existential crisis
@kyllianvanleeuwen88354 жыл бұрын
Don't you mean kevin?
@alexandermestre52084 жыл бұрын
@@kyllianvanleeuwen8835 Yes, thanks for the catch. I wrote without thinking.
@droxord_62884 жыл бұрын
Other people: you eat Me, an intellectual: *YeeT*
@napolpettone4 жыл бұрын
m.kzbin.info/www/bejne/p2eooIV4q8mJhrM
@droxord_62884 жыл бұрын
@@napolpettone 🤣
@cliffordbenenati73734 жыл бұрын
@@napolpettone *yee....*
@engieboi89therealone194 жыл бұрын
Ye’et
@solarfluxman88107 ай бұрын
Other people: Let's go eat. Me: Squeet.
@GlutenEruption Жыл бұрын
I love how he was explaining how much more difficult it would be for c to roll 3 sixes out of 18 at 6:00 and winds up rolling 4 6’s on camera 😂
@Simon-ps3oj4 жыл бұрын
This comment has eight words in it, right? WRONG
@Hlebuw3k4 жыл бұрын
Or does it?
@noproblem23334 жыл бұрын
*Ferociously slams his desk with some random object*
@EhrenCG4 жыл бұрын
That depends, are we talking about AT LEAST eight words or EXACTLY eight words?
@jessicadoggo60954 жыл бұрын
9 because it says wrong
@royaleforcesyt4 жыл бұрын
Yes, it Does have 8 words in it technically. (Don’t whoosh me)
@firedropcutie4 жыл бұрын
Newton: *gets correct answer but wrong explanation* The whole world: It's ok we don't mind Me: *gets correct answer but wrong explanation* Teacher: You know nothing
@staberas4 жыл бұрын
/this :(
@giacomopamio11914 жыл бұрын
Newton: * gets one problem wrong * Some guy on the internet some hundred years later: it's free real estate
@agah6664 жыл бұрын
the whole video is like; *"well yes, but no."*
@nickparkyn35614 жыл бұрын
Well yes, but actually no, right? WRONG!
@MrZoblox3 жыл бұрын
well ye but no
@hugogamboas.55504 жыл бұрын
I once was in physics class, we were doing extra points problems. We had a trick question about speed. So long story short the correct process was using twice the distance. I used half the time. That gave me the correct answer through the wrong method. In the end the teacher decided to give me the points because even if it wasn’t her reasoning, my reasoning was valid.
@johnjohnson95604 жыл бұрын
I actually did the math, and even if you were looking for exactly one 6, for the first set, that's about a 40.19% chance, while exactly 2 with 12 dice is about 26.61%, and exactly 3 sixes with 18 dice, is about a 24.52% chance. My math also matched that of Vsauce2's for the first idea of at least that amount of sixes.
@scorchedshadow4 жыл бұрын
9:40 has worst odds, gets at least 4 on first fling XD
@loreleihillard50784 жыл бұрын
They're all still above 50% chance of happening
@iwarx14 жыл бұрын
After hearing lots of “ye” He: “am I joke to you?”
@lewisho81144 жыл бұрын
Are you a memenade viewer
@iwarx14 жыл бұрын
@@lewisho8114 The hell is that? XD
@lordman54974 жыл бұрын
Am I a joke to ye?
@anawesomepet4 жыл бұрын
Yee
@EHMM3 жыл бұрын
Ye is the (y is þ) SO TAKE UR HISTORY CLASSES BOI
@davidebellandi46574 жыл бұрын
As you yourself showed in the episode about vitamin c and scurvy, I believe it does in fact matter to know how and why something works the way it does... at least sometimes. Who knows if or when the maths behind this problem could be useful? Nevertheless, everyone's contribution to science is more than welcome and can be the ground for further discussion. So... thanks for letting us watch!
@GregoMorgan4 жыл бұрын
0:10 - I guess as it applies to everyone, we could say there's no I in gravty.
@RebelliousOutsiders4 жыл бұрын
Nice catch!
@chriswebster244 жыл бұрын
There’s also no “me” in gravty, unlike team, which is impossible without me.
