"75% of the world is below replacement fertility" | Nicholas Eberstadt

  Рет қаралды 69,672

John Anderson

John Anderson

Жыл бұрын

Nicholas Eberstadt warns of the coming population time-bomb, where most of the world is below replacement fertility rate and family duties are increasingly outsourced to the state.
See their full interview here: • America's Invisible Cr...
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Nicholas Eberstadt: www.aei.org/profile/nicholas-...

Пікірлер: 968
@mnkwazi
@mnkwazi Жыл бұрын
Not enough talk here about how the ultra rich have decided that the basics for the masses should be out of reach. Everything from healthy food, decent accommodations(rent & home ownership), daycare, health insurance, college education keeps increasing. However wages don't.
@didforlove
@didforlove Жыл бұрын
yup
@skylinefever
@skylinefever Жыл бұрын
Yes, that would be key to raising the birth rate, but good luck. The current serfs don't want to doom the non existent to serfdom to ever more demanding feudal lords.
@jasonmckay8793
@jasonmckay8793 Жыл бұрын
yeh man
@user-tb7kd3xf3d
@user-tb7kd3xf3d Жыл бұрын
in a few generations' time ,there will only be africans, philipinos and indians left
@Chingloves
@Chingloves Жыл бұрын
And then our "Masters" (I use that term ironically) moan when we don't comply and refuse to burden ourselves beyond our means with children.
@trojanthedog
@trojanthedog Жыл бұрын
Recently, maybe 6 mths ago, I saw a Chinese lock down official (police goon) threaten a woman with ,' your resistance will see your family punished for 3 generations!', to which she answered, 'We are the last generation!'.
@mishynaofficial
@mishynaofficial Жыл бұрын
What a smart woman.
@Leningrad_Underground
@Leningrad_Underground 10 ай бұрын
Where did you see this ? I would be very interested to share this gem of totalitarian wisdom. Thank you.
@punyashloka4946
@punyashloka4946 10 ай бұрын
Savage 😂
@RipMinner
@RipMinner 9 ай бұрын
Amen to that sister!
@dirremoire
@dirremoire 9 ай бұрын
That wasn't an official threat. The use of " for three generations" in Chinese can be an insult or compliment depending on the context.
@mikeg9554
@mikeg9554 Жыл бұрын
My oh my! What will the elite do without there maids, drivers, dog walkers, factory slaves?
@sizor3ds
@sizor3ds Жыл бұрын
Where are those robots that are supposed to take our jobs?
@tyrant_hermit
@tyrant_hermit Жыл бұрын
​@@sizor3dsthey are called immigrants these days.
@tatlivinlavida
@tatlivinlavida Жыл бұрын
🤣
@user-tb7kd3xf3d
@user-tb7kd3xf3d Жыл бұрын
in a few generations' time , there be africans, philipinos and indians left !
@tyrant_hermit
@tyrant_hermit Жыл бұрын
@@user-tb7kd3xf3d survival of the fittest I guess.
@thevagrant1983
@thevagrant1983 8 ай бұрын
Im a 40 year old man. Never married and never planning on having children.why? If i can barely support myself, what would happen if i need to support a wife AND child?
@freddix3121
@freddix3121 Жыл бұрын
Why would you bring a child into the world when you know that all they will be are slaves to make money for someone else .
@thewanderer2041
@thewanderer2041 Жыл бұрын
It’s always been that way
@DroopyWorm
@DroopyWorm 7 ай бұрын
@@thewanderer2041And it needs to change. You don't change things by doing the same thing over and over.
@Mahlak_Mriuani_Anatman
@Mahlak_Mriuani_Anatman 3 ай бұрын
​@@DroopyWorm fr, minds of sheep
@YouNoob573
@YouNoob573 Ай бұрын
you know you can learn to homestead, buy animals and be self sufficient right ? and if you don't know this was an option then why ?
@SCFLEUR
@SCFLEUR 9 ай бұрын
It has been made too expensive to have a family. People are no longer walking blindly into the sun by just having children with no means to support them.
@spark300c
@spark300c 8 ай бұрын
yep and has to do with computer revolution. As countries develop the rural population shrinks to very small number and majority live in cities. Now add automation in mix and got lower number of middle class jobs. Since companies like manufacturing plant where land is cheap is mechanism for keeping the population form being hyper concentrated in mega cities. With automation there less people working in manufacturing. So now population is hyper urbanized. So birth rates drop and will not stabilized until the population is once again 50 percent rural. In the country people can be self sufficient and afford to have more kids. In the city people must rely on labor market and can not be self sufficient. that another thing automation that requires high unit per hour to justify its cost. So the smaller the population the less units per hour need the less automation the bigger the middle class.
@BB-cf9gx
@BB-cf9gx Жыл бұрын
I tell people about this and they cannot bring themselves to even consider the idea.
@twowongs8266
@twowongs8266 Жыл бұрын
I hear you...
@Jcremo
@Jcremo Жыл бұрын
They’ve been bombarded with the debunked anti human Malthusian theory of overpopulation message for decades.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
people only really care about themselves... feeling good about themselves and projecting that they are rightious... people talk about this being good and this saving the planet... again its so they can feel better... they dont want to think about the outcome or even consider it because honestly worse case if 40 years passed and no one bred the human race would be gone... anyone who would be alive 50 years from now will feel from the drop in population we are currently seeing... age care facilities packed and understaffed everywhere... its going to be beautiful... atleast after ww2 there were enough grandchild now though... haha i cant wait to revel in the missery :D
@Recuper8
@Recuper8 10 ай бұрын
😂😊glad to childless
@Mahlak_Mriuani_Anatman
@Mahlak_Mriuani_Anatman 3 ай бұрын
​@@Recuper8 up high ✋
@dotdashdotdash
@dotdashdotdash Жыл бұрын
all part of the W(EF / WHO plan)
@schurlbirkenbach1995
@schurlbirkenbach1995 Жыл бұрын
A population decline is only a problem for real estate investors and companies which look for cheap employees.
@ermin2248
@ermin2248 Жыл бұрын
😂 No, it's a problem for all people. Starting your bussiness is hard because you can't find employees, working people have hugher taxes because they must pay for large population of elderly and the elderly also has very little money because there aren't enough working people to help them
@schurlbirkenbach1995
@schurlbirkenbach1995 Жыл бұрын
@@ermin2248 An Economy which perishes If the population is not growing is nothing else than a giant ponzi scheme.
@jasonmckay8793
@jasonmckay8793 Жыл бұрын
what about the spiritual or mental health side of the equation, its going to be long lonely road into old age for the childless, and where's the purpose for people to rest in? Economic purpose, Status purpose? can that be enough for people, what happens if large portions of the population are living in despair idk but it doesnt seem like it will be good.
@Smellslikenarcspirit
@Smellslikenarcspirit Жыл бұрын
And for the war industry , i think the world is also getting more peacefull.
@aaronvt9980
@aaronvt9980 11 ай бұрын
All social security programs and pensions function like pyramid schemes. We won't be able to maintain them much longer.
@davebased5919
@davebased5919 Жыл бұрын
Finally someone speaks about this
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
meh this gets talked about alot mate... theyve been freaking out about this for the last 20 years... not long after baby boomers of ww2... the only thing ive never heard about is just keeping the worlds population as it is and stable instead youll mostly hear about stuff like the population implosion/explosion theories... agenda 21 is worth looking up mate... there have been people in high places that have wanted the human race brought down to a controllable amount of 500million... i sit and ponder whom would get to decide who makes the cut of such a number... but ive read some pretty interesting stuff regarding genetic bottlenecks and well honestly humanity has never been as large a count as it has been a relatively new species compaired to others and with the species being so genetically similar what would be the outcome on it if the population was brought low to 1/16 of its count...
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
"do it for denmark" and well the baby bonuses in australia... then imigration all over the west... im still waiting for the breeding programs... give it time friend...
@jeromebarry1741
@jeromebarry1741 Жыл бұрын
I've never been able to get worried about population changing. I was aware and unconcerned for the first 50 years of population growth, and now with population decline I'm just not worried about it. We'll adjust.
@BuddyLee23
@BuddyLee23 Жыл бұрын
You and the Georgia guidestones creator would get along pretty well.
@geroldgrimel4811
@geroldgrimel4811 Жыл бұрын
You should care, and hope that the population stops expanding. We don't need it to drop, we just need the growth rate to stall for society, environment, and economy, to stabilize.
@amihere383
@amihere383 Жыл бұрын
The issue is there isn’t one single point in recorded history where we as a species have operated under that system. There has never once been a country or population that dipped below replacement level and recovered their population.
@geroldgrimel4811
@geroldgrimel4811 Жыл бұрын
@@amihere383 Well, no society has ever had 8 billion people before. What your saying, is tantamount to turning up the thermostat on a cold day, until it gets so unbearably hot, that people start to complain, and you say "Well we've never had to lower the temperature before."
