Ukraine: is Russia Collapsing?

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The war in Ukraine is going on but, is Russia collapsing under the weight of sanctions and other economic hardship? Is military production keeping up?
Money & Macro Sanctions Analysis • Did Sanctions Just Bre...
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00:00 Sponsored by
00:03 Intro
00:11 Bear with him
00:33 What the video will talking about
01:00 M7 is authorotian against OTIS
01:10 intro song
01:14 Russian Economy
02:50 Our Sponsor, Ground New.
Use ground.news/millenium for 30% discount
05:20 Russia GDP
08:50 Russian workforce
14:15 Substitution
16:15 Grizzly bear
16:19 State of Russian military industry
16:23 Background of Russian MIC
17:37 Rostec and what inside it
21:00 Russian GDP is as big as Italy, but..
22:47 Current Russian MIC condition
24:25 Russia MIC is self sufficient?
33:21 Effect of sanction on Russia military production
33:44 Zircon
34:30 Pak-Da
35:40 LTS Checkmate
36:50 Su-57
38:21 White Swan
39:30 Su-35
40:55 UAC delivery in 2022
41:25 Su-24
42:15 Drone war (pt 1 Lancet)
44:56 Drone war (pt 2 Orlan)
46:52 Drone war (pt 3 Shahed)
48:19 Missiles production
49:16 Will Russia Sustain the War Effort?
51:38 OTIS got software update
52:00 Outro
All images and additional video segments contained in the Thumbnails and/or B-roll segments are used in strict compliance with the appropriate permissions and licenses required from the source and in accordance with the KZbin Partner Program, Community guidelines & KZbin terms of service.

[@Millennium7HistoryTech]

Go to ground.news/millennium to stay fully informed on breaking news, compare coverage and avoid media bias. Try it out or subscribe through my link for 30% off their Vantage plan for unlimited access before August 14 and get it for as little as $5 a month. The war in Ukraine is going on but, is Russia collapsing under the weight of sanctions and other economic hardship? Is military production keeping up? Join this channel to support it: kzbin.info/door/VDkfkGRzo0qcZ8AkB4TMuwjoin Support me on Patreon www.patreon.com/Millennium7 One off donation with PayPal www.paypal.com/paypalme/Millennium7star Join the Discord server discord.gg/nCHxkzyH9T Buy an Aircraft Model at Air Models! airmodels.net/?aff=173 ---------------------------- Ask me anything! Take part to the community Q&A clicking the link below! forms.office.com/r/LNPQtf3Tc0 -------------------- Visit the subreddit! www.reddit.com/r/Millennium7Lounge/ --------------------- All images and additional video segments contained in the Thumbnails and/or B-roll segments are used in strict compliance with the appropriate permissions and licenses required from the source and in accordance with the KZbin Partner Program, Community guidelines & KZbin terms of service.

[@mickparkinson207]

It’s a tough thing to attempt to compare any nation with Russia because we use the metric of GDP, there is a military formula that can very accurately determine the strength of a nation via steel output, vehicles, numbers of able bodied men all industrial output etc. when calculated Russia is almost on par economy strength wise as USA. Bear in mind the nations economy dwarfs the Japanese, Germany Italy UK in fact likely it’s a match for all 4 when you factor in PPP yanks sea wolf $8 billion 10 years ago? Yassen M on par $1 billion.. hypersonic missile USA $146M each and don’t work , Russia $6M .. the Russians are the only nation capable of total self sufficiency, they lead in many technologies but are totally ignored and propagandised by us in the empire of lies..

[@scroopynooperz9051]

Mr Millennium Falcon.. thank you for your insights and efforts. Always a good watch. And say hi to Otis for us 😂

[@stephenglover8828]

@@mickparkinson207 well said and don't forget their mass of natural resources

[@utiz4321]

I like your vidéos but you very first conclusion on the economic impact of the sanctions is based solely on western data and that data is produced by the segments of western nations most likely to be hostile to Russia. Interviews with Russia people suggest the economy isn’t experiencing any issues. Not scientific but I don’t think any of these western studies are either.

[@DIREWOLFx75]

Anyone who thinks Russia is collapsing needs to visit a psychiatrist due to their severe delusions. The general state of the Russian economy is BOOMING. IMF earlier predicted that the Russian economy would grow 1.5% in 2023. That prediction is now essentially considered obsolete and something closer to 2% is more likely. And that is despite the fact that there's still lots of broken supply chains. Russia is literally thriving THANKS TO SANCTIONS. Because it has forced the people away from a lot of imported consumer goods, which is now instead made in Russia. And the Russian military industry, uh yeah, definitely NOT a problem. A few weeks ago, there was a report that estimated that the Russian military industry had increased its military output ON AVERAGE by roughly 17 times since start of 2022. And sanctions are not affecting the military industry almost at all. Russia made itself independent of imports in 2018 when the Krokus chipfab ramped to full massproduction on its new 65nm node. The new Lancet 53 drone was based on lessons learned from 2022, designed and put in massproduction in 6 months and is now expected to be manufactured at roughly 200 thousand per year. . "-16% for the Russian automotive industry" That's because a bunch of factories owned by western companies simply forcibly shut down the places. It has NOTHING to do with the actual Russian economy. It's one more propaganda tool to make it look like sanctions are working. "-6.2% estimated" That is totally unrealistic. Yes, a bunch of stuff, like the above car factories and some other stuff shut off, HOWEVER, the boom within the Russian industry for consumer goods started already middle of last year. . "average estimated contraction 9% / 6 or 7%" HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA... How about NO? That's so blatantly fake that it's not even funny. The Russian economy OVERALL had what eventually ended up a relatively minor blip in the first 1-2 months but after that, mostly, people don't even notice it. The only thing that really stuck was that a few car models that are highly popular had their 2nd hand prices shoot off skyhigh. "non-negligable effect" Except that neither people nor the state actually NOTICE them. A lot of businesses have had to do plenty of acrobatics to avoid problems, but at the consumer and end-user level, it haven't really mattered. . "about 1 million Russians have left the country" That is GROSSLY exaggerated propaganda. Somewhere between 1/10th and maaaybe 1/5th of that is probably more correct. And a large amount of those that did leave are either going back, or considering going back due to the western racism and blind hate as well as the POOR LIVING STANDARDS of the west. Yes, that is something Russians in the west have stated as reason for going back to Russia again. . "this has happened" Really? When? Where? My Russian contacts are certainly not seeing any lack of skilled workers. Or at least, nothing more now than before 2022. Because some skills are always in great demand. The EU and USA has far worse problems with this, and those are SYSTEMIC and have been ongoing for many years or even decades. . "skilled labor immigration" Please remember what Russia did just recently. They reopened the university dedicated to teaching STEM subjects to 3rd world nations, mainly Africa and latin America, to where it was during the USSR. While vast majority of this education will go back home, some wont, but more importantly, it is going to make Russia the same kind of educational "supernation" that USSR was. Russia has also gone back to the Soviet education program, because of how much inferior the Bologna process has shown itself to be. ALSO, please do remember that Russia is turning out its own skilled labor at a rate that is not far from USA, despite having less than half the population. Russia has never given up on technical schools and the like. "depicted as the best part of the country" Yeah sure, how about we call that the BS propaganda that it is? . "crisis" Wow... You seriously have no clue about what Russians think do you? The single most common critique is that the government is being too careful. That they should just go for a million troops mobilisation and end the war. However, even Putin's most vehement opponents, ACTUAL opponents that is, not the CIA stooges that no longer have any support, even they openly support the government's actions, regardless how much they may complain about or critique the details.

