The Russian war narrative after mobilization

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Anders Puck Nielsen

Anders Puck Nielsen

Күн бұрын

I look at how Putin's explanation about the war has changed after mobilization. Surprisingly, it hasn't changed as much as one might expect. It is still a balancing act between pleasing the ultranationalists and comforting the population.
0:00 A new Russian war narrative
1:15 Narrative before September
2:39 Ukrainian success mad old narrative untenable
3:24 Russia now fully committed
4:01 Annexation, mobilization, and nuclear threats
4:50 Sergey Surovikin
5:51 Meaning of drone strikes
8:54 Framing Ukrainians as terrorists
10:38 Criticism of mobilization is also propaganda
11:55 Mobilization is over
12:14 Crisis in Western Europe
12:46 Optimistic message to everyone
14:05 Still an impossible balancing act

Пікірлер: 1 100
@ipadista
@ipadista Жыл бұрын
Both you and Perun put great focus on deeper analysis without getting lost in military jargon, keep up the good work!
@Richard-iq8xb
@Richard-iq8xb Жыл бұрын
I agree, and recommend people here to subscribe to Perun as well. They both show the mainstream media what journalism should be like.
@poujor
@poujor Жыл бұрын
Totally agree they are the primary ones I use for proper information/status
@andersjjensen
@andersjjensen Жыл бұрын
Yeah, Perun is the bomb. At least for people who have the attention span for an hour of jam packed information dumping :P
@blogobre
@blogobre Жыл бұрын
My two go to's for this also :)
@attilamarics4808
@attilamarics4808 Жыл бұрын
@@andersjjensen Yeah he is if you want to watch nonsense. I still remember he acting like Russia will run out of missiles.
@wmtarr886
@wmtarr886 Жыл бұрын
"you can't pretend you are winning a war forever". so true
@Mortablunt
@Mortablunt Жыл бұрын
Zaluzhny just told the Economist he's thought about surrendering.
@dacjames
@dacjames Жыл бұрын
The point about Russian propaganda is genius. I wouldn't have thought about it that way but it makes so much sense when you explain it. Great videos as always.
@justice2375
@justice2375 Жыл бұрын
LITTLE-KNOWN FACTS ABOUT PUTIN. In 2013, before a coup d'etat took place in Ukraine, he asked the then President of Ukraine, Yanukovych, not to use force. In 2014, when the Ukrainian army was encircled in the Donbas, Putin called on the separatists to release the AFU soldiers from the "boiler" and exchange prisoners. In 2014, realizing that the conflict could escalate into a fratricidal war, Putin proposed a plan to resolve the crisis in Ukraine "Minsk 1". The peace initiatives assumed the cessation of offensives by all armed formations in the Donbas, the withdrawal of all troops to a safe distance from populated areas, international control over the observance of the ceasefire, the refusal of Ukraine to use military aviation against civilians, the exchange of prisoners under the "all for all" scheme, as well as the opening of humanitarian corridors. In 2015, Putin actively supported German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, who proposed a special procedure for the entry into force of the law on the special status of Donbass provided for by the Minsk agreements. In 2015, in order to resolve the crisis in Ukraine as soon as possible, he proposed to sign an additional agreement "Minsk 2", where the obligations of the parties to the conflict were spelled out in more detail. In 2017, Putin proposed to place a UN mission on the line of contact in the Donbas to ensure the safety of employees of the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission. Later, Putin did not rule out that such a mission could be located throughout the conflict, but with the consent of the proclaimed republics of Donbass. In 2021, Putin warns NATO countries against crossing "red lines" and invited them to dialogue, but his proposal was rejected. In 2022, after the outbreak of the war, Putin forbade the military to shoot at civilian objects and, if possible, at industrial infrastructure, which greatly hindered the army's advance. But after numerous terrorist acts of the Ukrainian regime, he allowed the bombing of the energy infrastructure. By the way, the Russian army is the only one in the last 100 years that complies with the Geneva Convention on the Treatment of Prisoners of War. For 22 years of his manifestation, Putin has not made a single geopolitical mistake, and the Russian economy, as noted by leading world analysts, has achieved outstanding results, even despite unprecedented sanctions. Putin did not start this war against his people in 2014 - but he will end it! Will you still believe fake news? P.S. In the West, everyone expects Vietnam, Iraq, Libya from Putin... That's not going to happen. He's a Mission!
@TheCitroenman1
@TheCitroenman1 Жыл бұрын
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@teresamccartney1309
@teresamccartney1309 Жыл бұрын
Why is it genius? Look at the propaganda religions have been using for thousands of years. They are just following the examples set.
