The Next 100 Years: A forecast for the 21st Century. George Friedman (p2)

In this Sydney Writers’ Festival session, internationally renowned security and intelligence expert George Friedman talks to Michael Sexton about the key ideas of his new book, The Next 100 Years: A forecast for the 21st Century. They discuss the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. Part 2 of 2
George Friedman is founder and chief intelligence officer of STRATFOR, which analyses and forecasts trends in world affairs, and he is the author of several books, including The Future of War.
Sydney, May 2009

[@chopsddy3]

Love it or hate it, this video has spawned some of the most intelligent and civilized discourse, in the comment section , that I've seen on KZbin. Great post. Thanks for sharing.

[@brandoYT]

read Orwell 1984 - he is the "big brother" of the 21st century. You can see that, no?

[@tommyodonovan3883]

People who like/love George are polite & smart people.

[@mereulatuinidau629]

Vvvvaaà

[@winstonbachan9661]

THE SOLUTION IS! Although We Hails From Different Land We Share One Earth One Sky And One Sun Remember Friends This World Is One For All Of Humanity Regardless of Race Religion Or Creeds ☮️

[@stuartfeder3354]

@@winstonbachan9661 😮

[@eslaugh]

George Friedman is insightful and brilliant.

[@chrish2629]

A good accompaniment to Friedman’s critique of Paul Kennedy’s ‘Empire Overstretch’ theory is the idea of ‘Hegmonic Overstretch,” where, as per, Dennis Florig (Professor in the Division of International Studies, Hankuk University Foreign Studies, Seoul), “the concept of hegemonic overreach proposes a revision of Kennedy' imperial overstretch that puts more emphasis on policy choices of hegemonic states. Previous long-cycle theories of hegemonic breakdown have focused on the contradiction between the hegemon's growing military-political commitments and its slipping capability relative to rising challenger states. Another key contradiction in US for is between the imperatives of hegemony and the ideology of messianic mission long before the US stepped up to its current global role. Hegemonic overreach, this sense of messianic mission, is a major cause of failure in US foreign policy” (www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/40961972.pdf) (22:55)

[@liamphan9627]

This aged like fine wine

[@raymondparsley7442]

I was in the military all thru the Vietnam war, but was never sent there... During those years, the only detailed analysis of why we were in Vietnam was found in the book section of Reader's Digest... leaving us eager young soldiers to sing... "forward march" against the spread of communism. Friedman's analysis seems the more likely cause for Vietnam... While stationed in Germany, I greatly resented the demonstrations I witnessed in the streets of that country, without considering really, that demonstrations here at home were far more intense... Looking back, I'm grateful this was the case, because it got us out of the war sooner rather than later, saving hundreds, if not thousands, of lives that would have, could have... been lost.

[@raymondparsley7442]

@Saa Justin Shalom friend.... your salute is returned.

[@yavashzdravsmsl7346]

Thank you very much. You helped the communists kill hundreds of millions more people around the planet. Why don't you protest when your ally is Stalin?

[@renesingg]

An awesome analysis by an awesome man.

[@aodhfinn]

Not a word on the ability of the planet to tolerate all spoken about ..a huge huge oversight.

[@CL-ut6uu]

man this was a great prediction... look at the situation now

[@KarakuraRiser]

Watching this for the first time in 2018 and its so relevent :o

[@Vilsent]

Hello from 2022.

[@viktigt123]

For anyone to be able to predict the future, it must have been planned far back in time Everything that happens in the world is strategically planned out

[@anglofiles87]

so what are your counter-arguments?

[@debabratapanja5099]

Thats very true about India, some individual Indian states are governed by political parties who are more Pakistani and Chinese in behavior than Indian by color. Look at the political parties like CPM, CPI, Trinamool congress, DMK, JD, BJD, Shiv -sena, Assam gana parashad, SP , BSP Alaki-Dal, Kashmir parties etc etc.

[@Eric-ye5yz]

People need to understand, this vid was made in 2009.

[@voranartsirisubsoontorn9010]

The next 100 years!! I could not even forecast the next five years with any certainty.

[@streetrider2487]

i dont think calling the next 5 years is any easier than a 100years, It could be more difficult to predict 5years.

[@baussier134]

This is why the professor got many ideas wrong in the book, predicting a 2020 completely surreal for someone living in 2020, us. But I saw it whatsoever because the explaining of why he thinks this is plausible is a deep understanding that will let me be capable of seeing the structure within

[@jimmoroney7529]

Friedman brings up an interesting concept about national debt that I have privately thought about for years but never heard anyone else bring it up. Everyone talks about national debt vs. GDP but the real comparison should be against assets, not income. Friedman estimates the net worth of the US economy to be $329 trillion - net of all debts. This measurement puts us far ahead of any other potential superpower. Good call George!

[@XinaCCPFreeTibet]

Petro-dollar does involve some very big guns .. but not clear who all those guns are trained at. And what is its relationship to USDs indispensability?

[@brettb9194]

the sound was excellent until the old bat complained - when he moved the mic (and/or they turned up the volume) started getting feedback :(

[@BryanDraughn]

How did I find a guy that smart on youtube?

