The longest (verified) perfect NCAA tournament bracket

[@tyrantrex734]

Nobody is going to get anywhere remotely close to a perfect bracket this year. This tournament is going to be an absolute mess.

[@jadenn216]

i know i did an early bracket earlier today and there was so many red flag teams it's insane

[@ThatOneGuy-rb8jc]

My girlfriend is doing one for the first time this year....I told her that her inexperience with basketball will most likely beat me this year😂

[@jdcranjis5490]

Nobody ever gets remotely close dude

[@ifykykyk]

There are going to be so many games canceled

[@benjaminbriggs2130]

Honestly that might give it a better chance

[@OrtaPottyProd]

ITS GONNA FEEL SO GOOD TO HAVE MARCH MADNESS BACK

[@dezznutz3743]

It NEVER should have left.

[@ifykykyk]

Not really my team got snubbed

[@CB-jw7uy]

@@ifykykyk what’s ur team

[@ifykykyk]

@@CB-jw7uy arizona state

[@mgrowbee]

From the future... this is certainly madness....

[@josephvanhorn5347]

People win the bracket challenge all the time. It’s much cooler to be the person who got the first 49 games right. That’s unbelievable. What a way to snap the winning streak too.

[@iancypes5911]

I had a perfect bracket in 2020

[@themcbakstboys6487]

You didn’t kid

[@mbdg6810]

@@themcbakstboys6487 everyone did though

[@bbell0414]

There was no March Madness

[@hawkknowledge6]

u don't get the joke

[@bbell0414]

@@hawkknowledge6 Everyone was right because there was no tournament

[@BaldguyWifi]

To be fair you can’t call a majority of these games “coin flips” because there are odds that work in your favor

[@thelastmanonearth2631]

If you picked a 1 to beat a 16, you've only ever been wrong once. But math nerds just like to apply math in any way they can, regardless of if it actually helps (or hurts) context.

[@jean-baptistesay6941]

@@thelastmanonearth2631 If the guy was actually a math nerd, then he would know that 50/50 probabilities have no relevance to bracket picks.

[@yomammamilf1980]

More of these games are closer to coin flips then you think tho. 5/13 and 4/13 games are actually really close to 50/50.

[@yomammamilf1980]

*5/12

[@BaldguyWifi]

@@yomammamilf1980 no they are not. 5/12 somewhat it’s around 37 percent but still not quite close to 50. 4/13 isn’t close at all tho. 6/11 would’ve been a better one to say but no most of these games are not close to coin flips.

[@lukemarx8838]

I think every single sports fan has the same mentality come march 19th. this is my perfect year. and it never is

[@matthewmertes3573]

But I finished my bracket and I can actually guarantee that I picked a perfect bracket this year

[@mason.11]

Ah, the good ole Dallas Cowboys fan's mentality. "This is the year"

[@tonpetitami]

@New Blue You're still correct sir!

[@ericmharper]

very true

[@thelastmanonearth2631]

In a way...it's almost poetic that he didn't actually WIN the whole thing. But he got to have an amazing and memorable experience with his son, and a KZbin video made about him. Good for Gregg Nigl.

[@grantmiller1304]

“I’ll beat it this year” - everyone

[@gabbzz1324]

Woah, that is an amazing bracket! I can never hope to get even near that close 😂😂

[@notacountertop4339]

I know the 2 people do not that up

[@dansmolenski2159]

Flight has a perfect bracket every year the cameras just aren’t on

[@jpsmjs]

Lol

[@anewfuture]

Some people in comments are saying that the odds are not 50/50 per game. Lets hypothetically say you give an average of 70% odds for a team to win. That would be a mix of the 99 to 1 odds of 1/16 or 2/15s, and the more coinflip games in later rounds. Your odds of a perfect bracket of 65 correct answers, when your chance of being correct on every game is 70%, is approximately 1 in 6 billion. Roughly 70 million brackets are filled out every year. So, if we assume you always have a 70% chance of being right(which is probably being generous), it will take an average of 84 years for ONE person to get a perfect bracket.

[@Cromulant]

Back in 2005, on the ESPN Challenge Bracket, I missed one game in the opening set - went perfect the rest of the way as the team I didn't pick in the one opener lost the next round. Tied for first with 32 other brackets who also only had one game incorrect, but lost out on the million dollar prize on the tie breaker, which went to the person who guessed the final score most accurately. Never played a bracket since knowing I'd never come remotely close to matching it.

[@ok-xh7dn]

imagine being a person at home that did it for fun and you actually got it all right. But no one will believe you cause you didn't submit it.