[@krivdaa9627]

Off topic on Russian politics: most western sources struggle to understand some groundbreaking shifts in internal politics in Russia. When they publish "decreasing" Putin's popularity they make a quiet assumption, that those who don't support Putin - are pro Western. And so they struggle to understand "What the hell was Wagner mutiny?!". In reality - that was the "other" opposition, which oppose Putin for him being *more pro-Western* then they want.

[@Phobos_Deimos]

Interesting point of view.

[@SethGreenFarlane]

yeah they might start missing Putin real bad one day once next leader decides to go nuclear

[@pedropalotes7638]

​@@Phobos_Deimoswhat is saying him is something western media and politicians cant understand, if Putin falls (as many wants) there are more chances "the West" misses Putin because the one that gets his place will be more extremist, with a bit luck the one that replace Putin will not be scared about the idea of begin a nuclear war

[@amr8457]

I'm American. Putin is no idiot. He despises the West in many regards. He does what he needs to do, unlike most world leaders. He had to play a game for many, many years with USA and it's economy/products/services/military. But that's all done now. Russia wasn't in a position, until recently, to do what they need to. Putin literally turned Russia back into a major force to be reckoned with! I could only wish we had a president like that!

[@termitreter6545]

@@mitchellcouchman6589 Thats such a russian bot answer lmao. Soft and calculating, after 2 years of war, 8 years of Ukraine civil war, 10 years of noone relevant aknowledging crimea. He aint military, after starting a war, having multiple rounds of hundreds of thousands for mobilization, excavating russian stores. Biggest military conflict in europe after yugoslav wars. And, do you get paid for writing this? Probably because youre just another worthless person that doesnt give a shit about anyone. Russia is full of those, just get your money and follow the führers orders.

[@anotherone8805]

Introduction 0 - 1:14 The problem 1:14 - 2:50 Sponsor 2:50 - 5:10 GDP analysis 5:10 - 8:50 Labor 8:50 - 12:30 Voting structure/war support 12:30 - 14:15 International trade 14:15 - 16:22 Military industry 16:22 - 24:31 Self sufficiency in the military industry 24:31 - 33:23 The effects of sanctions on Military Production 33:23 - 49:18 Will Russia sustain the war effort (conclusion) 49:18 - 52:00 Epilogue 52:00

[@Millennium7HistoryTech]

Thank you for this!

[@Vardyversity]

26:48 Poor Otis gets the chock of his life over the notion of having his chips torn out.

[@sull5307]

Isn't it beautiful ? The fact that I just randomly get a high quality analysis on the issue, served. Thank you sir

[@ipodman1910]

Great - the only issue is this analysis has nothing to do with reality of Russia…

[@Conserpov]

This is not analysis, let alone a "high quality" one, this is coping masquerading as analysis.

[@piotrjasielski]

"High quality"

[@gibbo675]

To quote Ursula von der Leyen, "The Russian Military is taking chips from dishwashers and refrigerators to fix their military hardware because there are no semiconductors anymore. Russia's industry is in tatters." However they do seem to building o lot of kit that destroys NATO stuff quite well. Where do NATOs chips come from, McCain oven ready ?

[@sull5307]

Okay

[@vadimnagano]

As a regular Russian I can see stores well stocked, lots of construction sites around, crowds of people in restaurants and malls. Although, food prices went up by 10-30%. And those who stayed generally disdain those who left. Most of them have returned anyways.

[@v.suarez8383]

This guy is talking Western propaganda 😂😅😂

[@somekindaguy100]

Food prices have gone up at least 30 percent in Australia so it's global

[@joelrios3704]

Downt worry mate, prices are also up in Mexco. its Global, not just Russia

[@nbell5050]

They realize how expensive life abroad is is what I’ve gathered happen

[@charlieperaltaf]

@@joelrios3704 I confirm, things are more expensive, but still, Mexico is on a very stable situation compared to Argentina.

[@unabletocomprehend7229]

I can tell you put a lot of thought into this video! Your channel is extremely underrated.

[@ELMS]

At the beginning of the video I tapped to see how long it was and thought “Oh, boy, that’s pretty long.” It’s a testament to your excellent writing and presentation that I watched the entire video from beginning to end and my attention never once wavered. This was such a good briefing! And, as usual, there is no where else to get this information in such a concise format. Glad to see a sponsor and those subscribers are moving in the right direction! 👍

[@hape4]

Thanks, great insight and it seems sanctions on Russia do have an effect but nothing that can’t be solved by them. Of course the Russians knew already since the 2014 sanctions, they better be as independent as possible from the west for their military equipment.