@Coastpsych_fi99
@Coastpsych_fi99 Жыл бұрын
Same don’t have kids and don’t care. Nothing will incentivise me to have kids. Ever.
@mitrahispana4119
@mitrahispana4119 Жыл бұрын
What’s bad isn’t the lower population, but for the remaining population to be so very old!
@timfallon8226
@timfallon8226 Жыл бұрын
This is why the globalists are pushing out policies promoting suicide
@luisantos1996
@luisantos1996 Жыл бұрын
The lesser people in work force lesser goods we can produce leads to an infaltion in prices and cost of living. The wealth of an nation is measured in the amount of young workforce and their education and what kind of jobs they eventually end up doing. We are all failing in all that aspects. I have seen people claim on KZbin that the lesser population the much richer we will become, that's completely wrong, disruptions in food chain will become more frequent and severe, the abundance we have is due to population we have now, how can we presume our standard of living will stay the same.
@jimmyhvy2277
@jimmyhvy2277 Жыл бұрын
Mitra : Please Don't Become , So Very Old . you can Leave Now Thank you .
@Meru732
@Meru732 Жыл бұрын
People not having kids is a sad thing. Wealth and comfort and affluence should encourage people to have more kids and instead people become cynical. This is true across the world. Rich people have least number of kids.
@mitrahispana4119
@mitrahispana4119 Жыл бұрын
@@jimmyhvy2277 🤌🏼
@sa9861
@sa9861 Жыл бұрын
Love your programs ~ always interesting, always excellent guests, always good topics ~
@chriswatson1698
@chriswatson1698 Жыл бұрын
A child is two dependents: the child itself and the adult who must supervise it. Looking after an aging population is just a case of looking after the elderly instead of babies and their mothers.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
consider this... who cares for the last elderly generation when all the babies are gone... im not a religious man but god save the last fool to decide not to breed...
@lieshtmeiser5542
@lieshtmeiser5542 11 ай бұрын
What follows? Economic contraction and declining asset values in most of the countryside. Eventually, after a very long time, say 80 or 100 or 200 years, maybe things would stabilize to a new equilibrium steady state. However, that is uncertain. As a family member remarked: 'it seems like human beings walk backwards into the future'. I broadly agree. Its possible to look at certain key issues far off in our individual lives, like retirement, paying off the mortgage, wedding anniversaries, a long desired trip overseas, making a last will and testament, etc. However, in general people are hopeless at thinking and planning for the future. And some things are truly merciless. For example, the phenomenon of women putting off having kids and finding the right partner, and then running out of time, or having trouble getting pregnant, etc. They essentially run out of time before they are even cognizant that it has occurred.
@chriswatson1698
@chriswatson1698 11 ай бұрын
@@calanjameshunt Population increase is one of the factors that discourage baby-making. Cut the population and there can be more living space for families. Who wants to have a baby while living in a little rented box in a big pile of little boxes?
@puraLusa
@puraLusa 9 ай бұрын
​@@lieshtmeiser5542u do understand that in modern societies has women who don't want to have children right?
@lieshtmeiser5542
@lieshtmeiser5542 9 ай бұрын
@@puraLusa Four out five female first cousins are childless. The one who did have kids only had two sons. On my wifes side there are six daughters, one had two kids, my wife and i have one. So I am aware that women can choose not to have kids, or even get married.
@marioperic3700
@marioperic3700 11 ай бұрын
You have great guests and great conversations on your channel.
@barryscott6222
@barryscott6222 Жыл бұрын
And yet... what does it actually matter... Europe went through dramatic growth and contraction both, over that last 1000 years. in fact, right up to the 20 century, populations were small by our standards. And yet the scientific and technical revolution happened anyway. The world will survive just fine with contracted populations. And the wheel will turn, and the forces that are currently driving smaller families and lower fertility and procreation will fade in due course. Of all the "problems" we have to face... this is the biggest non-problem there is.
@MrNote-lz7lh
@MrNote-lz7lh Жыл бұрын
True. If nothing else the Amish and such groups will keep humanity from going extinct. But we are in for some seriously economic hard times this century.
@geroldgrimel4811
@geroldgrimel4811 Жыл бұрын
It's actually the BIGGEST problem, if we DON'T see a population drop. It effects everything. Resource distribution, pollution, education, civil rights... We don't even need to hope for a lower population, we just need it to sustain and stop expanding for a few decades.
@jobloluther
@jobloluther Жыл бұрын
@@MrNote-lz7lh It is good that you mention them because in the modern world they are the only group - along with the Haredims and some menonite groups - with a pre-modern birth rate, I.e 7 children per woman. Why? Because they reject the main cause of the decline in the birth rate, i.e. technology and the comfort it brings. No birth policy can work, except to go to a level of authoritarianism that is probably impossible to induce. (That said, maybe cloning, artificial wombs are a possible future solution).
@GuntherL1
@GuntherL1 Жыл бұрын
"What does it actually matter"? Well, our current living standard will be a thing of the past and it will not return any time soon.
@geroldgrimel4811
@geroldgrimel4811 Жыл бұрын
@@GuntherL1 That's correct. Our living standards will skyrocket with a lower population.
@chriswatson1698
@chriswatson1698 Жыл бұрын
Our earth cannot cope with another 2 billion people. It is not coping now with 9 billion.
@YouNoob573
@YouNoob573 Ай бұрын
how do you know this is true ? because you heard it or read it somewhere also why does this matter if the number is going down.
@chriswatson1698
@chriswatson1698 Ай бұрын
@@YouNoob573 The number ISN'T going down. It just isn't increasing at the same massive speed. There are plenty of documentaries that show the pollution of our Earth, caused by human consumption and waste.
@YouNoob573
@YouNoob573 Ай бұрын
@@chriswatson1698 "The number ISN'T going down" i am asking you how do you know that ? for example i have proof for the opposite - a nearby village in my area is becoming a ghost town also who is producing the waste - big companies and their factories, the rich
@interstellarphred
@interstellarphred Жыл бұрын
corporate overlords need more chattel and cannon fodder
@robertwest4157
@robertwest4157 Жыл бұрын
the mexicans are not going to allow this. back when mexico was ruled by a dictator named porfirio diaz he actually asked the us president at the time to deport the labor workers back home because he needed them to industrialize mexico in the early 1900s. this immigration wont last forever and just like china america will be left in the same position
@doomd1816
@doomd1816 Жыл бұрын
Robots are the future Not us
@chriswatson1698
@chriswatson1698 Жыл бұрын
@@doomd1816 Robots don't buy anything. There is no point in investing in any kind of production if there is no demand for it. Smaller populations, less need, fewer customers.
@quickcube2834
@quickcube2834 9 ай бұрын
@@chriswatson1698 but buisness owners buy stuff.
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
​@@chriswatson1698Few customers means less profitability and a smaller workforce means more competition for talent between corporations. Wow, workers will have all the opportunities while CEOs have to sacrifice their money to invest in workers or else lose them to their competitors who are less concerned with appeasing flaky shareholders who will be bereft of options if they only care about profit rather than a reliable stagnant return on investments.
@kruger2035
@kruger2035 10 ай бұрын
While fertility is down, do we consider all the people who don't want to have kids due to economic reasons. People who have a brain, dont want to bring children in this world when they can hardly put a roof over their own head. Part of this is a class issue, not just a fertility issue.
@Recuper8
@Recuper8 10 ай бұрын
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
Our economy is a ponsi scheme - it is destined to fail and then young people will have to fix everything and fundamentally change policies and legislation and even alter our collective understanding of capitalist principles and how continual growth was never feasible. Sustainability is needed.
@DroopyWorm
@DroopyWorm 7 ай бұрын
Yup
@YouNoob573
@YouNoob573 Ай бұрын
tell me one age from the past that was better than today to raise kids guess what there isn't "People who have a brain"
@skylinefever
@skylinefever 23 күн бұрын
If it was entirely white, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, and Hong Kong would have "yellow" people popping out quiverfulls. Instead they are on the bottom 10 list.
@bobsontheepic42
@bobsontheepic42 Жыл бұрын
Universe 25 comes to mind when I hear about population decline.
@unclefatbloke687
@unclefatbloke687 Жыл бұрын
Western countries developed systems and processes based on permanent population increases. Especially regarding State Pension schemes. But the percentage of workers to retirees has been falling for a few decades now, and will inevitably collapse. So immigration has been their target, but have NOT admitted this to their electorates! But even that is a limited and short-term solution, because there is ZERO possibility that the public will allow the level of immigration needed, at the expense of national, cultural and social values! Never! So I would invest my money into Robotics companies, because that is the only way production levels can be maintained or increased in the future! However, everyone can kiss goodbye to a state pension!
@MrNote-lz7lh
@MrNote-lz7lh Жыл бұрын
Lol. We already are already letting our cultural and social values go extinct.
@What..a..shambles
@What..a..shambles Жыл бұрын
Don't underestimate the propaganda effects and techniques.
