Why Van der Poel WON'T Win The UCI World Championships | GCN Show Ep. 611

[@gcn]

What do you think Van der Poel's chances are? 🏆 Do you agree more with Dan or Si on this? Tell us why in the comments below! 💬

[@profchaos9001]

From people who went to see the circuit, apparently it is not that hard. And besides MVDP chances to win, I also wonder about Mads Pedersen who seems in good form.

[@GuidoPeters]

As Dutch of course MVDP is going to win. (Atlhough it's going to tough and exiting!!) May the best win!

[@Nescio527]

The first point that is overlooked is that there is no 5 min climb. The second climb is 1k at 8% the rest of the climb is a false flat at 3%. There are also a few climbs of a few hundred meters. The course is much more suitable for VDP than you would think at first glance. Moreover, I have never seen VDP climb as well as in the Tour of Luxembourg where he was actually the strongest and on a course that is actually just as tough as the World Cup, and Ayuso and Hirschi simply rode out of his wheel on the last hill. But anyway Pog is exceptionally good on almost every parcours that I still consider him as the favorite, but VDP is much closer than some think. So, more with Si, I guess.

[@Mike-rm1lb]

If Si was the best climber of the world, he would make really good money on the WT. Easy choice. Women cyclists make far less, harder life choice.

[@Nescio527]

@@profchaos9001 I Agree with you. In Luxembourg he was the only one who could stay close to VDP on that last hill. And the course is much more suited to punchers and classic riders than first thought.

[@Gabe_Hansen]

Pogacar has to be the best in the world at 5 minute climbs. He’s by far the overwhelming favorite.

[@FlotitanPmdDo]

i would say he is the bst in the world in much more than 5 minutes climbs haha

[@rderouck]

Boy, if Mathieu wins on Sunday, Dan is never gonna hear the end of it. For that alone I just switched to MVDP as my favourite

[@davidsorensen1769]

Beavering “Stats Dan” is probably my favorite Dan 😂

[@Bandyrobs1]

Got knocked off my bike whilst riding along my local high street by a woman who was parked and didnt adopt the "dutch reach" before opening her door. Broken bike and wrist but fortunately insured via British Cycling who after some time recovered my costs including compensation for a holiday I could enjoy due to the broken wrist. Keep up the good work guys

[@MH-xd2nd]

It really depends how much Pogaçar is marked out during the race. Van der Poel has mugged him at Milan San Remo and other races so don’t rule him out. If the climbing favourites really hammer each of the longer climbs they might be able to crack him. I still don’t think it’s just a two horse race, but if Pogaçar does get it, Strade Bianche, Liège-Bastogne-Liège, the Giro, the Tour and the worlds road race in one season is quite some palmarès…

[@robbchastain3036]

O please do your insurance ads like the Allstate Mayhem ones. "You're inside the cafe, having a coffee and talking about aero, boring. And I'm your trusty rusty Raleigh 10-speed just looking for a little more action. Look, over here, pick me, pick me! Here we go, this bloke looks like a barrel of fun. Just drive me like an old MG, hey, we're about to hit that lorry!" 😀

[@carlcole9026]

Regarding the stem sleeve/shim. The slit in the sleeve must be aligned with the slit in the stem clamp. This is a safety issue!

[@wrench_n_ride8159]

Si describing a quilt is priceless. 😂

[@adeplu]

Caption Competition: Italians testing the new UCI Roll-On Remco Deodorant Roller - Roll away faster from your opponent- Roll-On Remco

[@johnnybobuk]

Just bought a new carbon gravel bike, terrified of it getting damaged or even stolen ( not that it will ever leave my hands out on a ride) looked around for insurance, tried to use a very well known bike insurer who's website payment system kept crashing, saw a mention of GCN insurance in one of Simon's videos now the new bike is insured via GCN with the added bonus of some third party insurance included ( simples) er oh, no meercats used.

[@christill]

I don’t really see how anyone can be priced out of cycling when you have these community bike projects / charities. I think the real issue is lack of safe infrastructure. It feels like people are basically using price as an excuse when asked why they don’t cycle; because they maybe don’t want to admit that they’re mostly just afraid. That’s not to say they wouldn’t be justified in feeling that way. I feel more scared now than I used to because of the bigger cars, distracted / angry drivers you see everywhere. In terms of the cycle to work scheme, I think it should be abolished, and the government simply get rid of VAT from bikes and accessories. Plus maybe an additional subsidy for certain types of bikes to make sure the discount is as big as it can be under cycle to work.