@krzyswieczorek85924 жыл бұрын
Kevin: It's less probable to get three sixes in 18 dice that to get one six in 6 dice. Also Kevin at 9:40 : Throws 18 dice and gets at least five sixes and throws 6 dice getting just one six
@seabassthegamer66444 жыл бұрын
Probability is weird like that. It's why game developers will sometimes bias the odds in a player's favor in higher percents, because people feel weird when their action with a 90% success rate gets that 10% fail rate.
@namyapadsala30994 жыл бұрын
Plot twist : it was done atleast 10 times and got more than 3 everytime, so he gave up and kept the 5 6s
@oliverm35894 жыл бұрын
Probability: Yeah bitches, it's me! Back to mess with your mind once again!
@LARAUJO_03 жыл бұрын
(I'm paused at 2:07) An easy way to calculate the chance of something happening with a certain amount of attempts is to raise the chance of it _not_ happening to the power of the number of attempts, so for box A you could type (5/6)^6 into a calculator and see that you have a roughly 33.5% chance of _not_ getting a single 6 within 6 dice rolls, and the chance of getting a 6 in 6 dice rolls in 100% minus that chance, or 1-(5/6)^6 which is roughly 66.5% If you were to simply do the same for boxes B and C you would only have the chance of rolling a 6 from 12 or 18 dice. However, we need to also factor in the chances of not getting 2 or 3 6es so that's not enough. Let's say you're guaranteed to roll a 6 on one of the 12 dice in box B. The chance of you _not_ getting another 6 with the remaining dice would be (5/6)^11. If you then multiply the chance of getting a 6 once (1-(5/6)^12) by the chance of getting a second 6 (1-(5/6)^11) you'd get about 76.8% If you follow this process of box C your calculation would look like this (1-(5/6)^18)(1-(5/6)^17)(1-(5/6)^16) which equals approximately 86.9% More precise chances: A 0.665102023 B 0.768350298 C 0.869348767 So as you can see, you're much more likely to roll 3 6es from 18 dice than 1 6 from 6 dice
@LARAUJO_03 жыл бұрын
6:12 For some reason in Newton's calculation, he multiplies the chance of getting a second 6 in box B by 10 (12*5/6 = 60/6 = 10) and *subtracts* that from the chance of getting a single 6, making the chance of box B rolling 2 6es lower than A rolling 1, yet there's no explanation as to why he added that term and I'm extremely confused by it
@APaleDot10 ай бұрын
The first term is the chance of rolling at least one 6. But the challenge is to roll two 6s. So, if you roll a single 6, you fail. The first term includes the possibility of rolling a single 6, so you have to subtract all those possible outcomes in order to get the probability of rolling at least two 6s.
@namavoid32664 жыл бұрын
I feel like the trait that they “look nice” is probably not the first thing that I would care about with earbuds...
@purpleshep74394 жыл бұрын
But What about my ear eyes. you have those, right?
@____-pb1lg4 жыл бұрын
Not true for everyone tho
@vgamesx14 жыл бұрын
I'm far from an audiophile but I've never been very concerned with how my sound devices look as long as they don't sound like dollar store trash.
@justinyoung63424 жыл бұрын
Newton also did alchemy, so he got more than just this wrong.
@pilotwhaleproductions58804 жыл бұрын
He also thought he was the second coming of Christ and that the Bible was coded with secret messages to him. Even with the standards at the time he was a bit wacky and also a math thief
@Johnny-Joseph4 жыл бұрын
@@Peter-q1p7t It's not impossible. Stars do it all the time.
@EebstertheGreat4 жыл бұрын
@@pilotwhaleproductions5880 I have never seen the claim that Newton thought he was God. The usual claim is that he was an Arian (an early church "heresy") because he rejected the Trinity. Others claim his views resembled the Sozzinis', a 16th century Italian family of nontrinitarians. It is certainly true that he held some strange theological views, but arguably, from an objective standpoint, they were no stranger than the orthodox views of the time.