@chriswatson1698
@chriswatson1698 Жыл бұрын
The dependency ratio is higher in young populations. In the 1960s, my father supported himself and 5 other people, and 3 of us went on to tertiary education. If a working couple supports themselves, two children and 4 parents we are looking at a ratio of 2:8, OR 1:4. This is surely more doable than the 1:6 burden that my father carried.
@What..a..shambles
@What..a..shambles Жыл бұрын
You can't do that today ,that's the point Chris ,when the pension system was setup there was 7 paying in for 1 taking out ,now only 3, The real problem is the "money" isn't honest and doesn't store value being fiat.... Your savings in the bank ,for starters since 2016 you are now an unsecured creditor and also the purchasing power is being hugely eroded year after year and accelerating...Takes 2 salaries to survive with mortgage,food,heat,travel, who's looking after the kids ? If you have nothing and not working much is provided,,have more kids bigger social house and payments provided...had a look at the world debt clock lately and the repayments on that interest ?(who collects the interest by the way,and why do they need so much taxpayers hard earned??)if households ran their budgets like governments they'd be homeless and destitute..hmmm I suppose more and more are being squeezed ,a great system if you come from affluent background not so much for the majority..how do you make a poor man work harder? Pay them less 🙄😔
@chriswatson1698
@chriswatson1698 Жыл бұрын
Oh please! The ageing of the population is just a case of supporting the elderly, instead of babies and their mothers. And the elderly don't last forever. Unlike the elderly, who are often self-supporting and even economically productive, children rarely are. A baby is two dependents: the child itself and the adult who must supervise it.
@stevenvater8720
@stevenvater8720 Жыл бұрын
Loving tnis channel, its a treasure
@desinihilist5916
@desinihilist5916 Жыл бұрын
Everytime I watch these videos it is always 2 or more boomers crying about how their pension payments will not come in...
@CordeliaWagner
@CordeliaWagner 10 ай бұрын
🎯🎯🎯
@skylinefever
@skylinefever 23 күн бұрын
Yes, and they care little about what happens after they croak.
@realtalk6340
@realtalk6340 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for discussing this publicly and for educating us with the truth.
@Scylithen
@Scylithen Жыл бұрын
_All part of the plan_ _Trust the plan, they want this to happen_
@robertchapman6795
@robertchapman6795 Жыл бұрын
Yep. It’s scary that you will need to pass woke parent tests and have enough social carbon credit score to get the licence to become test tube parents.
@robertchapman6795
@robertchapman6795 Жыл бұрын
Yep. It’s scary that you will need to pass woke parent tests and have enough social carbon credit score to get the licence to become test tube parents.
@knightheaven8992
@knightheaven8992 Жыл бұрын
@@robertchapman6795 Lots of people arent even bothering to become parents now in the old fashion way, much less as test tube kinda way, im guessing
@robertchapman6795
@robertchapman6795 Жыл бұрын
@@knightheaven8992 they’re advertising IVF in Australia like it’s the only way. They even have a new IVF reality show on tv
@jameshanson536
@jameshanson536 Жыл бұрын
Read about the "Georgia Guidestones" and the 500,000,000 figure as sustainable population. Yes, it was/is being planned.
@JeffCaplan313
@JeffCaplan313 Жыл бұрын
Meanwhile, our economy is further consolidating into the hands of a smaller and smaller group, too. Dark times ahead.
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
I guess they will have to sacrifice their earnings to invest in society or else go down with the ship.
@JeffCaplan313
@JeffCaplan313 7 ай бұрын
@@evilds3261 From this point forward, I demand any potential wife of mine to come with a dowry.
@twowongs8266
@twowongs8266 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for putting the spotlight on this issue which is ignored by MSN and perpetrated by the eugenicists' seeking to carve up this world without firing a shot.
@gusgrimm7533
@gusgrimm7533 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for paying attention 🙏
@fumarate1
@fumarate1 Жыл бұрын
silent weapons for quiet wars.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
yea... eugenicists never went away they just changed their clothes and moved into the shadows... glad to see others paying attention...
@skylinefever
@skylinefever 23 күн бұрын
SO what if the Idiocracy quits shitting out brats?
@pete531
@pete531 11 ай бұрын
Thank your for this video
@shedactivist
@shedactivist Жыл бұрын
The problem when you build a vast complex machine and then keep adding to it is that you need an army of people to maintain and sustain it. The massive and sudden shrinkage in population means that the infrastructure and institutions will collapse. The move towards ever bigger government and socialism means that the inevitable end will come sooner rather than later.
@y04a
@y04a Жыл бұрын
The inevitable end is socialism? I'm curious if you don't mind offering a bit more of your view on the inevitable end please. I thought it would be no identity, no family, cyborg stuff...
@shedactivist
@shedactivist Жыл бұрын
@@y04a Yes, you just described the outcome of socialism, where you own nothing, work for the party until you die, no individual identity, the family denounces you, no free expression. Think of the USSR, Communist Romania, etc, and then read George Orwell's Nineteen Eighty Four. The future is clear while woke idealogues have sway. The left won't fix the demographic problem, they will only add to it.
@Junokaii
@Junokaii 10 ай бұрын
I think at first it'll be nice, less people on the crowded highways and subways, but in an additional 50 years when everyone is old it'll be lonely and desolate. There'll be less cultural progress and more depression. Even if people wanted to have kids, well they'll be too old to conceive, unless we become okay with the idea of growing babies in labs. We need to address the cost of living crisis and have policies in place that allow people who want to have kids have the desired amount of them they want. 1 instead of 0, 2 instead of 1 etc.
@CordeliaWagner
@CordeliaWagner 10 ай бұрын
I look at mothers and all I see is what I don't want for my life. It's not about money. Young woman don't want the social role of a mother.
@teoleno4019
@teoleno4019 Жыл бұрын
Everyone talks about East Asia, but no one talks about Eastern Europe which has worse birth rate than any East Asian country.
@tj-co9go
@tj-co9go Жыл бұрын
South Korea has the lowest birth rate anywhere in the world What are you talking about?
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
rip
@skylinefever
@skylinefever 9 ай бұрын
Maybe that is because interesting products don't come from east Europe. Maybe if goulash has the interest as anime and KPop, people would pay attention.
@bribri1657
@bribri1657 11 ай бұрын
I don't care about population collapse I just like hearing about it. I eat up talks like this like a bowl of fruity pebbles. I'm a guy currently 38, never going to have kids, and very proud of my decision based on what I've seen other men go through! 😂
@georgekazanchyan4976
@georgekazanchyan4976 11 ай бұрын
Agreed 100% ! I'm the same age as you and made the same decision. The world will get what it deserves, a sharply declining population. I wish I am alive to see the declining in population.
@badass6300
@badass6300 10 ай бұрын
Have fun taking care of 4-7 retired old people instead of kids...
@Recuper8
@Recuper8 10 ай бұрын
Mgtow😊
@CelestialWoodway
@CelestialWoodway 10 ай бұрын
​@@badass6300Herp Derp.
@badass6300
@badass6300 10 ай бұрын
@@CelestialWoodway what is that supposed to mean?
@AussiePat79
@AussiePat79 Жыл бұрын
John, I would love to see you interview Peter Zeihan especially with some Australia-centric questions.
@TheClownWorldShow
@TheClownWorldShow Жыл бұрын
The nuanced take is there are pros and cons like in everything, there are both direct reasons for this done likely on purpose, potentially malevolent in nature, but there are many unforseen and unorganized reasons that this phenomena has taken place/is/will continue. Urbanization, solipsism, both seemingly healthy women's rights and militant feminism as its own ideology, environmental consequences of consumption, discontentment, hopelessness, hedonistic self indulgence, naturally changing and manufactured cultural belief changes, tons of reasons. It will have a huge impact and change the course of people's usual lives, overall the biggest living in a world of peak population and likely peak economic growth to a situation of statis and then decline in population, age distribution, and economy growth. It will effect everything and the issues can't be fully planned for in advance I think. Don't forget the impact it will have on immigration, mass immigration and the drama associated with that too. There is also the chance that hopelessness and worry for the future will cause even less people to decide to have children (and of course fewer if they do) and it creates a death spiral, aka the low fertility trap.
@effexon
@effexon Жыл бұрын
animals "worry" like that too .... I dont think squirrels make babies if they havent collected enough nuts... humans are same, food is critical to us and daily nuisance to think about it. Some rich people are preppers and do it other way, but goal is same, how to secure food in future. So you're right in that we dont exactly know what are consequences... previously in human history what Ive read it was always war or natural disaster wiping out lot of people (mass scale).
@CordeliaWagner
@CordeliaWagner 10 ай бұрын
Ah, the "Women's rights lead to social collapse" trope...
@metalwarrior6657
@metalwarrior6657 Жыл бұрын
In the long term, it will be ok. Real estate will get cheaper, pressure on Nature will lessen a bit and having more kids will be incentified more. But short term, it will hit us economically.
@pkom6418
@pkom6418 3 ай бұрын
I don't think so. People will desert cheaper places and congregate in the big cities.
