Sick Cooler $436,200 Pot

In this hand Antonio gets frisky preflop and things get a bit wild.
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[@Mrknight168]

on poker star 99% people would go all in on the turn with phil iveys hand and hit on the river

[@karabomasibi2331]

Bruh? so frustrating

[@MrJeffhart24]

You do realize that with Ivey's hand he had 9 outs for the spade and 6 more with the straight. 15 outs and the bet Antonio made was a call by most. Good read by Phil, many would have gambled there.

[@Mrknight168]

Jeff Hart exactly thats y i surprised he folded his hand

[@Holdington]

Good evidence from you that you only remember the hands you loose but not the ones you win. I had a straight and flush draw about 7 times today on Stars and didn't hit it once. Ergo; Stars is not rigged.

[@husseinfaiz3397]

pokerstar and full tilt are rigged as fuck

[@jcjensenllc]

I always understand it until I play.

[@pokerboy72]

Simply Human lol

[@Strummie]

Right, haha. Poker is the devil’s game.

[@dumitriuradu8481]

And what is god s game? Giving people cancer?

[@Strummie]

Dumitriu Radu Probably. Or making people retarded and then watching them struggle through life like a sitcom.

[@apoc3037]

Well seeing the cards is a tiny advantage

[@avestagp]

Great analysis as usual Daniel. What a monster fold by Phil Ivey. I don't think a lot of players would have been able to fold on that spot.

[@akaSean]

Please, gimme a break. What's the great fold? Antonio shovels 265k into the pot, the entire world knows he has it. Unless, of course, he's Tom Dwan & the lights burning his eye(HSP fame).

[@avestagp]

It's a fantastic fold. I don't think a lot of players would be able to fold on the turn knowing that they could improve to a straight/flush on the river. For him to fold in that spot he put Antonio exactly on the hand that he had. If Antonio had a set of 10s, Phil still had 30% to hit his straight or flush.

[@ipitythefool97]

lol this broke bitch claiming hed fold the hand - fuck off akaSean - uve made 0 money in poker and ur a bum - stop putting down others by thinking your good at this

[@darkthought7860]

i woulda folded and said fuck your straight. because im a poker god when i know what they have

[@06nishant]

Aksean ur saying that because u can see both cards. Or ur one of those u fold every hand when u see a raise.

[@Shnufulduful]

3:45 confirmed correlation between cash games and sandwich consumption

[@Will-rr1uz]

This hand will never fail to amaze me. I've seen it a dozen times now and I still can't believe Phil gets away, has to be one of the best folds ever imo.

[@youweechube]

Not even close, he was given good odds to call and could have won the hand

[@tenningale]

Phil covers this in his Masterclass and said he folded because he didn't think he was likely to get paid off on the river

[@NinjahPigeon]

Nice video Daniel, i don't even play poker but i find your videos very fascinating and entertaining, might try some day.

[@shayorshayorshayor]

He only liked ur comment so you can join poker. And then take all your money.

[@shahabshabani7328]

you play Dota you don't need poker

[@freddiet8639]

Gamble responsibley. Remember for people to win someone has to lose.

[@Strummie]

Lose all your money yet?

[@bonnguyen5049]

If you u dont even play poker than don’t play... u gonna lose all your money!

[@swalker9482]

I'm far from great player but I got to see the river on that hand.

[@ryanhughes1101]

S Walker it wouldn’t even be a bad fold. Unless Phil assumes Antonio never puts another dollar in the pot.

[@youweechube]

@@ryanhughes1101 even then it's not far off being right, I think you have to call with money already invested.

[@Chekmate99]

Technically the King of hearts improves Antonio’s hand but in reality it has the potential to weaken it (obviously its better than a spade) - the last thing I would want to see on the river is another heart if I flopped the nut straight to end up with a Jack high flush. This introduces a big bluff opportunity from your opponent and if you’re running bad, it could put you in a tough call position. Antonio’s hand improves with the K heart on the turn - but it improves in the sense that it wasn’t a spade or a Jack (thus dodging one of two ‘bullets’) but not necessarily improving it to make a back door flush when you already have the nuts.

[@merelymaterial]

naniel degreanu

[@jaylegend9780]

MerelyMaterial This comment gets me every time😁

[@alephnull4044]

Ill Phivey

[@Nash9r]

Great video. Dan Polk and Doug Negreanu are my favorite Poker KZbinrs.

[@Beanmachine91]

I played against Doyle ivey and phil Brunson in Vegas!

[@swinkmibby]

3:45 all eatin sandwiches and whatnot

[@f2dify]

Sick fold by Ivey.