[@tommyodonovan3883]

Blind Squirrel

[@wilhelmhesse1348]

Wrong on food and its price being a function entirely of the price of fuel. What about adverse and erratic weather patterns? The majority of the world still depends on rain fed agriculture even rich commercial farmers who can afford to set up expensive irrigation systems still depend on rainfall to raise the water table in the case of drilling water from underground and to raise basin levels in rivers, lakes and other water bodies. The drought in Ukraine sometime in 2010 led to high global Wheat prices. The Salmonella scare in 2013 in Europe with carrots pushed the prices of these and other vegetables up. Tomato prices in Africa due a moth called Tuta Absulota raised the prices in countries such as Nigeria by over 200 percent. Whether its poor rainfall, increased or lower temperatures or any other change in weather all these can lead to less water for crops, more disease and pest attacks on crops leading to higher food prices.

[@OrkhanAhmadli]

So valuable speech by G. Friedman. I would also recommend his book to those who have not got the chance to read it yet.

[@chairde]

I read his book "The Next 100 Years" and it is terrific.

[@chairde]

Gonzalo Fernández, Well he bases his analysis on geography and population to name a few things. For example the USA has access to both the Atlantic and Pacific oceans which means trade to the entire planet. The population of Russia is in decline with only 142 million while the USA has 350 million and growing. Remember you need population to man factories and armies. If you read his book which I assume you did, he also predicts the rise of Mexico here in the Americas. In the field of intelligence his company, Strafor, is considered the shadow CIA.

[@chairde]

Gonzalo Fernández, You are talking about today and his book is about future predictions. You really should read his book, "The Next 100 Years". Nothing ever stays the same you know.

[@chairde]

***** , India is rising. It has a well educated English speaking population and a strong industrial base. For example Tata motor company makes a variety of trucks. Infrastructure in the Hindu Kush mountains needs to be improved with repair to roads and bridges. It's population size is stable over generations which is good. Don't be surprised if India builds a modern navy and becomes a dominate naval power in the area. It is already a nuclear power.

[@chairde]

+Álvaro de Bazán, China doesn't have poverty? Russia doesn't have poverty? The US doesn't have poverty? Wether you like it or not India certainly is a rising power. It has a large work force that can produce goods cheaply. Also it is one of the few countries that has a full replacement generation. China is growing older every day just like Japan but India is not because of its large younger generations. Keep an eye on India in the future because it will rise from where it is today. So will Mexico by the way which may surprise many people. Today it is cheaper to make goods in Mexico than in China. Never judge a nation on what it is today. Change is part of the human condition so get use to it.

[@chairde]

Álvaro de Bazán , China also has internal social problems with Urgers and other minorities right now. China is pretty much only open to the world through the South China Sea. If conflicts erupt there then shipping is halted and goods don't go to markets. In any case you are talking about conditions today not in the future. To think that India won't rise is foolish and not logical. There are people like yourself who say that India will never change but that is an emotional response not a logical response. There is no reason why India can become one of the great manufacturing nations of the world. Russia can't because it lacks good demographics. China is on its way down for many reasons and India can certainly fill that void.

[@juanvaldez3515]

Now we can Look back To see if he is correct

[@robertcalamusso4218]

A strong America = A free World.

[@jechreal]

Couldn't agree more...it's distractive empirical and political view. Well it fully reflects what Yankees want to happen, in that matter of fact, he did a good job.

[@tajnawab]

You nailed it...Where ever Yankees gone ...They are kicked out even such places like Vietnam and Afghanistan ...With a strength of ratio of Elephant and ant.

[@ralphchurch7]

This man is the highly educated version of George W. Bush. I never thought i would ever see a sentence that included both (Bush) and (Educated) in the same thought...but here we are!

[@leklektan1358]

The combined economy of Japan , china and Britain is smaller then US ? ? When was he talking

[@baussier134]

Well, the book of the title is from 2009

[@250txc]

This fellow was name dropping his daughter in the military, has he ever explained his time in NAM? He was born in Hungary and lives in tx now? Little interesting...

[@101stores]

Here,we are.. 9 yrs after watching putin dealing with a hostile "texas".. George you are a great scientist.

[@jimjardine4705]

I am an Australian and our economy and std of living here is ok. The supermarket shelves are mostly full with a good variety of supplies. Our fuel is artificially high. We have more oil and gas than we could use>..

[@tony37068]

PLA is an internal security force? Who was behind the Korean War and Vietnam War?how do you measure ? Russia beat Germans because its size, size matters. In WWII, At its peak strength, Japan could not conquer China in 4 years because China is too big, even Chinese could make a single tank or airplane. It was Russians reserve (size) beat German in 1941’s battle of Moscow.

[@meowmeowmeow1243]

Russia should ask itself why every nation in the Warsaw pact ran off to join Nato. It probably has to do with what the Russians did in Eastern Europe. I speak as someone who has relatives that were sent into gulag, whose country was raped and pillaged and torn into territories.

[@vanadkbshiva7029]

From 22.00 to 24.12 excellent review on India. True & highly objective. Expert is real expert. Phenomenal !!

[@thirdeye6730]

Humans need to give up habit of fighting with each other countries. One of the biggest problem in the world now is the climate change.But some people are very busy in making unneeded problems in the World. Younger generation is far better than older generation;less religious,less blind nationalism,less greedy and multicultural.

[@brandoYT]

The US War machine will not stop. This is but one example. The EMPIRE. It is starting to fail, just as all empires in human history have failed. They just seem to fail faster since ~1500, Portugal, Spain, France, Germany, Japan, UK, Soviets, Turkey, .... get the idea? None lasted over 100 years. Seems China next Empire. Did I miss some Empires?