@lappo2534
@lappo2534 Жыл бұрын
"if we do a really great job on new vaccines, health care, reproductive health services, we could lower that by, perhaps, 10 or 15 percent" - Billy 'Eugenics' Gates
@skylinefever
@skylinefever Жыл бұрын
People have more kids to make up for the ones that don't survive to adulthood in pre industrial societies.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
@@skylinefever alot less contraceptives and STI's back then though...
@alexibm2477
@alexibm2477 10 ай бұрын
Tf are you smoking
@jacqueslee2592
@jacqueslee2592 11 ай бұрын
Less people, less problems.
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
More work for those remaining. Division of labour principles suggests that fewer people will mean larger workloads for workers. However, this may incentivize them to demand higher pay or leave jobs that do not pay well since a shrinking workforce will make workers difficult to replace - a company without employees will lose its stock value. Of course, we also need to factor in AI and automation.
@maverick7291
@maverick7291 Ай бұрын
Then I guess from your demented logic; no people, no problem.
@richardsheppard3961
@richardsheppard3961 2 ай бұрын
He says 'better health for humans' but more humans has meant far worse health for every ecosystem on the planet. I live in a country where fast population growth is decimating the environment and all of southern Africa has declared a food emergency. These people talk about more kids propping up the elderly in an ever increasing pyramid on a finite planet. At what point does this collapse through resorse depletion. Reduce population now to save huge pain and resorce conflict in the future.
@safapresley
@safapresley 9 ай бұрын
Wonderful ❤
@adrianlatham7462
@adrianlatham7462 Жыл бұрын
It’s complicated. But a lot to do with the high costs of having a kid and the high costs of buying a house. Throw in job insecurity, inflation, mass immigration, cultural Marxists and tree huggers and LGTQ+, the lack of religion and morals and then high rate of divorce and resulting financial devastation, it’s any wonder the fertility rate isn’t lower. I also think everyone is distracted by TikTok.
@craigwillms61
@craigwillms61 Жыл бұрын
I need not comment here since you covered it pretty well...
@dhimankalita1690
@dhimankalita1690 Жыл бұрын
Peak conservative comment 🤣 Lack of religion? Bruhhh
@PerversePoster
@PerversePoster Жыл бұрын
You lost me at religion and institutional morals. Really?
@Eric-kn4yn
@Eric-kn4yn Жыл бұрын
Forgot liberal abortion
@Eric-kn4yn
@Eric-kn4yn Жыл бұрын
@PerversePoster true more religious higher birthrate religion is patriarchy women not ruling men ok ignoramus
@ellaenchanting2122
@ellaenchanting2122 9 ай бұрын
My only two children were killed. I am one of those women who won't have a posterity and that was one of my fears. I think it is about time we extinguish ourselves.
@topfueljunkie100
@topfueljunkie100 4 ай бұрын
Why should we extinguish ourselves? I'm not following. You had a terrible tragedy happen (for which I am very sorry to hear!) and you wanted to have a family legacy, posterity as you say. So why the desire to extinguish ourselves? That seems to go at odds with the desire for having a lasting family lineage.
@maverick7291
@maverick7291 Ай бұрын
Ladies first
@windfall35
@windfall35 Жыл бұрын
I was in grad school in the 1980’s and the fact of the population inversion from old to young as well as the population declines was widely understood and acknowledged in the academic world…It appears to be a surprise now….Why? It also seems to be something that shouldn’t be ‘solved’ but applauded for many reasons (not the least of which is environmental loading of the planet…)
@effexon
@effexon Жыл бұрын
yah, this is baffling coz US and other policies deliberate targeted these trends to china,india, africa and succeeded to some extent (thank god!) so Im not sure are these academics mouthpieces to higher people or just "dumb" not seeing anything beyond that tiny box of stats. Any historian could widen this thing and give bigger perspective, im sure this has happened before in smaller scale coz cities as a concept is old. But to me sucks to be in west when jobs are there for only few and seems similar thing is for low skill manufacturing too wherever that industry decides to be at any given point (other places get without jobs). These changes happened so fast, less than half human lifetime, that as a whole globe is still just trying to adjust. To me in my local politics it is often what is not said: they worry their elder pensions are not paid coz younger gens are smaller. I dont see why many nations couldnt exist with half the population, sure exception is war, but as long as that is not threat, we can cope, perhaps even do some things better.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
sigh... this is the problem with academics... they never consider how many people it takes to produce the things they use day in and day out... theres only so much automation on can lean on... why is a stable population never a option or even considered...
@quickcube2834
@quickcube2834 9 ай бұрын
@@calanjameshunt firstly, most products and services are unessesary or even harmfull or are created in such a way that much much more ressources are used then actually needed. Secondly a stable population size is desirable if there is neither over population nor underpopulation, and the better technology Gera, the lower is the perfect population size.
@johnw574
@johnw574 Жыл бұрын
Everyone will pay their whole salary to maintaining pensions and services for the old.
@teatowel11
@teatowel11 Жыл бұрын
Death taxes will increase
@TheClownWorldShow
@TheClownWorldShow Жыл бұрын
Yes, upside down age pyramid and economic/tax pyramid, unsustainable inherently.
@skylinefever
@skylinefever Жыл бұрын
If it gets to that point, Logan's Run might happen.
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
Wow, then I guess we'll have to collectively demand higher salaries with no room for compromise in order to keep paying our bills and buying groceries.
@niceviewoverthere4463
@niceviewoverthere4463 Жыл бұрын
All very consistent with my experiences. I fathered three children (my wife did most of the work) but my brother and sister had none. All three kids are now in their 30s and have effectively replaced their grandparents and will replace us two. But out of my 3 kids, only one has a child. The others are too busy funding mortgages. The financial side in Oz needs looking at. Talk about eggshells! Now I'm going to hide...
@prst4190
@prst4190 Жыл бұрын
Facts are facts, mate, no reason to hide.
@jimmyhvy2277
@jimmyhvy2277 Жыл бұрын
Now I'm going to hide... . I should think so ! with your MASSIVE Carbon Foot Print ! 3 kids , Really !
@jimmyhvy2277
@jimmyhvy2277 Жыл бұрын
@Tracchofyre House Slavery !
@davidstclair3397
@davidstclair3397 11 ай бұрын
No reason to hide, your parents had 3 children, of the three children only 3 grandchildren were produced, out of the 3 grandchildren there has only been one great grandchild. So if there are no other children in 4 generations the result will be only one person. If you applied that across the world then in that timeframe there would be 4 billion less people on earth. Thank for saving the planet!!!
@sebastienfoulc8600
@sebastienfoulc8600 11 ай бұрын
An increasingly less populated planet is a complex topic with potential implications that are open to interpretation. While it's understandable to consider the potential benefits of a smaller global population, it's essential to approach this subject with a balanced perspective. Let's explore some aspects to consider: Environmental Impact: A decrease in population could potentially alleviate some pressures on the environment. With fewer people consuming resources, there may be reduced strain on ecosystems, energy demand, and waste production. This might lead to a more sustainable and balanced use of natural resources. Economic and Social Consequences: However, a declining population can also have economic and social ramifications. A shrinking workforce can pose challenges for sustaining economic growth, supporting social welfare systems, and ensuring intergenerational support. It may strain healthcare systems and create imbalances in labor markets. Aging Population: In many countries, declining birth rates coupled with increasing life expectancy contribute to population aging. This demographic shift can strain pension systems, healthcare, and elderly care services, requiring adaptations to ensure the well-being of older adults. Innovation and Human Potential: A smaller population might lead to a decrease in the overall pool of human talent and creativity. A diverse population fosters innovation and societal progress through a wide range of perspectives, skills, and ideas. With fewer people, there might be a potential loss of human potential. Cultural Diversity: Population decline can also impact cultural diversity. As populations become smaller, the risk of losing unique traditions, languages, and cultural practices increases. Cultural diversity enriches societies and fosters understanding among different groups. In conclusion, whether a less populated planet is inherently good or bad depends on various factors and how they are managed. It's crucial to strike a balance between population size, environmental sustainability, economic considerations, and societal well-being. By carefully assessing and adapting policies and practices, we can aim for a sustainable future that addresses both the needs of the planet and the welfare of its inhabitants.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
perfectly balanced as all things should be... haha... much agreement mr sebastion... the only thing i want to hear out of academics these days is keeping the human population as it is stable not rising or shrinking... too many idiots all too happy to think its such a good thing that the population is shrinking and then those who would only want growth with fools inbetween speaking of population implosion/explosion... theres one thing i would add to your list... it would be genetic divirsity and mentions of population bottlenecks... its when a species becomes too small in number possible cause being not enough genetic diversity and can lead to species becoming extinct and well the human race has never been 8 billion large and is quite homogeneous as it is and others have mentioned it might be a bad choice to allow the species to decline in number as it stands there might not be enough diversity to recover as a species if we ever did fall too low...