[@JohnWWDavis]

Superb analysis Daniel... Thanks!

[@julianmejia6528]

I'm glad that more people are starting to do this ! all of these vids have a lot if value ! I'm learning as much as I can from everyone

[@wilson4604]

Daniel actually makes me laugh without trying too hard like a lot of people would with these kind of videos

[@bradenmcguire7372]

We need more of these

[@tobsucht1021]

Nick Shulmann is such a great poker player and as a commentary even more great! Together with Aj Benza, i watched all episodes of High Stakes Poker, when he was a team with Gabe Kaplan. He was amazing then and hes doing a great job here!! The hand is amazing, phil ivey making phil ivey reads!! I would go broke there!! Or i get really lucky and hit my flush on the river... Especially after i hit the King on the Turn.. I could never folded that hand.. So great reverse implied oods!! WHAT A FOLD!! PHIL IVEY IS SO GOOD!!! WOW!!! Thx for upload

[@herts9999]

Great content Daniel. Love your uploads and insight. I'd listen to you talk hands/strategy over anybody else out there.

[@birdinflight3861]

How did I not know this channel existed? Kid Poker explaining hands will have me tied up for the next few hours..

[@GangBlud]

damn! These are so interesting. It's like a thriller movie. Been binge watching your videos!

[@imalwaysbluffing]

It’s absurd how big that pot was. $800 bb, by the turn the pots already over 350 big and the Antonio bets about 200 more! I can’t imagine playing this deep

[@offrampc]

Let's delve deep into the mathematics of this hand and see if this was a correct fold. Let's assume both players play perfectly mathematically (these guys actually do that quite often so it's not an insane assumption). Phil's Actual Equity on the turn is 20% as the graphic shows. His Required Equity (or Pot Odds if you prefer) to make the call on the turn is: RE = Amt to Call/ (Amt to call + Total Pot) RE = 154,000/ (154,000 + 436,200) RE = 0.26 or 26% The difference between RE and AE is 6% of the Total Pot (590,200) which comes out to a measly 35,412. Let's keep this number aside for now and see the situation from Antonio's perspective if Phil makes the call. From Antonio's perspective, Phil either has: 1) 2 spades. Now the remaining 11 spades make 54 combos. However, there's no way Phil got here with either 7-2 of spades or similar, he would've folded those pre-flop to a raise and a big 3 bet into 4 people by Jennifer. So let's be generous and assume all Ace combos (10), all K combos (9), Q6+ (4), J8+ (2), 89, 86, 56, 45 and even 34. That's 30 combos. OR 2) A set with pocket 7s, 8s or 10s. Mind you, Phil does not have pocket kings as he had a chance to reraise pre-flop twice, once after Bright's raise but most importantly after Jennifer's raise which he would have surely done if he had KK. This leaves him with 9 combos to make sets, 3 of each. Now we go to the river with a couple of situations: 1) A spade hits. Phil bets x amount that’s greater than 6% of the pot (35,412). What is Antonio’s Required Equity to call here: RE = ATC/ ATC + TP RE = x/(x + (x+590,200)) RE = x/(2x + 590,200) What is his actual equity? Out of the total 39 combos, 9 combos out of 39 did not get there (i.e Antonio wins at showdown). That’s 23%. Equating Required Equity and Actual Equity to find the bet size: 0.23 = x/(2x + 590,200) 0.23 (2x + 590,200) = x 0.46x + 135,746 = x 135,746 = x (1 - 0.46) 0.54x = 135746 x = 251,381 So if Phil bets anything from 35,412 to 251,381, Antonio would be correct to call. In fact, this alone tells us that, mathematically, Phil should’ve called the turn. 2) Board pairs. Antonio’s equity is now 77% (30 combos of spades did not get there) which is greater than 50% so he is supposed to call no matter how much Phil bets (bluffs, in this case) which means Phil has zero fold equity. This is also true (i.e Antonio’s equity is > 50%) if a non-spade, non-pairing scare card hits which could potentially give Phil a higher straight from Antonio’s perspective, like a J (3 remaining from Antonio’s perspective, Bright’s jack doesn’t count),a Q (4 remaining, same logic about Jennifer’s Q) or an A (4 remaining, same logic) or even a 9 (3 remaining). 3) None of the above hit. Antonio’s equity here is 100% and no matter what Phil does Antonio is supposed to call (and win the pot). So this means that we can ignore (2) and (3) above since Antonio is mathematically correct to call no matter how much Phil bets in those cases, even all-in, and win the pot. Unfortunately though, (1) above tells us that Phil should’ve called the turn. His implied odds - i.e. the difference between the RE and AE - of 6% of the pot or 35,412 to be exact - were enough to make the call. In other words, if Antonio played mathematically correctly on the river (assuming he put Phil on a total of 39 combos of flush and full house draws), he would have to make a call if a spade hit on the river AND if Phil bet anywhere between 35,412 to 251,381. Or to put it in other words, if two gto engines were playing this hand, Phil’s engine would’ve called the turn and bet exactly 251,381 if a spade hit on the river and Antonio’s engine would have to make the call. Now, does this mean that Antonio made a bet-sizing “mistake” on the turn and should not have given such good odds (plus implied odds) to Phil to make the call? Who wants to do the math for what the correct bet-size should’ve been?