[@chrisridesbicycles]

When my mom was on crutches, she borrowed my „Watch the Femmes“ musette to carry around stuff. 🙃

[@Yamaha_Bolt]

Can you have Ollie do a 10k tt with and without a power meter. Wondering how he would compare going on "Remco" only

[@gregknipe8772]

love your work, always look forward to viewing it here. thank you from a life long commuter and recreational rider, and never a racer!!!

[@KwadSkwad]

literally just went from 5 weeks on a knee scooter to crutches 3 days ago, I was hit by a car last month on my bike :( I can attest the knee scooter was great, and I hate the crutches.. but I hate not walking more so it's crutch time while recovering and learning to walk again.

[@thatberkshirecyclist]

10:06 - Don't think we wouldn't notice. You 'typed' Tadej. You *pasted* Pogacar. Because finding the accent above the C in his surname was going to be a pain in butt for the video :D But I make you right...Surely it'll be between Tadej and Mattieu for the win. I would love to see MvdP win (I'm a MASSIVE Fan, like Si), but Tadej Pogacar has the power, the climbing ability and the race smarts... The ultimate winner - I hope - will be us viewers! I'll be watching from the Turbo trainer!

[@gcn]

You caught us.

[@KoenStrobbe-fv5us]

@@gcn Alt+269 in Windows 😊

[@Flexo_l]

Č is right there next to L on keyboard 😅you dont have it? 😅

[@Yamaha_Bolt]

In Canada I have my bike insured through my house insurance which essentially only covers theft and damage when stored. I'd want insurance that covers damage while using the bike and/or when the bike is away from home.

[@leoworteler2095]

Regarding the quill stem adapter and Dan's question about structural integrity of materials when pressure is applied from the outside (clamping) vs. the inside: Carbon fiber has very high tensile strength, and works great as material for building pressure vessels. It does not work well when subjected to pressure from outside however, as demonstrated by the OceanGate Titan submersible, which was constructed from a carbon fiber composite and imploded in June 2023 while diving towards the Titanic wreck site.

[@japphan]

Caption contest: Remco says: "I hope they won't need a photo with all of us on the top step of the podium."

[@kidShibuya]

But is that last race an outlier among all races? You need to include all races he has entered as a control.

[@KelvinSuddith]

Is the list of helmets any different from the University of Virginia one where they independently tested and rated helmets,

[@thecellulontriptometer4166]

Have to agree that VdP has long odds against winning, if for no other reason than Evenepoel has beaten him convincingly head-to-head already this year. The races he has won, did not have Evenepoel and Pogacar in them. It's hard to believe he would have won those races if all of the "best" riders were in the field. It's not that he isn't great, it's that it is all about the competition (as you pointed out).

[@Lion-wd1px]

look 2023 San Remo, PR, RVV and E3 and worlds. He has a fair shot at it and even likes that there are more favourites as it takes pressure off him with reacting

[@matt_acton-varian]

The RAF 1 aero backpack looks like it will blow you five miles off course! It looks like it would cause chaos in crosswinds.

[@yvesgysel9834]

Mathieu is in there. Everybody will laugh, but if he has a great day he can perform like crazy. Yes indeed guy's, I also still remember Van der Poel winning that Amstel Gold race, from a totally lost position catching everyone and winning.

[@robbertoudendijk4519]

Caption competition: Looks like the Italian duo just realized they're Ganna have to share their pizza with the guy in the rainbow jersey, if the have AFFINIty or not!

[@cutter-pilot8234]

Caption competition. "Hey Dan, wanna see a real bar graph?"

[@Stephen-nq5kd]

You two trying to say brabrabarbra.., thought you were breaking into a Beach Boys tune.

Caption Contest Nice to see Remco’s oldest brothers looking after him 😊

[@lje42]

The problem for Van der Poel is that he could survive the long climb in a bigger group, but he won't be able to respond to Tadej attacking full gas 50 meters in front of him.

[@ebikescrapper3925]

You can buy quill to aheadset adapters

[@declanfaughey8471]

Caption: What do you find at the end of a rainbow? A leprechaun

[@leomaduro8661]

In this race the 3 big guys will be watching each other all the time. Wireless communication and sending teammates up front will not be of importance. What is important is being able to stay with the other 2, goes for all the 3. The climbs seem to favor Pogacar, but I am not putting any money... Any of them winning is OK with me.

[@paulwebster4499]

For me MVDP will do a similar ride to what he did at LBL this year. Fight his way back on and win the bunch gallop from a group of grand tour riders

[@shuycg]

Insurance is typically a waste. Just look at the US, they are famous for being ahead of everyone else for not having universal health insurance.