@lieshtmeiser5542
@lieshtmeiser5542 11 ай бұрын
@@calanjameshunt The Western countries in particular are struggling with major internal division and disunity. The woke marxist views are increasingly out of control, and the West is demoralized. It makes having a productive relationship with the struggling parts of the world challenging. The worst one at the moment is obviously the Eurasia region of the world. And then theres Africa, where so many people are stuck in a slow moving train wreck. There are daunting practical problems in Africa in particular, where one of the key diversities is the diversity of different pathogens that are killing human beings and threatening to get out and infect /reinfect the world. Human flourishing requires two things right now: (1) defeat the woke, and (2) break the stranglehold of the diseases. Things like climate crisis, gender diversity, non-binaryism, etc, thats delusional compared to these 2 main issues. For example, tuberculosis is by far the worst infectious disease that humanity faces. It is killing approximately a million people every year. Most people are disconnected from reality to some degree. And so their priorities are wrong.
@CordeliaWagner
@CordeliaWagner 10 ай бұрын
There is more to human society than economic growth. Our social Systems are totally not thought through. They were doomed to fail from the beginning. I am too young to believe all the lies that keep this inhumane System going.
@robertmclellan154
@robertmclellan154 9 ай бұрын
Excellent points. Well laid out! I would consider that if we are concerned with overpopulation we should try to keep birth rates slightly under replacement rate to ease into it. What we seem to have is continously dropping birth rates. It becomes a snowball in that younger generations get so overwhelmed with elderly care that they cannot have kids which creates less future caregivers and exponentially increases the drop in birth rates. It is more about getting the birth rate up closer to replacement rate to slow this downward slide.
@skylinefever
@skylinefever 23 күн бұрын
@@lieshtmeiser5542 Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, and Taiwan are eastern. Many of them also reject this woke BS. They aren't having baby booms. Cure diseases for the rest of the world? Nah. If those places can't fix themselves, let it be their problem. Trump argued to shut down connections to China in early 2020 to stop viral spread. It wasn't allowed because racism.
@pederjohansen2029
@pederjohansen2029 Жыл бұрын
The information needs to be more widely shared. I watched a video where the presenter explained how male fertility has dropped by over 50% in the last 40 years and continues to decline.
@knightheaven8992
@knightheaven8992 Жыл бұрын
Yes, while i think that might be a factor, largely the biggest factor is no doubt the lack of family creation, marriage rates are a all time low in lots of countries for instance
@skylinefever
@skylinefever Жыл бұрын
@@knightheaven8992 What do you expect when marriage for men is like Russian roulette with 4 rounds loaded?
@sa9861
@sa9861 Жыл бұрын
@@tele-scope by whom?
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
@@tele-scope agenda 21... cant leave it too vague... gota give em a hint here and there brother...
@BanjoPixelSnack
@BanjoPixelSnack Жыл бұрын
I don’t really feel any obligation to carry on the species. I chose not to have kids. Not too bothered about population decline. All species have their day in the sun and eventually die out. We will be no different one way or another.
@alejandroruiz2439
@alejandroruiz2439 Жыл бұрын
That’s a good way to see it. We indeed are a plague and a monster for most sentient beings. I like being a human but that’s just facts. This world would be more diverse and healthy with a significantly low population of humans.
@Driftmonkey
@Driftmonkey Жыл бұрын
@@alejandroruiz2439 Most sentient beings.....????
@rujotheone
@rujotheone Жыл бұрын
The process of population decline is the problem not a smaller population - Aging. Who will take care of the elderly?
@julianskinner3697
@julianskinner3697 Жыл бұрын
The slightly less old and robots
@rujotheone
@rujotheone Жыл бұрын
@@julianskinner3697 you will need to pay them a lot and robots are not that advanced
@quickcube2834
@quickcube2834 9 ай бұрын
partly true
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
@@rujotheoneI guess governments will have to increase corporate taxes to fund care for the elderly since increasing income tax or any other tax that affects workers will only cause the workers to collectively demand higher wages in proportion to the cost of living crisis and eat into corporate profits. It will also be the death of cheap labour.
@skylinefever
@skylinefever 23 күн бұрын
Japan has been investing in nurse bots since the 1980s.
@intricatic
@intricatic Жыл бұрын
I'm happy to help contribute to this problem.
@jimmyhvy2277
@jimmyhvy2277 Жыл бұрын
only way to stop your carbon footprint is to Cap yourself . Thank you for your sacrifice
@mthokozisimpanza34
@mthokozisimpanza34 Жыл бұрын
Welcome!
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
fool...
@badass6300
@badass6300 10 ай бұрын
Enjoy taking care of 4-7 retired people.
@Ukfairgrounds
@Ukfairgrounds 10 ай бұрын
Useless
@markvoelker6620
@markvoelker6620 Жыл бұрын
Still waiting for Paul Ehrlich to write a sequel to his “Population Bomb” explaining where he got it wrong.
@trojanthedog
@trojanthedog Жыл бұрын
Never going to happen. Such people, made scientific aristocratics by public limelight, are too narcissistic to ever admit error.
@wheel-man5319
@wheel-man5319 Жыл бұрын
He will never do that!
@markvoelker6620
@markvoelker6620 Жыл бұрын
@@wheel-man5319 Agreed. A shame, because analyzing how one got something wrong can lead to better understanding of how the world works, which is the aim of scientific inquiry.
@markvoelker6620
@markvoelker6620 Жыл бұрын
@@trojanthedog Agreed.
@charmantbeaugarcon8306
@charmantbeaugarcon8306 Жыл бұрын
The whole thing seems to have just blown up in his face. Just as will Climate derangement.
@darkkrenaissance42
@darkkrenaissance42 11 ай бұрын
Yeah, im Really not concerned w population dropping,,, We need it, badly... Mother earth needs it badly ~
@maverick7291
@maverick7291 Ай бұрын
Lead by example
@kamilwoczek4394
@kamilwoczek4394 Жыл бұрын
The only peopel that should worry are peopel 40 +, theirs well being is at stake. Before young peopel get old the system will already adjust to new structure.
@CJinsoo
@CJinsoo Жыл бұрын
surprised about India, and bangaledesh
@danielisaac7586
@danielisaac7586 Жыл бұрын
Its been like that for a long time. Humans haven't evolved into living longer that will take billions of years to do. We simply have invented new ways to stop us from dying sooner like safe pregnancy surgery anti biotics and seat belts and warning labels on chemicals and telling people to wash their hands. We are a cleaner and safer civilization but not an older one this was just the transition period.
@Meru732
@Meru732 Жыл бұрын
India's TFR is 2.15, barely above replacement
@danielisaac7586
@danielisaac7586 Жыл бұрын
@@Meru732 you have to remember that the accuracy of these numbers I countries that are under developt like Bangladesh is very questionable. Just going off exports and imports alone Id say they have slipped below replacement probably back in the mid to late 2000s
@AjayTiwari-en9nz
@AjayTiwari-en9nz Жыл бұрын
​@Daniel Isaac As an Indian I also suspect Bangladeshi numbers. On one hand, they report a TFR of 2.0 and on the other hand they report that population growth rate in 1.09% which do not add up unless they have twice as many women as men. Here in India the TFR being reported now is 1.95 with a population growth rate of 0.5% which adds up.
@danielisaac7586
@danielisaac7586 Жыл бұрын
@@AjayTiwari-en9nz yeah it's all about how you count them. China got into this mess because of the way they counted people which was when they started kindergarten. Well guess what if your a corrupt school administrator and you wanna steal government money all you gotta do is lie to the government and falsify the amount of new students each year and you get a big bonus all for yourself. Schools are given resources depending on the number of the students. If you inflate that number you can keep the extra you make up for yourself. That's how china over counted it's population and it's what got them into this tail spin that and the one child policy and people favoring men over women. It's a mess and it's not going to get better for china only worse so yeah you gotta check how India and Bangladesh actually counts its population of you wanna trust the data.
@dirremoire
@dirremoire 9 ай бұрын
So, what happened to people saving for retirement?
@Justanotherconsumer
@Justanotherconsumer 9 ай бұрын
Have you looked at global population trends? The only people worried about the population going down are those whose high scores in the biggest net worth competition might go down, and no one else should even remotely care. Carrying capacity of an ecosystem is a concern with global populations continuing to rise. Nothing but scorn and disrespect for those motivated by this issue. Their greed is not my problem.
@robertholland7558
@robertholland7558 Жыл бұрын
But the 25% appear to make up for it as the world population is still increasing towards the 9 billion mark!
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
Has the world accounted for death rates and how they may prevent the 9 billion mark from being achieved?