[@robertcalamusso4218]

Dr F is a great American

[@idksia8241]

4:28 to 4:31 🤔 you see that

[@timleuther2857]

Dont be disappointed. Compare the population of the two hemispheres. And the Landmass. Northern Hemisphere is 39% Landmass, southern Hemisphere is 19%. And thats include the Antarctic "continent". Northern Hemisphere is Whole Eurasia, Majority of Africa (in pop and area), whole of North and Middle America, parts of South America and most of Oceania. Southern Hemisphere is the smaller Half of Africa, most of South America, parts of Oceania. And Australia. And a lot of Oacean.

[@zivvinokur5840]

I can't help wondering how wise he is

[@anglofiles87]

i take it that a "distractive" view is one that goes against commonly accepted views held by pundits and touted by members of the general public? he is an analyst and forecaster and his arguments aren't about what anyone would like but about the reality of the world's distribution of wealth and military power.

[@bobbob-sv4mk]

NATO is on old solution looking for a problem.

[@robhansen6745]

Multiculturalism, feminism and marxism that we now are seeing in the west shouldn't come as a surprise at all .. The Kremlin have used this as a destabilizing tool for years infiltrating educational institutions with leftist propaganda by promoting this marxist ideas into the western intelligentsia thinking and in the community with the help of labor unions.. The Kremlin have infected this into western society for generations and now we are seeing the effect of it !! The Russian call this from of attack for Active measures... The point of this is not to make you believe in anything but to create enough doubt , distrust and confusion within the populous of the western nations that the Kremlin is attacking that the people will start to distrust their own government and media, it is in other words the god old game of divide and conquer Kremlin style .. Also now that they fare liberal left has gong totally bonkers and the west's educational institutions are all full of liberal professors (so job done ) the Kremlin is now shifting its focus so it can maximize the effect of their divide and conquer evil game of the Active measures strategies, by supporting right wing element's all over the EU, UK , and the USA and every one from internet bloggers to political parties, Milos Zeman, Viktor Orbán and La Pen in France and other useful dimwits like Pablo Iglesias Turrión from Spain's Podemos political party and Matteo Renzi Prime Minister of italy and others in high offices in all EU nations; All of them and their political party are receiving indirectly and directly financial and funding from the kremlin and have close business deals with Russian state companies... and they are all well known to bang the kremlin drums in the EU JUST LIKE Pro-Kremlin Czech president Milos Zeman.. What those guys don't really understand is this all of this comes from the KGBs disinformation hand book from back in the day of the cold war and the Kremlin back then and today uses this conspiracies to discredit the US, and the west to the rest of the world and their own populous ... Take a look her at the link (Russian: активные мероприятия / Aktivnyye Meropriyatiya) en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Active_measures Active measures is a Soviet term for the actions of political warfare conducted by the Soviet security services ( KGB )and now used by the Russian security services ( FSB) to influence the course of world events, in the Russian Kremlins favor, this includes but not limited to collecting intelligence and producing "politically correct" assessment of it,, and Active measures range "from media manipulations to special actions involving various degrees of violence". They included disinformation, propaganda, counterfeiting official documents, assassinations, and political repression, such as penetration into churches, Active measures included the establishment and support of international front organizations (e.g. the World Peace Council); foreign communist, socialist and opposition parties; wars of national liberation in the Third World; and underground, revolutionary, insurgency, criminal, and terrorist groups subversion: active measures to weaken the West, to drive wedges in the Western community alliances of all sorts, particularly NATO, to sow discord among allies, to weaken the United States in the eyes of the people of Europe, Asia, Africa, Latin America, and thus to prepare ground in case the war really occurs.. And how do we know that this was and still is run by the Russian Kremlin ??? We know this because we know who Vasili Mitrokhin was ..... And who was he you ask ... He was a KGB cold war agent that became a defector to the west that took with him KGB files regarding the Active measures programs see link en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vasili_Mitrokhin Some of the active measures by the USSR against the United States were exposed in the Mitrokhin Archive: Well known Kremlin Active measures conspiracy theories put into the western minds ... Starting rumors that the Jewish "Control" of the Federal Reserve for a new word order and anti-Semitic propaganda has demonized the Jew as a conspiratorial, manipulative outsider, often with powers and designs of world domination helped along by the USA government and the American banks run and owned by the Rothschild jews . Starting rumors that fluoridated drinking water was in fact a plot by the US government to effect population control.] Starting rumors that the moon landings were hoaxes and the money ostensibly used by NASA was in actuality used by the CIA. Starting rumors that US, government at the top level let Pearl Harbor happen so the American industrial complex and Banks got the US public to join in and take part in ww2 . Use of sympathetic elements in the press to libel the strategic defense initiative as an impractical "star wars" scheme. Fabrication of the story that AIDS virus was manufactured by US scientists at Fort Detrick; the story was spread by Russian-born biologist Jakob Segal. Discrediting of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), using historian Philip Agee (codenamed PONT). Attempts to discredit Martin Luther King, Jr. by placing publications portraying him as an "Uncle Tom" who was secretly receiving government subsidies[citation needed] Stirring up racial tensions in the United States by mailing bogus letters from the Ku Klux Klan, placing an explosive package in "the Negro section of New York" (operation PANDORA), and spreading conspiracy theories that Martin Luther King, Jr.'s assassination had been planned by the US governmentOK TAKE A LOOK AT THIS VIDEO AND THEN YOU WILL UNDERSTAND !! Yuri Bezmenov ex KGB : Psychological Warfare Subversion & Control of Western Society (Complete)kzbin.info/www/bejne/a5jRoXanqL14bsk&app=desktop Yuri Bezmenov: Deception Was My Job (Complete)kzbin.info/www/bejne/r2TUnJlpl8admpY

[@theobillings7348]

bob23456 bob ‘’ m.mkm. Ze

[@todd3285]

Well good luck with that people .

