Why Are the Russians Shopping for Missiles? || Peter Zeihan

[@timesathousand]

I feel like intercepting a Russian plane filled with gold bullion to prevent an arms deal is straight out of James Bond.

[@jackpippenstock1104]

That would be a great Gold "middle" Finger move!😂😂

[@crosslink1493]

Wasn't there a Bond movie with something like that at the start, stealing a fighter carrying a tactical nuke at a remote 'arms bazaar' for wealthy bad guys? I think Pierce Brosnan was playing Bond at that time. Not one of the better Bond movies, but pretty watchable movie IIRC.

[@paulklee5790]

‘Tomorrow Never Dies’ (Bond movie titles rarely make sense…) Not a bad one either, the whole opening ‘caper’ is on KZbin for your consideration…

[@davidlindburg1921]

Loved that film. 'Do you expect me to talk Goldfinger? No, Mr Bond Iexpect you to die!'

[@hyksos74]

Or the Ukrainian version of The Italian Job?

[@MTerrance]

I worked for a company that "won" a contract to provide a Russian steel mill with a modern control system shortly after the Soviet Union fell. Besides having to constrain the computer system to something the US State Department would approve the real issue was payment. The Russians had no money - at least no money that was worth receiving. Ultimately the solution was the Russians would pay in coal tar sands, a broker would monetize that and we would get the money generated (minus some fee for the broker who would sell the tons of tar sands somehow). It worked but gold would have been a lot easier to put a value on. Russia is asset-rich and still manages to be poor.

[@kenharvey8161]

That last sentence is a good summary of the Russian dysfunction. They have all kinds of valuable things just lying around that they can pick up and sell for cash, but the Russian population is incapable creating anything of value.

[@Minerals333]

Russia is poor because Putin is rich

[@nationalsocialism3504]

Russia currently has a higher Purchasing Power for its citizens than any country in NATO... I wish we were that "poor"

[@discojoe3]

I think Peter should do videos from progressively more random locations. "Hey everybody, Peter Zeihan coming to you from behind the Walmart in Bradford PA."

[@charliesmash]

Taco Tico in Kansas City Kansas

[@peaceraybob]

Back in NZ?

[@scottl9660]

That Walmart in Bradford is awesome, and the zippo museam is right down the road….hay guys where is everyone going, no seriously it will be fun….guys?

[@robrob9050]

Or Peter making video on UK "how to leave developing country club"😅

[@dali-gabriel]

Made my day! Best comment 😅

[@johnmahoney9354]

Thanks Again for your Input Peter Z! 🔰

[@Odin029]

"Which in German terms isn't all that fast because there's a lot of paperwork"... I had to laugh at that because I'd just been talking about how complete blueprints for the WW2 battleships Bismarck and Tirpitz exist to this day because the Germans had so many copies that had gone to so many different discrete design committees that when they were staring defeat in the face near the end of the war they literally couldn't burn them all fast enough. While not a single complete blueprint for the Japanese battleships Yamato and Mushashi exist because the Japanese destroyed the very few that were ever produced.

[@Coastfog]

The blueprints are *so* common in Germany, we use them to wrap groceries at the Wochenmarkt.

[@nicholasmaude6906]

Actually some of the blueprints for the Yamato and Musashi have survived albeit accidentally.

[@johnm7267]

Zeihan will say anything. Last week Russia was selling missiles to Iran and now they are buying missiles because they are short. It doesn't make sense if you are short to sell what you've got. Someone's lying

[@williamzk9083]

The original models of the Bismark were buried and are now on exhibit.

[@asdasdasddgdgdfgdg]

Germany can function extremely rapidly when there is a need to. Case in point the LNG terminals and accompanying infrastructure (underground pipes etc) which were built last year in record time. The BBC IIRC made a documentary about it, its on youtube.

[@MROJPC]

3:35 I had to do a 5 second double take when Peter commented that the Indians are quietly admitting (according to him) that the partnership with Russia on Brahmos has been a disappointing waste. I looked at this as a key weapons system for the Indian military. As I understand it, the Russians were supposed to partner to create a next generation version with longer range and better accuracy. It shouldn’t be surprising to hear that the Russians were peddling their reputation and basically stealing the money for vaporware, but I would want to hear more about this and whether it bears any impact to the first generation missile system.

[@spartancrown]

He’s got to be talking about either the NG or the hypersonic versions. I too wonder how it affects the older systems and if Russia is even needed at this point.

[@swordarmstudios6052]

Yeah. That is actually kind of nuts. The level of graft is so monumental here, and it goes to the core of the dysfunction of the Russian state.

[@WTFuzzzz]

​@@spartancrown as far as I know Brahmos is the most successful JV so far and the NG version too is not facing any such problem and DRDO itself has successfully tested HSTDV, so in my opinion there is no such struggle regarding any missile program. What we do regret is pouring funds in FGFA program which was a total waste and to this day IDF is facing challenges over developing a effective fighter jet engine..

[@kth6736]

His stories become more and more fact-free each day.😂

[@Vitamin_71]

Peter Zeihan apparently considers his viewers to be absolute morons if he speaks open lies and nonsense without a single fact or evidence.

[@dominicokelly9160]

Shame they missed the AliExpress Black Friday deals...

[@jonathanlong6987]

😂

[@RachelTension]

If the Russians are flying gold around, maybe we need to hire some sky pirates

[@hyhhy]

Hire some unicorn-riding knights while you're at it, why don't you.

[@Juan_lauda]

The Dola Gang.

[@dingus6317]

You should reenact the Bane plane scene from The Dark Knight Rises

[@Dodsodalo]

What was that animated movie called Treasure Island? With space pirates? With dog and cat people.

[@mcgmcg2792]

Or Michael Caine can get his crew back together.

[@chillxxx241]

There were a couple of strange Russian plane crashes in Russia and Africa where the planes didn’t clear the runway. I’ve always wondered if gold was the culprit.

[@richardthomas5362]

LOL! I kind of wonder now too.