@EebstertheGreat4 жыл бұрын
@@Peter-q1p7t Transmutation (making precious metals like gold and silver from base metals like lead and mercury) was an ultimate goal of alchemy, related to other ultimate goals like creating the philosopher's stone (an object capable of transmutation to gold or silver on contact), the alkahest (a "universal solvent" capable of dissolving all substances, or at least all substances not elementally pure), and the panacaea (a cure for all ailments). But there was more to alchemy than just those end goals. Chemistry as a discipline did not exist in the 17th century, so all progress in the field had been made (and was being made) by alchemists, like Paracelsus, Robert Boyle, and Johann Joachim Becher . Newton's ideas in the field were somewhat influential due to the status of his name but not useful or correct, which is why they are not remembered. So he was still wrong about that stuff. But the problem isn't that alchemy itself was pseudoscience. It was _based_ in false, unscientific ideas, but then again, so was Newton's physics. The actual experiments alchemists conducted and laws they formulated were pretty scientific for the time; indeed, more so than Newton's law of gravity (which could only be mathematically confirmed to any precision for celestial bodies, as objects on Earth experience too much drag from air, and timepieces at the time were not sufficiently accurate anyway).
@Outwardpd4 жыл бұрын
@@Peter-q1p7t Alchemy was not just about making stuff into gold lol it was just one of the goals of all alchemists to be able to do it, Alchemy is literally just 'chemistry' before chemistry existed.
@hinleung75022 жыл бұрын
"The important thing is someone needs to get complicated about getting simple to prevent seemingly simple things from getting suddenly complicated. Which makes things simpler for us so that we can move on to things that are more complicated" Is such a profound quote. It applies to the process of science, maths, and broader fields such as engineering or even just the modern society and division of labour.
@ThAlEdison4 жыл бұрын
"Some of ye" is correct, but when you switch from object to subject in the next line, you should've switched from "ye" to "you".
@jetison3334 жыл бұрын
Ye actually means the, not you, I believe.
@matj124 жыл бұрын
@@jetison333 Ye is an English pronoun. The was written þe when printing presses were first imported to Britain. They didn't have the letter þ and they typed y instead of þ because it was the most similar letter.
@losveratos4 жыл бұрын
@@matj12 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ye_(pronoun)
@lasunncty4 жыл бұрын
The other way around. Ye is usually a subject pronoun.
@mmburgess114 жыл бұрын
Thine thinks thee has too much tyme on thoust's hands.
@kub52144 жыл бұрын
0:10 Gravity was misspelled, it says "GRAVTY" on the screen.
@oni83374 жыл бұрын
@@TheLetterJ13 wtf
@aman_singh__4 жыл бұрын
Newton was also wrong in calculating the speed of sound by assuming air to be isothermal then Laplace corrected him by taking it to be adiabatic and obtained the correct value of speed of sound as obtained experimentally
@Aurora-Palace4 жыл бұрын
the floor is made out of the floor
@diarandor4 жыл бұрын
@@Aurora-Palace The floor is lava!
@JoshWebster3274 жыл бұрын
Vsauce2: coin only lands on heads or tails. Me: knowing that coins can land on their side. UNLIMITED POWER
@PMA655374 жыл бұрын
Join Mr Smith in Washington.
@mobilebeast67364 жыл бұрын
I figured this out before I even watched this... There is more open space on the 6th side because there are 6 dots so it is more likely for you to land on 6 because the heaviest side would most likely be down (the heaviest side is 1, which is on the opposite side of 6)
@geo86264 жыл бұрын
what if the dice had stickers on it that showed 1 to 6 ?
@figsenjoyer4 жыл бұрын
So was it Smith or was it John? Newton: It was John, but he was also called Smith Kevin: It was Smith but he was also called John. Me: -_-
@patrickbaker70144 жыл бұрын
Kevin: "It happens, or it doesnt" so, does that mean i have a 50/50 chance of winning the lottery, because it will either happen or not happen?
@khaoticknightkninja11654 жыл бұрын
Thats what i call the the 50/50 law its how i live life
@ojl89044 жыл бұрын
No, it just means there are only two outcomes, but they don’t need to have the same probability
@thiagotofano4 жыл бұрын
Chance, yes. Probability, no. Those are two different things. As stated, you have two possible outcomes, but a huge "more likely" of one over the other.
@dawoodnoman62364 жыл бұрын
Well millions of people are in the lottery so that means it will be millions of times less than a 50/50 chance relative to if the lottery only had 1 dice with an equal amount of only 1s and 2s on it's sides and only 2 people played that year so only then can it be a 50/50 chance,other than that it is phisically imposible to have a 50/50 chance,your welcome😀.