[@lloydgrice353]

The order will come out of the chaos

[@jackbarnhill9354]

He is dead on.

[@thegowerboy]

in 2019 watching and realising this man is a thinker par excellence.

[@bobbob-sv4mk]

He looks like W. In a way.

[@SkullKing11841]

Yeah and his parents are from Hungary, he was born there to. I wonder, does W have Hungarian ancestry?

[@matthewhall1597]

I wonder who does his hair?

[@GQ1123ja]

If only he was president instead of W but he does look just like him

[@barahng]

bob23456 bob Nah he looks like Ted Cruz

[@robhansen6745]

THIS IS THE REAL GEOPOLITICAL WORLD ORDER RUSSIA IS WORKING FOR .. What is the Eurasia Union ? what is the Russki Mir (Russian world ) ? what was really the USSR ? It is really all one thing it is about Russian / Moscow DOMINANCE over others !! it is the Russian world view that Moscow the center of the world and Russia the sole power of that world. And this is what Russia is and has always being working for ever since Petter the Great .. Putin's political system (Putinism) and the dream of the Eurasian Union is just another metamorphoses of that goal of the Russian Mir; and Aleksandr Dugins book The Foundations of Geopolitics is the Putins road map to the goal. Lets take a small look at the book by Aleksandr Dugin .. The Foundations of Geopolitics: The Geopolitical Future of Russia is a geopolitical book by Aleksandr Dugin. The book calls for the annexation of Ukraine, which seems a likely goal after the annexation of Crimea and aggressive policy toward the rest of Ukraine. Dugin writes that the UK should be separated from the rest of Europe, like some sort of British exit, or "Exbrit," as I like to call it. As it turns out, Kremlin-controlled media pushed for the Brexit. Members of UK's parliament suspect Russian meddling in the Brexit referendum, although no evidence or investigation has yet come about. Dugin is a well known Russian fascist and nationalist who has developed a close relationship with Russia's Academy of the General Staff Dugins book and doctrine is being used as a textbook in the Academy of the General Staff of the Russian military and the Russian military academy. Dugin credits General Nikolai Klokotov of the Academy of the General Staff as co-author and main inspiration. In Foundations of Geopolitics, Dugin calls for the influence of the United States and Atlanticism to lose its influence in Eurasia and for Russia to rebuild its influence through annexations and alliances. The book declares that "the battle for the world rule of [ethnic] Russians" has not ended and Russia (Russky Mir) remains "the staging area of a new anti-bourgeois, anti-American revolution". The Eurasian Empire will be constructed "on the fundamental principle of the common enemy. The textbook believes in a sophisticated program of subversion, destabilization, and disinformation spearheaded by the Russian special services. The operations should be assisted by a tough, hard-headed utilization of Russia's gas, oil, and natural resources to bully and pressure other countries. USA The book emphasizes that Russia must spread Anti-Americanism everywhere: "the main 'scapegoat' will be precisely the U.S." In the United States: Russia should use its special services within the borders of the United States to fuel instability and separatism, for instance, provoke "Afro-American racists". Russia should "introduce geopolitical disorder into internal American activity, encouraging all kinds of separatism and ethnic, social and racial conflicts, actively supporting all dissident movements - extremist, racist, and sectarian groups, thus destabilizing internal political processes in the U.S. It would also make sense simultaneously to support isolationist tendencies in American politics Europe The book states that "the maximum task [of the future] is the 'Finlandization' of all of Europe. Germany Germany should be offered the de facto political dominance over most Protestant and Catholic states located within Central and Eastern Europe. Kaliningrad oblast could be given back to Germany. The book uses the term "Moscow-Berlin axis" France France should be encouraged to form a "Franco-German bloc" with Germany. Both countries have a "firm anti-Atlanticist tradition". The United Kingdom The United Kingdom should be cut off from Europe. (Brexit anyone ) Finland Finland should be absorbed into Russia. Southern Finland will be combined with the Republic of Karelia and northern Finland will be "donated to Murmansk Oblast". Estonia Estonia should be given to Germany's sphere of influence. Latvia and Lithuania Latvia and Lithuania should be given a "special status" in the Eurasian-Russian sphere. Poland Poland should be granted a "special status" in the Eurasian sphere. Romania, Macedonia, "Serbian Bosnia" and Greece Romania, Macedonia, "Serbian Bosnia" and Greece - "Orthodox collectivist East" - will unite with "Moscow the Third Rome" and reject the "rational-individualistic West". Ukraine Ukraine should be annexed by Russia because Eurasia and, without resolving the Ukrainian problem, it is in general senseless to speak about continental politics". Ukraine should not be allowed to remain independent, unless it is cordon sanitaire, which would be inadmissible. In the Middle East and Central Asia: Russia and Islam The book stresses the "continental Russian-Islamic alliance" which lies "at the foundation of anti-Atlanticist strategy". The alliance is based on the "traditional character of Russian and Islamic civilization". Iran Iran is a key ally. The book uses the term "Moscow-Tehran axis". Armenia Armenia has a special role: It will serve as a "strategic base," and it is necessary to create "the [subsidiary] axis Moscow-Erevan-Teheran". Armenians "are an Aryan people ... [like] the Iranians and the Kurds". Azerbaijan Azerbaijan could be "split up" or given to Iran. Georgia Georgia should be dismembered. Abkhazia and "United Ossetia" (which includes Georgia's South Ossetia) will be incorporated into Russia. Georgia's independent policies are unacceptable. Turkey. Russia needs to create "geopolitical shocks" within Turkey. These can be achieved by employing Kurds, Armenians and other minorities. The book regards the Caucasus as a Russian territory, including "the eastern and northern shores of the Caspian (the territories of Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan)" and Central Asia (mentioning Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan). www.cracked.com/blog/this-handbook-could-help-us-understand-russias-motives/

