Understanding the rise of China | Martin Jacques

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TED

TED

13 жыл бұрын

www.ted.com Speaking at a TED Salon in London, economist Martin Jacques asks: How do we in the West make sense of China and its phenomenal rise? The author of "When China Rules the World," he examines why the West often puzzles over the growing power of the Chinese economy, and offers three building blocks for understanding what China is and will become.
TEDTalks is a daily video podcast of the best talks and performances from the TED Conference, where the world's leading thinkers and doers give the talk of their lives in 18 minutes. Featured speakers have included Al Gore on climate change, Philippe Starck on design, Jill Bolte Taylor on observing her own stroke, Nicholas Negroponte on One Laptop per Child, Jane Goodall on chimpanzees, Bill Gates on malaria and mosquitoes, Pattie Maes on the "Sixth Sense" wearable tech, and "Lost" producer JJ Abrams on the allure of mystery. TED stands for Technology, Entertainment, Design, and TEDTalks cover these topics as well as science, business, development and the arts. Closed captions and translated subtitles in a variety of languages are now available on TED.com, at www.ted.com/translate.

Пікірлер: 8 200
@keffinsg
@keffinsg 6 жыл бұрын
In 1405 the Chinese sent a fleet of 200 ships with 30, 000 sailors and marines from China, thru Malaya, India, Arabia then to East Africa. They established diplomatic and trade links with native countries, but did not make a single colony or conquest. A few decades later the Portuguese and Spanish started their own great voyages. The natives they met suffered a very different fate. Dont believe me? Research Admiral Zheng He
@whatslavender
@whatslavender 6 жыл бұрын
I hope Philippines can get along with China again just like during our pre-colonial days.
@whatslavender
@whatslavender 6 жыл бұрын
Are you Taiwanese?
@whatslavender
@whatslavender 6 жыл бұрын
All Asian nations should unite including Japan with China or there will always be trouble in our region.
@whatslavender
@whatslavender 6 жыл бұрын
Wow I was watching a video about a railway tunnel just now and you were there too in a comment thread about China. Have some rest. I'm out of here bye.
@yuanlaixianzai3243
@yuanlaixianzai3243 6 жыл бұрын
高木直美 You such an idiot
@chinahamyku6583
@chinahamyku6583 2 жыл бұрын
Today, 10 years after this speech, it has become clear that it is not that the West cannot understand China, but that the United States and the West are unwilling to face this reality.
@damblebee1253
@damblebee1253 2 жыл бұрын
The West simply doesn't want to understand China. At this rate they'll have to in the near future, whether they like it or not.
@UmbraWeiss
@UmbraWeiss 2 жыл бұрын
@@damblebee1253 Even if they do, what do you expect will happen when will happens with all the atomic bombs everywhere? do you belive they will let China take the country or will just send out the bombs? when China moves, that will be the time when humans will die out, it's that easy of a problem.
@damblebee1253
@damblebee1253 2 жыл бұрын
​@@UmbraWeiss I don't know what you're talking about.
@fkvtsxhk
@fkvtsxhk 2 жыл бұрын
The ego problem.. and cant even admit it
@Maynard0504
@Maynard0504 2 жыл бұрын
also the 2020 projection was wrong. China's economy is not even close to being larger than America's.
@danielluo6934
@danielluo6934 3 жыл бұрын
Who's here watching in 2021 ? 🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻
@MrMr-hc4ut
@MrMr-hc4ut 3 жыл бұрын
Happy new year
@breakingbadwrite7503
@breakingbadwrite7503 3 жыл бұрын
Me
@blaineturnacliff7907
@blaineturnacliff7907 3 жыл бұрын
He got it mostly right except for Hong Kong. Should have added the caveat, there will be one country - two systems.... unless hk goes for independence and separation. Otherwise , most has aged well.
@vicentefu5578
@vicentefu5578 3 жыл бұрын
Hi
@admirali.a.6175
@admirali.a.6175 3 жыл бұрын
Here
@frankenstein480
@frankenstein480 3 жыл бұрын
I will come back in 2050, and write a comment says "well, well, you're totally right".
@coreycox2345
@coreycox2345 3 жыл бұрын
It is as if it already happened, Prometheus Ryan.
@robertbrown1338
@robertbrown1338 3 жыл бұрын
@@coreycox2345 this man constructs bullshit, the chinese government was treatened plenty in the last thousand years.. And has already taken a completely different stance on the 2 systems 1 country idea in HK he is also completely wrong to even consider Taiwan to be a Chinese from a new world perspective, they are a sovereign state in almost every sense.. Taiwan may be primarily han Chinese in terms of genetics but they identify as Taiwanese - and they are not communist sympathisers and sheep.. He doesn't even mention ancient Chinese philosophy, the mandate of heaven, the idea that ultimate corruption cannot be sustained, he glosses over literally some of the worst atrocities in modern history to make China sound well and good when it's clearly evil..
@yubraajsubedi113
@yubraajsubedi113 3 жыл бұрын
@@robertbrown1338 Israel must be an angel for you.
@user-fp8pg9xb7q
@user-fp8pg9xb7q 3 жыл бұрын
@@robertbrown1338 But we don't have a dynasty now, just look in my eyes.
@megren1207
@megren1207 2 жыл бұрын
@@robertbrown1338 What is this “mandate of heaven” I keep hearing Westerners yapping about? It might be astonishing news for you but there wasn’t even a concept of “heaven” before Christianity came to China. The word that got translated into “heaven” actually refers to natural order of things. The term that got translated into “mandate of heaven” should be more akin to the meaning of a sense of destiny, or a sense of purpose granted by a higher power (wouldn’t say God because technically there isn’t a God in Chinese culture, either. It’s more of an aggregate of anything beyond human comprehension. In other words, we have a loose definition of gods, where buddha, ancient deity, spirits, and our renowned ancestors have tea, and Jehova, Allah, Mohammad and Jesus are also invited) In short you can just translate “mandate of heaven” simply to “fate”. What is so evil about that? And while ancient philosophers theorized that emperors were fated to rule, they also acknowledged the importance of the support of the people. People are like water and the rulers like boat. Water can float a boat. Water can sink a boat. But I guess that doesn’t attract nearly as much attention from Westerners as the weirdly overly religious translation of “mandate of heaven”.
@IvanHXL
@IvanHXL 4 жыл бұрын
Who's here watching in 2020?
@yuchengliu6866
@yuchengliu6866 4 жыл бұрын
me
@xiaojunge7071
@xiaojunge7071 4 жыл бұрын
+1
@happytreefriends5810
@happytreefriends5810 4 жыл бұрын
Here~
@josephjiao8494
@josephjiao8494 4 жыл бұрын
Happy Treefriends me
@myonlinechinese_com639
@myonlinechinese_com639 4 жыл бұрын
me too.this gus is right.
@dayuliu848
@dayuliu848 4 жыл бұрын
History is a chess game. Sometimes China won and sometimes China lose. But do remember, China has been playing it for 5000 years.
@forlornpreponderance2299
@forlornpreponderance2299 4 жыл бұрын
Luke you clearly don’t get the statement.
@forlornpreponderance2299
@forlornpreponderance2299 4 жыл бұрын
Luke ofcourse I don’t get you, you make no sense.
@forlornpreponderance2299
@forlornpreponderance2299 4 жыл бұрын
Luke jokes need context, Apple and oranges jokes aren’t funny but rather retarded.
@destinedNAO
@destinedNAO 4 жыл бұрын
You are funny. CCP’s been only around for 70 years and most of the time before that China’s only been mostly playing with itself and its small circle
@atulanand4646
@atulanand4646 4 жыл бұрын
@Luke I get that feeling
@kenc8359
@kenc8359 4 жыл бұрын
This TED Talk was nearly 10 years ago. Today we are only 5 years from Made In China 2025.
@godisgoodchosen2670
@godisgoodchosen2670 4 жыл бұрын
True
@toonewang1482
@toonewang1482 3 жыл бұрын
难哦,现在有美国的阻碍,这个计划很可能会变成2040甚至2060,这将是一个很长的过程,但是我认为我们会成功。 hope you could understand Chinese or ues translatesoftware
@aison2735
@aison2735 3 жыл бұрын
@@toonewang1482 我比較樂觀些,可能推遲..但不會太遲....美國的衰退也比預期的快,特別是疫情后..美國糟糕表現對其本國傷害很大,對其全球影響力破壞也很大...中國的施政和危機應對表現很出色..一上一下 優勢不小...