[@marleysax]

How fitting that Tennessee was the bracket killer. What a heartbreaking team to root for...... go vols

[@christianskelton8555]

😩 I don’t even need to explain

[@susanbotsford9995]

Bruh I'm a student at UT

[@Flash244MCGaming]

@@susanbotsford9995 pain

[@jumalama1659]

Really had to pull out that Tennessee game on me

[@treytoyama9714]

Back in 7th grade middle school I had a perfect bracket. Sent it in but must have gotten lost. I also didn’t have the cameras on because social media wasn’t as big as it is now. -Flight

[@thegoldencompany4191]

ok

[@megaascension2748]

My best bracket ever was in 2018. I got 15 of the sweet 16 right, 7 of the elite 8 right, three of the final 4 right, and one of the two teams in the National Championship right. Problem is, I picked Virginia to win the National Championship that year. Here's the system I used- I gathered nine statistics on each team- Record Conference Record Non-Conference Record Record in Last Ten Games Current Win/Loss Streak Record against top 25 teams Record against tournament teams Offensive PPG Defensive PPG I compared the statistics in each matchup, and whichever team won more statistical matchups, I picked to win the game.

[@FactGolf]

So ur saying it would be prefect from sweet sixteen on if u didn’t pick Virginia

[@megaascension2748]

@@FactGolf Yes.

[@dmanium]

As a UVA fan, I feel for you

[@volsfan1261]

Tbh his bracket should’ve stayed perfect. That was a bs foul call on Lamonte Turner that let the game go into OT

[@pixeled9683]

still wouldn't have lasted much longer

[@vincentsnow8436]

that guy just walked in. Late.

[@bowlchamps37]

You should make a video about the guy who earned 10MM+ every March Madness since 1993

[@parkercrossland410]

Who, the president of NCAA?

[@Theguy-ey8je]

The thing that stinks is that Tennessee should have won if the refs hadn’t called a foul that didn’t happen

[@AZNiteOwl658]

You could prolly point out 1 game in ever bracket like this where luck plays a key role. I don’t think making the perfect bracket is all skill, need to have some luck on your side.

[@Theguy-ey8je]

@@AZNiteOwl658 yeah but I’m a Tennessee fan😭

[@Annihilasian]

It also helped that 2019 was a very chalky year

[@gabefife951]

That’s fax

[@td9519]

He would have busted no matter what because the only game after the 49 he got right was Virginia who ended up winning it all.

[@FactGolf]

@@td9519 wait I don’t remember that story. So virginia won the year after losing to a 16 seed

[@Natesonline]

I had a perfect bracket in 2016 but it wasn't online me and my buddies wrote it on the back of a napkin at a bar in Philly

[@macks517]

sure

[@benhurley02]

THIS IS THE YEAR I GET THE PERFECT BRACKET I HAVE A FEELING

[@EliMarszalek]

No

[@kermit_the_frog1955]

As a Tennessee fan, his bracket ending by us losing in the sweet 16 is painfully ironic. He should've known that's our graveyard

[@msa4998]

He's the Walt Dropo, Pinky Higgins, and Johnny Kling of brackets all rolled into one.

[@benhaushalter5067]

Why do you recommended this now

[@iberamada]

2023 march madness there was no chance anyone was going to get a perfect bracket

[@porterhopson1312]

So can I do it on the ESPN fantasy app someone please tell me before 2024 march madness

[@cbphoto87]

Would have been cooler if he did it the year of Buffett's Billion dollar bracket.

[@onebuffalo5402]

only issue is 2:55 picking games isnt like a coin flip, to a degree the higher seed is more likely the victor. Ie any 4 seed v 12 seed games historically yield a >80% chance of the higher seed winning, only once you get to the 7-11 games do you see more parody analogous to a coin toss.

[@randflam]

Last night Kentucky lost. I might as well burn my bracket while I have the chance.

[@mikeymex_kinda]

This was a cool video. Thx MM

[@MarchMadness]

Thank you for watching!

[@coryc9040]

Would be interesting to hear the odds from someone who understands that the majority of these games are not coin flips.

[@jliu2367]

Well, there are 67 games in March Madness. Let's be really optimistic that you can predict every game with 90% accuracy. 0.9^67 = 0.00085950445. Good luck!

[@afminto]

@@jliu2367 There's no way anyone can pick with 90% accuracy. I would think something like 70% accuracy would be more feasible. That would be a 1 in 24 billion chance.

[@gryphnation7091]

@@afminto well it’s tough cause in theory the 1 v 16 are 100 percent pretty much, the reason nigel’s did so well that year was cause the biggest upset was one 13 seed won, so it was an easier year than usual in terms of upsets

[@dallaswood4117]

You know there will be upsets the problem is you try to predict one and miss and miss the ones that do happen. sure they aren’t exactly 50/50 but for basic math to show how impossible it is it works. Every year at least one twelve beats a five seed sometimes multiple even predicting that is a fiasco

[@gregtiller3569]

Remove the vig on the historical MLs from Pinnacle, obv.