@quakers200
@quakers200 Жыл бұрын
Taking a look at some of the other animal species out there populations in which predators have been largely removed and food is available, they tend to self limit their populations. The stressors of population density actually causes mating, changes. Fecundity, care for young and so on. I guess that something like that is going on in cities around the world. It could be physiological, I don't know, cultural certainly, technological certainly with the availability of birth control. The question is is this a bad thing? Where it is a bad thing is in our economic system based on constant growth. If your company is not growing or worse if it is getting smaller it is called dying or failing. We have designed a system in which the elderly demand to be card for by the young so we need more than one working age person to support one elderly person. The economy is a consumer driven one. We are all customers. Christmas is a celebration of consumerism. A good Christmas is one in which sales were greater than the year before. In the end that model was doomed to fail and it is now failing. Just my opinion.
@joejoejoejoejoejoe4391
@joejoejoejoejoejoe4391 Жыл бұрын
The mouse utopia experiment?
@jercasgav
@jercasgav Жыл бұрын
Exactly what I think...this change seems to be largely natural and occurring on its own like a positive or negative feedback loop in nature. Just as it was silly for people to insist we would overpopulate it is also silly we think that people will never breed again and the world will collapse. I think there are built in mechanisms from a higher power that keep things in check. If you look, women had fewer babies in 1900 (3 babies per woman) than they did during the baby boom post WW2 (women had a whopping 4 babies per woman then). In the 1920s and 30s women had about 1.6-2.5 children on average. We stopped having as many babies after the industrial revolution began. In the 1870s women had about 4 babies, but in 1800 they had 6-8 per woman. So this decrease had already been set in place in industrialized places long ago. When the infant mortality rate drops so does the birth rate everywhere in the world. And it is not like birth patterns were always consistent in the past either...they varied quite a bit.
@TheClownWorldShow
@TheClownWorldShow Жыл бұрын
Yes the mouse Utopia experiment being replicated almost to a T, it's kinda shocking when you realize.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
mouse utopia is worth looking for and watching the video about it if you get the chance... the young today are starting to appear like the "beautiful ones"
@Recuper8
@Recuper8 10 ай бұрын
This system exists only for the oligarchs.
@gracie2375
@gracie2375 Жыл бұрын
Sobering
@ensenqui
@ensenqui 10 ай бұрын
In Scandinavia they are suffering from having more workers to care for the elderly. How will it be in the future of our children.
@ReasonAboveEverything
@ReasonAboveEverything 8 ай бұрын
It will be an African ghetto, unless you do something about your immigration system
@CFkatehudson
@CFkatehudson Жыл бұрын
it sounds like there is a bubble of old people who once we die will leave a deciling humanity
@Thandar324
@Thandar324 Жыл бұрын
I hope the world learns positive lessons on what not to do to a population. I think the consequences of their 1 child program will be devastating to them.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
na essentually my brother... the west is facing the same thing as china... if your not at 2.1R then your in the same boat regardless... and thats only counting for first world countries... the 0.1 just keeps the number even... they dont expect the 21st child of 10 sets of parents to live to the age to breed... 0.1R is spare just incase... we really arent in much of a better position and the wests leaders are silent on the issue... and have continued to do so for the last 2 decades...
@edwardpi9852
@edwardpi9852 Жыл бұрын
Great let's have more parks and juggles, more places for endangered animals. Not more crazy humans.
@minnowes
@minnowes Жыл бұрын
I think Dr. Grande should get into comedy. He should be cast in movies and just cameo himself. I can see him doing scenes with the likes of a hyper Jack Black as his ever-calm balancing opposite.
@UncommonSense1776
@UncommonSense1776 Жыл бұрын
I have five kids and none want to have kids
@suzygirl1843
@suzygirl1843 Жыл бұрын
Why would they? USA seems insufferable with constant online culture and basically paying for existing. You want to breathe, drink water, eat, pray at church, you have to pay for EVERYTHING as if that's normal.
@DroopyWorm
@DroopyWorm 7 ай бұрын
Why? So they can eat the bugs, live in the pod, stare at screens, inject endless pharmaceuticals, eat unhealthy food, get indoctrinated by a sick & ever increasingly tyrannical govt that can't even balance the nation's checkbook making everything unaffordable & not be able to own land?
@rebeccaconlon9743
@rebeccaconlon9743 Жыл бұрын
Bare I mind, keeping women in school through their 20s (in university) is preventing families
@jw-vx8im
@jw-vx8im Жыл бұрын
Barefoot pregnant and in the kitchen is what is required
@finding_aether
@finding_aether Жыл бұрын
And not to mention piling young people with crazy amounts of student loans and crazy rents ensuring that many will never be able to afford a family even if they wanted to!
@jkmarshall3553
@jkmarshall3553 Жыл бұрын
Nobody is forcing them...
@jimp5133
@jimp5133 Жыл бұрын
@@jkmarshall3553 socially engineered, result of militant feminism
@jkmarshall3553
@jkmarshall3553 Жыл бұрын
@@jimp5133 Again, nobody is forcing them.
@presleyanderson6518
@presleyanderson6518 Жыл бұрын
good
@nayanmipun6784
@nayanmipun6784 Жыл бұрын
But then how did the ancient population grew to the current population?
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
they bred like wildfire... through plagues and war they bred and bred mate... we dont breed as much we dont die at birth as much... we havnt faced a proper plague since the black death... we arnt throwing spears anymore either...
@goododays1812
@goododays1812 10 ай бұрын
no 3rd party interference aka the gobormen
@alexibm2477
@alexibm2477 10 ай бұрын
@@calanjameshunt Which in all senses, it's actually good. I'm glad to have been born in the 21st Century.
@skylinefever
@skylinefever 23 күн бұрын
1. Undeveloped economies made kids a free labor source and pension plan. 2. Reliable contraception either didn't exist or was hard to access. Many witches were burned for making such things available.
@sireorcry
@sireorcry Жыл бұрын
Very interesting. But we are part of the natural world and we are using the resources at an unsustainable rate. In animal populations we observe this phenomenon, and we are not above it.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
theres always one factor that needs to be counted when considering such things... technology... we are far from living natural friend...
@lieshtmeiser5542
@lieshtmeiser5542 11 ай бұрын
"But we are part of the natural world and we are using the resources at an unsustainable rate." This is a local and regional issue, not a global issue. I could fully understand your point of view if you live and spend all your time in a congested large city. It presents the illusion that the world is overpopulated and congested, when in fact, drive a few hours into the country, and there is vast emptiness. As Calan says "technology"...as the price of raw materials increases, more production always comes on stream, and more costlier methods of production are viable. It has been suggested for example that if it came to it, we could filter elements out of seawater if we really needed to, eg uranium. Its all a function of necessity and price (the invisible hand of the market).
@jamessparkes5492
@jamessparkes5492 Жыл бұрын
I wonder in the west what role technology/development plays in regards to this? for example how many people it took back in they're day to perform a task as apposed to now, the increased accessibility to social resources, efficiencies made to make more things accessible, access to pursuing personal interest via internet and outsourced personal care. I'm not making any moral argument that this is a trajectory worth pursuing, just factors perhaps acting as a remedy to the proposed future forecast of our civilization.
@johnschuh8616
@johnschuh8616 Жыл бұрын
Robots replacing humans? What about the inefficiencies of Turks and Arabs replacing Germans in Germany. By 2050 ethnic Germans will begin to disappear and with them the attitudes that have made Germany the dynamo of Europe since 1815? To pass on a culture, one needs families and families with values reflective of a culture. The destruction of German speaking Jews and their replacement by Turks has been problematical. Ironically Jews became after emancipation among the best Germans. The same cannot be said of the Turks, since they do not have the same cultural “thirsts”. Another irony, the same can be of younger ethnic Germans. Wokeness means not just the repudiation of Nazi ideas (but unfortunately not Hegel and Marx) but of long list of German scientists.
@davidmoats625
@davidmoats625 Жыл бұрын
How will AI play into all this? It's coming.
@jamessparkes5492
@jamessparkes5492 Жыл бұрын
@@davidmoats625 yeah it's scary stuff, I must admit it concerns me how relaxed most people I know are about it.
@jamessparkes5492
@jamessparkes5492 Жыл бұрын
@@johnschuh8616 robots replacing humans? I mean more like how the printing press is now replaced by digital media, landline phone calls by streaming apps, corded tools to cordless and automated production lines. Technology itself does not promote alternative values, which could be less threatening to a nation's culture. A possible alternative to immigration without assimilation?
@user-tb7kd3xf3d
@user-tb7kd3xf3d Жыл бұрын
in a few generations' time , there will only be africans, philipinos and indians left !
@matthewnelson4298
@matthewnelson4298 Жыл бұрын
By design
@zrebbesh
@zrebbesh Жыл бұрын
While the world population is above carrying capacity, it is right and proper that the world fertility should be below replacement rate. Y'all may need to find a few new business models, but this 'problem' is less of a problem than the lack of it would be.
@NoOne56488
@NoOne56488 Жыл бұрын
No it is not, stop with that nonsense.