[@jaybird2148]

Standard Russian pilot shithousery

[@mastervibes2296]

​@@jaybird2148calm down Brit

[@altratronic]

Simple math tells us that a single cargo jet can easily carry well over $1 billion worth of gold. Are even the Russians dumb enough to put that much on one plane?

[@peterkratoska4524]

Could also be unmaintained planes. 6 of their Mig 35s jets have crashed in 2 years, none shot down by Ukraine.

[@JorgeGarcia-lw7vc]

The North Koreans are likely to give RUS old junk (shells and missiles) that is expiring but still useful to lob into UKR to attack area targets--the quantity argument. NK may also be providing some of their newer stuff, where it would be mutually beneficial for them to have RUS test for them.

[@kaahzvi5820]

To add to this; while older, expiring, missiles may be of little effectiveness and easily intercepted, it does drain the defenders munitions. The conflict is currently a war of attrition & Ukraine is receiving less aid, therefore it strains the defenders own stockpiles & resource.

[@markrice41]

I get this mind picture of a Russian missile test system: a massive rocket with a fuse sticking out, a Russian holding a lit match, and a shanty nearby with two Russian generals peeking out.

[@BenjiBonsaii]

Let's not underestimate the opposition. ​@@markrice41

[@MasterBlasterSr]

every partner russia has supplied over the decades has a chance to trade old stock for new stock that is why they are "Buying" more missiles from their partners, same thing we are doing with Ukraine, you think we are sending the newest Patriots to Ukraine?

[@gmw3083]

Zeihan is likely to give you endless bunk. He never fails at this....

[@mrswhozityaya7958]

I want to go hiking with you and listen to your world analysis for hours!!! ❤

[@Thecountofstgermaine]

Come with me instead I won't tell you everything is collapsing whilst you...

[@Glory005]

One way to shut this trade down would be for the US, UK or any major power with gold reserves to sell a tiny fraction of their reserves. The price of gold would immediately crater to its value as an industrial metal.

[@Learner5555]

USA haven't audited their gold reserves in Fort Knox for decades now. Uk is holding other countries' gold. Any push down will last only for short periods.

[@jwadaow]

That would probably fail as spectacularly as when the Biden administration sold of a fraction of the strategic oil reserve. Don't give them any more stupid ideas.

[@jwadaow]

@@Learner5555 Exactly, and if anything you are probably understating the case. The price will only rebound if they were to try such a scheme leaving them with depleted gold reserve as the world de-dollarises.

[@ak-od7mf]

it should be clear to anyone now that sanctions dont work, and the UK a major power? this isnt the 1870s anymore kid...

[@TomScott__]

Russian missiles were being made in the Ukraine before the invasion. These missile factories have either been destroyed by Russia or are still under control of the Ukrainians. Russia thought they would overrun Ukraine before they ran out of their missile supply. Russia thought wrong.

[@Ibelieveyou8]

In your wet dreams 😂

[@bigcity2085]

Russia , remember, sometimes doesn't care if their missiles work ; they just want Ukraine to waste anti-aircraft fire on them. NK could be like, "hey, we got all the non-working missiles you could ever want !"

[@advancetotabletop5328]

Russia thought missiles from China weren‘t filled with water. Russia thought wrong. :D

[@Wordy-jt9uw]

Ukraine had almost no military before the invasion because they destroyed and corrupted it themself. What you typed is a nonsense

[@thecount2130]

Where did you get that info from ? I'm interested to know !

[@mukey]

Isn't the Indo/Russian Bramos already in service in the Indian army/Navy? I've seen news that they're even selling them to the Philippines.

[@mab49696]

What about the tunnel that was blown up in far east russia? Has that severely limited trade with N Korea and china? Would that be how they transport the missles? Or are there plenty of other routs?

[@PatrickKQ4HBD]

What's the date for that story? I want to look it up.

[@jeanlamb5026]

@@PatrickKQ4HBD Only a couple of months ago at most. If another one goes, I expect China to volunteer to guard the remaining ones...and to somehow keep on staying forever. Yes, Siberia is cold, and so is Harbin.

[@bobbyj731]

Small correction. A scud range is dependent on the type of it. They are not all short range. North Korean scuds will typically be shorter range/slower scud-A and scud-B because they are intended for South Korea.

[@johndewey6358]

Also, Iraq never had Scud making capabilities, Saddam just modified the fuel tank to increase or decrease the warhead size.. The Iran Iraq war was 1980-88 not 98.

[@gmw3083]

You could make many small corrections on everything zeihan says. Enough to make you wiser by disregarding most of what he claims...

[@jaiswal90]

+3:10 Bhramos missiles are operational in all 3 wings of Indian Defence Forces. Could someone elaborate on the point please? Thank you!!

[@tanmaynawghare9855]

He is a idiot His sources are heavily biased and he goes with it

[@seauryakumar]

He said a lot of the money was stolen. Indians and Russians and a shit tonne of money, are you really surprised? The missiles may work and all but at what cost.

[@tanmaynawghare9855]

India indigenously made air to air version And tested it with su 30i

[@jaiswal90]

@@tanmaynawghare9855 True. But there was joint collaboration, with Russia, while developing the land and sea variant. That's why, not sure what Peter means, when he's talking about the money being stolen.

[@tsubadaikhan6332]

@@jaiswal90 What he means is India paid Russia, then really did all of the development R&D on their own, from some old Soviet era blueprints.

[@xjohnnybravoy]

No snow in colorado eh? Leaves stll green? When did you do this? I'll say last year.

[@mann8098]

"A lifting of the skirt to see what's going on" I love this guy 😂

[@celisairlines4214]

😂😂😂

[@c19-tw1ei]

:D

[@olavamundlie9573]

You wrote a few months ago about the chances of Russian oil freezing solid a few months ago. Ever since I’ve been eagerly waiting for this to happen. Now that Russian infrastructure is crumbling, is there any update om this? - or would it be attempted concealed? (if possible)

[@zulubeatz1]

@4umy Oh yes it has, Russia has cut production twice.