@jacqdanieles
@jacqdanieles Жыл бұрын
Russians are the kings of copium, lying, deflection, & whataboutism. Those are the 4 pillars of justification of anything. That's how 1930s Germany justified invasions, war crimes, & genocide.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal Жыл бұрын
The problem is, propaganda doesnt work when someone is shooting at you.🥴
@wollaminfaetter
@wollaminfaetter Жыл бұрын
"War is the ultimate reality-check" ❤
@cobalius
@cobalius Жыл бұрын
Oh now i understand! Partial mobilization means full mobilization but with partial equipment, neat
@erikringdal844
@erikringdal844 Жыл бұрын
Assuming 65.000 dead russians , and 100.000 injured severely plus perhaps 700.000 regugees in the reproductive, productive age , This is a demographic disaster for Russia , as birthrate, already low, at 1.2 million, is too low. One years production of people is soon lost! Thank you for What you do, Anders
@Szminsky
@Szminsky Жыл бұрын
There are reports (and documentation) of thousands upon thousands of Ukrainian children being abducted into Russia. I believe it applies quite well with your hypothesis.
@viggob4816
@viggob4816 Жыл бұрын
I agree, with you, that these numbers must have a severe impact in Russia and especially the refugees. This is why Putin needs to say that mobilization have already ended. I remember the time before the collapse of East Germany, when a lot of people was able to flee the country via the new route through Czechoslovakia.
@stevepirie8130
@stevepirie8130 Жыл бұрын
They have stolen millions of Ukrainians to add to the ones willingly becoming Russians like they did during Holodomor to help that ailing birth rate but doesn’t long term solve anything. Next year was to be the first negative in population for many decades. Rather than make it a country they want to live in and do well they’ve attacked their neighbour. Promised pension and wage increases never happened. Instead their billionaires have super yachts, palaces and safe havens in Europe.
@gorillaguerillaDK
@gorillaguerillaDK Жыл бұрын
Once again, fantastic video Anders! I’m really grateful that you’re willing to spend time sharing your insight and perspective! I'm especially glad that you took time to speak about Surovikin, and I think we can expect more terror towards civilians with him in charge! This is a guy who if I recall correctly killed three Russian civilian protestors by running his tank over them - and he’s in many ways the old school type who would prefer using old WW2 doctrines like carpet bombing cities! Tusind tak Anders, er virkelig taknemmelig for at du gider at tage dig tid til at dele din indsigt og dit perspektiv, og er fan'me glad for at vi har mennesker som dig ansat i vores Forsvar!
@stefviljoen8928
@stefviljoen8928 Жыл бұрын
Agreed. Love his presentations. He would make a GREAT lecturer.
@gorillaguerillaDK
@gorillaguerillaDK Жыл бұрын
@@stefviljoen8928 Heck yeah, I don't know if he do any lecturing now, but I know he has been very involved in education within the Royal Danish Navy and I know he's currently a Royal Danish Navy Commander, and work as a Military Analyst and a Researcher at the Royal Danish Defence College, Institute for Military Operations, Center for Maritime Operations, and that he's a specialist on Ukraine and Russia. And that he's a common guest in especially Danish News Media whenever they need someone with profound insights into matters relating to the two countries! (This is ALL available as OSINT, so I'm not doxxing anything here). I can't help get the impression that he's a "nerd", and I mean that in the most positive way possible - and I get that impression from how he spend time doing this as well, and how his enthusiasm for sharing his insight shines through even when it's tough topics - in my experience this is also what makes people great as teachers, this joy and enthusiasm for explaining things.
@stirlitz974
@stirlitz974 Жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/pJC3kKp_eMyYZ7c
@gorillaguerillaDK
@gorillaguerillaDK Жыл бұрын
@@stirlitz974 Guess who started that war too.... Dyadya Putin and his Oligarch Bratva in Kremlin!
@stirlitz974
@stirlitz974 Жыл бұрын
@@gorillaguerillaDK If Kiev complied with the Minsk agreements, then there was no war
@davethebrahman9870
@davethebrahman9870 Жыл бұрын
Never underestimate Russian spite. There is an old saying: ‘The Russian will cut off his leg if it means he can cut off your finger’.
@meatrealwishes
@meatrealwishes Жыл бұрын
They lost before many times.
@KasumiRINA
@KasumiRINA Жыл бұрын
There's also a saying that russian final answer to any problem is "we will bomb Voronezh". They are already bombing their own Belgorod thanks to misfires and crashed planes. The russians will absolutely sacrifice their cities and their male population and still lose. Like they always do. Every war russia was in, they either lost badly like in Japan, Afghanistan or Chechnya, or had USA bail them out.
@zloyboy8
@zloyboy8 Жыл бұрын
@@meatrealwishes and have a great track record of winning in winters tho.