@Barabel22
@Barabel22 Жыл бұрын
It’s not above carrying capacity with sufficient investments in certain technologies, certain farming practices, etc
@quickcube2834
@quickcube2834 9 ай бұрын
@@Barabel22 carrying capacity doesnt depend on potential but on the current situation, so yeah currently we are above our carrying capacity
@tj-co9go
@tj-co9go Жыл бұрын
I don't think that the population decline itself is such a bad thing, current number of people on the planet might be too much for Earth. We have a housing crisis and there is increasingly less intact wildlife and forest areas. The problem is more that the population is increasing in areas that already experiencing other problems, like poverty, crime, low, warfare productivity, high mortality et cetera. This population growth intensifies these problems and keeps countries in a vicious loop. This is suprisingly localised problem, mostly with certain countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, as stated in the video.
@alejandroruiz2439
@alejandroruiz2439 Жыл бұрын
The only thing that could stop this nonsense in subsaharian countries is inflation. And a tough policy on immigration, which we’re already seeing in USA.
@ralphmueller3725
@ralphmueller3725 Жыл бұрын
Unfortunately, Due to the short sighted laws put in place, Woman are honestly far too much of a risk to add to my life. Last thing I need is someone in my life who can throw it away on a whim. Thats the level of legal advantage women have been given. So, Until the situation is rectified, I'm done with the whole thing.
@jasonmckay8793
@jasonmckay8793 Жыл бұрын
yeh i see that, i do buut what if that was the purpose all along what if your getting manipulated into not breeding, would you be ok with that?
@chriswatson1698
@chriswatson1698 Жыл бұрын
The situation for women is worse. After you have sacrificed your career to have babies and care for them. and forsaken all others, while you are young enough to be attractive to other men, your husband is entitled to take half of everything and force you into single parenthood and poverty.
@darkcloud9053
@darkcloud9053 Жыл бұрын
@@chriswatson1698 Lol since when women marry poor guys.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
two options my brother... a woman and children that will care fore you in your old age... or a skeleton crew of aged care staff that dont really care for you... theres always option 3 but urm hmmm youtube... haha
@Recuper8
@Recuper8 10 ай бұрын
@outbackgearforu
@outbackgearforu 11 ай бұрын
Don’t know what the fuss is all about,the world has emptied and refilled several times according to the scientists who examine these things. Of course the unpleasant part will be all the death and suffering that will happen as equilibrium is reached
@questioneryusef8264
@questioneryusef8264 Жыл бұрын
Basically teachers are teaching rumors not sound science
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
Just like how the stock market is all speculative and not based on objective values.
@need2know739
@need2know739 Жыл бұрын
"Cheer UP folks, We will soon All be dead"😉☺️
@ClubXrock
@ClubXrock Жыл бұрын
It will be catastrophic, but only from a financial perspective.
@wheel-man5319
@wheel-man5319 Жыл бұрын
From a human flourishing perspective.
@calanjameshunt
@calanjameshunt 11 ай бұрын
finance and family go hand in hand... cant have one without the other... far less appealing to breed if you cant afford a roof...
@markstein2845
@markstein2845 9 ай бұрын
It will be catastrophic when you’re 80yo and you can’t get retired because there aren’t enough young people working to maintain the economy and provide your retirement, in South Korea, this is already happening. it's a common theme of south korean modern movies to have old people working to their last day alive.
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
@@markstein2845Well, they can only provide retirement if they are financially healthy - so by the time we're 80, the baby boomers and their unsustainable policies will have likely been thrown out in exchange for tenable policies. Imagine if kids become stocks in the stock market? Genuine investments.
@DroopyWorm
@DroopyWorm 7 ай бұрын
@@wheel-man5319humans are not flourishing. We are the least healthy we have ever been. It's not even debatable.
@harveybirdman74
@harveybirdman74 Жыл бұрын
Good news, less poverty, less pollution etc etc. Automation and AI will take care of all most of the menial tasks ... it basically already is in first world countries.
@knightheaven8992
@knightheaven8992 Жыл бұрын
That is actually not true, there will be more poverty, if you have fewer active people, you going to produce far less, and there will be a lack of services as well... and if you are going to use automation for everything, i dont see how that leads to less pollution
@mr2981
@mr2981 Жыл бұрын
@@knightheaven8992 Sounds like a strong argument for fewer people.
@thewanderer2041
@thewanderer2041 Жыл бұрын
What about the repercussions of a declining tax base? Where will the socialists grab money from for hospitals and schools?
@quickcube2834
@quickcube2834 9 ай бұрын
@@knightheaven8992 No the opposite is DEFACTO true because firstly less people= less demand for every thing so a lower production is not a problem, especially because we currently produce much much more then we actually use. And secondly by the reduction of our Population the amounts of factorys, machiens, and ressources per person increases and therfore we would factical have morestuff. And with automation, more people=more automation and therefore more pollution.
@darthvader5300
@darthvader5300 Жыл бұрын
Ask yourself this question. How many babies are being BORN TODAY and for every each day for every young man and young man woman so that by the time these young man and woman are already old and are going to retire these babies, by that time, will be fully matured and educated and highly skilled so that there will be a sufficient number of young working men and women to replace them and to pay the taxes needed to provide the revenues needed to sustain the social security checks and pension checks and medicare funding-budget and etc?
@007eagletalon
@007eagletalon Жыл бұрын
No one here is talking about the one wild card the could solve this issue. Reverse aging technology and automatization. The problem is a aging population. But if those elderly people were to become younger again then that would solve our problems. We know that dna gets damaged over time as we age as part of our body replacing its cells. We are getting to a point where we can repair damaged dna and if we do that we will perhaps double the human lifespan. We must also consider further automatization is definitely within our future as cheep labor gets more scarce there will be a need for new way to manufacture goods cheeply. Technology has always gotten us out of these problems before and I predict even further advances will be made to combat this problem
@omicron2018
@omicron2018 Жыл бұрын
Bring on the Nestor-4s! [Obviously, NOT the 5s.]
@chriswatson1698
@chriswatson1698 Жыл бұрын
"need for a new way to manufacture goods"? There won't be a need for many manufactured goods. Even now, to sell manufactured goods, you have to design them with built-in obsolescence so that they will fail and the customer must buy another.
@lieshtmeiser5542
@lieshtmeiser5542 11 ай бұрын
It will be interesting to see how much this helps us. True automation is devilishly hard though. Reverse aging is also problematic. It would likely cost a lot, and it is only good for extending work by a few years in the retirement zone of someones life. Once they are retired, the best we can hope for is part time and casual levels of work. Thats useful, but if it only covered part of the cost of keeping them going, then its just mitigating the problem, not solving it.
@007eagletalon
@007eagletalon 10 ай бұрын
@@lieshtmeiser5542 Agreed I don't think it will solve all problems. As one great Economist said there are no solutions only trade offs.
@xanderjames8682
@xanderjames8682 10 ай бұрын
Also if we manage to extend lives to such a point then having kids would be chaos. Ppl living way longer and having kids would lead to an uncontrolled boom in population.
@matthewstokes1608
@matthewstokes1608 Жыл бұрын
I believe that these stats are accurate and within the next century we’ll see a depleting population worldwide - but, for all the talk, I don’t understand why this is a bad thing (except economically). Surely there’s a way with a still large population to put food on the table and keep going?
@richardswaby6339
@richardswaby6339 Жыл бұрын
Not if everybody is retired unless you have robots to do all the work.
@matthewstokes1608
@matthewstokes1608 Жыл бұрын
@@richardswaby6339 you’d be expecting the young to pick up the slack and do some hard work for a change…Actually, it would be the making of many young men - give them some proper Christian responsibility - wake them up a bit!
@portostrengthunion
@portostrengthunion Жыл бұрын
I couldn't agree more. Why is it so bad to have the world population of the 1990s?
@MichaelDeMersLA
@MichaelDeMersLA Жыл бұрын
Nearly all gdp growth comes from population growth. Without economic growth the job market will stagnate. See Japan’s “Lost Decade”
@skillfuldabest
@skillfuldabest Жыл бұрын
Once white people die out you’ll see a huge dive in innovation and law and order.
@sy3189
@sy3189 9 ай бұрын
Maybe fastest way to just use the nuk
@vanshstalin7917
@vanshstalin7917 9 ай бұрын
Exception is africa ,Pakistan,Iraq ,Egypt and North Africa.India fertility rate is 1.94 in 2022
@maverick7291
@maverick7291 Ай бұрын
Those are also below replacement.
@Azaurus1
@Azaurus1 10 ай бұрын
The greed of the old caused this problem.
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
And now the greed of the young will fix it - because the young will HAVE to be greedy to make a living with the cost of living crisis and stagnant wages.
@Azaurus1
@Azaurus1 7 ай бұрын
@@evilds3261 does basic survival really qualify as greed?
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
@@Azaurus1 To those who think poor people are lazy and do not deserve any support or food stamps, then yes, they think wanting basic survival is greed.
@Azaurus1
@Azaurus1 7 ай бұрын
@@evilds3261 bruh we would just take housing percent of income of the 90s and be happy.
@evilds3261
@evilds3261 7 ай бұрын
@@Azaurus1Which means what exactly?