[@RD-jc2eu]

@4umy What the OP is referring to is a post several months ago about what happens to Russian oil wells in Siberia if their markets for oil were to dry up to the point they had no where to ship what they're producing. If this were to lead to overrunning their in-country storage capacity, they would have to begin shutting down some of their wells. The Russians would start with the more southern oil fields first, in that case, but if they were forced to begin shutting down wells in the permafrost, those wells would likely never be operational again (or, at least, in the foreseeable future). This is because they would freeze up, and the Russians don't have the know-how and experienced personnel it would take to get those wells back on-line again. (Those fields were not the work of the Russians in the first place; they were developed by Western oil-field operators (using their experience from developing the Alaskan North Slope), who have since pulled out of Russia, with no plans of ever going back.) This would lead to a permanent decrease in overall Russian production capacities.

[@u2beuser714]

​@@zulubeatz1 This claim is nonsense. India is buying twice as much from russia now that was part of the agenda the india foreign minister discussed with russians.

[@flowertowerrr]

Move along. Nothing to see here. Usa #1

[@Vitamin_71]

Peter Zeihan apparently considers his viewers to be absolute morons if he speaks open lies and nonsense without a single fact or evidence.

[@philiphennings5167]

I like that subtle dig he gave about Germany with the paperwork. They're so bureaucratic they get in their own way with things on many occasions

[@peterflohr7827]

True, but once they get going...

[@Fallenfaefolk]

came here to say that lmaooo. 17,000 forms to fill to make sure everyone is ready to do the paperwork about being ready to accept the missile trade deal

[@u2beuser714]

​@@peterflohr7827 Germany has to set its house on order first and admit that diversity isnt a strength.

[@Quareat]

A correction, India has a thousand plus Brahmos misses, far from ripped off, its a pretty good weapon.

[@mitchhuck]

Peter I keep coming across KZbin accounts that are whole sale ripping off and just replaying your videos. Thought I'd let you know. Cheers.

[@annyer262]

I would rather gold than Fiat currencies! During soviet times they bought wheat from Australia with Belarus tractors! Exchange like this is nothing new!

[@user-bl9fj7kf1s]

Brahmos is actually said to be a success. Multiple different variants are being tested. There are 3-5 missile regiments in army. Brahmos naval variant is operational on most Indian Navy frontline warships. IAF has its air launched version. Phillipines getting theirs in next few months.

[@rainbowpaillettes8404]

I was waiting to see this comment.... india infact has been mass manufacturing it and selling it since it is so versatile and relatively cheap

[@Laotzu.Goldbug]

The weapon he is actually alluding to is _BrahMos-II,_ the second version. The first version of BrahMos was a supersonic cruise missile in the Mach 3.5 range, which you are correct was developed and is in service in some limited numbers. The BrahMos-II was supposed to be a follow-on hypersonic version with fundamentally greater range, capacity, and guidance, for all intents and purposes it was a brand new design. this is what the Russians and the Indians were developing jointly, but progress has been stalled on that for the last four years at least, and there have been no new developments. - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BrahMos-II This is also not the Indians first joint development experience where they eventually pulled out after spending billions because the Russians could not deliver on their end and kept all the money, the PAK FA (i.e. Su-57) being the archetypal example.

[@stanbatchelor810]

Speaking of old soviet technology, Russias Soyuz 2.1 crewed launch vehicle is essentially a 1950s R7 ICBM with an added upper stage and some modernized avionics. The engines turbopumps are run by a total loss peroxide/permanganate gas generator. That was the system used on the V2 missle and iirc was last used by the Americans on the Redstone. 1950s tech on their premier crew to orbit launcher.

[@PatrickKQ4HBD]

Hey, the Russians are totally capable of making simple reliable machines.

[@annyer262]

At least they can launch people into space. They same cannot be said for the work NASA!

[@stanbatchelor810]

@annyer262 Russia is actually at real risk of losing crew to orbit capability - for good - after ISS is deorbited. They can't afford ROSS and the Chinese have already said they won't orbit a space station in a high inclination orbit the Russians can reach from their own territory.

[@annyer262]

@@stanbatchelor810 I have heard US media making fun of their tech..But at least they can put man into space unlike woke NASA!

[@markpukey8]

@@annyer262Funny how the same people who get paid by Russia to troll the boards never recognize that NASA stopped making manned launch vehicles because we already had a re-usable Space Shuttle system. You know, the kind that Russia, China and everyone else STILL cannot make! The re-usable shuttle system that we had for a couple of decades, then chose to shut down because our idiot President George-I'm-Kinda-Stupid-Bush decided to end that program to save money for his idiotic wars. We still have the blueprints. Russia doesn't. The US could resume construction today if our political leaders requested NASA do so. Or we can just pay Elon Musk a few million bucks and use his rockets. You'll note that there are no other nations who have private industry building launch capabilities. Only in America.

[@davidshapiro5616]

There was talk of Ukraine gearing up to produce 155mm guided/unguided munitions in-house. I hope they manage this thereby reducing reliance of external suppliers.

[@theoldguy9329]

Good to produce in house. I wonder where they get the raw materials and how they defend the factory. For the latter maybe Iranian-style.

[@davidshapiro5616]

Ukraine was and is a fairly major steel producer. There's a lot of iron-ore mining in the country, especially in the East. I'm sure they also produce the necessary explosive material not dissimilar to what they use in the country's well-known Stugna-P ATGM. Just my 2c, I could be wrong.@@theoldguy9329

[@pflume1]

How long ago was this recorded?

[@telluwide5553]

Peter, what about reports that parts from American manufacturers being found in captured or spent Russian weaponry?

[@crosslink1493]

That's been old news since everyone in the Middle East was attacking Israel. Back in the 1970s-1980s plenty of Soviet stuff was captured and 'reverse-engineered' and almost always had some critical USA-made parts in it. One of the guys told me it was always 2 to 3 generations behind the USA's equivalent systems.