@meatrealwishes
@meatrealwishes Жыл бұрын
@@zloyboy8 Not exactly. They lost to Japan, Finland, Germany,etc before. Last winter, they failed in kyiv. Situation will not change. Main problem happens to be all year round avoidance to train the Russian army to respond to modern day warfare Ukraine learned from the west/NATO. Bad news is that they are now locally innovating and perfecting it.
@geopolitix7770
@geopolitix7770 Жыл бұрын
I hadn't heard that saying before but it seems believable from what we're seeing with these city bombings vs leaving the Ukrainian army unmolested
@stacey_1111rh
@stacey_1111rh Жыл бұрын
Your doing good work Anders! Thank you!
@ditch3827
@ditch3827 Жыл бұрын
Ditto
@mCblue79
@mCblue79 Жыл бұрын
@@ditch3827 do the kids still say 'ditto' these days LoL?
@SCDJMU
@SCDJMU Жыл бұрын
you're
@fanfeck2844
@fanfeck2844 Жыл бұрын
@@mCblue79 what are the kids using?
@andrewboddy2791
@andrewboddy2791 Жыл бұрын
@@fanfeck2844 +1
@toxenzz
@toxenzz Жыл бұрын
Amazing analysis as always! I thoroughly enjoyed your appearance on Jake’s podcast!
@LDam-pf6lx
@LDam-pf6lx Жыл бұрын
Which podcast is that?
@belledetector
@belledetector Жыл бұрын
@@LDam-pf6lx kzbin.info/www/bejne/qpeXn5WGj5t1npo
@toxenzz
@toxenzz Жыл бұрын
@@LDam-pf6lx Jake Broe
@carlosrod1063
@carlosrod1063 Жыл бұрын
"War is the ultimate reality check" reminded me of Baghdad Bob. Good video and analysis.
@fars8229
@fars8229 Жыл бұрын
Yep, nothing has changed. When I was in Russia in 2000, the narrative about the Second Chechen War on television was like: It's a low-tide conflict in a country far far away, so there is something fishy in the state of Denmark, but it's well under control, so don't worry, folks. Putin started to crack down on free media in Russia the year after, but they had already limited the access of journalists to the war zone. Because one reason why Russia lost the First one was that journalists, including Russians, had free access, held interviews with the rebel leader Djokhar Dudayev etc.
@kirstentrolle-hansen5389
@kirstentrolle-hansen5389 Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@ZergRadio
@ZergRadio Жыл бұрын
I really enjoyed your collaboration with YT'er Jake Broe on the video titled "Anders Puck Nielsen: How Bad is the Situation for Russia? | Jake Broe Podcast (E008)" It was really insightful and entertaining. Keep up the good work :) 💯😻
@vipernl84
@vipernl84 Жыл бұрын
7:31 ISR -> Intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance. Had to google that
@Pavel.22.395
@Pavel.22.395 Жыл бұрын
I watch the other analysts but your description is the best. You see a big picture and make the right conclusions. I am a russian native speaker and watch russian news as well as ukrainian and you make analysis precisely.
@godfreypatrick9792
@godfreypatrick9792 Жыл бұрын
The best analysis out there. Thank you for your effort. I find it hard to understand how a thinking Russian can see his country invade another, then watch the invaded country do everything it can to protect itself, and then to hear his media and leaders refer to the invaded country as terrorists. Boggles the mind.
@abbofun9022
@abbofun9022 Жыл бұрын
Thinking Russians do not buy it all, half-million males fleeing country to avoid draft shows that.
@nian60
@nian60 Жыл бұрын
Probably because most orcs don't think for themselves. They believe the ridiculous propaganda they are being fed every day.
@petervandyk7173
@petervandyk7173 Жыл бұрын
Well, one could claim that's exactly what happened in "The west" after Operation Iraqi Freedom...
@abbofun9022
@abbofun9022 Жыл бұрын
@@petervandyk7173 is this your way of saying we should let Putin do his thing because the west made mistakes as well? If not, what are you implying then?
@petervandyk7173
@petervandyk7173 Жыл бұрын
@Abbo Fun. No, it's my way of saying propaganda works on both sides.
@gameindustryinsider6450
@gameindustryinsider6450 Жыл бұрын
Hi Anders, great video. How about the hundred of thousands of men fleeing mobilisation in Russia - how is this handled in the Russian media? I mean the population must have noticed so the state would need a narrative.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal Жыл бұрын
I wonder about this as well!
@youtubewatcher2
@youtubewatcher2 Жыл бұрын
The "cockroaches" abuse used by Vlad himself in March won't work. The ghouls on Channel One Russia describe them simply as traitors (too busy dealing with incompetence of conscription to focus on them).
