2018 12 04 Geopolitics Matter 6/6 George Friedman

[@odzinski]

Very clear and blunt description of the present relationship between USA and Europe. As a Polish citizen, I must say that we have no illusion about the the common European intrest. There is no such a thing. Very few, if any, of our "Western friends" will be willing to die for Warsaw. For us there is no NATO. Our security depends solely on the USA and maybe some of our neighbors in Central and Eastern Europe. It is time to get up to be counted.

[@BrettHar123]

Krzysztof Odziński You could put your petty differences aside and realise that Poland has far more in common with Moscow than Frankfurt and Brussels. Do you want Poland to be forced into LGBTQXYZ marriage, educating three year olds that they can choose their gender, and your freedom of speech stifled like in Canada, where not using the correct pronoun can ruin your life? Moving into Ukraine or Belarus is madness, let Russia have its traditional boundary, and there will be far less reason for NATO in the first place. We all know the real threat to European security - Clinton, Biden and the Democratic Party, utterly corrupted by the OUN diaspora, the money from oligarchs like Pinchuk, and globalists like Soros and Friedman.

[@pardeeptandon6730]

Krzysztof Odziński : Your security depends on trade and improving relationship with Russia and not USA

[@Joker-yw9hl]

I like to think you can depend on the UK at least

[@teflonbilly2909]

Krzysztof, You are correct. When it comes down to it, Polish security is based around the US. As a force they are the only ones I can see willing/able to defend Poland. I also think that Poland is worth defending and on top of that Poland does have somethings going for it - Russia and Germany have very aged populations. I would say that the Intermarium will bolster your options.

[@pardeeptandon6730]

James Hehir : I am sorry to say that the sun has set on UK. Shortly it will not be able to defend itself let alone defend Poland

[@joebuckcoker7966]

Douglas MacArthur, "there is no security, only opportunity"

[@jazldazl9193]

isn't that "only arms sales"?

[@redwine2664]

and if the other opponent has Nukes? Then what?

[@aleafox1675]

He resembles former president George Bush to me in his look and deminer. Does anybody else see this?

[@laurenceco7154]

Yes both look very much alike as well as their demeanor ! But it seems Bush doesn"t have his brains and sophistication.

[@bakriiiiii]

Alea Fox i checked the video because i thought that

[@nitinkshirsagar5464]

But a bit smart...

[@jimw8090]

Yes

[@aminaz1778]

Mr Friedman is more handsome

[@raymondrahimzadeh1661]

So wonderful to have the possibility of being enlightened today so easily.

[@ivanthemisunderstood6940]

Agree or disagree with Mr. Fieldman, it took a lot of balls for an expat to stand in front of that crowd and give them an enema they didn't want, but desperately needed.

[@JRobbySh]

An alliance of Romania, Hungary and Poland with the USA would not be insignificant.

[@nuadtrainer]

When the balls are to big, it doen't mean courage but disease. Too much friction !

[@johnchoquette5695]

RIGHT - Americans are the most "asleep" people ( politically ignorant) of all the developed countries .

[@luigimanzoni2705]

@@johnchoquette5695 Spoken like a true intellectual dilettante.

[@goodgoat3096]

I served in the 4th armored division for 15 months in Germany. Our mission was, should Russian invade, to stay alive for 2 weeks until reinforcements would arrive. After seeing the skill (lack of) and equipment (3rd rate) of the European NATO forces, the only hope was that should something happen the US could respond quickly. When Russia invaded Czechoslovakia, things got very tense. The 4th armored division and many others have been disbanded and US forces in Europe are now minimal.

[@bluehand9631]

Minimal isn't good enough. How about none.

[@spiral272]

Man this guy is laying it out pretty straight. A lot of the welfare state Europeans seem rather embarrassed.

[@BhBraaq]

yeah I wish he was saying this to the leaders of the EU.

[@rybojames4111]

George Friedman is great to listen to anytime, among the best analytical minds in the world.

[@sittertal]

Rybo Culbreth You confuse Analysis with Propaganda an Warmongering. What he actually says is „We are the Mob and you better hurry up and let us protect you“.

[@rybojames4111]

@@sittertal The views of this video vs. the other 5 in this series is quite telling. Rest is a couple of hundred views and this one is 22k currently. What he says is direct, maybe not welcomed, but a fair depiction of current situations. Many can and will ignore the warnings, or propaganda as you say, but ignoring the issues does not make them go away. With defense, it would seem wise to have and not need, than to need and not have.

[@sittertal]

Rybo Culbreth I have heard many of his speeches and interviews the last three years. I really like how he openly reveals the goals of the US. Here he tells the Hungarians „We are the Mob, our Military is present allover the world, you better hurry up and let us protect you.“ That‘s very simplified of curse but all the Talks he holds in Eastern Europe are in this vein.

[@__-ox5kz]

I've never seen any of the analyses you speak of. Analysis is taking something apart and relating it to the whole. If he did that he would not be able to speak for bare shame of the state of the country he tries to represent. But I tell you what I have seen. I've seen so much poverty in the US that the disparity between the reality of poor town America and the likes of this dude sinks deep. If the guy would expend his energy where needed, he would 1) speak about the horrific drug problems in the US, 2) mention the origin of it and 3) Present a plan of how to reverse the cycle of cultural decay that started when he was young, around 1965. The cultural decay cannot be reversed in a year or two. But the mere fact that Friedman derides a broad silent majority and a President who has attempted to reverse the horrific cultural direction of the nation, speaks volumes of who this man is and who pays him to jet around the world on first class, all the while "his" country is falling apart, piece by piece.

[@rybojames4111]

Would you ask a mechanic to mend your broken leg, or a baker to fix your car? Dr. Friedman is neither a politician nor an ambassador, he is an author and a geopolitical analysis. Do domestic problems exist? Yes, we have many, as does every country, but reports of our decline have been greatly prophesied and exaggerated by many all over the world. To step back a bit and to see the world stage, helps to see that some of our problems are sometimes kindled or stoked by foreign agents/actors. Their interests lie in dividing us internally as well as from our allies, alienating us from our friends and partners, and distracting us with small conflicts that spread our forces out in thinner lines. Forward deployment in strategic areas makes sense, and the more cooperation we get from friends and allies the better. If they reject us, then at least we know up front and can plan accordingly. Contrary to what some believe, making no decision is a decision.