[@peaceraybob]

I remember an tongue in cheek analysis from the early-80s that referred to the greatest of Russian inventors being a guy by the name of Uspatoff - or US Patent Office.

[@Moerto16]

Why is he saying BrahMos missle is a failure? I can't find anything about corruption or huge problems related to it. It's in service and supposedly there are more than 14000 made.

[@standup_jokes]

Great analysis. Thanks Peter

[@michellegutierrez2119]

Thank you Peter Zeihan, hang in there ….. Happy New Year 🎊 ~🐲Kung Hei Fat Choi

[@mediaflywheels]

Can you elaborate more on the Brahmos situation?

[@LIV-FREE-VET]

Good stuff ✊🏾

[@Coastfog]

Germans looking at their newly acquired weapons stockpiles after the Ukraine war is over: "What to do... what to do... I mean...it's been *so* long, right?"

[@Andrei-gg7xn]

sucks to be French right now

[@misterwhipple2870]

Poooolaaanndd . . . uh no, I mean FRRRAAAANCE! CHARRRRRGE!

[@jeanlamb5026]

@@misterwhipple2870 Poland is arming up pretty hearty, too, it's pretty clear Shoigu is going to go over the line one of these days the next time Putin has another operation.

[@Antiteshmis]

@@jeanlamb5026 There is no way Russia will go to war against a Nato country in the near future, at least not on its own. Considering the other contenders, they would be the last of your worries then.

[@himanv]

You might be confusing the BrahMos 2 with BrahMos. BrahMos is a ramjet powered supersonic missile already in service with all branches of the Indian armed forces, and is based on the Russian Moskit cruise missile. India has worked locally to enhance the range of the missile, and added firing ability from its Flanker jets and from its submarines, aside from the ships and ground launch systems. Its range has been increased from the original 290km to 500km and 800km, and plans to increase it further to 1500km. BrahMos 2 is a project hoping to build off of the Russian Zircon hypersonic missile, which itself only got inducted in Russian forces in January of 2023. Russia may be foot-dragging on that one, partly to keep its upper hand on tech and partly to placate its girlfriend, China. India is developing its own hypersonic missile and has tested a hypersonic glide vehicle in the recent past.

[@PapiChulo-yb6iu]

This guy forgot to mention that Russia is also buying oil from Germany, Spain, USA etc, etc... 😂😂😂😂

[@user-ViralVid]

Really love your input

[@SmellySumtom]

This does not necessarily mean anything more than Iran&NKorea selling old stock while funding their own new stocks with their Russian profits.

[@justinbourgeois4685]

Yep, Iran and NK would probably buy newer Russian missiles with the profit.

[@chrissmith-td3iu]

@@justinbourgeois4685 So in other words these countries are propping up each others economies by trading amongst themselves like this

[@jonathanjacob5453]

3:35 I don’t understand what you are talking about. The Brahmos missile system has been delivered and deployed for years. The system has even been exported to the Philippines. Can you be more specific with your claims that money was stolen?

[@theandrigo1]

I thought the Brahmos was fully operational and I thought India was selling them to the Philippines

[@kth6736]

For 8 years. Peter is inventkng stuff.😂

[@rainbowpaillettes8404]

Ur correct india has been mass manufacturing brahmos missile coz its cheap and versatile

[@kth6736]

@@rainbowpaillettes8404 its not cheap. For $4m per missile its one of the most expensive cruise missiles around fhe globe.

[@tristan7216]

Heist movie unlocked: dudes in wingsuits with jet thrusters rob a Russian gold plane. Jason Statham and The Rock.

[@ChristopherMason19570202]

Airplanes full of gold, Doesn't that just warm a pirate's heart.

[@tkzsfen]

Quick question: does that mean that the price of gold will drop soon?

[@randomryguy8453]

Love all your insights and knowledge! Just blows my mind how you remember all these things lol

[@2909dk]

it seems the end result of finalising information processed over a long time and other efforts, very good.

[@tsubadaikhan6332]

There's a lot of good remembering, but predicting the future also involves making some things up. Obviously, that's the tricky part, but Zeihan is worth listening to. No-one's correct 100% of the time with the predictions.

[@randomryguy8453]

@@tsubadaikhan6332 fair enough . But he has a lot of people listening from those country’s that back up some things then . Expand on the actual things going I’ve seen in the comments.

[@mustardbeef6045]

The title put the funniest image in my head of Putin at a store in an aisle full of missiles with some already in his cart

[@Jimruffle]

Very well explained. 👏

[@andrewcorrick1935]

Iranian missiles might have another destination - Yemen Be interesting to know the options / thoughts that the Red Sea states are currently pondering with the shipping drought being imposed on their economies. Real costs being imposed on their people’s.

[@AsG_4_]

Syria would put Athens under threat

[@tsubadaikhan6332]

@@AsG_4_ I doubt anyone is stupid enough to launch at a full fledged NATO Member State, even Iran or Syria. Shit, NATO's bringing Russia to its knees with surplus, obsolete weapons, wielded by a third party Country not trained with all of it.

[@michaellane1316]

A good point here, Eventually, after all of he chest thumping has subsided, lives lost, the reality of folks just getting on with life sheds it's ugly head.Should one look at many countries around the world, one can see how folks are just getting fed up with being under some form of tyrannical governments rule, they simply would rather get on with life than constantly always be in turmoil. Harmony can never be achieved so long as folks keep living in their own heads, this goes for what piece of land they want, have, way of life, haves & have not, whatever rendition or form of worship. It is, all between the ears. I cannot say that men are entirely at fault for most wars but in general, they are. I agree, Andrew. When the dust settles, days, weeks, years from now, the reckoning begins. The US simply needs to remove its self from all of this. We are not the parent, watchdog, police of the world. Everyone has their own way of doing business and living, we should at the very least, be respectful of this. Our borders are being over run with folks wanting to have a better life. It would be in everyone's best interest, across the globe if we all shared some commonality of keeping all countries with some sort of dignified stability rather than transcending across continents. We have only one planet that bears our existence. We know better yet seemingly always repeat shooting ourselves in the foot or cutting our nose off, despite our face when it comes to moving forward with our evolution. This is why, our species continues its dragging of the knuckles with the content of intellectual transparency. I would coin this as, the chain is only as good as the weakest link. Yes, the hierarchy for survival still is the makeup of how we ultimately continue. Are we destined for extinction? A question as seen from but a simple context. Brings much sadness, I would truly want to believe we could somehow forgo much of this pettiness & find what our true potential as a species, could do. Therein lays the problem though of that weakest link syndrome. Selflessness if pure, could embolden our virtues for succeeding only in a relative form. Would AI be a consideration? Look at all that plays into this. Something has to change in order for humanity to continue, it is just that simple.