[@masterlightjames950]

They don't need to be because the West itself is not independent

[@whitescar2]

I mean, they're showing that they are anything but. What we're seeing is that Russia is very cunningly able to source the components that it is critically relying on from the west. And the west, because of greed and inability to get its act together, is able to stop the flow of components into Russia. It's like finding US explosives inside Nazi V2 rockets hitting London.

[@boggisthecat]

Their first priority was food production. The first counter-sanction was on food imports from the EU. Russia was a net food importer in 2014, and a very large exporter by 2019.

[@angamaitesangahyando685]

Talking about Russians as a monolithic "they" is such a typical Western mistake. Some Russians staged an uprising, other Russians betrayed them, leaving the war smoldering. Viewing the 8 years of doing nothing as some kind of a preparation for a... lost war is weird. - Adûnâi

[@whitescar2]

@@angamaitesangahyando685 Nobody kills Russians like Russia. Russians putting their faith in other Russians is a terrible idea, especially when those other Russians are FSB. Russia was perfectly happy with the past 8 years of slow war. They had prevented the collapse of L/DPR with direct military intervention and were content enough to keep the war going, since it barred Ukraine from NATO. You cannot join the alliance if you have unresolved territorial disputes. However, Ukraine was getting stronger and there was a real danger that the L/DPR forces would get wiped out at some point in the future. So Russia chose to invade now while Ukraine was still weak. Let alone, Russia itself 8 years ago wasn't ready for a major invasion. It would likely have been able to beat the non-existant Ukrainian army, sure, but the occupation would have been a total shambles. Russia had eight years that it knew Ukraine would not be able to seek safety from NATO to build up its forces. What did it matter to Putin that some more russians died during those years? According to official L/DPR statistics, a grand total of 23 people died due to the "bombings of the ukronazis" within their territory in the year 2021. In 2022, 23 000 people died in Mariupol alone from Russian shelling. Nobody kills Russians like Russia.

[@alexeishayya-shirokov3603]

I've been following a Russian gun accessories manufacturer called Zenitco for a while now. Before the war they were known for their AK and AR tuning kits; handguards, grips, rails, stocks, that sort of thing. In 2022, they started manufacturing their own reflex sights (10 whole models thereof). By 2023, they started manufacturing their own thermal imaging sights (3 models so far). In fact, their existing industrial capacity could barely keep up with demand, so they had to build a new factory that should be operational in a couple of months. Say what you must about other economic indicators, but I am personally very impressed that what was essentially a small-to-medium enterprise has witnessed a boom during the war (no pun intended), especially when the sanctions are thrown into the equation.

[@volvo245]

The sanctions only add one more middle man, mainly located in countries, which name ends in -stan. Components, manufacturing equipment etc. are still sold to Russia through these agents with a slight bump in price. You can't effectively sanction countries this large, its only effective as political posturing to convince voters.

[@tpespos]

I wonder if the boom was related to the war itself. Like if I was in a war with a neighboring country I would want a gun incase things went more aouth

[@sirdo946]

​@@tpesposyeah it did, but mostly from RU forces themselves. Zenitco AK parts are recognized as some of the best AK mods you can get and hundreds of them have been seen in russian soldiers' kits.

[@yglnvbrs]

Why are you surprised that arms manufacturer is profiting and expanding during the war?

[@alexeishayya-shirokov3603]

@@yglnvbrs impressed, not surprised 😉 mainly because they're manufacturing pretty decent sights without having any previous experience in the field. The ones manufactured in Russia before the war were a far cry from these.

[@user-di5rm9ee1p]

Bro, I am from Montenegro, most of the Russians who came here when war started are working IT online, same in Serbia. They open companies for online IT work because they can not get payed like transfer money from west to Russia so they continue to work here what they do in Russia. So its not big deal...

[@bennybenny43]

Pozdrav iz Libana. 🇲🇪❤

[@TheRealL1R]

Поздрав из Србије!

[@josephboustany4852]

​@@bennybenny43hello fellow Lebanese

[@bennybenny43]

@@josephboustany4852 ya hala ! 😉

[@user-cc4lk3tj1k]

Good day, sir! I'm Russian, I live in Kazan, the city where the most powerful strategic bomber in the world is produced;) I watched your video, it seemed quite neutral to me, and that's what hooked me. It shows a fairly honest analysis of what is happening in our military-industrial complex. I would like to tell you a little secret, my country has been preparing for the sanctions imposed in 2022 since 2014, which is why they did not have such a "destructive" effect on our economy that your Western economists predicted. We should not forget that Russia has very effective crisis managers, we have vast experience in restructuring the economy. The effect of the sanctions was rather psychological, the population was really frightened (fear of the collapse of the banking sector, shortage of medicines, etc.). The life of ordinary citizens has not changed in any way, even your Western companies that loudly announced the termination of work with Russia continue to supply their goods and be produced under other names, which upset us) About supporting Putin - his positions have even become stronger than they were before 2022. Many are even more convinced that, unfortunately, at this stage of the existence of our society, Russia and Europe are not on the same path, although in the 90s, after the bloodless end of the Cold War, we, hoped for normal good neighborly relations. Keep shooting, you have an unfairly underrated channel, subscribed to you

[@koelbird4608]

Yeah 😂 definitely collapsing. With laughter 😂😂😂

[@wogelson]

Imagine making this video with such details and some efforts and some brainwashed people come here to comment about Russia using washing machine microchips in their Kinzhals... Anyway great video as always, we appreciate your efforts and thanks for your hard work! Don't stop

[@antoniomiguelsimao]

Its not from washing machines but from Henry hoovers.

[@rockapedra1130]

Thanks! This channel is super interesting and well thought out. Keep it up!

[@Millennium7HistoryTech]

Very generous! Thank you!

[@foshizzlfizzl]

😂😂 In depends, if you are watching western or Ukrainian news.. If you do, Russia is out of ammo, out of soldiers.. Lost 5000 tanks to AK caliber and no Ukrainian soldiers have fallen 😂😂😂

[@damonburroughs5283]

They are clearly lower on artillery and most of their weapons contain western tech

[@foshizzlfizzl]

@@damonburroughs5283 Russia low on artillery? Are you serious?