[@asdfdasdaable]

George Friedman is brilliant. I've been following him every since I read his book "The Next 100 Years"

[@gortnewton4765]

Brilliant enough to write a book called the Coming War with Japan?

[@rejvaik00]

Thanks I'll check it out

[@pauldalley4763]

This was a fantastic clarification of the both the strategic policy and strategic commitment of America. As a New Zealander, gratify to be free, due to the sacrifice of America military personnel in World War to keep the Pacific free, let it be known that New Zealand and Australia stand with America. Both New Zealand and Australia are engaged in the largest military build ups since world war two, to support as alliance members America. One wonders what Europe is doing.The faces of the audience seemed to sum up how, despite all their education, Europe stands open to threats it is unwilling to prepare for.

[@stephenpowstinger733]

I visited Australia while on R & R from the army in S. Vietnam and I was pleased to find the Aussies supportive of us. We saw defending Vietnam as critical to the Pacific at that time. The domino theory did not happen - possibly because we bled the N. Vietnamese dry.

[@oldman2800]

So many American families lost loved ones who were fighting to keep Australia (My home) and others free. We are permanently in debt to you for your egalitarian culture My own Grandfather fought in Europe in 1918 to "stop the bullying of the poor French people"

[@ajaxmule4994]

@@oldman2800 All of the people from the lands down under are dear to the average US citizen. You are rocks. Thank God for New Zealanders and Australians!

[@damnthetorpedos1691]

Americans thank you. Europe won’t be able to handle the restructuring of the world. The European stock has vanished. We will always available to alliances but it must be Reciprocal.

[@sapere7]

@@damnthetorpedos1691 Au secours ! L’esprit de supériorité et condescendance ( envers l’ Europe ) des anglo-saxons en toute leur splendeur dans ces commentaires . De l’autocongratulation insipide . Désolant.

[@__-ox5kz]

You should read the book "War is a Racket". It was written by a former General. It's an easy read.

[@JRobbySh]

War is competition; hence, all trade is war. The history of the Vikings is instructive.

[@rejvaik00]

I'll check it out thanks

[@cavaleer]

BRILLIANT explanation to old-world structured Europeans of American Worldview.

[@australiaprisonisland9156]

He who looks for conflict will find one where it was least expected.

[@Delgen1951]

And He who does look for a conflict will be found by it and found wanting.

[@shadowitself]

Mr Friedman simplified the issue of US modus operandi indeed. TTL reign over the seas, everything else is just a stright consequence of this goal. Clear, and (after short reflection) obvious, unfortunatelly often forgotten truth. Actually, great lesson of geopolitical matters ;)

[@rejvaik00]

I very much agree

[@zenlei8258]

You are wrong. US has nothing to do with NATO. NATO has become a money making machine for EU military suppliers and service providers who colluded with American elite to scam American taxpayers. Period. All about money, nothing else.

[@BobFarnell]

I would love to see and hear this man for real

[@kirstinstrand6292]

Just in case you haven't noticed, George Friedman IS REAL. 😁

[@makjac46]

USA saved Australia against Japan, made the USA weaponry companies very rich but at the cost of hundreds of thousands of young soldiers. Europe needs to build up it's own defensive forces by paying it's way to NATO, perhaps saving many thousands of their young soldiers by at least being a solid wall against any threat in the future. As Trump said "you want protection? then cough up" seems fair to me.

[@chavdarnaidenov2661]

Do you have any idea what the European-Nato military budgets might be, compared to Russia's?

[@joannamccann5627]

@Tom Jackson, you do know what purpose NATO was to serve?, don't you ?? "seem fair to me"... (????) you don't even know what fair means, in this case. Catch up on some ameriKan history, and certainly on some international treaties that you so clearly don't understand !!!!

[@mindaugasb5595]

You are spot on:"made the USA weaponry companies very rich but at the cost of hundreds of thousands of young soldiers"

[@ikootsk240]

The US is a declining power and rightfully so, it has done nothing good to the world the last decades.. It inflicted and fought so many senseless wars, caused so much suffering to other people and countries. These days you have to be ashamed to be American, especially ashamed of Trump and his followers! This Diddddin guy is the prime example of American stupidity. Karma will get you eventually!

[@luigimanzoni2705]

@@ikootsk240 What are you smokin?

[@neil03051957]

How does the US Pacific fleet maintain itself after the ring of fire big one off the coast of California?

[@Bigbudd0045]

The pacfleet isn't based out of California. Cincpac is in Guam.

[@Delgen1951]

@@Bigbudd0045 do not tell him the truth. he cant handle it.

[@MovieRiotHD]

04:00 That's 100% true! As a Dutchman I can say, few people in Europe understand the US. The US is not a country like Denmark, Austria or France. But many Europeans treat it like one and the same. It is a huge, politically complex and powerful country with many different cultures, much more plural than Europa.

[@MeGawOOt99]

Its very sad, German and French news constant talk about the threat of Russia but had no combat divisions in Poland to even support their allies. We need combat divisions not cheerleaders.

[@Humanaut.]

Well Ukraine is not in the eu or in the NATO, so Europe has no obligation to defend it.

[@MeGawOOt99]

@@Humanaut. True but Poland does. But the problem is Poland remembers the promises of help from France and UK in the early 1900s when Germany and Russia attacked. They know they can be sacrificed, only country that says any country that attacks their allies, there will be consequences and backed that up is the US. There is a reason why Poland kept up with the 2 percent rule and kept their military pretty active in terms of training and equipment replacement. Because they know they will have to do their part if the 'shit hits the fan.' Supposed allies like France and Germany will pretty much, stand in the sideline offering moral support. To the US, there is a reason they stopped giving a shit about these countries as allies because they have no intention to militarily support the US when they ask for it.

[@meganh9460]

@OkayGotIt We have had a lot longer than the EU to create a National Identity. The migrants will actually help rather than hurt that identity, as they will be spread across Nations. The rise in Nationalism is understandable but it needs to bend in accepting them as citizens as its a losing argument and it is intended to help Europe survive. Europe, for some reason, forgot how to have babies. Its growing to old. It needs new blood. I am not sure EU with survive that transition as they didn't have a cohesive inclusive European identity strong enough yet.