[@johndewey6358]

I think you may be incorrect. Most of the missiles the Yemenis (Houthis) use are actually from when they were a communist country with significant supplies of missiles, rockets, ammo and other arms. Iranian engineers have simply showed them how to modify their supplies for better targeting when Saudi Arabia and UAE had invaded Yemen. Iran has shown them to update their electronics. That is why most of their missiles and rockets and anti ship missiles do not even look like what Iran produces. Houthis had also purchased large supplies of Chinese antiship and other weapons. Iran has never been a large suppliers of anything to Houthis. But, Iranians PROBABLY, had asked their Hezbollah proxies from Lebanon to come down (since Yemenis and Lebanese they both speak Arabic) to advise the Houthis. Iranians do not speak Arabic.... In other areas that Iran had helped Houthis was to repair their fighter planes and air to air missiles when Houthis were at war with Saudis and UAE. These are what I could gather from open sources.

[@andrewcorrick1935]

Thank you for the update and perspective John. @@johndewey6358

[@jimr5703]

"... not all that fast because there's a lot of paperwork." LOL !!!

[@frankmazzur5674]

I see a lot of people asking if Ukraine can win the war with Russia but it seems to me that the US strategy is often to bleed our enemies over long periods of time, rather than actually defeat them outright. Looking at the Ukraine war, we continue to arm Ukraine well enough to prevent a Russian victory but not well enough for them to drive the Russians out. This bleeds the Russian economy and military, while keeping them labelled an international pariah for as long as the war continues. It has the added benefit of making Europe ever more dependent on the US.

[@NikhilAutar]

I think that's mainly done to ensure weapon sales continue for as long as possible in most cases. Maybe less here, but Europe is starting to arm itself again and the US profits most from that.

[@NJglorifiedcrew]

I mean, you really couldn't be any more wrong. Their war machine is actually stronger than it was before February of 2022. Their entire defense manufacturing industry has been kicked into a new gear. Putin actually decreased defense spending in years-prior.

[@jamsbean4383]

This aligns with Ukraine's goal of not having to fight RU again in 5-10 years. Best case is RU collapsing economically and politically from the war. A quick end risk escalation and leaves RU able to att again.

[@frankmazzur5674]

@@NJglorifiedcrew You just watched a video about Russia using their gold reserves to buy weapons systems from any country that will sell them, because they can't produce enough weapons to defeat a country a fraction of their size, and your takeaway is that his defense industry is stronger than ever? Well, okay.

[@NJglorifiedcrew]

@@frankmazzur5674 He also makes it clear Russia shopping around for systems isn't a new thing and that they're the world's largest holder of gold. Just because they're purchzasing munitions from allies doesn't mean they're on the verge of collapse lmao

[@jonageskuland]

He looks like Tom Cruise in "The last Samurai" 🙂🙂😅

[@alansnyder8448]

Some follow-up questions. Should this be a good sign or a bad sign for other conflicts in the world involving North Korea and Iran? For example, does Russia taking these missiles reduce the stockpile, or does it amp up the factories in these countries to produce more?

[@ragmondead]

It's a massive influx of money for these countries. They aren't selling them for cheap out of the goodness of their heart. Iran and NK are getting. Massive influx of money

[@ananamu2248]

I had a lol on " Germany ..which is not all that fast because of the paperwork ..." 😅😂😊

[@darthkek1953]

"They were so basic even the Iraqis could make them." Err... Iraq was leagues ahead of every other Muslim nation, in the Middle East only slightly lagging the technological capability of Israel. Everyone, male and female, was encouraged to get degrees and PhDs and the state fully funded it. Remember in the early 80s Israel bombed the Iraqi nuclear reactor at Tuwaitha in an Israeli bombing called Operation Babylon. The French were assisting in the transfer of nuclear know-how, but they were doing it to a scientifically advanced people. It was Iraqs industrialisation, electrification, and mass peon qualification, that was the real reason behind our Gulf Wars. Iraq was not always in the stone age - indeed it took us years and years to smash it into that.

[@miketarbert4609]

Interesting concept. Don't overlook the I M F. Angle

[@ArminmoTV]

iraq was ahead of whooo? calm down clown. Iraq attacked Iran exactly after the Islamic revolution in Iran, the same revolution that killed all the army chiefs and Iran no longer had a classical or specialist army. And he was at war with the Kurds in the west and with the Turks in the north. After 8 years of the Iraq war, when saddam saw that the Iranians were entering his territory, he had to use chemical bombs and finally accepted the peace.

[@VengerDFW]

2:48 "Lifting up the skirt to see what's going on" - Peter definitely makes the first move on dates... this is also good advice when clubbing in Thailand.

[@tbarn9]

If I were ever president this guy would have to move into the White House he’s invaluable

[@bondithehun]

His a bs artist

[@marty7442]

LMAO

[@ak-od7mf]

the reason why the US is in the poor state that its in is because people listen to people like this...

[@chipsatterly4902]

Thanks, Peter!!

[@zatoichiable]

Why cant the entire NATO defeat Russia. Russia is fighting alone...

[@debater452]

Nato isn't fighting Russia

[@zatoichiable]

@@debater452 its proxy war .