@toonewang1482
@toonewang1482 3 жыл бұрын
@@aison2735 你说的这个优势,是中国官僚体制的优势,这个不论是在战时还是在灾难的时候都很管用,比美国那种松散的管理要强太多。 可是如果美国真的封锁,我还是挺担心的,毕竟实力真的不如美国,中国的特别明显优势除了理工科人才资源充足,全产业链,世界最大市场以及新兴产业的后发优势,其他真的不多。。。。 我是宁可悲观点,努力干,结果超过预期,那我会更开心。
@aison2735
@aison2735 3 жыл бұрын
@@toonewang1482 中國和美國現在經貿已經深度融合,很大程度互相依託...徹底脫鉤是不可能的...芯片不賣中國,也沒地方會買..產品主要市場在中國.失去中國.美國的芯片等高科技產業立刻會陷入危機..甚至破產.這是可以預期的..美國資本不會傻到斷自己命脈的程度....這種狀況和美蘇冷戰時有很大不同..
@erwinfernando3759
@erwinfernando3759 3 жыл бұрын
this video is now more relevant than ever. even some estimates turn out to be true sooner than it was predicted, especially after the covid pandemic.
@paulclement4860
@paulclement4860 Жыл бұрын
Martin Jacques is an expert on China but he is of French descent
@lucascosi7065
@lucascosi7065 4 жыл бұрын
Time has gone by so fast, it is 2020 now. Let me give you an advice: if you want to know China, just go to China and watch it by your self, not the Media
@lunaticsfriedrich1504
@lunaticsfriedrich1504 4 жыл бұрын
apparently, lots of westerns will do that only after American stock market collages
@vivianl4873
@vivianl4873 4 жыл бұрын
Yes,see from your eyes
@Rex-ww4cw
@Rex-ww4cw 3 жыл бұрын
The problem is that more than 50% of Americans cannot travel
@preciouslara7513
@preciouslara7513 3 жыл бұрын
It's not that easy, not a lot of people have the means to travel...
@rc1952
@rc1952 3 жыл бұрын
Lucas Cosi ..... we don’t need to go there. That is what the internet is about. And there are many many Chinese here who tell us what it is like from all different angles. And some tell the truth and some lie. So the more you talk with the better it will be.
@s2AaronHonieee
@s2AaronHonieee 5 жыл бұрын
As of 2019, he has the right to say "I told you so"
@SerZachariah
@SerZachariah 5 жыл бұрын
Their GDP is still smaller. We'll see
@erwingobig1954
@erwingobig1954 4 жыл бұрын
@@SerZachariah GDP is just a way to indicate economic power, it is not reliable as you think. If you change to other indicators, you may find China already surpass US years ago.
@SerZachariah
@SerZachariah 4 жыл бұрын
@@erwingobig1954 Name some "indicators"?
@erwingobig1954
@erwingobig1954 4 жыл бұрын
@@SerZachariah You can take look at PPP, or total electricity comsumption or total oil comsuption.
@SerZachariah
@SerZachariah 4 жыл бұрын
@@erwingobig1954 Right on, I'll look into it more. But also the median household income is much higher in the US but there are smaller countries ahead of the US in that stat.
@AO-ow6tt
@AO-ow6tt 2 жыл бұрын
Completely agree with Mr Martin Jaques. The US and Western countries never understood what China was and still do not understand what it is now.
@raymonddon8875
@raymonddon8875 Жыл бұрын
USA #1
@1arritechno
@1arritechno Жыл бұрын
What China was ; includes being so arrogant during the Industrial Revolution that it floundered like a third World Country despite the West offering technology to improve during 18th & 19th Centuries. China never Navigated the Globe then ; they refused Sextants offered by the British because it was Western technology. Worse , when most of the modern world was using Tractors for farming, the Chinese were still using Animals to plough their fields ; again they were late to get onboard. The US and Western Countries never understood what China was - that could be said of China's understanding of the West. Just for instance ; what the Viking's used for Steel in their Swords took China a thousand years to match in metallurgy quality. Today , China cannot make reliable Jet Engines or even Advanced Micro Chips - they still have a long way to catch up in technology. The Chinese are very, very capable as individuals ; their Culture is what holds them back.
@ag7075
@ag7075 10 ай бұрын
@@1arritechno And Chinese culture, especially under Marxism, devoid of innovation.
@petergreen5337
@petergreen5337 7 ай бұрын
Excellent.
@petergreen5337
@petergreen5337 7 ай бұрын
​@@1arritechno Please remember the OPIUM WARS
@abdourahmanealkhalifa191
@abdourahmanealkhalifa191 3 жыл бұрын
As a person coming from the future Martin had a very deep insight into the future! What he said in this talk is happening now in front of everyone's eyes!
@vampoftrance
@vampoftrance 2 жыл бұрын
Makes me wonder when a certain US president hurt China's trade read this book or not.
@ericjiang7986
@ericjiang7986 Жыл бұрын
China to Chinese ethnicity is like Jerusalem to Jewish people or Muslim. It is an abstract concept, a nation that everyone who believes in it trys to get to. Whoever believes in it, would want to fight to unify and become the sole ruler of China. It is like Jerusalem.
@petergreen5337
@petergreen5337 7 ай бұрын
Well said and well OBSERVED
@asroma5216
@asroma5216 5 жыл бұрын
The key for China to grow fast: do not listen to the westerner
@MrShamsiyah
@MrShamsiyah 5 жыл бұрын
That applies not only to China but to the rest of the civilized world. Never listen to the Westerner because they have no clue.
@melissaadami3144
@melissaadami3144 5 жыл бұрын
MrShamsiyah and yet...and yet the west has dominated for the last 500 years
@fanfei8552
@fanfei8552 5 жыл бұрын
That s correct
@Riderjonjo
@Riderjonjo 4 жыл бұрын
Usa made China grow and develop economically since the contracts by President Nixon .
@GeminiFate
@GeminiFate 4 жыл бұрын
They've grown fast BECAUSE they listen to (and steal from) the western world...
@desmondqu8755
@desmondqu8755 8 жыл бұрын
As a Chinese grow up in China, I got say this man knows Chinese culture at core, truth be told, he knows China better than most Chinese people I know.... This is especially rare for a western scholar, since most western scholars tend to view China with biased eyes, sometimes with propaganda....
@DarkDiDi
@DarkDiDi 8 жыл бұрын
+Desmond Qu 英國很親中的,尤其這位又是左翼人士,,對於他幾乎只講了中國的優點是不意外的。 但我必須承認他的演講真的是言之有物呀~
@henryfatchoi6404
@henryfatchoi6404 6 жыл бұрын
X 2
@yuanlee8221
@yuanlee8221 6 жыл бұрын
哈喽
@verybang
@verybang 6 жыл бұрын
I'm Chinese and was born in the US. I love every country. I love all people. Borders and countries separate us, but at the end of the day, I firmly believe in the good we of all people on this planet.
@fun4225
@fun4225 6 жыл бұрын
Moon Leah the fact that you were born in the United States just discredits any relation to you being Chinese. What percent of Chinese people do you think of any exposure to anything outside of China. More so what percent of Chinese people do you think either leave China let alone come to expose anything different other than what they're told you think of something different.. furthermore even if they are able to think differently about experiences that are different outside of what they're told and what their confined to, how often do you think they come up with unique or alternative understandings of alternative experiences that are alternative to what they experience? When's the last time somebody in China had any thought that was unique, interesting, palatable , sociable or humorous to the rest of the world, artistic on a sake of its own, and not inherently racist or of some commoditized false value such as its approximation to Western value or Western Norms or expectations or the lack thereof! China is a plague, a rutheless efficient blistering machine set out to attain what ends? I don't even think it's self knows what will satisfy it's endless perfectionism at everyone else's expense itcluding itself. I don't know maybe it's just me but it seems like Chinese people are pretty self-centered non altruistic and lacking the basic principles probably needed to humanize itself in this global world. I feel like they treat the rest of of the world as we would treat aliens at an intergalactic space Market in which we are unhappy with the vendor we are dealing with . But remained poised and businessmen likeish
@georgeg2558
@georgeg2558 4 жыл бұрын
Damn. I didn't even know my ancestors played golf.
@user-pt9gn1bq2q
@user-pt9gn1bq2q 2 жыл бұрын
作为一个中国人,我曾经在2015年在中国上大学时观看过马丁先生的这个视频,没想到现在在youtube能够再次重温一遍,他是一位真正的学者👍
@petergreen5337
@petergreen5337 7 ай бұрын
Well said
@buddhatwig
@buddhatwig 6 жыл бұрын
"The chinese view the state as the patriarch of the family". My goodness, that is razor sharp and correct. Gives me goosebumps....... This is guy is dangerously intelligent.
@PP-vf1kx
@PP-vf1kx 5 жыл бұрын
buddhatwig ...that’s why it’s not wise to hire Chinese in high tech know how !
@bkciel
@bkciel 5 жыл бұрын
buddhatwig his wording is truly amazing. We Chinese sometimes call xi “xi dada” meaning “father xi” or “papa xi” and it started about 5 years ago.
@MB561
@MB561 5 жыл бұрын
Why does this surprise you at all? This is the inherent nature of communism!! It comes above the family and blood. Did you not listen to Lenin or Stalin or Mao? You appear to need a KZbin video Ted talk to understand the basic tenants of godless communism where the government is all powerful and above even one's family.