[@meganh9460]

We are a bit more mobile here. I was born in NY, raise in SD, live in OH. That kinda of distance might be strange in Europe but it wasn't that different. here.

[@kjjackson5608]

As an American I'm sick of our kids lives on the line and our pocketbooks open to provide security to Europe who does not respect or appreciate it.. let alone match it for their own security.. it's time we come home.. shore up the Atlantic fleets and let it figure itself out.. they are 1st world countries they can solve their own security risks

[@__-ox5kz]

He who pays the piper... I'd like to know who pays!

[@ricanderson2786]

After two year's this chap's word's seam to ring true.

[@SeattlePioneer]

And two further years and Europe's peace and prosperity have gone glimmering. European foolishness stands exposed to the contempt it deserves, Germany especially.

[@SeattlePioneer]

@@saccount-z3 That is regrettably truer than I would wish. Trump began the process of unwinding that. It may be that the United States will still be caught with it's pants down.

[@rmnair90]

Always a pleasure to listen to Dr. Friedman. 👏👏👏

[@joebuckcoker7966]

George just invented strategic communications....'FAST CHAT'

[@imoneixusa9742]

Who killed Koshoggi? And why?

[@doriancds8559]

Been reading his books and some of his speeches and right now, in the 2019 geopolitical climate, it's interesting to listen to his opinion again. Despite the US geopolitical macro landscape and the current political situation in Europe, in which Russia is trying to destabilize governments and countries in cooperating together under the same leadership, it is expected from my point of view that in the next years they will succeed to do so. My reason for this assumption is, as George said in his speech, Europe is a much more complex environment with national, ethical, political etc. variables rather than the US, which resembles a former colonial union made out of immigrants. In essence, US was formed out of mixed people which only recently has developed a national identity. It's still a very young country, and arguably a young empire. For these reasons mentioned above, it is in my assumption that maintaining unity among EU countries against Russia, a unity under US leadership, this will not last for an indefinite amount of time despite a systematic and continuous interest of the elites to keep Germany and Russia separated as tehy pose a geopolitical threat. As Robert D. Kaplan mentioned in his book, "The Revenge of Geography", there has always been a natural and organic connection between central Europe and Russia (geographically speaking), from the plains that stretch from mid-Germany until the Russian side till the Urals. Yes, there has always been a battle zone and a conflict on interests during the centuries as each part has tried to have an influence of the other (Napoleon, Hitler, Stalin etc). However, in a world more interconnected then ever, despite the political differences, despite the different ideologies and political interests, it is undeniably a natural zone which favorises some sort of economic cooperation and trade. There are vast quantities of resources and huge portions of land in the East which the West is interested in. Also, it is the Russian interest to attract investment and promote development in the European side of Russia. This creates, in my opinion, a symbiotic connection or a Win-Win situation which the US is afraid of. That is the real threat to the US, as Gorge also mentioned, cooperation between West and East Europe. As I see it right now, the transatlantic cooperation and alliance are still working as the result of WWI , WWII and the Cold War have created 2 separated blocks (an EU and a Russia with many differences on every level). If America would have wanted a geographical unity of Europe with both the European countries and the European Russian, this would have been possible during the Boris Yeltsin era, in which US actually exploited a weakening Russian influence and power despite the Clinton administration agenda. Russia needs to be a weak and economical underdeveloped country, even better if kept as a weak enemy. Thus been said, based on my assumptions made above and also based on George's speech, which I believe he really spoke the American interest truth, the US will try to keep Russia under tension as much as possible with or without the Europeans if necessary. US does not care about EU and it's not dependent on it. But it is dependent on maintaining military supremacy, that's what gives the Americans leverage in the world stage. I have doughts tho, how much this East and West separation situation will last. 10-50-100 years? I have absolutely no idea what will come next. But my assumption is that, in the event of Russian and German cooperation in the future, and the possibility of Russia succeeding in dividing and conquering (which is already doing and actually succeeding) as we see more far rights movements and pro Russian governments in the former East block of the EU, it is possible to see that US will start playing the same game as Russia. Going and interfering in the affairs of the European nations, basically to infiltrate and destabilize governments. Despite promoting democratic, liberal and open societies US has also projected its interests around the world which make it no better than other countries when it comes to following its interests, countries like China for instance. The biggest threat to the US in my point of view is not that of invasion or confrontation with a major superpower, but rather the absence of it and therefore becoming an irrelevant and isolated country by losing influence on the world stage to a strong Eurasia *I usually don't write comments, but after reading and watching most of George's speeches during the years it was nice to share my point of view in regards to this matter, at least from the perspective of a European. If you have a different point of view I would gladly appreciate any critique on my comments and maybe share some of your ideas if you are from Europe or US

[@hannyman925]

A strong Eurasia will never happen. Too many factions and Ideologues. On will want more than the other is willing to give up and vice-versa.

[@pensiring7112]

This is his basic contradiction: He wants european countries to be strong militarily, so that they keep the balance of power with Russia. On the other hand, he fears that strong european nationstates will lead to wars and fights over hegemony. He also knows that a european union, a true unified state, is almost completely impossible. So, Europe has to be weak to not threaten American hegemony, and it has to be strong to push back the Russians. I find it especially funny that he asks why the europeans do not have large armies - when the US spend the last 70 years telling the biggest economic power in Europe that it should never again have an army because if it has an army it will bring about the end of the world. The US intervened in WW1 and WW2 to protect its own interests, and took on the role of the world police, in a quite literal sense. The Americans came, and said "You do everything we say, and we will handle all your affairs". But now, America expects everybody to handle their own affairs. They are no longer happy with the role that they chose. They achieved victory and complain having to deal with the consequences. If the tables were turned, and Europe was strong and united, they would be supporting the Russians. It is as simple as that. And he of course ignores the biggest problem: The decline of the west. The US still has a sense of self intact enough to act in its own best interest. The rest of the western world has not. There is not a single healthy country in Europe right now. As he rightly points out, the Europeans have no core values. So they have nothing to fight for. One could even argue that Western Europe is actively working against itself. Eastern and Southern Europe is simply irrelevant on the world stage. The only country that could take the leadership role in Europe is Germany, to top off the irony. The one European country that will never be accepted. And it shouldn't be. Merkels reign was disastrous for the whole continent, and it will not get better under whoever follows her. Which is of course not surprising, since germany is a deeply insecure and self-loathing country, which manifests in overtly aggressive and boastful behaviour on the international stage, precisely to mask the insecurity. Anyways, this is all irrelevant, since China will be the next superpower anyways. The US can not keep up, Russia is a paper tiger, and Europe is just a dying continent full of decadent elites and disillusioned masses. And the US is fast approaching european levels of insecurity and internal conflicts.