@eddyvanderleer6378
@eddyvanderleer6378 Жыл бұрын
This came up on one of those shows and the reply was: they can leave, we don't need them anyway. Also that these men will beg to be let back in later.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal Жыл бұрын
@@eddyvanderleer6378 The whole issue is tearing russia apart--or at least starting to---and I think that's a great thing for Ukraine (and the world in general lol).
@gorillaguerillaDK
@gorillaguerillaDK Жыл бұрын
@@dpelpal It's harming Russia in SO many ways. Think about this, who are most likely to flee the country right now? What we see is that a majority of them are young men with medium to longer educations, people who, if they do apply for asylum as Conscientious Objectors, and its granted them, has a higher chance of finding work in a long range of countries who are currently screaming for highly educated employees for their workforce. It's literally a brain drain of a generation happening! Now it's just, who will grant them asylum and take advantage of this opportunity.
@lockejohn18
@lockejohn18 Жыл бұрын
Best Ukraine channel. Not many posts but quality is 10/10. * Salute * sir!
@robertboemke9614
@robertboemke9614 Жыл бұрын
An interesting parallel here is that the Gestapo regularly assessed the mood in the German population and that the regime felt it had to consider that mood. For example, they tried to shift to wartime economy in 1939, but in light of Germans not liking the long working hours and other restrictions that came with it, shifted it back. In some ways, dictatorships are much more dependent on the moods of the population than democracies, because the mood shifting is so much more dangerous to the dictator, if he ends up as the lightning rod. The worst that can happen to a democratically elected leader is that he loses power. No one will kill him, no one will take away the money he made during his time, and election day might be years away. Moods change. If the mood changes against a dictator, the likelyhood of a coup rises very quickly and a dictator usually leaves his office only as a body.
@rickymherbert2899
@rickymherbert2899 Жыл бұрын
If I could speak/understand Danish I would be sneaking into the back of your classroom to get even more of your wisdom Anders. The old uniform cap is doffed in your direction - Well done Sir!
@donbradman334
@donbradman334 Жыл бұрын
Quite a brilliant bit of analysis, Anders. This is very helpful for those of us trying to understand the Russian leadership's decisions from an outside perspective.
@wollaminfaetter
@wollaminfaetter Жыл бұрын
It takes a Dane
@alexeyladokhin4633
@alexeyladokhin4633 Жыл бұрын
Solid analysis. One thing I'd like to point out is that Civilian targets are more vulnerable to drones. When russian applied them to front lines, they were loosing 90-95% of them. This number is only 50-60% for civilian targets.
@aaronbaker2186
@aaronbaker2186 Жыл бұрын
Defenses are set up for the areas you expect anattack. Once Ukraine sets up defenses for the cities the drone attacks will suffer similar losses there. Then Amnesty International will say that the anti-drone weapons make the cities legitimate military targets and say Ukraine is using the cities as human shields.
@tveggemeyer8103
@tveggemeyer8103 Жыл бұрын
Thank you. I appreciate your efforts and realize you are not just another YT hack posting clickbait. My hat is off sir, and keep up the great work.
@LakPak2000
@LakPak2000 Жыл бұрын
So when the new becomes untenable is Putins position in Russia under threat? You have previously talked about a point where Russias and Putins interests starts to drift apart..
@RobBCactive
@RobBCactive Жыл бұрын
The Russians' interests and Vladolf parted company a very long time ago when he became head of the FSB, a disastrous appointment. The Canadian documentary on the Polonium Plot shows why, he didn't clean up the corruption and the oligarchs, he used state power to take them over.
@knokgroda
@knokgroda Жыл бұрын
Very interesting! I really appreciate how you could explain a new perspective on the propaganda so clearly. This is very important to have a reasonable view of what is going on. Thank you!
@paulmessina9252
@paulmessina9252 Жыл бұрын
ANDERS, I REALLY APPRECIATE YOUR INTELLIGENCE, YOUR COMMENTARY. I WISH THAT I COULD MEET YOU YOU PERSONALLY TO DISCUSS SO MANY FACTORS OF THIS SITUATION PERSON TO PERSON. I AM SURE THAT YOU ARE AN EXCELLENT INSTRUCTOR AT THE DANISH ROYAL B NAVAL ACADEMY. I AM ALSO IMPRESSED WITH YOUR COMMAND OF THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE. BEST REGARDS PAUL MESSINA, NEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK.
@peterdilworth2316
@peterdilworth2316 Жыл бұрын
russia will continue to try to bend reality until reality bends russia
@wespeakforthetrees
@wespeakforthetrees Жыл бұрын
After watching you do the video with Jake I realized how lucky we are to have you share your expertise. Keep it up, we need your thoughtful insight.