[@christopherlin4078]

give this man gematria and he can go perfect

[@RedRaiderLobo20]

I love how Texas Tech played a role here

[@treysonmcgrady4750]

This year I’m going to flip a coin for every game. Probably have the same odds right? 🤔 Rather than trying to analyze matchups or looking at the seeds.

[@PoyntFury]

Should have just played the lottery instead of wasting that luck on a bracket.

[@Smart-Towel-RG-400]

Brackets don't cost money thi

[@AlanFernandoGamino]

I'm gonna be perfection this year to become celebrity!

[@EricSmyth4Christ]

I love it when my 49 leg parlays hit

[@aaronfry2243]

It’s crazy because the women’s brackets right now has 3 that are perfect through 2 rounds. This record is about to be broken

[@lyf3warrior194]

Wasn’t there a kid that had a perfect bracket years ago? But since he was like 15 he couldn’t collect prize money. There was a interview abt it

[@skysl8558]

No he was like two games away

[@matthewmertes3573]

He got first place in the entire thing, but missed a few games.

[@Smart-Towel-RG-400]

2022 st Peter's didn't let most people get past round 1

[@WeatherWondersWW]

Shoutout to whoever got one less game

[@DaleEarnhardtfan420]

i wonder what the payout for the 49 legs would have been

[@colesunwood1656]

Shoutout to the other guy that chose Buffalo but also broke the record

[@jacobfreeman2016]

I am so ready.

[@twistedtide]

the closest i have ever gotten was getting 23 of the first 32 right in a row so not very good lol

[@MickeyMouse-lm6zj]

as soon as he found out, it ended

[@MickeyMouse-lm6zj]

2020 champion: none, seniors years ruined

[@juddster218]

Best I ever did was get the first round and all but one of the second round right. That was in 2017

[@roccos9777]

forsenCD I MUST BE DREAMING

[@henboyman]

Why do I not remember this at all

[@jcopp2031]

I've been filling out brackets since forever it seems. I've never even gotten one region perfect in the first round. That's only 8 games.

[@esage1]

If you make 25 you’ll usually get at least 1 perfect region through the first round

[@nickthegreatstone6014]

This is the year

[@carsonstille3275]

I did guess the first 5 games in the tournament in 2018 correctly.

[@superpuppymann6527]

KEEP IT UP PURDUE

[@holdenfegan1613]

Sooo no online brackets with submission dates before March madness?

[@asmodeus1634]

I hate to be that guy but if I flip the coin myself I can accurately tell if its heads or tails. Which I did 100 times in a row with 5 or more spin rotations.

[@andrenowaczek4909]

According to 1:31, only 25% of people picked the first game right? And only 10% of people got the first two games right? If you guess randomly, there's a 25% chance you get the first 2 games right and a 50% chance you get the first game right. Implying people are intentionally getting the bracket wrong OR the graphic at 1:31 is literally just a random curve, which kind of makes me doubt they actually have the data? Otherwise, why would they not just use the real graph from the actual data?

[@afminto]

I would guess that the first game was a pretty big upset that most people picked the better seeded team and they lost.

[@flashbcat8491]

I had a perfect bracket for 5 games

[@ramnsesallen4375]

I wanna know, was he picking off whatever or was there deep analysis?

[@iamhotspurs12]

Umm 🤓: your graph is incorrect as you cannot represent the given data with a line as that would mean there are fractions of brackets and that in between games your bracket would still change.

[@MegaRollercoasterfan]

what about the 15 year old from 2015

[@jacobhensley8614]

That’s what I was thinking. I think he did it on paper so it hasn’t been verified

[@luigivincenz3843]

He should have played the lottery the day he made the bracket..

[@milesimpsons1328]

The record has been broken! Sit down Greg, someone has got to 50

[@Kwatso9]

Who?

[@67L48]

Good explanation of why the scoring system is completely broken. Knowing a 1 beats a 16 should never, ever, ever be as worth as much as correctly picking a 13 to beat a 4. Similarly, picking a 1-3 seeded UNC to make the elite 8 shouldn't be worth double knowing that a 12-seed makes the sweet 16. Way too much emphasis on the later rounds and no payoff for being savvy enough (lucky enough?) to find those sleeper teams. There needs to be a graduated scoring system. Correctly picking an 8/9 game should be a bit more than picking the 1/16 game.

[@grayd98]

I think it's sort of dumb that an arbitrary score is ascribed to later rounds making them "more important" than early round games. Each game is just a game from a statistical perspective.