[@damonburroughs5283]

@@foshizzlfizzl yes the number of shells and missiles fired of specific types have decreased considerably , so yes I am serious . Also I don't go for the Propaganda of everything shot down due to superior Russian weapons, as examples are Moskva , Kerch Bridge , Ammo Dumps , Moscow and so on, so clearly they arnt

[@angamaitesangahyando685]

​@@damonburroughs5283 Don't forget the Genichesk bridge, and Moscow apartments. - Adûnâi

[@leoschmain9730]

False assumption Russia was able to produce artillery shells faster than the whole NATO production of art shells also they have tons of components and micro chips for Missiles and only increasing the number of them so they are able to rebuild they're missiles and shells and they can fully recover the storage probably after the war Moskva is the only big achievement that Ukraine managed to do in this war Kench bridge was quickly repaired and most of the ammo dumps are just damaged but not complete destroyed But of course every recorded hit of Ukrainian missiles means: "UKRAINE IS WINNING LMAOOOOOO" but this is just an example of how overrated the Ukrainian military and the most interesting part is that most of the comments that are saying that ukraine is winning are written by people who don't know where Ukraine is on the map. @@damonburroughs5283​

[@theralfinator]

I really appreciate that you take the time to put together videos like this.

[@tomschmidt381]

As a retired EE that was a sobering analysis, especially the semiconductor segment. It is at odds with some of the rosy reports that things are about to collapse in Russia. I had not thought about the impact of substituting readily available commercial components. They are likely less reliable then older technology hardened military grade semiconductors but functionally they are certainly up for the task.

[@kamleo1685]

I, too, am a retired EE. People are brainwashed about military and space rated semiconductors. For many applications you don't need military or space rated semiconductors. Most semiconductors rated for automotive use can do the job. The chips used in cellphones are not military rated and can take a beating. At times cheap and plentiful is better than scarce, expensive and more robust.

[@jakeroper1096]

Definitely have what they need for Ukraine (whoever way it goes) but they won’t even have development workstations for cutting edge deep learning they’d need for any escalated conflict with the west.

[@Czeckie]

@@jakeroper1096 What are warfare capabilities that are helped or accessible thanks to deep learning? im not disputing it, i just dont know.

[@Max_Da_G]

​@@jakeroper1096 LOL nope. They need nothing of the sort. West isn't in position to get into a shooting war with Russia even combined. You seem to forget that Russia hasn't ran out of munitions in 1.5 years of high-intensity war, but european NATO states ran out of munitions after 3 weeks against Libya and needed US to help them finish the job. Russians are perfectly capable of destroying ALL western military warehouses and fuel storage/oil refineries, and high-tech manufacturing sites via cruise missiles and aero-ballistic missiles, and then west has what it had at that point in time. Which is insufficient for a war against Russia. All this "deep learning" is merely overcomplication. Warfare is nowhere near as supercomplicated as you make it out to be.

[@PrimericanIdol]

I stopped reading at "less reliable THEN".

[@charlieperaltaf]

Excellent video, not pro-russian, not pro-ukrainian, just a well thought research. I'd wish those sensationalist larger chanels have just an ounce of your integrity.

[@tadficuscactus]

There is nothing wrong with being pro one side if it is more in the right than the other.

[@StrangerHappened]

@@tadficuscactus If so, then it makes sense to be pro-Russian as Russia had to intervene directly after 8 year war the after-coup Ukrainian regime was waging on Donbas, which did not recognise the coup and its neo-Nazis

[@tpespos]

@@StrangerHappenedRussia was fighting in the Donbas the whole time using Privet militaries they already said that.

[@julianpetkov8320]

@@tpespos Can you watch the public speech of UK's puppet Dictator Poroshenko (October 2014) - what he promised to do to the defenceless Children in Donbas, and "rationalise" it for me? Thanks!

[@geoffhaylock6848]

@@StrangerHappened Pootin has already said that Wagner is fully sponsored by ruSSia. No coup, just invasion via another lie. Comrade, cut the crap about Nazi's.

[@borysvengerov3398]

It is so refreshing to watch such a qualitative analysis without an ounce of propaganda, you cannot even imagine! Nowadays it's considered a norm to pollute journalism with politics, which does great disservice to everyone in the long run. Thank you so much for this content.

[@petunized]

"without an ounce of propaganda" Where do you think he takes his knowledge of Russia? Make no mistake: its regurgitated western media bullshit

[@TheBranchez]

Considering for how long and how many countries are actively working against Russia, with or without sanctions, I think they are more than holding out very well. Better than anyone expected really.

[@ominousbiscuit]

Better than they themselves expected. Russia is waking up and realizing it is strong.

[@pk4459]

@@ominousbiscuit Begging North Korea for munitions level strength. Impressive!

[@alext5285]

@@pk4459 At least one Korean artillery shell was spotted by Ukrainians on the battlefield? It seems to me that you underestimate the importance of this visit of the head of the Russian Ministry of Defense to North Korea :) You argue in the general narrative "the Russians have run out of rockets and shells." It is worth considering whether the West will have any shells at all if tensions between North and South Korea are added to the tensions with Taiwan. Everything that is left in the West will have to be sent to Korea. Then Ukraine will be left with nothing.

[@beyondrecall9446]

@@alext5285 there are North Korean munitions used by Ukraine .. just saying..

[@andrejel80]

​@@pk4459snort some more of that Zelensky copium😂😂😂

[@joeblack1052]

Lancet is essentially an air mine…

[@lmc4964]

A flying shovel if you will

[@koskok2965]

1000% correct. That's precisely what it is and also precisely why it's such a monumental pain in the @ss for Ukraine. It's responsible for the vast majority of Ukrainian losses in high-tech Western SPGs that are only used in shoot & scoot well over 30km behind the frontline. They give Russia the ability to fully exploit these short windows of opportunity where these systems may be in transit to/from a firing position, deployed in a firing position or in transit from a part of the front to another.

[@markorsrpska7230]

Putin's approval rating according to Western media polls is around 80%+. If we compare it to the approval ratings of Western leaders, we can see who is more popular in their respective countries.

[@procon2022]

Thank you for your all-time detailed, outbalanced fact based information! It's a very enrichening source to understand the situation! Please, keep in!✌😊

[@krumpirko8888gaming]

2 more weeks and Russia wins right vatnik?