@thorbennielsen3845
@thorbennielsen3845 Жыл бұрын
Hi Allan I have been following both you and Jake Broe (and other KZbinrs) for some time. I was pleasantly surprised to se you on Jakes channel lately👍🏻 Hilsen fra Århus
@deepinthewoods8078
@deepinthewoods8078 Жыл бұрын
So clear, so sharp... making us understand something which is basically is impossible to understand
@OI-_0_-IO
@OI-_0_-IO Жыл бұрын
You might rather say of this explanation that it is biased and simplistic
@wlhjr77
@wlhjr77 Жыл бұрын
@@OI-_0_-IO I wouldn't say that at all...
@deepinthewoods8078
@deepinthewoods8078 Жыл бұрын
@@OI-_0_-IO We're a democratic community here and you're absolutely free to agree or disagree with this analysis. The bias factor is present in every human being, so that can't be ruled out. But this is surely not simplistic. I found it even so nuanced and sophisticated that i watched it twice, in order to grasp the full complexity...
@attilamarics4808
@attilamarics4808 Жыл бұрын
@@deepinthewoods8078 Its nonsense. The guys talks nonsense. How is targting infrastructure and the power grid "terror" tactics? As far as I understand those are common military targets. The US literally destroyed first day all of the Iraqi infrastructure and power grid.
@deepinthewoods8078
@deepinthewoods8078 Жыл бұрын
@@attilamarics4808 i agree that power stations and the electricity grid are legitimate targets in a war, and not terror. However, Russia is also targetting pretty random civilian targets. I you listen well, the point of Anders is that the Russians have major difficulties to hit crucial military targets, which is why they target civilian infrastructure which is easier to hit but less effective to reduce the military capabilities of Ukraine...
@popio
@popio Жыл бұрын
I love these videos! You are a great analyst! Thanks for sharing this in depth analysis.
@UnCannyValley67
@UnCannyValley67 Жыл бұрын
That’s a generous gift. I’m surprised Anders doesn’t place a “ ❤️ “ next to your comment.
@augustinbelza2418
@augustinbelza2418 Жыл бұрын
Anders, really enjoy your clear explanations of the situation in Ukraine. I find these to be excellent breakdowns that reflect what the mindset of what is happening. Great channel. Many thanks for your excellent work. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
@stirlitz974
@stirlitz974 Жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/pJC3kKp_eMyYZ7c
@7secularsermons
@7secularsermons Жыл бұрын
Your explanation for the power plant bombings is new (to me) and plausible. Well done.
@r.c.5827
@r.c.5827 Жыл бұрын
Very interesting. What I take from this is 1) that Russia, despite seeming fixated on the west, is really (in its behavior in general and specifically in its bombing of non-military sites) really turned inward; it's placating the hardliners and satisfying rage. Also, 2) the Russian media in seeming to engage in criticism is really creating the sense of "we belong in one club where we can disagree with each other"; it is solidifying the us/them thinking (as it deflects attention, as you say).
@penguinista
@penguinista Жыл бұрын
Just a comment to tell the algorithm that this is content worth recommending.
@tiitsaul9036
@tiitsaul9036 Жыл бұрын
Thanks. I find your analysis very helpful.
@erdemaptan415
@erdemaptan415 Жыл бұрын
Dear Nielsen,you're the only analyst who is neutral,well aware of warfare&strategy,objective and trying to look every possible angles of the stucture called "state",war is not only war,it's combined with economy,social consent,tech and production capacity,foreign diplomacy and you cover all of the aspects.Very very well done.
@Richard-iq8xb
@Richard-iq8xb Жыл бұрын
I recommend looking at Perun as well - his videos are complementary and also of similar quality.
@JordanBaumgardner
@JordanBaumgardner Жыл бұрын
Dude, I was skeptical. I came in as the UAF were having some setbacks and I thought you were a Russian supporter. But I hung around because I like to hear what the other side is saying. But I was very wrong. Your analysis always gets me thinking things I would not have thought of. Keep up the good work.
@stirlitz974
@stirlitz974 Жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/pJC3kKp_eMyYZ7c
@geopolitix7770
@geopolitix7770 Жыл бұрын
Good on you for reassessing your assumptions.I'm glad the Rushists aren't as self-aware as you !
@snazhound5827
@snazhound5827 Жыл бұрын
It shows character to admit you're skepticism and mistakes. It is rather refreshing to hear as such. The content in this channel is quite well researched and analyzed, he attempts to give a balanced view of all sides. Very informative and interesting. Cheers from Canada.
@cbrbird
@cbrbird Жыл бұрын
Really good analysis. Again! Thanks for your hard work on these videos...
@1verstapp
@1verstapp Жыл бұрын
there is a saying in the oz army that seems to have skipped past putin - ''prior preparation and planning prevents piss poor performance.'' keep up the good work Anders.