[@rejvaik00]

.

[@theturkanabus3610]

This is true. The Americans speak of manifest destiny: they believe that they and their country's future is to be important to the world. The idea that their country is the greatest in the world and therefore the world should listen to them is deeply engrained in them. Unfortunately for them, while their land is abundant, it is also isolated from the rest of the world. And this isolation means that the world can ignore them without consequences. That's what had happened anyway until 1492, the world ignored the Americas for so long that it forgot that the Americas even existed. So even though they think they are relevant, irrelevance is in-built into their geography. And that's why they have an overactive military, not to fight against terrorism or to fight off an invasion but to fight against what is their geographic destiny: irrelevance

[@luigimanzoni2705]

@@pensiring7112 The odds of China becoming a Super Power is just about 0.

[@Drumsgoon]

Very true, as a Western European I am sick of the pacifists who belief in talk without hard power, and only want a 'european' army because it increases the centralisation of power in the EU.

[@johnk2452]

Very observant and spot-on, Drusgoon; where, in particular, I am glad to read that at least some people commenting here understand and appreciate world history. The motivations of humans do not change: there are those who desire liberty and freedom for one and all, and, there are those who desire to control others. Time and again, history has demonstrated this axiom ... of which there should be no doubt. Further, one may not be interested in war ... but, war is interested in you. And, in closing: if one wants peace, prepare for war.

[@Drumsgoon]

@@johnk2452 Indeed!

[@Tortuosit]

Wait, what. My european media tell me it's all about the US bringing candies, love and democracy.

[@tomjmdalton8855]

it's the taking away rather than the adding to. thanks euro

[@robertjames7982]

This is exactly what scares me about America - I don't support these policies. And would not support any Australia Govererment supporting these policies. Let's have no more American Wars.

[@robertblake1032]

Robert James You don’t always get to decide when or where you go to war.

[@JRobbySh]

Ever think, why am I in Australia? You are a produce of if hundred years of Western History.

[@robertjames7982]

@@JRobbySh Yes I am the result of 100 years of western history but I am not responsible for my ancestor's actions, However, I am responsible for my actions today and that is why I now oppose this bullshit that constantly comes out of America and drags the rest of the world along with it. America is no longer the world's shining hope it is no longer the last bastion of freedom, its society is flawed and there are many western democracies that are more equal, freer and more democratic. In many ways, it is living in the past, like Britain living on past glories. Time to wake up and engage with the world and spend your wealth on lifting the American people out of poverty instead of spending it on Arms, wars and propping up illegal Dictatorships around the world.

[@sapere7]

@@robertjames7982 Excellente réponse .

[@ispeaku759]

Nobody will ask

[@waldemarjakowlewitschoswal8235]

great man

[@markbird5461]

No mention of britain

[@alexma1472]

Thinking of German and Russia Peace Treaty in 1939, we could understand the worries of US now.

[@paulzx2000]

What about German/Polish Treaty of 1934?

[@paulzx2000]

@Random Person Yeah. Stalin at least had a real cause - ongoing war with Japan. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battles_of_Khalkhin_Gol

[@geoeconomics3067]

THOSE WHO CONTROL EURASIA CONTROL THE WORLD - john halford mackinder

[@helmsscotta]

This is the most nervous I've seen him.

[@nickn1782]

I noticed that. You can hear it in his voice.

[@__-ox5kz]

Why do you think he is nervous?

[@helmsscotta]

@@__-ox5kz : No idea. I'm not good at reading people.

[@x1borzi405]

Perhaps he feels in his guts a WW III coming.

[@helmsscotta]

@@x1borzi405 : Almost certainly.

[@_LoremIpsum]

Have you here what he says at 11:30 3 years ago?

[@marcinkierzkowski2470]

Great case for the Intermarium

[@donaldclifford5763]

Poland and Romania are the two antipodes of the Intermarium geography.

[@chavdarnaidenov2661]

More like an interbellum.

[@donaldclifford5763]

@@chavdarnaidenov2661 The strategic purpose of the Intemarium is to provide stability. It's. as George says, the replacement for NATO.

[@lianasammartino8490]

I do not like or believe what he says...

[@donaldclifford5763]

@@lianasammartino8490 What, exactly, and why?

[@benz500r]

Not exactly right, the gov passed a lot of favorable laws to allow fracking. Politicians are very sensitive to special interest because they sponsor them.

[@nutcase1959]

it had nothing to do with the Federal govt. The fracking was done on State and private lands, where the Feds have no jurisdiction. State laws yes, but in context with his comments were referring to the Federal Govt not being involved.

[@rodofdallas]

@@nutcase1959 Tom, you have touched on one of the fundamental differences between European citizens and American citizens. European citizens have no conception of private property rights when it comes to their land or their minerals and no understanding that a citizen can be sovereign over his own property. Americans have no consideration of federal rights when it comes to those things. In order for fracking to come to Europe every citizen in that state and the EU would have to agree to the splitting of the proceeds. In the United States the decision is made by the landowner alone. The concept of a sovereign citizen will forever stand in the way of understanding between these two civilizations.

[@luigimanzoni2705]

@@rodofdallas Precisely. Excellent observation!

[@rodofdallas]

@@luigimanzoni2705 I come to this discussion with some experience. I inherited a small Texas USA farm and have been negotiating over the years with oil developers over the mineral rights. So it's not foreign to me. I also have family who have worked for years in the oil patch as we call it. I know the safety and feasibility issues of oil drilling here. In the rest of the world land holders see only the risks and are only inconvenienced by the development of their minerals. They have no skin in the game as we say. Here I can make logical analysis of it's profitability to me based on the risks to my land. I cherish that right it will not surrender it to the state.