[@MadeleineTakam]

I am really impressed you made the distinction between self-sufficiency and autarchy. Well done.

[@arturallay8116]

Why not, they would love it there

[@cannonfodder4376]

A fantastic overview of an immensely complex topic. The wait was worth it for such an informative video.

[@nooonanoonung6237]

Soviet rigorous data collection strikes again. In addition to China and India, Vietnam is also increasing investments into Russia in various fields.

[@TheKid9678]

Your Analysis of the situation is on par with anything I've seen of yours, Sir. It is well thought out and extremely informative, not to mention unbiased. I've always enjoyed your videos, and I particularly enjoyed this one as well.

[@jeromebarry1741]

It is obvious to me that the U.S. trying to sanction countries into compliance has never worked to achieve compliance and has always worked to achieve independent sufficiency of production. That goes all the way back to apartied South Africa.

[@82boulou]

It's a crime that this content is having only 26k views . I absolutely love your work and analysis sir .

[@ipodman1910]

It’s way too much - the guy is clueless and a tool of russian propaganda.

[@NathansHVAC]

Everybody already knows that ukrane won and russia lost. This is old news.

[@kuzakani4297]

it's because it's garbage.

[@monikaweigand-stubenvoll400]

​@@kuzakani4297It's in your brainlette

[@letsgorandom1380]

At 79K right now. But I agree with you. I think the problem is that many people are to narrative driven or can't tell the difference between a good analysis and pure bs.

[@bobzelensky5414]

Ukraine, as a country, does not exist anymore. It's a subsidiary

[@SixWildKids]

Fantastic content. Thanks!

[@j.dasilva4567]

Look out for the recent Spectator article about the complete and utter failure of sanctions against Russia. Less then a year ago, the same Spectator was anouncing Russia was about to collapse. Western sanctions make contries stronger, just look what happened to Iran's industrial capacity, both civilan and military, and what is happening to Russia.

[@z_actual]

completely correct Russia is the 5th largest economy in the world and the highest in Europe, if you think theyre in Europe. Thats not Russia saying that, that is outside expertise like Bloomberg

[@NeuroScientician]

@@z_actual Well, Russia is number 63 in GDP per capita, nicely between Costa Rica and Argentina. Just Bavaria region in Germany is bigger economy that the whole of Russia before war. Russian industrial output is smaller than of Slovakia. Russian economy is closer to North Korea than EU. Their economy is as real as their super advanced army that can take the whole NATO in less than two weeks.

[@koskok2965]

@@NeuroScientician I'd love to see Slovakia try to take on Russia.

[@vladimirnikolskiy]

@@NeuroScientician It is foolish to measure the well-being of Russians by GDP per capita in US dollars. My salary is calculated in rubles, not in dollars. Six months ago, I had 140 thousand rubles, now the same. My expenses haven't changed either. However, six months ago my salary in terms of dollars was $2,300, and now it is $1,400. A significant difference, don't you think? However, my standard of living has not changed, I just postponed my traditional annual purchase of a new phone.

[@NeuroScientician]

@@vladimirnikolskiy "Sure" you do. Median is around 30,000. Easy to simply lookup job ads.

[@svtosca3371]

This is an astoundingly useful video that tells a story that nobody else tells but needs to be told. Thank you very much!

[@adisura9904]

A brilliant long format breakdown of russian economy and production capabilities. Bravo. Regards from India

[@freedomordeath89]

India OF COURSE ahahahah

[@LOL-zu1zr]

@@freedomordeath89India and Russia 💪

[@freedomordeath89]

@@LOL-zu1zr lol sure..sure pajheet...

[@adisura9904]

Racist spotted ^

[@warget1]

I will write this comment from my prespective. Me after living for 3 year in Europe, decided to go back home to Russia. Working as head of foreign traids. Our company after some europeans left, got boost for over 100% this year. We building 2 new factories. 1 will product acrylic chamicals.Before we were buying it from Europe. This factory will support about 30% of what our country currently needs. Yes we still need more but this resuls for 1 year only, more to come. All my friends who had own factories and some production lines are saying thanks for sanctions. All those companies who where sending income outside of Russia is leaving, money stays inside our country. Of course there is alot of peoples who still manage to do so, but I hope it will be harder and harder to do. about import from europe, I can get almost everyhing Iwant, yes maybe a bit more expansive but still without any problem, very few companies declined my offer because we are Russia, they help send goods to Turkey or Kazakhsan etc by them self.

[@2001abassodyssey]

Our policymakers in the West, those who decide sanctions, are "national security analysts" rather than economists, and interdisciplinary thinking is frowned on, so they have little understanding of the supply chains or secondary markets that allow success stories like this. I for one am glad if the average Russian who had no part or choice in the war does not suffer. But, hopefully when this is all over, Russia and the West can re-engage in a way that benefits both economies!

[@TerryAShaw]

​@2001abassodyssey hmmmmm, I think the west will have to beg, and then some just to get an audience with Russia and any other intelligent country. The west is totally untrustworthy.

[@piotrjasielski]

For anyone understanding how economy works it was obvious that taking over western companies will give a temporary boost. It will be short lived though. Your country is bleeding money - war, smaller export, bigger import from China. Whatever was saved as a backup is evaporating fast. Quantitative money boost aka money printing is already in place, currency will devalue, inflation will skyrocket. War effort took huge part of industry sector, with deficiency in workers and China is takin over the niche. In 10 years Russia will be on the same level as most African countries - poor Chinese vassal.

[@aidos8448]

@@piotrjasielski I agree with your opinion, but Russia has no other choice, we will fight together with Donbass shoulder to shoulder. It's better to be poor than a traitor.

[@piotrjasielski]

@@aidos8448 What do you mean no other choice? There was no reason to invade Donbas in 2014 and no reason to invade full scale in 2022. It was only done to fulfill nazist fantasies of Putin to rebuild empire and exterminate anyone who stands in the way. As a result you will destroy both Ukraine and yourself. USA will be the biggest winner in this, they already earned hundreds of billions in military contracts and oil/gas exports in the past year - I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Putin was US agent.