[@winvinwik]

he has that manner of speaking - similar to Brzezinski's

[@dragonfly1929]

BYAS HE IS !!

[@bobbob-sv4mk]

Thomas Barnett Francis Fukuyama Robert Kaplan George Friedman These 4 in no particular order in a phrase "get it"!

[@brandoYT]

Iceland doing best of all ?? I certainly won't call it "hammered". 2009 a decade out of date. seems funny now.

[@winstonbachan9661]

THE SOLUTION IS Although We Hails From Different Land We Share One Earth One Sky And One Sun Remember Friends This World Is One For All Of Humanity Regardless of Race Religion Or Creeds ☮️ Vasudavia Kutumbakam Means The Earth Is One Family 🙏

[@ANGELSVEN]

This might sound strange but I'm seeing orbs all around him from about 18 minutes on...

[@ransom182]

Harpist Los Angeles yeah it sounds insane. There’s no such thing as orbs. Wake up. Join the real world please.

[@idksia8241]

Look at 4:28 4:31

[@ANGELSVEN]

At about 18:35 or so when he says "The countries that have a high liability and low net worth...,"look at the top left of the screen...there is an orb...or whatever it is.

[@ANGELSVEN]

Also, at about 23:40, there is another orb that starts around his chin and travels slightly upward to the left. I think it's when he says "...western companies will move into..."

[@ANGELSVEN]

@@idksia8241 Yes, Idk, your are right! When he says "...I think it will be a cool war..." there is a clear orb! Good catch!

[@dado8287]

we need 7 times more energy to leave all peoples good like in usa , for this we need new type of atomic energy relativism, this energy permit to many country be superpower and usa will disapear but now problem is that usa like state want to survive and they close thousands of proiect with many power energy because onli one impulse can stop all electronic per continent and block economy also we need new type of electronic

[@susanlegeza7562]

Very outdated?

[@johnnyreggae969]

The uk will always back us

[@ronwalker4849]

YOUR CLAIM THAT TODAY´S INFLATION IS ONLY 2%. YOU HAVE NOT BEEN DOING SHOPPING OR DRIVING I GUESS?

[@youfeerich540]

Ron, this Friedman has been classified as the greatest geopolitical analyst, 9 years ago. We need to respect his INCORRECT visions of the next 100 years.

[@anglofiles87]

His arguments obviously have merit, especially in relation to china (ports and factories closing) which has been and still is undergoing a debt crisis brought on by inability to move away from export economy, weakening us/eu demand, which lead to companies overleveraging themselves for some time....

[@twenlil]

Ignorant moron

[@mohitchaturvedi1212]

US- Russia -India - Afghanistan-EU combine along with quad will be on same side in next century

[@mohitchaturvedi1212]

Or quarter of century

[@jimmychoo1661]

Without India the world will not move forward.

[@youfeerich540]

Oh yes the whole world need the mighty India with its collapsing bridges, old jallopy buses, train carriages stuffed with passengers on the roof, polluted rivers and air, urine filled roads, and open air toilets.

[@platovid4]

he's full of it! and he's out of it.

[@Burkutace27]

10:24 As usual

[@jorgearce68]

george friedman on mexico

[@matthewhall1597]

I want to hear the response of Kevin Rudd, the Australian apologist for the Chinese Communist Party, to this.

[@keithmoriyama5421]

I was wondering why Friedman was so far off in his observations, then noticed the date is 2013. Totally off in just 5 years? How the hell can he predict the next 100?

[@jreganalyst9260]

Keith Moriyama how is he wrong?

[@jimmychoo1661]

He isn’t feeling good, perhaps?

[@trollmcclure2659]

​@@jreganalyst9260 The video is about his book predicting the next 100 years, he said that Russia and China would become irrelevant in the 2010s before Russia collapsing and China fragmenting in the early 2020s, that WW3 would be between USA, Poland, a restabilized China, India, reunified Korea against Turkey and japan, after the war USA will ally with Turkey and japan against Poland, thus the USA will continue to completely dominate the world easily for another century

[@jreganalyst9260]

@@trollmcclure2659 huh. Does seem a bit far off. Japan not being a US ally? That seems unlikely

[@SamanthaJaneJames]

I am watching this for the first time even though it's been posted for a while. I found it interesting how the speaker, with all his knowledge, talks about how all the liquidity flows to the USA when the world is financially melting down. I am not someone who has his level of knowledge and information to know this will happen, in 2019, in a big way. I predicted this last year when I said to my husband one night while watching TV...."do you hear that sucking noise? (he looks around alarmed because something might be wrong with an appliance in the home etc)"that's the sound of all the world's liquidity flowing into the United States as the rest of the world burns". I just started my channel on cryptos but got involved because I am a psychic medium and there is a tsunami of debt that is going to drown the entire world and cause so much death and chaos that nobody will be safe. Either you suffer directly or you live somewhere that you are not in danger but go without because the supply lines will break down. I want to help people with information I get from the Other Side about this and help people navigate things when it all starts to happen.