@PhonePhone-ym2zx
@PhonePhone-ym2zx 5 жыл бұрын
Why don't call it socialism? Or any other term describing more even - equalitarian society. And what is wrong with a such concept?
@sashamao3812
@sashamao3812 5 жыл бұрын
buddhatwig he knows China so well, OmG he knows too much
@TheTamriel
@TheTamriel 4 жыл бұрын
Nine years after it is still a marvelous introduction to the importance of China in the past, present and future.
@jingangjingxinjing
@jingangjingxinjing 4 жыл бұрын
Time tests words for us.
@anonymoushacker5643
@anonymoushacker5643 4 жыл бұрын
Love you dear.
@wilburlee6477
@wilburlee6477 4 жыл бұрын
IM Chinese,we start know the world. u known us?
@jamesodin1990
@jamesodin1990 4 жыл бұрын
lady,i mean you don’t mind chinese short dig
@brucechow1588
@brucechow1588 4 жыл бұрын
I thought this was a speech made in less than half a year. Didn’t expect it was eight years ago😂
@herman9255
@herman9255 2 жыл бұрын
Here in 2021 still sound hugely enlightening. "We are experiencing a huge democracy process of mankind, 90% of the world's population will finally have their say after 200 years." What a wise man.
@joycesin5697
@joycesin5697 3 жыл бұрын
Most the Westerners can not digest his talk now. But ten years from now, everything he said now will be a reality Joyce Sin
@flyinggoat2581
@flyinggoat2581 3 жыл бұрын
Including the bit about Hong Kong, eh?
@nshadow888
@nshadow888 4 жыл бұрын
Sun Tze said, "If you want to win a war against your enemy, you must understand your enemy and yourself."
@71samrath
@71samrath 4 жыл бұрын
very true, but why not have a different approach where in we all strive towards a greater goal, of human race betterment, and the compition we need to move forward comes from exploring the universe....
@rouchlcw
@rouchlcw 4 жыл бұрын
nshadow888 “if you know yourself and your enemy, you shouldn’t fear the results of a hundred battles”
@cadhlaohanlon4443
@cadhlaohanlon4443 4 жыл бұрын
@@rouchlcw I get what you're saying but j don't think that's the correct translation🤔
@moemokkkim7163
@moemokkkim7163 4 жыл бұрын
I have to say it's ture. But why we can't go with other soft way instead of war.
@huanglong08
@huanglong08 4 жыл бұрын
​@@moemokkkim7163 the question has to be turned to the western world. for the last two centuries, most of the wars was started by the west
@Pulsonar
@Pulsonar 4 жыл бұрын
Well, here we are 9 years later, many things he said about Chinas rise have become a cold hard fact.
@diannnamutant3019
@diannnamutant3019 2 жыл бұрын
FACTS that hurts but we must face it
@leftleg4024
@leftleg4024 Жыл бұрын
Why is it cold and hard tho? We do not have a preinstalled hostility like you westerners do...
@davidaaa3523
@davidaaa3523 3 жыл бұрын
2021: First time I have seen this presentation from 10 years ago. Martin Jacques certainly knows his stuff... nail on the head
@RSID
@RSID 2 жыл бұрын
Summary in 2021: 1. China has surpassed the US in GDP in PPP terms becoming number 1 in the world economy ranking. 2. China has the largest high speed rail network in the world, the length of which are about 65.000km. 3. China bought Africa. 4. China leads the world in electric cars ownership and production. 5. China has it's own space station. 6. China landed a drone on the far side of the moon. 7. China landed a drone on mars. 8. China builds 3 aircraft carriers in a span of just 10 years. 9. The US and Europe withdrew from unwinnable wars in the middle east after 20 years to reorganize its military against China. 10. The US started a trade war with China, viewing it as a rising threat to economic influence. 11. China pioneers 5G tech. 12. China launches the B&R initiative, with over 100 countries signing up. (1.7 trillion commited, while the US spent 1.7 trillion for the F-35 JSF program.) 13. Almost everything is made in China, yes everything. 14. The West decided to activate the human rights card and doubled down on alleged HR abuses in Xinjiang, HK and Tibet. Might miss a few things but, curious to see what will happen in 10 years.
@user-wf9qd4et8v
@user-wf9qd4et8v 2 жыл бұрын
十年后,我希望中国🇨🇳是最强大和自信的国家。带领全世界走向繁荣、团结,达到我们希望的目标“人类命运共同体”
@majesticagent5251
@majesticagent5251 2 жыл бұрын
China will fail because of it's greed.
@zen-mc4ju
@zen-mc4ju 5 жыл бұрын
先进的文明从不排斥其他文明,而是包容吸纳。 先进的文明从不强迫别人必须接受,因为谁好谁心里清楚。 先进的文明一直在改进进步与时俱进生生不息,只有落后的文明才会拒绝改变逐渐衰亡。
@user-ee4xl1bo1i
@user-ee4xl1bo1i 4 жыл бұрын
Michael Vittman You kiss your mother with that mouth? What kind of society has bred such a waste like you?
@michaelvittman2947
@michaelvittman2947 4 жыл бұрын
@@user-ee4xl1bo1i what kind of society eating cats, dogs, and beating them alive before?
@user-ee4xl1bo1i
@user-ee4xl1bo1i 4 жыл бұрын
Michael Vittman plz don't use any product made in this kind of society, if you do use them,shut up
@michaelvittman2947
@michaelvittman2947 4 жыл бұрын
@@user-ee4xl1bo1i i am not use any chinese products
@benardhall61
@benardhall61 4 жыл бұрын
@@michaelvittman2947 If you were from a white man's sperm, he must had some difficulty on English grammar.
@PeterMao11
@PeterMao11 4 жыл бұрын
I watched this speech 3 times so far - 6 years ago, 3 years ago, and today. Each time after I watched this video, I had a deeper understanding of what this professor was trying to deliver and a stronger belief of what he projected about the future.
@ComedyLoverGirl
@ComedyLoverGirl 4 жыл бұрын
It's quite amazing, his understanding at such an early stage when the rapid rise of China wasn't so evident yet.
@liuroxanne8261
@liuroxanne8261 4 жыл бұрын
convenience? U mean conviction?
@PeterMao11
@PeterMao11 3 жыл бұрын
@@liuroxanne8261 Thanks for pointing out the typo
@user-th3qq9zy3s
@user-th3qq9zy3s Жыл бұрын
他是最了解中国的学者,在中国也很有名,不过中国观众都不想让他告诉西方世界中国的真实情况,让他们继续迷失自我,我们闷声发大财😄
@maxcai5567
@maxcai5567 Жыл бұрын
@Jeffrey Wager If you count in GDP, China is second to US, I think it will take several years for China becoming first. But if you count in Market, export, and other aspects of economics, China is already first for years.
@StutteringCoach1
@StutteringCoach1 2 жыл бұрын
Absolutely Satisfying to see an Eastern nation standing up to the Western bullies. Welldone china
@kingmosesix432
@kingmosesix432 2 жыл бұрын
Eventhough i hate both... But yah its refreshing but china is also a evil genius..
@tonypeter8209
@tonypeter8209 2 жыл бұрын
He told the truth, reality and accurate forecast
@mihkelvilismae7498
@mihkelvilismae7498 2 жыл бұрын
ummmm, so Hong Kong is the same it was 20 years ago ? :D :D that "One country, two systems" is still in place? :D :D
@diannnamutant3019
@diannnamutant3019 2 жыл бұрын
@@mihkelvilismae7498 Yes HK is the same as 20 years ago in terms of house living and food culture but they will changed and be reformed by China in the next decades
@alexgoslar4057
@alexgoslar4057 5 жыл бұрын
Thank you, Martin Jacques, for explaining the fundamental differences between Western and Eastern cultures.
@lloydbarnett584
@lloydbarnett584 4 жыл бұрын
IAM trying to really understanding foriegn policy this guy on track
@alexgoslar4057
@alexgoslar4057 4 жыл бұрын
@@lloydbarnett584 Dear Lloyd, may I suggest to go there where they speak a language foreign to you. Live there, befriend with the neighbors. Set aside your pre-disposition and absorb contradicting realities.
@dongxuzhou4661
@dongxuzhou4661 4 жыл бұрын
Alex Goslar wise advises
@chuanxue2865
@chuanxue2865 4 жыл бұрын
Correct! Matin was not talking about China only, its whole asian nation coz other countries around China was effected by China culture.
@ericjiang7986
@ericjiang7986 Жыл бұрын
China to Chinese ethnicity is like Jerusalem to Jewish people or Muslim. It is an abstract concept, a nation that everyone who believes in it trys to get to. Whoever believes in it, would want to fight to unify and become the sole ruler of China. It is like Jerusalem.