[@lanfrancocarloboerio4424]

I'have appreciated very much this video as usual with Millenium 7. Thank you very much for delivering all this works on you tube!

[@horusfalcon]

Thank you for your insights. I still stand in awe of what you do with publicly available data. So very well done!

[@most_sane_piano_enthusiast]

This video is so well crafted, you have my eternal respect.

Great Video, once more.

[@VAArtemchuk]

There are a plenty of smaller industrial towns that found new life with this war. The industrial complex (especially military) is in an unprecedented growth. Such improvements haven't happened to us since before WWII probably. It's very questionable if it can be sustained, but there's no doubt that we're not getting weaker in this aspect. I've heard many opinions (including qualified ones) that the government is finally rejuvenating things that it haven't given a damn about since 1991. Also, on the subject of corruption, Russian corruption is rather special. It is a systemic process controlled by the same elites and clans that govern the country. When the time comes, they can reduce corruptive processes to zero in crucial areas. Why didn't they do it before? Because their interests aren't always the same as that of the state. We have a nasty situation of elites at the very top considering their own interests pretty much as a sovereign entity separate from the country. The Western bans and pressure on said elites have made them FINALLY give a damn about what's going on in Russia. You've cut their ways out and now they are starting to make this country their actual home for once. PS: on the Lancets I (as a total uninvolved civilian ffs) know of at least 8 new factories in just the Moscow region (which again is not the industrial heartland of the country, that would be Ural region). PPS: there's at least one 20nm factory in Russia. They were built for supply of metro and railways tech in early 2000th. AFAIK they've gone rather decidedly on military rails. The quality is lacking though... They're unlikely to replace the imports in this war, but the government is dead set to make it the standard, and I don't see a reason they can't with Chinese help. Sorry for all the edits, I'm writing this along with watching the video.

[@nooonanoonung6237]

Good outlook for military-industrial complexes in the future as many conflicts have high probability of going hot.

[@EmRon1968]

Every country has those elites. Despite what the EU would have you believe, it's as bad here as anywhere in Russia.

[@koskok2965]

@@EmRon1968 I'm from Greece and I could only wish our corruption problems were 2x worse than those of Russia's xD

[@stefanpavlov6370]

@vaArtemchuk - that is exactly what i thought last year - you kick the oligarchs from Londongrad, you block part of their assets in western banks, and what do you expect from them? They will have to keep their money, businesses and personal spendings in Russia for the time being. In my opinion, this was a western mistake.

[@VAArtemchuk]

@@stefanpavlov6370 And a massive one, honestly. This war could have been over if they were to ran like rats (which they tried, btw), but you forced them to stay, and now it really is the war to the last Ukrainian, for these people don't have mercy in their dictionaries and their future is at stake.

[@oldguy3525]

Another great video, it is getting hard to find unbiased reporting.

[@MuellerNick]

I wanted to leave to work at 7:00. Now its 8:00 and I'll leave. A very interesting and well researched analysis with indepth knowledge and research. Mille grazie!

[@danykovac8293]

29:00 Russia produce number of chips with less than 350nm process, for example 1892ВМ11Я with 65nm process that Russia uses for satellites. Chip is manufactured in Moscow.

[@LOL-zu1zr]

Yeah military chips don’t actually require as much as civilian ones… You don’t need insane computing power to predict trajectory of missiles

[@kentstructures4388]

To think that a current palm sized calculator has more computing power than the apollo missions

[@bazangelopoulos]

Great video very complete and interesting.

[@daemianbox]

I can't think of another channel that will put an hour long video and I stick to the end. Excellent job, like always!

[@jebe4563]

Perun?

[@daemianbox]

@@jebe4563 ?

[@ayrnovem9028]

​@@jebe4563 Perun does long sessions of wishful thinking laced with not-so-subtle leaps of logic and calls that "analysis". He does not hold a candle to the intellectual honesty this channel is capable of. Even Perun's Dominions 5 breakdowns contained glaring mistakes.

[@markb8468]

Perun! Look forward to it every week.

[@johanmetreus1268]

@@ayrnovem9028 Oddly enough, no one has yet been able to point out Perun getting anything wrong in his conclusions. Sure, there are minor clarifications and nuances added in the comments, but that's about it.

[@Lancetdrone]

Monthly lancet usage statistics for year. Based on this, you can understand how much production is growing. July 2022 - 6 August 2022 - 3 September 2022 - 20 October 2022 - 20 November 2022 - 46 December 2022 - 23 January 2023 - 22 February 2023 - 22 Mart 2023 - 47 April 2023 - 44 May 2023 - 62 June 2023 - 55 July 2023 - 136 !!!

[@koskok2965]

These 136 kills in July 2023 are a courtesy of the Ukrainian "Spring" Counteroffensive (TM)

[@Lancetdrone]

@@koskok2965 how about autumn counteroffensive in September 2022?

[@HikiMaxSimo]

Very well explained and documented! Go on!

[@IshijimaKairo]

NATO is playing Necromancer with the corpse of Ukraine.

[@mightisright4959]

An event in 1999 changed Russia's view of the West. That was the NATO Pact's aggression against Serbia. This was stated by many Russian officials

[@maritaschweizer1117]

To stop the war in Serbia was a good decision of the NATO.

[@Stinger522]

I know one of Russia's core beliefs is protecting the Slavic peoples everywhere. Were they considering going to mat with NATO over Serbia?

[@maritaschweizer1117]

@@Stinger522 Russians do not only want to colonize other slavic countries. In their Eastern territories they occupied over centuries also many Turk and Asien ethnicities.

[@thisisafact9181]

Most honest analysis i heard about these different topics in a single video ❤

[@Sunny4101992]

Thank you for amazing info and analysis

[@vdotme]

I've said this before - Otis needs his own episode. 😂😂😂😂

[@philipspencer1834]

Great analysis. Thank you. 😎👍

[@jasonm1567]

The question should be is NATO collapsing 😂

[@Purplegreen45]

well our capital isn't being bombed daily, so I'd say no.

[@NtDs90]

Excellent analysis. Quite enjoyable. Thank you.

[@blankblank4642]

Ahha!, Sorted out the lighting, great video.

