becoming obsessed with the idea that Jacob DeGrom has the career profile of a Hall of Fame level reliever

my favorite player growing up watching the Mets was Juan Lagares. had too good of an arm to really be a one tool player but he had a a fucking ridiculous glove. Was also fast enough to be a pinch runner sometimes but never really stole bases like that.

In British sports retiring numbers is only really done if a player dies while active and even then not always forever. They usually just honour the best of the best with statues.

Was not expecting Snowpoint City's soundtrack, but it rocked. Great video!!

Interesting, and I like a lot of the direction you are thinking. I'd prefer the stat wasn't biased towards strike out pitchers, but I guess there's only so much you can do given you are trying to evaluate a single person in a team sport.

The problem with the baseball HOF is that there are players who SHOULD be there who are not. I have absolutely NO interest in EVER visiting until certain players are enshrined. Period

Even though I don't understand the math exactly, I love how this shows how volatile relievers are. I'm a Mets fan, and it's why David Stearns doesn't invest in big money relievers (the Edwin Diaz contract was done by Billy Eppler). One year a reliever's numbers could be elite, and the next season the numbers could be kind of ugly to look at. As you say, that could just be a matter of bad luck and a smaller sample size.

I always haven't been a fan of FIP and xFIP. A batter hitting a home run isn't a roll of the dice every time they hit a fly ball. It's a batter seeing a pitch very well and executing. A fly out happens when they can't get a good enough read on a pitch. I think ERA is not a good stat for relievers that come in the middle of an inning. Just imagine someone always coming in to get 1 out. Their era should statistically be low because they only need 1 out to get out of every "inning". Whereas someone who gets clean innings all the time it may be suitable There's gotta be a way to quantify the number of outs and the base runner situation. For instance, someone who comes into the game bases loaded no outs and doesn't allow a single inherited run would have a better value in that stat than someone who enters the game with 2 outs and bases loaded. Both stranded 3 base runners but the first guy definitely had a taller task. An arbitrary way to do it may be listing every combination of base runners and outs and assigning a point value to how many of those inherited runners score in each situation. And then there should a way to determine if the inherited run was earned too. Example a guy comes in the game bases loaded 2 outs and the center fielder drops a pop fly and all 3 runners score. That would go in the books as inherited runs (correct me if I'm wrong). and then more runs can happen after that too when he should have been out of the inning.

Ahh Zach Britton, haven’t heard that name in a while

Red Sox are better

What Trout has been going through reminds me of what the est player I've ever seen in person went through. He's this generations Griffey Jr.

Also 11:30 Jax love!!!!!!!!! 😤😤😤

I still don’t understand how he got third (not that he doesn’t deserve it). Britton had an even better season “by far” in 2016 I believe it was. And in a way weaker cy young race. If Clase won that would have been criminal. I just doubt we will ever see another reliever win the cy young. Also anyone sane baseball fan is taking Skubal 1000% of the time. (Edit: bruh 0:47 literally just showed Britton’s season) 💀

2:27 the first big league homer with The Chain

When it comes to awards, I'm 100% in favor of using results, as luck/noise & volatility are undeniably part of the game. However, when it comes to evaluation, projections, & predictions, I love to see that people are still constantly looking for new ways to account for underaccounted factors & potential sources of bias. _No I'm not just saying that because I recently was arguing with someone who thinks Andrés Muñoz is bar none the best current reliever in baseball I promise 😂_

RIP Yordano 💙

3:48 original is, "Is Wario a Libertarian?"

A very well-constructed, insightful video. Bringing r^2 into the equation makes my heart happy as a former graduate-level student of statistics that we don't often see in baseball. However, many/most statistical analyses these days seemingly aim to determine "value" of a player from the standpoint of predicting success as may be used in future contract negotiations or roster construction. What this type of analysis misses, in spite of the serious rigor which goes into developing and calculating a new statistic is this: the worst thing that can happen to a team in the 9th inning of a game they are winning is for their closer to blow a save. In that sense, earning a save can not possibly be overrated, as failing to do so drastically decreases your team's Win Probability Added, often reducing it all the way to zero. Admittedly, this is a microscopic view- zooming in on a single game- whereas the predictional/future value model takes the long view. Saying today that saves are overrated or overvalued is probably just as true as batting average was overrated by everyone not named Billy Beane in the early 2000's. But to take the leap and say they are unimportant (I don't think this video goes THAT far) could be true on an individual level, but will never be possible for a team as a collective unit.

until rose & bonds are in its a joke. "steroid era" is a joke. clemens, mcguire, sosa, canseco and so on. the only one that deserved any of what they got was rose. HE SHOULDA HAD SOME SORTA SPECIAL DAY TO GET IN THE VERY NEXT DAY AFTER HE DIED. HOF IS THE BIGGEST JOKE IN ALL OF SPORTS

“Boone kept them close in every game” tells you exactly it’s a managerial issue. I

Great video man, extra excited about AJ Puk now

Have to start adding decimals points

Reliever management has always been a big issue especially after the revolution the 2014-15 Royals started. I think the future is gonna be either one of two ways, with starters going longer, or an increase in long-relief arms to try and bridge the gap. Clase isn’t a multi-inning closer. Most closers today aren’t, you can’t throw 100+ every day over and over and not get gassed.

What’s the name of the song at 1:33

All yall can suck it! This man was the embodiment of the American spirit, a flawed man doing way more than he should with what he had. Went out day in and day out and gave each and every fan their moneys worth. Speak up those of us that are viceless. Say what you want, he was better than you at life.

They were all fooools!! Sanders was special and should’ve been appreciated more

I understand your statistical point of view, but the fact that the dodgers had a sign in their locker room saying: "make them play baseball" is just sad

Comparing Papi to these scrubs is comical. He broke the curse and near single handedly brought winning baseball back to Boston after 86 years. He tested positive for a cooking oil not steroids. Banned substance doesn’t necessarily mean steroids, do your research there’s thousands of banned substances. Plus he never tested positive for any of them once fully made aware. The amount of play off walk offs from Ortiz as well as his significance to the history of baseball is the reason he’s in the hall and they’re not. We still talk about what big papi did in Boston. Who tf cares abt lance berkman and the cardinals. Not too many documentaries made about them. Oh yeah bc they were always the favorite and would’ve won with or without him and even without David freese, Boston wouldn’t have. It’s an entirely different thing and it pisses me off that people completely neglect the most important parts of the history behind the votes.

No scandal will ever make me hate you Robbie!!! 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼

All that matters is how many runs you give up.

I always thought using ur birth year was a great choice for number. Shout-out number #93

Beautiful statistical analysis dude👌

I still think Mason miller from the Athletics is slightly better than him.

how can a number get retired twice?

Retiring numbers is dumb. In football (soccer for the yanks), we don't retire numbers, but the special numbers of club legends are seen as earnt and are not just given out to anyone.

mark is not the best barry bondes

Francoeur could not lay off the slider away or he may have been a three tool player

They should be voting per position, not all or nothing. The amount of 2nd basemen vs 1st is a great example. Sometimes nobody is worthy, but don't compare both position against eachother

Curious how long it took you to create that spreadsheet of the Year 1 and 2 ERA, I'm working on something similar and am wondering if you had a quick trick to speed up the process

I think Gary Sanchez is in the meh category, but closer to hit than bust

''get me to a fuking doctor bitches''...LOLOL

Chaiiiinnnnnsssss…will keep us together!(running in the shadows.)

Willie Randolph's #30 should have been retired before at least 5-6 of the guys in this video.

Calling Aaron Judge Mr October is diabolical work