[@JasonVaysberg]

Great hand by Ivey. I wonder if Antonio's range would have included QsJs based on his line.

[@MatusPotocar]

7:08 ifififiphilif he hits it :D so funny Daniel :D

[@sharongardner2023]

I have been watching Daniel play cards since he was first on tv when he won he's first televised tournament. And I like watching him explain these hands because the way he reads people is awesome. But you can't teach the feeling that you get playing you know spidey sences

[@HbRgamers]

The fact that he had the 9 of spades is why he was able to make the fold. Any combo draws that Antonio could have that involve 9-x of spades are gone, so Phil is beating literally nothing here

[@youweechube]

He doesn't have to be ahead on turn to make call, prob knows exactly what Antonio has or a set. He could have called to chop or make flush.

[@MrDavid-gg2kk]

Ivey twisting his nipples is the greatest amount of emotion I've ever seen in him.

[@garlary1976]

Watch Daniel and Phil heads up in the shark cage

[@bergey911]

Lol 😂 I know right!!!!?

[@mrmrsmith5968]

.."So what if I don't have any money, I'll just borrow it." O snap! shot fired!

[@natural9743]

Thanks Daniel for these video's they are so informative and educational

[@tom221292]

Hey Daniel, Your interpretation of the hand is as if the fold is the only right play. You didn't talk at all about whether or not he should even fold there, given that Antonio has a made hand (a straight, a set, two pair). I would love to hear (or read) any thoughts about that. Thanks!

[@VaclavDusek36]

Oh boy I totally thought TIlly's reaching for calling chips after the raise, you go girl!

[@marshallburns6994]

I remember watching this on the Poker Central twitch stream; very exciting! Love Nick Schulman commentating. I could listen to him for hours. What's up with PC? Do they do anything other than the Super High Roller Bowl?

[@Markooooni]

Antonio should print t shirts "running good since 1995"

[@dru713281]

What a beautiful fold by Ivey...............wish d neg would make insane lay down like that all we remember from his high stakes cash games are going on tilt or going el busto!

[@ryanrobinson1578]

I love how doyle looks like hes gonna fall asleep at any second

[@followthegrow108]

Always

[@superdivinus987]

this is how i like it, you analyze right into it, deep, complex, 10x better than doug polk

[@Varmint111]

WHAT'S UP GUYS, DOUG POLK HERE

[@joshuapatrick682]

I think Antonio’s hand plays better as a three bet than a flat because it’s gonna knock out a lot of the hands that dominate it preflop. The KJ, A9 AJ ect...

[@forgotbythesystem181]

Sometimes you feel like gambling and phil didnt want to that hand.

[@stephen0793]

But if Ivey had stayed in, and the river had been a spade, then...would we be talking about this hand? No, but he would’ve made a ton of $$$

[@DuffyJ1111]

Rabbit! We'll never know.

[@jugular911]

It's an easy fold for anyone who's watched Esfandiari play. He gives off this playboy splashy image, but he actually plays like a huge nit. Phil knew Esfandiari was never bluffing in a 3-way pot. Good fold but pretty standard for anyone who has watched Esfandiari play.

[@phamnhat2925]

I'm folding K9 of spades preflop to an EP raise

[@nishantthaccker1173]

I feel Jen Tilly's fold was the better one as she had top pair 10's (similar to what Ivey hit on the turn with the King) but she read the play better (that someone hit the straight) ..

[@subtletactics]

More cash games hand eval from the GOAT please! (They help)

[@mrx7181]

I can't believe the commentator said "I don't know if Antonio raises the flop with TT or 88 or 77." You should pretty much always be raising that draw-heavy of a flop with a set in a multi way pot.

[@omarjaved6087]

what the commentator meant was 108 as 2 pair thats why he said that phil had extra outs such as a 7 and a 9 for a better 2 pair.

[@modestomouso1234]

What a hero fold by Phil. And Tilly to a lesser extent. Great reads. Gotta be hard to fold a hand with that much equity.