[@debater452]

@@zatoichiable It really isn't a Nato isn't fighting Russia directly

[@chrishalstead4405]

I’ll say it very slowly: Because. NATO. Is. Not. Actually. Fighting. Russia. Did that answer your rather dull question?

[@zatoichiable]

@@chrishalstead4405 NATO mercenaries are in Ukraine and they are being butchered like dogs.... grow up.

[@michaelfletcher9156]

One of those planes “dropped” its cargo over a prison in the far East some years ago. $200m worth of hold and diamonds. They say all was recovered. Yeah sure!!

[@kth6736]

3:29 Peter's stories are getting more and more fact-free each passing day. 😂 The BrahMos is already operational for like 8 years and also been sold to Philippines. Vietnam, Indonesa and UAE are going through the evaluation trials right now.

[@CoffeeAndPaul]

The Philippines haven't gotten what they paid for yet. The Indians will deliver, of course, but what Peter is saying is that the Brahmos program & sales will be going forward without Russian participation in any of it. The Indians got scammed by the Russians again 😂 & Peter's right; they're not going to get their money back. That's similar to what happened with the Su-57 development deal between Russia & India, but with a 180° twist. The Indians realized after a couple Years' work on it that the Russians couldn't hold up their end of its build deal. They walked on that project, too. The main difference between the two programs, the Brahmos & the Sukhois, is "who kept the stuff" after each deal died.

[@Laotzu.Goldbug]

Not quite, he's just going through his usual habit of not giving the exact correct details because he's not a military or technology guy. The weapon he is actually alluding to is _BrahMos-II,_ the second version. The first version of BrahMos was a supersonic cruise missile in the Mach 3.5 range, which you are correct was developed and is in service in some limited numbers. The BrahMos-II was supposed to be a follow-on hypersonic version with fundamentally greater range, capacity, and guidance, for all intents and purposes it was a brand new design. this is what the Russians and the Indians were developing jointly, but progress has been stalled on that for the last four years at least, and there have been no new developments. - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BrahMos-II this is also not the Indians first joint development experience where they eventually pulled out after spending billions because the Russians could not deliver on their end and kept all the money, the PAK FA (i.e. Su-57) being the archetypal example.

[@shinn-tyanwu4155]

You are smart 😊

[@rihardsgr]

If I may, just one thing about state of RUS military industrial complex. It has a momentum, but it seems to be turning around. And because it has a momentum, if Russia succeeds, it will become a permanent problem.

[@Tom_McMurtry]

economics may mean it doesn't last with all the current costs and sanctions?

[@sadjaxx]

"...it has a momentum but it seems to be turning around.". Sounds like. " Rus military hardware complex is doing better but it will all go to hell ultimately.". bit confusing but ok by me. Did you mean to use "and" instead of "but"?

[@sadjaxx]

"...it has a momentum but it seems to be turning around.". Sounds like. " Rus military hardware complex is doing better but it will all go to hell ultimately.". bit confusing but ok by me. Did you mean to use "and" instead of "but"?

[@sadjaxx]

"...it has a momentum but it seems to be turning around.". Sounds like. " Rus military hardware complex is doing better but it will all go to hell ultimately.". bit confusing.

[@sadjaxx]

"...it has a momentum but it seems to be turning around.". Sounds like. " Rus military hardware complex is doing better but it will all go to hell ultimately.". bit confusing.

[@robert48044]

I keep expecting a mountain lion or bear to pop up behind him one morning

[@themomaw]

Makes you wonder why on earth our world financial system still accepts gold. Like, if you go into a bank and try to buy a house with a bag of diamonds, there are going to be serious questions about where they came from and why you aren't just using a wire transfer. Should we be frowning angrily at Switzerland for supporting global terror due to having no accountability standards at all?

[@johnmanderson2060]

I totally agree 👍🏻 with you and I am a Swiss citizen.

[@johnmanderson2060]

@@SusanKay- Nope, you mixed up Sweden 🇸🇪 and Switzerland 🇨🇭 ( As always… )

[@shivamchawla60]

India has a missile by the name of bharmaos and it recently exported that to philippines as well, is that the same system peter is referring ?

[@tankvinl9805]

@@iridium8341 name=bharmaos does not mean they have what peter is talking about. Peter said the indian goverment unoffically was not happy with the program and though it was a massive waste of time and money. But you russian bots dont care about what peter says LUL

[@pranjalsingh152]

@@tankvinl9805 its literally used on indian naval ships. it has regular testing and has gotten export orders. we are integrating it on our jets as well. it is very clearly not a failure

[@tankvinl9805]

@@pranjalsingh152 oh god here comes the sh1tsk1n nationalist. just like the russian T 14 Armata. You should never trust there source. Just becouse something is in use does not mean its the thing there saying it is. Or that it can do what its supposed to do

[@jordanmills7468]

Fun fact everyone makes fun of scuds but they were originally meant to have nuclear missiles on them

[@rkramer5629]

Peter wanting a look see up Kim’s skirt Gonna have me chuckling all day 😂

[@untouchable360x]

Not missiles. It's "special military projectiles."

[@themore-you-know]

Tangent: - is Russia at risk of major infrastructural decay? After seeing centralized heating systems burst and have entire neighborhoods first flooded and then frozen stiff... it got me thinking: with much fewer men, and a lack of skilled labor, is Russia at risk? Hear me out: not only are they throwing massive quantities of men at the war, and have resulted in an exodus, but the real estate owned by these hundreds of thousands of men are, I'm guessing, sent back onto the real estate market, which maybe will later trigger a spiraling effect on real estate. But also... if you have hundreds of thousands of people mobilized at the front, every other few guy who dies will not be tending to his apartment's heating system, and occasionally cause damage on entire condo units, all of which is hard to repair properly when there is a shortage of skilled labor. Maybe I'm making too many ties between individual factors, but I find it interesting that the possibilities are even there.

[@mkvenner2]

What real estate?

[@static-audio]

Good point and valid. That's why they are asking if anyone wants to become Russian. Though saying that a lot of the soldiers come from areas outside moscow..