@willek1335
@willek1335 Жыл бұрын
if only there was a binding word starting with p
@pashakdescilly7517
@pashakdescilly7517 Жыл бұрын
Prior preparation PLUS planning.......
@karlchristoffer1275
@karlchristoffer1275 Жыл бұрын
@@pashakdescilly7517 Nailed it..!
@kiratilaisathit4235
@kiratilaisathit4235 Жыл бұрын
Wow... I wish mainstream media could do as good a job as you in unpacking the situation.
@jensmllerjohansen8138
@jensmllerjohansen8138 Жыл бұрын
Tak for dine analyser. Fortsat god arbejdslyst. 🇩🇰❤🇺🇦
@richardsimms251
@richardsimms251 Жыл бұрын
Great discussion. Extremely interesting too.
@BTX406
@BTX406 Жыл бұрын
Saw you on Jake Broe’s show and knew you’d be worth watching! Interesting explanation of how they redirected on the mobilization to just the problems with it and came out with a propaganda win. Thanks for your insights.
@elwrongo
@elwrongo Жыл бұрын
Great, intelligent analysis, subscribed!
@PovlKvols
@PovlKvols Жыл бұрын
Great and valuable input. Thank you for sharing!
@unebrindille472
@unebrindille472 Жыл бұрын
Good points on the Russian propaganda changing its aim toward terrorism rather than nazism. Terrorism was also the point used against the Chechens. What's more, according to Vlad Vexler, the point of the Putin regime so far has been to have the Russian population politically disengaged. Therefore he cannot have them engaged back in.
@andibauslue
@andibauslue Жыл бұрын
Yes, Putin has used fabricated Chechen terrorist attacks to justify starting the second Chechen war. And that has worked well for getting support from the population.
@MDCDiGiPiCs
@MDCDiGiPiCs Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the great video Anders, also loved your collaboration with Jake Broe. Great work.
@nottobey
@nottobey Жыл бұрын
Brilliant analysis! That's how it looks in reality
@Ragnaroz6000
@Ragnaroz6000 Жыл бұрын
Spot on, my guy. Keep them coming!
@indupacs.a.6215
@indupacs.a.6215 Жыл бұрын
Very good video, thanks
@tjk7671
@tjk7671 Жыл бұрын
your analysis and conclusions are outstanding. very few people do this as well as you do.
@BW-dh7vf
@BW-dh7vf Жыл бұрын
Great insights, so good to see intelligent analysis of the situation in Russia. Good Job, kudos!
@PalleRasmussen
@PalleRasmussen Жыл бұрын
I see the drones as an attempt at escalation without using nukes. As I have said and written many times; Putolini is not likely to employ nukes. He knows it will lead to his destruction, so he is desperate to find other ways. And yes, this ties in with the "satisfying the home public".
@KasumiRINA
@KasumiRINA Жыл бұрын
The russia is EXTREMELY predictable. All their moves are something they already done, like look at Grozny or Aleppo and see Mariupol... They never used WMDs. Except as empty threats. Which aren't new either. Notice how russia isn't crossing the line of using chemical weapons (which they have) in Ukraine either. They know they only will get away with using them in London (Brits gave russia a carte blanche to use them when Litvinenko murder had no retaliation). But use of chems in Ukraine will lead to US involving itself in the war and russia will lose much faster, much harder. This whole "crazy Ivan" charade is fake and calculated. Always have been.
@aaronbaker2186
@aaronbaker2186 Жыл бұрын
I have no fear that Putin will use Nukes. I do fear that he will use chemical weapons. I think the only reason he hasn't is that he knows if he uses chemical weapons that the world will treat Russia as Saddam's Iraq with nukes. Any possibility of future trade with Europe goes away and any possibility of Ukrainians (including ethnic Russian Ukrainians) ever accepting Russian rule goes away.
@g4joe
@g4joe Жыл бұрын
And your destruction .
@PalleRasmussen
@PalleRasmussen Жыл бұрын
@@g4joe I am not really sure, how the destruction of a Danish historian will deter Putolini, but maybe.
@g4joe
@g4joe Жыл бұрын
@@PalleRasmussen You need to watch this guy kzbin.info/www/bejne/aoDZpqFrZdmVoq8 New Atlas 20/10
@bc-guy852
@bc-guy852 Жыл бұрын
Thank you Anders. Between you Jake, Perun, Denys and The Russian Dude I feel I am getting a well-rounded view of the war and the crimes committed by russia. Your analytical and calming style is reassuring as the emotions of more violence against civilians and civilian infrastructure before Winter take hold.
@Devo491
@Devo491 Жыл бұрын
Great presentation! My first look, and I clicked all 3 boxes.
@chrisbarclay4547
@chrisbarclay4547 Жыл бұрын
Thanks Anders, The analysis you make is excellent and explains the situation exactly!