@u06jo3vmp
@u06jo3vmp 7 жыл бұрын
Taiwan has been booming before China did, and it had a similar high pressure, non democratic but highly efficient system. But after the 90s when Taiwan reformed into democracy, it became endless fighting between KMT and DPP and the economy stopped growing. In China and Soviet Union you hear them having all those "5 year plan" "10 year plan" and now Xi Jinping is having a "13th 5 year plan". This could not happen in democratic system, all the politicians only care about within their term, and even if someone makes a long term plan, it's very likely to be thrown into the garbage by the next government of the different party. This has been happening in Taiwan, in the US, and in every democratic country in the world.
@rednecksubei
@rednecksubei 7 жыл бұрын
Korea, Singapore, Japan were the same as Taiwan in the history, achieving economy miracle under dictatorship. Typical democracy country (UK USA FR ETCT) lacks of long terms continuous plan on development, this 8 year gov walked 8 steps and the next 8 year gov pull him back 4 steps.
@u06jo3vmp
@u06jo3vmp 7 жыл бұрын
张天元 Like a Chinese official said, "Would you let your 3 year old child go earn his own meals, compete with adults in the 'free market'? No, he would starve to death. Then why should we do this to our business?" The "no regulation, small government free market" is a western trap, so that the international giants can slaughter the developing countries' companies and eat all their markets.
@rednecksubei
@rednecksubei 7 жыл бұрын
u06jo3vmp tittytainment.
@weizhang2834
@weizhang2834 7 жыл бұрын
张天元 傻逼好像中国真是独裁一样,你这样只会误导更多西方人
@rednecksubei
@rednecksubei 7 жыл бұрын
Wei Zhang 你觉得西方人分得清一党专政和独裁的区别吗?在他们的字典里这本身就是一回事情,视频里像马克这种清醒的知识分子能有多少呢?就说现场的观众里听完这个讲座能清醒走出西方文明中心论和一元论的又能有多少呢?不要上来就贴个标签,讨论就好好讨论。
@merwin6771
@merwin6771 2 жыл бұрын
what martin jacques said ten years ago a decade now it is starting to prove now step by step china is becoming the greatest in every way 👍well done china🇨🇳
@legpol
@legpol 2 жыл бұрын
M Erwin: Did China get any help from other countries?
@mihkelvilismae7498
@mihkelvilismae7498 2 жыл бұрын
Mass repression of free speech and journalistic freedoms, activities bordering on genocide, woohoo,number 1 !!!! China you da best
@merwin6771
@merwin6771 2 жыл бұрын
western propaganda always fake news and bullshit ..actually jealousy is the main reason and create the fake story and fake news 😂
@merwin6771
@merwin6771 2 жыл бұрын
@@mihkelvilismae7498 actually jealousy is the main reason and you create fake story mr clown
@mihkelvilismae7498
@mihkelvilismae7498 2 жыл бұрын
@@merwin6771 I have always wondered - did the Tinnamen square massacre happen or not? Something about Chinese soldiers killing Chinese people. Did it happen, do you know?
@w00716761
@w00716761 3 жыл бұрын
september 2020 now. those 2 closing pictures are hillarious!
@annaevanescent4089
@annaevanescent4089 10 жыл бұрын
whether you agree with him or not, he is a very wise man. He seems to know what he's talking about.
@SilentMover95
@SilentMover95 5 жыл бұрын
8年了,回顧一下。很多他預測的事情實現了或在計劃裏了,但是他的演講在西方激不起任何浪花,西方世界還是一貫的高傲。孫子曰:“兵非貴益多也,惟無武進,足以并力、料敵、取人而已。夫惟無慮而易敵者,必擒于人。”
@user-ee4xl1bo1i
@user-ee4xl1bo1i 4 жыл бұрын
人都一样,清朝也是等到人家大炮打进来了才如梦初醒,什么时候中国航母超过美国了他们自然会来排队磕头的
@user-wq4ti7wo9l
@user-wq4ti7wo9l 4 жыл бұрын
给我的感觉就像是历史在重演
@David-FX
@David-FX 4 жыл бұрын
妈耶,孙子上KZbin还说话啦!快来看啊!
@---pr2qd
@---pr2qd 4 жыл бұрын
西方是在自己脑子里建墙,这个墙更难翻,但我们不care
@seizetheday8862
@seizetheday8862 4 жыл бұрын
果然应验了。
@user-wl8um1ru3l
@user-wl8um1ru3l 2 жыл бұрын
2021年再回过头来看Martin Jacques教授的十年前的演讲依然感到震撼,社会科学向来不具备预测未来的能力,但马丁教授对中国乃至世界的发展展望可以说极为精准且目光长远,使我不得不佩服先生的睿智。 Looking back on Professor Martin Jacques' speech ten years ago, I am still shocked. Social Science has never been able to predict the future, but Professor Martin's vision of China and the world's development is extremely precise and long-sighted that I have to admire his wisdom.
@cliffmwenja4853
@cliffmwenja4853 3 жыл бұрын
Am watching this in 2021 and can't believe how true this is turning out to be
@abdulrehmanshayya1066
@abdulrehmanshayya1066 5 жыл бұрын
In 2019 May Most of his preditions are proving true China is Coming back at its top Lots of love for China and Chinese From its Friendly Country Pakistan🇵🇰🇵🇰
@haiandy1548
@haiandy1548 5 жыл бұрын
Thank you from a chinese
@amyzhao2908
@amyzhao2908 5 жыл бұрын
Pakistan! Forever Bro! From China.
@abdulrehmanshayya1066
@abdulrehmanshayya1066 5 жыл бұрын
Thanx a lot guyzzzz It shows our love jointly to the whole world
@yinzhang3698
@yinzhang3698 5 жыл бұрын
Forever friends with Pakistan!From China!
@dragonc4134
@dragonc4134 4 жыл бұрын
Abdul Rehman's Hayya Thank you my brother ,you are our best friends in the world!🤝🤝
@paulmaking1980
@paulmaking1980 10 жыл бұрын
Martin Jacques is a very wise man, the West would do well to listen to him & others like him. The simple message is China & Asia is returning to predominance it held for most of history, after 200 years of Western dominance.
@user-dp9go8do9u
@user-dp9go8do9u 10 жыл бұрын
No, rather something wrong in the Western mentality in Anglo-Saxon-Allied Nations. predominance or not, China need not apply to us than our own Absolutist forms of Government. Mr. Jacques challenges that fundamental belief on Government, as his predecessor, Jean Jacques Rousseau did two centuries ago, and promotes the necessary development in human thought, not just in human rights, but in respecting others and their differences - the West must undertake.
@-caesar3751
@-caesar3751 6 жыл бұрын
paulmaking1980 as a Chinese I expect westerners to be arrogant and I hope they continue to overlook China. :) at the end we see what happens
@lenoir2851
@lenoir2851 6 жыл бұрын
Historically China never had predominance. Unless you speak about Asia. But not once it has the highest economy per capita. And for its Nation economy it was only during the Song dynasty that it has the world highest economy. But just for 200 years. And the West dominate the world in every ways, science, military economy since the 15th century.
@1Invinc
@1Invinc 6 жыл бұрын
Le noir Are you kidding me? The Han Dynasty matched the Roman Empire, the Tang Dynasty was when China pulled way ahead of the world. These were before the Song Dynasty. Even after the Mongol Conquests, the first half of the Ming Dynasty dwarfed European economies. It was the post Zheng He isolation in the later Ming Dynasty that coincided with the Renaissance that allowed Europe to catch up, and even then, it took the stagnant Qing dynasty, coupled with the Industrial revolution in Europe before the West overtook China. And it did so only with the resource available from their colonial holdings in Africa, India, South East Asia and the New World! The irony was that the reason Europeans started their colonial empires to begin with was to protect and promote their trade with China! China was no doubt biggest deal for much of the past 2000 years!
@omegabyte000
@omegabyte000 6 жыл бұрын
@LE Noir I think you need to take a world history class to get your facts straight...
@cptsky47
@cptsky47 4 жыл бұрын
The wonderful presentation which gives one depth of knowledge on the understanding of the paradoxes between the two worlds of European and Western Thought to how China lives and breaths. Although this presentation is about 10 years old there is much it gives to the listener. On the part of the listener, the ability to think critically is extremely important. I've spent a lot of time studying cultures and the history of ideas. As an American Expat who has lived in tthe Middle East for 2 decades, I am intrigued with Dr. Jacques's insight.
@alexchaudhri2405
@alexchaudhri2405 2 жыл бұрын
It is simple, hard work and unity. United States lacks in both.
@MultiChrisjb
@MultiChrisjb 2 жыл бұрын
Yes and lack of freedom, with anyone who says anything against the CCP is sent to re-education camp. They sure are united, it's very bad for anyone who does toe the line.
@hasanpasha01
@hasanpasha01 2 жыл бұрын
@@MultiChrisjb Us is the one who lacking freedom.. and it is a puppet of israel.
@alexchaudhri2405
@alexchaudhri2405 2 жыл бұрын
And also two third of USA don’t have 500$ in savings.
@aoao3321
@aoao3321 2 жыл бұрын
@@MultiChrisjb now who's brainwashed
@venuswu8770
@venuswu8770 2 жыл бұрын
@@MultiChrisjb You're definitely very right.