[@wrench_n_ride8159]

They sell a quilt adapter that does that safely

[@LaomerKedor]

So far I wasn't able to find a bike ensurance for my Velomobile from Katanga (worth more than 10k€). (But I'm from Germany)

[@chrisridesbicycles]

I hope Dan signed a lifetime contract with GCN when they separated from Discovery.

[@harleypurcell7766]

So i have had insurance, however i started it 8 years ago & it was 6 years ago they contacted to me to say it was now void. This was 4 weeks after being stabbed in London. Curiously i asked why it was void & they said that due to the attack being for a rolex watch i was wearing, i was too much of a target & they would be happy to pay for any bike i may have had stolen they wasnt prepared to cover my health or any injurys i sustain trying to hold onto it. This made me very angry & i then went onto persue them for breaking their contract & i got a resolution.

[@smithandshortdogs]

The barbara name is a reference to a German song about a girl Barbara who makes rhubarb pies at a rhubarb bar frequented by long bearded barbarians and her making the visit barbers to look more civilized. Vundear! It has even more alliteration in German... kind of an A level version of the kindergarten she sells sea shells...

[@shuycg]

Jimster is 100% imagining that.

[@marcuspartridge11]

As a family member, what is the "Partridge Joke"? I must know! -Marcus Partridge 🙂

[@bergerniklas6647]

Non Uk person here, but my guess would be they talk about Alan Partridge (a comedy character by Steeve Coogan)

[@nmuchmore]

Win, because as a larger rider I relate to him much more than others

[@internettalker1]

Here is the USA if a car hits you, their car insurance property damage will cover your bicycle and if they don't carry enough to cover the cost you can use their home insurance to cover the rest, plus health issue is covered under driver liability. I know this because after a I was hit by a car I got a nice enough check to purchase a brand new high end bicycle while the manufacturer of my damage bicycle offered me a new frame no I have two top end bicycles!

[@biketrybe7071]

Caption: I hate it when Mom makes us let Little Remco win.

[@mariobenedict4964]

Caption: “Growing concerns of races not held on level playing fields.”

[@ECTproCycling]

But... there's no lock-nut on the threaded-threadless stem...

[@richardharris8538]

If Dan takes up an offer of a pro team lifetime contract, can we have Jenny (0:00) replace him, please.

[@simonsepic]

I'm a mechanical engineer not a mechanic however i wouldn't ride that, I can see it slipping off going over a speed-up or something.

[@colinmoore35]

Forget the bike insurance and do 3rd party liability instead .. Also can you do a bit on race crowns and changing forks

[@ahnilatedahnilated7703]

I did a group ride this last weekend. I was trying to show off, not realizing that I am not 16 anymore, and tried a wheelie. Well my legs are MUCH stronger than they were when I was 16 (hit 1200 watts on this one), my bike is much better geared and I went over and landed on my back in an instant. HUGE bruise on my lower back, a hematoma in my lower back and some damaged vertebrae. The pain was immense but I was able to ride back to my vehicle, about 5 miles, and drove home. Right after I got home, I went into the ER.

[@berenicebaker7191]

Oh you idiot! I damaged my vertebrae and the pain lasts and lasts. Hope you heal quickly and well.

[@KoenStrobbe-fv5us]

Considering that both Pogačar and Evenepoel are there, I would put both of them ahead of van der Poel (yes, that's how you write his surname). I would give Pogačar the edge here considering the steep kicker, assuming he is in form on the day.

[@daniellloyd100]

Isn't it Van der Poel unless you include Mathieu? Dan

[@KoenStrobbe-fv5us]

@@daniellloyd100 In dutch or flemish, surnames do not change whether it's with or without a firstname.

[@stoempert]

In Dutch, yes it is: onzetaal punt nl /taalloket/hoofdletters-namen-nederland

[@318ishonk]

Aren't Mathieu's next races after the worlds the CX races in the Kerstperiode? In that case he'll STILL wear the rainbow jersey, right? So, effectively no change before the first road races in 2025...

[@wrench_n_ride8159]

I doubt that quad tendon surgery would not allow you to bend your knee making a scooter unusable.

[@Nickrioblanco1]

Dan is absolutely correct. Will he rub it in when it happens? Are you ready for that Si?

[@nineunauk]

Caption: meet The Lord of the Golds and the Two Towers

[@andreemurray7039]

Cost more than my car insurance

[@peterslater7791]

re: insurance - any chance of canada being on the radar?

[@infovidasupps8640]

How many races did ve NOT win with elevation, similar to a more than UCI was the son?

[@crypcase150]

33mm tire slip 200ms 28" 15kg+75kg 10%-40%. on clicle slip sidways smoth gum

[@crypcase150]

dird oil clen give me 4km/h+ presure new butyl +1km/h.