[@billkramer2994]

Friedman is so ahead of the rest of the supposed geopolitical gurus it's laughable! Every country head should consult with him on their Foreign Policy!

[@2Oldcoots]

Memo to Australia: The USA loves you and understands your soldiers are outstanding. My suggestion is that you build a magnificent NAVY to complemendt your soldiers on land, and ensure your own defense this way even if you must raise taxes to do so.

[@trevorlyttletonmbe6081]

As George Friedman wrongly forecast there would be no Russian against Ukraine five years after his lecture what credence can we place in his 100 year forecast?

[@pekau]

Not quite on the same page. I think Aussies realized long ago that they can never have the sufficient manpower and economy to address its security, especially with its massive landmass. I agree the Australians sided with Brits/US to guarantee the control of the seas, but I think they are trying to keep themselves low-profile and organize on small-scale armies to evade other nationals' radar, and at the same time be in good grace with all the major powers to avoid being swallowed into unwanted conflicts. The infamous Aussie special forces are living testimony to this. Enough to earn favors, but not enough to attract unwanted attention from other nations. They are trying to be as neutral as possible and have number of cards available as options by diversifying economic and political ties with all the important players like Singapore, to certain degree. Sometimes, the best offensive is to have diplomatic and political maneuver rather than raising more armies. I think it's great. It's cheaper, makes other nations less nervous, and creates a safe haven status that can attract investments and braindrains.

[@clapppo]

What you are referring to is described as 'hedging' in international relations parlance (the term is, of course, borrowed from economics)-pretty much it's how all Asia Pacific states are dealing with China's rise. Neither balancing nor bandwagoning but somewhere in between. China = economic growth; US = security assurances. With the exception of the DPRK, pretty much every Asia Pacific states is trying to have the best of both worlds.

[@pekau]

clapppo It's harder for other Asiatic nations, especially some. All Southeastern Asia (particularly Vietnamese) already witnessed how China' pivoting to Thailand, and they are sorta in the crossfire between the vents being made between Philippines and China. As history between Vietnamese and Chinese have already been tense from time to time and with geopolitical relationship between them, not so easy to stay partial all the time. That's an understatement if we go to countries like Japan, which China already labelled as the greatest geopolitical rival next to USA.

[@clapppo]

pekau It's much harder, than it is for Australia, for Japan to hedge between the US and China, that's for sure. But as far as I can tell, most countries are doing a pretty good job of it. Vietnam, Singapore, and the Philippines are all embracing the US 'pivot' with open arms. Malaysia and Indonesia less so but they're still hedging. Even Burma cooperates with the US these days to hedge against China's rise. They're all trying to have their cake and eat it too (i.e. cooperate with China economically but not politically/strategically). Whether this is sustainable in the long run is the ultimate question.

[@ClarksonsinUSA]

Friends are good to have,and family ties are important 2...

[@wildgentlesky]

Plus, Australia didn't align with Britain, it was under British control, populated by Brits- it was effectively a distant part of Britain. Not so with the US and Australia (although they were themselves in the same boat going back further). Maybe Hawaii now, is more like Australia 100 years ago in their relation to the superpower of the day.

[@bspasso]

a wish list of an American apologetic folk

[@fergal746]

Viable ideology alternatives do not exist to the market economy.

[@usernwn7qe]

14 Years on, nearly everything he claimed didn´t come true. One could toss a coin and get more accurate predictions.

[@felipegindri]

Again, he forgot that the world has two hemispheres.

[@jreganalyst9260]

Felipe Guedin Gindri does it tho? Only one of them seems to have any significance

[@captiveexile2670]