@jinqu9612
@jinqu9612 4 жыл бұрын
That man has deep understanding of chinese culture and its fundamental values. He is absolutely right, Europe has little or no knowledge of China...the last part was so funny 😂
@aleksandrmarkov5992
@aleksandrmarkov5992 4 жыл бұрын
这也给国人提了个醒。不要以为西方都被忽悠了,西方还是有非常多有智慧的人。我们不能有像美国红脖子一样的那种自大,而要脚踏实地,守护我们的文明。
@weixichen6115
@weixichen6115 4 жыл бұрын
管他呢 继续忽悠!🤣
@kazeyo_1458
@kazeyo_1458 4 жыл бұрын
人口基数大,人均就没那么多了。还有很远的路要走
@aleksandrmarkov5992
@aleksandrmarkov5992 4 жыл бұрын
@@kazeyo_1458 是啊,道阻且长。
@mrlyd
@mrlyd 4 жыл бұрын
Translation?
@kellyfiona6001
@kellyfiona6001 4 жыл бұрын
you can copy the word to translator
@user-kw1pe2ho5e
@user-kw1pe2ho5e Жыл бұрын
Now, nearly the end of 2022, while the world and economies are yet experiencing erosion of the Covid tides, his views are still among the most wise and correct ones! Thank you Professor and to you guys watched this video and read my comment.
@petergreen5337
@petergreen5337 7 ай бұрын
Absolutely CORRECT. Well said
@ParkerAt941
@ParkerAt941 2 жыл бұрын
It's 2022 now, I just finished my annual listening of this lecture. Thanks Dr. Jacques.
@yumengnie1885
@yumengnie1885 4 жыл бұрын
As a Chinese, I'm so often bewildered and confounded by the differences between China and the western world. This guy's speech definitely offers me a new and more profound perspective. Look forward to seeing his predictions about how the future world will be like steadily becoming the actual reality... XD
@beebee32002
@beebee32002 4 жыл бұрын
Probably the best video explanation I've heard about China. Most people do not understand China and its civilization but this video said it perfectly and objectively.
@albertdem1352
@albertdem1352 3 жыл бұрын
It's propaganda from a CCP mouthpiece who's been a communist all of his life. Like a lot of communists, he's a good liar, but not much good at anything else.
@bitterfrog0782
@bitterfrog0782 2 жыл бұрын
@@albertdem1352 Yes Totally agree
@michaelgavinjohnston7985
@michaelgavinjohnston7985 2 жыл бұрын
Probably the worst video about China! China is on its way out. Goodbye, China!
@user-wf4kq1st8z
@user-wf4kq1st8z 2 жыл бұрын
@@albertdem1352 If so, then China's development today has indeed lived up to his expectations.
@ericjiang7986
@ericjiang7986 Жыл бұрын
China to Chinese ethnicity is like Jerusalem to Jewish people or Muslim. It is an abstract concept, a nation that everyone who believes in it trys to get to. Whoever believes in it, would want to fight to unify and become the sole ruler of China. It is like Jerusalem.
@Tony-nq6nu
@Tony-nq6nu 3 жыл бұрын
Surely, this guy is a modern prophet. He knows how to read the signs of the time. A great story teller of our world's civilization! Thanks, TED, for this informative and enlightening talk.
@tusker2418
@tusker2418 3 жыл бұрын
He is a Marxist. If you read his book, he clearly analyzes the world with a dialectical method. Marxists' aren't prophets, they just scientifically analyze the world in a way that other people can't which makes them seem like prophets. Jaques is extremely adept at hiding his Marxist views, which is why he hasn't been censored and delegitimized into non-existence.
@Cybernaut551
@Cybernaut551 2 жыл бұрын
Martin Jaques is based in facts and experience. His years of studies has revolutionized my mind.
@petergreen5337
@petergreen5337 7 ай бұрын
Indeed
@smilingsword3492
@smilingsword3492 4 жыл бұрын
99.99% Accurate. This was in 2011. Imagine this guy gives a speech about the danger of Artificial Intelligence, right now, 2019, and nobody listens. 10 Years Later, R.I.P. Earth.
@S3Mi87
@S3Mi87 4 жыл бұрын
"Imagine this guy gives a speech about the danger of Artificial Intelligence, right now, 2019, and nobody listens. 10 Years Later, R.I.P. Earth." - You just made your own baseless prophecy and trying to glue it to this guy? LOL
@andia968
@andia968 4 жыл бұрын
gordon chang is a better expert
@oliversmith1624
@oliversmith1624 4 жыл бұрын
Frankly, this is the most sensible,objective and in-depth opinions I have heard about China. And it's unbelievable this speech was delivered in 2011. Great!
@petergreen5337
@petergreen5337 7 ай бұрын
Agreed 100 %
@serenestellar2322
@serenestellar2322 4 жыл бұрын
"the patriarch of the family."Well that's quite accurate.
@johnwayne8475
@johnwayne8475 2 жыл бұрын
If you visit China and talked to the people, you will generally see care, respect and admiration towards people from the Western countries. Whereas when you visit western countries and talk to western people about the Chinese you get hatred and even threats of violence. There's the difference between the two different societies.
@mihkelvilismae7498
@mihkelvilismae7498 2 жыл бұрын
.... the difference is that i can organise a mass protest against the government in West countries and also use the internet, and spread my anti-government views there, but in China I might just disappear if i try that. also it has fake internet. so theres the difference. wow, really, are you 10 years old that you dont understand the difference? :S
@user-vv4df8cj2x
@user-vv4df8cj2x 2 жыл бұрын
Irrelevant and stupid 👆
@user-pt9gn1bq2q
@user-pt9gn1bq2q 2 жыл бұрын
@@mihkelvilismae7498 good👍 USA WIN, CN LOSER
@nicolew9604
@nicolew9604 2 жыл бұрын
@@mihkelvilismae7498 对对对你说的都对,一定要坚定地相信你自己
@KevObispo
@KevObispo 5 жыл бұрын
watching this after USA vs Huawei issue...
@urduib
@urduib 5 жыл бұрын
Yeah me to :) Interested to see how this prediction turned out
@DarkVader456
@DarkVader456 5 жыл бұрын
me too
@Alfa-wz4vn
@Alfa-wz4vn 4 жыл бұрын
Me as well
@wenguo66
@wenguo66 4 жыл бұрын
We should thank President Trump for stoping a modern day X-hitler.
@bigboss337
@bigboss337 4 жыл бұрын
wen guo Trump is behaving like hitler himself and usa is becoming more facist
@AnonymousVedette
@AnonymousVedette 5 жыл бұрын
That "I told you so" moment this guy must be having now....
@ComedyLoverGirl
@ComedyLoverGirl 4 жыл бұрын
In ten more years he will be having an even more I TOLD YOU SO I'M A SECULAR PROPHET moment.
@wokenepali8376
@wokenepali8376 4 жыл бұрын
🤣🤣🤣 China is falling apart.
@JohnPap21
@JohnPap21 4 жыл бұрын
Everyone talking back then about the rise of China and they still do, this guy is wrong about almost everything.
@akakybashmachkin656
@akakybashmachkin656 4 жыл бұрын
@@JohnPap21 care to explain a bit?
@wokenepali8376
@wokenepali8376 4 жыл бұрын
@@fightingcat9477 Yeah, that's why China's growth has severely slowed down in the last decade compared to the decade before.
@kevinkim3793
@kevinkim3793 3 жыл бұрын
This distinction between how the West views the state versus how he describes how the Chinese view the function of their state is interesting. I have never thought of viewing it that way before.
@desmondrobin9925
@desmondrobin9925 2 жыл бұрын
I'm not Chinese but what I understand is CHINESE = HARD WORK.
@diannnamutant3019
@diannnamutant3019 2 жыл бұрын
Work smart, Work hard Choose one
@peachtree3789
@peachtree3789 4 жыл бұрын
Lee Kuan Yew once said that Democracy is the result of prosperity not the cause of it. Singapore and China are proven of the saying.
@aison2735
@aison2735 4 жыл бұрын
Mr. Li also said, "I never thought that the so-called Western-style democracy would bring about progress. In fact, it would bring more chaos and retrogression."
@yanshu3135
@yanshu3135 4 жыл бұрын
Yes,I strongly agree. Westerners use democracy to cheat a lot of developing countries, because most of developing countries don’t have enough ability to assure everyone’s right
@XBK369
@XBK369 4 жыл бұрын
True
@durantrza4856
@durantrza4856 4 жыл бұрын
If China didn't have control over Hong Kong, their economy would be no where near where it is today. Free trade and democracy is exactly the reason for their prosperity.
@dwaejishan
@dwaejishan 4 жыл бұрын
Durant Rza clearly you don’t understand China
@changkaizhao
@changkaizhao 8 жыл бұрын
I have to say this guy really know about china.