[@Paerigos]

Well also remember that the "middle class" maintanance technican is likely the one which could not ever avoid basic service - hence he is on all those mobilization list, is easily reachable and doesnt have much way to avoid being called up. Hence it will suffer disproportionately to other strata of society.

[@serafinacosta7118]

Americans and their conspiracy theories. Russia is actually doing fine with the sanctions. A tour at a mall in Siberia will give you that. They aren’t falling apart.

[@stephenderry9488]

Russian women are pretty capable, Stalin used them in his armies and Russia is relatively egalitarian in terms of skilled labour. And Russians of all ages and genders have a "fix-it" mentality after years of living under Soviet shortages, they know how to repair things and make them last long beyond their usual lifespan. They are imaginative improvisors as we have seen from images of their adaptations of military equipment. But the short answer is still yes. They have lots of resources but ultimately all of them are finite - men, missiles, tanks, gold, microchips, foreign tech. They might not run out for a few years but they will run out.

[@lazydog6684]

Curious. If they are running out of ammunition, how long until low level tactical nukes?

[@jaybird2148]

Considering the state of their current arsenal, what makes you think those nukes actually still work?

[@lazydog6684]

@@jaybird2148 I am curious as to the star of them. I would assume since they are newer that they would.

[@jaybird2148]

@@lazydog6684 Nuclear weapons, even tactical nukes, still have to take MAD into account. When it comes to Russia, I have to ask the question as to how they can maintain one of the largest nuclear arsenals in the world, one of the largest armies in the world, and an absolutely bloated bureacracy, all with the GDP of Spain?

[@lazydog6684]

@@jaybird2148 go deep in debt? Seems to work for everyone else

[@NefariousPear]

Poor German military, can't ever be mentioned without it's accompanying bureaucracy

[@MartinAdelstein]

if you mention us, please sign the according form and wait until the procedures have been started... 🙂

[@trainsurgeon]

@@MartinAdelstein😂😂😂👍🏾

[@nrichthof]

Yes, but on the other hand, the German armed forces pass their financial audits, unlike *cough* the Americans 😀

[@bsmithhammer]

@@nrichthof Is passing an audit better than capability and responsiveness? Only in the eyes of a bureaucrat.

[@menschin2]

Don't underestimate the changing future. But we hate war. In my youth millions on the streets for peace. And now.

[@mntlblok]

Never heard of "gold certification". Is that different than assaying?

[@user-bu9qs6zu9r]

With the state of Russian aviation-things can and , probably will unravel quickly

[@Swampwizard-f2j]

To replace the missiles it's already used.

[@chillxxx241]

I also was starting to wonder if these Chinese and/or Russian warships visiting strange ports of call had to do with gold being moved around. Like last year’s Russian Naval exercises in South Africa. These BRICs nations are really taking a step backwards. How much must they lose with every transaction when you consider just the time and logistics alone?

[@Vitamin_71]

Peter Zeihan apparently considers his viewers to be absolute morons if he speaks open lies and nonsense without a single fact or evidence.

[@chillxxx241]

@@Vitamin_71Buy the books or watch some presentations KZbin to orient yourself. We know who the moron is….Ivan.😂😂😂

[@Aditya1998pandey]

Is there any evidence behind the Brahmos thing? Where did you get that info?

[@whentheleveebreaks]

Russia to Germany is like an alcoholic saying to his old bud who quit drinking “come on just one drink” and then regrets it

[@zi326]

And the rest of europe be like "No Germany don't do it, please we dont wan't you turning into your old self again even if your new self is a bit to hippie we still prefer you this way'

[@dingus6317]

@@zi326 I like old Prussian Germany

[@howtoappearincompletely9739]

@@dingus6317 Man, who doesn't, right? Well, the French, probably. 😅

[@BasilRathbone-ny3st]

always room for gold.

[@MovieGasm]

Because they used them all on Ukraine? Restocking the shelves.

[@alexkatsanos8475]

Please talk about whats happening at Davos right now.

[@KRYPTOS_K5]

Yes. Zeihan ALREADY said that Russia was out of missiles without industry about one year ago... Very precise... LoL

[@Somerandomname1999]

Why they would buy Nroth Korean and Iranian missiles if they would be able to produce their own?

[@JW-qf2fx]

@@Somerandomname1999 id say they are buying the "easy" stuff to focus on ramping up some of the more complicated stuff

[@KRYPTOS_K5]

@@Somerandomname1999 Because it is cheaper.

[@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311]

@@Somerandomname1999 Because quantity matters. Obviously. It's like saying why would the US need to buy Patriot missiles from Japan if they can't produce their own (which is happening). The US do produce their own (obviously that's where Patriots are from) but in a major war, ammunition consumption is huge.

[@andrij1848]

wdym WHY?

[@markmcnicholas9475]

If Russia is one great theft-o-cracy, with theft from India (as reported here) missing Russian military equipment, etc , why does Peter not think that the Gold reserves haven’t been stolen as well?

[@richardthomas5362]

I think we are assuming that the Russian government is able to at least account for about 90-95% of their bullion - it is money, after all, and corrupt people are always looking to their money if nothing else. I guess we will find out how bad the theft is when countries receiving the gold from Russia either doesn't complain, or complain that they are getting gold painted lead bricks.

[@burgertime6372]

Well they gotta buy the missiles with something, and he explained why he thinks its gold

[@4411825]

😅😅🤣 America 🇺🇸 is nothing but a settler colony with a whole captive nation(Africans) and you got the nerve to talk about criminality about anyone!

[@hhiippiittyy]

Possibly largely stolen but so big a to have plenty still in the bank... ?

[@swordarmstudios6052]

It's possible to control something small like gold reserves with extremely loyal people. You wouldn't need a lot of them. And even if there is lots of theft , it wouldn't all end up stolen. Only some of it would, and they got alot.

[@GungaLaGunga]

Is it hard to start a missile manufacturing business??? Seems like a growth industry right now. I don't know much about getting into the business but I used to play Atari missile command when I was a kid. Is that enough of a transferable skill?