@paulbucklebuckle4921
@paulbucklebuckle4921 Жыл бұрын
People need hope and a home to want to reproduce and hope involves a good chance of a stable family unit and economic stability not even massive increases just a decent life and stability .A home is so obvious for somany reasons especially mental health and childrens future confidence to reproduce yet we've made it so difficult.
@skylinefever
@skylinefever Жыл бұрын
The mega investment oligarchs need to get even richer by monopolizing rent.
@countalma9800
@countalma9800 Жыл бұрын
There wouldn’t be a problem with population rise if people were willing to move to rural areas and live off the land as societies did in the past, but 90% of people today want to be city dwellers and either have some sort of an office desk job or be in the service sector. Obviously, many practical minds make the decision of becoming doctors or engineers - the professions that will always be demanded. What this means is that cities will keep growing, and a fewer number of farmers will have to feed an ever growing urban population, most of which doesn’t really produce anything, except waste! Thus, the depopulation trend is actually a very positive trend, as it means the cities won’t grow at the pace they have been for the past 150 years (and especially the past few decades in developing countries) and there won’t be a food crisis. Also, there is hope more people will embrace the rural lifestyle, growing organic food, keeping animals, and possibly gaining income by working remotely on their computers.
@alejandroruiz2439
@alejandroruiz2439 Жыл бұрын
Instead of raising animals I would encourage people to stop eating them in the first place, but that’s a difficult conversation to have with our prehistoric brain
@alexibm2477
@alexibm2477 10 ай бұрын
@@alejandroruiz2439 You need animals for protein, bruh
@ramos_pinho117
@ramos_pinho117 10 ай бұрын
​@@alejandroruiz2439nobody will make me stop eating fish/meat
@CordeliaWagner
@CordeliaWagner 10 ай бұрын
My goal, exept for abuse of animals.
@safapresley
@safapresley 9 ай бұрын
Rural life is for peasants
@maxwalker1159
@maxwalker1159 Жыл бұрын
Fascinating
@henryannis8752
@henryannis8752 Жыл бұрын
Solid point on health revolution, now that socialized medicine has become the norm death rate will rise and births decline. Have a great day.
@ViceCoin
@ViceCoin Жыл бұрын
Life expectancy in the US has fallen for 4 years, now matching China, at 74yo.
@ViceCoin
@ViceCoin Жыл бұрын
Pensions are ponzi scams with falling fertility.
@henryannis8752
@henryannis8752 Жыл бұрын
@@ViceCoin Totally expected under a socialized medical system.
@ViceCoin
@ViceCoin Жыл бұрын
@@henryannis8752 US trails the developed world in health. 40% of Americans cant afford treatment in the for-profit sickness industry.
@henryannis8752
@henryannis8752 Жыл бұрын
@@ViceCoin Funny before the pandemic thousands of people came from across the world for medical care who live under socialize medical are country’s not because of cost, but because it was unavailable to them or they were told to wait years for treatment. American at least before the Affordable Care Act could go to a hospital for care weather they had insurance or not and be treated.
@bb001a
@bb001a Жыл бұрын
But at least I can keep my house
@saltycat662
@saltycat662 Жыл бұрын
Nope. Your house belongs to the government and soon that will be taken from you too. "You will own nothing and be happy".
@thunderbolt_01
@thunderbolt_01 9 ай бұрын
Yes supporting old population is very noble thing to do. But to what extent?? Nobody addresses that!! Why???
@maverick7291
@maverick7291 Ай бұрын
I'd love to see your answer when your in your 70s
@thunderbolt_01
@thunderbolt_01 Ай бұрын
@@maverick7291 I don't wish to live that long, my friend. It's better to die younger than becoming a liability to your successive generations and the taxpayers of the country!!
@skylinefever
@skylinefever 23 күн бұрын
Bring back ye olden days, where they were fed to wolves.
@geoffreyharris5931
@geoffreyharris5931 9 ай бұрын
Good. There are far too many people in the world by perhaps a factor of 100.
@a.person1723
@a.person1723 Жыл бұрын
when a species overpopulates its environment, its population then decreases. this is what's happening to humans right now. the REAL problem is our artificially constructed environment (capitalism) is far to brittle to adapt to the natural, healthy, depopulation cycle.
@fuzzley911
@fuzzley911 Жыл бұрын
We weren’t overpopulated in the first place 🤦‍♂️
@didforlove
@didforlove Жыл бұрын
@@fuzzley911 yes we where
@quickcube2834
@quickcube2834 9 ай бұрын
@@fuzzley911 all above a few hundret Million on a global scal and more then 10 Million per region is too much
@gaza1677
@gaza1677 Жыл бұрын
Yes finally More real estate
@jonathanblanchard9922
@jonathanblanchard9922 Жыл бұрын
Like other factors of production, move around the extras for global sales... Afghanistan doubled their population in the last twenty years... that's the formula they already use.
@exvictorian3605
@exvictorian3605 Жыл бұрын
Not happening quick enough if you listen to Billy G
@jasonmckay8793
@jasonmckay8793 Жыл бұрын
Maybe I'm conspiracy minded but I do not think this is natural I think this is top down so much power is being brought to bear by a very small amount of people with the internet and peoples addiction to phones their propaganda can reach right into your life all the time its a lot, and people are lonely there's also a loneliness epidemic, which means a lack of love for each other and greater vulnerability for the individual, :( its makes me sad to think people have decided to not have children or to see them as burdens instead of blessings how'd that happen?, I don't think this will end well I think people are in pain and despair, and not enough children is just one manifestation of the nihilism sweeping across the planet its like we ran out of hope :(.
@totalnike03
@totalnike03 Жыл бұрын
Indeed its not natural, you can tell because you dont find this within history. Societies have naturally produced large amounts of children for thousands of years. This is all the plot of the devils who rule over us
@CordeliaWagner
@CordeliaWagner 10 ай бұрын
I just don't want to suffer through pregnancy and ruin my body. I can choose and I choose that my life is better as a childfree woman. Society changes. It can't always be 1950.
@maverick7291
@maverick7291 Ай бұрын
Give it time, a collapse in population, means a drop in cultural integrity. Whatever people replacing the old and non reproductive "progressives" will be alot more traditional and not as tolerant of this vapid cultural mindset the current generation has. Don't believe me? Wait 50 years and see.
@skylinefever
@skylinefever 23 күн бұрын
If children were such magic blessings, ancient societies wouldn't be yeeting them and yelling "This is Sparta!"
@dancahill9585
@dancahill9585 Жыл бұрын
The planet breathes a huge sigh of relief thinking of the potential population decline. The notion that population should grow infinitely is an absurdity. If economics can't survive stagnant population or a gradual decline, then that is a problem of your economic system. If we lost 5/8 of the people on the globe, you'd go back to where we were in the 1950s or so. If you lost 99% of the people, you'd go back to biblical times. I have no doubt that population could rebuild itself no matter how low it went. When economics forced women into the workplace to make ends meet, they created the population decline.
@jkmarshall3553
@jkmarshall3553 Жыл бұрын
Agree.
@dancahill9585
@dancahill9585 Жыл бұрын
@@remain_nameless The price for the world sustaining people appears to be the mass extinction of other species, massively increased concentrations of CO2 and greenhouse gases, and war throughout the world. I'm glad I won't have kids to deal with the future. I'll leave the future hellscape to you and your hellspawn, and all the masses of the third world who are still cranking out kids.
@jkmarshall3553
@jkmarshall3553 Жыл бұрын
@Remain Nameless Fewer people overall is still a better goal than unchecked population growth... "got to agree there".
@mr2981
@mr2981 Жыл бұрын
Mother Earth will not miss us when we are gone, nor will any of the (remaining) other inhabitants who inhabit this world with us.
@jkmarshall3553
@jkmarshall3553 Жыл бұрын
@@mr2981 I agree.
@c.rutherford
@c.rutherford 2 ай бұрын
Population contraction is about the only thing that looks positive for humanity. The sustainable human population of the planet without everything else gradually going extinct, according to the WWF is around 3.5 billion. We hit that in 1970. We're now at 8 and even if we do nothing, will hit 10 billion by 2050
@killharryclinton9312
@killharryclinton9312 Жыл бұрын
Put in 5,5 billion inhabitants in France, each one will still have a theoretical 100m2 to live. Put 11 billion people on 134 million km2 of habitable land on Earth, each one still has 12000m2 to live (more than one hectare).
@3p1Kf41L
@3p1Kf41L Жыл бұрын
The thing with overpopulation is that there wouldnt be enough resources to sustain a growing population nothing to do with land
@jasonmckay8793
@jasonmckay8793 Жыл бұрын
@@3p1Kf41L only if technology stagnates if not i just don't think your argument holds.
@whitneyanders5945
@whitneyanders5945 Жыл бұрын
What about the other living creatures we share this planet with? Where do they go? 11 billion people would be catastrophic. Also, what jobs will be available for them… much of the world is already unemployed or underemployed.
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