@tomxu1561
@tomxu1561 8 жыл бұрын
+Cooper Joe still a western perspective, but yes , much better than ordinary westerners
@lenoir2851
@lenoir2851 6 жыл бұрын
Lived 15 years in China, my wife is Chinese and no, he has it wrong in many of his ways.
@lg4179
@lg4179 6 жыл бұрын
Le noir you are right
@lg4179
@lg4179 6 жыл бұрын
China doesn't have racism
@lg4179
@lg4179 6 жыл бұрын
He is wrong in some points, like his thoughts about the reasons why Chinese think they belong to the same race.
@mounitamurmu4550
@mounitamurmu4550 3 жыл бұрын
"If you want to see what's in store for the West tomorrow then you need to look at China today" No wonder all developed and developing countries have so much bitterness towards China.
@mihkelvilismae7498
@mihkelvilismae7498 2 жыл бұрын
yes, because we dont want a corrupt authoritarian state that brainwashes us daily, imprisons us if try to protest against the government and censors us if we dont lie about reality in the same way as the state? Obviously there is bitterness there. Oh, also I would like to have concentration camps in my country.
@michaelbiedassek7136
@michaelbiedassek7136 2 жыл бұрын
I think it’s a myths that developing countries are bitter. They are approaching China (not the West) for development as they see the Chinese model to a viable alternative with favorable conditions compared to dealing with the West. China’s rise is the rise of the developing world.
@tazabdel588
@tazabdel588 2 жыл бұрын
Lol... everything in the market is designed by USA, Germany, Italy or Japan. China only designs crap...
@longweihan101219
@longweihan101219 4 жыл бұрын
Martin Jacques is now a well respected guest in All kind of Talkshows in Chinese
@jesseleighgordon33
@jesseleighgordon33 5 жыл бұрын
2019-05-27 we see that this man was right
@petersusana617
@petersusana617 4 жыл бұрын
read up about Hong Kong.
@aison2735
@aison2735 4 жыл бұрын
@@petersusana617 Institutionally, Hong Kong remains the same. He's right.
@junzheshi5124
@junzheshi5124 4 жыл бұрын
@@petersusana617 well now hong kong is already wasted by itself and who use hong kong to weaken china
@styleswu4487
@styleswu4487 4 жыл бұрын
每一次中国关键性的发展都少不了西方的压力,例如我们的氢弹原子弹,我们的航空工业等等,现在又是一个新的挑战,我们会顶住的
@leonidaslazos6828
@leonidaslazos6828 3 жыл бұрын
i don't think rising is the right word for China. Historically, China has been on top for thousands of years. Therefore the right term is "comeback" in my opinion.
@chen1587
@chen1587 3 жыл бұрын
you are right man,millions of Chinese have used this word "comeback"years,it's the main task of our generation
@user-cz7bd7cs1f
@user-cz7bd7cs1f Жыл бұрын
No, we Han people are not disrepectful to the Tibetans or Uighurs. At least all the people I have met in the past 32 years of my life, including my classmates from minority ethnic groups, we never disrespected them. Also, in our textbooks of history from primary school to high school and to university, we always have explicit introduction of clothes, food, traditions and biological features of people from all ethnic groups in China, 56 ethnic groups. Every Chinese New Year Gala in all the TV stations, we have performances of songs and dances from all the ethnic groups and all the population enjoyed them the same way. So honestly, I don't know why it is depicted like this. I lived in England, traveled around Britain and now in Canada, I think the media has to be fair and face the truth.
@kimberlyward350
@kimberlyward350 4 жыл бұрын
Who's here watching 2019?!
@DrPrashant_Sharma
@DrPrashant_Sharma 4 жыл бұрын
US China trade war has stalled that process. Predictions are never perfect. Variations!
@ELGtheMAN
@ELGtheMAN 4 жыл бұрын
Me
@actionms8566
@actionms8566 4 жыл бұрын
@@DrPrashant_Sharma Exactly. Just wait untill the Chinese real estate bubble bursts. It will become a second Japan. Constant crisis and virtually zero growth over many years. It will be interesting to see if the communist party can keep it's tight reighn.
@DrPrashant_Sharma
@DrPrashant_Sharma 4 жыл бұрын
@@actionms8566 hoping to see India cash in here!
@greenkraftzcybertek1798
@greenkraftzcybertek1798 4 жыл бұрын
This KZbin Recommendation.
@waryaamoxamad3115
@waryaamoxamad3115 7 жыл бұрын
Just skim through China's history, and you would see that their rise was always inevitable, they have gone through almost all of civilization's pitfalls, from aristocracy to warlordism to being humiliated by foreign powers, and for people with keen eyes, which I believe the Chinese are considering their history of inventions, they were able to accumulate wisdom along the way. This allowed them to create their modern system of governance that even the best political scientists in the west still horribly comprehends (again my opinion). Any attempt to describe it with simple nouns/phrases such as communism, free market capitalism ..etc., still falls flat. I think the Chinese political system as not overly dogmatic but a dynamic system that adapts to changing world. For the west (led primarily by America), they are still trapped in 18th century mindset of military hegemony, displaying all the fallacies of yesteryears emperors. Eager to demonstrate their military might on less developed third world countries with ever changing excuses. In simpler words, the west is very petty and therefore have petty tribal like ambitions.
@TheEVERLAST000
@TheEVERLAST000 6 жыл бұрын
well said bro, truly well said
@devonrusinek5807
@devonrusinek5807 5 жыл бұрын
Screenshotting this
@allenpitt5906
@allenpitt5906 5 жыл бұрын
We don't need ideology, we need methodology, luckily,we have reform and opening up policy
@yt23333
@yt23333 5 жыл бұрын
Wow this is impressive
@Alelusan
@Alelusan 5 жыл бұрын
Devon Rusinek The second I thought it I found ur comment lol
@judyzhu2635
@judyzhu2635 4 жыл бұрын
如果在2011年看到这段演讲我会觉得老爷子牛吹得有点大了,但2020年的3月看到,正好是西方国家的抗议=疫做法真的一言难尽,老爷子是真牛啊!
@ruitaohan9776
@ruitaohan9776 4 жыл бұрын
没准儿今年中国GDP真能赶上美国
@oemfudan_6910
@oemfudan_6910 4 жыл бұрын
u1s1 确实 百年未有之大变局
@solidchain6084
@solidchain6084 4 жыл бұрын
Ruitao Han 还有差距
@xyww8602
@xyww8602 4 жыл бұрын
@@solidchain6084 ppp算的话14年还是15年就超过了
@keli4775
@keli4775 4 жыл бұрын
@@ruitaohan9776 别扯,赶不上的,再等30年都不行,维持现状才是最佳,不要盲目。大跃进的痛苦还历历在目呢。况且我们的GDP也有水分。借着这次疫情,国家领导相当清醒,挤出了大量的水分,并且调整了许多方案。不要迷信GDP,强大才是第一位的。
@kookoo8635
@kookoo8635 4 жыл бұрын
What an amazing lecture.
@aureliadiwu_cotofan
@aureliadiwu_cotofan 4 жыл бұрын
What he talked about how East Asian know more about Western culture and more cosmopolitan than the West, while the West feel like they do not need to know the rest of the world since their cultural influence is still no.1 in the world, etc. reminds me of the Qing China's attitude towards the rest of the world. Karma is coming =)
@ruofanzhu7955
@ruofanzhu7955 4 жыл бұрын
Aurelia Dee Woo exactly!! I’m a Chinese and I agree with u. That seems like a inevitability of history
@ComedyLoverGirl
@ComedyLoverGirl 4 жыл бұрын
It took 200 years, but the tables have turned. We were born in a lucky generation.
@rangerunion1223
@rangerunion1223 4 жыл бұрын
American:why should I care about other contry? WE HAVE EVERYTHING AND WE DON'T NEED THEM. Chinese: been there bro(≖_≖ )
@aureliadiwu_cotofan
@aureliadiwu_cotofan 4 жыл бұрын
安迪 very well summarized 😆
@konika865
@konika865 3 жыл бұрын
the wheel of fortune. everything moves in a cycle
@smr32061
@smr32061 5 жыл бұрын
What an amazing speech! This guy was so bang on his predictions.
@kiyoshim9593
@kiyoshim9593 4 жыл бұрын
Haha.
@russianbot7172
@russianbot7172 4 жыл бұрын
LMAO. That is not what the people say in HON-KONG right now.
@dongxuzhou4661
@dongxuzhou4661 4 жыл бұрын
Russian Bot HK belongs to China according to Chinese culture. And HK doesn’t belong to HKers. The 1.4 billion Chinese can definitely vote for HK’s future.
@tommyt5868
@tommyt5868 4 жыл бұрын
@@russianbot7172 Why? Still 1 country 2 systems. Mainland is still peaceful. And HK is in riot. haha
@user-nl7kn9cr9b
@user-nl7kn9cr9b 4 жыл бұрын
9年前中国人就注意到了这个视频,事实证明了他理论的合理性,而高傲的西方人依然无法正视这一点
@pawanbhattarai6414
@pawanbhattarai6414 4 жыл бұрын
This is becoming more relevant as time passes.