[@jhs4now]

Dr Friedman just made great case for Intermarium (3 Seas Initiative). Also, one can appreciate the honesty about collapsing stalemate agreement on Ukraine and Belarus. Soon, the new demarkation lines will have to be drawn - Yalta revisited. Central and Eastern European nations like Poland, Romania, Hungary, and perhaps Baltic States will have to be prepared to for changes that are inevitable. One thing is critical in this new chess game - US must intensify its verbal support for Poland and Romania with really meaningful actions in terms of investments (economic and military) - FAST!!!.

[@damnthetorpedos1691]

Loved it! Good job.

[@valentinstoyanov304]

Ruthless, relentless, realistic...

[@GeorgeRR]

On Poland and Romania 12:29 China, Korea, Sth East Asia, Middle East and then PL and Rou 12:48 I care about Poland and Romania 16:48 Nato bureaucracy is a trap, PL and ROU is a bilateral Relationship 17:24 We are deeply committed to Poland and Romania , this is what left from NATO; 18:32 # US 100 years strategy 20:34 #Romania and #Poland 24:41US coastguard to Russian ship: We can t live with you on the Carpathians 26:19 US: we can't live with the armor divisions of the Russian force on the border of Romania 28:39 In Poland and In Romania 29:33 we ask Poland and Romania and each leaves with the consequences of the game it plays. 37:00 European Army how long would be to replace American forces in PL and ROU 38:30 Europe's Eastern front is held by a coalition of Poland, Romania and USA =and THIS is Nato Today. 39:26 We (US) will defend the border (Aka PL and ROU) according to the American Strategy 39:44 if things fall apart ...I would urge the Hungarian Government to consider -- Bonus we negotiate with Talibans cause we lost in Afghanistan 11:45

[@ycc7744]

Why does he do that wierd giggle at end of each sentence. Creepy af

[@bensanderson7144]

he's a new york jew.

[@ycc7744]

@@bensanderson7144 racist mate

[@lurker1973]

He is a mad demagogue from Poland with a deep hate for Europe especially for Germany. Every time he speaks about such a theme he has fun with itself.

[@ycc7744]

@@lurker1973 hes hungarian born jewish american, plus can you blame him? his community got basically wiped out not that long ago by them...

[@amcsibozgor6791]

He's laughing because he's talking about NATO and it's laughable.

[@hibonkrip1569]

I have a bit of understanding of what's happening now in Russia, Ukraine, Nato. George Friedman explained Nato's for standing in Europe or NATO entirely dependent on US forces. Here's the timeline 22:29 though he expected Russia would act If Nato expanded more Soviet areas.

[@stromakaberdeen5022]

Provocative, insightful, manipulative and visionary = brain candy from Friedman.

[@sylviaschmuck2732]

"Each country lives with the consequences of the game, it plays ... " (Min. 29.50) ... SEEDTIME and HARVEST ... HARVESTING FRUITS ... THE LAND OF HARVEST ... THE PROPRIETY ... ? ☀️☀️☀️💥☀️☀️☀️

[@wlhgmk]

I wonder if the emphasis on the oceans is preparing for the previous war rather than the next one. Would, for instance, a large H bomb exploded under any one of America's fleets not totally destroy them. How many co-ordinated bombs would it take to completely eliminate American sea power.

[@AsG_4_]

Alot more than you think... Took 2 nuclear bombs to sink a ww2 aircraft carrier, then in 1997 the us bombed a carrier for 2 weeks straight... That's with out the defense fleet and aircrafts ...

[@AsG_4_]

kzbin.info/www/bejne/hpKpp5apfcSZd7s

[@geoeconomics3067]

@@AsG_4_ you are on mushrooms

[@AsG_4_]

@@geoeconomics3067 standard munitions isn't going to cut it..the Iranian guard couldn't even sink an oil tanker , the ships that were tested weren't even Nimitz class.. the data from the most recent testing is being inplamented in the Ford class.. soviet doctrine was to nuke a carrier ... If a carrier is sunk we all have alot more to worry about.

[@geoeconomics3067]

@@AsG_4_ you do not need to sink aircraft carrier You need to disable it

[@husamabed6527]

America is the light on the hill. Blessings.

[@sapere7]

C’est de l’humour ?

[@k.o.hakala2112]

Wow I don't even know where to begin with the massive mistakes of thought here. Let's just point out the most obvious one: The EU does in terms of it's security policy what The US wants, because it has given the responsibility of continental defence to The US. Every single US president comes to office asking The NATO allies to spend more, gets them to agree to do so, finds out that Europe is now going to be in terms of security policy INDEPENDENT OF WHAT THE US WANTS, and then they go back to supplying to Europe the continental system of common defence.

[@briannxx]

Nobody in America wants to defend your European ass! Bring all troops home and pay for your own defense

[@aseerose5684]

I really wish that I could listen to one of these 'highly respected geopolitical analysts" who could deliver a factual, objective, and informative lecture on geopolitics without sinking to the rather common level of taking cheap shots at the current president. I really don't care about the analyst's personal opinion of Trump. Please, isn't there one of them who might have a professional evaluation sans the silly snide asides?

[@Garandmasthumb]

Here you go listen to this and understand what Trump and Congress did during the Kavanagh hearings and get back with me on how big of a fan you are of Trump? kzbin.info/www/bejne/on_YnGpmgZp2mcU Unless you’re not a fan of the constitution or any of the rights It provides you. Don’t worry I’m not hopeful that Americans will understand anything other than the blue team or red team paradigm.

[@unexpecttheexpected5966]

Friedman doesn't care about Trump. He knows his audience hates Trump and this is why he talks about it the way he does here

[@peterstill3760]

Brilliant exposé on the sense and direction of US foreign policy.

[@bertiballermann5812]

Excellent speech by George Friedman. Hope Merkel, Maas & Co. will listen to it some day.

[@sethnjensen]

This man missed a very important difference between Europe and the United States of America. That difference is the founding of the U.S. and Europe. America’s ancestors left Europe for a better life and more freedoms. Americans fought the British for the right to keep and bare arms that’s what started the Revolutionary war at Lexington and Concord. Americans want their freedoms and liberties, Americans do not want a ruling class, Europe on the other hand is completely fine with the idea of nobility ruling them. Americans like the idea of being independent in all things and will fight for that and die for it. That’s what makes America different from Europeans.

[@aseerose5684]

Indeed. The Europeans exchanged the Crown for the State without batting an eye. There are some Americans who approve of nobility, consisting of themselves, of course. But one major difference is that America is founded on the belief that their rights are God given. Europeans believe their rights are dispensed by the State.