@malcolm356
@malcolm356 Жыл бұрын
Excellent assessment of the perspectives from Putin. Putin and Hitler appear similar!,
@WilliamB78
@WilliamB78 Жыл бұрын
Fantastic video Anders! Thank you for your thoughtful, highly insightful, commentary. Most informative.
@sillysad3198
@sillysad3198 Жыл бұрын
every man who is capable of UNDERSTANDING is a treasure. subbed!
@michaelmarkunas
@michaelmarkunas Жыл бұрын
Really good stuff love the 1950s tie clip. So classic. Great job
@jtsinspain
@jtsinspain Жыл бұрын
Anders, you are so, so right in interpreting the attacks on civilians as fulfilling Russian leadership's need to have something new to put on TV; as you say, it is morbid, but it is the bare truth - a continued exercise in propaganda. Thank you for your careful analysis.
@stirlitz974
@stirlitz974 Жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/pJC3kKp_eMyYZ7c
@attilamarics4808
@attilamarics4808 Жыл бұрын
Where did they attack civilians deliberately? All I cna find is either legitimate targets or targets that were next to legitimate targets.
@EvoraGT430
@EvoraGT430 Жыл бұрын
@@attilamarics4808 Civilian infrastructure, dummy.
@attilamarics4808
@attilamarics4808 Жыл бұрын
@@EvoraGT430 Its valid target thou. Civilian in the name doesnt mean it cannot be targeted. You guys are simple.
@westwindsailer
@westwindsailer Жыл бұрын
@@attilamarics4808 we are simple or you are a barbarian...? Hmmmm
@ThaFunkster100
@ThaFunkster100 Жыл бұрын
Great analysis, as someone who doesnt watch Russian news I really appreciate your perspective. Great video!
@OI-_0_-IO
@OI-_0_-IO Жыл бұрын
@@PalleRasmussen Yeah quite right almost as scary as watching CNN
@PalleRasmussen
@PalleRasmussen Жыл бұрын
@@OI-_0_-IO you really need some proportions. get of the MAGA coolaid. Remember that Tucker is the one shown on Russian TV and who agrees with them.
@Liza03V
@Liza03V Жыл бұрын
Thank u thank u thank u. Your insights on this war is outstanding. Glad I came by your channel through Jake Broe's channel. You belong to the intellectual category of people. Thank you again.💙💛💙💛💙💛💙💛🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
@janethompson5153
@janethompson5153 Жыл бұрын
Great reporting 👏 👍 I would like your views on sanctions and weapons in 🇷🇺 Glory ,Victory and Peace to Ukraine 🇬🇧 🇺🇦 ✨️
@themoonman-4
@themoonman-4 Жыл бұрын
Great job Anders, and thanks as always for your insight, great interview on jake’s channel!
@OttoBe
@OttoBe Жыл бұрын
I really appreciate that you are sharing this. Much more informative than a daily MSM bombardment about the war without any deeper analysis of the actual narratives. Keep on the good work. 💪
@cbpersel
@cbpersel Жыл бұрын
Excellent analysis. It will be very interesting to see, in light of your commentary about Putin and his balancing act, how he will try to explain away or downplay the upcoming loss of Kherson which will arguably be the biggest blow against Russia in the war so far.
@dlmsarge8329
@dlmsarge8329 Жыл бұрын
Thank you, thank you , thank you!! Your clear thinking and concise explanations are really appreciated. Saw you for the first time on Jake's channel and subscribed to your immediately. Looking forward to seeing more from you!
@Strype13
@Strype13 Жыл бұрын
Superb analysis, as usual, Anders. You give some of the best insight on this topic out of all channels that cover this topic on the platform. Very much appreciated, kind sir. Keep up the amazing work!
@Mrqwerty2109
@Mrqwerty2109 Жыл бұрын
great commentary
@allanbrogdon3078
@allanbrogdon3078 Жыл бұрын
When the Ukrainian president said I don't need a ride I need ammunition! When he stayed to fight even though it didn't look promising it had to help the people of Ukraine know to fight.
@tomg6284
@tomg6284 Жыл бұрын
To indepth, it is simple. Evil.
@green-user8348
@green-user8348 Жыл бұрын
Very interesting video. Thank you!
@jacasadia
@jacasadia Жыл бұрын
It makes sense. Terrorism gives Putin more ability to punish who he wants in Russia and frame it as an Ukrainian terrorist attack. I think Dugan's daughter is a perfect example. That must have been a test of the strategy to see how it plays among the people. Even the Western media picked it up and echoed the narrative.