@williamwong2864
@williamwong2864 2 жыл бұрын
I viewed this some years ago. I viewed this again. Still refreshing, as truth should do
@u06jo3vmp
@u06jo3vmp 7 жыл бұрын
In fact the word "nation" in Chinese is 國家, not just 國 (which also means nation). 家 means "family". In Chinese culture 國 and 家 are deeply connected. There is a Taiwanese old propaganda song called 沒有國哪裡會有家(How can there be family if there's no nation?). It may sound ludicrous to westerners, but the logic is simple: without a strong nation to protect its people, our families will be killed and raped by the northern nomads, and in modern times, the western and Japanese imperialists.
@user-yy7xs7rm3c
@user-yy7xs7rm3c 7 жыл бұрын
when we get strong,never invade others
@u06jo3vmp
@u06jo3vmp 7 жыл бұрын
We kinda did though. China didn't become this huge country from the 中原 central plain by friendly inviting others to join in. Also we invaded Korea and Vietnam several times, and Japan once if you count the Mongol Yuan dynasty as China too.
@sinhchiem
@sinhchiem 7 жыл бұрын
Communist China is what is wrong with China today. Bullying other smaller countries over small island dispute is what it is good at doing, I have no doubt that what happen in the past world war had put China back in terms of economic conditions. Many millions of lives lost due to atrocities China committed to its people. Chinese Communist party are just an organize Mafia nothing more, they have Law and Policy, but continuing using the Law of the Jungle.
@xuanminglu1507
@xuanminglu1507 7 жыл бұрын
sinh chiem bullying other small nations? Like afghan or Iraq ? Steal lands? Like Hawaii? Commit atrocities ? Like genocide toward native Americans ? Wait a second, how dare you criticize the great all mighty USA ? You must have lost your mind.
@bitgamer509
@bitgamer509 7 жыл бұрын
Lu Hawaii is a state with senators and congressmen in the federal government, hardly a colony. In fact the last president was born in Hawaii. You sound ridiculous. Get off the China propaganda, 'we so bullied, US so mean, we are super special' lol
@user-mg4ij4dl2o
@user-mg4ij4dl2o 4 жыл бұрын
China has no secret. if there is one, hard work.
@Forastero011
@Forastero011 4 жыл бұрын
That and the systematic assimilation of various cultures to better fit with the Han chinese homogeneous culture. Much like what many western powers have done in the past.
@potatonoodlebear8035
@potatonoodlebear8035 4 жыл бұрын
@@Forastero011 Well. most sinification is already finished several thousand years ago...
@erqiangdeng3060
@erqiangdeng3060 4 жыл бұрын
@Heather Larson yes
@_thisconnected_
@_thisconnected_ 3 жыл бұрын
@Heather Larson So no talk about the huge IP theft from silicon valley. Aight
@ompatil9698
@ompatil9698 3 жыл бұрын
And COMMUNISM
@vichitvideo6041
@vichitvideo6041 Жыл бұрын
Martin Jacques is one of a few, if not the only, foreigners who really known about China.
@nymanson1118
@nymanson1118 2 жыл бұрын
Astonishingly, 10 years later his prediction came true
@bm-fw9dq
@bm-fw9dq 5 жыл бұрын
The dude is incredibly clever and far-sighted. Blow my mind. His understanding to China is better than me! ------from a Chinese in London, 2018
@oceanblue4750
@oceanblue4750 5 жыл бұрын
Time for me to start learning Chinese.good bye u.s.a.china here I come.I hope to open a business there.
@therensdns31415
@therensdns31415 4 жыл бұрын
Damn, he did such a good job blowing your mind
@ComedyLoverGirl
@ComedyLoverGirl 4 жыл бұрын
Prof Martin Jacques was a registered Communist and highly interested in East Asia for decades. So it's no surprise, but I hope to see more western intellectuals like him who are open-minded in this way.
@fjkong9924
@fjkong9924 5 жыл бұрын
This is an amazing speech, im watching this in March2019
@billhliu
@billhliu 4 жыл бұрын
I've been watching it every year to check the time line.
@yibowei9636
@yibowei9636 3 жыл бұрын
lol
@LoneWolf-kb4dl
@LoneWolf-kb4dl 2 жыл бұрын
A nation can not grow without unity.
@zoezhu3626
@zoezhu3626 7 жыл бұрын
This comment was sent on 29/4/2017, lots of thing he predicted is achieve now.
@chengzhang1217
@chengzhang1217 5 жыл бұрын
@First Last TM 1999 That project was proved to be a scam of an enterpriser who wanna defraud investors
@chengzhang1217
@chengzhang1217 5 жыл бұрын
空中巴士确实是投资诈骗啊,搜一搜嘛。如果你是湾湾当我没回过你。
@MOHAMMEDHILS.
@MOHAMMEDHILS. 5 жыл бұрын
Yeaaaaah right!!! China's number one ❤️
@user-fw8rd8kq6m
@user-fw8rd8kq6m 5 жыл бұрын
你的英文名和LOL里的左伊一样啊
@seaweed9999
@seaweed9999 5 жыл бұрын
英文说成这样 还不如干脆写中文
@elohime
@elohime 5 жыл бұрын
雖然這個視頻快8年了,但西方人的普遍看法還是原來那樣,還好,哈哈~
@yiboliang8338
@yiboliang8338 5 жыл бұрын
老教授无奈啊,看了几年了,评论风气居然真的还是一样,固然腐朽保守。战忽局美国分部CNN支部功不可没,嗯轮子的China Uncensored支部也要加鸡腿。
@eddy_412
@eddy_412 4 жыл бұрын
Yibo Liang +1
@SwetPotato
@SwetPotato 4 жыл бұрын
@@yiboliang8338 那要加好几装箱鸡腿😁
@rayjrh2850
@rayjrh2850 4 жыл бұрын
500年前发生在中国的事情将会发生在西方世界。当有一天梦被打醒时,为时已晚。幸运的是,中国的悠久历史给后代十足的经验教训,我们懂得什么叫夜郎自大什么叫居安思危。但是很显然,西方人除了少数像老教授那样居安思危的人基本都是盲目自信。当有一天他们被打醒时,中国不会给他们机会
@---pr2qd
@---pr2qd 4 жыл бұрын
+1 哈哈 和西方的城市一样
@user-mw9xv7ee8h
@user-mw9xv7ee8h 3 жыл бұрын
He is a respectable scholar and prophet! What he said has been realized in China!
@ajinurcahyo5123
@ajinurcahyo5123 2 жыл бұрын
I always look after this video, even after 10 years later, his speech about the rise of China cannot be denied as it was likely unstopable..
@aredtomato8957
@aredtomato8957 2 жыл бұрын
Same. Saw this video few years ago. And I always come back here and realise CN developing and is exactly like what he say. I can sleep in peace.
@linghuazhang2632
@linghuazhang2632 4 жыл бұрын
Hi! Peace lovers on KZbin. As a graduate student coming from China, I've seen so much hatred towards China all around KZbin, Twitter and the US media during this year. Even last year I was not so much into politics videos but now there were just so many recommendations of this kind that I had to take a look. This one is great: neutral, objective, not meant to spread hatred. Some of the others are not, and usually make me feel very uncomfortable because apparently, those people don't understand us at all and they say what they believe is true. I guess some of them have ever been to China, but that doesn't necessarily mean they understand China more than most Chinese do as they claimed. Similarly, I have been staying in the US for around three years but I don't fully understand American society, either. Well, what should you do when you don't understand something? Don't draw hasty conclusions. Knowing more before speaking. Stay humble when there are different opinions. Listen. I hope people in different countries can understand each other better. And I do believe the way to a deeper understanding is by delving into their culture. Personally, I don't think this can simply be done by watching some KZbin videos which sometimes talking about nonsense. Visiting and sightseeings help a bit, but if not going to museums, they are also not that important in my opinion. If anyone is truly interested in learning more about the country, how the people there do it and why they think in this way, I would recommend learning by oneself a Chinese history and literature course. It doesn't mean you need to be a sinologist before you can comment, but that would really help if you are truly curious about this country with good intentions. Skim over the dynasties and names of emperors, pay attention to the political systems, economies and education systems at those times. Read some poetries, either from the book Shi Jing or Tang and Song dynasties. This is a good anthology: www.amazon.com/Translations-Chinese-Arthur-Waley/dp/B0006D6QLI/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=translations+from+the+chinese&qid=1574310549&sr=8-1 If still have time, try reading some essays and proses from ancient scholars like Jia Yi, Liu Zongyuan and Ouyang Xiu. Finally, you may treat yourself with a movie reflecting Chinese village life, such as the early works of Zhang Yimou. --------- (Added on 5/24/20) Thank you for those who paid attention to my comment! After reconsidering my recommendations on books to read about China, I think these two may be the best to read: *My country and my people*, and *Moment in Peking*. They were written in English with the purpose of introducing China to westerners in the 1930s, when the old China was evolving to the new one we see today, by a renowned Chinese scholar - Lin Yutang. (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lin_Yutang) He was nominated for the Nobel Prize in Literature in 1940 and 1950. Please forget about my recommendations on poems and ancient literature -- they are good to read but may not directly hit the point if you'd like to get a quick and comprehensive view about China.