[@bilalbaig8586]

Everyone has to start somewhere😂....I'd say go for it.

[@user-bu9qs6zu9r]

A bit off topic ; You must have had wonderful Parents and /or, Grandparents because You are ABSOLUTELY ADORABLE- even when imparting awful truths - I’m grateful for You

[@TheMeepster72]

My father was telling me about having SKUDs shot at him during the first gulf war. Luckily they couldn't hit water if they fell out of a boat. Apparently the SKUD is more of a "lob it in that general direction" sort of weapon.

[@AsG_4_]

Iran just hit a precision target last night in Aleppo and Erbil ..this isn't the case anymore ...that was 30 years ago

[@ak-od7mf]

@@AsG_4_ im so sick of people thinking that this is the 1960s still, its a whole new world out there with new powers and technologies emerging. The US isnt getting any stronger by the day either and thats something that we will have to accept.

[@Klyce]

I do tons of hiking in Colorado and I’m hoping that someday I run into a wandering Geopolitical Sage.

[@nightpups5835]

It's a good time to be a pen salesman in germany.

[@johndowd1741]

Revival of the Gold Standard? A Gold Brick beats a "Paper BRIC" every time! 🦊

[@richardgilman4602]

Peter, kudos for your cogent analysis of Russia's collapsed military production capability. I might add that Russia has neither the manpower & skillset to produce requisite munitions, nor the manpower and skillset to deliver them to the line of contact. On a personal note, how will Russia's gold incontinence affect the world price of gold?

[@Paerigos]

History of gold is pretty much history of bubbles. In terms of industrial use its actually inferior-but cheap and good enough option by now.

[@bobwoods1302]

Most Russians are disillusioned, drunks or both.

[@imixmuan9081]

I would imagine badly....all that gold flooding the market at once would bring prices down, no? The Gold "Standard" is essentially a form of barter, and its hilarious that the worlds largest country geographically would have to resort to it....

[@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311]

The delusion of you guys is hilarious. With a much smaller budget than the USA Russia munitions production is outstripping the USA in important areas. As for skillset, with a population less than half the USA, Russia trains more engineers. Not gender studies graduates or critical race theorists, or finance bros, engineers.

[@yurisonovab3892]

@@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311 They don't even have enough people of proper age to train, so let them retrain all the grandpas they want, it won't be helping them.

[@thewindypine1976]

What are u saying, India does have Brhamhos missiles. You can say this about SU57 though

[@alb0infern047]

No matter how many missiles they want or use but as a proud american patriot. None of these ballistic missiles can handle our Patriot Defense System.

[@MrBearcatjew]

lol

[@lucbisaillon]

Unless the patriot system runs out of ammo

[@Kingzombiemyanmar]

I disagree in enough quantities all the patriot systems in the world can’t defend you. Just like Nazi tanks cant handle endless waves of t 34s.

[@randomryguy8453]

They won’t run out . The Biden administration is on it 😂

[@kevf]

They already have haha.

[@jackcahill2383]

Thank you

[@michaelgundel8168]

Si vis pacem,para bellum.

[@DukeLitoAurelius]

I love the efficiency of Latin. Pardon me for geeking out on this, but seeing your quote made me think of Cicero’s De Re Publica. Classical Latin did not use commas, but the ecclesiastical Latin used today by the Vatican uses punctuation as it does help with readability. But, I digress.

[@docteurpimousse2117]

Really need more explanations about the brahmos. I read elsewhere that they were delivered years ago.

[@Somerandomname1999]

He is apparently speaking about Brahmos 2

[@polyglot8]

I was in Al-Khobar Saudi Arabia during the Gulf War when an Iraqi Scud missile killed a couple dozen Marines in their barracks around two miles from where I was sleeping in my Expat. compound. The whole area was ostensibly heavily defended by Patriot missile batteries.

[@chrisbarrett8377]

Everyone knows that all military gear works at 100% capability at all times

[@SamiNami]

Any system can be overwhelmed. Offence is easier than defence.

[@traildogisla]

Older versions of the patriot, the newer ones are another deal

[@michaelpayne9712]

....gee....and WHAT YEAR was that?

[@jakospades7184]

Gulf War patriot system was Buggy and close to non-functional. It has been tested, fixed, retested across Many conflicts since the Gulf War

[@BalbazaktheGreat]

I think the "why" is pretty obvious... I was going to say the "where" was a more interesting question, but actually that one is pretty obvious as well.

[@michellelewis3063]

'the burn rate of shells is orders of magnitude more than they can produce'. This states a high firing rate, yet 2 years later no shortage? Zeihan's statements are incoherent.

[@tim211292]

They have dramatically cut down shells per day used or whatever metric you want to use. This isnt hard to look up I guess you are just lazy

[@hyhhy]

@@tim211292 I looked it up and found that Russia is firing 5 times as many shells as Ukraine, in addition to massive amounts of missiles and drones and aviation bombs.

[@debater452]

Yeah no shit Russia has more of them​@@hyhhy

[@ClownCarCoup]

after watching PZ for a few year, i’ve come to realize that when he says “orders of magnitude” it is rarely meant to be literal. Which is unfortunate for a professional communicator …

[@tim211292]

@@hyhhy now read what i said again and then read what you said, nothing you said contradicted what i said. if ukraine fires 1 shell and russia 5 then russia is firing x5 shells, but they still have dramatically reduced their consumption from before. i swear you people dont know basic maths or reasoning

[@peetky8645]

Brahmos is currently deployed for indian navy and coastal defense

[@gregorychalmers2466]

Thank god our military defense industry is booming under Joey

[@tsubadaikhan6332]

Ah.... You might want to check that. I'm sure Trump gave the Pentagon more money than they asked for, while he totted up the largest Deficit of any US President in history. In one term.

[@BigDsGaming2022]

Our US MIC booms regardless of who is president . It is our number 2 economy behind Health Care .