[@grayd98]

@abc def But the first round also includes close games like 7-10 and 8-9. Plus every game is just a game. If you predict 55 games correctly that seems more impressive than 35 but one of them is the final

[@meta02]

it's not arbitrary, it's statistics. To predict the winner of late round games before any match results are available you also have to get all of the early round games before them correct. To guess that UVA would beat texas tech in the finals requires you to guess that uva wins its round of 64 game, its round of 32 game, its round of 16 game, its quarterfinals game, its semifinals game, and the finals game, and that texas tech wins its round of 64 game, its round of 32 game, its round of 16 game, its quarterfinals game, its semifinals game, and loses the finals game.

[@ericmharper]

it's harder to pick later round winners than early rounds, that's the point lol. Who's gonna win, a 16-seed or a 1-seed? Who's gonna win, an 8-seed or a 9-seed? There you go.

[@chychywoohoo]

Legend

[@jonahcoplen9201]

My uncle legit only got three or four games wrong three years ago

[@jwilder2251]

Lot of bikeshedders in here who can’t resist pointing out that not all games are 50/50

[@King-xn3hh]

Don’t doubt Purdue 👿🤣

[@Magellann365]

Spoilermakers! =D

[@nathanweiner9403]

A couple years ago I got the first 33 games right

[@ifykykyk]

No one cares

[@DWEthiopia]

@@ifykykyk ouch

[@ifykykyk]

@@DWEthiopia I mean am i right or am I wrong

[@ijoneslife]

I had a perfect bracket a few years ago, I just didn't tell anybody

[@yellows8013]

That's what he gets for going against My Purdue And THE GOAT Carsen Edwards!!!

[@MickeyMouse-lm6zj]

2:52 it's not a coin flip for all

[@torinoconnor4296]

But how many did he get wrong after that?

[@EscudosdeTimes]

I had a perfect bracket in 2020 (0 for 0)

[@Odyodyody]

And he’s a Michigan fan? Let’s go!

[@shawnporterjr2890]

State better

[@Odyodyody]

@@shawnporterjr2890 yeah that 18 point Maryland loss was very impressive

[@shawnporterjr2890]

@@Odyodyody how you lose 30 to the cry baby’s at Illinois

[@Odyodyody]

@@shawnporterjr2890 you have 10 losses please be quiet

[@RJ_Horning]

@@shawnporterjr2890 69-50🤡

[@animefan132]

pft I would've picked Purdue

[@noahlisiecki2734]

As the tournament returns in march..... Ha about that

[@baseballplayer5556]

How did he finish that low bro

[@streeter2356]

Yo is this the old infographics guy

[@BelindaWoodson-uc5is]

#Peanut butter jelly on wonder bread

[@murrethmedia]

Is it bad that I couldn't care less about college basketball but I watch these videos because I'm a stat nerd?

[@noitallmanaz]

I had a perfect first weekend, and then lost the very first S16 game, so I was one off that. But unfortunately I threw the sheet away. That was in 1998.

[@matthewdowling6549]

"Unfortunately I threw the sheet away" lol

[@qttasks6989]

Nobody not gonna talk about the kid who never watched basketball who got perfect bracket

[@jadenmoyers837]

He didn’t

[@jeanninecavanaugh3914]

There was a kid that broke it and GREat Big Story made a video about him

[@jeanninecavanaugh3914]

and that was made 5 years ago

[@larryhatcher8927]

Just watched the video no big deal but they were picking on a 64 team tournament. Aren't they 68 teams in the tournament? BTW the coin flip odds don't mean anything...of course the odds of winning for your higher seeds are going to be better than .5

[@pleasebuffminer2700]

Well in most brackets they list the First Four together (ex: this year they put ND/Rutgers in one spot). So you don’t need to predict that game.

[@Smart-Towel-RG-400]

9,223,372,036,854,775,808 that's the number of possible brackets 68 is the number but there is a play in and they are not officially in the tournament

[@MickeyMouse-lm6zj]

4:28 not

[@RonLPitts]

This makes no sense... they are saying through the first 16 games.... There are 4 play in games... dont they count?

[@cbphoto87]

Online bracket challenges don't make you pick those. They keep picks open until the morning of the official first round.

[@mrsisterfister9088]

how dare you doubt the boilermakers, glad to bust a non-believer💀

[@mpzurlino]

Glad my boilers were the ones to ruin the perfect bracket :)

[@MickeyMouse-lm6zj]

3:30 not really

[@Simbaforlife]

2021: Lol

[@udits6911]

No one actually thinks they have a perfect bracket

[@Dizuu]

To the one percent reading this Have a blessed day and remember, you are worth it❤️ Follow your dreams and don’t ever give up ❤️ (i’m trying to grow)

[@TheJollyMisanthrope]

It always comes down to luck.

[@emmittkison2321]

Just fill out the bracket after the games happen duh

[@jacobjackson8646]

As I Purdue fan I’m proud that we ruined his bracket

[@nram5661]

As a Tennessee fan, y’all shouldn’t of won that game.

[@efsikker3950]

@@nram5661 I have Tennessee in the final four too ):