@stickdav64843 жыл бұрын
YOU HURT MY BRAIN
@Maciej-Komosinski3 жыл бұрын
I don't think Isaac Newton mistook another problem for the original one, and confused the outcome of "groups of six" tosses with the original "number of sixes in 12 or 18 tosses". The difference between both cases is obvious and Newton, having spent so much time on a careful analysis of this puzzle and on calculations, would not make such an obvious error. I have read the "Isaac Newton as a Probabilist" paper by Stephen M. Stigler (available on arXiv) and the Wikipedia description of the Newton-Pepys problem. I think Newton wanted to provide another similar example to Pepys, as if he was saying "In answering your original question, it may be helpful to imagine a situation where B and C toss their dice in groups of six.". What may be incorrect is to draw a conclusion from that other hypothetical situation and use it directly for the original problem, but who knows what Newton had in his mind and imagination when he provided this other example. I don't think he considered both the original question and his alternative example as equivalent. As I understand, the issue brought up today is whether his alternative example was helpful at all in considering and analyzing the original problem.
@zacchambers24184 жыл бұрын
I appreciate all the effort you put into your vids. Keep it up!
@dragonslayerslayerdragon50773 жыл бұрын
My intuition was to break each problem into groups of 6 and then realize that while all 6 groups from the 3 trials had a 1/6 chance, the probability of more than one group failing to land their 6 at the same time as another, was a value greater than zero. This lowered the probability from the initial 1/6 to a lesser value as more rows of 6 are added.
@jakubjakubowski9442 жыл бұрын
But at the same time each group have also a chance to land more than needed 1 six and can borrow it to "failed" ones.
@1dgram10 ай бұрын
He was simplifying the explaination for the benefit of his friend. I'm not convinced that Newton himself was confused.
@queku08474 жыл бұрын
Drink a shot whenever he says ye. Sounds like a Fun game XD.
@MaxMalevich4 жыл бұрын
It sometimes feels like Kevin doesn't have half a clue about what he is saying, as if he just remembered the text and actions needed to accompany the whole smartness
@paulatkins96754 жыл бұрын
lol he doesn't have a clue, his videos breed internet fake news, but as long as you don't believe a word he says they are quite fun to watch
@vinlebo884 жыл бұрын
@@paulatkins9675 Mind pointing out which fake news his videos breed?
@paulatkins96754 жыл бұрын
@Kanashimi he is akin to a magician, manipulating you into thinking something is true when in fact it is a total fabrication - he would make a good car salesman, if that isn't his full time job already - he's just a new age conman - he could probably convince you the earth was flat if you listened to him long enough - some people are easily manipulated
@mustafamotiwala23354 жыл бұрын
@@paulatkins9675 I'm curious then, could you give some examples?
@phantom51013 жыл бұрын
So instead of squaring the probability of a six being rolled on each dice we square the probability of a six not being rolled and subtract that from one to get the chance of rolling a six. This is purely genius.
@realedna4 жыл бұрын
I didn't find a clear explanation between all the "YE"s, where the difference in probability stems from. The 2 equations given seem not to have a relationship between them to show the difference. Here is, how I view it: PrB = PrA * PrA + 2 * (1-p)^6 * [1 - (1-p)^6 - (6/1)p*(1-p)^5] = PrA^2 + 2 * (5/6)^6 * [1-(5/6)^6-(5/6)^5] = (0.6651...)^2 + 2 * 0.08815... = 0.44236... + 0.1763... = 0.6187... or actually 0.6186... Or in words: The B-Case (getting at least two 6s from 12 dice) is like winning Case A two times in a row (which is less probable overall), but has the advantage (extra winning cases), that you can win by having more than one 6 in one CaseA (expression in [ ]), while having none in the other ( (1-6)^6 ; overall times 2, because the order of these A-Cases can be switched ). So these cases are added and are special to the case with 12 dice. It's still a number game, but I think it is easier to derive and understand this way, where the difference stems from.
@immaparrot28244 жыл бұрын
Math
@FLPhotoCatcher4 жыл бұрын
I think ye nailed it.