[@ultimoguerreiro82]

It´s very unlikely that Ukraine will stand this, it´s a matter of inertia. Anyway, it´s in the interest of NATO that the war goes on as long as possible. In the end it´s a matter of wills. Which side is willing to suffer the longest.

[@willbass2869]

NO ONE in NATO is suffering. Only poor Russian and Ukrainian families are suffering. The West is governed by amoral murderous beasts. Signed, Texas

[@belphegor9161]

As this is a British channel, I was expecting typical Russophobic propaganda (in style of numerous "media military experts"). But I am very pleasantly surprised by objectivity, professionalism and amount of knowledge you provide. Good job.

[@HauntedXXXPancake]

LOLZ, I wonder if the Russophobia you see everywhere is as real as this Channel's Britishness 😄. (He's Italian and if you couldn't notice his magnificently outrageous accent, I have to question your ability to pick up much less obvious nuances).

[@belphegor9161]

@@HauntedXXXPancake Judging by the load of derision and arrogance you managed to pack into 2 sentences of your comment, you must be British. But, by your criteria, this term cannot be applied to, for example, the current premier of the UK., can it? So I need to apologize for doing so in relation to English-language channel located in the UK. And I leave the ' less obvious nuance' distinction British vs English to experts like you. Ciao, bambino!

[@geoffhaylock6848]

Very interesting video. Thank you for taking the time to make it.

[@TheStaniG]

I for one LOVE your long format non-aviation videos just as much as your usual contnet. It feels like Im back at university with a cool professor ahaha. Great slides to look at, no overbloated blocks of text in them, great explanations of what Im seeing on screen (you sure you arent a lecturer? Ahaha). Love the lighting btw, its much easier on my eyes when Im watching it on the tablet in bed and imo its just makes you look cool :)

[@pturriago1]

Excellent analysis.

[@philipdavis7521]

Great overview of a hugely complex subject. It should be noted that according to 'official' figures the Russian economy just overtook Germany as the worlds fifth largest (yes, much depends on how you measure this). As for military outputs, I see very little evidence that the Russians are sparing the use of cruise and ballistic missiles on Ukraine, so they seem very confident of their supply chains. The speed with which they've ramped up production compared to Europe and the US is very obvious.

[@maritaschweizer1117]

In which universe are you living. GERMANY has a GDP in 2022 of 3867 Bill Euro. RUSSIA only 2240 Bill $ . It means about half despite the higher population.

[@amr8457]

Yeah. Germany just fell as big aluminum manufacturer just went under. Cost of energy outweighs profit. Germany has adopted these stupid "green energy" laws the US government has forced them into. This is USA plan to set itself up for future manufacturing ramp up because USA plans to keep Europe at war with Russia, China, NK, Iran. Russia and China are BRICS powerhouse and BRICS has LONG SURPASSED G-7. Actually, BRICS and G-7 have an inverse trajectory. Passed up G--7 in (2014?). So, anyways America and Europe only hold 10% of world's population BRICS alone holds 40%. BRICS is also moving away from the dollar and it's goal is to be so little involved with dollar, no sanctions of any kind could affect them substantially both independently and as a whole. They are even working on a common currency for trade amongst BRICS members. Edit. So all the information that was presented that was shown in the beginning is likely accurate it only represents the part of Russia that deals with the dollar. Which is only a small fraction of their wealth and business. He also didn't mention Rasatom which is the GLOBAL dominion of nuclear energy. ALL NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS IN THE WORLD REALLY ON IT. No other country on earth can completely function without Rosatom. They have the ability to do EVERYTHING from start to continuous operation to infinity after it's construction. Basically it's a monopoly on nuclear market. Admittedly I just recently learned this about Rosatom, so I think I got it right, from the best of my memory.

[@daviddixon14]

According to estimates based on official country data published by the World Bank and the IMF, Russia’s gross domestic product was $5.51 trillion in PPP terms at the end of last year. The figure is 38% larger than the official estimate of $3.993 trillion, the report noted. It also showed that the Russian economy was ahead of Germany’s when measured in purchasing-power parity, with the latter’s GDP at $5 trillion

[@philipdavis7521]

@@maritaschweizer1117 I'm in the Universe where, as our host explains, PPP adjustments are a more correct measure of real GDP. The World Economic Forum (i.e. IMF and World Bank) have projected that Russia takes no.5 in the world this year, ahead of Germany.

[@philipdavis7521]

@@daviddixon14 Thank you for explaining this carefully.

[@artursrikmanis]

such a great analysis, thank you. please keep posting these

[@1977Yakko]

Great analysis. Thanks!!!!

[@despilks]

I enjoyed the video very much Mr. Millenium. Thank you very much for making it.

[@wilgoos63]

Excellent analysis. Appreciate your efforts to remain objective and acknowledge what you know, what you guesstimate and what is unknown. There are a few decent channels like think in KZbin and yours is one of them. Stay healthy and please keep it up.

[@stoikiymuzhik_high-schoole1057]

Very nice video and analysis!

[@yuglesstube]

Excellent work. Thanks

[@yuglesstube]

Its the failure of sanctions that will lead to Ukraine losing.

[@sanriosonderweg]

demographics, they are hollowed out.

[@fryertuck6496]

When did sanctions win out? They caused WWII, they caused Japan to enter WWII, they polarised the world. Only place sanctions work is in impoverished countries, same as NATO wars. When they come up against a country like Russia, they both fail.

[@csanadbarczy9153]

No, Russia has more of everything. Simple. They are not perfect but quantity of everything helps😁

[@Kuraimizu9152]

@@csanadbarczy9153 quantity and logistics.

[@doniehurley9396]

@@csanadbarczy9153 Except 80% of the wealth of the world stacked up against them do the West not believe in the cause enough to give Ukraine everything that they need

[@christophggcyrus6861]

YOU have no idea how grateful I am: Excellent work - covering it all. Thank you very much - you would be a marvel to every TV-news show as an expert (if only the right questions would be asked) and of course to every 3-letter agency. That is what you are for us - an OSINT source …… and what a good one. Regards to Otis - really glad to have heard that neither he nor his friend, the microwave, will be sold to Russia 😂

[@mundi550]

Takk.Great overview Iceland.