@stephendixon8575
@stephendixon8575 Жыл бұрын
As ever Anders, an absolutely fascinating and brilliant analysis of a situation that I must confess I had been really struggling to make sense of, particularly the senseless targeting of civilians and the mainstream Russian media’s support for such horrific behaviour and the irony that when Ukraine strikes back they have the audacity to call that ‘terrorism’. Now it all makes so much more sense, though we can also see it’s a set of problems that Putin can’t keep putting off for ever 🙌
@edwardsianski725
@edwardsianski725 Жыл бұрын
A very clever summary of events! War is the ultimate reality check!
@Nordic_Scandinavia
@Nordic_Scandinavia Жыл бұрын
This was a great analysis!
@AtleMyhre
@AtleMyhre Жыл бұрын
Very much like to follow your views both here and in DR when you are there at "krigens døgn". I have a what-if question. What difference had it made if Russia still had the two French Mistral-class amphibious assault ships?
@2Cerealbox
@2Cerealbox Жыл бұрын
I always feel like I actually *understand* the conflict better when I see one of your videos. You don't just summarize what's going on, you have a mental model that explains it.
@kasperchristensen8416
@kasperchristensen8416 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the insight/update, Anders!
@briancase6180
@briancase6180 Жыл бұрын
Wow, this is, to me, an incredibly insightful and useful analysis. Thanks!
@wildman8125
@wildman8125 Жыл бұрын
Always a pleasure to listen to your analysis, Anders.
@ohshitjeffrey3741
@ohshitjeffrey3741 Жыл бұрын
Thank you again for your enlightening content. Tonite I was again able to recommend your channel by typing it into their phone
@redkawa636
@redkawa636 Жыл бұрын
Anders thank you very much for finding the time for these very informative videos.
@rolandmartin3833
@rolandmartin3833 Жыл бұрын
Thanks to Jake Broe for giving me the opportunity to listen to you because you are very interesting.
@jamesg2382
@jamesg2382 Жыл бұрын
Thank you. Your insight is always helpful. Much appreciate it.
@DawnLevendula
@DawnLevendula Жыл бұрын
Great info, great insights, Thank you. Watching this video is time well spent.
@clykke
@clykke Жыл бұрын
Everyone should watch these videos.
@robertroot3790
@robertroot3790 Жыл бұрын
As always, another outstanding analysis & assessment. Many thanks!
@roseblue3368
@roseblue3368 Жыл бұрын
Great insights you have an unique knowlagable perspective that makes all the sense👏
@FearandBoredomFishing
@FearandBoredomFishing Жыл бұрын
You can never read into this too much! great work sir
@ronnymo501
@ronnymo501 Жыл бұрын
Always an interesting and useful perspective. Thank you for making these.
@wafflefallafel133
@wafflefallafel133 Жыл бұрын
Hi Anders great video, i watched some lf your earlier videos on the Russian mobilization, where you didn't disregard the possibility that it might be successful. What has changed since you dont mention it as a possibility now?
@ericgrace9995
@ericgrace9995 Жыл бұрын
Thanks. Your thoughts open another window to observe what's happening.
@glyons1843
@glyons1843 Жыл бұрын
One of your best videos yet, honestly. Thanks, Anders!
@edgaroverall6475
@edgaroverall6475 Жыл бұрын
Many thanks for this insights. God bless you.
@allanmarks2150
@allanmarks2150 Жыл бұрын
How was it possible for Putin to be threatening nuclear war for months, and the Russian people thought nothing big was going on.
@stevepirie8130
@stevepirie8130 Жыл бұрын
Vast majority of Russians gave up their say with the deal that Putin does politics for them but leaves them alone to live their lives. A small % hate the war but have no leader or means to stand up to it. Then the rest back him 100% and have all the support needed by the state. Most people asked about their views on the war walk away saying, “I’m apolitical, I have no views.” If they complain or demonstrate they run the risk of losing their job, pension, benefits, house, serve jail time, etc. So it’s hard for us in free states to imagine why they don’t speak up but reality is very hard there.
@zloyboy8
@zloyboy8 Жыл бұрын
Maybe because he wasn't the one doing that ? It was propaganda from the other side, attempting to get the masses to follow blindly and be willing to sacrifice their living standards for it. The only time putin actually said anything about nuclear war, was like a month ago, as a response to the propaganda in the west about him saying it. And clearly stated the conditions for ever using nuclear weaponry. There is propaganda on both sides, do keep that in mind. Both sides require the masses to be on their side, Russia mainly cares about its own people to follow , while Ukraine mainly needs the western countries to follow, so we are given propaganda to keep us in line. I remember how 2 months in this conflict we kept being told every month that Russia is about to fallback and its about to end and how utterly horrible everything is there. Meanwhile 9 months later we are here, and thr conflict doesn't really seem like it's nearing it's end. Unless the winter cold hits real bad to certain countries
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