@GrammeStudio4 жыл бұрын
it's basically an issue of whether the number of 6's required reduces the probability more or the number of dice available increases the probability more. simply put Newton was lucky even though he overlooked that there's another factor at play that buffers the effect of the number of 6's required.
@alphavasson53874 жыл бұрын
That's what I thought too, it makes more sense to me that way
@kevinroche54804 жыл бұрын
I think that ye are a nerd (I mean that as a compliment).
@climbingdu744 жыл бұрын
Really strange for me that you say "yee" instead of "you" 😂
@Khantia Жыл бұрын
This reminds me of a physics test I held in university. There was one question to determine what distance will an object travel after some seconds, or something like that. I used the x = x0 + v0t + a(t^2)/2 formula and got something like 34 m. But the test didn't have 34 as an answer, it had 34.2, so that's what I picked. And later on I was trying to find my mistake. Then I used the m(v^2)/2 + mgh = const and I did get 34.2m. It's been several years since that happened, so it may have been the other way around. But I did get the correct answer, using the 'wrong' method. Granted it would've been wrong, if it was an open answer, rather than an a/b/c/d option.
@vaikkajoku4 жыл бұрын
john smith has to be the most generic name ever
@extraterrestrialcontent4 жыл бұрын
Ikr
@M_Chen3334 жыл бұрын
@@extraterrestrialcontent WRONG
@aljo82004 жыл бұрын
@@M_Chen333 elaborate
@laemmeelagi4 жыл бұрын
Actually that would be Mohammed or some of the kind
@SnipyLPs4 жыл бұрын
john jackson and jack johnson
@Mauripsu4 жыл бұрын
"What are we doing with ye dice?" Sending them to fight Dice Vader
@Olav_Hansen3 жыл бұрын
Simplest answer I can come up with: The chance of rolling NOT EXACTLY the number of dice that you expect increases when you roll more dice. This means that on average dice will be higher and lower more frequently compared to the exact amount needed, meaning that there will be less equal to or higher then expected, since the amount of 'equal' shrinks twice as fast as the amount of 'higher' grows. In order to get this distribution, I visualised a p distribution and placed the chances of each happening within that distribution. Then I found out that some of the negative probability got mixed into the "equal" bracket.
@edwardwestmoreland-caunter61284 жыл бұрын
3:47 that moment when you realise this is more tricky than you first thought
@greendaquil4 жыл бұрын
my boi you mispelled "gatty" It be "gatty: not "gravty"
@varvaramir4 жыл бұрын
Kevin in any video: Uses object to explain some complex mathematical concept Also Kevin: Throws it into the black abyss five seconds later
@firetehfox57644 жыл бұрын
Man its crazy that math is something us humans invented and can actually be applied to real life solutions
@mmburgess114 жыл бұрын
@Hedgehog we found it correctly, but the reasons why were wrong.
@chriswebster242 жыл бұрын
That’s like saying humans invented oxygen, or gravity. Man didn’t invent math anymore than foxes did.
@rowgesage9364 жыл бұрын
One problem with this video, using decimals instead of fractions
@PeteWondersWhyHisNameIsSoLong3 жыл бұрын
Issac newton: *did one mistake * EVERYONE: IT'S THE IMPOSSIBLE TEST
@Harry-fx9ls4 жыл бұрын
Actually he invented gravity, he didn’t discover it
@AliceTheSpider4 жыл бұрын
He did neither of thosething he did model gravity which his model of gravity replaced by Einstein's model of gravity later
@paladin11474 жыл бұрын
Red De Cipher You don’t sound smart dawg
@ravener964 жыл бұрын
@@AliceTheSpider what an awkward sentence
@EvilishDem0nic8732WhatItDo4 жыл бұрын
He didnt invent it, he just was aware of its and told our dumbasss about it
@Darkfire6124 жыл бұрын
Haha.