[@zeuso.1947]

Thank you for the extremely informative assessment.

[@wogelson]

Even if 1 million people left Russia, an estimated 4.8-5.2 million people have migrated there by themselves or by simply living in occupied terriroty

[@thephoenix6673]

I watched this video expecting a nonbiased and thorough analysis, I was not disappointed, thank you sir! if only all YT channels worked like yours.

[@brianhind6149]

Probably the very best synopsis on the internet Sir ! Well done !

[@Asjunior]

Thank you for this content.

[@user-rs1xy4nk8w]

Absolutely Amazing Video! Thank you for the Balanced and informative way presenting that !

[@corycooper2617]

There is no peer to your in depth and thorough analysis. Love your videos. I hope you continue for a very long time to come. Both your aerospace and long format videos are wonderful and informative. Take care sir!

[@CoryMp3]

Perun. All day.

[@doniehurley9396]

@@CoryMp3 Perun has a complete blind spot when it comes to being evenhanded and rational on Russia just the usual NAFO crap

[@mzolnikov]

Very nice analyse thank you!

[@DtheD740]

Very in depth analysis!

[@Spike_au]

Love the new videos and the banter between you and Otis makes my day 😂😂😂

[@d1d234]

A very remarkable video with information that seems to match with what we are seeing in Ukraine.

[@ivanzlatar2445]

YET AGAIN ! Excellent Analysis! Well Done Sir !

[@reloads223]

Great analysis, keep up the good work !

[@dekik.979]

I must admit I nearly got reppeled by the headline. Dum question. But the video is a quality work and unbiased. Good journalism 👍 Educational too

[@christophecalleau3611]

I just want to say... wow... very good, great, thank you for all this information, why we can't see this type of explanation on TV. great job really thank you

[@ingemarhjalt8328]

Thanks for a yet another very interesting video!

[@donuthole7236]

I hate clicking your vids 😐 Once you start you can't stop watching. Great analysis as always. Subscribed!

[@marcobruni2680]

I really appreciate your videos for the spirit of objectivity. In my opinion, you could now make an analysis on the state of the opposite side , Ukraine and allies.

[@trogdortpennypacker6160]

I'd be very careful when looking at emigration, I find that people never look at what net migration (immigration - emigration) is. According to data even in 2022 Russia had positive net migration. I found the results quite interesting, so I dug in further to see why Russia attracts so many immigrants from its neighbors. Answer is a better economy, as GDP per capita (nominal) Russia would be $14,403, Belarus - $7,944, Ukraine $4654, Tajikistan $1277, Kazakhstan $12,306. Data thus show main sources of immigrants to Russia for past decade has been Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine.

[@NeuroScientician]

Imigrants in Russia get pain around $150/month, so it's not really that interesting. Average Russian does around $300/m. Numbers are likley fake.

[@trogdortpennypacker6160]

@@NeuroScientician My numbers are from the IMF and the World bank has similar numbers. Where are your numbers coming from because I'm thinking yours are fake. I can support my numbers, can you?

[@NeuroScientician]

@@trogdortpennypacker6160 Your number are from Kremlin. Disagreeing with that number is 15 years in prison, like in North Korea. IMF has no independent data. You are literally parroting back regime's data like it is a real statistic. Mine are from job adverts on Russian sites. We also employ few Russia teachers, they all got Masters and at least 5 years of experience. None of them made it above $200/m. They get paid £15/h which is roughly 15x their usual pay. It was quite difficult to hire them, most of them thought that this is some sort of scam. Experienced neurosurgeon does not make that much in Russia. Most Russians outside large cities make around 20-30K RUB a month. $200-300

[@angamaitesangahyando685]

The main immigration to Russia is from Tajikistan which might only make civil war likelier. - Adnâi

[@trogdortpennypacker6160]

@@angamaitesangahyando685 Using a limited years on Wikipedia and it's excluding migrants as that is a different category but 2015-2021: 1) Ukraine - 1.16M 2) Tajikstan - 559K 3) Kazakstan - 530K . Why would Tajiks cause civil war? Russia is already a multi-ethnic state and labour shortage would make me think conflict from Central Asian immigration is limited. From the UK so maybe you have more insights then I do.

[@ThetigerCommander]

Thanks for the great content man!

[@marioevildm7410]

Particularly good take on the subject 💜💜

[@ijoseluis]

Just to tell you that, despite being sometimes not in concordance with your opinions, this time i agree. I follow your videos because (obviously) i generally appreciate your informed and grounded approach.

[@nasosst3092]

If, in the comments, they tell you you are a Moscow operative don't let Otis read them. He will panic for obvious reasons. Thanks again for the analysis and the info

[@renstein8210]

The problem is that the western msm is almost completely narrative driven. A look at reality is always frowned upon because reality does not reflect their narratives.

[@user-be9dk6dc6e]

Московский оперативник точно не стал бы предполагать трудовую миграцию из Индии...такое могло прийти в голову только европейцу....

[@nasosst3092]

@@user-be9dk6dc6e Конечно. Я могу заверить вас, что я не потомок "Могли".

[@DarkPhantomSky]

Thank you, once again!

[@mikelanglow-bi2sv]

Always interesting ! ❤

[@tanaseionut4251]

This is how the main stream media should present the war to us. Try to cut out the BS and propaganda and try to give all of us as accurate information as possible. Since the beginning of this war I totally gave up trying to get any kind of news from the MSM and moved 100% to alternative media on the internet. The BAD news for MSM is that I will NEVER get back to hear their corrupted version of the truth. Thank you sir for your all efforts to document and make this kind of journalism. Subscribed and liked ofc 😀

[@borysvengerov3398]

Incidentally, any suggestions for unbiased news sources on the topic?

[@renstein8210]

The MSM has been captured by powerful interests years ago. It is good that you have finally come to that realization now.

[@aguywithabeard2338]

great content...super high quality...very fun to watch you have all the infinity stones for a 10/10 youtube channel

[@geeussery8849]

Good info, I pray for peace and prosperity for us all. Much respect.

[@sachingogate4067]

what a grounded and excellent analysis