[@keithbrown3045]

Great analysis.

[@patriceortovent6451]

Listening to this presentation in its entirety, very painfully l may add, we can see clearly that all is said is rotating around this obsession about Russia as a possible invader of Europe. It should be reminded that Russia has constantly been the subject of invasions, not the other way around. Furthermore, this obsession about a Russian threat is not based on an actual ideology of domination from Russia but on the fact that Russia experienced and put into action 100 years ago a different economical and social system than capitalism, a situation that the US choked over and never could digest. In order to maintain an economy based on a military Industry, an enemy has to be permanently on the horizon on the American shores. The USSR has been a convenient target, but this is not enough since the demolition of it back into a capitalist system which has destroyed millions of Russians, China now is the target and so is anything on this planet which can be used as a so called threat to the security of the United States. This concept of a threat is the tool used by the scoundrels in power and those benefiting of it in the industry of armement and military equipments.There is nothing more destructive and vile than those defending this attitude and mentality of aggression and systematic defensive stances, attack and contre-attaque, preemptive strikes and so on and so forth. Who put into practice such behaviour? At the top of the list is the USA, not Russia. What all these so called analystes like Freedman have in commun is this repetitive and boring theory of an imminent threat from Russia, and worst now since China, North Korea, Iran, Syria are classified as a threat to world peace and to the US which is so absurd that even a political simpleton can understand how false and ridiculous the all story is. The political behaviour of the US is as mr Friedman said constant but he omits to explain that it is constant in its foolishness to continue its pursuit in complete hegemony at a great cost of human ressources and human life, not to mention the destruction it causes world wide in social, economical and political spheres. In all, mr Friedman would do a great favour to humanity to cultivate himself further or alternately vegetables in his garden if he has one rather than talking nonsense about what the entire world least want to think about which is loaded with negativity and destructive propositions.

[@WorldIsWierd]

Looking at this in after 2022 is hilarious 😂

[@joynkindness]

I started the matters movement in America. have pic proof. I marched in D.C. in 2007 with a sign that said everyone matters. now, it's everywhere in some form. all rights reserved

[@SeattlePioneer]

[@alexmarkelov7339]

So on point - love it!

[@boomdawg56]

I would argue that your congressmen or senator don't really care what you or Europe thinks, they only care about maintaining their position of power or elevating it.

[@jamesherrick3751]

and their lobbyist donors

[@jclheriteau]

Brutal mais interessant!

[@moemoe9015]

Iran not exactly a superpower, but as strategic as it gets. Very smart cookies indeed.

[@donaldclifford5763]

Iran projects like a super power. Need regime change, flip the country to pro US.

[@joebuckcoker7966]

so?

[@donaldclifford5763]

@@joebuckcoker7966 Go back to sleep.

[@crappymccrappen4897]

Poland is just cannon fodder. So were the chechens, georgians etc.

[@pauld9561]

Not anymore.

[@donaldclifford5763]

@@pauld9561 They just celebrated their 100th anniversary on November 11th. Having liberated themselves from German and Soviet domination, these people are highly determined to rise up to major nation status.

[@sahiel5]

well since ther are usa troops over ther right along with Poles than probably so are they

[@donaldclifford5763]

@@sahiel5 Poland is emerging as the new regional power. They can operate more freely and with credibility in the region, and be assured the US backs them.

[@crappymccrappen4897]

​ Donald Clifford US is investing in nations in specific locations and destroying other nations. They are investing in Poland, albanians and kurds. In Poland they have been pouring dollars for a long time. The main reason is of coure to oppose Russia. The country has been rusophobic historically so it doesnt take much to convince the mto die fighting russians in a few decades. The country will be a center for power for sure. Its the trojan horse of the US in EU and will probably will be the trigger to destroy it. The albanian factor is used against the southern slavs who turned out to be rusophiles as history progressed. All of them were given independence form the Otoman Empire after Russian-Ottoman wars. Bulgaria is a very bright example of country being destroyed by media and NGOs controleld by the USA. It is also in NATO, just like Poland, but the population is rusophilic and as such it doesnt fit in the plans of the USA - so no free money for them. The kurds are a kind of a special case but everyone wants them on their side cause they have high birth rate and if you can shape their minds you will have a powerfull ally in half a century that will die for whatever cause you want - the most obvious cause is Kurdish country. This will trigger a huge war invloving Turkey, Iran on one side and kurds on the other. I dont mention Syria and Iraq as involved in the war cause they are not real countries and their territory will be used as kurdish training grounds and proto-country.

[@enricogamboa5793]

WoW

[@meganh9460]

Its true, Americans love the Idea of a European Army.

[@martincireg3862]

He just doesn't see, or doesn't want to see, that some Europeans want to join with Russia. And that's why they don't see Russia as a thread.

[@barrychmak7852]

Peace no war, let go the warmongers .

[@Delgen1951]

You knw were you will find peace, the grave, is the only peaceful place on this old world,

[@santiagorestrepo2000]

What an agent of chaos...

[@aleempervaiz8789]

American corporate based capitalism will eat democracy. Let be united from the East & West for the sake of democracy. Lets work together for the survival of true democracy.

[@iwogajda5253]

God bless Hungary!

[@JRobbySh]

I found it interesting that when Trump spoke of Poland as standing in defence of Western Civilization, he was criticized both in Europe and in the USA.

[@alexanderhassett]

Trump wears a different color tie and he's criticized in the media. They hate him because he doesn't play nice.

[@jolayolka9323]

Please explain........

[@francoluissotomayor5521]

Still relevant

[@ricktasker8248]

Interesting analysis from 30,000 feet. His thesis - American interests are first to defend our hemisphere by controlling the Atlantic and the Western Pacific, and second, to prevent the rise of a hegemonic power in Europe or Asia. As for our Western Europeans allies, they are not much concerned with war anymore. :-)

[@Spartacus547]

Most people who grew up in the 90s world out look of the future was building a new world social system that modeled itself after Star Trek and maybe that will never work, but it's goals and intentions should be studied and looked at, a global system not built on a acquisition of wealth, but the restructuring of resources so there is global abundance and not Global scarcity, this pursuit of wealth is hedging bets on scarcity and in the end someone always loses on that bed and someone always gains we have to find a better system than that, if the world is going to be able to move forward to a World that Views themselves as one that sees manifest destiny in the stars and worlds in the countless solar systems inside our on Galaxy.