@deadsirius35314 жыл бұрын
Out of curiosity I just put together a quick Python script to run this scenario a thousand times, and each time I get averages exactly like the video says! A gets about 66.5%, B about 61.7%, and C about 59.5% every time
@ghostrobots3 жыл бұрын
teacher: your answer was right, but you used the wrong equation, so i'm marking it wrong
@twdodd4394 жыл бұрын
I really, REALLY, want to say Thank You. Jake is MIA and Michael only seems interested in "pay to view" productions, and then there's our boy Kevin. You still bringing thoughtful, well explained, humorous, and sublime knowledge out on a regular basis and I cant Thank You enough. I really like these cognitive or math bias videos as it helps to really learn how to look at a situation, stop and think, think about how you thought, find the logic errors and fix them so things are done to true benefit. These really help to see where pitfalls are and why to avoid them. understanding these pitfalls makes you a better person. I want to shake your hand, buy you a beer, and hope you understand you are doin good fuckin job!
@Steph-39794 жыл бұрын
"[Newton] seems to have been right about gravity." Einstein: *Are you sure about that?*
@edgelord83374 жыл бұрын
Isaac Newton gets something wrong Me: *impossible*
@MasonRHarper4 жыл бұрын
*Vsauce is wrong* me: *imposible*
@gaoindustries80134 жыл бұрын
Or am i
@Zeytrixx4 жыл бұрын
Hello!!
@TheTenthBlueJay4 жыл бұрын
Please remove the "Me:". It is unnecessary
@mrtea23324 жыл бұрын
Newton be kickin in his grave when this came out
@HenkJanBakker4 жыл бұрын
Amazing how you misuse Occam's razor but still get the right conclusion. It isn't about how simpler works more often but about not adding (multiplying) problems without a good reason.
@joneslaakso4 жыл бұрын
But what is dice?
@pratyushshukla79584 жыл бұрын
Hey newton was also wrong in finding the speed of sound.
@akin.kilic.4 жыл бұрын
Wrote a java code for each of these scenarios, output of the program: Rolled 6 dices at the same time for 100000000 times and rolled 66511638 sixes. The probability of rolling at least one six in each 6 dice fling is 66.511638% Rolled 12 dices at the same time for 100000000 times and rolled 61858339 sixes. The probability of rolling at least two six in each 12 dice fling is 61.858339% Rolled 18 dices at the same time for 100000000 times and rolled 59738382 sixes. The probability of rolling at least three six in each 18 dice fling is 59.738382% So 7:36 is pretty damn accurate and amazing what math can do.
@allegrovivace68064 жыл бұрын
I once asked my math teacher the probability of her not giving us homework for the rest of the year. And then COVID-19 came.
@boblobgobstopper132144 жыл бұрын
All work given would be homework though, unless school already ended for you
@jannovak62704 жыл бұрын
"Someone needs to get complicated about getting simple to prevent seemingly simple things from suddenly getting complicated. Which makes things simpler for us so that we can move on to things that are more complicated. " This should be carved into a stone
@jumanapatanwala11552 жыл бұрын
Kevin: *uses math* Me: JUST ROLL THE DICE AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS!
@spagiti69232 жыл бұрын
"It was simple till it wasn't" The history of science in a nutshell
@pamagers4 жыл бұрын
What?!? The last time I was this early, Vsauce 1 was posting content
@fanban29264 жыл бұрын
:(
@AYhatterthanyoouu4 жыл бұрын
PLEASE BRING BACK MIND BLOW SERIES 🥺
@Hydraklin4 жыл бұрын
I guess Newton lost some braincells when the apple hit his head.
@brycesabin47874 жыл бұрын
Except an apple never fell on his head...
@Hydraklin4 жыл бұрын
@@brycesabin4787 I am aware of this fact and was only making a joke on the behalf of the myth. but thanks for your irrelevant input.
@nyellowmation4 жыл бұрын
6 views, 34 likes, 5 comments... I am confused
@roberthunter50594 жыл бұрын
It takes KZbin longer to determine views across distributed servers than it takes to determine a press of the Like button.
@danmcgoogleaccount69542 жыл бұрын
It does sound like he was just trying to explain his intuition about why this is the case.
@megatronikal88533 жыл бұрын
8:59 THERES NO YE? ONLY HE?
@stantonclark4 жыл бұрын
Drinking challenge: Take a shot every time he says “ye”
Isn’t this question essentially a binomial distribution? Where Xa ~ B(6,1/6), Xb ~ B(12, 1/6), Xc ~ B(18,1/6); therefore, using this distribution, we can find the exact probabilities of the different cases and definitely find that probabilities of A>B>C