[@Samueljorge86]

Does anybody knows where I can watch the entire show? ("Super High Roller Cash Game") Thanks

[@thenewandrei4o94]

Yes, I do

[@notrecyborg5492]

Wow that is some laydown, just shows how good Ivey really is.

[@Laurian21]

this hand is a good example on how it is easier to read the game if you are not in the hand. i also think everybody played it good. tilly continued her story, ivey wanted to see another card and antonio bet his straight not allowing him to draw for free but also made it too much for ivey to be worth calling it

[@jay_kulina]

Actually, Antonio made it too little on the turn, which is why Phil was able to assess the situation correctly (helps they had history) and make the excellent fold. I do believe Antonio also had a good feel about what Ivey had and thought he'd give him a good price to continue chasing. Just happens that against an analytical monster like Ivey, you gotta do some things out of the norm from time to time to give yourself a better chance to get paid, when you have it. Probably Antonio shoulda polarized his hand here (bet 90-120% pot).

[@markrobert6014]

Only thing i dislike Daniel is your title of video , i knew ivey was gonna fold.

[@24marcg24]

Nick Shulman is a great commentator

[@AnyTwoDrew]

Would love to know what the river was

[@todabsolute]

That feeling when the table is 45x7x and your opponent beats your 36 with 68...

[@chipcasino6176]

Fun hand, live one, and I like the commentary. But what part is the "sick cooler" part? I don't get it.

[@AMagno12]

I thought it was a misleading title too

[@whatwhat3432523]

LOL. You must be pretty clever.

[@mackavelly2178]

it was a good fold but looking at the odds of ivey winning this hand on the river in relation to the turn bet by Antonio, would it not have been a better decision for ivey to call in this case?

[@gfysyoutube]

Daniel Negreanu you went from Kid Poker that everyone liked to the "The more rake is better " Weasel.

[@jdtitan]

You are the best Daniel.

[@anubis_pd7125]

Hey Daniel. Just wanted to say i enjoy your channel, and ask you a question. I googled for quite a while now trying to find a good place where you can watch live poker tours from start to finnish. I can find world poker tour on youtube.. but allready watched all of thoes. The problem is getting them in like a playlist. Would appreciate any time you take to answer this. Thanks.

[@oliverallen5007]

your brilliant daniel you help me a lot

[@flipstar2614]

That was a really bad fold by Phil Ivey. He had direct odds to call the pot, and with implied odds is hugely profitable. Is Esfandiari has any bluffs in his range its an even easier fold.

[@youweechube]

I agree, I don't think it's an amazing fold, of course he knows he's behind on turn that's not the point.

[@emmzvalencia6968]

i dont understand mortal sin in poker is to play low card and then suited .. pls explain daniel .. thanks ..

[@penoyer79]

When i was watching the had i thought Antonio would fire about 200k... i wonder if phil makes a different decision if Antonio bombs it.

[@moneykm10]

excellent analysis

[@bababue33]

Played 7 card stud H/L based on the last video on PS, thanks

[@ericwickham9944]

Gotta love his videos

[@energyflowswhereattentiongoes]

yeah MAYBE. Wonder what the river card was. Wouldn't it be a bad fold if he was going to hit?

[@timothygats]

i hVe a question. on the turn during antonio's turn. I wouldve went all in when the K showed up. would this be the wrong play? considering the scary board while i still have the nuts id want to take it down there and now before the river comes.

[@timothygats]

or would they think im bluffind and call instead

[@RG-ef9yw]

He has like 1 million dollars behind. So yeah that would be the wrong play. He played it perfectly, you want people on draws to call and continue in the hand. You want to get called by worse hands and fold out better hands, what you are describing is the opposite.

[@VegasLoungeAct]

Tilly always has "top pair" at whatever table she's at. 😉

[@jjdbzfan18]

TRIPxCORE I see what you did there 😂😂😂😂😂

[@steviethomas1988]

Ivy would have called certain players on the turn but in this case it’s about knowing ur players and he does know Antonio !

[@garyjdixon7282]

I'll agree with Phil Ivey being the best in the world and the guy is a HUMAN CARD RACK! He connects on flops higher than percentages in the game! That's part of the reason he's in the POKER HALL OF FAME! Phil isn't above asking ANYONE FOR BACCARAT???

[@Fangoros]

How does Bright fold the AJ tho? I am obviously an amateur, but imo there are only pairs to be scared of and obviously AQ or AK. Even lower pairs than a J aren't that dangerous. Anyone care to explain?