I'm a "Bible Geek" and I just wish to point out to you aesthetes the explanation for a powerful (!) prophecy, Amos 8:9, which states that GOD WILL DARKEN THE EARTH ON A CLEAR DAY. As a young man, I'd tell mt father (an ordained pastor) that his Bible had some "bull" in it. But that was sixty years ago, and today I know something about ASTROPHYSICS. We are (unwittingly) living in a "shooting gallery" here in the Milky Way, and it's not only crap like NEO & asteroids which can come out of nowhere and slam earth in the face, but actually things called GAMMA RAY BURSTS can also strike the planet (extremely RARE but possible events; scientists now believe the Ordovician/ Silurian extinction was caused by the direct strike of a GRB on our planet, i.e., before complex life on land evolved). Here's the point: a powerful GRM (the largest explosion in out space, a.k.a. the "birth cry of a new black hole" contains energy equivalent to the total output of our own sun during her ENTIRE TEN BILLION LIFETIME --- IN O N E S H O T ! (Damn!) Now if two heavy neutron stars (hyper-magnetic "blazars"), each on the cusp of being a black hole, but not quite heavy enough, UNITE , ahh, you get a brand new BLACK HOLE formed in the space-time continuum + a two powerful beams of gamma rays (a gamma ray is 10 X more powerful than an "X-ray") shot out each pole of the new black hole as it is formed by co-rotating stars ; TWO GRB's are shot out into space in opposite directions --- and God help any solar system that happens to get in the way! If it's too close (1-2000 light years, it turns into a "burnt cinder"). If earth's outer layer of atmosphere were to be struck, the IONIZED oxygen and nitrogen molecules would start to combine chemically, forming a red-brown SMOG of NITROGEN DIOXIDE which would then start DARKENING THE EARTH --- just as Amos 8:9 prophesied! What's more, this same thing is found EVERYWHERE in other prophecies (they "dovetail"), E.g., Isaiah 24:18 says the "FLOODGATES of HEAVEN" are OPENED (that sure sounds like a new black hole, folks), or Amos 5:18-20, "the Day of the Lord is NOT LIGHT" -- there's NO LIGHT IN IT AT ALL! or how about Isaiah 51:6, "the heavens to be CHANGED, 'LIKE SMOKE' and people will die LIKE FLIES". Now imagine how people would react if they came out of their houses and noticed a big FLASH in the SKY, visible from EAST to WEST, followed (within hours) of a mean looking DARK MAROON DIMMING of the heavens above. (There would be at first a short period when the entire sky would be a very brilliant "light green", and that from the IONIZATION of the thin shell of air enclosing our planet). People would freak out and say "Oh MY GOD... the REAL DAY OF GOD IS ARRIVING -- and none of us is ready for it! Conclusion: They would all change their speech to a PURE SPEECH and the entire planet would be trying to "get righteous" overnight [ read Zephaniah 3:8-9* verse and see if I am not right on this ]. But of course, the GRB would F R Y A L L E A R T H S A T E L L I T E S as well, and you can imagine the "great tribulation" , the PANDEMONIUM on earth as all cell phone screens suddenly went blank. What does the Bible say? N A T I O N S will be raging, R O A R I N G like mighty waters ... (Isaiah 17:10-13). And there is more --- much more: Because that dark red nitrogen dioxide gas is !.6 times HEAVIER THAN AIR, it will sink down to the OZONE LAYER (below 60,000 feet altitude) and start depleting our SOLE PROTECTION from that nearby star, our sun. The OZONE LAYER screens out % 98 of those deadly rays (UV "A", "B", & "C"). "A" is harmless UV, but "B" & "C" are deadly, they cause eye cataracts and "C" is the shortest wave length, BREAKS DNA and damages all green plants, including TREES, FOOD CROPS (corn, wheat rice) and it will even penetrates forty feet down into ocean waters, killing GREEN PLANKTON there --- the "base " of the oceanic food chain. Do YOU GET IT NOW REVEREND ? ? ? A WORLDWIDE FAMINE IS PROPHESIED (read Habakkuk 3:17, Isaiah 17:4, Jeremiah 8:11-13), one "like there never was before, and never will be again", read the warning of Jesus' prophecy, Mt. 24:21-30, where he even describes the GRB strike as a great "lightning-like flash in the skies", VISIBLE TO EVERYONE FROM EAST TO WEST. If you don't think a worldwide famine would bring A L L N A T I O N A L E C O N O M I E S crashing down like a house of cards, well T H I N K A G A I N , REVEREND! Jeremiah said God will R O A R "LIKE A LION" FROM ON HIGH (Jer. 25:30-33) . . . and then there'll be DEAD BODIES from one end of the planet to the other (no one will go out to pick them up either, Isaiah 26:22). I am not wishing for such a disaster, but I am just quoting this very important NON-POLITICAL INFORMATION in the hope that you will read it take to heart as NOT JUST "F A L S E F A C T S" O.K., Reverend? (Sure hope I'm not become your ENEMY, simply because I'm trying to show you the TRUTH: those blood hungry idiots with the red and the LOUD, RESONATING MUFFLERS do NOT MAKE PEACE [ Psalm 35:7-10, 20* ] butr they've all "JUMPED THE GUN" on the REAL "Day of the L O R D ". SHALOM! (last verses of Isaiah 57, "there is no peace for the WICKED" + Psalms 11 & 82) I am GOD'S CO U N S E L in this matter (Jer.23:22) and so feel free to shoot me --- take your BEST SHOT, you snakes (Zech 3:1-3), you children of S A T A N (in the end, when I STAND IN HEAVEN, you snakes will (literally) be: "ASHES UNDER MY FOOT SOLES" [Malachi 4:3]. Your "WALL of LIES" is starting to collapse, and that's because the PEN IS MIGHTIER than the "GLITTERING SWORD"!

[@jazldazl9193]

God is dead

[@ziggy3259]

he resembles sounds n thinks like dubya bush

[@brettb9194]

if so, much the smarter brother

[@larryleker6366]

Friedman is educated and wise. Bush was a semi literate fool.

[@robertcalamusso4218]

🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 🦇🦇🦇🦇

[@justinmcginty6815]

Another obvious strategy for Australia would be to nurture a self sufficient economy.

[@wilhelmhesse1348]

The way he pauses.... inbetween sentences ...then he smiles at the end of the sentence! This is so much like George W. Bush whom he reminds me of except for his detailed analysis which W is incapable of making.

[@blackwp1]

What an appendage

[@ricardo53100]

The Texas Ukraine analogy does not follow. Ukraine is an independent country while Texas is not. I understand his geographical point but his analogy is not apt.

[@wildgentlesky]

I agree, Rick. In fact, his analogy is absurd, and undermines everything else. It sounds rather more like a justification from RT or Putin than anything objective. Plus Russia was part of Europe- and only came into conflict because of the Communist revolution- Russia is far from communist now. A simple change of leader could remove the need for all the paranoia.

[@bracero27]

Yeah BUT they want to join NATO therefore making them way stronger

[@mehranh1646]

When you are paid by CIA to theorize geopolitics you make sure all your future predictions favours your boss.