[@chrispaul9035]

Permission of Romania and Poland. Syria? Lybia? The list is endless, not to mention Full Spectrum Warfare through psychology on every country. The Kol Nidre Foreign Policy.

[@neil03051957]

We could not afford to defend anything but euro threats as the USD took care of the euro economies.

[@bluehand9631]

There aren't enough empty seats in the room.

[@wotan20]

Mr. Friedman sketched-up a complex equation, with multiple unknowns, which needless to say, very difficult, or impossible to solve at the present time. His preferred solution, that NATO member states fess-up to the common task of holding back Russia, is not palatable for many in Europe, because it perpetuate our subordination to the Americans. The problem is, there are no viable alternatives: On one hand Europeans don't wish to slide into the Russian sphere of influence, but on the other hand, they lack cohesion and stark resolution to organize a strong enough independent force on their own, to be a credible deterrent against Russia. How shall the future unfold, is anyone's guess, but most likely, the aimless, wobbly drifting of Europe shall continue, if things remain the same.

[@SeattlePioneer]

Yep. European indecision and paralysis, right up until Russia invaded Ukraine. Then the 911 call to the White House again BEGGING for help! I give Germany a large measure of credit for this war beginning: 1 foolish overreliance on Russian energy 2. foolish climate hysteria, making energy dependence even worse. 3. German unilateral disarmament Well, the peace and prosperity Germany and Europe thought they were buying at a very cheap price is gone, now. Too bad it's the Ukrainians who are paying by far the highest price, however much Germans are bleating about high energy costs. Keep in mind that under Obama, Putin was emboldened to grab up Ukraine Under Biden, Putin probably expected another weak response, but was disappointed to find himself embroiled in a real war, and be on the putatively losing side ----so far. However, that came at the price of peace and prosperity for Europe. But under Trump, who Europeans held in contempt, Putin was GOOD AS GOLD! Had a few thousand votes been different in the 2020 American election, Trump would have been reelected and I suggest there would still be peace and prosperity in Europe today. Why would there not?

[@wotan20]

@@SeattlePioneer Fine, comprehensive assessment, yet it is still in a nutshell. Indeed, anyone could be proud of it. Best wishes!

[@MeGawOOt99]

LOL Hes kinda right. French General is almost an oxymoron.

[@jackcornelius8021]

God he's pretty condescending. No wonder Americans have a hard time getting people to co-operate with them.

[@chimeragothic2972]

Not condescending. Truthful and sounding the warning to those who are willing to listen. The Bretton Woods System has kept the world at peace for over 70 years. When America needed their allies the most, they said nah, we won't get involved. We REBUILT the entire world after WWII with the BWS. America has spent trillions in treasure and blood to keep the world safe and prosperous. It is now time for the NATO allies to put up or shut up. America can (and will) go home and retreat into our own trade zone and let the rest of the world duke it out for survival. It will not be pretty. These European countries hate us now because we tell them flat out, put up and pay up. They will in future pay the price of their own hubris in not HONORING the agreement that they themselves agreed to make with us.

[@EndOfAssembly]

He's not American, but nice try.

[@aseerose5684]

@@EndOfAssembly Just what I was going to say. Obviously not an American.

[@rejvaik00]

Pretty sure he's Hungarian

[@gortnewton4765]

This is George telling us what we already know and have known for a long time. What's new George?

[@D0t0ne]

He is getting more ridiculous with each passing year.

[@joebuckcoker7966]

ah, sophistication, an individual mechanism to invoke 'it's not my fault'

[@paulzx2000]

Let me present a Russia point (real one) 1. Russo-German alliance is inevitable. 2. Poles will get as much help as they get in 1939. 3. Because US is overstreched and 4. Russia, China, Turkey, Iran , (quetly) Germany put as many efforts as needed to drive US out of Eurasia. We live here - they are not.

[@JameBlack]

Russia has nothing to propose Germany

[@chairde]

Every time George nails the situation and clearly understands the Americans. He also understands the Europeans just as well. You should listen to him because Europe is in very bad shape right now with hostile Arabs and other immigrants from Africa along with a declining native European population clueless to the realities of the present. Ignore him at your peril.

[@aseerose5684]

We did not need him to tell us that Europe is in bad shape. Really. You should not have been waiting for somebody like him to tell you.

[@chairde]

A Seerose , I’m not European so how would I know? I do believe that he addresses things in a logical manner. I trust his analysis.

[@aseerose5684]

@@chairde Can't you tell when he is being snide and insulting to our president with his remarks? No? Well, he is. That is very unprofessional, and places all his other remarks in a suspect position.

[@chairde]

A Seerose , He is an American so he can like or dislike Trump, so what. But his analysis is spot on about American strategy.

[@willxornosa6439]

set up a fixed camera, fire camera operator and the directors.

[@tsoyfamily5617]

this again shows how self absorb, close minded, spoiled they are

[@leojanuszewski1019]

Speaking of the Europeans?

[@stefanodirom]

there should be 4,000 soldiers and less than 100 tanks in Poland, that doesn't see to be a big presence of NATO in the area

[@douglasreed007]

George I really like your concise pragmatic and realistic view on life. What I wonder is do you really believe that the 9/11 incident was planned by Al Qaeda in some cave is are you are just continuing with the pretence to appease your image and ensure you are not ostracised?

[@johnchoquette5695]

I would bet my entire fortune that John Brennan knows exactly who conceived and carried out "9-11" . They were all from Saudi Arabia - where Brennan converted to Islam . Why we hear nothing about this has always amazed me .

[@normanmortensen2591]

Perhaps it was a mistake, seen with hindsight, that Europe helped US after 9/11. Europe should leave Americans for themselves and focus more in trade with other parts of the world. Americans tearing up all agreements on trade and peace relations just because it wants to act like a bully. If US wants to make more profits on exporting products, make better products and stay a trustworthy partner.

[@asahisagoiboi3517]

George we have significant military assets in Japan forget about Guam.

[@maracohen5930]

Our Japanese defense obligations cost us more than practically anywhere else. Huge numbers. The move from Okinawa to Guam cost, but really defrayed what we gave in rent to the Japanese. One thing about what we are doing with Israel is that they can defend themselves, and as we had to get our Nukes out of Turkey, and will likely close out our bases there, we shall still have strategic reach across the MENA.