@oswaldpietzsch4553
@oswaldpietzsch4553 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you for your decent comment and your valuable suggestions to Chinese literature. Best regards from Germany.
@TheEsperKing1
@TheEsperKing1 4 жыл бұрын
This is a really good post. Thank you for taking the time to write it!
@xiaohuawei411
@xiaohuawei411 4 жыл бұрын
The former Australian prime minister Kevin Rudd is an example of those westerners who believe they know China but acturally not. I watched a Ted speech by him on KZbin, in which he was selling China threat theory making farfetched interpretation of several Chinese characters as arguments. Funny ha?! Although he learned to speak Chinese language and write Chinese characters, this is no indicative of his understanding of China!
@linghuazhang2632
@linghuazhang2632 4 жыл бұрын
@@xiaohuawei411 China is complicated, multi-faced and in some aspects, heterogenous, just like any other societies and country. Even if you are a Chinese local, you'll have to continuously deepen your understanding of other parts of that society that you are not familiar with. So being able to speak Chinese does not necessarily mean a person understands what is happening in China and why it is, and conversely, not being able to speak Chinese doesn't forbid one from becoming a "China master (中国通)", as long as the person does do some deep research. Again, everyone should be humble, careful and as objective as possible when they want to understand something, anything. Same to Chinese when it comes to Chinese issues.
@maximev8063
@maximev8063 3 жыл бұрын
I really don't understand the Chinese people, as all we know about China in Europe is what the gouvernement is doing, which quite frankly is making us anxious as the CCP doesn't recognize lots of freedom we believe are essential. But beyond the gouvernement, looking at the people there, we really are oblivious to who they are, how they think and where did they come from. Thank you for the books suggestions, hopefully it will help me understand better the difference between the people and the government there. China will be a major player in the future, I'm still afraid of what the government will do, but I believe something good may come up from the Chinese people that will benefit humanity, if the government let them...
@tsetommy2027
@tsetommy2027 4 жыл бұрын
when time flies, now is 2019, the fact is more clear, and the whole picture is more clear to the world. I was amazed by this 8years video.
@My-Name-is-Khan
@My-Name-is-Khan 2 жыл бұрын
I been following this since last 11 years. Anyone who is watching in 2022.
@anartistpatty8912
@anartistpatty8912 3 жыл бұрын
Hi , thanks for your excellent talk on this video. There is a book telling about the Chinese Culture, how did the government unify China. The book is: "China: An Introduction" Written by : Pye Lucian W
@wandererguy8241
@wandererguy8241 6 жыл бұрын
20:15 is the ultimate truth. THE WORLD IS INFACT BECOMING DEMOCRATIC DUE TO THE RISE OF CHINA...Truly enlightening speech!! I am one of the few Indians who admire the Chinese effort unlike my fellow countrymen who are blinded by jingoism and hope my country allies with our neighbour one day. India needs to join OBOR soon.
@ranadeepkundu5357
@ranadeepkundu5357 6 жыл бұрын
wanderer guy And how should we start the procedure? By doing same with Arunachal Pradesh what coward Pakistan did with Aksai Chin? China don't want or need any ally in south Asia at least. You are welcome only if you surrender yourselves to them.
@user-hy7hr4me7k
@user-hy7hr4me7k 4 жыл бұрын
What India needs is getting off western fantasy of democracy. Be independent and not be a puppet of USA. If Indians are still proud of how many CEOs in USA,India is doomed
@justinzhan165
@justinzhan165 4 жыл бұрын
“I told you so" he said, now on 25th June 2019
@Jay_Bless
@Jay_Bless Жыл бұрын
2022 and this not only applies to China alone but to other countries in other continents as well. We should agree that different countries have different histories and cultures.
@Momin_H
@Momin_H 3 жыл бұрын
Enjoyed the lecture n gathered info👍
@windneo5640
@windneo5640 4 жыл бұрын
Damn.. this guy understand China more than any of those HongKongers these day..
@leonaden5811
@leonaden5811 4 жыл бұрын
LOL!
@kartosh1666
@kartosh1666 4 жыл бұрын
most Hk citizen whom causes the riots are youngsters , cause they have no idea the history behind HK and China
@masternobody1896
@masternobody1896 4 жыл бұрын
me in 2020....and saying oh yeah you are right
@gulitzt5865
@gulitzt5865 3 жыл бұрын
for someone who is borned in hk, i can be honest with you. None of my brothers would riot for free
@windneo5640
@windneo5640 3 жыл бұрын
@@gulitzt5865 for someone who travels to few others countries, I can be honest with you, nobody is really FREE
@OneWithPurpose
@OneWithPurpose 11 жыл бұрын
Well this is no illusion. They were the most advanced civilization from 589-1644 A.D. by any measure imaginable. They have never completely collapsed as a civilization in 5000 years and everyone else has. Before 1500 A.D. they needed very little of anything from any other nation and composed 30%+ of world economy for 2000 years monopolizing silk, tea, natural gas, and more. Look at all the stuff they invented throughout history a millennium before Europe. The list is much smaller for Europeans.
@1arritechno
@1arritechno Жыл бұрын
NO . yours is a wild exaggeration ; China was defeated , broken-up & over run in that 5,000 years. From the Arabs to the Mongols to times of civil war and implosion - there was no real continuity. Before 1644 AD they had no means to Sail to the other side of the Globe ; whether by Navigation or Ships capable of such a Journey. They never even had the Metallurgy to make powerful Cannons. European Ships were more sea-worthy and capable of Sailing to China (as they did) however, the Chinese never reached European Waters until more recent Centuries.!. As to the list of Chinese inventions prior to 1644 ; Europe overall , would exceed China by at least ten fold.
@user-er8ns1dw1p
@user-er8ns1dw1p 10 ай бұрын
三年后我仍然惊叹于这位学者思考的先进性,
@bonnieliu604
@bonnieliu604 4 жыл бұрын
Still watching now in 2020. Great speech!
@oslatasth68
@oslatasth68 4 жыл бұрын
看了他的近期的采访翻到了这个8年前的演讲,这位教授对中国研究很深,很多观点非常犀利。竟然还是英国共产党人。
@user-kz2nx7vk1z
@user-kz2nx7vk1z 4 жыл бұрын
友军。
@mingcangsuzui
@mingcangsuzui 4 жыл бұрын
Oslatast H 巴铁翻车。
@user-lo8jw2ep9g
@user-lo8jw2ep9g 4 жыл бұрын
不能留
@markfoo1303
@markfoo1303 4 жыл бұрын
Oslatast H 他跟张维为教授混久了!
@deguangwu6157
@deguangwu6157 4 жыл бұрын
原来是同志哈哈哈
@yangc4730
@yangc4730 8 жыл бұрын
Very impressive speech...Three take home points: civilization, race, and state. As a Chinese, I am kind of surprised that he knows China so well. These factors for sure are important reasons why china is on a rapid development. I am sure in a short term, China economy will still develop fast. However, the Chinese now is not perfect. First, in the long term, we may still need more regulations on the government/state, in this way, we may lose some efficiency but we will be more creative. Second, the whole population may still need more time to upgrade to a higher-education educated level, this will help the country upgrade as well... Personal thoughts. Anyway, a good talk!
@pt20032004
@pt20032004 7 жыл бұрын
more middle class, more well educated, then China will be more ready for democracy, though it will not be totally the western style.
@pendulmonium
@pendulmonium 7 жыл бұрын
Sounds like a straight, it-must-happen-because-of-this kind of thinking, I don't endorse Democracy and I certainly don't think a growing middle class will lead to anything like democracy. I hope it doesn't lead to that PATH.
@pt20032004
@pt20032004 7 жыл бұрын
that's why i said not western style
@pendulmonium
@pendulmonium 7 жыл бұрын
Living in USA and I have been doing research on democracy and other forms of it, and this recent election where neither candidates are even worthy of respect, i dread the idea of even democracy in a big country like China. I've grown disillusioned with this system. Even if you give the direct vote to the people, the outcome looks the same, worse! Pardon me, I feel very bitter about it.
@pt20032004
@pt20032004 7 жыл бұрын
sorry about everything in the US. i have been wary about the pros and cons of democracy in its present form. i may not resist the kind of democracy in Singapore. i live in Hong Kong.
@Anilkumarpm
@Anilkumarpm 2 жыл бұрын
Great, hard workrs, loveable kind people (China). Goutham Budda (Siddharth)🙏🙏 Love from south india
@oshanebrown1558
@oshanebrown1558 2 жыл бұрын
Points and points this speech connected the dots. Excellent speech.
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