[@tony37068]

Some great insights. I don’t agree most of though. Until early 1900’s, no one believe British empire will fall, but it did quickly...no one can predict future, no one, not you, sorry. Russia will remain to be a great power, Japan will maybe, China is a uncertain, India is a no no because the distance is too much to catch up , it just is one likely possibility the current stats will remain...

[@sureshveeramachaneni91]

You are wrong in your observations. India is a rejuvenated country where the Indian crictket eam beat Australia in their own soil in test series. India is a much transformed country in recent years than ever before. It has graduated in ease of doing business many times over. I go against the Pundits in this case that "India is the best country to invest."

[@amgkompressor7825]

kkkkkk

[@amgkompressor7825]

mmmmmmmmmm

[@jamesniemojewski5286]

Meat Consumsion !!

[@1minotm1]

bleahhh

[@Denailer]

I have been watching Friedman videos and everything he says has been spot on, except when he talks about global warming which is a con and he’s totally wrong. He fails on that point .

[@neveschivite5014]

Before i watch this video I had something in my mind wish was America destroying Europe

[@250txc]

Not that all this guy is saying is not true but he is a dreamer for sure... It is 2019, a decade after these words were uttered... He did mention a few things that happened in the ~80s that were laughable at the time, nothing says that what he is saying now is not nothing more than a clown now...

[@bobbob-sv4mk]

IMO there needs to be a coalition of English speaking countries. It's these countries time and time again that have raised the standard of living for there population.

[@bulbasaur1232]

bob23456 bob you're such an idiot

[@matthewwilliam1180]

The only thing the English have consistently done is spread their shitty electoral system around the world.

[@boringreviews9498]

So according to him people of India never going to understand the problems it have... well listen bozo we recognise the problems n taking steps to remove them n create an ideal business environment

[@CAngel57ful]

arjun singh I think he's right India cannot see it's problems; how it's religion impedes it's progress and the people obviously do not see how tyrannical their government is or how corrupt the country on a whole is. A country's government is a reflection of it's people. Just my opinion.

[@boringreviews9498]

CAngel57ful​ I am talking about current scenario we have a new gov't which means business n doing all the reforms required. Things are changing my friend

[@bobmcgee1202]

+arjun singh he analyzes risk. don't take it so personally. india well on its way to being the largest economy on the planet, indians in america are the richest race of people living in america. indians are very smart and thrive in a western style capitalist economy with limited government control. it doesn't matter who the president in america is. was obama any different from bush? bush from clinton? no. india will be fine, pakistan worries me.

[@boringreviews9498]

There fate will be same as NORTH KOREA

[@bobmcgee1202]

nuclear weapons really have changed the game. muslims can be suicidal and the entire reason for nuclear deterrence is in the assumption that the other side doesn't want to die... same thing with russia, the west does not want russia to fail or collapse. this would be bad for the entire world.

[@TheGreatTimSheridan]

i have proposed a solution to carbon consumption. global 2 child per family incntives for repatreation to latitude and contenent of origin. the net was invented by arpa.. the "internet" was my alternate name for the www when i launched it in 1988.

[@miracleshappen1711]

I like that idea if only all countries would adhere to that.

[@TheGreatTimSheridan]

it's vitally important that you tell everyone you know and ask them to do the same. because only one person in 100 can understand. People are useless and lazy and stupid until the looting and the rioting begins, then it's too late. We have to start now to save the Occidental people of the Northern hemisphere from the fast breathing criminal equatorial culture that has already taken a stranglehold on the United States. we are under water. i had a serious vision dream.

[@treplan01]

Mrs Friedman should be famiiar with danish sciences about climate change and stop taking such stupidy .

[@TheDynamicmarket]

natural resources of russia alone are huge as net worth. china too has enormous net worth maybe not in natural resources but human capital. all the stuff he is saying is not happening today. india is marching on with great speed.

[@mohemmadghayyada9108]

🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷

[@kleidendiamond4710]

This dude looks like bush...but smart version...lol

[@methods3110]

Very pretentious to claim you know the future when there are so many variables of great complexity. He makes huge simplistic generalizations in an ‘authoritative’ manner that lacks substance.

[@damonnoble8401]

This guy is a joke

[@tinolino58]

Its amazing that GF as an expert in intelligence avoids to know about ClimateGate and therefore accepts that climate change is fake! Its embarrassing to see him talking like a smart alec while he doesnt understand that even the original scientist who invented the CO2 model says: its BS and therefore we abandoned it. Ouhps George, stay with geopolitics!

[@spaceforcecommander7980]

Enter Trump and 700 billion a year for at least two years for U.S Military to address this ...

[@ollyporter9244]

Great book but he's too nervous to listen to. Shame.

[@youfeerich540]

Now in 2022, a mere 9 years from the date of release of his book, his predictions are falling apart. India’s economy have been rising on about 7 percent for the last few years, and multinational companies are investing in India. Russia, with China’s Belt and Road programs, have virtually solved its transportation problems. Also, Russia’s economy have been improving leaps and bounds for the last few years. Dedollarising have started with a few countries. European economies are collapsing. His foresights for 100 years!!!! He must have been blinded by his cataracts.

[@ftk2589]

Now is more probable that USA fall apart

[@youfeerich540]

To all those who have purchased G. Friedman book……..what’s your opinion (now in 2022 year) on his 100 years predictions? LOL, is this Friedman hiding in his closet now????