[@davidrichman6649]

Not winning with Pogi, Remco and Primos all in top form

[@linolemuel]

........A' Like That GCN Race Components T-Shirt That The Curly Haired Guy Is Wearing :))........How Much Is That? AND OH GOD! There Is An AERODYNAMIC BAG PACK! :)).......

[@drydryb0nesshorts]

I hope remco can get the double at the worlds and make history

[@TrươngQuangKha]

yeah. He is having the largest potential for a double double. If not now then it is another 4 year. Hope the best for him.

[@drydryb0nesshorts]

​@@TrươngQuangKha Yeah if anyone can do it, it's Remco

[@adeplu]

Hi all at GCN, I really like all your videos, tips and race reports, so thank you for all of those, but, and I realise that this is sort of niche and you can’t report on every aspect of cycling: We’ve recently had the Paraolympics, no word from GCN who won what, we now have the World Championships and just as last year, the year before that….. no word from GCN on who won what in the ParaCYCLISTS competitions. A little bit if inclusivity wouldn’t hurt, would it? A lot of ParaCYCLISTS go through a lot more to get to the top of their chosen sport, more I would suggest that most top cyclists. Admittedly as a recent amputee I wasn’t really interested in ParaCYCLING until I joined the club, now I know what it means to work hard to do that what you love despite bumps in the road. All the best Ade P.S. a video on the subject maybe once or twice a year (there are a lot of ParaCYCLING race classes) wouldn’t hurt either? P.P.S.: Heart: MVDP Head: The Pog

[@Sagan282]

mvdp will win because remco is in good form. remco will close the attacks of pogacar and vanderpoel will sit untill going solo just like last year. last year it was wout van aert this year remco. mvdp wins by not being favourite. he needs pogacar and wout to win. in fact 1) mvdp 2) remco 3) pogacar

[@thothofatlantis]

Interesting take

[@mb10kx]

you have been wrong before

[@joelecho]

Regarding the stem adapter: Materials have different properties when pressure loads them in tension (expanding a steel tube from the inside) vs compression (clamping it from the outside). For example, Carbon is great for spokes, because they are loaded in tension, but a total bodge for a submarine. I wouldn't be necessarily panicking about clamping it that way, but you'd have to analyze it and do the calculations under those specific conditions to make sure it was strong enough. So long as the wall thickness of the quill stem is sufficient, it's probably fine. If you're nervous, it's probably a smart idea to put an allen bolt or something of the sort into the old quill stem so that it's compressing against the bolt (just like how your stem should be clamping overtop of your compression plug on a carbon steer tube instead of on the empty tube.). If you used the original bolt hole from the quill stem to hold the top cap on your new stem down, that would take care of that and I'd guess that it's reasonably safe, but, I want to stress that I can't say for sure without doing the math and this does not constitute professional advice.

[@JackMott]

There are competent submarines made of carbon fiber, just not built by OceanGate.

[@johnparry8477]

Is your insurance available in Canada?

[@qualm43]

Pogacar will easily win, if he simply decides he wants to.

[@Stephen-nq5kd]

Another week not winning the caption competition.., super ‘thanks for nothin’ !!

[@insanecomicdude]

Thanks!

[@MarrafaProjects]

Today you guys @gcn have fire on your tongues. 👹😇

[@edwardmacrury5376]

Thanks

[@gcn]

Thank you Edward, that's very kind. Dan

[@shuycg]

Thanks! That was a fun episode.

[@gcn]

Thank you! Dan

[@MathewPhillips-k5p]

Moore Kenneth Perez Helen Harris Barbara

[@flavioteures9917]

Tadej

[@Turningytfortnite]

50 sec class

[@stoempert]

Van der Poel is an outsider tops in my book. Doubt he'll be able to keep up with the likes of Pogi and Remco and he prolly won't get any room to anticipate.

[@wspmjw]

GCN Crew, you lost me with the title of this week's GCN Show. Racing and racers are of zero interest to me. I don't follow them, don't watch them and frankly do not care about them. Suggest you part racing content on the GCN Racing Channel. Prognostication and speculation aren't worth the air expended to discuss them. For what it's worth, I hope he kicks butt and proves these former racers false.

[@rderouck]

Well, this is KZbin. You can just skip over the parts that don't interest you

[@wspmjw]

@@rderouck Thanks. No encouragement needed. I passed on the show for this week.

[@berenicebaker7191]

@@wspmjwyour loss.

[@wrench_n_ride8159]

Si describing a quilt is priceless. 😂

[@davidbhumgara]

Thanks

[@gcn]

Thank you! Dan