[@hankroest6836]

Well said.

[@Delgen1951]

Did you notice it went in one ear and out the other...and you wonder why the Americans are getting poed about this?

[@ownyourgov]

Friedman is beside the point today, and it's only 6 months later! His assumptions and evaluations of what there is to observe may be completely accurate but completely miss the point because of something he's not looking at since access to control is military if you are vulnerable to military aggression. However, the EU and US cooperate about aggression from corporations and/or economic, electronic, propaganda, crimes or the less organized violence called, terrorism.

[@DallasTaylor]

I was agreeing with just about everything up to the conclusion that NATO troops are only Romanian and Polish. That ignores a whole lot of sophisticated countries with top military experts. It's also suspicious to leave out the cyber element and what Estonia offers in the way of cybersecurity.

[@geoeconomics3067]

@Didddin duuu nufffin Wakanda enn shiiieet - USA is not protecting Europe brainwashed programed confused spined manipulated fucked in the head slave Stop watching TV brainwashed slaves USA IS PROTECTING USA EMPIRE

[@fuadmammadov8572]

north america is not an island its a CONTINENT , and originally it was MEXICO AND RUSSIA ON THE ALASKA PART

[@maracohen5930]

He was not speaking literally, but metaphorically. Mexico? No, Spain.

[@geoeconomics3067]

By Mackinder Hohn Halford North America is an Island on the periphery of Eurasia or World-Island

[@abadyr_]

37:28 yeah, the french are such a joke, right? Right!? At least he was the only one joking, I'm grateful for that. Still an interesting exposé, though.

[@Hangover-ry9bo]

Looks like the Americans have a plan, a position and would act.

[@JamesBrown-ux9ds]

What 'Russian threat' - and why?

[@DivinesLegacy]

…

[@horstschlammer177]

Funny man :) and left when the time has come :)

[@richardpotter6313]

Our view on UN - decided... watching the UN watch the Rwanda genocide.

[@Vitlaus]

So strange now

[@solomogaarp3275]

I’m starting to luv this man

[@donrobinson6613]

"Romania, Poland & the United States, & that is NATO today". & the UK? The UK, it has kept up with its NATO contributions, unlike others. It has higher contributions than Romania & Poland.

[@ericb7131]

The UK is completely cucked. No longer relevant

[@rejvaik00]

The UK wants to close all of its bases with American forces. It continues to pressure the US with this and now the base closure is scheduled for 2040

[@democracyrespecterilovedem8607]

we should have open borders for israel like in the US and EU

[@maracohen5930]

What? @@romeotango8324

[@maracohen5930]

@Random PersonYou are right, I didn't understand the false premise of his remark. And no, "Zionists" ARE NOT pushing for "Open Borders", in fact the Arabs take major exception to the fact they don't!!!! LMIJAO!!!! "Zionists" are those who support the development of the sovereignty and self determination of the Jewish People in their Ancestral Homeland!!!!!! It is an Indigenous Group's Nationalist Movement!!!! With a belief in borders and national identity!!!! Joe!!!!! Get a clue!!!!! "Open Borders" is a secular, globalist, Leftist Mpvement trying to make everyone "the same".....LOLOLOL!!! They HATE Israel!!!!!

[@maracohen5930]

@@romeotango8324 What do Gentiles know? That would be everybody in the World except (maybe) 15 million Jews?

[@maracohen5930]

@@democracyrespecterilovedem8607 I agree, you do. Why you let an economic project like the EU rule y'all, I have no idea, you don't even get to vote on your rulers! Why you let them take your tax money and give it to Islamist Terrorists in the middle east is beyond me...and ship in tons of economic migrants who will destroy your cultures is beyond me...Didn't y'all learn from what happened to the Americas when millions of economic migrants wet backed into the Native People's Lands and Lives there? There are now around 2 Million AmerNDNs in the US. There once were closer to 100 million in North America. Guess what happened with an aggressive, violent culture, and a religion saying that killing and enslaving Natives and people with dark skin was fine. The Islamist Cultures are now doing the same to Europe. They are importing their cultures to your Lands. And your Rulers embrace that.

[@maracohen5930]

@@romeotango8324 LOLOLOL!!! What cave have you been living in?????? 1) Your incongruous fantasy that a little bitty ethnoreligious People (who tend to be internally focused anyway) not only might have an interest outside of their own business, families and folks (they don't even PROSELYTIZE!!!!!), but that 15 million of these same folks (worldwide), who have to make a living, mow the yard, raise the kids, grocery shop, etc., are in some weird conspiracy to cause every bit of trouble that exists for the World Population of 7,714,576,923. WOW!!!!!! What an active, if rather stupid imagination you have. Most of the World's population haven't even met a Jew, or know anything about Jews. And RT, I would have to say you are one of those. 2) You choose to claim that Israel is not a Country. Well, you see there was this little brouhaha called World War One. (WW1) In this war, the losing side was composed of the Imperial German Empire, the Austro-Hungarian Empire, and the Ottoman Turkish Empire. As these Empires were being broken up into Nation States, the League of Nations, an International Organization of Sovereign Nations, was given the responsibility of organizing the break ups at the San Remo Conference. Out of that Conference came Accords which became International Law. The Treaty of Sevres (specific to the former Ottoman Empire) was also enshrined into the Canon of International Law at that time. The implementation of the San Remo Accords for the Levantine portion of the Turkish Empire was called the "Mandatory System". Various Mandates were set up, as Nation-State Incubators, overseen by a League of Nations Allied Nation winner of WW1. So ther were 3 Mandatories set up, The Mandate for Syria, which became the Nation states of Lebanon and Syria, the Mandate for Mesopotamia, which became the Nation States of Iraq and Kuwait, and the Mandate for Palestine (the Roman/European name for the south Levant, including the Land that had been the State of Judea, (Land of the Jews) prior to the Roman Conquest. And that Mandate became TransJordan and Israel. All legally done, all right and tight under International Laws. If one of the Mandatory Nation States is illegal< then they are all illegal. So the next time you decide to lie on social media, you may want to remind yourself that there are people out here who actually learn something about a given subject prior to blatting out lies because they live in a weird Jew Hate fantasy world.