[@youweechube]

AJ is a hand that will lose you lots of money in cash games in reraised preflop

[@VTMinEngSR]

Was Doyle asleep on the Turn?

[@MrKommpa]

The river fold seems weird. He must win 179k more if he hits which does not seem super unlikely that he could given that the pot will be roughly 580k. I assume that he didnt think his straight outs were live because in that case he only has to win 25k when he hits and the call become easy. In position I think phil would have called this all day but without initative and out of position the call becomes a little more uncertain, I still think against most opponents its a call, but as Daniel Negreanu said, Ivey must have had some sick read. I dont think that the 9s is too important in this case, sure it blocks out bluffing hands but it also blocks out straight hands like J9s and 96s and if we then take to account that he is less likely to have a straight, our straight outs is live. In some of your videos you try to figure out how the hand could have played out differently, which I think is amazing. Do you think Ivey could have Call / Raise / Get it in OTF? The pot is all ready big (I dont know the stack sizes but I am assuming that they are big enough to justify a shove here with 30% - 40% equity and some fold equity) some of the time he might get esfandiari to fold some hands that he choose to raise in this spot like an A-high flushdraw maybe and that would also be the worst hand to be up against with ivey specific holding. He might also get it in against some hands like QJss that has spades + gutshot (or is he more likely to get A-high flushdraw in on the flop?) to go along with it and in that case ivey is a favorite.

[@ivicapavic3381]

That's the thing I hate about hold'em - how do you even know Ivey "got away with it"? Do you know what the river card would've been? It's not like Ivey's hand was a bluff. There was a very solid chance for Ivey to hit his nuts, especially if he really put Antonio on exactly a straight, and most likely could've made Antonio see his river bet in that case. Hold'em is not about what hand you have, it's about what hand or hands your opponent thinks you might have, considering how you played the hand up to that point.

[@Raycefan]

Not sure I agree with Phil's fold here, but, then again, In just a home game/monthly club player, and not a top tier/earn a living playing/professional. Also, this is a hand where aid have paid money to see the last card.

[@JakeMcConville]

May I see the next card please??

[@GabrielConstantinides]

At 1:03 it sort of looks like Bellande is talking instead of the commentator :P

[@Awesum]

Brunson over there taking a nap between hands

[@joeingram1]

Very sick hand :) #MR

[@sachindev3503]

i would have simply lets go either you got it or don't

[@YolondaHayes]

This is a crazy read

[@gspcanadianicon]

It's Jean Robert from survivor

[@paulpena5040]

Phil Ivey, damn! Sick fold. I really think this guy could fold a losing straight flush.

[@SuperPraveenkumarpk]

Paul Pena I actually saw him fold a losing quads once.

[@edb8177]

So why not call and wait for the flush? Big pot to not wait for one more card.

[@bonne21]

I want to see that river card so bad.

[@rjmacready9828]

Man I reallly wanted to see the river lmaooo

[@nicp9178]

I know I’m going to sound like an idiot but the guy (JRB) was on survivor. Hope he’s better at poker lol

[@cumpenis]

I don't think I've ever seen anybody other than Esfandiari or Ivey lead in chips

[@Prolific_Troll]

The way he blinks puts me on tilt.

[@Janet_Airlines802]

Where you been Daniel, no new videos in 5 months

[@commentbasher420]

What a stacked table

[@rmsclashcontent5531]

can anyone tell me where can I watch this full episode of cash game. I tried to find it everywhere but couldnt find it. Please guys Do reply if you know a place where I can watch this! and Yes I do have subscription of PokerGO!

[@svmohata]

dnegs - wish you'd spent more time deep diving into how ivey was able to fold on the turn here and why you wouldnt have (pretty sure you wouldnt have folded on the turn... right) ;-)

[@vaxr1159]

I thought i already subscribed but i was thinking this was polks channel rip

[@Gunsik93]

I get depressed when I see that ONE round of the preflop pot they play with is 4 years of school loans for me....

[@bahardin3992]

maybe its not their money they are playing with..??

[@Lostkiwi431]

Phil Ivey isn't human.

[@Beanmachine91]

Skynet says so

[@dreday4177]

So many outs for ivey. I guess it came down to knowing ur opponent and judging the bet.

[@joecrabtree7786]

Why would bright fold A J??

[@herbettigre]

Phil Ivey is a beast, jesus!!!

[@jonphanspromotions]

Dan, with the knowledge, experience, and fame, why not open a class or training site? Why not get together with some pros and make it happen. Love your analysis, right every time.

[@dnegspoker]

Stay tuned! Got something in the works, for now just enjoy these for free!

[@thanasisballas6393]

2:59 😂😂😂